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E-mini Nasdaq-100 Futures (Sep 2025)EE

E-mini Nasdaq-100 Futures (Sep 2025)

23,224.25USDD
−26.75−0.12%
At close at Jul 18, 20:59 GMT
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NQU2025 trade ideas

US–Iran Conflict Triggers a Potential Nasdaq Bearish Setup🟣 Geopolitical Flashpoint Meets Technical Confluence The U.S. weekend airstrike on Iranian nuclear facilities has reignited geopolitical instability across the Middle East. While broader markets often absorb news cycles quickly, high-beta assets like Nasdaq futures (NQ) tend to react more dramatically—especially when uncertainty meets existing technical vulnerability. Monday’s session opened with a notable gap to the downside, reflecting immediate risk-off sentiment among futures traders. While the initial drop is being retraced intraday, historical patterns suggest that such gap-fills can often serve as ideal shorting zones—particularly when other bearish signals confirm the narrative. The backdrop is clear: this is no ordinary Monday open. 🟣 Bearish Divergence on CCI Builds the Case From a technical standpoint, the setup gains weight through a clear bearish divergence on the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) using a 20-period setting. While prices recently pushed higher, momentum failed to follow—an early indication that buyers may be running out of steam. This divergence appears just as price approaches the origin of Friday’s gap, a level that frequently acts as a resistance magnet in such contexts. This confluence of weakening momentum and overhead supply aligns perfectly with the geopolitical catalyst, offering traders a compelling argument for a potential reversal in the short term. 🟣 Gap Origin: The Line in the Sand The origin of the gap sits at 21844.75, a price level now acting as potential resistance. As the market attempts to climb back toward this zone, the likelihood of encountering institutional selling pressure increases. Gap origins often represent unfinished business—zones where prior bullish control was suddenly interrupted. In this case, the added layer of global tension only strengthens the conviction that sellers may look to reassert dominance here. If price action stalls or rejects at this zone, it could become the pivot point for a swift move lower, especially with bearish momentum already flashing caution signals. 🟣 Trade Plan and Reward-to-Risk Breakdown A potential short trade could be structured using 21844.75 as the entry point—precisely at the gap origin. A conservative stop placement would rest just above the most recent swing high at 22222.00, offering protection against a temporary squeeze. The downside target aligns with a prior UFO support area near 20288.75, where demand previously showed presence. This sets up a risk of 377.25 points versus a potential reward of 1556.00 points, resulting in a reward-to-risk ratio of 4.12:1. For traders seeking asymmetrical opportunity, this ratio stands out as a strong incentive to engage with discipline. 🟣 Futures Specs: Know What You’re Trading Traders should be aware of contract specifics before engaging. The E-mini Nasdaq-100 Futures (NQ) represent $20 per point, with a minimum tick of 0.25 worth $5.00. Typical margin requirements hover around $31,000, depending on the broker. For smaller accounts, the Micro Nasdaq-100 Futures (MNQ) offer 1/10th the exposure. Each point is worth $2, with a $0.50 tick value and much lower margins near $3,100. 🟣 Discipline First: Why Risk Management Matters Volatility driven by geopolitical events can deliver fast gains—but just as easily, fast losses. That’s why stop-loss orders are non-negotiable. Without one, traders expose themselves to unlimited downside, especially in leveraged instruments like futures. Equally critical is the precision of entry and exit levels. Acting too early or too late—even by a few points—can compromise an otherwise solid trade. Always size positions according to your account, and never let emotion override logic. Risk management isn’t a side-note—it’s the foundation that separates professionals from those who simply speculate. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CEducation
by traddictiv
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/23/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 21787.00 - PR Low: 21566.75 - NZ Spread: 491.75 Key scheduled economic events: 09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - S&P Global Services PMI 10:00 | Existing Home Sales Open weekend gap down ~0.33% Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 6/23) - Session Open ATR: 382.81 - Volume: 38K - Open Int: 234K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -4.8% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22096 - Mid: 20383 - Short: 19246 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
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by mv3trader5
FED Day: NQ Futures planCME_MINI:NQ1! Today is FOMC day; however, there is a larger geopolitical risk looming, along with the trade war and tariffs situation unfolding. Recently, we have noted inflation moving lower, although it is not yet at the FED’s 2% target. Retail sales fell sharply last month. Tariffs have not yet resulted in inflation so far, partly due to the 90-day pause, and with possible extensions, some deals agreed upon, and a framework for others in place, tariff uncertainty has considerably reduced. On the contrary, lower energy prices that supported lower inflation have risen due to ongoing geopolitical issues. Risks remain high for elevated energy prices even if supply and sea routes remain unharmed. In our view, this is due to the fragility of the situation and what it would take to turn the ongoing war into the worst possible outcome. The FED releases their Summary of Economic Projections. Key data points will be inflation and growth projections, along with interest rate projections and any talks about neutral rates and expected cuts, given the bleak global outlook and growth. The FED is otherwise expected to hold rates steady in this meeting. Given this, and what Chair Powell says in the FOMC press conference, their commitment towards driving inflation lower versus maximum employment, risks on the growth and employment side have started to worsen. If rate cut bets are moved forward or if markets price in more rate cuts than currently priced in, we may see equity index futures make further gains. NQ futures are coiling; the yearly VPOC has shifted higher, as we explained in our previous analysis. Today’s meeting may be key for further fuel higher or lower, depending on how it pans out. Market participants are in a wait and see mode. Markets are accepting higher prices and break of balance is key to determine the direction price may be headed in. Until otherwise proven, markets are range bound and mean reverting from June Composite Volume Profile towards monthly VWAP and VPOC.
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by EdgeClear
Weekly Market Forecast: Wait To Buy S&P, NAS, & OIL!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of June 22-28th. The tensions in the Middle East take center stage, as Iran has signaled they are willing to discuss limitations on there Uranium enrichment program. This could allow outflows from safe havens and inflows to risk assets. Keep and eye on Silver for shorts, in the near term, though. Let's see if the market tilts its hand early next week. Monday should bring clarity. Wait for confirmations before entering trades. A break of structure would be ideal! Enter on the pullback to that structure point. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
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by RT_Money
NQ Update 6.22.25NQ is currently sitting monthly and weekly supply zones. On the weekly chart, price has consolidated upward but has mostly rejected every push into ATHs. Note that there are still two untested highs with volumes of 2.336M and 3.392M sitting above. The last time price touched these points there was a 26.60% drawdown on SPY. Indicating lots of liquidity that could still be tapped before making a big move down, IF price decides to drop from here. In addition to these bearish indicators, price is testing a monthly and weekly downtrend line while creating a head n shoulders pattern. Which could also be signaling a rejection of price. Despite what I am seeing, I will treat price as if it is still bullish until market structure indicates otherwise. On the daily timeframe, price can be seen to be clearing trending into a rising wedge. This chart pattern is known to be a bearish pattern but it can also signal a breakout continuation which is why it is important to wait for confirmation and never assume direction. With price holding and sitting at the uptrend and downtrend on the LTFs, as well as 21,816 being a key area that price seems to be consolidated around. I will wait for price to break consolidation and choose a side before placing any trade on NQ. If you MUST place a trade, do not place a trade until price moves above or below 21,922 and 21,775, respectively.
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by Stockstradamus_
#202525 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq e-mini futuresGood Day and I hope you are well. comment: Full bear mode. Below 21600 we see 21000 come real fast and bulls can kiss 22000+ goodbye for months or years. Market has not found enough buyers above 22000 for a month and we not got another potential huge risk-off event which will likely be too much for big institutions to ignore. Print above 22000/22100 means I am wrong. Last week my bearish thesis was that we go down from last Friday but since market did not touch the daily ema for so long, we got another week sideways. Now bears got help from orange face and I can not see them coming back from this as well. current market cycle: trading range - daily close below 21500 confirms my thesis key levels for next week: 20900 - 21800 bull case: Still no close below daily ema but markets failed to print higher highs for 2 weeks now. If we gap down and print below 21500, you can not hold long on hope. Got nothing for the bulls unless they print above 22000 again and even then we can only expect sideways. Invalidation is below 21500 bear case: I have laid out my bear case for the markets enough by now. I see a move below 21500 as confirmation and especially a daily close below. 21000 is the next obvious target before we can expect a pullback. 20400ish would be my next target below since that is the big bull gap close. Invalidation is above 22000/22100 short term: Full bear mode. Expecting a big futures gap down on open and a daily close below 21500 if not 21000, which would mean we are in W1 which could be a spike and then only move sideways before W3 comes around. I have drawn a probably path down over the next weeks. medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-22: Daily close below 21500 is my validation for the new bear trend which has the first bigger target at 21000 but I think we will printed below 20000 again this year. Structure is obviously not yet bearish, so don’t be early if you want confirmation and can’t/won’t scale in to shorts higher. Getting into longer term shorts above 21500 seems like the banger trade right now.
CShort
by priceactiontds
Automated Execution: TradingView Alerts → Tradovate using AWS LaI’ve built a fully automated pipeline that takes live TradingView alerts and turns them into real orders in Tradovate. Here’s how it works, step by step (I will provide a video on it): PineScript Alerts My indicator/strategy in TradingView fires alert() with a JSON payload (symbol, side, qty, price, ATR, ENV). Webhook to AWS Alerts hit an API Gateway endpoint in AWS, invoking a Lambda function. Lambda Processing Parse the JSON from TradingView. Calculate Stop‐Loss & Take‐Profit using ATR. Authenticate to the Tradovate API (demo & live environments). Place an OCO order (placeOSO) with proper bracket legs. Send a confirmation message to my Telegram channel. Tradovate REST API Auth: POST /auth/accesstokenrequest → accessToken List accounts: GET /account/list → find accountId Place OCO: POST /order/placeOSO with entry, SL, TP Testing & Monitoring Local smoke tests of Telegram bot. Lambda console test events for sample payloads. CloudWatch logs for debugging & alerts on errors. Why it matters: Zero manual steps from signal to fill. Consistent risk management via ATR‐based SL/TP. Clear audit trail: logs in AWS + Telegram notifications. Educational resource for anyone building similar setups Feel free to ask questions or suggest improvements! Please leave comments.
CEducation
by QuantByBoji
6
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/20/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 21930.25 - PR Low: 21745.75 - NZ Spread: 412.0 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index Session Open Stats (As of 1:05 AM 6/20) - Session Open ATR: 377.21 - Volume: 155K - Open Int: 230K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -4.2% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22096 - Mid: 20383 - Short: 19246 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
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by mv3trader5
NQ2025 – Clean Liquidity Sweep & OB Rejection Leads to Trend ConDescription (for the Idea post): NASDAQ Futures (NQ2025) - June 19th Setup Breakdown Market showed textbook Smart Money behavior today. 🔹 Key Highlights: Price swept the Saturday Low and Wednesday Low, triggering sell-side liquidity. Reaction from an old Order Block + Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone near 21,780. Market Structure Break confirmed the bearish bias. Retest of OB/FVG zone provided a clean low-risk entry. Targets were cleanly delivered into 21,678 and beyond. 🔹 Confluences: ✅ Liquidity Sweep ✅ OB + FVG Rejection ✅ Volume Spike & BOS ✅ Trend aligned with overall bearish bias 📌 Plan Going Forward: I’m watching for retracements to prior support-turned-resistance (21,740–21,780) for potential continuation plays. Will stay bearish unless a CHoCH above 21,800 with volume and bullish structure forms. Comment below with how you traded this setup or how you're managing it!
CShort
by PM_TAE
2
Trade Idea: Nasdaq Q2 Premium Rejection | Mother of HTFNQ is showing early signs of macro exhaustion after rallying deep into Q2 premium territory and failing to hold above it. A key swing high was formed on June 13, in perfect confluence with: 🔻 Q2 0.75 level 🟥 Quarterly Premium Zone 📉 Bond market divergence (ZB1! failed to confirm ZF1!/ZN1! strength) 🗣️ (Not a bond expert, just observing behavior) This type of confluence has historically preceded liquidity draws back to EQ or even discount levels. 📐 Levels I’m Watching Q1 Mid (~20,975): Strong magnet if we break lower Q2 EQ (~19,975): Next likely draw if structure shifts MOOD (~21,460): Holding above this pauses deeper sell bias Q2 Premium Zone (22,300–22,500): Rejection zone and CPI swing high (June 11-13) Discount Block (18,300–17,500): Long-term liquidity void if momentum builds ❌ Invalidation NQ reclaims and holds above 22,300–22,500 ⚠️ Disclaimer This is NOT financial advice. All content shared is speculative and intended for educational or entertainment purposes only. Futures trading carries significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial professional before making trading decisions.
CShort
by Yvan_WWFX