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XAUUSD Price Outlook – Bearish Setup in Play ??Asset Overview The chart represents a price action analysis with support and resistance zones, along with EMA indicators (50 and 200), likely on a 4H or 1H timeframe. Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: ~3,400 to 3,450 First Support Zone: ~3,230 to 3,250 Second Support Zone: ~3,090 to 3,130 Indicators EMA 50 (Red): Currently around 3,340, acting as dynamic resistance. EMA 200 (Blue): Positioned near 3,232, reinforcing the first support zone. Price Action Insight Price had a strong uptrend, peaking above 3,440 before pulling back. A lower high may be forming, suggesting possible trend exhaustion. The current bounce appears to be a retracement back toward resistance or EMA 50. Projected Move (As Illustrated on Chart) Short-term bullish move into the resistance zone (~3,400–3,450). Failure to break above resistance leads to sharp rejection. Price retraces to first support zone (aligned with EMA 200). If support fails, deeper drop expected toward the lower support zone (~3,100). Strategic Notes 📉 Bearish Bias if price fails to break above resistance. 🔍 Watch for bearish candlestick patterns or divergences near resistance. 🛡️ First support aligns with EMA 200, making it a critical level for bulls to defend. 🔻 Breakdown below 3,230 opens room for larger correction to 3,100–3,090. Conclusion Currently, the chart suggests a potential short opportunity if price confirms rejection at resistance. The EMA cross structure remains bullish long-term, but momentum is weakening, and failure to reclaim highs could shift sentiment bearish in the short to mid-term.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
Possible H&S Forming – It’s All About the News NowOANDA:XAUUSD 📉 Watching closely: Possible Head and Shoulders formation developing on the 4H and 1H charts As of April 24, 2025, Gold (XAU/USD) is forming a potential Head and Shoulders pattern on the shorter timeframes (4H and 1H), which could indicate a reversal setup. While multiple scenarios are still in play, the price action around the $3368 level will be crucial. If price fails to break above this resistance in the near term, it could suggest weak bullish momentum and open the door for a pullback toward and possibly below the neckline around $3250 . 🔔 Key Economic Events – April 24 08:30 EDT – Durable Goods Orders MoM Forecast: +2.0% Personal outlook: Numbers might come in weaker than forecasted. Durable goods orders are a solid gauge of industrial demand. Weaker-than-expected numbers would likely weaken the USD and could offer some upside pressure on Gold. 10:00 EDT – Existing Home Sales Forecast: Lower than previous. As a key barometer of consumer confidence and economic stability, lower-than-expected figures could also put pressure on the USD, potentially providing Gold a short-term bullish impulse. 📊 Potential Scenarios Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout Weak economic data → USD weakens → Gold spikes above $3400 If both data points disappoint, we could see a rally in Gold, possibly breaking the resistance and invalidating the H&S pattern. Scenario 2 – Bearish Breakdown (Preferred H&S Scenario) Strong data → USD strengthens → Gold falls below $3200 While less likely, if economic data comes in stronger than forecasted, Gold could see a significant drop, forming the right shoulder and breaking the neckline – confirming the Head & Shoulders reversal. Scenario 3 – Sideways Movement Neutral data + Tariff talks in focus In the absence of impactful data or if figures come in as expected, Gold might consolidate sideways. Ongoing developments around US-China tariff negotiations could dominate sentiment, delaying or nullifying the H&S pattern entirely. 📉 Market Sentiment Snapshot US stocks are rallying on optimism around tariff reductions Trump administration signaling potential easing of China tariffs ➡️ Gold under pressure as risk-on sentiment rises 📍 Conclusion Keep an eye on the $3368 level and $3250 neckline. Short-term moves will likely be dictated by today’s economic releases and the evolving trade narrative. A confirmed break below the neckline would validate the bearish H&S scenario with potential downside toward $3200 and below. 👉 Stay nimble and trade the reaction, not just the forecast. ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Wick-Sniper
1
Crude oil: Narrow oscillation, awaiting breakoutFrom the perspective of the daily chart of crude oil, the moving average system of the medium-term trend is arranged downward, and the objective direction of the medium-term trend is downward. After the oil price touched the low point of 55.20, there has been frequent alternation between long and short positions. In the medium term, the bearish momentum is accumulating, and it is expected to further decline to the level of 50 in the later stage. In the short term (1-hour chart), the trend of crude oil dropped after hitting strong resistance near 64.90, and the decline has retraced the gains of the previous three trading days. The fast and slow lines of the MACD are within the bearish momentum area, indicating that the downward momentum is abundant. Judging from the primary and secondary rhythms, the decline in the North American market yesterday formed a downward rhythm of the main trend. The oil price rebounded weakly in the early trading session, which is a secondary rhythm. According to the law of alternation between primary and secondary rhythms, it is expected that crude oil will continue to decline today, break below the support at 61.50, and test the level of 60. Overall, in terms of the trading idea for crude oil, it is recommended to mainly go short on rebounds and supplement with going long on pullbacks. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance level at 63.5-64.0, and in the short term, pay attention to the support level at 61.5-61.0. Investment itself doesn't carry risks; it's only when investment is out of control that risks arise. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
