Looking at a re-entry on this pullback. Spar Group: BUY IDEA - Inverted Hammer Candle + Test of 0.618% Fibonacci Retracement Level. Buy/Long Pivot with trigger/confirmation level of 16897c. LAST = 16666c LONG PIVOT = 16897c STOP-LOSS = 16567c TARGET = 17400c
When managing your own money or that of clients, I'm sure there must be no better feeling than seeing a position continue to advance week after week, month after month. If you know me, you'd know that there isn't a more important question I'd ask than what your time horizon is. Over the last few years, it feels as if nearly every conversation has either started,...
The attached chart is an extract from today's report which includes: 1. US Market Snapshot - As At Friday's Close: Sectors, Fixed Income, Factors, Yields and More 2. Top of the Week - Analyst Thoughts 3. Leaders & Laggards 4. Pre-market thoughts 5. All Country World Equity Index (ACWI) 6. S&P 500 Futures 7. Credit Spreads 8. JSE Platinum & Precious Metals...
The stop-loss on my idea has been breached. Similar to my last sell call on Brent Crude o 18 October. Hit the stop before consolidating and then falling sharply. Maybe the same? Let's see. Original idea attached.
Time Frame: Ultra short Term - looking for a reversion to the mean. - Has retraced more than 0.618% of it's recent upward move, from upper boundary of Bollinger Band to below the mean. - 5-day performance gap has widened, with NTC underperforming LHC (-6.98% vs 0.13%). - The 5-day correlation is negative vs a 0.69% correlation over 21 days and a 70% correlation...
Time Frame: Actually, quite short term - looking for a quick reversion to the mean and narrowing of the performance gap. - Trading at lower boundary of 40-day 2 standard deviation Bollinger Band (BB) - 5-day performance gap is wide as it sees GFI lower by 4.23% while HAR is lower by a larger 12.61% - 250-day correlation above 80% Suggested Trading Levels: -...
This trade idea has been published on our client platform, in real-time, at 07:28am on the morning of Thursday 27 January 2022 at a level of $89.22. To receive ideas/insights in real-time, or if you're considering an alternative trading services provider, get in touch with me today. TRADE IDEA: SELL Brent Crude Oil ENTRY RANGE: $89.22 or...
During the last quarter of 2021, my only offshore pairs trade idea was Long Micron Tech(MU)/Short Advanced Micro Devices (AMD). Since then (Monday, 15 November 2021) the performance has been as follows: MU/AMD +38% Nasdaq Composite: -14% Pair Outperformance vs Nasdaq Composite: +52% In a market that's down, considering a pairs strategy reduces the need to...
Update: AstraZeneca. Stop-Loss Breached Original idea attached.
This morning I mentioned to you that I only have 1 LOCAL pair (market neutral) idea as part of my research report. That idea, published at 07:02am (before the SSW SENS) was a buy/long on AMS vs a short/sell on SSW. Original slide attached on the left. As noted: "In terms of single stocks, one of my ideas is a local pairs (market neutral) trade idea from the...
The following content is an extract from this morning's client research. In terms of single stocks, one of my ideas is a local pairs (market neutral) trade idea from the commodities/mining sector. For more insights and real-time ideas, or if you are considering an alternative trading services provider get in touch today. Another chart/insight published to...
Previously, I suggested closing the idea for a decent ultra short term gain. As you'll note on the daily chart, the pair (Long SSW/Short IMP) kept running to trade just below the 0.26 ratio target price. Original idea and updates attached. At Friday's high, the gain was +13.8% over 3 1/2 weeks. A pair's purpose is meant to be two-fold: 1. Hedge - taking...
BAW - Not triggering as yet. In fact, acting quite the opposite of what I expected. No Trigger = No Trade. Original idea attached.
One of the items published to the client platform this morning. For more real time insights and trade ideas, or if you are considering an alternative trading service provider, get in touch today. Long Pivot: Barloworld -Getting Ready If Level Is Triggered. Levels On Chart. Instructions Below: Key Trading Levels For Buy/Long Side Continuation The highlighted...
The structure highlighted on 22-November now playing out. Original idea attached. As noted at the time: Gold Fields ( GFI ) - Short Term Potential To Repeat Price Structure As It Nears Overhead Resistance - Following it's short term surge, price trades near the overhead resistance and swing highs seen during May and June. - Overhead resistance is yet to be...
One of the items published to our client platform earlier this morning: Trading QuickTake: The share has developed a rounding formation since Q1 20201. UK economic data improving which would be positive for the domestic economy. Long bias on a close above 3800c. Stop: 3560c. Medium Term View. For more real-time insights and ideas, or if you are considering...
One of the items I'll be including for my client/desk research for tomorrow: iShares U.S. Oil Equipment & Services ETF (Last: $15.72) With oil majors in a much better position compared to prior years, we could see the suppliers to these majors start to be benefit as capex potentially rises. You could look at it as a "during a gold rush, sell shovels" type of...
Sometimes you just have to get in, doing nothing and go along for the ride... The FTSE 100 hitting 7600, nearly 500 points up from my 31-Aug comment: "Don't Short The FTSE 100" (Original idea attached). Last week on the client platform, we also looked at the iShares MSCI UK ETF (EWU) which is breaking up. For more real-time insights and ideas, get in touch today.