Gasoline (RB1!) has been on a strong Bearish Leg ever since the April 12 High, which is a Lower High for the 2-year Channel Down, and even broke below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Having already touched the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, we expect a medium-term rebound, similar to the one on May 04 2023. The rally not only hit and broke above the 1D MA50...
WTI Oil (USOIL) hit the bottom of the 2-month Channel Down and is consolidating since yesterday. This prompts to being a technical Lower Low for the pattern and the buy signal gets even stronger as the 1D RSI broke below the oversold barrier for the first time in 6 months (since December 06 2023). The 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) provided the last rejection...
Palladium (XPDUSD) gave us the most optimal sell entry on our March 15 (see chart below) sell signal: Now however it is time to take profit on that trade before the projected Target as the 1D RSI Double Bottomed, while the price is on Lower Lows. Even though this isn't a direct Bullish Divergence, when RSI Double Bottoms were formed along price Lower Lows,...
Straight and plain success of our previous Platinum (XPTUSD) signal (April 24, see chart below), where we caught the exact Bullish Megaphone bottom and hit directly our 1060 Target: The price could now enter a consolidation phase, the last accumulation, similar to November 15 - December 15 2022, when after it touched the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), it rallied...
Gold (XAUUSD) broke below the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) and is forming today the first 4H Death Cross since January 12. As we mentioned on our previous analysis, we expect the yellow metal to trade sideways on the medium-term and that involves the price testing the May 03 Low on a potential contact with the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). This will be a mirror trade...
Last time we looked at Copper (HG1!), we established our long-term strategy (April 19, see chart below), which involves a new Bull Cycle, through a Channel Up pattern similar to 2020 - 2021: So far the plan goes flawlessly, as the price hit the top of the (green) Channel Up and is now pulling back. The 1W MA50 is about to complete a Golden Cross with the 1W...
Natural Gas (NG!) hit last week the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the long-term Falling Wedge pattern that started on the April 10 2023 Low and was immediately rejected back to the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). As long as it holds, this rejection indicates that technically, the new Bearish Leg should start. Our Target is 1.550 (just above Support 1). If however...
Silver (XAGUSD) couldn't have gone better on our last signal we gave (April 17, see chart below) as it did give us the pull-back inside Resistance Zone 1 that we wanted in order to buy and immediately rallied to the top of the Channel Up to hit our 32.00 Target: Since the break-out, the metal entered a more aggressive Diverging Channel Up (blue), which after...
WTI Oil (USOIL) has been consolidating within the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 1W MA200 (red trend-line) for a full month. We have previously seen the same king of consolidation in mid-2023 and then November 2023 - January 2024. On both occasions, the price then entered a medium-term Channel Up. Also on all occasions, the 1D RSI was on Higher Lows, while...
Gold (XAUUSD) is seeing strong selling this week following Monday's High, which was also an All Time High (ATH). The rejection took place very close to the Higher Highs trend-line that started back in early 2023. So far this is just a technical pull-back to test the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since February 29, and not a stronger correction....
Gold (XAUUSD) is trading within a short-term Channel Up pattern since the May 03 Low, essentially throughout the whole month, and currently the price is consolidating below the 1H MA50 (blue trend-line). Such consolidation within the 1H MA50 and the 1H MA100 (green trend-line) took place on every single Higher Low formation at the bottom of the Channel Up. At the...
WTI Oil (USOIL) eventually did give us the bearish break-out trade as per our last outlook (April 29, see chart below) following the first 4H Death Cross in 7 months and easily hit our 78.00 Target: As you can see, the expected Channel Down was formed and the price has been consolidating on the Higher Lows trend-line and the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for 8...
Gold (XAUUSD) is being rejected since Friday right at the top of the emerging Channel Down and that is a Lower High. Even though Gold has officially started a new long-term Bull Cycle, it doesn't mean that the market won't deliver medium-term corrections that are technically much needed in order to get the trend going. Quite the contrary, the current Bullish...
WTI Oil (USOIL) gave us an excellent sell signal last week (April 29, see chart below) following the first 4H Death Cross since October 10 2023, which easily hit our Target: We now need to look at the longer-term time-frames for clues on the direction as short-term it turned bearish. Looking at the 1D time-frame though, we can clearly see that WTI is on a...
Gold (XAUUSD) completed on Friday the 2nd straight red 1W (weekly) candle for the first time since mid February. That was when the enormous 9 week rally started that only had to show 1 red week. Even though the long-term pattern is a Bullish Megaphone, the bad news for Gold is that this correction may be far from over and the US10Y (orange trend-line) makes a good...
We expand on our April 15 idea (see chart below) on Gold (XAUUSD), where we discussed the 'necessity' for a medium-term technical pull-back based on its 5-year Cycles: As you can see that correction happened and the new Bearish Leg of the long-term Bullish Megaphone is well underway. The price got rejected both yesterday and on Friday on the 4H MA50 (blue...
WTI Oil (USOIL) made a solid (Higher) Low at the bottom of the Channel Up pattern and started rising as we discussed on our previous idea (April 22, see chart below): We now need to take it a time-frame lower to 4H as on Friday the market formed the first 4H Death Cross (4H MA50 crossing below the 4H MA200) in almost 7 months (since October 10 2023). This has...
Gold time frame 4 hours According to our analysis, we expect the price to reach our range and wait for the price reaction from there. In the 4-hour time frame, the trend has changed, so short trades have a higher percentage of profit than long trades. It is better to enter short trades to reach a strong demand range.