TVC:USOILLong
by CyberFinMagus
Primary and secondary rhythm: sudden drop in crude oil pricesLast week, OPEC announced a new compensation plan to offset previous overproduction. Under the plan, eight affected countries plan to reduce production by a total of 457,000 barrels per day by mid-2026, failing to sustain a short-term rise in oil prices. Crude oil's short-term trend hit strong resistance near 64.90 and fell, with the decline erasing the gains of the previous three trading days. The MACD fast and slow lines remain within bearish momentum, indicating abundant downward momentum. From the perspective of primary and secondary rhythms, the decline in the North American market yesterday formed a primary downward trend, while the weak rebound in early trading today represents a secondary rhythm. According to the law of primary-secondary alternation, crude oil is expected to continue to decline today, breaking below the 61.50 support level and testing 60. USOIL sell@62.8-63.3 tp:61.5-61 I hope this strategy will be helpful to you. When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
TVC:USOIL
by H_C_12
USOIL Opening Trends and Trading Strategies Next WeekTrend Analysis As shown in the chart, in the 1 - hour time frame, USOIL is moving within an upward - trending channel 📈. This channel is defined by two trendlines, and the price is fluctuating upwards within it. Although there have been pullback trends during this period, the overall trend remains upward. This indicates that in the short term, the bullish forces are relatively dominant, driving the price to gradually climb 📈. However, the frequent price fluctuations also reflect a certain degree of game - playing between the bulls and bears in the market 🤺. ⚡⚡⚡ USOIL ⚡⚡⚡ 🚀 Buy@61.5 - 62.0 🚀 TP 63.5 - 65.0 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
TVC:USOILLong
by Sovereign-
With Last Trading Week Indecision Next Week Will be BIG for GoldGold shows indecision after the close of trading hours for last week, and with the long sellers' wick exhibited on the candlestick, XAUUSD will require a huge geopolitical uncertainty news for price to continue to rise. A further rejection will drag gold's price to its mean. N.B! - XAUUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast. - Let emotions and sentiments work for you - ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades #gold #xauusd
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BullBearMkt
GBPUSD - Big Move Setting Up - Elliott Wave AnalysisGBPUSD is currently unfolding a 5-wave impulsive move according to Elliott Wave Theory. At the moment, we are in Wave 4, which typically corrects against the larger trend. Key Points: Wave 2 was a simple correction, so based on alternation, Wave 4 is expected to be more complex (likely an ABC structure). Wave 4 often retraces to the 38.2% Fibonacci level — in this case, aligning perfectly with a long-term ascending trendline, providing additional confluence for a potential buy zone. Trade Plan: - Monitor the ABC correction for completion near the 38.2% retracement. - Look for bullish confirmation (trendline break, bullish structure shifts, BOS, etc.). - Entries will be considered after clear signs of bullish pressure. - Stoploss: Below the lows formed during the Wave 4 correction. Targets: First Target: 1.3400 (450 pips) Second Target: 1.3750 (800 pips) Summary: Patience is key during the Wave 4 correction. Once the setup confirms, this could offer a strong risk-reward opportunity within the overall bullish impulsive structure. See our past GBPUSD setups below: Swing 1: Swing 2: Swing 3:
by WicktatorFX
Surge Energy (SGY) Elliott Wave Outlook26/04/25 SGY Update I’ve been long Surge Energy since Jan 24. Price did move higher initially following my entry but has since ground lower in what looks like an ending diagonal pattern in red C of a larger ABC zig zag correction. There is RSI divergence on the weekly time frame which helps the case that SGY could be bottoming, but that will of course be effected by what the price of oil does. Any further downside on SGY I will be looking at the yellow zone which contains the 786 retracement at $3.9, measured move target of the red A wave at $3.28 & 886 retracement at $2.64. There is an ending diagonal invalidation level at $3.2, if this is tagged, I will need to adjust the current count. The completion of Red C will complete the (X) wave of the higher degree (W)(X)(Y) in yellow, from these levels the (Y) wave target will be $16-$17.
