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Wave Analysis

WHY DO YOU KEEP ASKING ABOUT PRICE SO MUCH?WHY DO YOU KEEP ASKING ABOUT PRICE SO MUCH? The problem lies in the wrong frame of reference when you first enter the market. Faulty input leads to flawed thinking, resulting in poor actions and bad outcomes. I constantly receive questions like: “Can I buy at this price yet?” “Should I wait for a lower price?” “Is this the bottom?” “BTC is at 108k, is it still good to LONG?” “It’s at 123k now, will it go to 180k?” All of these revolve around PRICE, but in reality, price isn't what you should focus on. What's important is understanding market movements and trends. Many of you DCA blindly at resistance, support, or based on on-chain data, thinking the price will reverse or bounce… but it doesn’t. So why? --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Let me give you an analogy: Imagine you're hiking the Alps. You start early in the morning. When you're tired, you rest. When the scenery is beautiful, you stop and enjoy it. When you're thirsty or hungry, you take a break. Eventually, you reach the top (PEAK). Did you ever ask your friend along the way: "How many meters have we climbed?" "How many meters left to the top?" Of course not. You just know you're ascending, and when you reach the peak, you’ll know. Uptrend is like climbing up, downtrend is climbing down. You don’t need to know your exact altitude — you just need to know whether you’re going up or down, and when you’re at the top, you’ll feel it. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The market is the same. When it goes up, you know it’s going up. When it goes down, you know it’s going down. When it’s the peak, you’ll know. When it’s the bottom, you’ll feel it. There's no need to obsess over: “Is this the top?” “Is this the bottom?” Why? Because when you're fixated on the real-time price, without understanding market movement, you’re being led by price — not leading your trades. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- In summary: Stop letting price control your mind. Focus on trends and market movement, and you’ll know where you are. When climbing, you know you’re climbing. When peaking, you’ll know it’s time to pause. Simple as that.
Education
by rainbow_sniper
1
Fibonacci Retracement: The Hidden Key to Better EntriesIf you’ve ever wondered how professional traders predict where price might pull back before continuing... the secret lies in Fibonacci Retracement. In this post, you’ll learn: What Fibonacci retracement is Why it works How to use it on your charts (step-by-step) Pro tips to increase accuracy in the market 🧠 What Is Fibonacci Retracement?: Fibonacci Retracement is a technical analysis tool that helps traders identify potential support or resistance zones where price is likely to pause or reverse during a pullback. It’s based on a mathematical sequence called the Fibonacci Sequence, found everywhere in nature — from galaxies to sunflowers — and yes, even in the markets. The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones, starting with 0 and 1. The sequence typically begins with 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, and so on. This pattern can be expressed as a formula: F(n) = F(n-1) + F(n-2), where F(n) is the nth Fibonacci number. The key Fibonacci levels traders use are: 23.6% 38.2% 50% 61.8% 78.6% These levels represent percentages of a previous price move, and they give us reference points for where price might pull back before resuming its trend and where we can anticipate price to move before showing support or resistance to the trend you are following. 💡Breakdown of Each Fib Level: 💎 0.236 (23.6%) – Shallow Pullback What it indicates: Weak retracement, often signals strong trend momentum. Buyers/sellers are aggressively holding the trend. Best action: Aggressive entry zone for continuation traders. Look for momentum signals (break of minor structure, bullish/bearish candles). Stay out of the market until you see more confirmation. 💎 0.382 (38.2%) – First Strong Area of Interest What it indicates: Healthy pullback in a trending market. Seen as a key area for trend followers to step in. Best action: Look for entry confirmation: bullish/bearish engulfing, pin bars, Elliott Waves, or break/retest setups. Ideal for setting up trend continuation trades. Stop Loss 0.618 Level 💎 0.500 (50.0%) – Neutral Ground What it indicates: Often marks the midpoint of a significant price move. Market is undecided, can go either way. Best action: Wait for additional confirmation before entering. Combine with support/resistance or a confluence zone. Useful for re-entry on strong trends with good risk/reward. Stop Loss 1.1 Fib Levels 💎 0.618 (61.8%) – The “Golden Ratio” What it indicates: Deep pullback, often seen as the last line of defense before trend reversal. High-probability area for big players to enter or add to positions. Best action: Look for strong reversal patterns (double bottoms/tops, engulfing candles). Excellent area for entering swing trades with tight risk and high reward. Use confluence (structure zones, moving averages, psychological levels, Elliott Waves). Wait for close above or below depending on the momentum of the market. Stop Loss 1.1 Fib Level 💎 0.786 (78.6%) – Deep Correction Zone What it indicates: Very deep retracement. Often a final “trap” zone before price reverses. Risk of trend failure is higher. Best action: Only trade if there's strong reversal evidence. Use smaller position size or avoid unless other confluences are aligned. Can act as an entry for counter-trend trades in weaker markets. Stop Loss around 1.1 and 1.2 Fib Levels ⏱️Best Timeframe to Use Fibs for Day Traders and Swing Traders: Day trading: Day traders, focused on capturing short-term price movements and making quick decisions within a single day, typically utilize shorter timeframes for Fibonacci retracement analysis, such as 15-minute through hourly charts. They may also use tighter Fibonacci levels (like 23.6%, 38.2%, and 50%) to identify more frequent signals and exploit short-term fluctuations. Combining Fibonacci levels with other indicators such as moving averages, RSI, or MACD, and focusing on shorter timeframes (e.g., 5-minute or 15-minute charts) can enhance signal confirmation for day traders. However, relying on very short timeframes for Fibonacci can lead to less reliable retracement levels due to increased volatility and potential for false signals. Swing trading: Swing traders aim to capture intermediate trends, which necessitates giving trades more room to fluctuate over several days or weeks. They typically prefer utilizing broader Fibonacci levels (like 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%) to identify significant retracement points for entering and exiting trades. Swing traders often focus on 4-hour and daily charts for their analysis, and may even consult weekly charts for a broader market perspective. 