With predominantly bearish price action during the week, intraday sentiment is more shifted towards a continuation to the downside at this current time. Due to higher time frame narrative, I am looking out for a retracement to 4.563% hourly fair value gap. Candle body closure below 4.455% will negate the idea.
After a prolonged appreciation of price, last week Monday saw a gigantic sell off with little to no manipulation, closing below may pools of intraday sellside liquidity indicating that a minor retracement in comparison to the grand scheme of the bull trend is acceptable and further downside is likely, at least down to the daily bullish order block located @ 2306 -...
Slow and steady wins the race and it can be said that for the past 2 weeks, Euro has been in a buy programme, creating minimal fair value gaps before booking @ the weekly bearish order block. But on closer inspection, when Euro retraced up into the weekly order block, the median threshold @ 1.08586 failed to break nor test which gives me the suggestion that the...
Starting off with a topdown perspective of Cable and we can see that the sellside imbalance buyside inefficiency has been balanced with todays price action but the weekly order block located @ 1.26479, although partially rebalanced, there’s a chance price action could be repriced to and through the order block but that also means that dollar will need to continue...
In comparison with ES and NQ, YM has been more disciplined in terms of following market order flow as there are few liquidity gaps present and the ones that are present (such as the one I outlined last week @ 38238 - 38150 was respected going into last weeks trading. I must note that Thursdays sell off through the newfound liquidity void has meant that smart...
Similar to ES, NQ has been relatively choppy throughout the last trading week with liquidity voids popping up in the daily timeframe from Tuesday going into Wednesday, Wednesday going into Thursday and Thursday going into Friday with even a bit of a void in Mondays opening compared to Fridays Close. In relation to running buystops, NQ has not dealt that much...
Although during the meat and potatoes of last week has been very choppy, with many gaps appearing in price action on the daily timeframe, ES has managed to reprice through the prior weeks buystops into a sellside imbalance buyside inefficiency located between 5123.25 - 5248.75. I do not believe the buying pressure is over yet as just above the SIBI is a bearish...
More so choppy price action throughout the week than the bond market or yields but it can be seen that a rebalancing has occurred on the Friday and on this weeks Monday open but sellside is still pending to be attacked. Smooth lower highs has been created which will challenge my short bias down to the consequent encroachment of the weekly fair value gap as the...
Beautiful price action throughout last week! Weekly range spans from 115.05 - 112.27 and we have failed to see a run in sellstops even though we have been in a continued bear trend. 113.10 was the area of interest as well as the weekly bullish order block that was mentioned last week and price action bounced of 112.27 like gang busters! We have opened the new...
The weekly range spans from 4.570% - 4.739% and with the weekly EQ being tagged alongside buyside getting swiped, I am scoping out for the daily order block which is near the weekly sellside @ 4.593% and the second target being the lows at 4.570%. Some form of a pullback into the lower displacement weekly fair value gap is a projection for throughout the...
Starting from a weekly perspective, we can see that BTC has been bearish for 5 consecutive weeks, with none of the weeks printing as an ‘inside day’ suggesting volatility through the week. The weekly lows made during the week of 8th April and 15th April 2024 still has not been traded to and through, implying sluggish price action when delivering. This is not the...
Please refer to my monthly analysis for Cable as this is an extension of my weekly and partial intra-day projection. In regards to the daily timeframe, I expect minor relief rallies with the bearish order block being my last line of defence. In fact, it would be a perfect area to capitalise on shorts with a tight stop. 1.23623 weekly order block next in line. My...
Last week’s projection was short throughout the week and boyyy did we get shorts! Monday got the ball rolling with a bearish decline of -1.67% with all further retracements not fulfilling the open of Monday’s trading, insinuating that the bulls are loosing strength. To confirm this bias, we can clearly see on Friday that smart money tried to sweep buystops and...
My projection for this week was a bit late but nonetheless, bullish projections of lowest displacement fair value gap was the target and yields achieved it, topping out just before CE was met @ 4.696%. Shortly after, yields witnessed a sharp paintbrush retracement mid week and never closed out higher than the highs printed on Wednesday 17th April 2024. On...
After the selloff occurred on the week of the 8th of April 2024, we have witnessed rangebound price action below the recent weekly sellside liquidity located @ 1.06950 which is my first point of call for longs. If you were to study Cable and Euro, you will notice that Cable sold off whilst Euro held it's ground, creating intraday higher highs and higher lows...
The weekly internal liquidity has been made with buyside resting at $38637 and sellside printed at $37463 but the overall week has been rangebound. We can clearly see that there has been a fight at the daily liquidity void with candle bodies rejecting that zone. 38344 Fridays high is my first point of interest with 38410* being target 2. Last week Thursday's...
Similar to ES, NQ witnessed a massive sell off; close to 1000 handles meaning that if you had 1 contract running from last Thursday’s high and closed out at the bullish daily order block @ 1789.75, you would have booked close to $20,000. Many professional traders are trading with 5, 10, 15 contracts and yes, although taking profits is very important, I am sharing...
Capitulation begun from last Thursday and if you was short throughout the beginning of this week, you would be sure to have booked a healthy piece of that explosive movement. Not one day passed where ES printed bullish on the daily timeframe after last Thursday’s high @ 5257.50. Fridays bearish sell off was met by bullish resistance at the Jan 31 2024 daily...