Bitcoin Liquid IndexShort
THE BEAR MARKET CONTINUES PART XI
Updated
Welcome for another grand update on Bitcoin part of THE BEAR MARKET CONTINUES PART XI.
I am still convinced that we are in the wave (c) of the supercycle and we will see a huge fall, the biggest in history. We can see a lot of evidence on the graph that signals this. The peak we could see at 65K was not as typical as the previous main peaks. it had an arcuate shape. Which I consider to be wave (b), ie the correction wave. The other peaks are sharp and indicate impulse waves. Furthermore, we can see the structure of the ending diagonal at the top. Triple bearish divergence on a weekly chart. You'll never find this in chart history before. We also see the Evening star on the monthly chart. We also see declining volumes at high time frames.
On the chart we see a huge Fibo channel. So far, we have only been in the upper half. If we get to the bottom half, it's very likely that we'll see prices around $ 1,000. Notice the MA 300 weekly in red. It was tested in March 2020. We've never gotten under MA 300 in the history of the chart. That's why I think we'll see a big bounce there. The first wave could end there. The third wave would break through the center line of the channel and the fourth wave would test this line. The fifth wave would test the bottom line of the channel. In my opinion, this is a logical movement.
On RSI you see a red horizontal line at 53.34. She was a support throughout the bull run in 2016-2017. Whenever the price fell below WMA 21, the RSI also fell below the red line. Hidden GAP is a zone that the price just flew through and never tested.
This is a projection of Expanded or Irregular FLAT. In this correction, wave (b) must not return more than 161.8% of wave (a). That is still fulfilled. Wave (c) should return at least 138.2% of wave (b) (FINAL TARGET).
Right Fibonacci Retracement wave (b)
Left Fibonacci Retracement wave (a)
Evening star on the monthly chart
Ending diagonal on the Top
And what is a really alarming signal? The NVT indicator, which reached 260, was never that much. Values above 150 are considered a bubble.
I am still convinced that we are in the wave (c) of the supercycle and we will see a huge fall, the biggest in history. We can see a lot of evidence on the graph that signals this. The peak we could see at 65K was not as typical as the previous main peaks. it had an arcuate shape. Which I consider to be wave (b), ie the correction wave. The other peaks are sharp and indicate impulse waves. Furthermore, we can see the structure of the ending diagonal at the top. Triple bearish divergence on a weekly chart. You'll never find this in chart history before. We also see the Evening star on the monthly chart. We also see declining volumes at high time frames.
On the chart we see a huge Fibo channel. So far, we have only been in the upper half. If we get to the bottom half, it's very likely that we'll see prices around $ 1,000. Notice the MA 300 weekly in red. It was tested in March 2020. We've never gotten under MA 300 in the history of the chart. That's why I think we'll see a big bounce there. The first wave could end there. The third wave would break through the center line of the channel and the fourth wave would test this line. The fifth wave would test the bottom line of the channel. In my opinion, this is a logical movement.
On RSI you see a red horizontal line at 53.34. She was a support throughout the bull run in 2016-2017. Whenever the price fell below WMA 21, the RSI also fell below the red line. Hidden GAP is a zone that the price just flew through and never tested.
This is a projection of Expanded or Irregular FLAT. In this correction, wave (b) must not return more than 161.8% of wave (a). That is still fulfilled. Wave (c) should return at least 138.2% of wave (b) (FINAL TARGET).
Right Fibonacci Retracement wave (b)
Left Fibonacci Retracement wave (a)
Evening star on the monthly chart
Ending diagonal on the Top
And what is a really alarming signal? The NVT indicator, which reached 260, was never that much. Values above 150 are considered a bubble.
Note
Note
Note
NVT signal epic bubbleNote
We can see on the chart that the peak from April was exceeded, but only a little. Subsequently, the price returned below the level of 161.8% of the wave (a), where it is now. If the weekly candle closes below this level, it will be a false signal. Furthermore, the 5th wave from April was canceled for us. This means that it can be the third wave and this peak only the fifth wave. When we look at the monthly chart, we see a huge bearish divergence on RSI and declining volumes. This may signal an impending fall. At the peak of around 67,000, we saw that the NVT indicator exceeded 300 points. Above 150 points, the market is considered to be in a bubble.
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