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GOLD → Rates have been cut. Will growth continue?FX:XAUUSD , following the Fed's decision on interest rates, caused a shock, updating the ATH to 3707, then updating the minimum to 3633. Since the opening of the European session, the market has been recovering, but there is a BUT... The Fed's Dot Plot confirmed the forecast of two additional rate cuts before the end of the year, which provides long-term support for gold. The USD remains under pressure after the Fed's decision, despite a short-term rebound. Trump's statements and the escalation of conflicts continue to fuel demand for safe havens. After rising to a record high of $3707, a short-term correction is possible. If today's jobless claims come in better than expected, it will temporarily strengthen the USD. As for Powell, his emphasis on “meeting-to-meeting decisions” may limit appetite for risky assets. Resistance levels: 3674.7, 3688.6 Support levels: 3654.5, 3633, 3626.8 Technically, since the opening of the European session, gold has spent its intraday ATR reserve. From the specified resistance level of 3675 (psychological level), a correction to 3660-3655 may form before continuing to grow to 3675-3688. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
15
Gold Outlook: Bearish Below 3,676, Bulls Need 3,684 BreakGOLD – Overview Gold remains sensitive ahead of the Federal Reserve rate decision, with volatility also influenced by the potential U.S.–U.K. trade deal. A Fed rate cut typically supports gold, but A successful U.S.–U.K. trade deal would reduce safe-haven demand, adding bearish pressure. Technical Outlook 📉 Bearish scenario Price may first test 3,676, then drop toward 3,666 → 3,657. A sustained break below 3,657 would open deeper downside toward 3,640. 📈 Bullish scenario A confirmed 1H close above 3,684 would signal bullish continuation. Upside targets: 3,693 → 3,700 → 3,711. Key Levels Pivot: 3,676 Resistance: 3,684 – 3,699 – 3,711 Support: 3,666 – 3,657 – 3,640 📌 Market Context: Fed Decision: A dovish Fed or larger cut could lift gold toward 3,693+. U.S.–U.K. Trade Deal: Positive headlines would likely weigh on gold by reducing safe-haven flows.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SroshMayi
1
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Strong Bullish Confirmation?! Update for my yesterday's idea for WTI Crude Oil. The price retested a recently broken structure and we see a strong bullish reaction to that today. A bullish violation of a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern indicates a strong buying pressure. I think that the market will continue growing and reach 64.65 resistance soon. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
FX:USOILLong
by VasilyTrader
1
Dot Plot Divide: Dollar Gains, Gold Stalls The USDJPY spiked lower following the Fed’s 25 basis point cut yesterday but quickly reversed trajectory as the dot plot projections from the FOMC came in softer than markets had expected. The updated dot plot showed a narrow majority of FOMC members anticipating two more small rate cuts in 2025, while others leaned toward just one or even none. This potentially suggests that the Fed is not simply aligning with Trump sycophant and newly appointed FOMC board member Stephen Miran’s aggressive call for repeated 50-basis-point cuts and instead signals an element of independence. USDJPY (left chart, 1H): The pair has carved out a sharp V-shaped reversal after its Fed-driven dip, showing strong bullish momentum. This suggests buyers remain in control unless a reversal candle (such as a bearish engulfing) forms. XAUUSD (right chart, 4H): Gold’s rally topped out near 3,707 before pulling back more than 600 pips to 3,646. The most recent candles show shorter bodies with upper wicks — a potential sign of fading momentum and supply pressure. If this develops into a bearish continuation pattern, the channel’s border becomes the next area of focus.
