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Bitcoin - Bulls Defend Support: Is a Sell-Off Still Possible?A Major Support Zone Holds Once Again Bitcoin just tapped into a key 4-hour support level, a zone where price has repeatedly bounced in the past. This area has proven to be a strong demand zone, with buyers stepping in each time price reaches it. What makes this level even more significant is that it perfectly aligns with the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement level, a key technical area where price often finds support before continuing its trend. As expected, BTC reacted strongly upon reaching this zone, showing a sharp rejection and bounce to the upside. This confirms that buyers are still actively defending this area, and as long as we hold above this level, the probability of a move higher remains strong. A Huge Imbalance Zone Above – Where Is BTC Likely Headed? Looking ahead, the most interesting aspect of this setup is the large imbalance zone sitting above the current price. When price moves rapidly in one direction without much consolidation, it creates an inefficiency or imbalance in the market. These imbalances tend to get filled over time as price naturally retraces back to these areas. In this case, there’s a significant imbalance above us, making it highly likely that Bitcoin will push higher in the coming sessions to correct this inefficiency. I’m targeting at least a 50% fill of this imbalance zone, as this is typically where price starts to show some reaction. This would put BTC at a critical decision point where we could either see further upside or a rejection back down. If buyers remain in control, we could see Bitcoin fully filling this imbalance, which would push price towards the 84-85K range, a key area to watch for potential reversals. What If Bitcoin Loses This Key Support? While the current reaction from support looks promising, we always need to consider the bearish scenario. If Bitcoin fails to hold this golden pocket level and strong support zone, it could open the door for a much deeper retracement. In this case, BTC could drop significantly, with the next major support sitting around the $72K level. This area represents a critical demand zone where buyers would likely step in more aggressively. A breakdown toward $72K would also signal a much larger corrective move within the broader trend, possibly shifting market sentiment in favor of bears. What Comes Next? Right now, Bitcoin is at a crucial point. The bounce from support suggests bullish strength, but the key test will be whether BTC can sustain this momentum and push into the imbalance zone. If we see a clean move into this area, I’ll be watching for potential short setups, as price often struggles to break through these zones in one attempt. On the other hand, if Bitcoin fails to hold above this golden pocket and key support, the next logical move would be a retest of the $72K region, where buyers will have another chance to defend the trend. For now, I remain cautiously bullish, expecting at least a partial fill of the imbalance before any major rejection. Let’s see how price action develops in the coming sessions! __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Long
by TehThomas
65
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, After completing our 1H, 4H and daily chart idea, we now only have our long term weekly chart idea remaining . We will update new Multi timeframe route maps in preparation for next week on Sunday Last week we stated that we still had the gap left open at 3094, after candle break above the channel half-line and ema5 lock. -This gap is now complete! We will now need this weeks candle to finish and close and/or ema5 lock above 3094 to open the gap above. We also still have a detachment to ema5 lagging potentially due for further correction. We will look for ema5 lock or body close above or below the levels to confirm the next mid to long term range. This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
21
Bitcoin + Major altcoins requests! (write your altcoin)I am here to help the TradingView crypto community with decisions on altcoins. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. While Bitcoin is heading towards 69,000 USDT, please take a look at my newest technical analysis. The price of Bitcoin is inside this falling wedge pattern, and I expect a drop! I will analyze all your altcoins. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Xanrox
63
Lingrid | GOLD possible CONSOLIDATION Following a Fake BreakThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . It hit the take profit level. OANDA:XAUUSD appears to have made a false break of Tuesday and Wednesday's highs before reversing. Currently, the market is forming a bearish long-tailed bar on the daily timeframe, which may indicate a deeper correction or a consolidation zone between the 3100 and 3140 levels. If the price pulls back toward the support level, I believe it may rebound from there. Given the upward trendline and channel border, this area could serve as an optimal entry point in anticipation of further upward movement. However, with high-impact news scheduled for today, we should remain vigilant, as the market may experience increased volatility. My goal is resistance zone around 3160 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
10
