Candlestick Analysis
Silver is pressing for an up breakIn my Monday analysis, I noted that Silver was gathering momentum just below the 31.40 resistance level, with a high probability of breaking upward. Such a breakout could pave the way for a significant rise of approximately 2000 pips.
As anticipated, the price broke above 31.40, climbing nearly 1000 pips before beginning a period of correction and consolidation.
My bullish outlook remains firmly intact, and I continue to expect a move toward the 33.50 level.
The strategy of "buying on dips" should remain the focus for traders. Additionally, a decisive break above 32.50 would confirm the next leg of the rally, potentially unlocking another 1000-pip rise toward the target.
Reliance Down but seems not out. Reliance is one of India's premier companies with a market cap currently at Rs.1710830.2 Crores. After the stock split the stock lost momentum and had been falling drastically. Right now it is belo Mother and Father line on daily charts. With profitability and EPS set to increase from 2025 onwards as per the last Speech of Mr.Mukesh Ambani Reliance still can to be ruled out as a long term pick and a portfolio stock.
Technically the stock is weak but as it is a Long term investment idea and Portfolio stock the levels at which it is trading are looking mouth-watering. Tracking quantity entry or X/3 entry levels are mentioned below for the stock.
There is a news today of Reliance entering a long term contract with Russia worth 13B a year at current prices. Along with this news Reliance is trading at a price of 1263. The near by support zones are at 1241 and 1218. Long term support is near the zone of 1150 to 1043. X/3 entry for educational purpose of tracking quantity of Reliance can be taken at current levels or if it falls further to 1241 or 1218 levels and bounces from there. (Entry on bounce not while it is falling). The second entry can be taken on bounce after closing above 1328. Final entry after closing above 1387 levels. Long term targets for Reliance will be 1442, 1530 and 1600+ levels. Stop loss can be maintained at a monthly closing below 1043 (It is very unlikely if it goes there).
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
BTC DOMINANCE- BEARISH AFLife and Trading: Decisions Shape Outcomes
Life can shift dramatically in a single day—either for the better or worse. Everything boils down to the decisions you make, whether in heated moments or calm reflection. When chaos and panic dominate, your best refuge lies in creativity, knowledge and balls.
During the recent shakeout, I stayed silent—not because I lacked an opinion, but because moments like these require clarity. It’s like a car crash—you first ensure your safety before analyzing the damage. So, I distanced myself from the noise and dove deep into the charts.
Key Observations: Bitcoin Dominance
Bitcoin dominance, a critical indicator during altcoin crashes, was rising but met resistance at significant levels. Bearish arguments at that time included:
Weekly Bearish FVG respected
Daily Bearish FVG respected
Trendline retest confirming the break
Current Bearish Arguments:
PMH & PML respected
PWH & PWL respected
Weekly and Daily Bearish FVG respected
4H swing highs/lows respected
4H Bearish FVG respected
Strategy:
Given these signals, it’s tempting to go all-in on altcoins. However, I anticipate a ranging market until Christmas, followed by a dip below the 50% level—a precursor to a true altcoin bull market.
Be cautious: I expect another shakeout around December 18 or 23, where I plan to take significant positions. Always have a clear entry and exit plan to navigate these volatile waters.
Follow me to stay updated, and remember—this market rewards patience and preparation.
God bless you.
-Jay
Go ahead and try shorting gold!Bros, due to the renewed tension in the geopolitical situation and the surge in risk aversion in the market, gold has risen sharply in the short term, and the current highest has reached around 2618. However, the continuity of the gold market, which has risen due to news stimulation, remains to be seen!
And from the chart, although gold has risen strongly, it still faces resistance in the 2720-2725 area in the short term. This is the last line of defense in the bear market, so it is not easy for gold to continue to break through. If gold fails to successfully cross this resistance area, then after consuming the bullish momentum to a certain extent, gold may retreat again and retest the 2700-2695 area.
So in terms of short-term trading, I will still not give up shorting gold. I will still try to add positions to continue shorting gold based on the 2720-2725 resistance area! Do you think gold will pull back? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
ATOM- BULLISH MOMENTUMEyeing Altcoins Near Their March 2024 Highs
BINANCE:ATOMUSDT
I focus on setups where altcoins are approaching their potential March 2024 peaks. These trades are straightforward in strategy but challenging emotionally, as we can expect turbulence and liquidation cascades along the way.
Bullish Arguments
PMH being disrespected
PML being disrespected
PWH being disrespected
PWL being disrespected
PDL being disrespected
PDH being disrespected
Bearish Arguments:
4H swing high being respected
4H swing low being respected
Trade Management
I keep a tight SL to protect capital in case the market hunts liquidity. If stopped out, I’ll reassess and re-enter if price action confirms. TP is around the March 2024 zone, but partial profits may be taken earlier.
A Word of Caution
As futures trading intensifies, we’ll encounter frequent liquidation cascades and stop hunts. This is where discipline and resilience truly matter. The hardest phase starts now.
Trade wisely, stay focused, and take care.
POLKADOT - Strategic Patience for the Next MovePolkadot: Strategic Patience for the Next Move
I've been holding Polkadot since $5.82 and still have my trade open. While I haven’t taken profits yet, this time I plan to secure gains once it approaches $10 again, as I anticipate a correction around December 18th. This pullback could last until December 23rd, where I aim to significantly increase my position.
📈 Scalping Opportunities:
For now, patience is key. However, scalpers will find plenty of opportunities leading up to December 17–18. Be vigilant during those dates, as volatility may spike.
💡 Swing Trading Insight:
Any swing trades entered on December 23rd or the early hours of the 24th could offer exceptional returns.
⚠️ Key Advice:
Always stick to your plan.
