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07/08/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $30039.5 Last weeks low: $29299.0 Midpoint: $28558.5 Historically, August has not been a very bullish month for bitcoin and crypto as a whole. Other than 2013, 2017 & 2021 (Bull market years) August has had negative ROI. The pattern shows that since 2013, every 4 years bitcoin has a positive monthly return coinciding with a bull market rally. If we were to apply this pattern to future returns, 2025 should have green August thanks to a bull market. We already know that the halving is taking place somewhere in Q2 of 2024, the US election in Q4 2024 along with potential BTC ETF's from Blackrock becoming closer and closer to reality. 2025 Could be a very strong year for the crypto market as a whole. In the short term, the way price has been behaving in recent weeks I would struggle to see why this August will be any different. For many weeks now I have believed that the target of 26.5K is in reach for the bears, approximately -9% from current price and when not including bull market years the average % return for the month is -9.8%. 2018's august returned -9.27%.
by ProR35
14/08/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $30265.2 Last weeks low: $29472.7 Midpoint: $28680.1 BTC continues to trade a very tight range as it has for many weeks now. 30k continues to be the resistance area, the previous weeks midpoint is the local resistance as its been tested for the last few days and cannot reclaim above. As usual that midpoint from the previous week is important to the direction of this week. We've had some talk about ETF's recently, the former SEC chief has said the SEC will not approve a spot Bitcoin ETF. Personally I believe the SEC will not want to approve an ETF, however eventually I think players like Blackrock will get what they want, they always do and I wouldn't be surprised if it miraculously gets approved around the halving event, and you can be sure Blackrock and the other big players like Valkyrie would have already bought a large chunk of BTC before the supply halves at much lower prices. Really that's what every trader/investor is waiting for because at the current moment there really isn't a lot of money/volume at all in the market. The start of this half of the year is evidence enough for that. Reserving capital for the big moves that come later down the line is essential and avoiding being chopped up by the market is a big priority.
by ProR35
29.5K PIVOT POINT After many days of sideways choppiness between 29 & 29.5K. The pattern was broke sending us into that FVG I have mentioned in previous posts with a target of 26.5K. However, having dropped down to 28.5k and back up to 30k in 11 hours some volatility has been reintroduced into the market in the short term. I have mapped out a mini range that I am observing, the 29.5K pivot is still the controlling factor in my mind. Now that price has deviated above and is now back in range printing a SFP, in addition to a bullish orderblock that is providing a reaction as the time of writing this post. I still think we have some downside to come should this reaction now clear the pivot point of 29.5K Because of this, I am still confident that reaching the 26.5k target is possible. Regaining 29.5k confidently and proof that it is now support would make me reconsider this strategy.
by ProR35
Overview of Cryptocurrency Volatility - 1h, November, 2022.Analysis of the volatility index in November. Time interval - 1 hour. Currency - USDT or equivalent to BUSD . The selection is carried out according to the lists of cryptocurrencies that are represented on the spot and futures markets, with a total of more than a hundred coins. Top 15 Coins (1 hour): 1. PHB /busd - 1413.67% (High&Low: 3119.4%) 2. MASK /usdt - 1386.55% (High&Low: 2940.2%) 3. BAND /usdt - 1266.71% (High&Low: 2605.56%) 4. AMB /busd - 1068.75% (High&Low: 2363.97%) 5. LEVER /busd - 1061.4% (High&Low: 2339.31%) 6. PEOPLE /usdt - 1034.08% (High&Low: 2146.72%) 7. DYDX /usdt - 1008.12% (High&Low: 2113.56%) 8. GTC /usdt - 1006.37% (High&Low: 2069.63%) 9. SFP /usdt - 959.68% (High&Low: 2125.98%) 10. CHZ /usdt - 946.32% (High&Low: 1971.69%) 11. SOL /usdt - 915.31% (High&Low: 1899.99%) 12. LIT /usdt - 874% (High&Low: 1793.31%) 13. DODO /busd - 869.22% (High&Low: 1759.8%) 14. AR /usdt - 857.38% (High&Low: 1782.73%) 15. SUSHI /usdt - 855.32% (High&Low: 1774.11%) The coin showed the worst result: BTC /usdt - 287.52% (High&Low: 644.26%) Thanks for your attention!
