Get started

Contains image

1000 USD: Coffee Bull Market Overview: Prices set to DOUBLE ☕ Coffee (Arabica, ICE “KC”) — Outlook to 2026 Where we are: Nearby Arabica trades ~405–410 US¢/lb after a parabolic 2025 on weather stress, thin deliverable stocks, and policy shocks. The Dec ’25 contract is ~400 ¢/lb. Big picture 2025/26: Official global production is pegged at a record ~178.7 M bags (robusta-led) versus ~169.4 M bags consumption; ending stocks remain tight near ~22.8 M. Inside that headline, arabica is the pinch point: Brazil’s arabica is down year over year on heat/drought, and multiple private houses flag an arabica deficit on the order of ~–8.5 M bags for 2025/26. ________________________________________ 🤖 1) Brazil 2025 flowering & 2026 crop execution (↑ to 9.5/10) Why it matters: Brazil is the swing producer for arabica; 2026 outcomes hinge on Sep–Oct 2025 flowering and the trees’ carryover stress from 2024–25 dryness/frost. Local co-ops in Cerrado report frost-related damage with six-figure bag impacts to 2026 potential. What we’re seeing: The latest national estimate cuts 2025 output to ~55.2 M bags total (arabica ~35.2 M), confirming a weaker arabica “off” year. Talk of a “super 2026” has faded unless rains arrive and stick through flowering and early fruit set. Why 9.5/10? A missed flowering or poor fruit set is the cleanest path to a 2026 arabica shortfall big enough to rip futures. ________________________________________ 🌍 2) U.S. 50% tariff on Brazilian coffee (new 9.0/10) Why it matters: The U.S. typically imports ~8 M bags from Brazil. A 50% tariff (effective Aug 6, 2025) distorts flows, inflates U.S. landed costs, and channels more hedging into NY “KC,” structurally supporting futures. Brazil trade groups directly linked August’s vertical move to the tariff shock. Why 9.0/10? If the tariff persists into 2026, basis stays elevated and retail prices remain sticky even if global aggregates look “adequate.” ________________________________________ 🧭 3) EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) go-live (↑ 8.8/10) Why it matters: Traceability/geolocation rules begin Dec 30, 2025 for large/medium operators (SMEs Jun 30, 2026). Compliance temporarily shrinks “eligible” supply and reprices differentials. Why 8.8/10? Early-2026 could see EU-grade shortages, wider diffs, and higher KC via arbitrage. ________________________________________ 📉 4) Exchange (ICE) certified stock drawdown (↑ 8.5/10) Why it matters: Deliverable supply amplifies squeezes. Arabica certified stocks ~0.67–0.78 M bags in early September—thin for the season. Why 8.5/10? With low float, any weather or logistics hiccup can air-pocket futures into blow-off spikes. ________________________________________ 🌡️ 5) ENSO/La Niña watch & Brazil rainfall tail-risk (holds 8.0/10) Why it matters: La Niña-skewed patterns risk ill-timed rain (flower knock-off) or too-little rain (poor fruit set) in Minas Gerais during Sep–Oct. Early September dryness was flagged; late-September storms are pivotal. Why 8.0/10? The timing of rain matters as much as totals; a mis-timed pattern is enough to dent 2026 yields. ________________________________________ 🇻🇳 6) Vietnam robusta recovery vs. water stress (↑ 7.8/10) Why it matters: Robusta tightness forced blend shifts. A rebound toward ~31 M bags in 2025/26 would cap KC via spread relief; persistent water stress/tree fatigue would keep robusta tight, forcing arabica to carry the world. Why 7.8/10? Binary swing factor: a real rebound cools spreads; a miss extends the squeeze into 2026. ________________________________________ 🏛️ 7) Policy & trade fragmentation beyond U.S. tariffs (↑ 7.5/10) Why it matters: Frictions and exemptions remain fluid. Retaliation or parallel measures could redirect flows to EU/Asia, move basis, and distort origin diffs. Why 7.5/10? The tariff is already biting; add-ons would compound tightness. ________________________________________ 💵 8) FX (BRL) & producer selling (↑ 7.0/10) Why it matters: A stronger BRL curbs farmer selling; a weak BRL unleashes hedges and pressures KC. Policy/inflation noise keeps BRL volatile. Why 7.0/10? Not first-order, but magnifies weather/policy shocks. ________________________________________ 🏭 9) Demand elasticity & substitution (holds 6.8/10) Why it matters: 2025 sticker shock clipped demand by roughly –0.5%. 