U.S. equities are facing a significantly more challenging landscape than initially anticipated with the arrival of Donald Trump's new administration in 2025. Contrary to some initial expectations, which foresaw a favorable environment for stock market growth driven by lower regulations and a more lenient tax policy, markets are experiencing strong bearish...
In a previous post on February 19th, we highlighted 2 ways to gauge the extent of a dip in the price of a particular instrument, after a phase of upside strength. This post outlined concepts related to relatively limited and shallow corrections in price, such as those where prices are moving back down to old highs, or a 10-day moving average. You can find this...
Bitcoin continues to hover around $90,000, amid a backdrop of high volatility driven by international trade uncertainties. The recent imposition of tariffs by the United States on Mexico, Canada, and China has increased market caution, with investors maintaining a defensive stance toward risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
This week, Bitcoin-focused ETFs saw...
The price of gold has once again demonstrated its strength by breaking past the $2,900 per ounce mark, reflecting a 0.6% gain in the session and a 1.8% increase for the week. This renewed upward momentum is largely tied to the unstable geopolitical environment and trade tensions, which have driven demand for safe-haven assets, solidifying gold as one of the...
The recent imposition of 25% tariffs by the United States against Mexico has generated significant pressure on the Mexican peso, which today has reached levels above 20.8 per dollar, marking yet another notable depreciation in 2025. This up to 1.5% increase at its daily high in the exchange rate reflects the uncertainty surrounding Mexico’s economic and trade...
In a previous post on Oil from December 9th (please take a look at our timeline for details) we highlighted that prices were back to an interesting level on the chart. Tests of an uptrend, which had been forming since the September 10th low at 65.63, were being seen as a sideways range in price developed.
It was suggested at the time that traders may be watching...
The trading week kicks off with strong optimism in major global indices, with the DAX 40 in Frankfurt reaching a new record, rising over 3% and surpassing the 22,300-point mark. This outstanding performance is backed by investment fund prospects focused on defense and infrastructure projects, for which a plan worth nearly one trillion euros is under discussion....
The US 500 bounced 1.4% from its January 2025 lows on Friday, ensuring a volatile week of trading finished on a slightly more positive note than may have been the case earlier in the day. However, the strength of this rally is likely to be put through a stern test in the week ahead. Why?
The week is packed full of risk events, including key US economic data, in...
Gold posted a new record high on Monday at 2956 as a period of risk aversion supported by a series of weaker US economic data releases but led by a sell off in technology stocks, that started on Friday, continued to dominate the markets attention. However, roll forward another 48 hours and Gold prices have just traded at a 2 week low of 2880.
What’s interesting...
US equity markets are starting to show some strain. On Monday, the US Tech 100 dropped 1.2%, bringing the decline since Friday to around 3.5%. The main catalyst seemed to be a reduction in long positioning in some key Magnificent Seven stocks ahead of AI bellwether Nvidia’s quarterly earnings update that is due out after the market close on Wednesday.
These...
EURUSD has traded as high as 1.0528 overnight after the Conservatives, led by Friedrich Merz won the German election.
Whether this move is capable of becoming something more than a relief rally response is likely to be determined by a number of factors, some of which are specific to Germany, including how quickly a new government can be formed, their approach to...
Volatility in the oil market has intensified during the week’s close, with crude futures registering significant declines that practically erase the accumulated gains of the week. West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the U.S. benchmark, experienced a near 2.2% drop, driven mainly by geopolitical factors and supply data that have surprised to the downside. In particular,...
Bitcoin extends its bullish momentum, supported by increased risk appetite in the cryptocurrency sector, marking three consecutive sessions of gains and heading towards a positive weekly close after three weeks under pressure. Currently, it is trading around $99,000, reinforcing the perception that, despite recent volatility, investors still maintain support and...
In some ways it was no surprise to see the Germany 40 index fall 1.8% yesterday, which was its biggest drop for well over 2 months. After all it has been quite a rally to start the year and there had to be some profit taking at some stage, surely!
The rally has seen multiple record all-time highs hit, supported by an improving earnings backdrop, hopes of a peace...
Trading markets should be simple right? Establish the direction of a price trend, take a position in the direction of that trend and enjoy the ride!
Of course, in practice, we all know trading is never that easy. All traders go through similar anxieties regarding whether the current level is the correct one to trade.
Perhaps one of the hardest challenges if you...
Gold remains at the center of attention as one of the most attractive safe-haven assets, extending its bullish rally for the second consecutive session and trading near its all-time high of around $2,940 per ounce. This performance is particularly noteworthy considering it has occurred despite the rebound in the U.S. dollar and the rise in Treasury yields, with...
Last week AUDUSD rallied 2% from opening levels around 0.6230 on Monday to a Friday close at 0.6355, as tariff fatigue saw FX traders reduce dollar longs across the board into the weekend.
At the start of this new trading week, the direction of AUDUSD is likely to be determined by local events, with the RBA convening early on Tuesday morning (0330 GMT) to...
The week’s closing session unfolded under the expectation of potential “reciprocal tariffs” from the United States, which ultimately will not be implemented immediately. This decision eased initial market jitters and led to a weaker dollar, as fears of an escalating trade war subsided—for now.
The U.S. outlook was also shaped by weaker-than-expected consumption...