TSX:SGYLong
by figureofspeech
USOIL: Bears Are Winning! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 63.133 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 62.366..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
FX:USOILShort
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
SILVER My Opinion! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for NATGAS below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 33.100 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 33.330 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by AnabelSignals
1
Can the bears continue to exert their strength?The short-selling trading strategy given during the day today enabled us to earn a lot of profits. Gold fell for the second time during the US trading session, with the lowest reaching near the 3265 line. This was the previous low and the limit position of this round of floating. The current K-line pattern presents a "two yin and yang" pattern, indicating that the short momentum will continue early next week. However, it is worth noting that this adjustment may not necessarily unfold in the form of a unilateral decline. Sideways shocks may also become dominant. It is expected that gold prices will see-saw repeatedly in the 3260-3380 range. It is not even ruled out that the main funds deliberately create the illusion of "luring the empty to break down", and then quickly reverse and regain lost ground. Therefore, we need to focus on the key support of 3260 in the evening. If the gold price falls below the key support of 3260, as our daytime trading strategy says, the power of shorts will be further amplified. However, if the gold price stabilizes in the 3260-3280 range, the gold price may usher in a correction in the short term. Therefore, do not blindly continue to chase shorts for the time being. The key support of 3260 below is not broken. You can try to go long in the short term and look towards 3290-3300. The box is oscillating. Brothers, pay attention to making a certain profit and then stop in time. If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldHunter_Allen
GOLD My Opinion! SELL! My dear friends, GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 3339.9 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 3323.8 Recommended Stop Loss - 3347.3 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AnabelSignals
1
Gold Retreats After Trump Confirms China Talks 📌 Gold Retreats After Trump Confirms China Talks – Political Noise Drives Volatility 🧨📉 Gold (XAU/USD) saw a sharp intraday drop following comments from President Trump, who confirmed that trade talks with China are “ongoing” — despite China denying any official negotiations had taken place. The market interpreted this as a signal of de-escalation, prompting a short-term price correction. Gold had previously rallied past $3,500/oz, supported by a weaker USD and strong demand from bargain hunters after last week’s sharp decline. However, the current political contradictions and tariff headlines are creating erratic moves across all asset classes. 🌍 Fundamental Context The USD weakened, stocks lost momentum, and risk sentiment shifted after a confusing round of statements from the US and China. Meanwhile, US jobless claims rose slightly, reflecting a resilient labour market amid tariff-related headwinds. Today’s Core Retail Sales data in the US could add more volatility heading into the weekly candle close. It’s Friday — expect possible liquidity sweeps and aggressive price spikes as the market prepares for weekend risk-off moves. 📊 Trading Outlook – 26 April We're seeing signs of a tactical pullback, but long setups should be delayed until political headlines stabilise. Focus on intraday reaction zones — not aggressive positioning. 🔻 SELL ZONES 3384 – 3386 • SL: 3390 • TP: 3380 → 3376 → 3372 → 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → ??? 3406 – 3408 • SL: 3412 • TP: 3400 → 3396 → 3392 → 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3370 → 3360 🟢 BUY ZONES 3288 – 3286 • SL: 3282 • TP: 3292 → 3296 → 3300 → 3304 → 3310 3270 – 3268 • SL: 3264 • TP: 3274 → 3278 → 3282 → 3286 → 3290 🛡️ Final Notes & Strategy Avoid rushing BUY entries — allow Price to complete its corrective phase and wait for structure and confirmation. Today’s Core Retail Sales (US) could trigger a fresh wave of volatility. It’s also weekly close Friday, so prepare for potential false breaks and stop hunts. ✅ Stick to your TP/SL. Protect your capital first — clarity will come when the dust settles. 💬 Are you watching for a short-term bounce or planning to fade strength near resistance? Let us know in the comments below! 👇👇👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
XAUUSD:25/4 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis The resistance level of the four-hour chart is 3370, and the support level is 3260 The resistance level of the one-hour chart is 3328, and the support level is 3260 The resistance level of the 30-minute chart is 3320, and the support level is 3287. Gold rose to 3370.7 in the Asian session today and then fell sharply to 3287.4. It is currently trading around 3293. The technical side shows a fierce game between long and short positions. If it falls below 3287, the decline will extend to 3260-3250. Then we will continue to short to 3200 next week. If it breaks through 3328 upward, it will turn strong in the short term and continue to be bullish. It is recommended to follow the trend trading after the breakthrough. The volatility is too large and it is not suitable for the strategy of selling high and buying low
TVC:GOLDShort
by ActuaryJ
SLC Brazilian Agricultural Producer and Farmland Investor ThesisExecutive Summary We are overweighting SLC Agrícola (SLCE3.BZ) over U.S. agribusiness stocks (BG, ADM, MOS, CTVA, FPI) in the current macro environment. The key drivers are: Geopolitical arbitrage (Trump-Russia détente benefits Brazilian exporters more than U.S. firms). FX tailwinds (weaker USD boosts BRL-denominated farmland values). Commodity cycle positioning (SLC’s cotton/soy mix outperforms U.S. corn/ethanol plays). Valuation gap (SLCE3 trades at 9.1x P/E vs. 14x+ for U.S. peers). Top Trade: Long SLC Agrícola (SLCE3.BZ) I. Macro & Geopolitical Edge: Why Brazil Wins 1. Trump’s Pro-Russia Policy Reshapes Fertilizer & Grain Flows Sanctions Relief: Russian potash/phosphate exports resume → BrasilAgro (AGRO3) and SLC benefit from 25-30% lower input costs (U.S. farmers already hedged). U.S. Grain Export Risk: If Trump pushes Ukraine grain deals, ADM/BG lose pricing power in EU/Asia markets. 2. USD Weakness Favors BRL-Linked Assets Fed Cuts + Trump’s Dollar Policy: BRL appreciation (R$4.60/USD by 2026E) boosts: SLC’s USD-linked revenue (68% of sales). Land appraisals (Brazilian farmland up 18% CAGR in USD terms). U.S. Companies Hurt: ADM/BG’s LatAm earnings face translation drag. 3. BRICS Neutrality vs. U.S.-China Decoupling Brazil remains trusted supplier to both China and EU (no trade wars). U.S. agribusiness (ADM/BG) exposed to: China soy tariffs (if Trump escalates). EU carbon taxes (ADM’s ethanol margins at risk). II. Company-Specific Advantages: SLC vs. U.S. Peers A. SLC Agrícola (SLCE3.BZ) – The Optimal Play Metric SLC Agrícola U.S. Peers (ADM/BG/MOS) P/E (2025E) 9.1x 12-18x EBITDA Margin 38% (2025E) 8-15% FX Benefit BRL appreciation USD translation drag Geopolitical Shield Neutral (BRICS) Exposed to U.S.-China wars Key Catalysts: Cotton Supercycle: Trump’s EU-China trade war could spike prices (SLC has 40% exposure). Hidden Water Rights: 120k hectares of irrigated land (R$3.2B unreported NAV). Ferrogrão Railway Completion (2026): Cuts logistics costs by 18%. B. U.S. Agribusiness: Relative Weaknesses Stock Key Risk Mitigation ADM Ethanol mandate cuts (Biden hangover) Divesting plants BG Brazilian tax case (R$4.5B liability) Land asset cover MOS Saudi JV delays (CFIUS scrutiny) Fertilizer optionality CTVA Patent cliff (2027+) M&A speculation FPI U.S. farmland cap rate compression Rent escalators III. Conclusion: Why SLC Over U.S. Peers? Geopolitical Arbitrage: Brazil avoids U.S.-China/EU trade wars. FX Leverage: BRL appreciation boosts USD earnings + land values. Commodity Mix: Cotton/soy > corn/ethanol in Trump’s policy regime. Valuation: SLCE3 at 9.1x P/E vs. 14x+ for U.S. stocks.
BMFBOVESPA:SLCE3Long
by beckett_07