GOLD Trending Higher - Can buyers push toward 3,238?OANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are in control, suggesting a potential continuation. The price has recently broken above a key resistance zone and may come back for a retest. If this level holds as support, it would reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 3,238 target, which aligns with the channel’s upper boundary. As long as the price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook stays intact. However, a failure to hold above this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a pullback toward the channel’s lower boundary. Remember, always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TrendDiva
28
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: What a week on the markets! Gold playing ball giving us the move we wanted for the tariff news, then the short presented itself, we issued KOG's bias of the day and the bearish targets, and wow, all completed! In Camelot we gave the idea yesterday and planned where we wanted to go up to for the longs, where we wanted to short from and then where we wanted to buy from again. Not to the pip how we like it, but it worked extremely well! So what now? We have NFP looming, liquidity has been swept and we're back up above 3100. Due to NFP, we can expect price to want to attempt to stay close to the MA's on the hourly so a break of 3110 should take us up into the 3125-35 as long as the 3095 level holds up price! From Camelot this morning: Support: 3124 / 3120 / 3116 / 3110 / 3106 / 3098 / 3095 Resistance: 3130 / 3135 / 3137 / 3145 / 3147 / 3150 / 3155 Price: 3129 KOG’s Bias of the day: Bearish below 3134 with targets below 3110✅ and 3103✅ Bullish on break of 3134 with target above 3145 and 3150 RED BOXES: Break above 3135 for 3140, 3145, 3155 and 3161 in extension of the move Break below 3120 for 3110✅, 3106✅, 3097✅ and 3085✅ in extension of the move Summary: Due to NFP tomorrow we’re likely to continue with this ranging and choppy price action with resistance above at key level 3540 now which will need to break to go higher. Support 3125 should be tested again, with that 3110 level again the key level! This time however, if tested we may break below, so I would say I’m playing caution on longs at the moment. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
6
HOW FOREX BROKERS MANIPULATE YOU TRADING? Real Example Last month, I spotted a nice trading position on NZDCAD forex pair. I shared that with my TradingView subscribers immediately after I placed the trade. Though, the price moved exactly as it was predicted, the half of the members did not make any penny from this signal, while another half made a nice profit. It happened because of one rare thing that I absolutely hate in trading. Learn about a major frustration and market manipulation in trading, that no one will tell you about. Here is the trading position that I spotted. It was a classic price action trading setup based on a double top pattern. Trade was taken on a retest of a broken neckline aiming at the closest strong support and stop loss lying about the tops. Though, initially, the market started to fall rapidly. But it reversed, not being able to reach the target. Watching that bullish rally resumes, I send the signal to my students to close the trade on entry, and I also did that personally. I felt myself quite sad that I did not mange cash out from that trade. Later on in the evening, surprisingly, I started to receive multiple thank you messages from my members that they made a good profit with that signal. How could it be? I decided to anonymously ask the members, how did they close the trade. More than half of the members replied that the trade reached take profit. Can it be possible? My TP was not reached and it was still quite far from the lowest low. Now, examine the trading setup on NZDCAD on charts of different popular forex brokers. On these 6 charts, you can see NZDCAD pair on OANDA, CAPITALCOM, IC MARKETS, ICE, FXCM, FOREX.COM brokers. While in half of the instances TP was not reached, in other half, TP was reached and the price went even lower. Why it happened? There are the rare situations in Forex trading, when the price action on one broker can be very different from another. It happens because different brokers have different liquidity providers, spreads, order execution methods and so on. That is why the selection of a good broker is so vital in trading. If you use TradingView for chart analysis, make sure that you watch all the instruments of one broker. Moreover, once you start trading your strategy, always check how the price acted with different broker quotes. If you will see a lot of instances that your tp is not hit, while on another broker it would, it will be a signal for you to change the broker. When I started learning trading, no one told be that important nuance of Forex trading. But knowing that is a very significant step in your trading journey. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
6
EURUSD at Major Resistance: Will it Drop To 1.09000?OANDA:EURUSD reached a major resistance level that has previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering bearish momentum in the past. This zone also aligns with prior supply areas where sellers have stepped in, making it a potential point of interest for those looking for short opportunities. Given its historical significance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move. If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 1.09000 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction. Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management. Best of luck!