🎯 Why Does Fibonacci Work?: Fibonacci levels work because of: Mass psychology – many traders use them Natural rhythm – markets move in waves, not straight lines Institutional footprint – smart money often scales in around key retracement zones It's not magic — it's structure, and it's surprisingly reliable when used correctly. 🛠 How to Draw Fibonacci Retracement (Step-by-Step): Let’s say you want to trade XAU/USD (Gold), and price just had a strong bullish run. ✏️ Follow These Steps: Identify the swing low (start of move) Identify the swing high (end of move) Use your Fibonacci tool to draw from low to high (for a bullish move) The tool will automatically mark levels like 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, etc. These levels act as pullback zones, and your job is to look for entry confirmation around them. 🔁 For bearish moves, draw from high to low. (I will show a bearish example later) Now let’s throw some examples and pictures into play to get a better understanding. 📈 XAU/USD BULLISH Example: 1.First we Identify the direction of the market: 2.Now we set our fibs by looking for confirmations to get possible entry point: Lets zoom in a bit: Now that we have a break of the trendline we wait for confirmation and look for confluence: Now we set our fibs from the last low to the last high: This will act as our entry point for the trade. 3. Now we can look for our stop loss and take profit levels: Stop Loss: For the stop loss I like to use the fib levels 1.1 and 1.2 when I make an entry based upon the 0.618 level. These levels to me typically indicate that the trade idea is invalid once crossed because it will usually violate the prior confirmations Take Profit: For the take profit I like to use the Fib levels 0.236, 0, -0.27, and -0.618. This is based upon your personal risk tolerance and overall analysis. You can use 0.236 and 0 level as areas to take partial profits. Re-Entry Point Using Elliott Waves as Confluence Example: This is an example of how I used Elliott Waves to enter the trade again from the prior entry point. If you don’t know what Elliott Waves are I will link my other educational post so you can read up on it and have a better understanding my explanation to follow. After seeing all of our prior confirmations I am now confident that our trend is still strongly bullish so I will mark my Waves and look for an entry point. As we can see price dipped into the 0.38-0.5 Fib level and rejected it nicely which is also in confluence with the Elliott Wave Theory for the creation of wave 5 which is the last impulse leg before correction. 🔻 In a downtrend: Same steps, but reverse the direction — draw from high to low and look to short the pullback. XAU/USD Example: As you can see the same basic principles applied for bearish movement as well. ⚠️ Pro Tips for Accuracy: ✅ Always use Fib in confluence with: Market structure (higher highs/lows or lower highs/lows) Key support/resistance zones Volume or momentum indicators Candle Patterns Elliott Waves, etc. ❌ Don’t trade Fib levels blindly — they are zones, not guarantees. 📊 Use higher timeframes for cleaner levels (4H, Daily) 💡 Final Thought Fibonacci retracement doesn’t predict the future — it reveals probability zones where price is likely to react. When combined with structure and confirmation, it becomes one of the most reliable tools for new and experienced traders alike. 🔥 Drop a comment if this helped — or if you want a Part 2 where I break down Fibonacci Extensions and how to use them for take-profit targets. 💬 Tag or share with a beginner who needs to see this!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by WrightWayInvestments
Understanding Elliott Wave Theory with BTC/USDIntroduction to Elliott Wave Theory: Elliott Wave Theory is a popular method of technical analysis that seeks to predict the future price movement of financial markets. Developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott in the 1930s, the theory is based on the idea that market movements follow a repetitive pattern, driven by investor psychology. At the core of Elliott’s theory is the idea that markets move in a 5-wave pattern in the direction of the trend, followed by a 3-wave corrective pattern. These waves can be seen on all timeframes and help traders identify potential entry and exit points in the market. Key Concepts of Elliott Wave Theory: 1. Impulse Waves (The Trend) 2. These are the waves that move in the direction of the overall trend. They are labeled 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and represent the price movement in the main direction of the market. * Wave 1: The initial move up (or down in a bearish market). I like to mark up the first wave how I do my Fibs, from the point where price showed a major impulse. * Wave 2: A correction of Wave 1 (it doesn’t go lower than the starting point of Wave 1). * Wave 3: The longest and most powerful wave in the trend. * Wave 4: A smaller correction in the direction of the trend. * Wave 5: The final push in the direction of the trend, which can be shorter and weaker than Wave 3. 3. Corrective Waves (The Pullbacks) 4. After the five-wave impulse, the market enters a corrective phase, moving against the trend. This corrective phase is generally a 3-wave pattern, labeled A, B, C: * Wave A: The initial correction, typically smaller than Wave 3. * Wave B: A temporary move against the correction (it often confuses traders who think the trend has resumed). * Wave C: The final move against the trend, usually the strongest and most aggressive. How to Implement Elliott Wave on BTC/USD: Let’s break down how you can apply the Elliott Wave Theory to BTC/USD using a simple example. 1. Identify the Trend 2. Start by identifying the current market trend for BTC/USD. Are we in an uptrend or downtrend? This will determine whether you’re looking for a 5-wave impulse up (bullish) or down (bearish). 3. Locate the Waves 4. Look for the five-wave structure in the trend direction. Once you identify a potential impulse move, label the waves accordingly: * Wave 1: A new uptrend starts. * Wave 2: A small pullback (usually less than the size of Wave 1). * Wave 3: A significant surge in price, often the most volatile. * Wave 4: A smaller pullback or consolidation. * Wave 5: The final push higher, which might show signs of exhaustion. 5. Corrective Phase 6. After completing the 5-wave impulse, expect a corrective 3-wave pattern (A, B, C). These corrections typically last longer than expected and can often confuse traders. * Wave A: Price starts to reverse. * Wave B: A retracement that may confuse traders into thinking the trend is resuming. * Wave C: A strong pullback that brings the price even lower. 