2026 could stabilize if prices plateau; if retail rises further (tariffs/EUDR), more down-trading or substitution (robusta/other beverages) caps upside. Why 6.8/10? A genuine headwind to the $10/lb path unless supply breaks further. ________________________________________ 🚢 10) Logistics, certifications & differentials (new 6.5/10) Why it matters: Tight washed/tenderable pools, evolving ICE rules/diffs, and shipping bottlenecks can widen basis and squeeze deliverables. Why 6.5/10? Secondary, but adds fuel to any fundamental spark. ________________________________________ 📈 11) Spec positioning & financial flows (↑ 6.5/10) Why it matters: 2025’s run featured panic buying in a low-float market. Another weather scare + thin stocks invites CTA/momentum flows through round-numbers. Why 6.5/10? Not fundamental—but can yank KC vertically. ________________________________________ 🧪 12) “Record global production” optics vs. arabica reality (new 6.0/10) Why it matters: The record headline is robusta-led. Inside, Brazil arabica declines and exporters stay cautious. The market trades the arabica bottleneck, not the aggregate. Why 6.0/10? This optics gap sustains volatility—bulls can still win if arabica under-delivers. ________________________________________ Updated Catalyst Scorecard Rank Catalyst Score 1 Brazil 2025 flowering → 2026 crop 9.5 2 U.S. 50% tariff on Brazil 9.0 3 EU EUDR (Dec 30, 2025 start) 8.8 4 Low ICE certified stocks 8.5 5 ENSO/La Niña rainfall risk 8.0 6 Vietnam robusta recovery risk 7.8 7 Wider trade policy fragmentation 7.5 8 FX (BRL) & selling behavior 7.0 9 Demand elasticity/substitution 6.8 10 Logistics, diffs & certification frictions 6.5 11 Spec/CTA flows 6.5 12 “Record crop” optics vs arabica bottleneck 6.0 ________________________________________ 📊 Supply–Demand Snapshot — Why Arabica Is the Pinch Point • World 2025/26: Production ~178.7 M; consumption ~169.4 M; ending stocks ~22.8 M (still lean). • Brazil arabica: ~40.9 M (down ~2.8 M YoY); robusta records elsewhere (Brazil/Indonesia); Vietnam recovery penciled near 31 M. • Private balance: Arabica deficit ~–8.5 M for 2025/26 (vs ~–5.5 M in 2024/25). • ICE plumbing: Certified arabica ~0.67–0.78 M bags and trending lower → thin deliverables, higher tail-risk premia. ________________________________________ 🔍 Recent Headlines You Should Know • KC spiked toward/above $4/lb in early 2025 on panic buying, weather, and policy shocks. • “Record global crop” headlines coexist with lower Brazil arabica and tight ending stocks. • U.S. 50% Brazil tariff (Aug 6, 2025) credited with a ~30% surge in August. • EUDR deferred to Dec 30, 2025 for large/medium operators; compliance scramble into 1H26. • Early-Sep 2025 Minas dryness kept flowering risk live; markets watching late-Sep showers. ________________________________________ 🎯 Street & Agency Views (as of Sep 2025) • Early-2025 consensus had end-2025 ~$2.95/lb, expecting mean reversion. The market disagreed post-tariffs. • One multilateral outlook saw >50% y/y up in 2025, then –15% in 2026, assuming supply normalization and Colombia recovery. • Several trade houses continue to highlight a widening arabica deficit into 2025/26. Takeaway: Consensus expects some 2026 cooling, but policy + compliance + arabica weather can overwhelm “aggregate