Short
by TrendDiva
32
Lingrid | GOLD Pre-NFP Price ACTION in the MarketOANDA:XAUUSD market has spiked down, dipping below the 3100 level. The previous daily candle is a large doji, indicating that the market is consolidating. I think the price may continue to move sideways until the NFP data is released. It’s possible that the price will create a triangle pattern, with the current weekly candle closing near the previous week’s high. The price has almost tested the 3050 level and subsequently bounced off that level, suggesting that there may be potential for a continued upward movement. Overall, we should watch for developments around these key levels, especially as we approach the NFP release. My goal is resistance zone around 3129 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
3
TradeCityPro | APTUSDT The Beginning of a New Downtrend!👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let's go back to the day when Trump imposed tariffs on the United States again, causing stocks and cryptocurrencies to fall and gold to rise. Let's take a look at our attractive altcoin chart 🌐 Overview Bitcoin Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together. This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames. 📊 Weekly Timeframe APT remains inside its large, volatile range, frequently bouncing between its highs and lows. However, this time, it has formed a lower high, which is not a positive sign. Additionally, after breaking $7.78, sellers completely engulfed the weekly candle, and for the past five weeks, all candles have been red with high selling volume, confirming the downtrend. There is no buy trigger at the moment, and I cannot recommend a buying opportunity until the market forms a new structure. For selling, if APT drops below $4.97, it makes sense to exit and accept the loss instead of holding onto a losing position. 📉 Daily Time Frame In the daily time frame, the power is in the hands of the sellers! After the parabolic line broke, we experienced a Sharpe decline, accompanied by the formation of a lower ceiling and floor, which has continued our downward trend. The parabolic movement itself is a very rapid and bullish movement, and every time the price hits it, it quickly returns to its trend and is supported, but when this line is broken, that trend is practically over and we suffer, or we experience a Sharpe decline like this chart! After the drop and the formation of a box between 5.136 and 6.491, the selling force was clearly evident in this space, because the last time we moved towards the ceiling of 6.491, we could not reach this ceiling and we were rejected earlier. This rejection made us return to this support faster with a number of red candles, unlike the previous attempt where we moved up with a larger number of candles. Yesterday's daily candle also engulfed the previous 3 candles and is exactly ready to break 5.136. If today's daily candle closes in the same way, the probability of a drop in the coming days will increase and increase. If you are a holder of this coin, it is logical to sell and after returning to the box and breaking its ceiling, buy with the same number of Tethers and reduce the probability of a drop and loss of capital for yourself! ✍️ Final Thoughts Stay level headed, trade with precision, and let’s capitalize on the market’s top opportunities! This is our analysis, not financial advice always do your own research. What do you think? Share your ideas below and pass this along to friends! ❤️
Short
by tradecitypro
4
Is 5,700 the New 6,000?The S&P 500 has struggled recently, and some traders may see risk of further downside. The first pattern on today’s chart is the three-day jump above 5,700 early last week. The move peaked around the January low of 5,773. It also represented a false breakout above the November low of 5,696.50. In other words, two former support levels have emerged as new resistance. It’s also reminiscent of the price action in January and February, when failure to hold 6,000 triggered selling. Next, last week’s high occurred at the 200-day simple moving average. That may suggest the longer-term uptrend has ended. Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has remained below the 21-day EMA. That may indicate that a shorter-term downtrend has begun. Finally, given the weakening momentum, traders may start eyeing longer-term levels for potential support. One potential spot could be the September low of 5,403, followed by the August trough of 5,119. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
SP:SPX
by TradeStation
3
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area 65.268.We need to talk about one important nuance. Many people ask “Hellena, you say you can't buy oil, but it's going up. Well, it is, yes. But all my data and wave markings suggest that the price will soon start a downward movement. There are major changes in geopolitics and I am not in a position to stop them. I just set a stoploss and wait for the trade that will bring me profit. Now coming to the forecast, I think that the downward movement will start soon, but before it, the price may rise quite high, maybe even to the area of 74.000. But the main direction is the support area of 65.268. There are 2 possible ways to enter the trade: 1) Entry at market price. 2) Limit pending sell orders if the price starts an upward movement to the area of 74.484. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
16
THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. It’s been a decent week on the markets even with extreme movement we’ve managed to navigate the charts and end yesterday with a what looks like a full house of targets completed. For that reason, we have made the decision to not come back to the markets until next week. We’re sharing the levels, they are extreme, but it’s moving like there’s no tomorrow. Take it with a pinch of salt, less experienced traders, don’t even think about it. NFP and FOMC are the days most traders lose money and blow accounts, can you imagine what can happen during these market conditions. Key level here 3135 to 3140, price needs to break above and support to target 3155-65, which in this scenario can be broken so above that the extreme level 3190-95. Below, the break of 3110, this time could give us the breaker swing attempting to break and hold below 3000, this is what we ideally want to see, with price attempting to target that 3050 level again. If it plays it plays, we’ll watch and the better trade set ups will come next week. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
2
BITCOIN Outlook: Watch for a Drop Toward $85100COINBASE:BTCUSD has reached a key resistance level, an area that has been a key point of interest where sellers have regained control, leading to notable reversals in the past. Given this, there is potential for a bearish reaction if price action confirms rejection, such as a bearish engulfing candle, long upper wicks or increased selling volume. If the resistance level holds, I anticipate a downward move toward 85,100$, which represents a logical target based on previous price behavior and market structure. However, if the price breaks above this zone and sustains above it, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, leading to further upside. Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by TrendDiva
31
NVDA’s Final Act: A Breakout Waiting to HappenNVDA appears to be nearing the completion of its corrective phase, setting the stage for a potential move to new highs. The current pattern resembles a falling wedge, indicative of an ending diagonal formation, which often signals a reversal and the start of an upward trend. The structure of the corrective channel, along with the termination of the diagonal pattern, suggests a high likelihood of a running flat formation. Buyers are likely to intensify demand pressure as the price approaches the lower boundary of the trendline. A trend reversal may occur if there is a decisive breakout above the Wave 4 level of the ending diagonal. Buying opportunity with minimal stop is possible after the reversal from lower side of the channel. Targets can be 112 - 120 - 132 - 140. I'll be sharing more details shortly.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Money_Dictators
3
Avalanche's Higher Low Indicates The Bottom Is InAVAX is currently trading above its August 2024 bottom low price, and this is bullish. AVAXUSDT produced a major low on the 10-March trading session. The current session is a higher low compared to this date. This is a double bullish signal. The August low and last month. Both are active, valid and hold. So the August 2024 low was actually tested and pierced but the session close happened above this level. The bottom back then was $17.27. In March, AVAXUSDT went as low as $15.30 but closed at $17.51. The next session went below again and hit $16.95 but closed at $18.5. As you can see, the bulls win. The current session is green after four sessions closing red. Each session has two candles, 48 hours (2D candles). Here we have the activation of long-term support. Classic behaviour before a major bullish run. The dynamic is always this: The correction unravels and gains momentum before reaching its end. When it hits bottom, there is a strong reaction causing a sudden bullish jump. This bullish jump is short-lived and quickly corrected. This short-term correction ends in a higher low. From this higher low, prices start a new wave of growth. We are entering this new growing phase now. Thanks a lot for your continued support. This is another time based chart. The time to enter is now, always focusing on the long-term. We buy now with the patience and mindset to hold between 6-8 months. If this can be done, easy and big wins will be yours. The 2025 All-Time High potential and more can be found by visiting my profile. Thanks a lot for the follow. Your support is appreciated. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
2
GOLD → Consolidation. News. False breakdown. Growth?FX:XAUUSD and TVC:DXY in consolidation ahead of important news and Trump's speech. Economic risks are rising and the future outlook depends on fundamental data... Trade tensions support gold demand. Trump may impose global tariffs of up to 20% which will increase risks to the economy. Investors are piling into gold in anticipation, pushing its price to a record $3,150 A key factor is the details of the tariffs. If tariffs are softer than expected, gold could fall to intermediate support zones. If the trade war escalates, the rise could continue beyond 3150 Economic risks are rising and gold may test 3107 - 3100 support before rising further. Technically, 3100 - 3107 is a zone of interest and liquidity. If bulls hold the support, gold will continue to rise. Otherwise, gold may form a correction towards 3075 - 3065 Resistance levels: 3126, 3135, 3147 Support levels: 3107, 3100, 3091 The price is correcting to consolidation support in the moment. A strong and sharp fall is fraught with the risk of a liquidity grab and a false breakdown. In this case, gold may strengthen to one of the key resistances. But the further and medium-term development of events depends on the evening news.... Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