7. Use Fibonacci Levels as confluence 8. One of the most powerful tools in Elliott Wave analysis is Fibonacci retracement levels. You can use these to predict potential levels where Wave 2 and Wave 4 could end, or where Wave C might complete the correction. Common retracement levels are 38.2%-50% for Wave 4, and 50-61.8% For Waves 2 and B but keep in mind, these wave can retrace up to 100% before the wave analysis becomes invalid. But ideally these points are where you look to make an entry. Wave 2 Example: This one hit the golden spot (0.5-0.618) perfectly and continued to push upward. Wave B and C Example: This example hit closer to the 0.786 level which is also a key level for retracement. Wave 4 Example: This one hit the golden spot (0.382-0.5) for Wave 4 perfectly before continue the bullish momentum. I try to use the RED levels below (1.1 and 1.2) as my invalidation (Stop Loss) levels and the GREEN levels (-0.27 and -0.618) as my Take Profit levels. Depending on your goals you can also use Fib Levels 0.236 and 0 as partial Take Profit levels. 9. Confirm with Indicators 10. To validate your Elliott Wave counts, use other indicators like the RSI (Relative Strength Index), MACD, or Moving Averages. For example, a Wave 3 might occur when the RSI is above 50, indicating strength in the trend. In this example you can see the RSI cross the 50 threshold and the 3rd Wave form. Continuation after the Wave is complete: Tips for Trading with Elliott Wave Theory: * Stay Flexible: Elliott Wave Theory is not set in stone. If the market doesn’t follow the expected pattern, adjust your wave counts accordingly. * Don’t Rely on One Timeframe: A 5-wave structure on one timeframe may be part of a larger wave pattern on a higher timeframe. Always analyze multiple timeframes. * Wave Personality: Waves don’t always look the same as stated earlier. Wave 2 can retrace up to 100% of Wave 1 and Wave 4 should generally not overlap Wave 1 or this may invalidate the Wave structure. * Risk Management: Always use proper risk management techniques. No theory is perfect, so make sure you have a stop-loss in place to manage your risk. Conclusion: Using Elliott Wave Theory on BTC/USD: The Elliott Wave Theory can be a powerful tool for analyzing and forecasting price movements. By identifying the 5-wave impulse and 3-wave corrective patterns, you can gain insights into potential market direction. Just remember to use it alongside other tools and indicators for confirmation, and don’t forget to manage your risk. As you apply it to BTC/USD or any other asset, remember that the market doesn’t always follow the "ideal" patterns, and flexibility is key. Practice on different timeframes, refine your skills, and use the theory as a part of your overall trading strategy. Final Thoughts: If you're just starting, don't get discouraged if you miss a wave or two. Trading is a journey, and with patience and practice, you'll begin to spot these patterns more naturally. Whether you’re analyzing Bitcoin's price action or any other asset, Elliott Wave Theory can give you a deeper understanding of market psychology. Good Luck and Happy Trading!
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by WrightWayInvestments
43
Negative Risk/Reward: Hidden Edge or Hidden Danger?It’s a topic that sparks plenty of debate. 👉 Can a negative risk/reward ratio actually be part of a winning strategy? Here’s our take, split between intraday trading and swing trading: 📉 Intraday Trading ☑️ Pros: • Can work in high‑probability setups (mean‑reversion, range scalps) • Quick targets often get hit before stops • Stops can sit beyond liquidity grabs to protect the trade ⚠️ Cons: • Needs a consistently high win rate • Prone to slippage and fast spikes • Can lead to over‑trading if discipline slips If used, risk must always be pre‑defined — not adjusted mid‑trade. ⏳ Swing Trading ☑️ Pros: • Occasionally helps avoid being stopped on deeper pullbacks • Gives breathing room in trending markets ⚠️ Cons: • Smaller targets vs bigger stops rarely pay off over time • Lower win rate on higher timeframes makes it hard to sustain • Exposed to news gaps & weekend risk Overall, swing trading works best with positive R/R setups (e.g., 2:1 or higher). ☑️ Summary: Negative R/R can work — but only if: • The setup is statistically proven & high probability • You keep risk strictly pre‑defined • It fits the pair, timeframe & volatility Most traders are better off sticking to positive R/R — but for experienced scalpers, negative R/R can be a tool rather than a trap. 💭 Do you use negative risk/reward in your strategy? Only intraday, or do you apply it to swing trades too? Drop your thoughts below —we're curious to hear how others approach it! 👇 Thanks again for the likes, boosts, and follows — really appreciate the support! Trade safe and all the best for the week ahead! BluetonaFX
Education
by BluetonaFX
Institutional Adoption of Cryptocurrencies and Regulatory ReformIn 2025, the cryptocurrency market entered a new phase of maturity, driven by the active participation of institutional players and global regulatory reforms. Just a few years ago, cryptocurrencies were associated with decentralized anarchism, but today they are being integrated by major banks, investment funds, and even governments. The U.S. and the Digital Dollar A pivotal moment came when the U.S. passed a law establishing the legal status of stablecoins, especially those backed by fiat currency and regulated at the federal level. Some of these are now regarded as digital versions of the U.S. dollar and have received support from the Federal Reserve. This enabled banks to use such tokens for settlements, cross-border transfers, and liquidity storage. With the growing legitimacy of cryptocurrencies like Ethereum and Bitcoin, large-scale investments from institutional players became feasible. Funds such as BlackRock and Fidelity not only launched their own Bitcoin-based ETFs but also began offering tokenized bonds and other hybrid financial instruments built on blockchain. Europe and MiCA 2.0 The European Union is not lagging behind. In 2025, the updated MiCA 2.0 (Markets in Crypto-Assets) regulation came into force, expanding the scope of oversight to include DeFi, NFTs, and AI smart contracts. Exchanges and wallets are now required to comply with strict KYC/AML standards and provide proof of reserves. This significantly reduced fraudulent activity and increased trust in the industry. The digital euro, though limited in circulation, has become part of the EU's economic ecosystem. It is actively used for distributing social benefits, paying for government services, and piloting smart city projects. Consequences and Outlook New regulatory frameworks have spurred the emergence of unique hybrid solutions — for example, the tokenization of real estate and government bonds. Institutional investors are eager to acquire such assets, valuing their transparency, liquidity, and diversification potential. This has also changed the behavior of retail investors: trust has increased, more educational platforms have appeared, and safer investment tools have become available. Looking ahead, we can expect even deeper integration of cryptocurrencies with traditional finance. In the next two years, the launch of international CBDC platforms, new cryptobanks, and decentralized exchanges with institutional support is anticipated.