surplus” narratives. ________________________________________ 🧭 Pathways to 1,000 ¢/lb in 2026 (Aggressive Target) We’re already near 400 ¢. To reach $10/lb, the market needs a stack of arabica-specific shocks that persist into 2026: 1. Brazil under-delivers in 2026: Patchy/failed flowering (Sep–Oct ’25) and/or heat during fruit set reduce yields; 2026 arabica ≤ ~38–40 M. 2. Tariffs persist through 2026: U.S. 50% duty remains in force, lifting U.S. basis and rerouting flows; fewer tenderable lots into ICE. 3. EUDR friction bites in 1H26: Non-compliant lots stranded; compliant premiums surge; differentials widen and pull KC higher. 4. Certified stocks < ~500k bags: Roaster drawdown + limited grading/tendering triggers backwardation and squeeze mechanics. 5. Vietnam misses rebound: Water stress or tree fatigue keeps robusta tight; arabica must carry blends globally. 6. Pro-cyclical flows: Thin deliverables + headlines = momentum/CTA accelerants through round numbers (500 → 700 → 900 → 1,000). Probability assessment: Not the base case, but plausible if two or more of (1–4) coincide while financial flows amplify. Call it ~20–25% conditional on Q4’25 weather and policy staying restrictive. ________________________________________ 🧮 Scenario Framework (NY Arabica, nearby; end-2026) • Bull (30%) — Squeeze: Brazil 2026 < 40 M; tariff persists; EUDR tight; certifieds < 0.5 M; Vietnam under-shoots. Price: 800–1,000 ¢/lb (blow-off spikes possible above 1,000 on transient squeezes). • Base (50%) — Elevated & volatile: Brazil 2026 ~41–44 M; tariff partially eased or offset; EUDR frictions fade by 2H26; Vietnam rebounds. Price: 450–650 ¢/lb with episodic spikes on weather or logistics. • Bear (20%) — Normalization: Strong Brazil flowering → 2026 ≥ 45 M; tariff rolled back; EUDR compliance smoother; certifieds rebuild > 1.2 M; demand softens. Price: 280–420 ¢/lb (vol still above pre-2024 norms). ________________________________________ 🗓️ Watchlist & Timeline (what to track) • Sep–Oct 2025: Brazil flowering windows (Minas/Cerrado/N. São Paulo). Look for rain onset, follow-up, and heat bursts. • Nov–Dec 2025: Fruit set confirmation; disease incidence; updated 2026 potential. • Dec 30, 2025: EUDR go-live (large/medium operators). • Q1–Q2 2026: Compliance bottlenecks, EU diffs, tenderable quality flows into ICE. • All 2025/26: Tariff status, BRL swings, certified stock trajectory, Vietnam water/harvest updates. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Risk Matrix (what flips the call bearish) • Timely rains in Sep–Oct 2025 and mild temps → robust fruit set; Brazil 2026 ≥ 45 M. • Tariff rollback or broad exemptions reduce U.S. basis support. • Vietnam outperform (> 31 M) relieves spreads; Indonesia robusta stays strong. • Certified stocks rebuild > 1.2 M bags by mid-2026. • Demand destruction accelerates (retail fatigue, substitution), capping upside. ________________________________________ 📌 Positioning Lens (informational, not advice) • Drivers of upside convexity: Brazil weather into October, policy stickiness (tariff/EUDR), and certified stock path. • Tell-tales of a squeeze: Steepening backwardation, diffs blowing out for compliant washeds, and rapid certified draw alongside rising exchange open interest. • Tell-tales of normalization: Strong flowering reports, improved grading pass-rates, certified rebuilds, and easing EU compliance premia. ________________________________________ Bottom Line • The base case remains elevated and volatile into 2026, not automatic mean reversion. • A credible path to 1,000 ¢/lb exists if Brazil’s 2026 arabica disappoints, policy frictions persist, EUDR pins EU-grade supply, and certifieds fall sub-0.5 M, with CTA flows doing the rest. • Conversely, timely Brazil rains, tariff relief, and a clean EUDR transition cap the rally and pull prices toward the high-$3s/low-$4s.
