14/10/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $64,486.09
Last weeks low: $58,947.36
Midpoint: $61,716.73
Following a busy week of Data events with CPI & PPI price can be volatile and unpredictable, that was evident as BTC can be seen selling off going into those data events and despite a worse than forecast CPI, the markets responded quite well leading to a climb from Thursday onwards up to the 0.75 line.
A weekend of chop gave a positive enough close to warrant a large buy candle in the opening hours of this week, could this be setting the pace for the rest of the week? For me, I'm always a little wary of a "swing fail pattern" (SFP) as these patterns can be very bearish, a reversal at the beginning of the week can lead to a sell off that undoes the previous weeks work as price falls. Confirmation of this pattern would be a wick above weekly high followed by smaller lower highs and lower lows on a LTF (15m).
Should BTC manage to stay above the weekly high and maintain structure the target is $66,500. This is an important target as Bitcoin has been trying to breakout of this downtrend for 6 months, anything beyond $66,500 is breaking out of the trend after 10 attempts!
This week we have the ECB interest rate decision, a second rate cut looks likely, the first rate cut set the pace for the US 50bps cut. Now the US look likely to cut by another 50bps in November to keep up.
Altcoins are starting to look better than they have in the last two quarters. The timeline is cautiously optimistic, especially if BTC manages to breakout of the trend pattern.
cautious optimism on the timeline
Altcoins
SAGA - Daily Bullish SignsBINANCE:SAGAUSDT coin is showing signs of a strong reversal on the daily chart, with bullish legs becoming stronger than the previous bearish ones. This suggests increasing buying pressure, and after a potential pullback, we could see more upward movement.
On the fundamental side, KRAKEN:SAGAUSD has been gaining traction since its mainnet launch in April 2024. It’s a unique Layer 1 protocol that allows developers to create dedicated chains, offering infinite scalability, interoperability, and cost-effective solutions. The project has already attracted around 350 projects, mostly in gaming, and has formed partnerships with key players like Polygon and Avalanche, which could drive its adoption further
DOGE - Dictated by Market SentimentNormal price setup is approaching a key level.
The yearly level needs to hold, or things could quickly turn bearish. I remain cautiously optimistic because this level presents a pivotal opportunity and is the lowest-risk entry available.
I'm not entering the trade right now as I’m risk-averse at the moment. It could be an optimal play, but #Bitcoin is still weaker than I’d like it to be.
This chart represents about 90% of what the Altcoin market looks like. If you’re overexposed, be prepared to act quickly or have hedges in place in case the situation flips.
Let's wait for the weekly close before making any moves on this and the rest of the Altcoins.
TAO SCALP LONG IDEAWe are in TAO 1H Supply zone. I will look the stentgh over here in order to enter trade.
It is scalp trade. If bitcoin changes bullishness - TAO will be following it too.
Be cautious and do not risk that more than you can afford.
Nothing i share is financial advice. Education purposes only.
#Altcoins #Crypto #altcoin #AltSeason2024 #Bitcoin #Ethereum #AI #TAO #TAOUSDT
#SEI Scalp Short Idea - ALTCOINWe hit to 4H supply zone and rejected there.
Scalp short only. I am bullish overall.
I will be managing real time and i may close manually if i see something odd.
Nothing i share is financial advice. Education purposes only.
#Altcoins #Crypto #altcoin #AltSeason2024 #Bitcoin #Ethereum #ETH #ETHUSD #ETHUSDT #SEIUSDT #SEI #SEINETWORK #BTC
SHIBA INU at Key Support: Will We See a Bounce or Breakdown?Evening Trading Family
Shiba Inu (SHIB) is at a pivotal moment as it hovers around a key support level. Traders are closely watching for the next big move.
Quick Overview:
Shiba Inu, one of the most popular meme coins, has seen significant growth and strong community support. Now, it's testing an important support zone, which could determine its next direction.
Upside Potential: A bounce from 0.0001764 could push SHIB toward 0.0001789, and if momentum builds, further gains up to 0.0001829 are possible, setting up for a potential breakout.
Downside Risk: If SHIB fails to hold support at this level, a move down toward 0.0001736 and possibly 0.0001701 could be on the horizon.
Be prepared for a high-volatility scenario as SHIB tests these crucial levels.