FX:CRYPTOSTOCKEducation
by CryptoLifeone
Mastering Risk Management: The Trader’s Real EdgeYou’ve all heard it, “Cut your losses and let your winners run.” Simple words — but living by them is what separates survivors from blown accounts. Here’s some tips on how to approach risk management when trading: ☑️ Risk is always predefined: Before I click Buy or Sell, I know exactly how much I’m willing to lose. If you don’t define risk upfront, the market will do it for you. ☑️ Position sizing: Never risk more than 1–2% of your account per trade. Small losses mean you can keep taking high‑probability setups without fear. ☑️ Always use a stop‑loss: No stop? You’re not trading — you’re gambling. ☑️ Stop‑loss discipline: Place stops where the market proves you wrong — not where it “feels comfortable.” Then leave them alone. ☑️ Focus on risk/reward, not win rate: A 40% win rate can still be profitable if your average reward outweighs your risk. ☑️ Risk/reward ratio: Only take trades with at least a 2:1 or 3:1 potential. You don’t need to win every trade — your winners should pay for your losers (and more). Remember: “It’s not about being right all the time. It’s about not losing big when you’re wrong.” Risk management won’t make your trades perfect — but it will keep you trading tomorrow. And in this game, staying in the game is everything. 💭 How do you handle risk in your trading? Drop your strategy or tip in the comments — let’s share and learn together! 👇 Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, we appreciate the support! All the best for a good week ahead. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
Education
by BluetonaFX
2
My Ideal Elliott Wave Entry ModelThe IMSETT 3/C Entry Model. Every trader wants to catch the big moves the ones that pay quickly and decisively. In Elliott Wave, those moves often come during Wave 3. It's the strongest part of the trend, and when you're positioned early, the risk-to-reward is unmatched. But not every opportunity hands you a clean Wave 3 on a silver platter. Sometimes you’re looking at a Wave C instead. That’s where the 3/C Entry Model comes in. It’s designed to get you aligned with high-conviction moves—whether the market is in a trend or a zig zag. Here’s the edge: both Wave 3 and Wave C often start the same way—a strong, motive push off an AOI (area of interest), followed by a retracement. That shared structure gives us an anchor. Whether we’re labeling it a 3 or a C doesn’t change the fact that the initial impulse gives us clarity, direction, and a place to manage risk. That’s what the IMSETT Model is built around: Identify Motive Scout Entry Plan Track Trade Each step is focused, actionable, and repeatable. You're not trying to outguess the market—you’re reacting to structure, preparing for common behavior, and executing with intent. I do have a video with a walk through. This just the way I look for clarity in setups. As with everything in trading, nothing will work every time so do your own research this is not financial advice. Cheers! Trade Safe, Trade Clarity.
Education
by CryptoKnee
War news are actually good news for Crypto & GoldI Love Global Peace and hope all Wars end soon. Here are my thoughts about Crypto when war Starts between two countries or more. i think After wars so many reasons will help Crypto to see gain specially for Bitcoin which is the King of this market. Some of the major Reasons in my view are: A. Countries currency or Markets start to fall : Usually with starting of war, we have two countries that are involved and due to negative effects of war on different Economic parameters cause weaker country or both currencies lose the power of Their currencies and it start To dump. weak countries Bank can get hacked or worst scenario a countries currency can get 0 by the time. most of the times Their stock markets also Face with huge losses. B. People start to Buy more Gold or Bitcoin and ... with things mentioned above and other reasons their People start to Buy more Crypto usually and Metals like Gold. C. People start to migrate to other countries with their Crypto Wallets Only Some start to leave their countries and Sell their Cars homes and ... and turn them to BTC or... and transfer their money and life to a peaceful country. D. Spies and bribery gets more in those countries which all is done with Crypto usually Corruption & Spy jobs and ... increases in those countries usually and the money on this Fields usually transfer Via Crypto or Gold and Silver which is harder to track. And with these reasons which mentioned Above usually in the past all the Attention comes to Metal like Gold and the Value of it increase in Wars, but now Days Bitcoin(&Crypto Tokens) also gets more value and attention in war in my personal View and See gain in price too. DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision)) <<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Education
by MMBTtrader
24
A Step-by-step Guide to One of the Chart Analysis Method: VOLTASHello Friends, Welcome to RK_Chaarts, Today we're going to learn step-by-step guide to one of the chart analysis Method by analyzing a chart of " VOLTAS LTD. " to identify a trend change opportunity.(Educational Post). Let's get started! Applying Elliott Wave Theory According to Elliott Wave theory, we can see that the high of September 20, 2024, marked the end of the wave III of the cycle degree in Red. After that, a corrective wave unfolded, which reached its low on February 1, 2025. This was the wave IV of the cycle degree in Red, with a low of 1135. The approximately 6 months correction ended here, and now the wave V of the cycle degree in Red has begun. Within this, there will be five sub-divisions of primary degree in black, which we can label as waves ((1)) to ((5)). Of these, waves ((1)) and ((2)) are complete, and we are possibly now in wave ((3)) of the Primary degree in Black. Within wave ((3)), there will be five sub-divisions of intermediate degree in blue, of which waves (1) and (2) are complete, and the (3)rd intermediate degree in Blue is underway. Within this, there will be five sub-divisions waves of minor degree in red, of which 1 and 2 are complete, and today we saw the breakout of the 3 of the (3). Possibly, this is a momentum move according to Elliott Wave theory, which we can call the third of the third of the third. Now that we have this low of wave IV at ₹1135, it should not go below this level according to Elliott Wave theory. If it does, our current wave count will be invalidated. That's why we have an invalidation level within Elliott Wave, which according to this chart is at ₹1135. This low should not be breached. If it is breached for any reason, we'll have to re-analyze our entire count, and the counts could be different. However, if this low holds, then the minimum target for wave V, based on the