1-Minute Scalping Trading Strategies With Examples1-Minute Scalping Trading Strategies With Examples
Scalping is a popular trading style capitalising on rapid, small price movements within minutes. 1-minute scalping strategies are often used by traders but require precise execution and solid understanding of technical indicators. This article explores four 1-min scalping strategies, detailing the indicators used alongside specific entries and exits.
Understanding 1-Minute Scalping
1-minute scalping is a fast-paced trading style focusing on taking advantage of small price movements within a minute timeframe. Traders using this approach rely on 1-minute charts to make quick, multiple trades throughout the trading session. The primary goal is to accumulate potential small gains that might add up to larger returns over time.
A scalp trading strategy requires a solid understanding of technical analysis and market conditions. Scalpers typically use indicators, price action patterns, and trend analysis to identify short-term market movements and potential entry and exit points. The rapid nature of 1-minute scalping demands precision and discipline, as even a slight delay can impact the trade outcome.
One of the key advantages of 1-minute scalping is the ability to generate frequent trading opportunities, which can be particularly appealing during volatile market conditions. However, it also comes with higher risks due to the speed and frequency of trades, meaning risk management plays a significant role.
Scalpers must also be aware of transaction costs, as frequent trading can lead to significant fees, which can erode potential returns. Choosing a broker with low commissions, tight spreads, and fast execution speeds is essential to maximise a scalping forex strategy’s potential. FXOpen provides an ideal environment for scalping trading strategies, with commissions from $1.50 per lot, spreads from 0.0 pips, and ultra-fast execution. Open an account!
Four 1-Minute Scalping Strategies
Now, let’s take a closer look at four 1-minute trading strategies. To apply these strategies, see how they work in practice, and access each of these 1-minute scalping indicators, consider following along in FXOpen’s free TickTrader trading platform.
Strategy 1: VWAP + MACD
Indicators Used
- VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): VWAP calculates the average price a security has traded at throughout the day, based on both volume and price. It helps traders understand the trend and identify potential support and resistance levels.
- MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): MACD is an indicator that visualises the relationship between two moving averages. MACD settings for a 1-minute chart are standard: the MACD line is derived from the difference between the 12-period and 26-period exponential moving averages (EMA), while the signal line is a 9-period EMA of the MACD line.
VWAP and MACD work well together by providing both trend and momentum analysis. VWAP helps identify the overall trend and significant price levels, while MACD offers insights into momentum changes. This combination can help traders determine entries by confirming trends and potential reversals.
Entry
- Traders typically look for the price to close through the VWAP, with the MACD turning from positive to negative or vice versa. This coincides with the signal line crossing over the MACD line.
- Alternatively, another common entry point is when the price uses the VWAP as a level of support or resistance, confirmed by the MACD turning from positive to negative or vice versa.
These triggers will likely occur within a few candles of each other, typically within 4 or 5 candles.
Stop Loss
- Stop losses are often set just beyond a recent high or low swing point, which helps potentially protect against losses if the market moves unexpectedly.
Take Profit
- Traders commonly take profits when the signal line crosses the MACD line in the opposite direction, and the histogram switches from positive to negative or vice versa. This approach allows traders to take advantage of momentum shifts and potentially lock in gains as the trend changes.
- However, some may prefer to exit at a significant support or resistance level in order to maximise potential gains.
Strategy 2: Keltner Channels + RSI
Indicators Used
- Keltner Channels: A volatility-based envelope set above and below an exponential moving average. The channels are typically set to two average true range (ATR) values away from the EMA. They help identify overbought and oversold conditions and potential breakouts.
- RSI (Relative Strength Index): A momentum oscillator that gauges the rate and extent of price changes. It ranges between 0 and 100, where readings above 70 signal overbought conditions, and readings below 30 indicate oversold conditions. RSI can also indicate bullishness when it crosses above 50 and vice versa.
The Keltner Channels and RSI strategy leverages volatility and momentum to identify effective trading opportunities. By combining the channels, which offer insights into breakouts, with the RSI, which gauges momentum, traders can uncover trading opportunities on the 1-minute chart.
Entry
- Traders often look for two or more closes outside of the Keltner Channel and ideally strong and/or consecutive green (bullish) or red (bearish) candles.
- This is confirmed by the RSI recently breaking above 50 for bullish signals or below 50 for bearish signals.
The combination of strong price action and momentum change helps traders identify potential trend continuations.
Stop Loss
- Stop losses are commonly set beyond the opposite side of the Keltner Channel to potentially protect against adverse price movements.
- For a higher risk-reward ratio, traders might place stop losses beyond a nearby swing candle.
Take Profit
- Traders typically take profits when the price crosses back beyond the Keltner Channel's midpoint or reaches the opposite side of the channel, indicating a potential exhaustion of the current move.
- Alternatively, profits may be taken when RSI moves beyond 70 (overbought) or below 30 (oversold), signalling potential reversals in price direction.
Strategy 3: ALMA + Stochastic
Indicators Used
- ALMA (Arnaud Legoux Moving Average): ALMA is a moving average that aims to smooth price data while reducing lag. The settings used are 21 for the window size, 0.85 for the offset, and 6 for the sigma. This combination helps in identifying the trend with greater precision.
- Stochastic Oscillator: The Stochastic measures the location of the close relative to the high-low range over a set period. Settings of 21, 1, 3 are used to capture momentum and potential reversal points. A figure above 80 signals overbought conditions, while below 20 indicates the opposite.
Combining ALMA with the Stochastic Oscillator allows traders to identify potential reversals in trends. ALMA provides a smoothed view of the price trend, while the Stochastic Oscillator offers momentum-based signals, helping to confirm the strength of a move.
Entry
- Traders look for the price to close through the ALMA, ideally with a strong close, which suggests a potential trend change.
- This is confirmed by the Stochastic Oscillator crossing below 80 for a bearish signal or above 20 for a bullish signal, indicating momentum alignment with the trend.
Note that price may fluctuate above and below the ALMA in ranging conditions and produce false signals.
Stop Loss
- Stop losses are typically set beyond the nearest swing point, which helps to potentially protect against adverse price movements.
Take Profit
- Traders typically take profits when the Stochastic reaches the opposite territory (e.g., from above 80 to below 20 for a bearish move), indicating a potential exhaustion of the current trend.
- Alternatively, profits may be taken at identified areas of support or resistance, where price action historically reacts, providing a logical exit point.
Strategy 4: RSI + Bollinger Bands
Indicators Used
- RSI (Relative Strength Index): For this strategy, RSI setting for a 1-minute chart is a length of 4, with overbought and oversold boundaries at 80 and 20, respectively. These RSI settings for the 1-minute chart help in identifying short-term overbought and oversold conditions.
- Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands settings for a 1-minute chart are a 20-period simple moving average (middle band) and two outer bands set at a standard deviation level of 2 from the middle band. They help identify periods of high and low volatility as well as potential reversal points.
