Candlestick Analysis
Energy Sell Off - Low RSI Not Seen Since CovidWatch energy to see if it bounces off these levels as the selling pressure over the last two weeks has been relentless with no bounces. Possible Bullish abandoned baby candle if tomorrow is a large up candle.
Understanding the Bullish Abandoned Baby
Traders watch for bullish abandoned baby patterns to signal the potential end of a downtrend. The pattern is fairly rare as the price movements need to meet specific criteria in order to create the pattern:
1. The first bar is a large down candlestick located within a defined downtrend.
2. The second bar is a doji candle (open is approximately equal to the close) that gaps below the close of the first bar.
3. The third bar is a large white candle that opens above the second bar.
Tesla (TSLA): Long-Term Breakout Backed by Strong MomentumChart Analysis:
Tesla shares have surged past key resistance at $415, marking a significant breakout with strong bullish momentum.
1️⃣ Key Breakout:
The price broke above the horizontal resistance level at $415, which previously capped gains in 2021. This breakout signals renewed strength and opens the door for potential continuation.
2️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-week SMA (blue): The price is well above the 50-week SMA at $227, highlighting robust upward momentum and a bullish long-term structure.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: Currently at 80.96, signaling overbought conditions. While this reflects strong buying interest, traders may watch for signs of exhaustion or a pullback.
MACD: Bullish momentum is accelerating, with the MACD line rising sharply and far above the signal line.
What to Watch:
A potential retest of the $415 breakout level as support would be a key technical development to confirm the breakout's strength.
Traders should monitor RSI for signs of divergence or overbought reversals while keeping an eye on continuation patterns.
Tesla has broken free from a multi-year range, driven by strong bullish momentum. The price action and breakout above $415 suggest bulls are firmly in control.
-MW
Go long gold near 2633 as scheduledBros, I have been suggesting that gold is likely to continue to fall to the 2635-2630 area in the past two days. At present, gold has fallen back to this area as expected. We have made a lot of money in gold short trading in the past two days! Congratulations to those friends who followed my trading strategy!
At present, the lowest price of gold has reached around 2633, so the support of the 2635-2630 area is effective in the short term, and gold has failed to fall below this area several times during the decline, so this area has become an important defensive position for bulls in the short term, so there should be some buying funds here, whether it is to seize control or to play between the long and short sides, the bulls should perform well in this range.
So in terms of short-term trading, I prefer to start long gold near 2633, and I have already done so. Moreover, there is still strong support in the 2625-2620 area below. If gold continues to fall, I will consider adding positions to long gold in the 2625-2620 area again.
Bros, I have already started to go long on gold. Are you optimistic about the rebound of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Trading with Multiple Time Frames: A Balanced ApproachWhy Use Multiple Time Frames ?
In trading, understanding flow and target areas across different time frames is essential for precision. Each time frame provides a unique insight:
Higher Time Frame (HTP) : Establishes the direction and target areas.
Focal Time Frame : Serves as your primary or main frame of focus for trading decisions.
Lower Time Frame (LTP) : Confirms the HTP’s direction and offers entry/exit points.
Examples: If you are position trading (holding longer than 1 month) you focal time frame is the monthly, the weekly is the time frame that offers entry/exits and the Quarterly is the time frame that establishes the direction and target areas. If you are swing trading (holding longer than 1 week) then you focal time frame is the weekly, LTP is the daily for entry/exists and HTP is the monthly. If you trade intraday then HTP is the hourly, focal is 15min and LTP is the 5min.
🔎 Key Principles for Multi-Time Frame Analysis
HTP Determines the Flow:
Strong resistance or support on the higher time frame drives the market flow.
Example: If HTP resistance is strong, the LTP will typically trend downward
LTP Monitors the Setup:
Use lower time frames to observe and confirm HTP predictions.
Lower time frame bars should progressively move away from strong HTP levels
Focus on Nearby and Further Out Areas:
Nearby areas provide short-term strength or weakness.
If a nearby area breaks, targets shift to further-out energy zones
🧩 Example Strategy: Integrating Time Frames
Step 1: Identify a strong support/resistance area on the HTP (e.g., Weekly Chart).
