Just for educational purpose trying this for the first time tomorrow AMEX:SPY possibilities ad drawn
... for a 30.31 debit. Comments: Decent 30-day IV at 34.0%, but I'm primarily looking to position myself to grab the June dividend. IV is skewed to the put side in this underlying, so the general go-to would be short put, but to grab the dividend, you have to be in stock. Because I want the extrinsic in the short call to exceed any dividend, I'm basically...
I was wrong in my idea last night that we were following a bat harmonic pattern in bear country. While I still see a pull back imminent, I note what I realize this morning, that this is not matching ANY harmonic pattern (AB and BC aren't aligning to the required .38 or .88 ratio)
The crossing of the 55 and 600 Day MA means a bullish change in small cap stocks. If large caps have strong earnings moving forward, I think small cap will follow and break this capitulation. From 175-190$ I will be buying for long term.
... for a 2.23 credit. Comments: A small engagement trade in the semiconductor ETF (31.5% 30-Day IV). Going somewhat wide here with the deltas, with the short option legs camped out at 16 delta on both sides. I generally like to collect one-third the width of the wings in credit for these, but am going a little more long-dated than usual, so want to give it...
... for a 39.64 debit. Comments: After taking off my 44 monied for a small profit, re-upping with a setup in the same expiry, but with a better break even. Selling the -75 call against a one lot of stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with built-in short call defense. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 39.64 Max Profit:...
... for a 43.00 debit. Comments: High IVR/IV at 52.7/38.7. Going monied here, buying a Johnny one lot and selling the -75 delta call against to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put to take advantage of elevated IV on the call side and to have built-in position defense via the short call. This is slightly shorter duration than I like to go (39...
... for an 80.91 debit. Comments: After taking off my August 88 monied for a small profit, re-upping in shorter duration, but with a better break even than what I had with the August 88. Selling the -75 delta call against a one lot of stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with built-in short call defense. My general goal here is to...
... for a 1.25 credit. Comments: Rolling out the short call aspect of my XBI covered call at ~50% max to the June expiry for a 1.25 credit. Cost basis now 85.94 (See Post Below) minus 1.25 or 84.69.
There is a strong break out which is a good sign of growing...
AMEX:SPY May 13, 2024 15 Minutes. Had a gap up on Friday. I sold into strength. I had a view of 522 levels with bias down as oscillator divergence. We can see the divergence more prominent now. Also, if you see in daily the rise is steep and 9 averages is around 512 and 21 around 508 levels. And in one hour chart we have the 522.63 bar having close near low...
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Macro Monday 46 Emerging Chart Trend in South America and Brazil Brazil is the largest economy in South America, followed by Argentina, Chile, Colombia, and Peru. These 5 countries together hold a huge 90% share of the South American economy. Today we will look at index charts for South America and Brazil to get an overall initial technical picture from...
QQQ was looking great on Friday morning, it finally managed to break out above its bear flag and a downtrend it had been in since April. Unfortunately for bulls, it quickly rejected after consumer sentiment was released. Having a fakeout like this will usually lead to a larger move in the opposite direction, but I need to see more confirmation. I'll be looking for...
SPY quickly broke out of its downtrend and even broke out above a bear flag that had been forming. We had a low volume week last week, but SPY closed strong, pushing all the way back up to $520. It's wild to look at where SPY is now considering what the market was like just a few weeks ago. Bears get squeezed once again. I have a lot of suspicions about this...
Energy does not look good right now. XLE+XOP has an inverse correlation to the gold/oil ratio. The two only move into neutral and positive correlations for brief periods before one of them changes direction. Additionally, when the gold/oil ratio crosses 30 we’ve seen energy prices begin to fall to more extreme lows. The technicals above indicate gold is...
i have posted recently was a little sloppy hopefully you take these dates into actiopn spread the word with your love ones we will take out 2020 lows similar to 07 crash look at my public profile for a better understanding