The combination of RSI and Bollinger Bands allows traders to identify potential short-term reversals in the market. The Bollinger Bands provide a dynamic range for price action, while the RSI helps confirm overbought or oversold conditions, improving the accuracy of entry and exit points.
Entry
- Traders often enter when the RSI crosses below 80 from above or above 20 from below, signalling an exit from potential overbought or oversold conditions.
- This entry is confirmed when the price is also touching or breaching the Bollinger Band, indicating the likelihood of a short-term reversal.
Stop Loss
- Stop losses are typically set beyond a nearby swing point or just outside the Bollinger Band, providing potential protection against significant adverse price movements and giving the trade room to develop.
Take Profit
- Traders commonly take profits when the price touches the opposing Bollinger Band, suggesting a potential end to the current price move.
- Alternatively, some may take profits when the RSI crosses into the opposing overbought or oversold territory, indicating a shift in momentum.
The Bottom Line
Mastering a 1-minute scalping strategy can potentially enhance your trading performance. To take advantage of these techniques, consider opening an FXOpen account. As a regulated broker, FXOpen offers access to over 600 markets for scalping, supported by commissions as low as $1.50 and spreads from 0.0 pips. With the right tools and strategies, you can navigate today’s fast-paced trading environment effectively.
FAQ
What Is the 1-Minute Timeframe Trading Strategy?
The 1-minute timeframe trading strategy involves making multiple trades within a single minute, aiming to capture small price movements. Traders use a 1-min scalping strategy to identify quick trading opportunities and rely heavily on technical indicators for entry and exit points.
Which Indicator Is Best for 1-Minute Scalping?
There is no single best 1-minute scalping strategy indicator; it comes down to preference and experience. However, popular choices include the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Relative Strength Index (RSI), Bollinger Bands, and the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP). Combining several indicators can potentially provide more reliable signals.
What Is the Best Timeframe for Scalping Crypto*?
The best timeframe for scalping crypto* depends on the trader's preference and strategy. While a 1-minute crypto* scalping strategy offers rapid trades and numerous opportunities, some traders prefer slightly longer frames like the 5-minute or 15-minute charts to balance speed and cryptocurrency* market noise.
What Is the Stochastic Setting for 1-Minute Scalping?
For 1-minute scalping, the Stochastic Oscillator is typically set to the standard settings of 14, 1, 3. These settings help capture short-term momentum changes, providing timely signals for entry and exit points. Adjustments can be made based on the trader's specific strategy and market conditions.
*At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules. They are not available for trading by Retail clients.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Strength
How Can You Use a Break and Retest Strategy in Trading?How Can You Use a Break and Retest Strategy in Trading?
Trading strategies help traders navigate the financial markets with greater confidence. One such approach is the break and retest strategy, which focuses on key support and resistance levels. This article explores the break and retest strategy in detail, providing insights and practical examples to help traders apply it in their trading activities.
Understanding the Break and Retest Strategy
The break and retest strategy is popular among traders who aim to capitalise on clear market movements. At its core, this strategy revolves around identifying key support and resistance levels on a price chart.
Here’s how it works: When the price breaks through a support or resistance level, it signals a potential shift in market sentiment. For example, if a stock breaks above a resistance level, it suggests increasing buying interest. Traders then watch for the price to return to this newly broken level—known as a retest in trading. During the retest, the former resistance now acts as support, providing a potentially more attractive entry point for traders looking to join the trend.
This strategy aligns well with trending markets, where prices move consistently in one direction. It allows traders to take advantage of momentum while managing their entries potentially more effectively.
The Mechanics of Break and Retest Trading
Implementing the break and retest strategy involves a clear sequence of steps that traders follow to identify and act on potential market moves. Here’s a breakdown of how this strategy typically operates:
1. Identifying Key Levels
Traders begin by pinpointing significant support and resistance levels on their charts. Accurate identification is crucial, as these levels form the foundation of the strategy.
2. Monitoring for a Breakout
Once the key levels are established, traders watch for the price to break through one of these barriers, in line with a broader trend. A breakout occurs when the price moves decisively above resistance or below support, often accompanied by increased trading volume. This surge in volume indicates stronger market interest and can validate the breakout’s legitimacy.
3. Waiting for the Retest
After the breakout, the price typically retraces to test the broken level. For instance, if the price breaks above a resistance level, it may pull back to that same level, which now acts as support. This retest phase is critical as it offers a second confirmation of the breakout’s strength.
4. Confirming the Retest
During the retest, traders look for confirmation signals to ensure the breakout is genuine. These signals can include specific candlestick patterns, such as pin bars or engulfing candles, and continued high trading volume. Successful confirmation suggests that the new support or resistance level will hold, increasing the likelihood of a sustained trend.
5. Entering the Trade
With confirmation in place, traders often enter the market, aiming to ride the new trend. They may set stop-loss orders slightly below the new support (in the case of a breakout to the upside) or the new resistance (in case of a breakout to the downside) to manage potential risks.
6. Managing the Trade
Effective trade management involves setting target levels based on previous price action and adjusting stop-loss orders as the trade progresses. This helps to lock in potential returns and potentially protect against unexpected market reversals.
Break and Retest Example Strategy
Consider this EURUSD 15-minute chart, which displays a clear bearish trend. This trend is highlighted by the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) sloping downward, with the price generally staying below it. Recently, the price broke below a key support level on higher-than-average volume, signalling a potential opportunity for traders to apply the break and retest strategy.
In this scenario, there are two support levels to monitor. The first is a more significant support level. Trading at this level can allow traders to enter the market quickly, though it comes with a less favourable risk-reward ratio.
The second support level is found within the recent brief retracement. This level offers a better risk-reward ratio, but there's a chance the price may not retrace deeply enough, potentially causing traders to miss the trade.
The entry point is identified by a candle with a wick longer than its body (a pin-bar on the 30m chart), indicating rejection of higher prices as the market retests the second broken support level. Once this candle closes, traders can enter a market order.
Stop losses would typically be placed either above the last major swing high or above the 50-period EMA, depending on individual risk tolerance. Take-profit targets could be set at a 1:3 risk-reward ratio or at the next significant support level, where a price reversal may be anticipated.
Improving the Break and Retest Strategy
Enhancing the break and retest strategy involves integrating additional tools and techniques to refine trade decisions. Here are several methods to consider:
1. Incorporating Additional Indicators
Using break and retest indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) can provide valuable insights. For instance, an RSI crossing below 70 during a bearish breakout may indicate weakening momentum, supporting the retest. Similarly, the MACD crossing above its signal line or the MACD histogram rising above 0 can confirm the uptrend’s strength, aiding in more precise entry points.
Explore these indicators and more than 1,200+ trading tools in FXOpen’s free TickTrader trading platform.
2. Multi-Timeframe Analysis
Examining charts across different timeframes helps in gaining a broader market perspective. A breakout observed on a 4-hour chart gains additional confirmation when a strong trend is also visible on a daily chart. This alignment across timeframes increases the reliability of the trade setup.
