After last weeks -1.84% sell off into 104.522, it’s expected for price action to trade within a rangebound state, as accumulation needs to take place in order for the next draw of liquidity to be attacked. Although the majority of the week has been bullish, Thursday saw significant selling pressure, booking at the weekly EQ @ 105.212 before reacting to the upside...
It was tricky to outline bias for this week due to the in-alignment in price action between yields and bonds but with more price action printed for me to analyse, it’s a clearer picture for next weeks trading. Rangebound throughout the week with Monday and Wednesday being the days price action traded as a ‘inside day’, inside of a weekly fair value gap and macro...
Lows of 4.420% was printed this trading week with minimal draws to buyside liquidity as yields had been trading within the weekly fair value gap. Intraday-week market structure shift occurred during Thursdays US AM session before a minor retracement below consequent encroachment @ 4.458 ensued. This leaves buyside ripe for the takings and I’ve got my eyes on 4.549%.
Much more clearcut than Fibre. Short-term bears are to attack 1.07434 When will we see discounted prices?
Refer to my 'minds' in which I made a few bullish calls that went smoothly. Currently sitting on my hands at the moment.
I'd rather sit this one out completely! I want to see $2323 tested otherwise i am not interested
Looks more clearcut than the stock index markets with more of an incline to selloff into the 1.25020 - 1.25181 Narrative will be adjusted if I am to see candle body closure above 1.25639
Unlike ES and NQ, YM is not trading above it's respective highs which is $38,958 and barely closed in a premium indicating weakness. Sitting on my hands awaiting more information.
Similar to ES, there's as chance the bullish trend will continue towards the daily bearish order block but price is stuck between two HTF price zones which makes my judgement 50/50. Therefore I will sit on my hands and wait for more data to print.
With weekly buystops attacked inside of the upper quartile of the monthly bearish order block, further upside is possible, with the daily bearish order block not too far ahead. However, I need more data for me to make a judgement where price is most likely going to print to. Dollar higher will tip the scales
Extended selloff from 106.490 which is the weekly highs of the week with intraday high to lows equilibrium located @ 105.210 which is my first target. 105.415 is my second short term projection. Candlebody closure below 104.552 will negate my idea
Similar to yield, we have had a one sided approach in regards of price action with the weekly highs being made @ 116.18. My projection for short term bonds is 114.25 double bottom sweep., Short Sweet Simple
With predominantly bearish price action during the week, intraday sentiment is more shifted towards a continuation to the downside at this current time. Due to higher time frame narrative, I am looking out for a retracement to 4.563% hourly fair value gap. Candle body closure below 4.455% will negate the idea.
After a prolonged appreciation of price, last week Monday saw a gigantic sell off with little to no manipulation, closing below may pools of intraday sellside liquidity indicating that a minor retracement in comparison to the grand scheme of the bull trend is acceptable and further downside is likely, at least down to the daily bullish order block located @ 2306 -...
Slow and steady wins the race and it can be said that for the past 2 weeks, Euro has been in a buy programme, creating minimal fair value gaps before booking @ the weekly bearish order block. But on closer inspection, when Euro retraced up into the weekly order block, the median threshold @ 1.08586 failed to break nor test which gives me the suggestion that the...
Starting off with a topdown perspective of Cable and we can see that the sellside imbalance buyside inefficiency has been balanced with todays price action but the weekly order block located @ 1.26479, although partially rebalanced, there’s a chance price action could be repriced to and through the order block but that also means that dollar will need to continue...
In comparison with ES and NQ, YM has been more disciplined in terms of following market order flow as there are few liquidity gaps present and the ones that are present (such as the one I outlined last week @ 38238 - 38150 was respected going into last weeks trading. I must note that Thursdays sell off through the newfound liquidity void has meant that smart...
Similar to ES, NQ has been relatively choppy throughout the last trading week with liquidity voids popping up in the daily timeframe from Tuesday going into Wednesday, Wednesday going into Thursday and Thursday going into Friday with even a bit of a void in Mondays opening compared to Fridays Close. In relation to running buystops, NQ has not dealt that much...