projection of wave theory, would be at least 100% to 123% of the fall from top III to bottom IV, which could take it to around ₹2000 to ₹2100. Shown in chart image below Possible Elliott Wave Counts on Daily Time Frame Along with Invalidation level & Target levels. Dow Theory Suggests now Up Trend After forming the top of wave III, we can see that the price has moved downwards in a pattern of lower highs and lower lows. However, after completing the bottom of wave IV, the price has started forming a pattern of higher highs and higher lows, indicating that an uptrend has begun. This is a clear signal that supports our wave counts moving upwards, i.e., towards an impulse move, based on Dow theory. The successful completion of wave IV and the initiation of the higher highs and higher lows pattern suggest a strong bullish trend, and we can expect the price to continue moving upwards. Shown in chart image below Breakout with good intensity of Volumes In this chart, we've observed a rounding bottom type chart pattern, and today, we've seen a breakout above the upper resistance trend line. Today's candle volume is also significantly higher than the average. Shown in chart images below Chart Pattern: Rounding Bottom Resistance Trendline Breakout with Good Intensity of Volumes Supporting Indicators & Moving Averages Also we can see that the current price has closed above the 50-day EMA and 100-day EMA. Additionally, indicators like RSI is above 60 and showing momentum, MACD is positive and above the zero line, and the histogram is also showing a breakout. Shown in chart images below Breakout above 50DEMA & 100DEMA RSI Breakout above 60+ on Daily Time Frame Bullish side Breakout in Histogram on Daily Time Frame MACD running Positive & above zero line on Daily Time Frame Bollinger Band on Weekly If we look at the weekly time frame, the current week's candle is above the middle Bollinger Band, indicating that the price is above the 20-period simple moving average on the weekly time frame. which is very good sign. Shown in chart image below Price Trading above 20 SMA on Weekly Time Frame (Mid.Bollinger Band) Significant Observation in Price Action & Volumes Before the breakout, the rounding bottom chart pattern that was forming at the bottom can be interpreted as accumulation, as a red bearish candle with high volume appeared, marking the highest volume. Notably, no candle has closed below the low of that candle since then. Although a gap-down candle occurred, it opened and closed bullish, indicating no selling pressure below that level. The absence of bearish follow-up and the subsequent breakout today are significant observations, combining price action and volume. This is a positive sign suggesting the price may move upwards. Shown in chart image below This is how chart analysis is done for investment purposes. We've seen many signs in our favor, and yet we still use a stop loss to prevent significant losses in case the stock or market moves unexpectedly. This is what stop loss is all about - minimizing potential losses. We've also discussed the target projection based on Wave theory, 123.6% level, which we explained through an image. So, friends, I hope you've understood the entire conclusion and learned how to analyze charts using different methods, one of which we shared with you today. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com/u/RK_Chaarts/ is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:VOLTASEducation
by RK_Chaarts
17
Do You Have a Trading Edge?A Practical Guide to Figuring Out if What You’re Doing Is Actually Working There comes a point in every trader’s journey when you stop asking “what indicator should I use” and start asking something much more important. Is what I’m doing actually working? It’s an honest question. When the P&L has been chopping sideways or dipping red for weeks, it’s easy to feel stuck. Maybe you’ve been grinding for months, jumping from one setup to another, but still not seeing consistent progress. Before you give up or double down, it’s worth stepping back and looking at the one thing that matters most. Do you have an edge? What Is a Trading Edge, Really? A trading edge isn’t about being right all the time. It isn’t some secret indicator or a feeling in your gut. It’s a cold, hard number. Your edge is the amount of money you can expect to make or lose on average every time you place a trade. If the number is positive, you’re on the right side of probability. If it’s negative, then no amount of motivation or mindset work will stop the account from bleeding over time. Thankfully, there’s a simple formula that tells you exactly where you stand. The Formula: No Hype, Just Maths Edge per trade = (Average Win × Win Rate) − (Average Loss × Loss Rate) Or more simply: Edge = W × R – L × (1−R) Where: • W is your average winning trade in pounds • L is your average losing trade (as a positive number) • R is your win rate, written as a decimal (so 55% becomes 0.55) This is your trading edge. It’s not a concept. It’s a number. And it either works or it doesn’t. Let’s Put It Into Practice Say you win 45% of the time. Your average winning trade makes £180. Your average losing trade costs £120. Plug the numbers in. Edge = £180 × 0.45 minus £120 × 0.55 Edge = £81 minus £66 Edge = £15 That £15 is your expected value per trade. So if you take 100 trades following that same pattern, you’d expect to make £1,500 before costs. That’s the kind of maths you want working in your favour. It’s not glamorous. It’s not loud. But it’s sustainable. What if the Edge Is Negative? This is where a lot of traders lose heart. But it’s actually good news. If the formula tells you the edge isn’t there, you can stop guessing. It means you’ve identified the problem. A negative edge just tells you that, on balance, either: • you’re winning too infrequently • your losses are too large • your winners aren’t big enough And every one of those can be adjusted. This isn’t about tearing down your whole system. Often, a small shift in one variable is all it takes to turn a negative edge into a positive one. Three Ways to Nudge the Numbers in Your Favour 1. Improve the win rate slightly Look for trades with more confluence. Stick to clearer trends. Avoid taking marginal setups during unpredictable conditions. You don’t need a huge jump, even going from 40% to 47% can have a big impact. 