BTC heading to the 100MA 4000$ will it be able to break through?

Since 30th january BTCUSD has not managed to break and hold the 100 MA.
Will BTCUSD be able to break it this time ?
a powerful break though the 100 MA then a retest of it as a support would be the ignition of the bull run.
what i expect is just another dump once we get touch the 100MA.
Be carfule, there will be huge dump. dont be greedy.
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