PEPPERSTONE:COFFEELong
by ProjectSyndicate
45
Lingrid | GOLD Record Breaking Rally ContinuesOANDA:XAUUSD is maintaining bullish structure after bouncing from higher lows and breaking through the 3,670 level, reinforcing upward momentum. Price is now consolidating just below the resistance zone, with the upward channel continuing to guide direction. If buyers hold above 3,670, gold could extend its move toward 3,715, aligning with the projected resistance area. The strong impulse leg and supportive trendline suggest that momentum remains with the bulls unless key support is lost. ⚠️ Risks: A drop back below 3,670 could shift momentum and expose downside toward 3,625. A stronger US dollar driven by macro data or hawkish Fed commentary may weigh on gold. Sudden profit-taking near resistance could trigger short-term volatility and a retracement. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
16
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Not bad at all! We wanted price to come down into the red box early session which it did, it didn't extend, gave us the tap and bounce and then continued to completed the red box targets, Excalibur targets and LiTE targets all in one day! An extremely decent start to the week on Gold. As you can see on the chart, we're close to the red box above now and with the 4H candle yet to close we would say the better long trades were from way below. We have resistance at the 3685 level with key level support now 3665 which will need to break to go lower. For now, we'll stick with the plan into the Asia session. KOG’s Bias of the week: Bullish above 3610 with targets above 3655✅, 3667✅, 3671✅ and above that 3686✅ Bearish on break of 3610 with targets below 3605, 3597, 3580, 3565 and below that 3540 RED BOX TARGETS: Break above 3645 for 3654✅, 3657✅, 3670✅, 3685✅ and 3702 in extension of the move Break below 3630 for 3620, 3610, 3605, 3597 and 3885 in extension of the move Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
7
Gold (XAU/USD) –> Bullish Rectangle Pattern BreakoutHello guys! 💥Gold has been consolidating in a bullish rectangle pattern after a strong upward move. This type of pattern usually signals continuation, with price gearing up for the next leg higher. 🔹 Setup: The rectangle formed around $3680–$3690 support and resistance near $3689. A clean breakout above $3689 gives the entry signal for the continuation move. 🔹 Targets: First target: $3705 Second target: $3724 🔹 Stop Loss: Below the rectangle support ($3674–$3682) to stay protected against a false breakout. 📌 Conclusion: The bullish rectangle pattern suggests that Gold is preparing for another push higher. A breakout above 3689 opens the path first to 3705, and then to the extended target at 3724. Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by melikatrader94
10
TESLA - Robotaxi will drive the price above 1000This is not a short-term trade as you know from me on FX, Crypto and Indices. This is buy and hold investment. I got already good bag of share and Im still adding without trying to time if perfectly, but now I think its time to buy bigger positions. Tesla is my 3rd biggest position after the Bitcoin and Strategy (MicroStrategy). Many people see it only as an EV cars company, but it's not all what they do, just read bellow to see why I see a huge potential in this company. 📍Why Tesla is Considered a Top Investment Tesla stands out as a leading player in the EV market, with a strong brand and a history of delivering innovative products. In 2024, it produced about 459,000 vehicles and delivered over 495,000 in the fourth quarter alone, showcasing its ability to meet growing demand Tesla Fourth Quarter 2024 Production, Deliveries & Deployments. 💾Financially, Tesla reported $97,690 million in total revenue for 2024, with the automotive segment contributing $87,604 million and energy solutions adding $10,086 million Tesla, Inc. Annual Report on Form 10-K for 2024. This diversification into energy, alongside investments in autonomous driving, positions Tesla for long-term growth, making it attractive for investors seeking exposure to future trends in sustainability and technology. 📍What Tesla Does Beyond EV Cars Beyond EVs, Tesla is deeply involved in energy solutions: 📍Solar Products: Offers solar panels and solar roofs for clean energy generation. 📍Energy Storage: Provides Powerwall for homes and Megapack for large-scale projects, helping stabilize grids and manage energy costs. 📍Charging Infrastructure: Operates a network of Supercharger stations, increasingly open to other EVs. Services: Includes vehicle maintenance through service centers and body shops. 📍Robotaxi: Plans to launch a fully autonomous ride-hailing service in June 2025 in Austin, Texas, potentially opening new revenue streams Tesla's robotaxis by June? Musk turns to Texas for hands-off regulation. 