Tradersweekly

Tradersweekly

Bitcoin broke to the upside from a triangle-like pattern but failed to gather enough momentum to ascend to new all-time highs. Subsequently, its price broke down below $69,000. Interestingly, the preceding rise was not accompanied by a drop in the number of Bitcoin addresses with balances exceeding 1,000 BTC (and also those exceeding 100 BTC), suggesting large...

Tradersweekly

After breaking above the ascending channel and reaching its highest value in nearly six months late last week, the price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil retested the upper bound of the channel during yesterday’s trading session. The outlook continues to look bullish on daily and weekly time frames. Nevertheless, multiple indicators flash overbought signals on...

Tradersweekly

Bitcoin continues to form a triangle-like pattern on the 4-hour chart. Its price is currently testing the upper bound of this pattern, and a breakout to the upside would be bullish in the short term. Nevertheless, whether Bitcoin will gather enough momentum to be propelled substantially higher from the current level remains to be seen. Illustration 1.01 ...

Tradersweekly

West Texas Intermediate crude oil has increased nearly 20% since the start of 2024 and is currently trading near $86.50 per barrel. The precarious situation in the Red Sea, production cuts by OPEC (and its allies), and the inability of the United States to bring more production online fast enough have greatly contributed to the rising oil prices in the past four...

Tradersweekly Updated 

Bitcoin has been experiencing significant volatility over the past two weeks, with its price oscillating around the $70,000 price tag. This pattern of sideways-moving price action starkly contrasts with the robust and consistent upward trajectory observed in the months leading up to Bitcoin’s recent all-time highs. In the previous update on Bitcoin, we outlined...

Tradersweekly Updated 

In the previous post on gold, we expressed our fears about the shiny metal amid a sudden spike in volatility and a slight drop in the U.S. market indices (accompanying the spike in VIX). Nevertheless, it did not take long for the volatility to falter and the fear to disappear among market participants. Quickly, the market leaped higher, and gold followed in...

Tradersweekly

It is often said that gold tends to perform well during economic uncertainty and crisis. But is this really so? Let’s examine gold's volatile history before and during recessions in the past 50 years. The 1960s and 1970s were marked by many economic and geopolitical changes, including multiple crises of the British pound, the collapse of the London Gold Pool, the...

Tradersweekly

Bitcoin rebounded above $70,000 after falling nearly 18% earlier this month. Currently, it trades near the $71,200 price tag. Technical indicators such as RSI, MACD, and Stochastic began reversing to the upside on the daily chart. In addition to that, the number of Bitcoin addresses with balances exceeding 1,000 BTC continued to rise, suggesting that some of the...

Tradersweekly Updated 

Bitcoin has erased nearly 14% in the past five days, falling below $64,000. In the process, it broke below the ascending trendline that connects peaks from January 2023 and March 2023. On top of that, technicals like RSI, MACD, and Stochastic have continued to decline on the daily time frame, which is turning increasingly bearish and could imply that the...

Tradersweekly

Yesterday’s FOMC meeting ended as widely anticipated, with no change to monetary policy. During the press conference, the FED’s chairman reiterated the central bank’s commitment to bringing inflation under control and outlined a strong economy and tight labor market. Jerome Powell also described inflation as being on a downward trajectory and explained the need to...

Tradersweekly Updated 

Yesterday’s financial print in the United States revealed an uptick in inflation. For the second month of 2024, the inflation rate rose by 0.4% MoM (accelerating 0.1% from January 2024) and 3.2% YoY (accelerating 0.1% from January 2024). Meanwhile, the core inflation rose by 0.4% MoM (staying unchanged) and 3.8% YoY (showing a decrease of 0.1% versus the previous...

Tradersweekly

West Texas Intermediate crude oil regained a bullish momentum and managed to establish a new high at $81.58, which marks the highest value in over four months. Additionally, RSI, MACD, and Stochastic all moved higher on the daily chart. These developments are positive for oil and bolster a bullish case in the short term and medium term. However, while it is...

Tradersweekly

Bitcoin dropped below $67,000 overnight. Interestingly, this price action was preceded by a bearish breakout in the RSI and a reversal in MACD and Stochastic on the daily chart. These developments are highly worrisome, especially as the stock market rally is losing steam at the same time as Bitcoin; since the two markets are quite overbought, the case for a...

Tradersweekly

Volkswagen’s shares have been on a downward trajectory for about three years now, dropping by more than 50%. However, after finding a bottom (presumably) in October 2023, the company’s stock has been ticking higher and forming an upward-sloping channel. While it is yet to be seen whether these shares have really bottomed out, certain developments might boost the...

Tradersweekly Updated 

Bitcoin established a new high just below $73,000 before retracing slightly lower. Indicators such as RSI, MACD, and Stochastic continue to point in the bullish direction on the daily time frame. However, the RSI began diverging from the price, which is something to monitor in the foreseeable future. In addition to that, daily, weekly, and monthly time frames are...

Tradersweekly Updated 

West Texas Intermediate crude oil continues to trade within the upward-sloping channel. However, its bullish trend remains weak, as reflected in the relatively low (but growing) value of ADX (on the daily time frame). In the past two trading sessions, the daily RSI continued to flatten, Stochastic turned lower, and MACD performed a bearish crossover while staying...

Tradersweekly

Month after month, the United States has been reporting strong labor market conditions and lots of new jobs being created. However, revisions to past data are often less talked about in the media, which might tell a somewhat different story than headline numbers at the time of their announcement. Friday’s report shows that nonfarm payrolls rose by 275,000 in...

Tradersweekly Updated 

Yesterday, the SPX formed an opening gap and erased some of its recent gains, which was accompanied by nearly a 10% jump in the VIX. What is particularly interesting about this is the formation of the island reversal pattern on the daily chart. The formation of this topping pattern and simultaneous rise in the VIX after a period of strong gains in the U.S. equity...