3. Utilising Fibonacci Retracements
After a breakout, prices often retrace deeper into the previous high-low range—not always to the most extreme point. Applying Fibonacci retracements to the high/low of the breakout (high in a bearish breakout and low in a bullish scenario) and the new low or high can help identify optimal retest points, particularly at the 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% levels. These levels typically offer better risk-reward ratios compared to the extreme points.
4. Incorporating Fundamental Analysis
Supporting technical breakouts with fundamental factors, such as economic reports or news events, strengthens the strategy. For example, a breakout aligned with positive economic data may have a higher probability of sustaining the new trend, providing traders with greater confidence in their decisions.
Advantages of the Break and Retest Strategy
The break and retest strategy offers several advantages that can enhance a trader’s approach to the markets:
- Increased Confidence through Confirmation: The retest serves as an additional validation of the breakout, boosting trader confidence in their entry decision and reducing hesitation.
- Better Risk Management: Setting stop-loss orders based on the retest level provides a clear risk boundary. This structured approach aids in potentially managing losses.
- Alignment with Market Trends: This strategy naturally aligns trades with the prevailing market trend. By trading in the direction of the breakout, traders can take advantage of sustained movements.
- Versatility Across Markets: The breakout and retest strategy can be applied to various financial instruments, including forex, stocks, and commodities. Its adaptability makes it a valuable tool in diverse trading environments.
- Scalability and Flexibility: This strategy can be adapted to different timeframes and trading styles, making it suitable for both short-term and long-term traders seeking to implement a consistent approach.
Potential Challenges and Considerations
While the break and retest strategy can be a powerful tool, traders may face several challenges when implementing it:
- False Breakouts: Not every breakout leads to a sustained trend. Sometimes, the price moves beyond a support or resistance level only to reverse shortly after. Recognising these false signals is crucial to avoid entering trades that may quickly turn against expectations.
- Market Conditions: According to theory, this strategy performs best in trending markets. In sideways or highly volatile environments, breakouts can be less reliable, making it harder to distinguish genuine opportunities from random price movements.
- Timing the Retest: Accurately determining when the price will retest the broken level can be challenging. Entering too early may expose traders to unnecessary risk, while waiting too long might result in missed opportunities if the retest doesn't occur as anticipated.
- Reliance on Confirmation Signals: While additional indicators like RSI or MACD can enhance the strategy, over-reliance on these tools can complicate decision-making. Traders need to balance multiple signals without becoming overwhelmed or confused.
- Emotional Discipline: Maintaining discipline during retests is essential. Traders might feel pressured to act quickly if the market moves unexpectedly, leading to impulsive decisions that deviate from their trading plan.
The Bottom Line
The break and retest strategy offers a structured approach to navigating market movements, combining precise entry points with effective risk management. By understanding and applying this method, traders can potentially enhance their trading decisions and align with prevailing trends. To put this strategy into practice across more than 700 markets, consider opening an FXOpen account and gain access to four advanced trading platforms, low trading costs, and rapid execution speeds.
FAQ
What Is a Retest in Trading?
A retest occurs when the price returns to a broken support or resistance level after an initial breakout. It serves to confirm the strength of the breakout, helping traders decide whether the new trend will continue or if the breakout was false.
What Is the Break and Retest Strategy?
The break and retest strategy involves identifying a breakout of a key support or resistance level and then waiting for the price to return to that level. Traders use this retest as a confirmation to enter the market, aiming to follow the new trend with reduced risk.
What Is the Win Rate of the Break and Retest Strategy?
The win rate of the break and retest strategy varies depending on market conditions and how the strategy is applied. Consistent application and effective risk management are crucial for achieving better results.
How Many Times Should I Backtest My Strategy?
Backtesting should be done extensively across different market conditions and timeframes. According to theory, traders need to test a strategy on at least 100 trades to ensure its reliability and to understand how it performs in various scenarios.
Does the Market Always Retest?
No, the market does not always retest broken levels. While retests are common, they are not guaranteed. Traders should use additional confirmation signals and be prepared for both possibilities when applying the break and retest strategy.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
What Are Leading Trading Indicators, and How Can You Use ThemWhat Are Leading Trading Indicators, and How Can You Use Them in Trading?
Leading indicators are essential tools for traders aiming to analyse market movements. This article explains what leading indicators are, how they work, and their practical application across different asset classes. Read on to discover how tools like RSI, Stochastic Oscillator, On-balance Volume, and Fibonacci retracements can enhance your trading strategy.
What Are Leading Technical Indicators?
Technical indicators are divided into leading and lagging. Leading indicators in trading are tools used to identify potential price movements before they occur. Lagging indicators confirm trends after they begin, helping traders validate price movements. The difference between leading and lagging indicators is that leading indicators aim to give traders an edge by signalling when a new trend or reversal might be on the horizon while lagging indicators confirm trends after they've developed.
Leading trading indicators work by analysing price data to identify patterns or extremes in buying and selling behaviour. For instance, popular leading indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Stochastic Oscillator measure momentum in a market. These indicators help traders spot overbought or oversold conditions, where RSI tracks recent price movements relative to historical performance, while the Stochastic Oscillator compares a security's closing price to its price range over a set period.
However, it’s important to note that leading indicators can produce false signals, meaning they may suggest a price move that doesn’t materialise. Because of this, traders often combine them with other technical analysis tools, such as support and resistance levels, or use them alongside lagging indicators to validate the signals they receive.
Types of Leading Indicators in Trading
Leading indicators are divided into various types, each serving a unique role in analysing potential market movements. Three common types include momentum indicators, oscillators, and volume indicators:
- Momentum Indicators: These track the speed or rate of price changes. They are used to assess the strength of a trend and determine potential reversals when the momentum slows. Momentum indicators help traders when an asset is overbought or oversold.
- Oscillators: These indicators fluctuate between fixed values (usually 0 and 100) to reflect the market’s current momentum. They help traders pinpoint potential reversals by highlighting when an asset is overbought or oversold. Oscillators are particularly useful in range-bound markets where price movement is confined within support and resistance levels.
- Volume Indicators: These focus on the amount of trading activity, rather than price movement. By analysing the flow of volume in or out of an asset, traders can gauge the strength behind price movements. Increasing volume in the direction of a trend often confirms its continuation, while the divergence between volume and price can indicate potential reversals.
Below, we’ll take a look at a list of leading indicators. If you’d like to explore these indicators alongside dozens more, head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader trading platform.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one of the most popular leading indicators examples. RSI is a momentum oscillator that helps traders evaluate the strength of an asset’s price movements. Developed by J. Welles Wilder, it measures the speed and change of price actions over a set period—typically 14 candles—on a scale from 0 to 100.
The primary signals RSI produces revolve around overbought and oversold conditions. When the indicator breaks above 70, it suggests that an asset may be overbought, reflecting the potential for a reversal or correction. Conversely, when RSI falls below 30, it signals that an asset may be oversold, which can indicate a potential recovery. These thresholds provide traders with insight into whether the price has moved too far in one direction and is poised for a change.