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by StCogitans
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24/07/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $30408.4 Last weeks low: $29885.7 Midpoint: $29363.0 For the first time in 4 weeks BTC has begun the week below 30K. The last time that happened price was at the ~26.5k but had a bullish momentum behind it. This time is different, the SEC Vs Ripple case (despite its positive outcome) has completely given up its gains and returned to the lower boundary of this long term range. A range that is becoming very compact in this previous week. The story is still the same in my opinion as it has been for some weeks now. 32.5k is still the target for the bulls to grab supply. The bears are looking to fill the large FVG all the way down to 26.5K area. In conclusion: IF price gets to 32.5k --> SFP back into range --> Short IF price gets to 26.5K --> Shows strength --> Long back up to local highs That's how I'm looking at this market, the chop is not very profitable right now for me.
by ProR35
10/07/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $ 31542.8 Last weeks low: $30610.1 Midpoint: $29677.4 Previous weeks price action tells an interesting tale. Beginning the week precisely on the midpoint of the week and ending on the 0.25 line. The choppiness from last week follows a similar pattern to weeks previous, the target for the bulls of 32.5k and above is still in sight. Last weeks new local high of 31.5k took out the previous local high but has now printed a swing fail pattern (SFP). With CPI on Wednesday this could be a high volatility event to get to that 32.5k wick and take liquidity in the supply zone. Just an idea. As of now there is quite a large FVG at around 27k and this should be the bears target. I think this has an equal chance of happening as the 32.5k, however, losing 29.1k and acceptance below that level will increase the possibility of that happening and the added confluence would prompt me to look to go long around that 27k level. We will see once we get there. Good luck to everyone this week!
by ProR35
03/07/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $31291.8 Last weeks low: $29420.6 Midpoint: $30356.2 The week starting on Monday 19th of June was the latest rally for bitcoin, a strong move up leaving some large FVG inefficiencies left behind that price will look to fill in the future. The upside capped off at just under 31.5k, a high that the bulls couldn't top last week while chopping sideways in a much tighter range than previous, and consolidating under the all important 32-32.5k region where a lot of traders will look to do business. This week for me will go one of two ways in my opinion: A slow and steady drop from current price down into those FVG areas, the main one being 27.2-27.75k. OR We wick up above recent highs, tag liquidity in the supply zone around 32.5k before a sharp sell off back into those FVG zones before anymore progress can be made above this range. FOMC minutes event on Wednesday may provide the volatility required for this liquidity grabbing wick.
by ProR35
SasanSeifi 💁‍♂️XAUUSD👉1H 1924 / 1928 / 1932❗🟡Hey there, buddy!✌ 🔱In the one-hour timeframe, as you can see, after the drop, the price bounced back from around $1893/ $1900 with some buying pressure. And now, it's in a range after breaking above the $1917 level. 💹 Here's what we can expect in the one-hour timeframe: after some consolidation and a small correction, the price might move up towards the resistance levels at $1924, $1928, and $1932 with some positive fluctuations. Then, we could see the price getting rejected from those resistance levels. To understand the next move better, let's see how the price reacts to those resistance levels. But if the price breaks above the important $1935 resistance level and holds steady, there's a good chance of further growth. This scenario will be filled out. The possible trends have also been identified. 🔱Just keep these scenarios in mind as you analyze the market. Remember, things can always change unexpectedly, so stay flexible in your trading approach. ❎ (DYOR)...⚠️⚜️ 🔹Wishing you loads of success in your trading adventures, my friend!✌️ 🔹And if you found my analysis helpful, I would appreciate it if you could show your support by liking and commenting. Thank you! 🙌 daily timeframe analysis 👇
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by SasanSeifi
26/06/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $31443.0 Last weeks low: $28847.4 Midpoint: $26251.8 BTC experienced a massive week of price action last week with nearly non stop climbing up to a high of nearly 31.5K. The all important 32K is still yet to be tagged this year however we have made new yearly highs with acceptance above 30K The news of a Bitcoin ETF cancelled out the SEC & Binance news, this week is very important for the crypto market in general. With consolidation under the local high it's gearing up for a push above to take out that liquidity above 32K. After that we have a large FVG near the 0.25 (27.5k) area that could require a revisit before continuing this bullish trend. There is a bullish orderblock at last weeks midpoint and that would be a healthy correction after a large rally. from there we can plan for what happens next.
by ProR35
19/06/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $26887.5 Last weeks low: $25836.5 Midpoint: $24785.5 Despite a strong end to the week BTC has a lower previous week high and a lower previous week low. In that way we continue to be in a swing downtrend. A double bottom from last week gives us an area where if we are to continue breaking down we'd have to break below and stay below. The midpoint from last week controls the bias for me, I think price will find itself there this week and if it drops below and reclaims then the highs are next target. If price consolidates above the midpoint ands drops below I think we break down towards weeks low and continue trend.