Step 2: Use the focal time frame (e.g., Daily Chart) to monitor for trend setups.
Step 3: Zoom into the LTP (e.g., Hourly Chart) to:
Confirm the setup.
Look for price reactions and ideal entry points.
Step 4: Set targets based on the HTP structure, while managing risk on the LTP.
🎯 Tips for Target Setting
Targets are often defined where price terminates energy (e.g., HTP resistance/support levels).
Monitor flow: If LTP flow aligns with HTP direction, the trade is on track.
If nearby energy breaks, shift your target to the next further-out area
🚀 Final Thoughts
The HTP shows the big picture; the LTP provides execution clarity.
Always let the HTP guide you, and the LTP confirm your trade entries/exits.
Remember: “Strength is strength until proven otherwise.”
By combining multiple time frames, traders can trade confidently, anticipate targets, and stay in sync with the market flow.
2 Red Candles throw Nifty back to support searching mode. 2 intensive Red Candles with big selling throw Nifty back to support searching mode. The strong support zone is round the corner. The chart shows Nifty is nearing 2 major trend line supports at 24257 and 24175. If these 2 supports are broken further supports for Nifty will be at 23904 and 23803. Final Mega support for Nifty will be 23684 (200 day's EMA or Father Line Support) and recent low of 23291. On the upper side resistances galore at 24445 (50 day's EMA or Mother line) followed by 24627, 24793, 24960 and finally 25209.
The selling has come on the back of Rupee hitting all time low and fears over US FED slowdown in the Rate Cuts in the year 2025 as inflation is not abetting and is continuing to grow. US Markets have already priced in 25bps rate cut for the ongoing FEd meeting. But more worry is regarding the commentary about 2025 and 1 or 2 more US FED meetings decisions before Trump administration takes over. With Nifty nearing critical support levels mentioned earlier volatility, bulls Vs bears FII Vs DII intense struggle is on cards. Bears have had an upper hand so far this week but Bulls can stage a fierce fight back any time within this week itself once Nifty confirms support.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Algo:Bullish Momentum Intact for a Potential Upside continuationAlgo/USDT has been one of the standout performers among altcoins over the past month, with the price soaring by over 500%. After peaking just above $0.60, the coin experienced a healthy correction, forming a local low at $0.35, a level slightly above March's high.
Following this correction, BINANCE:ALGOUSDT entered a consolidation phase, creating a base around the $0.40 mark. This consolidation suggests the market is gathering strength for another potential upward move.
Currently, the price action indicates that Algo/USDT may be preparing for a new leg higher, with a likely target at the significant resistance near $0.70.
From a strategic perspective, I remain bullish as long as the $0.32 support level holds firm. The suggested approach is to buy dips, capitalizing on opportunities within this uptrend.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Support: $0.35 (recent local low), $0.32 (critical support)
- Resistance: $0.60 (previous high), $0.70 (major target resistance)
ETHEREUM (ETHUSD): How to Catch The Next Bullish MoveWe are seeing a significant potential for a bullish trend to persist on ETHEREUM, the current setup appears encouraging, indicating a possible bullish breakout.
To take advantage of the upcoming bullish momentum, it's advisable to wait for a breakout above the 3945 - 4110 blue range. A bullish violation of this area will likely lead to further growth towards the all-time high.
Obviously, ETHEREUM is somewhat overbought in the short term, but we have also observed a corrective movement from the highlighted resistance level first.
XAU/USD Strategy: Selling Rallies Amid Bearish StructureIn my analysis of XAU/USD yesterday, I highlighted that after the 800-pip drop, a rebound was likely. However, given the weekly Pin Bar and the bearish daily structure, I emphasized that any upward move should be viewed as a correction and an opportunity to sell.
Indeed, the market did see a rebound, but it was weak and short-lived. After reaching the 2665 zone, the price reversed to the downside and ended the day with minimal change.
Currently, the price sits at 2652, with the recent lows now acting as confluent support, reinforced by the rising trendline from the recent bottom. A decisive break below this support zone would shift focus to the next key level at 2610-2615.