RSI can also highlight trend reversals through divergence. If the price of an asset continues to rise while the RSI drops, it indicates bearish divergence, signalling potential weakening momentum. On the other hand, bullish divergence occurs when the price falls, but the RSI rises, suggesting that the downward trend may be losing strength.
Another useful RSI signal is when it crosses the 50-level. In an uptrend, RSI remaining above 50 can confirm momentum, while in a downtrend, staying below 50 reinforces bearish sentiment.
However, RSI is not foolproof. During a strong trend, the indicator can signal overbought or oversold for a long while and lead to false signals. This is why it’s often paired with other indicators to confirm signals.
Stochastic Oscillator
The Stochastic Oscillator is a momentum-based indicator that assesses the relationship between an asset's closing price and its price range over a specific number of periods, typically 14. It consists of two lines: the %K line, the primary line, and the %D line, which is a moving average of %K, providing smoother signals.
This oscillator ranges from 0 to 100, with readings above 80 indicating overbought conditions and those below 20 signalling oversold conditions. Traders utilise these signals to determine potential reversals in price. For example, when the oscillator rises above 80 and then drops below it, a potential sell signal is generated. Conversely, when it falls below 20 and climbs back above, it might indicate a buy opportunity.
The Stochastic Oscillator also provides crossover signals, where the %K line crosses above or below the %D line. A bullish crossover occurs when %K rises above %D, indicating that upward momentum may be increasing. A bearish crossover happens when %K falls below %D, suggesting that momentum is shifting downward.
In addition to overbought/oversold and crossovers, the Stochastic Oscillator can identify divergence, which signals potential trend reversals. A bullish divergence occurs when the price makes a lower low, but the oscillator shows a higher low, indicating a weakening downward momentum. On the other hand, a bearish divergence happens when the price makes a higher high, but the oscillator makes a lower high, suggesting the uptrend might be losing steam.
While the Stochastic Oscillator can be powerful in range-bound markets, it can be prone to false signals in trending markets.
On-Balance Volume (OBV)
On-Balance Volume (OBV) is an indicator that tracks the flow of trading volume to assess whether buying or selling pressure is dominating the market. It was introduced by Joseph Granville in 1963, and its primary concept is that volume precedes price movements. This makes OBV a useful tool for analysing potential trend reversals. While the absolute value of OBV is not crucial, its direction over time provides insight into the market’s underlying sentiment.
OBV offers several key signals:
- Trend Direction: A rising OBV supports an upward price trend, indicating strong buying pressure, while a falling OBV reflects a downtrend with selling pressure.
- Divergence: Traders use OBV to identify a divergence between price and volume. If the price is making new highs while OBV is falling, it suggests a weakening trend, potentially signalling a reversal. Conversely, rising OBV with falling prices can hint at a potential bullish reversal.
- Breakouts: OBV can also be used to spot potential breakouts. For instance, if OBV rises while prices are range-bound, it may indicate an upcoming upward breakout.
However, like any indicator, OBV has limitations. It can produce false signals in choppy markets and is used alongside other technical tools, such as Moving Averages or support and resistance levels, to improve reliability.
Fibonacci Retracement
Fibonacci retracements are a technical analysis tool that helps traders pinpoint potential support and resistance levels during price fluctuations. The tool is based on the Fibonacci sequence, a series of numbers that produce key ratios like 23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. These percentages represent levels where the price of an asset might retrace before continuing its trend.
Traders apply Fibonacci retracement by selecting two extreme points on a price chart, such as a recent high and low. The tool then plots horizontal lines at the Fibonacci levels, indicating possible areas where the price might pause or reverse. For example, in an uptrend, a price pullback to the 38.2% level could signal a buying opportunity if the trend is likely to resume.
Fibonacci retracements are often used in conjunction with other indicators, such as the MACD or RSI, to confirm signals and enhance reliability. While they provide valuable insight into potential turning points, it's crucial to remember that these levels aren't guarantees—prices may not always behave as expected at these points, especially in volatile markets.
How Traders Use Leading Indicators in Practice
Traders use leading indicators to gain insights into potential price movements before they occur, helping them position themselves early in a trend. Here’s how leading indicators are typically applied:
- Identifying Overbought or Oversold Conditions: Indicators like RSI or Stochastic Oscillator are used to spot extreme price levels. When these indicators signal that a market is overbought or oversold, traders analyse the situation for potential trend reversals.
- Combining Indicators for Confirmation: It’s common to pair multiple leading indicators to strengthen signals. For example, a trader might use both the RSI and OBV to confirm momentum shifts and avoid acting on false signals.
- Spotting Divergences: Traders look for divergence between an indicator and price action. For instance, if prices are rising, but the indicator is falling, it can suggest weakening momentum, signalling a potential downward reversal.
- Clear Entry and Exit Points: Leading indicators often provide clear entry and exit points. For instance, the Stochastic Oscillator signals a bearish reversal and entry point when it crosses back below 80, with traders typically exiting the trade when the indicator crosses above 20. Likewise, Fibonacci retracements can provide precise levels where a trend might stall or reverse.
Potential Risks and Limitations of Leading Indicators for Trading
While leading indicators offer valuable insights into potential price movements, they come with risks and limitations.
- False Signals: One of the biggest challenges is that leading indicators can generate false signals, especially in volatile markets. For instance, an indicator might signal a reversal, but the price continues in its original direction, leading traders to take positions prematurely.
- Limited Accuracy in Trending Markets: It’s common that in strong trends, such indicators remain overbought or oversold for extended periods, causing traders to misinterpret momentum.
- Overreliance on One Indicator: No single indicator is foolproof. Relying heavily on one without considering other factors can lead to poor decisions. Traders need to combine leading indicators with other tools like support/resistance levels or trendlines to validate signals.
- Lagging in Fast-Moving Markets: Even though they are called "leading" indicators, they can sometimes lag in rapidly changing markets. By the time a signal is generated, the opportunity may have already passed.
The Bottom Line
Whether trading forex, commodities, or the stock market, leading indicators offer valuable insights to help traders anticipate potential price movements. By combining these tools with a solid strategy, traders can better navigate market conditions. To start implementing these insights across more than 700 markets, consider opening an FXOpen account and take advantage of our high-speed, low-cost trading conditions.
FAQ
What Are the Leading Indicators in Trading?
Leading indicators are technical analysis tools used to determine potential price movements before they happen. Traders use them to anticipate market shifts, such as reversals or breakouts, by analysing price momentum or trends. Common examples include the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Stochastic Oscillator, and Fibonacci retracement levels.
What Are the Three Types of Leading Indicators?
The three main types of leading indicators for trading are momentum indicators (e.g., Momentum (MOM) indicator), oscillators (e.g., Stochastic), and volume indicators (e.g., On-Balance Volume). These tools help determine market direction by assessing price action or trading volume.
Is RSI a Leading Indicator?
Yes, RSI (Relative Strength Index) is a leading indicator. Considered one of the potentially best leading indicators for day trading, it measures momentum by comparing recent gains and losses, helping traders spot overbought or oversold conditions before potential reversals.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
What Traders and Rock Climbers Have in Common!This post is inspired by @TradingView's rebranding in 2021 and the recent Leap competition.