21
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, Following on from yesterdays update on our mid/long term route map after completing the 1h, 4h and daily chart route maps. We completed 3094 target and stated that we will now need this weeks candle to finish and close and/or ema5 lock above 3094 to open the gap above. - Looking like no close above 3094 on the weekly candle, if price stays below this level on market close. Amazing to see the weighted levels levels being respected like this to allow us to identify new range gaps or rejections. We will be looking for support and bounce on the channel half line or a cross and lock below the half line will open the lower range for the channel low Goldturns. This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn. We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead and also a new Daily chart long term chart idea, now that this one is complete. Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
4
Last Wave Of Bear Market Is Happening Now For Altcoins Hello, Skyrexians! As usual, recently we faced with a lot of hate when posted the article about Bitcoin Dominance growth, yesterday we analyzed a lot of charts on different time frames to make the most precise analysis for you. Hope it will be the truth. We really tried to do our best, please, don't criticize it too much! We made this analysis briefly to simplify it for you. We are now in the last bearish wave for altcoin dominance, you can open 1 month time frame and see it. Now we dive into the current subwave on the daily time frame. Here we can see the clear view of Elliott waves cycle. Wave 4 has the triangle shape, it gives us more confidence that now price is printing wave 5. If we analyze only 1D time frame the target is 7-7.5%. There wait for bullish divergence and price will likely reverse. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.DShort
by Skyrexio
6
Bitcoin At $250,000 In 2025: Bull-Market Entry (Buy) Zone ActiveBitcoin's 2025 bull-market buy-zone is still active. Actually, Bitcoin is at a great price right now. We are aiming for a target of $250,000 for this cycle. We are looking at the bottom right now, literally. Any buy below $90,000 is extremely good and below $80,000 a dream come-true. This will be obvious in just a matter of weeks. How are you feeling today? I hope the start of the weekend is treating you good. This is a friendly reminder, Bitcoin has been sideways for months. When Bitcoin drops, it drops but, currently, there are no new lows. Bitcoin peaked in December 2024 and produced a double-top in January 2025. A small retrace and that's it; the accumulation phase is ongoing and the buy-zone active. There are many signals that support a correction bottom being in. We looked at these already so you will have to trust me. Leverage is possible on this setup. Leverage for a long-term trade. This is the best possible scenario and the best type of trade. No complexities. No calculators. No fees. No interest, just buy and hold. Wait patiently... It will be a very strong rise and the Altcoins will grow even more than Bitcoin. The entire Cryptocurrency market will produce maximum growth. This post is intended to alert of you a great entry-timing. Great prices as well but timing right now is great. We might have to wait a bit longer, it won't move right away, but with this price you can't go wrong. I am wishing you tons of profits in 2025 and financial success. Thank you for reading. If you are new, feel free to follow. Master Ananda for you (formerly Alan Santana). Namaste.
CME:BTC1!Long
by MasterAnanda
3
Understanding MACD In TradingThe Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a trend-following momentum indicator that measures the relationship between two moving averages of an asset’s price. Developed by Gerald Appel in the late 1970s, MACD is designed to provide insights into both trend strength and momentum. Unlike simple moving averages, which merely smooth price data over a specific period, MACD goes a step further by identifying when short-term momentum is shifting in relation to the long-term trend. This makes it a valuable tool for traders looking to enter or exit positions at optimal points. 1. Why is MACD important in trading? Trend Confirmation: Identifies whether an asset is in an uptrend or downtrend. Momentum Strength: Measures how strong a price movement is. Reversal Signals: Detects potential changes in trend direction. Entry and Exit Points: Helps traders determine when to buy and sell. 2. MACD Components The MACD Line: Identifies whether an asset is in an uptrend or downtrend. This line is derived by subtracting the 26-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) from the 12-period EMA. When the MACD Line is positive, it indicates bullish momentum; when negative, it suggests bearish momentum. The Signal Line: Measures how strong a price movement is. A 9-period EMA of the MACD Line. It smooths out MACD fluctuations, making it easier to identify crossovers. The Histogram: Detects potential changes in trend direction. The difference between the MACD Line and the Signal Line. A positive histogram suggests increasing bullish momentum, while a negative histogram suggests growing bearish momentum. 