2. Increase the size of your winners Let trades run a little longer when the conditions are right. Take partials if it helps your mindset, but keep a portion on to capture the extended move. Most traders cut profits too early and let losers drift too far. 3. Tighten up the losses Use hard stops. Respect them. Review your biggest losing trades and ask yourself if they really had to be that big. Often they didn’t. The goal is to keep losses small and repeatable, not devastating and unpredictable. A Note on Sample Size Five or ten trades won’t give you a reliable read on your edge. You need a bigger pool. Ideally 50 to 100 trades minimum. Patterns emerge over time, not in the heat of one session. A strong edge can go through losing streaks. A poor strategy can get lucky for a while. But when you track your numbers over enough trades, the truth becomes very clear. You’re Probably Closer Than You Think If you’ve never done this calculation before, don’t feel behind. Most retail traders never actually work out their edge. They focus on indicators, entry techniques, or mindset work without ever stopping to ask if the numbers stack up. But once you do the maths, things start to change. You stop judging yourself by your last trade and start thinking in averages. You stop chasing every setup and start focusing on quality. You stop worrying about being right, and start focusing on being consistent. That’s what separates hobbyists from professionals. The numbers are the difference. Summary: If your edge is negative, you now know where to look. If it’s positive, even just slightly, you’ve got something worth building on. Either way, the path forward is clearer. Trading is hard, no question. But it’s not magic. It’s probability, risk control and discipline applied consistently. And it all starts with understanding the maths behind what you’re doing. So next time you’re questioning whether your system is any good, don’t ask how it feels. Run the numbers. Do you have a trading edge? If yes, protect it. If not, now you know what to fix. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 85.24% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Education
by Capitalcom
1
Master the Trio => to Level Up Your Trading🧠Most traders obsess over chart patterns and price action—but lasting success comes from mastering three pillars together: Technical Analysis. Risk Management. Trading Psychology. Miss one, and the structure collapses. Let’s dive into each one, and see how they work together like a high-performance trading engine: 📈 1. Technical Analysis – Think in Layers, Not Lines Most traders draw lines. Great traders read behavior. Instead of asking “Is this support holding?”, ask “Why would smart money defend this level?” Markets aren’t driven by lines—they’re driven by liquidity, trapped traders, and imbalances. That’s why: A fakeout isn’t failure—it’s often a feature. A breakout isn’t a buy signal—it’s bait. Trendlines aren’t magic—they’re just visualizations of collective bias. 🔍 Advanced tip: When analyzing a chart, map out: Where liquidity is resting (above equal highs/lows, tight consolidations) Who’s likely trapped (late buyers at resistance, early sellers during accumulation) Where the market must not go if your bias is correct (invalidations) The real edge? Seeing the chart as a battle of intentions, not just candles. 🛡️ 2. Risk Management – Your License to Play the Game Every trade is a bet. But without proper risk, it’s a gamble. Risk management isn’t just about stop losses—it’s about position sizing, asymmetry, and survival. I risk no more than 1% per trade , regardless of conviction. I aim for 2R minimum —because even with a 50% win rate, I still grow. I define my invalidation before I enter, never after. You can’t control the outcome, but you can control your exposure. That’s professional. 🧠 3. Trading Psychology – Where Most Traders Break You can have the perfect setup and smart risk, but still sabotage yourself. Why? Because emotion overrides logic —especially when money is on the line. Ever moved your stop? Chased a candle? Closed a trade too early, only to see it hit your TP later? That’s not lack of skill—it’s lack of emotional discipline. What works for me: Journaling every trade—not just the result, but how I felt Practicing “sit tight” discipline after entries Reminding myself that no single trade matters—only the process does You don’t trade the chart—you trade your beliefs about the chart. Master yourself first. 🔄 Final Thoughts Trading isn’t just about entries. It’s a mental game played on financial charts, where edge lies in understanding market mechanics, protecting capital, and staying emotionally grounded. TA shows you the “what” Risk shows you the “how much” Psychology decides the “how well” Master all three—and you’ll separate yourself from 95% of traders. 💬 Which of the three is your strongest? And which one needs more work? Let’s grow together—drop your thoughts in the comments 👇 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Education
by TheSignalyst
32
SMC Trading Basics. Change of Character - CHoCH (GOLD FOREX) In the today's post, we will discuss one of the most crucial concepts in SMC - Change of Character. Change of Character relates to market trend analysis. In order to understand its meaning properly, first, we will discuss how Smart Money traders execute trend analysis. 🔘Smart Money Traders apply price action for the identification of the direction of the market. They believe that the trend is bullish , if the price forms at least 2 bullish impulse with 2 consequent higher highs and a higher low between them. The market trend is considered to be bearish , if the market forms at least 2 bearish impulses with 2 consequent lower lows and a lower high between them. Here is how the trend analysis looks in practice. One perceives the price action as the set of impulse and retracement legs. According to the rules described above, USDCAD is trading in a bullish trend because the pair set 2 higher lows and 2 higher highs. 🔘Of course, trends do not last forever. A skill of the identification of the market reversal is a key to substantial profits in trading. Change of Character will help you quite accurately identify a bullish and bearish trend violation. 📉In a bearish trend, the main focus is the level of the last lower high. While the market is trading below or on that, the trend remains bearish . However, its bullish violation is a very important bullish signal, it is called a Change of Character, and it signifies a confirmed violation of a bearish trend. In a bearish trend, CHoCH is a very powerful bullish pattern. Take a look, how accurate CHoCH indicated the trend reversal on Gold. After a massive selloff, a bullish breakout of the level of the last lower high confirmed the initiation of a strong bullish wave. 📈In a bullish trend, the main point of interest is the level of the last higher low. While the price is trading above that or on that, the trend remains bullish. A bearish violation of the last higher low level signifies the violation of a current bullish trend. It is called a Change of Character, and it is a very accurate bearish pattern. Take a look at the example on Dollar Index below. In a bullish trend, bearish violation of the last higher low level quite accurately predicted a coming bearish reversal. Change of Character is one of the simplest , yet accurate SMC patterns that you should know. First, learn to properly execute the price action analysis and identify HH, HL, LL, LH and then CHoCH will be your main tool for the identification of the trend reversal. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
