Dear colleagues, since the 5351 level has been broken, I believe that wave “2” has been completed, which means that wave “3”, which consists of five small waves, is currently developing. Now I assume that either the price will continue the small wave “1”, or will form a small wave “2” in the area of 61.8% Fibonacci level, then continue the upward movement to the...
OANDA:SPX500USD is looking like its in the end of the move higher. Thursday/Friday were very slow after the early week rally even with NFPs giving things a spike. now we look for Monday to give us some clues for the next move. Option 1 - We get a move down to 5320 before one more high up to 5400 area. Option 2 - The top is in on this run from the April low and...
Fed Expected to Hold Rates Amid Mixed Economic Indicators Focus on CPI Data and Rate Decision: Wednesday's U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision are in the spotlight. This follows rate cuts by the Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank last week. However, the Fed is not expected to follow suit—at least not...
AMEX:SPY looks to be showing signs of weakness here. Thinking that we could see the first large decline of the year into one of the support levels below $479-$495. Breaking the trend line would be the trigger. If that happens and we do get a low, then I think we'll have one final rally to the upper resistance levels between $525-$530. Another possibility, is...
Last week marked some of the most unclear price action we've seen. Starting on Tuesday, sellers gradually took control from buyers, but most of the action occurred during extended hours (meaning on VERY low volume). On Friday, sellers finally acted during regular trading hours and attacked the market right from the open. However, it seems buyers were only...
Stocks are in a bull market. Bonds are in a bear market. Unemployment increases to 4% FOMC & CPI on Wednesday. Yield Curve remains inverted. Longest in history.
Good Evening and I hope you are well. sp500 e-mini futures Quote from last week: bear case: Bears are still inside the bull flag and making lower lows. As long as they are staying below 5310-5320, their bear case lives on but is weak at best. They could not get consecutive daily closes below the daily ema and the reversal on Friday made the daily, weekly...
Last week, the Bulls' performance surprised many and some were badly hurt by Wednesday's rally. Followers of this channel, however, hopefully avoided this trap by staying aware that a bullish run was possible given the market's mixed signals. Now, the Bulls have confirmed their control by establishing both a higher low and a new high on the weekly chart. Notably,...
Hi everyone, I see two possibilities. Blue or Brown ? (we have to see!) Technical Section: The Blue Path: S&P500 is completing the fifth wave of the 5th wave of a five-wave rally. Wave 5 = 2.618 x length of Wave 1 Wave 3 = 2 x length of Wave 1 Target = 5790 The Brown Path: S&P500 is completing the fifth wave of the 3rd wave of a five-wave...
Technical Analysis The price movement will be influenced by the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) and Unemployment rates. Based on current expectations, the price is likely to exhibit a downtrend, though the market may experience random fluctuations. There is a possibility for a retest up to 38,790, followed by an upward push towards 39,050. Bearish Scenario: If the...
Technical Analysis of SPx the price will move under the NFP and the Unemployment rate pressure, so the movement will be huge for the indices. Bullish Scenario: For a bullish trend to emerge, the price must stabilize above 5260, potentially pushing up to 5302. If the price surpasses this level, it may indicate the start of a new bullish trend of about 5347....
S&P has been moving upwards this week and made a New ATH yesterday. Any test of yesterday's Close could provide some direction for today. Level to watch: 5364 --- 5362
The price has reached our target, as mentioned yesterday, with a gain of +1.20%, approximately $60. The SPX has recorded a new all-time high and continues to gain. It may retest down to 5347 before pushing up to 5378. Overall, it could potentially reach 5320 if it stabilizes below 5347. As long as it trades above 5320, an uptrend towards 5423 is expected. ...
During the last breakout, NVIDIA (NVDA) surged by 300 points before experiencing a sharp decline of 134 points within two days. This current situation bears a striking resemblance to the previous occurrence. Reaching 1282 would position NVDA as the most valuable company globally, contingent upon Microsoft's valuation. I possess additional market capitalization...
Originally I was thinking that we'd see a move to the $480 support after testing the highs, however, because we haven't fallen yet, the chart no longer supports that view. Instead, I think the most likely scenario is that we fall on or after Wednesday 5/29 back to the low $500 area, then we go back to test the highs at $530. The retest of $530, will setup the...
A strong end to Q4 Window dressing by fund managers who were underweight equities would trigger a cup handle pattern breaking the trendline of the pattern is around 4600 on the #ES I could also make an argument for HVF pattern we have a high 3 in place A recession will no doubt rear it's head at some point ... but a blow off top first to hand bears a...
The S&P500 index (SPX) has turned sideways since practically May 16 and, supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), is consolidating. Even though this consolidation is taking place at the top of the 1.5 year Channel Up (Fibonacci 0.0 - 0.236 range), it is similar in some way to the accumulation of April - May 2023 (also a little like November - December 2023),...
Pair : SPX500 Index Description : Break of Structure and Retracement RSI - Divergence Falling Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame Consolidation Phase Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves