Homocryptus

Homocryptus Apr 11

We either going to front run (red scenario) or go for a last crash end of Q2 then up only until the end of the year/beginning of Q1 2026. Then down until the end of the decade.

Homocryptus Updated  Apr 9

A quick simple prediction based on my previous models. let's see.

Homocryptus Updated  Apr 9

I think we are completing a bearish trend for TAO. We will have a final wick at <100$ in the next 2-3 months and huge blow off top

Homocryptus Updated  Apr 9

Let's see some boring predictions here based on range trading and Fib extensions...lazy

Homocryptus Updated  Apr 7

I think we may go to retest the 0.75 level by the end of May, then blow off top very fast in Q4 to high 6000/low 7000. Then I think we gonna go slowly down <1000 until the end of this decade. Mini bear market-> Fed will panic-pivot end of Q2 -> Final Blowoff top Q3/Q4-> Mega Recession

Homocryptus Updated  Mar 5

Let's navigate through the positive scenario of alt3.

Homocryptus Updated  Mar 5

This model is in line with my previous work. I'm expecting between 77k and 110k (less probable). This is 2017 but accelerated. It's going twice the speed but we will see decreasing returns. Alts-->Higher

Homocryptus Updated  Mar 8, 2024

I don't know if we are gonna reject or fly above (light grey). What i know is that, once btc truly bounces after the first top (77-110k range), alts are going to do x5-x10 in 1 month.

Homocryptus Updated  Feb 28, 2024

Look, it's easy. People want tge grey scenario (super low, up, down) ---> 5% chance. People want the black scenario (double high) --> 60% chance People want the blue scenario (higher high) --> 35% chance So.. My strategy is to sell 75% of my alts value once Ethereum touches the high, goes down and bumps back. I will keep 25% in case we see an extra melt-up...

Homocryptus Updated  Feb 28, 2024

Here's a simple range vision for the next 10 years of bitcoin dominance.

Homocryptus Updated  Jan 25, 2024

In 2022 I started building a btc model that was based on 3 theses: - the peak of the first wave of inflation is here - btc is following a s/hyperbolic adoption curve (we are approaching the flat part) - btc is following a 3x3 time-based phase model Based on this model, I was expecting a price between 2023 and 2024 of 54-77k.

Homocryptus Updated  Jan 19, 2024

I would consider something like this. Dump Slow pump in the 52-54k area. That means, alt season part 2 could start again in Mid feb and end mid Aug/beginning of Sept (for some alts). Let's see.

Homocryptus Updated  Jan 16, 2024

Nothing to say. Bullish. Phase D. Next ---> Phase E

Homocryptus Updated  Jan 16, 2024

Nothing to say. Bullish. Phase D. Next ---> Phase E

Homocryptus Updated  Jan 15, 2024

I still believe there is a chance to see BTC at 70k in 2023 before a second inflationary period in 2023-2024 that will drive BTC down again. This is in line with one of my melt-up scenarios I posted in 2021.

Homocryptus Updated  Jan 13, 2024

Let's navigate through the positive scenario of eth.

Homocryptus Updated  Jan 13, 2024

I still believe there is a chance to see BTC at 70k in 2023 before a second inflationary period in 2023-2024 that will drive BTC down again. This is in line with one of my melt-up scenarios I posted in 2021.

Homocryptus Jan 13, 2024

I truly think we are going to end this cycle in Q3 2024 (max early early Q4). Hilo is something I'm watching together with other mid caps coins (under 1B) or low cap coins (under 100m).