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USDCAD 1D Analysis: Anticipating a Breakout📅 Let's dive into today's analysis. We'll be focusing on the USDCAD pair in the 1D time frame. ⌛️ Long-term Range Box In the 1D time frame, we observe a large, long-term range box that spans 664 days. This box has experienced a complete High Wave Cycle (HWC) range, which is confirmed by the flat SMA99, indicating minimal slope and nearly flat movement over a long period. ♟ Key Levels Range Box Bottom: 1.31434 Range Box Top: 1.38725 Breaking either of these lines will likely initiate a new trend for the HWC. Medium Wave Cycle (MWC) Support: 1.35973 MWC Resistance: 1.37805 🪤 Momentum Indicators As discussed in yesterday’s analysis, momentum oscillators like RSI are less effective in range-bound markets. In this case, although the RSI broke the 43.14 support, the market did not gain bearish momentum because of the ranging condition. This exemplifies why RSI should not be heavily relied upon in such scenarios. 📉 Bearish Scenario If a candle closes below the 1.35973 area, we can expect the price to move towards the bottom of the range box at 1.31434. This support is crucial and could push the price back to the top of the range. 📈 Bullish Scenario Conversely, if the price breaks above 1.37805, it may move towards the top of the box at 1.38725. However, this move is less likely due to the weakness observed in the green candles, indicating weaker buyer strength. 🔍 Candle Analysis Examining the candles shows that reaching the top of the range box takes significant time, with small green candles. Conversely, reaching the bottom of the box from the top happens quickly with strong red candles. Given the weak green candles in the latest upward move that didn't even reach the top of the box, the likelihood of a downward breakout is higher. 🎯 Target Levels In case of a downward breakout, switching to the weekly time frame helps identify important levels: First Target: 1.30183 (0.5 Fibonacci level) Second Target: 1.27624 Third Target: 1.22926 (a very significant support for this pair) 📝 Conclusion The USDCAD pair is currently trading within a long-term range, showing weak buyer momentum and stronger bearish tendencies. A breakout from this range, particularly to the downside, seems more probable given the current market conditions. Traders should watch key levels closely for confirmation and be ready to act accordingly once a breakout occurs. 🧠💼 Always remember that trading futures involves inherent risks, and improper risk management can lead to margin calls. Stick to your capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, aiming for an initial risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please like and share this analysis. Feel free to leave your comments or suggest a pair you'd like me to analyze next.
Short
by itsparham96
1
EUR/USD: Awaiting a Breakout from the Symmetrical Triangle📅 Let's dive into today's analysis. We'll be focusing on the EUR/USD pair in the daily time frame. 🧲 Symmetrical Triangle Formation In the daily time frame for EUR/USD, we can observe a symmetrical triangle pattern. Currently, the price is in the last third of this triangle, indicating that the best course of action is to hold off on trading this pair until one of the dynamic lines is broken. 🎲 Moving Averages The moving averages are not particularly useful for analysis right now. As you can see, the SMA99 has flattened out, indicating a lack of momentum in the market. 🪤 Momentum Oscillators Given the lack of momentum, there's no reason to use momentum oscillators like the RSI. These oscillators are only useful in markets with momentum, so checking the RSI would just provide unnecessary data. 🧩 Breakout Scenarios If the descending trendline is broken and the price stabilizes above this area, we can expect the price to move up to the 1.11056 resistance level. The trigger for this scenario to be activated is at 1.09066. ⚡️ If the 1.09066 trigger is not activated, we need to wait for a new structure to form and draw new triggers on the chart accordingly. If the ascending trendline is broken, the trigger for this scenario is 1.06774. The next support level is very close to the price, at 1.06057, which aligns with the 0.382 Fibonacci level in the weekly time frame, forming a crucial area. 📉 Downside Targets If the price declines, the final target I see is 1.04225, which corresponds to the 0.5 Fibonacci level on the weekly chart. However, there is also a significant support zone between 1.04225 and 1.05007, where substantial demand is likely to enter the market, making it difficult to break through easily. ⌛️ Apex Point of the Triangle The converging lines of the triangle always intersect at a point called the apex. From a timing perspective, this is an interesting point. Although it's not always exact, we can expect a potential structural change around November 29. This change could be a continuation of the trend, a reversal, or the end of the current trend. Typically, something significant happens around this time. 🎈 Range-Bound Market Scenario If the price ignores the trendlines and starts ranging, the triggers at 1.09066 and 1.06774 can still be relevant. However, a ranging market will likely create a new structure and provide new triggers accordingly. 📝 Conclusion The EUR/USD pair is currently trading within a symmetrical triangle, indicating indecision and low momentum in the market. The moving averages and momentum oscillators provide little insight due to the flat market. Traders should wait for a breakout from this triangle to confirm the next direction of price movement. Whether the breakout is to the upside or downside, it will set the stage for subsequent trading opportunities. Patience is key until clear signals emerge from this consolidation pattern. 🧠💼 Always remember that trading futures involves inherent risks, and improper risk management can lead to margin calls. Stick to your capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, aiming for an initial risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please like and share this analysis. Feel free to leave your comments or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