3. MACD Formula The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is one of the most widely used technical indicators in trading. It helps traders identify trends, momentum shifts, and potential buy or sell opportunities by analyzing the relationship between two moving averages. By calculating the difference between a short-term and long-term exponential moving average (EMA), MACD provides insight into market direction and strength. //@version=6 indicator("MACD Indicator", overlay=false) // MACD parameters shortLength = 12 longLength = 26 signalLength = 9 // Calculate MACD macdLine = ta.ema(close, shortLength) - ta.ema(close, longLength) signalLine = ta.ema(macdLine, signalLength) histogram = macdLine - signalLine // Plot MACD components plot(macdLine, color=color.blue, title="MACD Line") plot(signalLine, color=color.red, title="Signal Line") plot(histogram, color=color.green, style=plot.style_columns, title="Histogram") Explanation: Short EMA (12-period) and Long EMA (26-period) are calculated. The MACD Line is the difference between these EMAs. A Signal Line (9-period EMA of MACD Line) is calculated. The Histogram represents the difference between the MACD Line and the Signal Line. 4. Interpreting MACD signals MACD Crossovers A crossover occurs when the MACD Line and Signal Line intersect: Bullish Crossover: When the MACD Line crosses above the Signal Line, it signals a potential uptrend and a buying opportunity. Bearish Crossover: When the MACD Line crosses below the Signal Line, it suggests a potential downtrend and a selling opportunity. MACD Divergences Divergences occur when MACD moves in the opposite direction of the price, signaling a potential reversal: Bullish Divergence: If price makes lower lows, but MACD makes higher lows, it suggests weakening downward momentum and a possible bullish reversal. Bearish Divergence: If price makes higher highs, but MACD makes lower highs, it signals weakening upward momentum and a potential bearish reversal. Histogram Interpretation The MACD histogram visually represents momentum shifts: When bars are increasing in height, momentum is strengthening. When bars shrink, it suggests momentum is weakening. Zero Line Crossings The MACD crossing the zero line indicates momentum shifts: MACD crossing above zero → Bullish trend initiation. MACD crossing below zero → Bearish trend initiation. 5. Trend & Momentum Analysis Traders use MACD to confirm trends and analyze market momentum: If MACD Line is above the Signal Line, an uptrend is in place. If MACD Line is below the Signal Line, a downtrend is dominant. A widening histogram confirms strong momentum in the trend’s direction. A narrowing histogram warns of potential trend weakening. MACD works best in trending markets and should be used cautiously in sideways markets. 6. MACD Based Trading Strategies Entry Strategies Buy when MACD Line crosses above the Signal Line in an uptrend. Sell when MACD Line crosses below the Signal Line in a downtrend. Exit Strategies Exit long trades when a bearish crossover occurs. Close short positions when a bullish crossover occurs. Position Management If the histogram is expanding, traders can hold positions. If the histogram is contracting, it may signal weakening momentum. 7. Limitations of MACD While MACD is a powerful tool, traders must consider: It lags behind price movements (since it is based on moving averages). It can generate false signals in choppy markets. Customization is required to suit different trading styles. 8. Optimization Optimizing MACD for Different Market Conditions Day Traders & Scalpers: Use faster settings like (5, 13, 6) for quick signals. Swing Traders: Stick with the default (12, 26, 9) setting for balanced signals. Long-Term Investors: Use slower settings like (24, 52, 18) for a broader market perspective. 9. Key Takeaways MACD is a momentum and trend-following indicator that helps traders identify market direction, strength, and potential reversals. Since MACD is a lagging indicator, it may generate false signals, especially in sideways markets. Combining MACD with RSI, moving averages, and volume indicators improves accuracy and reduces risk. MACD should be used alongside risk management strategies and other confirmation tools for best results. MACD remains one of the most effective technical indicators, widely used across different markets. It helps traders identify trends, confirm momentum, and optimize trade entries and exits. However, it should always be used with additional tools to minimize false signals. Stay sharp, stay ahead, and let’s make those moves. Until next time, happy trading!
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by CandelaCharts
5
EURGBP → False break of liquidity zone (resistance)FX:EURGBP within the distribution (news background) tests resistance 0.84616 and liquidity zone, but without the possibility of continued growth the price forms a false breakout The dollar index falls amid Trump's introduction of new tariffs, which generally provokes a rally in the whole market. But before NFP, the market shifts to profit-taking because of the growing risks. There are quite important news ahead, which may provoke high volatility. Technically, after a strong move, the currency pair forms a false resistance breakout and consolidates in the selling zone. If the bears keep the price below 0.84616, in the short term we should wait for a correction to 0.5 fibo or to the fvg zone. Resistance levels: 0.84600 Support levels: 0.8427, 0.8396 The situation is quite complicated due to unstable background, but technically we have a classic situation with a false breakout of strong resistance, and as we know, according to statistics, the strongest movements start after it (in relation to the trade of level breakout). Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3