At first glance, trading and rock climbing might seem worlds apart. One involves analyzing market trends, while the other requires physical strength and agility.
However, both pursuits share surprising similarities, highlighting unique skills and mindsets.
Here’s a look at what traders and rock climbers have in common.
⚙️ Risk Management: Both traders and rock climbers excel at managing risk. Traders use strategies like stop-loss orders and portfolio diversification to protect their capital.
Rock climbers assess risks, use safety equipment, and plan routes to avoid danger. Effective risk management is crucial in both fields to prevent catastrophic outcomes.
💡Mental Toughness: Traders face market fluctuations and must make quick decisions under pressure.
Rock climbers need to stay focused and composed while navigating challenging routes. Both activities demand mental resilience to overcome fear, maintain focus, and make calculated decisions.
📊 Strategic Planning: Success in trading and rock climbing involves strategic planning.
Traders develop strategies based on market analysis and economic indicators, while rock climbers meticulously plan their ascents, studying routes and assessing conditions. Strategic planning helps achieve goals efficiently in both areas.
⚖️ Adaptability: Adaptability is key for both traders and rock climbers. Market conditions can change rapidly, requiring traders to adjust their strategies.
Rock climbers face changing conditions like weather and rock quality, adapting their techniques to overcome obstacles and reach their objectives.
📜 Continuous Learning: Both traders and rock climbers are committed to continuous learning.
Traders stay updated on market trends and new tools, while rock climbers seek to improve their skills and stay informed about gear and safety practices. The pursuit of knowledge drives success in both fields.
🧘♂️ Focus on Execution: Execution is crucial in trading and rock climbing. Traders need precision, timing, and discipline to execute trades effectively.
Rock climbers must execute their moves with precision and confidence to progress safely. The ability to execute under pressure is essential for success in both activities.
🔄Passion and Commitment: Passion and commitment are integral to both trading and rock climbing.
Traders have a deep interest in financial markets, while rock climbers are driven by their love for the sport and adventure. This passion fuels their dedication, driving them to invest time and effort into their pursuits.
🧗♀️ Conclusion: Despite their apparent differences, trading and rock climbing share many commonalities.
Both require effective risk management, mental toughness, strategic planning, adaptability, continuous learning, focus on execution, and a deep-seated passion.
Recognizing these parallels can provide valuable insights and inspiration for those engaged in either pursuit, highlighting the universal qualities that drive success in diverse fields.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Trading with RSI: The Bad, The Good and Even BetterIn this video I explain how to use RSI (Relative Strength Index) to make trading decisions. You'll learn how to properly use RSI oversold condition, combining low timeframe price action signals with high level context analysis.
Besides of explaining three different strategies (the bad, the good and even better) I'll do back-testing on historical data to demonstrate how those strategies translate into real trading results.
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
Trend Trading Strategy for the Heiken Ashi Algo v6Knowing when the RSI and price are in a ranging phase even in the short term can be a difficult process.
You are either #Ranging #bullish or #bearish. At least in the Algo v6 you can get a clear vision of exactly whats happening.
In this video im going to give you a VERY simple strategy on:
1. How to know if the RSI and price are ranging
2. When do i break away from Ranges
3. Am I trending
4. Im trending but whats my confluence to take a long or short
5. Is my range getting bigger or smaller
Enjoy this quick vid and ask questions below.
Thanks everyone.
Price overextension: misconceptions and common mistakesPrice overextension remains a widely misunderstood concept in trading, causing both novice and seasoned traders to make errors in their decision-making. This misinterpretation often leads to placing trades in the wrong direction or, equally detrimental, overlooking profitable opportunities.
In essence, price overextension signifies that the market has undergone a rapid and excessive movement in one direction. Such movements are often perceived as unsustainable. Numerous indicators, such as Stochastic, RSI, Bollinger Bands and many other, attempt to identify such "abnormal" price movements so traders could capitalize on them. Despite variations in statistical methods and calculations, their common goal is to detect instances where price went or down too much and is likely to reverse.
In this discussion, I will use Relative-Strength-Index (RSI), a popular indicator, to convey my perspective on price overextension. While some traders argue for customization, the elusive question of "how" often remains unanswered. From my experience, there are no universally perfect settings that consistently yield optimal results.
I’ll draw my examples from the recent SPY bar chart (February 2024).
The first misconception
The first misconception is that if price is overextended it is time to immediately start looking for a trade in the opposite direction. The most important phrase here is “start looking”. Many beginners misinterpret this as an invitation to commence trading, leading to the premature initiation of short positions during perceived market "overextension" and vice versa.
So, the first and foremost important advice is to never try guessing top/bottom based on one indicator or gut feeling. Simple as it seems I remember many times breaking this rule myself because the temptation was too strong. It rarely ended up well.
On the graph, I've highlighted three recent instances where the RSI exceeded 70 (indicating overbought conditions). What stands out is that, following each occurrence, the price surged significantly before consolidation set in, inflicting losses upon short traders.
Even experienced traders, who look for confluence of signals, may fall into this trap. In the first two examples, bearish candlestick patterns failed to prevent subsequent price increases. Most likely, those candles were “created” by weak hands traders, who tried to short market, while it was actually controlled by strong buyers.
These instances could have been avoided by considering the daily graph, revealing a robust bullish context – price was in an uptrend, one-time-framing up on weekly. There were couple of moments when bears gained short term control (Tuesdays 13th and 20th) but they never could take the previous week low; bulls always confirmed their control.
The second advice is to avoid trading against higher level context. While sometimes those trades might work the result is usually mediocre and most of the times you’ll simply lose. If you really wish to trade against context you need to construct a solid dossier of evidence, supporting your trade.
The second misconception
What is the second misconception? It is that when price overextended it is not time to go with the market. In this scenario, traders refrain from initiating long trades after RSI indicates overbought conditions, potentially causing them to miss profitable opportunities. It might not hurt your account but who likes missing good opportunities?
Surprisingly, seizing these trades correctly is not much harder than any other trade. It simply requires prudence and discipline and getting rid-off cognitive biases. For example, in the second example on the graph a trader could win up to 1% if he played off gap-up open after seeing that the new price has found acceptance.
Conclusion
It is possible to build a profitable strategy that relies on “price overextension” concept. However, it demands more than a cursory examination of a single indicator and adherence to textbook candle patterns. Personally, I reached a point where I entirely abandoned the use of RSI and similar tools because, instead of providing clarity, they seemed to cloud my thinking.
Opting for a more effective approach involves keenly observing actual market behavior, which often defies conventional expectations. Study of high-level contexts, understanding key levels, and discerning confluence in price action signals on lower timeframes consistently prove invaluable. This method helps steer clear of common pitfalls and contributes to enhancing overall trading results.