9
A Step-by-step Guide to One of the Chart Analysis MethodHello Friends, Welcome to RK_Chaarts, Today we're going to learn step-by-step guide to one of the chart analysis Method by analyzing a chart of " Varun Beverages Ltd. (VBL) " to identify a trend change opportunity.(Educational Post). Let's get started! Applying Elliott Wave Theory First, we can see that the bottom formed in March 2025 is likely a Wave ((4)) in Black as a bottom, marked as such on the chart. From there, Wave 5 should move upwards. Looking at the daily timeframe, we can see that price gone up in five sub-divisions of Wave (1) in Blue of Wave ((5)) in Black have completed, marked as Red 1-2-3-4-5, that means blue intermediate Wave (1) has ended, and Wave (2) has begun, which is unfolded in corrective nature marked as WXY in Red of Wave (2) in Blue. According to the wave principle, Wave (2) should not retrace more than 100% of Wave (1), which started from the 419.65 bottom. Therefore, 419.65 becomes our invalidation level. If the price moves below this level, it would invalidate our Wave (2) principle. Assuming our wave counts are correct, the upward movement is in the five sub-divisions, and the downward movement is in the three sub-divisions. Definitely, the conviction is increasing that we have correctly identified Waves (1) and (2). Shown in chart image below Tweezers at Bottom Now, we can see that Wave 2 has retraced more than 70% and has formed a Tweezer candlestick pattern at the bottom. A bearish candle was followed by a bullish candle, both with a Tweezer-like shape, with the second candle being green. This could indicate a potential reversal. Moreover, the latest candle has also taken out the high of the previous two candles, showing follow-through. The price has also shown follow-through on the upside after that. So, this can be considered as the first sign that Wave 2 might be ending, marked by a significant Tweezer pattern at the bottom with a follow-through candle. Shown in chart image below Significant Breakout Pending Yet Secondly, from the top where Wave 1 ended, we've been considering the decline from around 560.50 as a resistance. We drew a resistance trend line, and if the price breaks out above it, we can say that the resistance trend line has been broken, indicating a breakout above the last fall's trend line, Which is not Broken yet. Shown in chart image below Dow Theory The Dow Theory states that when the price moves up, it forms a Higher High, Higher Low pattern, and when it moves down, it forms a Lower High, Lower Low pattern. Somehow, the Dow Theory also needs to change, as the last swing was forming a Lower High, Lower Low pattern. The last swing high was at 479, which we marked with a green arrow. If the price crosses above it, we can say that the price is now forming a Higher High pattern. This indicates that the Dow Theory is changing from a falling trend to a rising trend. Shown in chart image below Stop Loss Once the Dow Theory also changes, we can use the last swing low at 446.15 as our stop loss. However, this stop loss will only be valid after the Dow Theory changes; otherwise, the invalidation level will remain at 419. Shown in chart image below Projected Target of Wave (3) So, friends, we've applied the Elliott Wave principle, and there's been a significant retracement, all within the valid range, without violating any rules or triggering invalidation. There's limited room left on the downside, and then we have the Tweezer candlestick pattern, which is a significant sign. We're expecting a reversal from there, and the price has followed up with an upward move. What's left now is the breakout above the resistance trend line and a change in the Dow Theory. Once these two conditions are confirmed, all parameters will match, and we can add a position to our portfolio using the last swing low as our stop loss, instead of the invalidation level. This is how chart analysis is done for investment purposes. We've seen many signs in our favor, and yet we still use a stop loss to prevent significant losses in case the stock or market moves unexpectedly. This is what stop loss is all about - minimizing potential losses. We've also discussed the target projection based on Wave theory, 161.8% level, which we explained through an image. So, friends, I hope you've understood the entire conclusion and learned how to analyze charts using different methods, one of which we shared with you today. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:VBLEducation
by RK_Chaarts
27
Impact on the Dollar and Forex — Artavion AnalyticsThe development of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) — especially the digital yuan (e-CNY) — is becoming a key factor in transforming global currency flows. While the US dollar still dominates, the architecture of global liquidity is beginning to shift. At Artavion, we see the e-CNY not just as a technological experiment but as a tool of China’s currency policy. Its goal is to strengthen the yuan’s role in international settlements and reduce dependence on the dollar, particularly in developing regions. Why the Digital Yuan Matters The e-CNY is already being used in China for retail payments and is being tested in cross-border transactions (e.g., in the mBridge project with the UAE and Thailand). This enables the creation of alternative payment systems not tied to SWIFT. If the digital yuan gains broader acceptance, especially for commodity and energy settlements, its role in forex will grow, potentially weakening the dollar’s monopoly in certain regions. CBDCs and Forex Structure CBDCs won’t displace the dollar in the near term, but they are already influencing the structure of currency trading: New currency pairs are emerging, especially in Asia; Transactions are becoming faster and cheaper, particularly in the B2B segment; Market participants are adjusting strategies to real-time settlements and the potential programmability of currencies. Risks and Limitations Privacy: CBDCs are under full state control; Fragmentation: There is no unified technical standard across different countries’ CBDCs; Geopolitics: The rise of the e-CNY could intensify currency competition with the dollar. Artavion’s Conclusion The digital yuan will not replace the dollar, but it is creating an alternative — especially in regions seeking autonomy from Western financial infrastructure. For traders and investors, this means reassessing currency risks and exploring new opportunities in decentralized settlement channels.