1
Today's Analysis: Bitcoin and BNB📅Today, the market, after experiencing a dip, is in a ranging phase. We can expect the next wave of decline to begin after this correction and rest period. The coin I want to analyze today is BNB, but as always, let's start with Bitcoin. 👑 Bitcoin Analysis 🔍 1-Hour Time Frame Analysis In the 1-hour time frame, Bitcoin has corrected to 58516 and then started to decline. In recent candles, significant selling volume has entered the market. The price has also pulled back to the SMA99 and is now consolidating below the 0.382 Fibonacci level. RSI has triggered at 44.10. The next trigger is 56045, and if a candle closes below this level, we can target 53921 again. 📈 Long Position For a long position, the market structure still doesn't seem favorable. However, if you insist on opening a long position, 58516 can be a suitable trigger. As mentioned, I won't open a long position until a suitable structure forms. 📉 Short Position The next trigger for a short position is 56045. I will wait for the price to react to this level once, and on the next attempt, if it breaks, I'll open a position. The trigger at 57033 has slightly shifted, and now we can open a position if 56693 is broken, though the target for this position is smaller than the target for the 56045 trigger. 📊 Volume Analysis If the market declines, the volume of red candles should increase. If not, I will open the position with lower volume and risk since volume and momentum are crucial when opening a position. 🔍 BNB Analysis 🗂 Binance Overview Binance is one of the top crypto exchanges, handling the majority of crypto trading volume and being the most reputable exchange for traders. In addition to its trading platform, Binance also has its own blockchain with BNB as the main coin. All activities on this blockchain are conducted using BNB, which has secured the 4th position in market cap after Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Tether. 🧩 Daily Time Frame Technical Analysis In the daily time frame, as seen, after forming an ascending triangle and breaking resistance at 619, BNB couldn't hold above this level, resulting in a fake breakout and a return to the box. The trigger for confirming the fake breakout was at 591. Currently, the price has reached the support level at 499, which aligns with the 0.382 Fibonacci level. If this level is broken, the next targets are 450$ and 390$. 📊 Volume Analysis for BNB The volume of red candles is currently much higher than green ones, indicating strong downward momentum. However, due to the selloff candle two days ago, the market might rest for a few days before deciding whether to continue the HWC uptrend or start a correction. 🛒 Spot Buying Strategy For buying BNB in spot, I don't recommend it while the market has downward momentum, unless a daily or weekly candle closes above 619. In my opinion, waiting for the market to form a new structure can provide better entry points. 📝 Conclusion Both Bitcoin and BNB are at critical points. Bitcoin continues to show signs of a downtrend, and BNB is trying to stabilize at significant support levels amid strong selling pressure. Wait for the necessary confirmations before entering positions and closely monitor volume and momentum. 🧠💼 Always remember that trading futures involves inherent risks, and improper risk management can lead to margin calls. Stick to your capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, aiming for an initial risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please like and share this analysis. Feel free to leave your comments or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
by itsparham96
2
Breakout + Crossover - VEDL📊 Script: VEDL 📊 Sector: Mining & Mineral products 📊 Industry: Mining / Minerals / Metals Key highlights: 💡⚡ 📈 Script is giving breakout on Monthly Time Frame. 📈 MACD is giving crossover. 📈 One can go for Swing Trade. ⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 473 🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 519 ⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 452 ⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio. ✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅ Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes. Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁 Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
NSE:VEDLLong
by radha_23
1
Voltamp Transformers Limited - Breakout Setup, Move is ON...#VOLTAMP trading above Resistance of 13100 Next Resistance is at 16496 Support is at 9705 Here are previous charts: Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined. Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
NSE:VOLTAMPLong
by MandeepSinghKohli
Ircon International Ltd - Breakout Setup, Move is ON...#IRCON trading above Resistance of 298 Next Resistance is at 423 Support is at 211 Here are previous charts: Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined. Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
NSE:IRCONLong
by MandeepSinghKohli
6
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Limited - Breakout Setup, Move is ON...#GLENMARK trading above Resistance of 1262 Next Resistance is at 1943 Support is at 970 Here are previous charts: Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined. Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
NSE:GLENMARKLong
by MandeepSinghKohli
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited - Breakout Setup, Move is ON...#DRREDDY trading above Resistance of 6474 Next Resistance is at 7803 Support is at 5786 Here are previous charts: Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined. Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
NSE:DRREDDYLong
by MandeepSinghKohli