Beating the S&P500 (SPX) Buy&Hold strategy by 16 timesS&P500 (SPX) strategy using Stochastic RSI Min-Max, normalized Volatility and Trailing Stop signals, beats the Buy&Hold strategy by 16 times
Embarking on the quest to time the market accurately, the 'Holy Grail' of strategies, led me to create a script to approach this goal. Unlike other strategies that I tested, this one not only surpasses the long-term S&P500 Buy&Hold approach but does so by a remarkable 16.38 times!
Initially, I employed an A.I. program based on an LSTM Neural Network using TensorFlow. Despite achieving a 55% next-day prediction accuracy for short/long positions, I sought improvement using a heuristic pine-scripting approach, incorporating stochastic RSI oscillators, moving averages, and volatility signals.
With default parameters, this strategy, freely available as "XPloRR S&P500 Stock Market Crash Detection Strategy v2" delivered a staggering 2,663,001% profit since February 1871. In the same period, the Buy&Hold strategy "only" generated 162,599% profit. Picture this: a $1,000 investment in 1871 would now be worth $26,630,014 by February 2024. Check it out for yourself loading this strategy.
The script operates as a Stochastic RSI Min-Max script, automatically generating buy and sell alerts on the S&P500 SPX. What sets it apart? The strategy detects "corrections," minimizes losses using Trailing Stop and Moving Average parameters, and strategically re-enters the market after detecting bottoms using tuned Stochastic RSI signals and normalized Volatility thresholds.
Tailor its parameters to your preference, use it for strategic exits and entries, or stick to the Buy&Hold strategy and start new buy trades at regular intervals using buy signals only. In the pursuit of minimizing losses, the script has learned the effectiveness of a 9% trailing stop on trades. As you can clearly see on the upper graph (revolving around 100), the average overall green surfaces (profits) of all trades are much bigger than the average red surfaces (losses). This follows Warren Buffets first rule of trading to "Never lose money" and thus minimizing losses.
Update: Advanced S&P500 Stochastic RSI Min-Max Buy/Sell Alert Generator
I have also created an Alerter script based on the same engine as this script, which auto-generates buy and sell alert signals (via e-mail, in-app push-notifications, pop-ups etc.).
The script is currently fine-tuned for the S&P500 SPX tracker, but parameters can be fine-tuned upon request for other trackers or stocks.
If you are interested in this alerter-version script or fine-tuning other trackers, please drop me a message or mail xplorr at live dot com.
How to use this Strategy?
Select the SPX (S&P500) graph and set the value to "Day" values (top) and set "Auto Fit Data To Screen" (bottom-right).
Select in the Indicators the "XPloRR S&P500 Stock Market Crash Detection Strategy v2" script and set "Auto Fit Data To Screen" (bottom-right)
Look in the strategy tester overview to optimize the values "Percent Profitable" and "Net Profit" (using the strategy settings icon, you can increase/decrease the parameters).
How to interpret the graphical information?
In the SPX graph, you will see the Buy(Blue) and Sell(Purple) labels created by the strategy.
The green/red graph below shows the accumulated profit/loss in % of to the initial buy value of the trade (it revolves around 100%, 110 means 10% profit, 95 means 5% loss)
The small purple blocks indicate out-of-trade periods
The green graph below the zero line is the stochastic RSI buy signal. You can set a threshold (green horizontal line). The vertical green lines show minima below that threshold and indicate possible buy signals.
The blue graph above the zero line is the normalized volatility signal. You can set a threshold (blue horizontal line) affecting buy signals.
The red graph above the zero line is the slower stochastic RSI sell signal. You can set a threshold (red horizontal line). The red areas indicate values above that threshold.
However real exits are triggered if close values are crossing below the trailing stop value or optionally when the fast moving average crosses under the slow one. The red areas above the threshold are rather indicative to show that the SPX is expensive and not ideal to enter. Please note that in bullish periods the red line and areas can stay at a permanent high value, so it is not ideal to use as a strict sell signal. However, when it drops below zero and the green vertical lines appear, these are strong buy signals together with a high volatility.
These Parameters can be changed
Buy Stochastic Lookback
Buy Stochastic Smoother
Buy Threshold
Buy Only After Fall
Minimum % Fall
Sell Stochastic Lookback
Sell Stochastic Smoother
Sell Threshold
Sell Only With Profit
Minimum % Profit
Use Sell MA
Fast MA Sell
Slow MA Sell
MA Sell Threshold
Use Buy Volatility
Volatility Smoother
Volatility Threshold
Use Trailing Stop
Use ATR (iso of a fixed percentage for the trailing stop)
ATR Lookback
Trailing Stop Factor(or fixed percentage if "use ATR" is false)
Trailing Stop Smoother
Important : optimizing and using these parameters is no guarantee for future winning trades!
How RSI Alerts Can Supercharge Your Long-Term Crypto PortfolioBuilding a long-term portfolio demands a strategic approach that goes beyond random buys and impulsive decisions.
Instead, savvy investors employ tools like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify advantageous entry points and navigate the market cycles effectively.
💜 If you appreciate our guides, support us with boost button 💜
Here’s a step-by-step guide on how to harness RSI alerts to fortify your long-term crypto holdings.
Step 1: Spotting Entry Opportunities with RSI < 35
When aiming for long-term crypto accumulation, the goal is to buy assets at opportune prices. Setting up your charts with the RSI indicator and adjusting the lower band to 35 enables you to pinpoint instances where cryptocurrencies in your portfolio might have experienced an unwarranted dip. This can be a golden opportunity to acquire assets for the long run, aligning with the principle of buying low.
Step 2: Steering Clear of Overbought Zones with RSI > 70
Conversely, an RSI reading surpassing 70 signals potential overbought conditions. In such instances, it's prudent to exercise caution. Holding off on new purchases during these periods or even considering exiting certain positions that have seen significant price surges allows you to safeguard your returns. Converting gains into stablecoins during overbought phases enhances liquidity, positioning you strategically for future opportunities.
Step 3: Confirm with Other Indicators & DYOR
RSI functions most effectively when complemented by other indicators. Incorporating tools like Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands, and MACD provides a more comprehensive view of market conditions. Remember, thorough research is crucial. Rely on multiple indicators to reinforce your decision-making process and mitigate risks associated with single-point analyses.
Step 4: Get Timely RSI Alerts On Your Email & TradingView App
Time is of the essence in the volatile crypto market. Instead of constantly monitoring prices across various platforms, set up RSI alerts on TradingView to receive timely notifications. This ensures you don’t miss critical market movements and can respond promptly to favorable conditions or potential risks.
How to Create RSI Alerts on TradingView
Open TradingView: Log in to your TradingView account.
Select the Chart: Open the chart of the cryptocurrency you're monitoring.
Add RSI Indicator: Click on "Indicators" at the top, search for RSI "Relative Strength Index", and add it to your chart.
Set RSI Levels: Adjust RSI levels by clicking on the RSI label on the chart, then edit the Upper and Lower Band levels to your preferred values (e.g., 35 for Lower Band, 70 for Upper Band).