by BlackBull_Markets
XAUUSD H1 | Bearish drop offBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected off the sell entry at 3,655.23, which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this levle to the take profit. Stop loss is at 3,672.97, whichis a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 3,616.99, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAUUSDShort
by Tradu
Gold - Here we have the textbook breakout!📖Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) currently breaks out: 🔎Analysis summary: After we saw Gold rejecting the previous all time high multiple times over the past couple of months, we are now witnessing a bullish breakout. If this breakout is confirmed in the near future, Gold will head for another parabolic rally higher, repeating the 2011 blow off top. 📝Levels to watch: $3.500 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
TVC:GOLDLong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
14
FED slows down: Cuts 25bps, gold stays flat🟡 XAU/USD – 18/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context FED : Cut rates by 25bps as expected, hinted at 2 more cuts this year → initially supported Gold to rebound around 3,65x. Powell turned hawkish : • “No need to move quickly on rate cuts.” • “Today’s cut is mainly risk-management.” This message signaled that the FED is not fully opening the easing door → Gold fluctuated and stalled its upside momentum. Tonight: Awaiting Jobless Claims & Philly Fed for more clarity on the FED’s path. ⏩ Captain’s Summary Gold is supported by the rate cut, but Powell’s “braking” caused volatility. Zone 3,663 – 3,665 has become the pivot support to determine the next move. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) 3,684 – 3,686 (strong OB) 3,717 – 3,719 (ATH Zone – very strong, likely heavy selling) Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) Pivot Dock: 3,663 – 3,665 (new pivot support) Main Harbor: 3,629 – 3,630 (BoS confluence & old sideway) Market Structure After breakout and profit-taking, Gold returned to test support. 3,663 – 3,665 : pivot support. • If it holds → rebound to 3,684 – 3,717. • If it breaks → deeper correction to 3,629. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (priority) Buy Zone 1 Entry: 3,663 – 3,665 SL: 3,655 TP: 3,684 – 3,717 Buy Zone 2 Entry: 3,629 – 3,630 SL: 3,618 TP: 3,663 – 3,684 – 3,717 ⚡ Sell (only at resistance) Sell Zone OB Entry: 3,684 – 3,686 SL: 3,695 TP: 3,665 – 3,645 Sell Zone ATH Entry: 3,717 – 3,719 SL: 3,727 TP: 3,706 – 3,690 – 3,675 ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden sails caught wind as the FED cut rates, but Powell’s headwind slowed the advance. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,663 – 3,629) is the pivot dock to decide the next course. If it holds, the ship may rebound to test Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,684 – 3,719) . If it breaks, the ship will retreat deeper to gather strength. For now, Quick Boarding 🚤 should only be done at strong resistance, while the larger voyage still leans northward.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold After Dip: Correction or Start of a New Uptrend?Hello everyone, yesterday gold saw a noticeable pullback, dropping from its peak of $3,703/ounce to around $3,685/ounce, a decrease of about 18 pips. This correction stands out, especially after a strong rally in recent days. The reasons behind this move are clear: Profit-taking: After the significant rise, many investors decided to lock in profits, creating selling pressure. USD recovery: The US dollar showed a mild recovery, reducing gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. Fed anticipation: With the upcoming Fed rate decision, market participants adopted a more cautious stance, leading to a slowdown in trading activity. Looking ahead, where could gold be heading? Scenario 1: If it holds above the support zone at $3,660–$3,650, gold could bounce back, potentially reaching $3,700 and beyond. Scenario 2: A break below $3,650 could trigger further selling, possibly dragging gold down to the $3,600 level. At this point, I lean towards the idea that gold will continue to consolidate around the support zone before a clearer trend emerges. What do you think about the upcoming direction of gold? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EmmaChartist
9
Gold Breaking Limits – Trend Speaks for ItselfGold Breaking Limits – Trend Speaks for Itself Gold Market Outlook Gold continues to demonstrate a well-structured bullish cycle, characterized by steady momentum and clean trend development. The market has transitioned from a prolonged consolidation phase into a sustained directional move, where each breakout is validated by controlled retracements. This reflects strong participation and confidence from larger players. The sequence of market shifts and break-of-structure signals highlight how short-term pullbacks are consistently absorbed, turning into fuel for further expansion. Price action is orderly, with no signs of erratic volatility, showing that buyers remain in control and liquidity is being managed efficiently. Overall, gold is moving in line with the broader macro sentiment. The rhythm of accumulation, expansion, and continuation suggests that the current cycle has not yet exhausted its potential. While interim pauses are expected, the structural integrity of the trend continues to favor upside development over the medium term.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