My strategy remains unchanged: I continue to look for selling opportunities on rallies.
Platinum in deep consolidation TerritoryThe 70% to drop after my Nov 18th post turned out to be 100%
Now we are in deep consolidation going into the closing of this yearly candle
I predict we will drop further coming into the year but a sweep of the highs first.
There is actually no real way to predict which side will unload 1st to start the volatility so we remain cautious and super suspicious of the low volume going into the new year
DXY closing the yearly candle with bullish intentWe await to see what the DXY wants to do.
Will it respect the bearish array and seek to complete it's sellside rebalance?
Or will it seek further buyside clearing of old inefficient range above from the yearly chart?
I believe the new year candle will seek the high of the current candle closing. We will have some time to see this play out.
Dollar Index (DXY): One More Bullish Movement
Yesterday, I predicted a nice pullback on Dollar Index.
It looks like today, we have one more.
The price testing a key intraday/daily horizontal support
and formed a double bottom on that.
Bullish violation of its neckline may push the market higher.
Goal - 107.1
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Mastering RSI: The Complete and CORRECT Way to Trade ItThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one of the most popular and widely used indicators in trading.
Despite its prevalence, many traders misuse it or are unaware of its full potential. RSI isn't just about identifying overbought and oversold conditions; when applied correctly, it becomes a robust tool for trend confirmation, reversals, momentum acceleration, and much more.
This guide explores how to unlock the full power of RSI and avoid common pitfalls.
What Is RSI?
Developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr., RSI measures the speed and magnitude of price changes over a specified period. It oscillates between 0 and 100, with the following traditional zones:
Above 70: Indicates overbought conditions, where the price may reverse or consolidate.
Below 30: Indicates oversold conditions, where the price may rebound or reverse upward.
However, it’s important to note that RSI above 70 or below 30 can sometimes indicate trend acceleration rather than an immediate reversal—especially in strong trending markets, discussed in #6
The real reversal signal comes after RSI crosses back below 70 (for overbought) or back above 30 (for oversold). Understanding this distinction is critical to using RSI effectively.
1. Overbought and Oversold Conditions
The classic use of RSI involves identifying overbought and oversold levels:
Overbought: RSI rises above 70 and then drops back below it, signaling potential selling pressure.
Oversold: RSI falls below 30 and then moves back above it, indicating potential buying interest.
These signals are more effective when combined with tools like support/resistance levels or trendlines.
2. Centerline Crossover
The 50-level on RSI is a reliable trend indicator:
Above 50: Bullish momentum dominates.
Below 50: Bearish momentum dominates.
Use these crossovers to confirm trends:
Enter long trades when RSI is above 50.
Enter short trades when RSI is below 50.
3. Divergences
Divergences between RSI and price can signal potential trend reversals:
Bullish Divergence: Price makes lower lows, but RSI forms higher lows.
Bearish Divergence: Price makes higher highs, but RSI forms lower highs.
These divergences highlight weakening momentum and often precede reversals.
4. RSI Patterns
RSI can form recognizable chart patterns, such as triangles, head-and-shoulders, or double tops/bottoms. These patterns often precede price moves:
Triangles: A breakout on RSI often signals a strong price move.
Double Tops : A topping pattern on RSI warns of potential price declines.
5. Failure Swings
Failure swings occur when RSI enters an extreme zone (above 70 or below 30) but fails to sustain momentum and reverses. This is a strong reversal signal and can precede significant price moves:
Bullish Failure Swing:
RSI dips below 30.
It rises but dips again, staying above 30.
RSI breaks its previous high, signaling a bullish reversal.
Bearish Failure Swing:
RSI rises above 70.
It falls but rises again, staying below 70.
RSI breaks its previous low, signaling a bearish reversal.
How to trade it:
For a bullish failure swing, enter long when RSI confirms the higher low and breaks above the previous swing high.
For a bearish failure swing, enter short when RSI confirms the lower high and breaks below the previous swing low.