📍Tesla Optimus: Developing a general-purpose robotic humanoid for tasks like household chores or industrial work, which could lead to new markets. This expansion into energy and services, along with unexpected ventures like Robotaxi and Tesla Optimus, enhances Tesla's role in the transition to sustainable energy and technology, offering benefits like grid stability and potential robotics applications. The growth in the energy segment, with a 67% increase from 2023 to 2024, highlights Tesla's expanding role in sustainability, potentially attracting investors focused on long-term trends. Additionally, Tesla's commitment to innovation, particularly in autonomous driving technology, is noteworthy. The company is developing features like Full Self-Driving (FSD), which could open new revenue streams, such as robotaxi services, enhancing its investment appeal. 🤔I think Optimus and Robotaxi will exceed rapidly exceed their EV cars revenue. Elon musk is predicing over 1000% growth in 5 years. Which would be way above $2900 without stocks splits. I m a bit conservative and I think we can go somewhere between 3 - 4 standard deviations. Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader! “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” Perfectly nailed bottom around 200 and our positions are now 50% in profit good luck David Perk ⚔
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by David_Perk
112
AUDUSD – Testing the 0.6670 Resistance -->Breakout ? Hello everyone, let’s discuss OANDA:AUDUSD ! Today, the pair maintains its bullish momentum, trading near 0.6670 since the start of the session. The Aussie dollar is strengthening as demand for risk-sensitive assets rises, fueled by solid expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin its monetary easing campaign this Wednesday. Technical View: AUDUSD remains highly attractive as price continues to respect the ascending trendline, supported by EMA 34/89. At the moment, it’s testing the 0.6670 resistance zone – a key level that will decide the next move. If the pair holds above the trendline, a breakout above resistance could open the way for higher targets. What do you think? Will AUDUSD break through resistance and launch a fresh rally? Share your views below!
Long
by Kevinn_Nguyen
6
Gold Price Today – Buy or Sell?👋Hello everyone, it's great to be back. Let’s discuss OANDA:XAUUSD ! Here’s my short-term outlook: XAUUSD is currently facing a new resistance zone around 3,655 USD, showing potential signs of a Triple Top pattern. The price has tested this level multiple times, and if it can’t break through, we might see a pullback towards support—first around 3,620 USD, then possibly down to 3,600 USD. The bullish trend will be maintained as long as this support level holds. Outlook: This week promises to be an exciting trading week with several important news events scheduled to be released: -US Retail Sales (Tuesday) -Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision, Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (Wednesday) -Bank of England Interest Rate Decision, US Weekly Jobless Claims (Thursday). The next move will depend on these news events. Keep a close eye on the upcoming price action! What’s your take? Do you expect gold to rise or fall? Leave your thoughts in the comments or like the post if you agree with this analysis. Wishing you a fantastic trading week ahead!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Kevinn_Nguyen
24
Bitcoin fall ahead or breakout and new ATHstill the price is near 116K$ which is strong and major resistance of market and if it hold then heavy dump here will lead dump price even below 100K$ this time but also we can expect more rise and gain if we see valid breakout to the upside and then at least targets like 130K$ is easy one for bulls to reach. also possibility of long is a little higher now with altcoin season that is started or even more range here. DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision)) <<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
by MMBTtrader
7
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Market Analysis - FOMC Catalyst AheadThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous weekly idea . OANDA:XAUUSD maintained its upward trajectory this week as investors positioned ahead of anticipated dovish policy shifts from major central banks, particularly the Federal Reserve. The precious metal's resilience signals growing expectations for an accommodative monetary environment that typically weakens fiat currencies and enhances gold's appeal. Price action analysis reveals gold operating within a well-defined upward channel, with the metal successfully breaking above the triangle consolidation pattern near $3,440. The breakout of this formation, combined with bullish momentum indicators, suggests the path of least resistance remains to the upside. Key resistance now sits at the $3,700 ATH level, while the higher low structure around $3,275 provides critical support. 4H chart shows gold trading above a strategic swap zone between $2,580-$2,600, indicating institutional accumulation ahead of the Fed's rate decision. Monday's brief sell-off may occur showing profit-taking rather than a trend reversal, as buyers quickly might step in to defend these support levels. With the Federal Reserve expected to signal a more accommodative stance, gold's fundamentals align with technical strength. The metal's ability to hold above the triangle breakout zone reinforces bullish conviction, targeting the psychological $3,700 resistance and higher levels. Any Fed dovishness should provide the catalyst for the next leg higher, potentially reaching new all-time highs as real yields decline and dollar weakness accelerates. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
