We are showing all the characteristics of wave 5. Wednesday/Thursday is always a wave down. I expect nothing different. Look for a possible rate hike from feds.
Resistance did not break - a new high was reached but a move down occurred shortly thereafter. There is still chance for the bears to fight back. Grasping for straws, in the end. Otherwise, we're melting straight up.
If we fail in breaking 2800 today, we might see a sub wave b of wave b tomorrow. Otherwise, it should be a straight shot into the 2814-2816 wall in which it should fail regardless. If we break through that resistance, we may see some ATH in the near future.
Continuing on my last one - this B wave will likely be in an ABC structure, sub-wave B of wave B should come in sometime tomorrow or Wednesday. Potential levels listed.
Wave counts, channels, etc on chart. Wave 5 extended, sub-waves counted. Estimated some potential ranges using length of wave 1 and wave 3-4 position. If you disagree with anything, feel free to leave something in the comments!
An alternate wave count. Since everyone and their mothers believe the SPY is dead set for the easiest short of their lifetimes, here's a contrarian view of the current situation. There is potential for another leg up beginning now as the ABC correction completes. Not seeing a clear target price yet, but it would be around 3000 or a new ATH in this view.
Approximating a crash date of March 5th when the median of the current channel meets the previous double top resistances. If the resistance breaks, all bets are off. Otherwise, this is in play. PT of at-least a .618 of the current wave. All indicators and analysis are begging for some kind of correction. An unrelated side note: I had an odd dream about going to...
All indicators are flashing. Everyone is throwing money into the flames. Volume is dropping, and so is the MFI. But most importantly - 2803 remains unbroken. If the market doesn't push through it by Monday, expect nothing less than what we've all been waiting for. The Big. Move. Down. Smart money has been dumping in small midday moves. Only algos and idiots...
Given the huge swings and volume spikes today, alongside the usual converging magic lines and alternate-alternate-alternate wave counts, tomorrow should be a gap down. MACD & EWO point towards this as well. But then again, the market might just resume towards 2800.
“Shoot for the moon. Even if you miss, you'll land among the stars.” In this case, we shoot for the stars and hope we land on the moon. 4x SPY $260 PUT - EXP 2/11/2019 - Entry @$0.25, 2/1/2019, exit @$.50 or above All it takes around 13 consecutive correct guesses. Easy. 3 weeks. Some legitimate moves will be made, but it will consist mostly of dumb and...
Nobody likes it when the market goes flat. Ambiguity kills both bulls and bears. We are amidst one last 4th sub-wave down, before an exhausted 5th into 270.50-271.00. Per wave count & resistances, I'm pinning this last 5th wave to end around Feb 4th. Coincides with fib timing. Planning keep this idea updated until the 4th.
To be clear: I have zero tolerance for anything in the lines of financial astrology bullshit , magic 8 ball readings, or other hullabaloo. This is simply a chart for my own viewing and the education of others on the lunar cycles matched with the market from 2018 to the present day. Red is the full moon, a "bottom" and green is the new moon, a "top", following...
"My problem is that I have been persecuted by a (ratio). For the last few months this (ratio) has followed me around, has intruded in my most private data, and has assaulted me from the pages of our most public journals. This (ratio) assumes a variety of disguises, being sometimes a little larger and sometimes a little smaller than usual, but never changing so...
As long as we don't overstep into wave 1 territory (white line, 259.85), this potential wave count remain valid. Wave 4 should be simple, as wave 2 was complex. Great time to load up or hedge positions.
2008 Scenario: New impulse wave down should start today and bottom out at 2330. Sideways bull up for a few months, crash later this year. Or: Impulse wave 5 begins today, and we crash right away. If we cross 2580/2600, throw everything out for now. Trade safe!
Last call for puts - SPY should not break 2580. Will either continue a complex correction or enter wave 5, but either way will not pass the two potential wave 1 lines of 2583 and 2602.
Wave 4 hit today, and wiped out a lot of people. Wave 4 will likely be a complex correction, as wave 2 was simple. Potential rally to 2514/2522 levels, but could be VERY stochastic afterwards. I'd advise waiting this one out, or playing further out. Wave 5 is on the way, and it should extend. Trade safe. It only gets scarier from here.