Create Alert: Click on the alarm bell icon at the top of the chart, then select "Add Alert." Choose the condition (crossing above/below RSI level), set the desired RSI level, and customize the notification settings.
Save Alert: Confirm and save your alert. You’ll now receive notifications via email or within the TradingView platform when the specified RSI conditions are met.
Effectively utilizing RSI alerts is a game-changer for long-term crypto investors. By intelligently identifying entry points, avoiding overbought conditions, confirming signals with other indicators, and staying informed with timely alerts, you position yourself for success in the dynamic world of cryptocurrencies. Enhance your portfolio strategy with RSI – a tool that brings precision and efficiency to your crypto investment journey.
Tips on Adjusting the RSI (Part 2) Although the standard setting for the RSI is 70 (overbought) and 30 (oversold), I prefer to adjust the levels to 80 and 20. The purpose of this is to identify the extremely overbought/oversold regions.
In addition to adjusting the levels, I would pay attention to the chart when the RSI enters in the overbought/oversold region (but would hold back on entering a trade)
I would only enter a trade when the RSI turns down/up from the overbought/oversold region.
This would signal that the price is likely to fall/rise as the RSI reverses from the extremes and back within range.
Learning to use the RSI (Part 1)The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a popular momentum oscillator used in technical analysis to identify overbought or oversold conditions in the market. The RSI is measured on a scale from 0 to 100,
RSI values above 70 are often considered overbought, suggesting that the price may be due for a reversal or pullback.
RSI values below 30 are often considered oversold, indicating that the price may be due for a bounce or recovery.
A common mistake most traders will make is to assume that once RSI signals an overbought/oversold condition, the price should drop/rise, hence leading to a sell/buy decision.
In the 2 examples highlighted (solid blue lines), you will notice that although RSI signaled an overbought/oversold condition, the price continued to climb/drop despite being overbought/oversold.
Remember: Prices can be overbought/oversold for an extended period of time
When using any indicator, always remind yourself of what it is measuring and remember that it is just math (not magic). The indicator is supposed to help quantify and help you see things clearer on the chart (rather than numbers).
Check out Part 2 for Tips on Adjusting the RSI
How we have been trading Bitcoin D1How we have been trading Bitcoin (Daily chart) with our indicators + hand-drawn trend lines.
After 10 years of R&D (we have been testing different indicators every day for a decade), we have developed our own Suite of 26 indicators. Here are just a few of them.
Indicators names (from top to bottom):
- Strength
Shows the strength of the market, the direction, pullbacks, equilibrium, and flats.
- Bear&Bull Powers
Shows the battle between the bears and the bulls.
- Angle
Indicates the direction and angle of the trend and the pullbacks.
- Template
Our main central indicator simplifying charts and bringing clarity.
- Steepness
Displays how steep the trend is and comments:
Going Up/Down | Trending | Strong/Weak | Pulling Back | Retracement | Flat | 75% Blue Background | ...
- Odds
11 indicators calculating the odds.
- Probability
75 indicators calculating the probabilities.
Super Swing Strategy - Bollinger Bands, RSI, and ADX Strategy"Super Swing Strategy" - Bollinger Bands, RSI, and ADX Strategy
Indicators Used:
- Bollinger Bands
- Relative Strength Index (RSI)
- Average Directional Index (ADX)
Bollinger Bands for volatility, RSI for overbought and oversold conditions, and ADX for strength of the trend.
How it Works:
Add Bollinger Bands, a 14-period RSI, and a 14-period ADX to your chart.
When the price touches the upper Bollinger Band, the RSI shows overbought conditions (above 70), and the ADX is above 20, it's a potential bearish signal.
A bullish signal occurs when the price touches the lower Bollinger Band, the RSI shows oversold conditions (below 30), and the ADX is above 20.
You can use additional indicators or price action analysis to confirm signals.
Relative Strength Index/RSI Made SimpleThe RSI (Relative Strength Index) is like a tool that helps people who buy and sell stocks and other things to figure out how strong the price of something is. It works by looking at the prices of that thing over a certain period of time, like 14 days, and then putting those prices on a scale from 0 to 100.
🔸When the RSI is high, like over 70, it means the price has gone up a lot and might be too high. When the RSI is low, like under 30, it means the price has gone down a lot and might be too low.
But just looking at the RSI by itself is not enough.
While many traders do use the RSI to buy at the 30 level and sell above the 70 level, this is not the only way to use the indicator. (As shown below)
🔸The RSI should be used in conjunction with other technical indicators and fundamental analysis to make informed trading decisions. In fact, relying solely on these levels can lead to missed opportunities and suboptimal trading decisions.
🔸It's also worth noting that the RSI can be used to identify bullish and bearish trends. When the RSI is above 50, it is considered bullish, indicating that the market is trending upwards. When the RSI is below 50, it is considered bearish, indicating that the market is trending downwards.
🔸While the 70 and 30 levels are popular levels to buy and sell, traders can also use other points based on how price reacts at those levels. For example, if the RSI reaches 80, it may indicate an especially strong upward trend, while a drop to 20 may indicate an especially strong downward trend. Traders should use their own judgment and analysis to determine which levels are most appropriate for their trading strategy. You can also find that as the name suggest (Relative Strength) traders should look for levels in price action where there is a strong reaction and then check to see at what level on the RSI this occurred because it might happen again once we got to that RSI value. (As seen below )
So as you can see in the image above you do not need to wait for price to go to levels 80 or 20 in order to look for reactions you can look at how price has reacted at previous levels before and monitor those levels in the future.
Finally lets talk about divergence.
🔸RSI divergence is a trading strategy that involves looking for differences between the movement of the price of an asset and the movement of the RSI indicator.
When there is RSI divergence, it means that the price of an asset is moving in a different direction than the RSI indicator, which can signal a potential change in trend.
There are two types of RSI divergence: bullish and bearish. Bullish divergence occurs when the price of an asset is making lower lows, but the RSI indicator is making higher lows. This can suggest that the price of the asset is oversold and may be due for a rebound.
Conversely, bearish divergence occurs when the price of an asset is making higher highs, but the RSI indicator is making lower highs. This can suggest that the price of the asset is overbought and may be due for a correction.
Traders can use RSI divergence to help them make trading decisions. For example, if they see bullish divergence, they may consider buying the asset, while if they see bearish divergence, they may consider selling the asset. However, traders should always use RSI divergence in conjunction with other technical indicators and fundamental analysis to make informed trading decisions.
Example is shown below:
🔸Settings of the RSI:
Traders can customize the settings of the RSI to suit their trading style and preferences. They can adjust the number of periods used in the calculation, which can range from as low as 2 to as high as 200 or more, depending on the timeframe being analyzed.
In addition to the default settings, traders can also adjust the overbought and oversold levels of the RSI. By default, the RSI is considered overbought when it is above 70 and oversold when it is below 30. Traders can adjust these levels to suit their trading style and the specific asset being analyzed.
Traders can also add other indicators on top of the RSI to help them analyze the market. For example, they may add a moving average to the RSI to help them identify trend direction and potential areas of support and resistance.