42
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great start to the week with our 1H chart idea playing out as analysed. We started with our Bullish target 3653 being hit, followed with emA5 cross and lock opening 3678 - This was also hit perfectly completing the setup. We will now look for a ema56 cross and lock above 3678 for a continuation into 3702 or failure to lock above 3678 will follow with a rejection into the lower Goldturns for support and bounce. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3653 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3653 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3678 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3678 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3702 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3702 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3727 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3727 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3747 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3747 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3768 BEARISH TARGETS 3622 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3622 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3585 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3585 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3556 3528 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
13
Gold Surges - Shining Bright In Green.👋Hello everyone, what do you think about OANDA:XAUUSD trend? Yesterday, gold continued to shine with another strong session, climbing close to the 3700 USD target. At the time of writing, it’s consolidating around 3680 USD, showing that bullish momentum is still intact. Gold started the week trading near record highs, supported by a weaker US Dollar and falling US Treasury yields, as investors prepare for this week’s Federal Reserve meeting—an event that could set the tone for the rest of the year. The US Dollar Index (DXY) slipped to its lowest level in a week against major currencies, making gold more attractive. The next upside targets appear to be 3700 USD, followed by 3730 and 3750 USD in the short term. What’s your outlook on gold today?
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Kevinn_Nguyen
13
The PERMA Model: A Psychology Framework Every Trader Should UseIntroduction – Why Mindset Beats Strategy You can have the best system in the world, but if your mind collapses under stress, you won’t follow it. That’s why traders need more than technical skills — they need a psychological framework. One of the most powerful comes from Martin Seligman, founder of modern positive psychology. He introduced the PERMA model, designed to explain how humans thrive under pressure. And if there’s one place where pressure is constant, it’s trading. ________________________________________ P – Positive Emotions Trading success starts with balance, not adrenaline. Cultivating gratitude and calm optimism helps you: • Reduce impulsivity • Build resilience after losses • Make clearer decisions 👉 Daily practice: Write down 3 things you did well after each trading session. ________________________________________ E – Engagement The best trades happen when you’re fully absorbed — no distractions, no second-guessing. • Deep focus without burnout • Quick but thoughtful decisions • A fulfilling process regardless of outcome 👉 Tip: Limit screen time, trade with a plan, cut the noise. ________________________________________ R – Relationships Trading feels solitary, but support is fuel. Surround yourself with people who grow, not just chase hype. • Less isolation • More constructive feedback • Higher motivation 👉 Find: A community that values discipline over jackpots. ________________________________________ M – Meaning Without a “why,” trading turns into random gambling. Purpose keeps you steady. • Helps endure drawdowns • Keeps you aligned with your rules • Prevents burnout 👉 Ask yourself: “Why do I really trade? Freedom? Growth? Mastery?” ________________________________________ A – Achievement Progress > perfection. It’s not about one jackpot, but consistent wins. • A week of discipline = success • Following your plan = victory • Avoiding overtrading = growth 👉 Celebrate: The process, not just the P&L. ________________________________________ Conclusion – PERMA Could Be Your Hidden Edge Seligman built PERMA as a blueprint for a fulfilling life. For traders, it’s more than theory — it’s a mental operating system. If you want consistency, don’t just master charts. Master your mindset. 👉 Challenge: Pick one PERMA element and apply it this week. Journal the impact, and watch how your trading psychology changes. 🚀