Don’t let greed cloud your judgment—secure partial profits to maintain liquidity.
From January onward, the market's psychological and analytical demands will increase. Be prepared and don’t get distracted by noise.
🔑 Closing Thoughts:
This market rewards discipline and foresight. Stay sharp, stay humble, and remember: the best opportunities often come to those who are patient and prepared.
May your trades be fruitful.
God bless you.
—Jay
XauUsd target done. What's next?As expected, the 2655–2660 resistance zone gave way, and after a confirmed breakout, OANDA:XAUUSD moved higher, surpassing the initial target of 2685 and hitting a local high above 2700.
The price then formed a double top around the 2704 level (5m chart) before entering a normal correction phase. During this pullback, it tested the 2675 zone, which held as a strong support area due to its confluence.
Currently, Gold is showing signs of resuming its upward trend and is trading around 2693. My outlook remains bullish as long as the 2670–2675 support zone holds. For now, buying during dips remains the best strategy.
If the price can break back above 2700, the next key resistance to watch is at 2718.
ETHEREUM - BULLISH AFEthereum: A Technical Masterpiece with a Psychological Challenge
Ethereum's price action showcases remarkable technical precision. However, the real test lies in managing emotions: impatience and impulsive decisions often lead traders to quick losses.
📈 Projection:
Expect a steady climb toward $4,300 until around December 17–18. At that point, a correction of -15% to -30% is likely, though the exact scale will depend on market conditions.
📅 Key Date:
By December 23, ensure your positions are set. As the market evolves, navigating increased difficulty will require discipline—this phase is not for the unprepared.
📊 Comparison:
The current price movement mirrors Ethereum’s 2020 trend, proving that while history doesn’t repeat, it often rhymes.
⚠️ Plan Ahead:
Approach the market with a clear strategy. Maintain well-defined entry and exit plans, and avoid emotional decision-making. Recklessness has no place here.
🚀 Looking Ahead:
January promises explosive growth, likely peaking around mid-month. This period demands focus and resilience—those who stay disciplined stand to benefit the most.
💡 Takeaway:
Ethereum’s journey is more than just price action; it’s a test of patience and strategy. Stick to your plan, trust the process, and let the market work for you.
💼 Upcoming Trade:
I’m about to open a new trade, which I’ll share with you here—just like the one I posted at $3,100. Now’s the time to make money and stay laser-focused. Don’t hesitate to follow me and keep an eye out for updates!
Stay sharp, stay grounded, and may the odds be in your favor.
God bless you.
—Jay
Ethereum time to shine-Swing trading LONGEthereum: Your Time to Shine
BINANCE:ETHUSDT
Ethereum, it’s your moment. You’re in a prime setup for traders, where psychology is playing a crucial role. As Bitcoin consolidates sideways, Ethereum is retesting a key zone, preparing for what could be its true breakout.
This is your time to shine.
Remember, this is not financial advice. Always use a responsible risk management strategy. My trade is targeting the ATH zone, where I plan to take profits and wait for a similar setup to reposition myself strategically
Good consolidation by Nifty. Getting ready for another jump?The positive close today and the movement inside the star is indicative of a small or medium jump before it takes another break for consolidation if Nifty can continue to hold ground and close above critical resistance of 24743. Crossing and closing above 24743 is very important for this to happen. If we get a closing above 24743 the next resistances will be at the levels of 24904, 25240 and 25514. 25514 region looks again like a strong resistance zone which will require another consolidation or strong Bullish momentum to cross that zone.
If Nifty is not able to close above 24743 then the current rally can become weak or we can even see fizzling out of the same. In such a scenario the supports for Nifty will be at 24422 (50 EMA Strong Mother line support on daily candle chart), 24294 and 24100. Below 24100 there is a strong support zone between 23907 Star base support, 23648 (200 days EMA very strong Father line support on daily chart), 23187. (Which is a very very strong support as it has the star bottom coinciding with Channel bottom support.)(This seems to be the worst case scenario as of now in unlikely circumstances).
If you want to learn more about charts, Candle stick analytics, Fundamental analysis, Mother and Father line importance, How to book profits, how to find a balance between Technical and fundamental analysis through Happy Candles Numbers, understand behavioural Finance and other interesting topics by learning which you can make your money work harder you should read my book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION which is available on Amazon in paperback and kindle version. E-version of the same is available on Google Play Books too. The link to purchase the book is available at the bottom of this page in the signature section.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
EURUSD Wave Analysis 11 December 2024
- EURUSD reversed from resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 1.0450
EURUSD currency pair recently reversed down with the long-legged Doji from the resistance area between the upper daily Bollinger Band, pivotal resistance level 1.0610 (former multi-month support from April) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from the start of November.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone started the active minor downward impulse wave 3.
Given the strength of the aforementioned resistance area and the clear daily downtrend, EURUSD currency pair can be expected to fall further to the next support level 1.0450 (low of the earlier minor correction b).
GBPCAD Wave Analysis 11 December 2024
- GBPCAD reversed from strong resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 1.8000
GBPCAD currency pair recently reversed down from the strong resistance zone located at the intersection of the upper daily Bollinger Band and the key resistance level 1.8100, which has been reversing the pair from September.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the C-wave of the previous ABC correction (B) from the end of November.
Given the strength of the resistance level 1.8100, GBPCAD currency pair can be expected to correct down to the next round support level 1.8000.
EURCHF: Intraday Bearish Signal?! 🇪🇺🇨🇭
EURCHF nicely reacted to a key intraday horizontal resistance.
The price formed an inverted cup & handle pattern on that
and violated its neckline with a bearish imbalance candle.
I think that the price may drop lower.
Next support - 0.9278
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