______________________________________________
Also keep in mind that the RSI can be used as a reversal tool and also a trend trading tool. For example, when the RSI reaches extreme levels of overbought or oversold, it can signal a potential reversal in the price trend. When the RSI reaches these levels, traders can look for other confirming indicators or price action to help them decide whether to enter a trade in the opposite direction.
On the other hand, as a trend trading tool, traders can use the RSI to identify the strength of a trend and to help them decide when to enter or exit a trade. When the RSI is above 50, it can indicate a bullish trend, and when it is below 50, it can indicate a bearish trend. Traders can use the RSI to help them identify potential areas of support and resistance within the trend and to enter trades in the direction of the trend.
It's important to note that traders should not rely solely on the RSI to make trading decisions. The RSI should be used in conjunction with other technical indicators, such as moving averages, and fundamental analysis to get a complete picture of the market. By using the RSI as both a reversal tool and a trend trading tool, traders can better identify potential trading opportunities and make more informed trading decisions.
Cyclical Characteristics of Market Performance IndicatorsFrom "Cyclical Characteristics of Performance Indicators", IFTA Journal 2020.
"Linear Momentum and Performance Indicators", IFTA Journal 2019.
Indicators
Integral Force Index (Linear Momentum Index)
Integral Pressure Index
Integral Strength Index
Phase 4
It is not necessary that price levels increase till the end of the phase.
* This technique blends the market adjusted momentum, market pressure, market strength and time cycles.
Akram
DXY THEORY YOU HAVEN'T HEARD YET!THE DXY IS ONLY MADE UP OF 6 MAJOR CURRENCIES MEASURED AGAINST THE DOLLAR:
EUR (57.6% OF THE WEIGHTING),
JPY (13.6%),
GBP (11.9%),
CAD (9.1%),
SEK (4.2%),
CHF (3.6%)
A MISTAKE MANY PEOPLE MAKE WHEN PREDICTING THE DOLLAR'S STRENGTH IS USING THE DXY AS A GAUGE FOR ALL CURRENCIES' PERFORMANCES AGAINST THE DOLLAR!
EMERGING MARKET AND MANY OTHER MAJOR CURRENCIES ARE NOT INCLUDED IN THE DXY!
RECENTLY, PETER SCHIFF PLACED A BET WITH BRENT JOHNSON ON THE DIRECTION OF THE DXY, STATING THAT THE DXY WOULD BE WEAKER THAN 99 IN JANUARY 2021, WHILE BRENT JOHNSON PREDICTED IT WOULD BE HIGHER!
PETER'S THEORY CLAIMS THAT THE CURRENCIES OF PRODUCTIVE COUNTRIES WILL STRENGTHEN AGAINST THE DOLLAR FOR MANY OBVIOUS REASONS, WHILE BRENT CLAIMS THAT THE MASSIVE SHORTAGE OF U$Ds WORLDWIDE WILL ACT AS DEMAND ON THE DOLLAR, INCREASING IT'S VALUE AGAINST OTHER CURRENCIES!
I BELIEVE THEY COULD BE BOTH RIGHT, AND THAT PETER MAY HAVE MADE A MISTAKE IN USING THE DXY AS A BAROMETER:
BRENT JOHNSON IS RIGHT BECAUSE: THE WESTERN FINANCIAL SYSTEM WILL ABSORB ALL U$Ds CREATED, AND EUR, GBP, CHF AND CAD WILL ESPECIALLY SUFFER BECAUSE OF THE EURODOLLAR SYSTEM! WESTERN ECONOMIES COULD ALSO WEAKEN SEVERELY WHICH WOULD DEVALUE THEIR CURRENCIES IN ADDITION TO A EURODOLLAR SQUEEZE!
PETER SCHIFF IS RIGHT BECAUSE: AS COUNTRIES NOT INCLUDED IN THE DXY DIMINISH THEIR TRADE WITH THE U.S.A., AS THEY CEASE USING THE EURODOLLAR TO SETTLE FORMS OF TRADE NOT INVOLVING THE U.S.A. (MAINLY OIL), AND AS THE AMOUNT OF U$Ds' CREATED IN EXCESS OF THEIR DEMAND FOR DOLLARS INCREASES, PRODUCTIVE ASIAN AND EMERGING MARKET CURRENCIES WILL ABSOLUTELY STRENGTHEN AGAINST THE DOLLAR, BUT THIS WILL NOT APPEAR IN THE DXY!
IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE THAT THE FEDERAL RESERVE MEETS THE GLOBAL DEMAND FOR DOLLARS, AND THEN SOME, WHICH WOULD DEVALUE THE DOLLAR AGAINST ALL CURRENCIES, AND I BELIEVE THIS IS THE CASE, BUT I DO NOT DISCOUNT THE POSSIBILITY EXPLAINED ABOVE!
How to Infer Currency Strength Without ANY IndicatorsToday I received a question regarding what indicators or websites to use to infer and compare the strength between related currencies. I responded with a long winded explanation as to why it is not necessary to use indicators or websites to infer such information because it can be realized solely through price action. If we look at the daily range today on GBPUSD, EURUSD, and EURGBP which resulted from the huge miss on the NFP numbers, we can gauge the strength between the EUR and the GBP versus the dollar as well as the EUR vs the GBP.
In looking at the daily ranges of these pairs we will first notice that they all had a strong move to the upside. This of course being due to the weakness and downside movement on the dollar ultimately resulting form the miss on the NFP number. Therefore right off the bat we can infer that foreign leading currency pairs should be strong against the dollar today and we can expect to see pairs like the GBPUSD and EURUSD moving to the upside. That is exactly what we see here... price moved as expected.
Now... what if you want to compare the relative strength of the GBP vs the EUR as it relates to the dollar weakness. Well then we will need to bring the cross pair EURGBP into the picture. The EURGBP cross pair will tell you how strong the EUR is vs the GBP. We see that the daily range of the EURGBP cross pair is roughly 90 pips and as of right now this pair has held that range indicating the EUR strength that we see clearly on the EURUSD. The daily range of the EURUSD is roughly 215 pips and it too has held this range indicating its strength. Since most of the day's trading is done for being that it is a Friday we can expect to see these prices hold through to the close of the day.
So we have concluded now that the EUR is for sure strong right now against the dollar and we are thinking since EURGBP is so strong as well that this rally in the GBPUSD might be misleading and the GBP might not be all that strong right now. By looking at the GBPUSD we can see that it's daily range was roughly 160 pips but as of right now it has already give up roughly 1/3 of that range and price is showing signs of continued downside movement. Seeing this we can conclude that the EUR is certainly stronger than the GBP right now and going into next week if we continue to see upside movement on EURUSD and EURGBP we can expect to see downside movement on GBPUSD.
We hope you found this to be insightful and if you did you should definitely check out our YouTube channel goo.gl/g8sWn3 where we do live streams every Monday Wednesday and Friday at 7 p.m. eastern standard time.
Enjoy your weekend!