Gold 1H – Retail Sales Impact Before FedGold on the 1H timeframe is trading near 3,682 after a strong BOS. Liquidity is now stacked above the premium resistance at 3,700 and below the fresh FVG demand at 3,669–3667. With U.S. Retail Sales scheduled today at 19:30 VN time, volatility may spike intraday, but broader positioning remains cautious ahead of the Fed’s rate decision this week. Expect engineered sweeps into premium before retracements back into demand. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,700 – 3,698 (SL 3,707): Premium resistance for engineered sweep/rejection targeting 3,690 → 3,680 → 3,670. • 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,669 – 3,667 (SL 3,660): Fair Value Gap demand aligned with retracement into structure, targeting 3,680 → 3,690 → 3,700+. • 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,641 – 3,639 (SL 3,632): Deep discount support zone targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,685+. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,669–3,667) • Entry: 3,669 – 3,667 • Stop Loss: 3,660 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,680  TP2: 3,690  TP3: 3,700+ 👉 Look for a liquidity sweep into the FVG zone before New York open. 🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Sweep (3,641–3,639) • Entry: 3,641 – 3,639 • Stop Loss: 3,632 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,655  TP2: 3,670  TP3: 3,685+ 👉 Strong R:R if price hunts stops below structure before Retail Sales data. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Run (3,700–3,698) • Entry: 3,700 – 3,698 • Stop Loss: 3,707 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,690  TP2: 3,680  TP3: 3,670 👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium supply before fading lower. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Retail Sales may provide short-term volatility, but Fed expectations will dominate the week. Smart money is likely to run both sides of liquidity: fading premium near 3,700–3,698 while protecting buys at 3,669–3,667 and 3,641–3,639. Trade with reduced size and confirm structure on H1 closes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
3
The trend remains unchanged. Short sell on rebound#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD The price of gold fell below the MA5 moving average and the trend turned bearish. In the short term, gold rebounded again. If it touches 3662-3672, you can consider shorting gold again. The short-term target remains unchanged. We can continue to see 3633. If the bears are strong, it is even expected to touch the 3600 integer mark. Just follow and you will make money, let the winning rate and facts speak for themselves.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading-Magician_G
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for September 18thGold Technical Analysis Daily Chart Resistance: 3700, Support: 3600 4-Hour Chart Resistance: 3685, Support: 3625 Hourly Chart Resistance: 3675, Support: 3645 Gold prices generally declined on Wednesday, reaching a high of 3707.3 and a low of 3646, closing around 3659. From the chart, after today's market open, gold prices, as seen on the 1-hour chart, have found support in the previous sideways range and are currently trading at the 20-day moving average (MA20) at 3672. If this level breaks through, it could potentially challenge resistance near 3686. However, considering the 30-minute moving average, holding above 3672 is unlikely in the short term, so we will have to wait for the NY market data. Focus on the upward pressure of $3693-3712 and the downward support of $3633-3646. The short-term bull-bear dividing line is near 3675! Buy low and sell high. Potential Trading Range: Selling range: 3693-3688 Buying range: 3651-3646
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ActuaryJ
XAUUSD Intraday Analysis – Correction in Play, Key Levels AheadGold (XAUUSD) recently rejected the 3,720 USD/oz zone after a strong rally and is now forming a clear ABC corrective structure on the H1 timeframe. Wave (A) bottomed near 3,640. Wave (B) retraced back to 3,670 – 3,680, showing weak momentum. Wave (C) could be underway, with potential targets at lower support levels. Key Technical Levels Immediate Resistance: 3,670 – 3,680 (wave B peak). Major Resistance: 3,700 – 3,720 (previous high and supply zone). Immediate Support: 3,640 (wave A low). Major Support: 3,600 – 3,610 (Fibonacci 0.382–0.5, aligned with descending trendline). Indicators EMA20 crossing below EMA50 on H1 → bearish short-term bias. RSI bounced from oversold but still below 50 → weak recovery, favoring further downside into wave (C). Trading Strategies Primary Scenario (Bearish): Look for SELL opportunities around 3,670 – 3,680, targeting 3,640 first and extending to 3,600. Stop loss above 3,690. Alternative Scenario (Bullish): A breakout and H1 close above 3,700 would shift bias to the upside, opening room toward 3,720 – 3,740. Conclusion Gold remains in a corrective phase with downside risk toward 3,600 if resistance holds. Watch closely how price reacts at 3,670 – 3,680 for short-term opportunities. Stay tuned for more strategies and insights – follow along if you find this analysis helpful.