by ProR35
2
12/06/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $27401.2 Last weeks low: $26363.7 Midpoint: $25326.2 A massive week in the markets this week: Tuesday - US inflation data to be released tomorrow (Inflation rate YoY, MoM and core inflation YoY.) Wednesday - PPI MoM, FED interest decision, FOMC economic projections & FED conference. Thursday - Initial jobless claims & US retail sales All these events happening so closely together signals huge volatility to be expected. This coupled with the SEC news the crypto space is balancing on a knife edge. We've already seen alts bleed extensively but BTC and even ETH have yet to seen similar sell-offs. Perhaps we will see it this week. As it stands price is near last weeks low, with the incoming volatility I think we can safely assume that price will break lower, it's a question of how far below it will go.
by ProR35
Overview of Cryptocurrency Volatility - 1h, March, 2023.Analysis of the volatility index in March. Time interval - 1 hour. Currency - USDT or equivalent to BUSD . The selection is carried out according to the lists of cryptocurrencies that are represented on the spot and futures markets, with a total of more than a hundred coins. Top 15 Coins (1 hour): 1. CFX /usdt.p - 1211.77% (High&Low: 2641.12%) 2. STX /usdt.p - 1052.51% (High&Low: 2191.65%) 3. ACH /usdt.p - 1018.25% (High&Low: 2094.36%) 4. MAGIC /usdt.p - 1017.93% (High&Low: 2076.21%) 5. AGIX /usdt.p - 984.41% (High&Low: 2078.51%) 6. MASK /usdt.p - 948.87% (High&Low: 2023.86%) 7. RNDR /usdt.p - 898.77% (High&Low: 1892.08%) 8. SSV /usdt.p - 897.25% (High&Low: 1969.96%) 9. IMX /usdt.p - 896.33% (High&Low: 1892.39%) 10. TRU /usdt.p (Start: 07.03.2023 12:00 Etc/UTC) - 895.61% (High&Low: 1860.32%) 11. COCOS /usdt.p - 888.94% (High&Low: 1785.18%) 12. SNX /usdt.p - 874.79% (High&Low: 1758.15%) 13. LINA /usdt.p - 871.60% (High&Low: 1871.66%) 14. REN /usdt.p - 857.17% (High&Low: 1821.97%) 15. HIGH /usdt.p - 852.51% (High&Low: 1774.44%) The coins showed the worst result: BNB /usdt.p - 301.11% (High&Low: 607.70%), JOE /usdt.p (Start: 29.03.2023 12:00 Etc/UTC) - 79.41% (High&Low: 199.67%) Full list of analyzed coins: www.tradingview.com Analysis information for all coins: docs.google.com Thanks for your attention!
by StCogitans
Overview of Cryptocurrency Volatility - 1h, February, 2023.Analysis of the volatility index in February. Time interval - 1 hour. Currency - USDT or equivalent to BUSD . The selection is carried out according to the lists of cryptocurrencies that are represented on the spot and futures markets, with a total of more than a hundred coins. Top 15 Coins (1 hour): 1. CFX /usdt - 1442.02% (High&Low: 2981.36%) 2. HIGH /usdt - 1104.88% (High&Low: 2350.01%) 3. RNDR /usdt - 1045.63% (High&Low: 2153.33%) 4. STX /usdt - 979.39% (High&Low: 2180.80%) 5. COCOS /usdt - 960.65% (High&Low: 2062.28%) 6. MAGIC /usdt - 933.54% (High&Low: 1976.79%) 7. FET /usdt - 905.54% (High&Low: 1953.33%) 8. ASTR /usdt - 898.78% (High&Low: 1919.20%) 9. DUSK /usdt - 891.55% (High&Low: 1768.47%) 10. PHB /usdt - 888.84% (High&Low: 1901.10%) 11. DODO /usdt - 880.97% (High&Low: 1810.57%) 12. HOOK /usdt - 878.07% (High&Low: 1847.88%) 13. LDO /usdt - 835.25% (High&Low: 1784.49%) 14. STG /usdt - 832.73% (High&Low: 1689.60%) 15. MINA /usdt - 810.43% (High&Low: 1836.91%) The coin showed the worst result: BTC /usdt - 200.64% (High&Low: 450.56%). Full list of analyzed coins: www.tradingview.com Analysis information for all coins: docs.google.com Thanks for your attention!