Happy Trading
MIndbloome Trader
Bitcoin(BTC) Near Key Resistance- Breakout or Pullback Ahead ??Bitcoin is approaching a critical resistance level at $65,420. 🚀 If BTC breaks through, we could see a push toward the next major target at $70,037. However, if it gets rejected, we might head back down to the support zones near $60,258 or even lower toward $57,315. 📉
Both bulls and bears should stay on high alert—this is a pivotal moment for BTC! Whether you’re looking for a breakout or preparing for a pullback, this chart is loaded with opportunities. Get ready to make your move! 💥
Trade what you see
MB Trader
ZEC/USDT 1D Zcash is a chart I like the look of quite a lot on the 1D timeframe. ZEC has outperformed the majority of the altcoin market since it flipped the 1D 200EMA downtrend into an uptrend.
The 1D 200EMA has been I a downtrend for 2.5 years since the very beginning of 2022! Since then ZEC has bounded off the moving average once with a large wick and now it has just swept liquidity and reclaimed. Waiting for a confirmation of support with some clear closes above. The local double bottom can be seen using the 0.25 line as support. The next resistance level is the 0.5 range midpoint should the 1D 200EMA close above with strength.
It's important to realise that ZEC is still -92% from its $371 ATH, so it has huge room to grow once price has broken the more local range (1.0 level). If the last few months are an indication of the kind of support it has then it's a very good sign IMO. The local range that is
TIA - Buckle Up: A Breakout is on the Horizon!I was waiting for another setup, and it’s finally here just before the weekly close! 📈
I expect this trade to hold above $5.23 for the first few days of the week. Once the base is established, I believe we could see new highs around $7 🚀, with a potential retest of $11 💰.
Check out my previous post; this has been on fire lately! 🔥
LSE:TIA will see new highs!
BITCOIN HEDGE SHORT POSITION OPPURTUNITY UPDATEBITCOIN gave me reversal signal. I entered the short position the target is marked as 'long zone' i will be looking reversal signs to exit short and open long position.
It is risky hedge short position. The overall #bitcoin is still bullish. I will be scalping short.
It is not financial advice. I am taking calculated risks.
Bitcoin hedge short oppurtunity I'm looking some shorts between 64000$-62610$ on #BTC . It is gonna be hedge short for my current long altcoin positions and possible hedge for Isreal retaliation agaisnt Iran during weekend. Im still bullish overall.
I will be looking for strength-confirmations in order to close shorts and open longs in the marked area between 61300$-59000$ on #bitcoin . I am still bullish. We are coming from the daily bullish structer. I am positioning myself to possible weekend drop. #BTCUSD #cryptotrading
SLF WYCKOFF WYCKOFF accumulation/distribution pattern on the SLF chart. Could this be the start of a reversal and a move up?? I think it could.
My reason is as a fresh new coin this is good for a Bullrun, little to no selling pressure as price rises due to no bag holders selling at break even from previous bull cycles.
A rounded bottom structure can provide a base for price to rally from, it proves a growing confidence from buyers, once the top of this mini range gets breached and accepted above it's a great breakout play.
ATH is at +156% from current price, and as I stated before there is little to no selling pressure on the way up either which will help this to grow quickly once it gets going. A project that is in its first Bullrun in price discovery is a great combination!
AR Long Position (Support Consolidation)Market Context: AR is consolidating at a major support zone, offering a good risk-to-reward opportunity for a long position as it holds these levels.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Between $17.50 - $19.50.
Take Profit:
First target: $24.00 - $26.60
Second target: $32.00 - $35.00
Stop Loss: Just below $16.50.
This trade focuses on the potential for a bounce from key support, with defined risk and reward levels. #AR #Altcoins #Crypto
Phemex Analysis #27: SUI _ Will It Continue Soar or Sink?After its initial surge, PHEMEX:SUIUSDT.P has been locked in a battle with resistance. Breaking through one hurdle after another, it has now found itself staring at the formidable wall of its all-time high, $2.18. A recent retracement has brought it back to $1.88, leaving investors pondering its next move.
The Road Ahead: A Tale of Three Scenarios
Breaking Free : The most optimistic scenario would see SUI shatter the $2.18 resistance with a surge of volume. This could propel it to even higher heights, igniting a new wave of bullish sentiment.
A Bearish Turn : However, the market has shown signs of weakness. A second one-day high accompanied by a RSI divergence suggests that a bearish reversal might be brewing. If SUI falls below the $1.60 support level with significant volume, a downward spiral could ensue.