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
Review the crude oil movement Let’s review the crude oil movement last week. WTI prices declined amid concerns over the U.S. economy and oversupply. Traders are still assessing the Fed’s remarks regarding further interest rate cuts. In terms of price action, crude oil maintained a volatile downward trend. There was a brief rebound at one point, but the gains were eventually erased, and prices resumed their decline. The downtrend continued through Friday, yet the key support level of 62 remained unbroken. It is expected that crude oil will stage a rebound and go up in the coming week. Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
VANTAGE:USOUSDLong
by CarterJordan
EUR/USD WEEKPLAN ANALYSIS: Ready for ShortMarket Structure Analysis OANDA:EURUSD Change of Character (ChoCH): The price shifted from a downtrend to an uptrend by breaking the previous high, which is marked as "ChoCH". This is the first signal indicating a change in the trend. Break of Structure (BOS): After the ChoCH, the price continued to form higher highs and higher lows. A strong upward move broke the most recent high, creating a new "BOS". This confirms that the uptrend is continuing. Current Trend: The current market structure is bullish. The price has created a new high (HH) and is now in a corrective phase, pulling back to find a strong support zone. Analysis of Key Zones Based on the market structure, there are key zones to watch: BUY ZONE: Location: The price range is from ~1.1670 to ~1.1690. Significance: This zone is a crucial Order Block (OB). It was formed by the last candle before the price started its strong upward move, breaking the structure (BOS). According to SMC logic, this is where "Smart Money" placed large buy orders to push the price up, and the price is highly likely to retrace to "fill" the remaining orders. This is the most potential entry point for a long position. SELL ZONE: Location: The price range is from ~1.1820 to ~1.1840. Significance: This zone is an Order Block and may also contain an Imbalance (liquidity gap). The price has already pulled back and had a minor reaction to this area. This is a temporary resistance zone. If the price continues to correct lower towards the "BUY ZONE", it will break through this area. Liquidity and Stop Loss Zones: Stop Loss (HH): The stop loss for a potential short trade would be placed above the highest peak (~1.1900). Stop Loss (LL): The stop loss for a potential long trade would be placed below the lowest low (below the "BUY ZONE", ~1.1640). This area holds liquidity for buy orders placed here. If the price breaks this zone, the bullish structure could be invalidated, and the trading plan needs to be reconsidered. Trading Plan Based on the analysis, there are two main scenarios for trading EUR/USD: Primary Scenario (Long Trade): Strategy: Wait for the price to continue its corrective pullback. Entry: Place a pending buy order in the BUY ZONE (~1.1670 - 1.1690). Reasoning: This is the strongest Order Block zone, where the price is highly likely to reverse to continue the uptrend. Take Profit: TP1: The nearest high, above the SELL ZONE (~1.1840). TP2: The current highest peak (~1.1880). TP3: The liquidity zone above the high (HH) (~1.1920). Stop Loss: Place it below the lowest low (LL), which is below the BUY ZONE (~1.1640). Alternative Scenario (Short-Term Short Trade): Strategy: Based on the current correction. Entry: Consider a short-term sell trade when the price hits the SELL ZONE (~1.1820 - 1.1840). Reasoning: This is a temporary resistance zone that could push the price down to fill the BUY ZONE below. Take Profit: The BUY ZONE (~1.1670). Stop Loss: Place it above the nearest peak within the corrective phase (~1.1860). Important Note: The long trade scenario (primary plan) is more reliable because it aligns with the main market trend. The short trade scenario should be considered a short-term, higher-risk trade. Always follow proper risk management principles and only enter a trade with clear confirmation signals (e.g., a reversal candlestick pattern or a clear reaction to the key zones).
Long
by Linda_OneShotTrader