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by CryptoLifeone
The Fundamental Truths About a Trending MarketBefore you can trade successfully, you must first understand what defines a market trend. 🔼 What is an Uptrend? An uptrend is characterised by a series of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). This signals that buyers are in control and price is climbing steadily. 🔽 What is a Downtrend? A downtrend is identified by a series of Lower Lows (LL) and Lower Highs (LH). This indicates that sellers are dominant and price is consistently falling. 📌 Important Facts About a Trending Market Trends don’t change easily. Once a trend is established, it tends to persist. A trend reversal takes time and effort. It doesn't happen abruptly — the market needs a strong reason to change direction. There are always warning signs. Before a trend changes, there’s usually a pattern or shift in behaviour that acts as a clue. The bigger the trend, the longer it takes to reverse. A well-established trend will require more time and evidence before it breaks. 🎯 Keys to Trading Any Market Successfully Identify the market condition. Is the market trending upwards, downwards, or moving sideways (consolidating)? Study price behaviour at key levels. Understand how price reacts at significant highs and lows. Learn the anatomy of price waves. Recognise wave structure — how price expands and contracts in trends. Align your trades with the market condition. Your entry and exit strategies should fit the current phase of the market. 🔚 Summary Mastering trends is one of the most important skills in trading. When you understand what defines an uptrend or downtrend, recognise when a trend may be ending, and align your strategy with the market condition, you set yourself up for consistent success. Patience, observation, and timing are key — because the market always leaves clues, but only for those who are prepared to see them.
Education
by Charts247TradingAcademy
Circle’s IPO and the Crypto Listing Wave: The Market EntersOn June 14, 2025, the U.S. stock market witnessed a pivotal moment for the crypto industry. Circle, issuer of the USDC stablecoin and a major player in the sector, successfully went public. Shares opened at $31 and soared to over $134 by the end of the first trading day—an explosive 330% gain. This isn’t just a one-off success. It marks the beginning of a new chapter: the public crypto era, where leading crypto companies are stepping into the spotlight of traditional finance. Why It Matters Circle’s IPO signals the maturation of the crypto market. Just three years ago, crypto companies were seen as high-risk, unregulated tech startups. Now, they’re structured fintech firms with clear business models, institutional backing, and regulatory compliance. Who’s Next in Line Following Circle, a wave of major crypto firms is preparing for their own IPOs: eToro – the social trading platform with crypto features has finalized its SPAC merger and is set to debut on NASDAQ. Gemini – the exchange founded by the Winklevoss twins filed for an IPO in mid-May. Galaxy Digital and Ripple – both confirmed listing plans for the second half of 2025. Kraken is exploring a listing in Europe, where requirements are more flexible than in the U.S. These companies are waiting for the right moment—regulatory clarity, growing interest in crypto ETFs, and progress in U.S. Congress (with the CLARITY and GENIUS bills gaining momentum). What It Means for the Industry Increased Investor Trust – Public companies must disclose financials, pass audits, and comply with regulations. This builds confidence in the broader crypto sector. Institutional Capital Inflow – IPOs unlock access to capital from pension funds, hedge funds, and asset managers that cannot invest in private crypto startups. Marketing Power – Going public draws media attention and boosts brand awareness. Every IPO is a PR win for the entire industry. Risks and Challenges Regulatory Uncertainty – Despite progress, the SEC could change direction, especially with potential political shifts. Overvaluation Concerns – Circle’s stock is already raising eyebrows, with a P/E ratio over 200 and trading volume growing faster than revenue. Crypto Market Dependency – If crypto prices crash, the valuations of these companies could quickly collapse. What’s Next Expect up to 10 more crypto IPOs over the next 6–12 months, including players in DeFi, blockchain infrastructure, and Web3. This is the next stage in crypto’s journey toward mainstream legitimacy. What was once the domain of tech rebels and early adopters is now becoming a business—with a stock ticker and quarterly earnings. And that changes everything.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by HCN-News12
Wyckoff Up-Thrust - This is how to identify using Speed indexClassic Wyckoff Up-Thrust formation, this is how to read it using Speed Index (annotations in sync with the chart): 1. Fib Area - this is where sellers might come in 2. FU - Fast Up wave with SI 0.4F 3. Next up wave with an abnormal SI of 1.0S while the average speed at 0.5, which means price has a hard time to move up (more sellers on the up move). Following the up wave on the down move we have double Short signals WU-Wyckoff Up-Thrust and PRS-Plutus Reversal Short and this where we enter. I hope this was helpful. Enjoy!
Education
by TradeTheVolumeWaves
My XAUUSD Scalping Strategy: Entry, Stop Loss & Management🔹 How I Think About Trading My core trading principle is simple: capital preservation first, then profit-seeking. While catching an entire move from start to finish can be exciting, it usually comes with greater risk. Rather than entering once and holding the full position, I prefer to scale into the move in phases. I take an initial entry with a tight stop, and once the trade moves in my favor, I take partial profits — typically reducing 70% of the position (as I’ll explain in the next section). If the market then breaks through the next key level, I re-enter using the same approach: tight stop, defined risk, and partial profits as the move extends. I repeat this process as the trend develops. Instead of trying to hold from bottom to top in a single position, I reduce risk at each stage and use fresh entries to stay aligned with market momentum. The final portion of each trade — what I call the “runner” — is left to ride further price movement. This method keeps me engaged in the trend while tightly managing risk on every position. To me, trading is a game of probabilities. We use structure and tools to filter out noise and increase our win rate. That’s why I believe in maintaining a consistent risk-reward ratio — it should never be changed emotionally or impulsively 🔹 How I Enter a Trade As a scalper trading XAUUSD: 1. I identify the trend using the 30-minute and 15-minute charts 2. I confirm setups on the 5-minute chart 3. I enter a trade with precision on the 1-minute chart 4. I align all entries with the key levels I share daily My stop losses are always tight — typically within a $1 to $3 range. 🔹 How I Manage a Trade For example, if 3350 is a key level, I’ll wait for price to approach it closely so I can enter with a tight stop — say, at 3349. Once in the trade, my conservative management approach is: 1. Take 70% profit after price moves $1 in my favor(e.g., if I buy around 3350 with a 3349 stop loss, and price reaches 3351, I’ll close 70% of the position) 2. Let the remaining 30% run to capture additional upside 3. Optional: Move the stop loss to breakeven, depending on your risk tolerance 3. Trim at intraday pivot levels or structure zones This method is especially effective for new traders — it locks in early gains while keeping part of the position open for larger moves, all without increasing risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Ombabibi