The Waiting Game : A more likely scenario is a period of consolidation. SUI might hold the $1.70 support level while investors patiently await a clear breakout signal. Impatience can be a trader's enemy in such situations.
The Path Forward
As SUI navigates this critical juncture, patience and careful analysis are key. While the potential for further gains is undeniable, the risk of a reversal cannot be ignored. Traders must weigh the potential rewards against the risks and make informed decisions.
Tips:
Trade Smarter, Not Harder with Phemex. Benefit from cutting-edge features like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments. Our unique scaled order system and iceberg order functionality give you a competitive edge.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
TOTAL Market Struggles at $2.13T Resistance: Key Levels to WatchMarket Update:
Over the past week, the TOTAL market capitalization has attempted to break through a tough resistance level at $2.13 trillion.
A rejection at this level may lead to a pullback, testing the next support level around $2 trillion.
Potential Scenarios:
Should the TOTAL market successfully break above $2.13 trillion, it could rise to challenge the descending resistance line formed since June, as well as the top of the range resistance at approximately $2.3 trillion.
Given that the TOTAL market is currently at resistance, it is essential to manage risk carefully, as a rejection at this level could result in further downside for many altcoins.
#CryptoMarket #TOTALMarket #ResistanceLevels #Altcoins #MarketAnalysis
COTI Long Position (Support Consolidation)Market Context: COTI is consolidating within a key support zone, providing an opportunity to ladder into a long spot position. This offers a favorable risk-to-reward scenario for a potential upward move.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Between $0.091 - $0.107.
Take Profit:
First target: $0.13 - $0.15
Second target: $0.18 - $0.21
Stop Loss: Just below $0.085.
This setup looks to capitalize on the consolidation and potential bounce from support levels. #COTI #Altcoins #Crypto
LINK Long Position (Major Support Level)Market Context: Many altcoins, including LINK, have retraced to critical levels of support, presenting an opportunity for a long trade. LINK is positioned well for a potential bounce, providing a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Between $10.00 - $10.90.
Take Profit:
First target: $12.50 - $13.30
Second target: $14.50 - $15.50
Stop Loss: Just below $9.40.
This setup leverages the strong support zone and potential for a bullish recovery. #LINK #Altcoins #Crypto
Cardano: Crash Ahead? Prepare for a Potential 20%+ Downside!Hey Realistic Traders, let’s dive into the analysis of BINANCE:ADAUSDT
On the daily chart, Cardano continues to struggle below the critical EMA200, signaling a persistent bearish bias. Even more telling, the price has repeatedly respected the bearish trendline, underscoring the strength of this downtrend.
To make matters worse, we've seen a breakout from two major bearish formations: the Rising Wedge and the Ascending Broadening Wedge. Both patterns point to a continuation of the downward spiral. Adding fuel to the fire, the MACD has made a clear bearish crossover, confirming that the bears are firmly in control.
Based on these signals, we anticipate a sharp drop toward the first target at 0.2753. After that, a brief pullback could bring prices back into the green zone before heading even lower to the second target at 0.2384.
This technical outlook remains valid as long as the price stays above the support area at 0.4158.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Cardano.
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Cleaned out the longs. Now, it's time to clean out the shorts.Traders,
You guys know my target during this uptrend has been 68k BTC which is the top of our channel and that large order block with mostly sell orders. This last sudden dip cleaned out quite a few longs. Now, it is time to go after those shorts. You will start to see a lot of shorts liquidated around 68k (the top of our channel). This will only add fuel to the bullish fire. I think we'll go right through that liquidity order block and clean out all remaining shorts. Supply is low on centralized exchanges so, expect big movement to come!
A couple of things to watch before we get there though.
First, we have to beat our 200 DMA. This is absolutely critical! If bulls can't handle this then it's game over for the time being and I think we'll drop all the way to 48k.
Secondly, we have to beat the top of our channel. That currently sits at around 68k.
If we beat those two major resistance points, it's game on. Shorts will be in serious trouble.
Stew
MAGA - The START of a Positive Outcome!This should be the low, forming a rounding bottom right at a significant macro support.
It needs to stay above the bullish zone to progress towards new highs. The chart is straightforward, with a clear invalidation zone.
It’s currently struggling to break above the weekly open, but once it does, it could soar to new heights.
AMEX:MAGA is pretty self-explanatory; you know why I’m betting on this one!