6. Momentum Acceleration Strategy
While RSI is traditionally used for spotting overbought and oversold conditions, it can also identify momentum acceleration during strong trends:
Above 70: In strong uptrends, when RSI rises above 70 and stays there, it signals upward acceleration, indicating buyers are in control.
Below 30: In strong downtrends, when RSI dips below 30 and stays there, it signals downward acceleration, with sellers driving the market lower.
How to trade it:
In uptrends, treat RSI staying above 70 as a sign of strength and look for pullbacks to enter long positions.
In downtrends, use brief rebounds as opportunities to short while RSI remains below 30.
7. Multi-Timeframe Strategy
Analyzing RSI across multiple timeframes enhances accuracy:
Use the higher timeframe (e.g., daily) to identify the overall trend.
Use the lower timeframe (e.g., 1-hour) to time trade entries.
Example:
If RSI on the daily chart is above 50 (bullish trend), look for hourly RSI dips below 30 to enter long trades.
If RSI on the daily chart is below 50 (bearish trend), wait for hourly RSI to reach overbought levels above 70 to short.
Tips for Advanced RSI Use:
Adjust RSI Settings: Shorter periods (e.g., 7) make RSI more sensitive, while longer periods (e.g., 21) smooth out signals for longer-term trends.
Combine RSI with Other Tools: Use RSI alongside moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, or Candlesticks.
Risk Management: Always pair RSI signals with a stop-loss strategy to manage risk effectively.
PRO TIP: As I like to say "Trade the price, not the indicator."
Use RSI as a confirmation tool, not the main signal.
For example, a price reversal from resistance or a bullish engulfing candle becomes far more reliable when backed by RSI signals.
Conclusion
RSI is far more versatile than many traders realize. While it’s traditionally used for identifying overbought and oversold levels, strategies like momentum acceleration and failure swings add depth to its utility. By combining RSI with centerline crossovers, divergences, multi-timeframe analysis, and chart patterns, traders can pinpoint entries, reversals, and momentum shifts with more precision and trade more confidently.
Key Takeaways:
- RSI staying above 70 or below 30 in trends signals momentum acceleration.
- Failure swings offer reliable reversal signals when RSI breaks key levels.
- Combining RSI strategies with other tools and proper risk management leads to more confidence
ASX 200: Is the Santa Rally Finally on the Runway?Did we just see the start of the ‘Santa Rally’ on Australia’s ASX 200? If the daily candle on SPI futures finishes around these levels, the price signal will likely embolden those who have been pining for its arrival.
As things stand, we’re looking at a key reversal with the body and range greater than the candle of 24 hours earlier, pointing to the potential for an extended run higher. RSI (14) has broken its downtrend – hinting at a shift in price momentum – although MACD is yet to confirm the signal.
While the timing of the futures contract roll emphasises the need for risk management, with just a handful of trading days left until Christmas, this has often been a strong seasonal period Australian stocks.
If the price closes above 8310, one setup to consider would be to initiate longs above the level with a stop beneath for protection, targeting the downtrend established from the record highs. A break of that level may open the door for a larger thrust, possibly towards 8420 or 8480.
The price needs to overcome 8353 for the setup to succeed, meaning traders should be on alert for signs of hesitancy from this known reversal level. If the price were to close beneath 8310, the bullish setup would be invalidated.
Good luck!
DS
Eicher Motors might motor along. Eicher Motors Ltd. engages in the development, design, manufacture, assembly and sale of two-wheelers, as well as related parts and accessories. It operates through Domestic and Overseas geographical segments. The Domestic segment includes sales and services to customers located in India. The Overseas segment includes sales and services rendered to customers located outside India.
Eicher Motors Ltd. CMP is 4838.50. The Positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company able to generate Net Cash - Improving Net Cash Flow, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 31.1), Promoter decreasing their shareholding, Companies with growing costs YoY for long term projects, De-growth in Revenue, Profits and Operating Profit Margin and Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income.
Entry can be taken after closing above 4843 Targets in the stock will be 4931 and 4991. The long-term target in the stock will be 5059 and 5119. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 4603 or 4481 depending on your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.