by StCogitans
Overview of Cryptocurrency Volatility - 1h, January, 2023.Analysis of the volatility index in January. Time interval - 1 hour. Currency - USDT or equivalent to BUSD . The selection is carried out according to the lists of cryptocurrencies that are represented on the spot and futures markets, with a total of more than a hundred coins. Top 15 Coins (1 hour): 1. HOOK /usdt - 1156.19% (High&Low: 2458.48%) 2. ANC /busd - 990.89% (High&Low: 2184.49%) 3. LDO /usdt - 966.14% (High&Low: 2083.05%) 4. GALA /usdt - 957.66% (High&Low: 2052.71%) 5. PHB /busd - 946.5% (High&Low: 2085.62%) 6. APT /usdt - 907.17% (High&Low: 2101.18%) 7. OP /usdt - 799.48% (High&Low: 1760.77%) 8. OCEAN /usdt - 795.33% (High&Low: 1719.13%) 9. GMT /usdt - 789.94% (High&Low: 1695.64%) 10. DYDX /usdt - 747.58% (High&Low: 1612.22%) 11. LUNA /usdt - 712.64% (High&Low: 1519.07%) 12. HNT /busd - 702.37% (High&Low: 1544.36%) 13. FTM /usdt - 689.97% (High&Low: 1485.82%) 14. AUDIO /usdt - 686.29% (High&Low: 1438.73%) 15. MASK /usdt - 678.93% (High&Low: 1494.87%) The coin showed the worst result: BTC /usdt - 204.1% (High&Low: 465.11%). Full list of analyzed coins: www.tradingview.com Analysis information for all coins: docs.google.com Thanks for your attention!
by StCogitans
Overview of Cryptocurrency Volatility - 1h, December, 2022.Analysis of the volatility index in December. Time interval - 1 hour. Currency - USDT or equivalent to BUSD . The selection is carried out according to the lists of cryptocurrencies that are represented on the spot and futures markets, with a total of more than a hundred coins. Top 15 Coins (1 hour): 1. LEVER /busd - 1002.31% (High&Low: 2274.3%) 2. ANC /busd - 784.61% (High&Low: 1519.88%) 3. BNX /usdt - 639.54% (High&Low: 1369.09%) 4. REN /usdt - 593.44% (High&Low: 1249.88%) 5. MASK /usdt - 580.46% (High&Low: 1281.46%) 6. PHB /busd - 574.7% (High&Low: 1326.25%) 7. OCEAN /usdt - 545.74% (High&Low: 1196.13%) 8. HNT /busd - 543.13% (High&Low: 1220.3%) 9. AMB /busd - 537.81% (High&Low: 1220.83%) 10. RLC /usdt - 514.08% (High&Low: 1087.3%) 11. BAND /usdt - 509.97% (High&Low: 1036.89%) 12. ANT /usdt - 505.74% (High&Low: 1059.93%) 13. DYDX /usdt - 483.25% (High&Low: 1051.11%) 14. WAVES /usdt - 475.18% (High&Low: 1080.01%) 15. LIT /usdt - 468.61% (High&Low: 1041.93%) The coin showed the worst result: BTC /usdt - 122.62% (High&Low: 291.98%). Full list of analyzed coins: www.tradingview.com Analysis information for all coins: docs.google.com Thanks for your attention!
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by StCogitans
30/05/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $28225.6 Last weeks low: $27040.8 Midpoint: $25856.0 A little late due to bank holiday. BTC did go on a weekend rally to close strong near 28K. We've seen this happen before and usually the following week most of the gains get roundtripped back down, in this case targeting around 26K. Tomorrow is the end of the month, currently we have our first red month in 2023. Could this be a correction from from a rally since the start of this year around the 16K mark, BTC's value has doubled since then so a correction makes sense even though we have been chopping for what seems like a long time.
by ProR35
22/05/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $27656.6 Last weeks low: $26997.5 Midpoint: $26338.4 With the price of BTC starting the week at the same price it finished it, we had a largely boring 7 days of price action. A very tight <5% spread form highs to lows, the majority of time spent around the $26800 mark with the occasional whipsaw to give the illusion of volatility. With price tightening the way it is, usually an impulse move follows, the longer we consolidate at this level the bigger the move that follows is the general rule.
by ProR35
01/05/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $30063.8 Last weeks low: $28501.3 Midpoint: $26938.8 BTC starts a new month today. April is usually known as a bullish month for cryptocurrencies in general and although the monthly did close green, the market spent a lot of time chopping sideways inside our new range of 25.2-32.5k. The April candle could be a potential bearish abandoned baby pattern and therefore would see May be a bearish candle that would aim to hit the 23k area Acceptance above the 32.5k area would be extremely bullish, however having climbed approximately 100% from the January lows, and no signs of new money coming in I'm fearful that that we may have exhausted this rally and need to start again lower down.
by ProR35