CHF/JPY BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are going long on the CHF/JPY with the target of 168.925 level, because the pair is oversold and will soon hit the support line below. We deduced the oversold condition from the price being near to the lower BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is red and gives us a counter-signal.
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Forecast
GBP/AUD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
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GBP/AUD is making a bullish rebound on the 1D TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 1.922 level.
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GBP/CHF SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
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GBP/CHF pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously rising on the 1H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.108 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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ETH still on liquidity zone we need volume & Buying Pressure ! Ethereum is still in a bearish market. It had a very small upward movement, lasting maybe 2 or 3 days, but it continues to show an overall bearish trend.
The only thing I can detect here is that we are still in a liquidity zone. However, there hasn't been enough volume for Bitcoin to gain strength and break the bearish channel.
That’s the key! ETH needs to break the resistance of the bearish channel, but it's still in the liquidity zone. Let’s hope to see candles with buying pressure this week, as this would indicate that ETH is ready to take off. But for now, it's just a matter of watching its movement.
Best regards.
Nvidia made a sudden turn, showing us a very important key zone! The price has shown a turn exactly in our GAP area, and this is where it gets interesting because this turn gave much more validation to our GAP area by bouncing precisely off of it. From here on, the bearish sequence has, for the first time, been incomplete due to the swing-turn that occurred before reaching support on our point #4.
The question is: is this the moment when the price will break the resistance of our channel? Time will tell, but for now, we've identified a new zone where there is greater buying pressure, and it's exactly the same zone we've been studying for several weeks.
If you've been following this analysis for weeks or months, you'll notice that everything is unfolding according to our price action and institutional analysis.
From here on, we just need to wait for the breakout, and remember, this time it could be different since we're in very important months where the elections heavily influence price behavior.
Best regards, and thank you for supporting my analysis.
EURUSD: Bearish Forecast & Bearish Scenario
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURUSD pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
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NAS100 Is Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for NAS100.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 19,484.5.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 19,918.5.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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USDCAD Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.358.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.355 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBP/NZD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
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It makes sense for us to go short on GBP/NZD right now from the resistance line above with the target of 2.097 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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GBP/JPY BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
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Bullish trend on GBP/JPY, defined by the green colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is oversold based on the BB lower band proximity, makes me expect a bullish rebound from the support line below and a retest of the local target above at 192.547.
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USOIL: Expecting Bearish Movement! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the USOIL pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
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USOIL Is Going Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 68.33.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 71.84 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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EURCAD Will Fall! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURCAD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.503.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.498 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GBPCAD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPCAD.
Time Frame: 15m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.783.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.780 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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BITCOIN Will Go Up! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 58,303.48.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 59,388.57.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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VIX BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
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VIX downtrend evident from the last 1W red candle makes longs trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 22.04 area still presents a good opportunity for us to buy the pair because the support line is nearby and the BB lower band is close which indicates the oversold state of the VIX pair.
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EUR/CHF BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
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EUR/CHF pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is evidently rising on the 12H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.931 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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EUR/NZD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/NZD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.793 area.
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EUR/USD Forecasting: A Complex TaskEUR/USD Forecasting: A Complex Task
Forecasting the EUR/USD exchange rate is a challenging endeavor due to numerous factors influencing its movement. These include economic indicators from both the Eurozone and the United States, geopolitical events, central bank policies, market sentiment, and technical analysis.
Key Factors to Consider:
Economic Indicators:
Interest Rate Differentials: The relative interest rates between the Eurozone and the United States can significantly impact currency exchange rates. Higher interest rates typically attract capital, leading to a stronger currency.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP): Economic growth rates in both regions can influence currency values. A stronger economy often leads to a stronger currency.
Inflation: Higher inflation can weaken a currency as it reduces the purchasing power of domestic goods and services.
Trade Balances: A trade deficit (importing more than exporting) can put downward pressure on a currency, while a trade surplus can strengthen it.
Central Bank Policies:
Monetary Policy: The actions of the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) can have a profound impact on exchange rates. Interest rate changes, quantitative easing, and other policy measures can influence capital flows and currency values.
Geopolitical Events:
Political Instability: Political turmoil or uncertainty in either region can lead to currency volatility.
Trade Wars: Trade disputes or tariffs can disrupt global trade and affect exchange rates.
Market Sentiment:
Risk Appetite: Investor sentiment can influence currency markets. During periods of risk aversion, investors may favor safe-haven currencies like the US dollar.
Forecasting Methods:
Fundamental Analysis: This involves analyzing economic indicators, central bank policies, and geopolitical events to assess the underlying value of a currency.
Technical Analysis: This method uses historical price data and charts to identify patterns and trends that may predict future price movements.
Quantitative Analysis: This approach employs statistical models and algorithms to analyze large datasets and identify correlations between variables that may influence exchange rates.
It's important to note that no forecasting method is foolproof. Currency markets are highly volatile, and unexpected events can significantly impact exchange rates. A combination of fundamental, technical, and quantitative analysis can provide a more comprehensive understanding of market dynamics.
DXY Will Go Lower! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 101.006.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 99.601 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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