Education
by Mihai_Iacob
11
Double Top formation on AUDCAD - Risky, okay?Price made a strong rally on AUDCAD, climbing aggressively. But now, we’re spotting a possible Double Top formation, two peaks at roughly the same level. At first glance, this looks like a bearish setup. But here’s the caution: in the context of such a powerful uptrend, a Double Top can be tricky. Sometimes, it’s just a pause before buyers push even higher. We can say that the neckline broke rather cleanly, with strong confirmation, but I don't see that much conviction yet from the sellers. Buyers could come back, and the uptrend continues. This is what makes it risky. Above, there’s a strong resistance zone, and that’s exactly where price could be heading next. So, don’t jump in too early. Because fading a strong trend is always risky business… or should I say risky biscuit?
Short
by TrendDiva
3
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another awesome day on the charts with our analysis and levels playing out perfectly. Yesterday we completed 3653 and 3678, confirmed by the EMA5 lock. After that, we got an EMA5 lock above 3678, which opened up 3702 and it hit right on the nose. Pure perfection. It’s incredible to see our levels showing this kind of accuracy without any historical data. Right now, we’re seeing a rejection and some play between 3678 and 3702. We’ll need the EMA5 lock again to confirm the next direction. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3653 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3653 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3678 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3678 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3702 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3702 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3727 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3727 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3747 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3747 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3768 BEARISH TARGETS 3622 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3622 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3585 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3585 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3556 3528 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
3
Gold(XAUUSD)Breakout Above Descending Triangle–Bullish MomentumGold (XAUUSD) has successfully broken out of the descending triangle and cleared the trendline resistance. Price has also shown multiple BOS (Break of Structure) signals, confirming strong bullish momentum. Currently, price is retesting the breakout zone near $3,670 – $3,675, which may serve as a key support area. As long as this level holds, we can expect continuation to the upside toward the next resistance around $3,700 – $3,710. 📌 Key Highlights: Breakout from descending triangle BOS confirmation on lower highs and higher highs Retest of support zone in progress Bullish continuation expected if support holds This is a technical analysis idea for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ProfitMagnet-Pro
8
Lingrid | ETHUSDT Pullback Entry Continuation SetupBINANCE:ETHUSDT is trading above its key support at 4,400 after a rebound from the upward trendline, showing resilience despite recent pullbacks. The structure highlights a breakout from the falling wedge and the formation of higher lows, signaling accumulation before continuation. If buyers defend 4,390, momentum could lift price toward 4,750 and potentially retest the broader resistance zone near 5,000. The overall outlook remains bullish as long as Ethereum holds above its trendline support. 💡 Risks: A breakdown below 4,390 would weaken bullish momentum and expose downside toward 4,000. Sharp volatility in Bitcoin could spill over into Ethereum, limiting upside potential. Negative regulatory or macroeconomic news may trigger selling pressure across crypto markets. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
9
AUDUSD Rejection at Resistance – Bearish Setup AheadAUDUSD is testing a key resistance zone near 0.6680 after a strong bullish trendline move. The market has shown multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) and BOS (Break of Structure) signals, indicating potential exhaustion of bullish momentum. If price fails to break above this resistance, we may see a bearish rejection followed by a downside move toward 0.6620 – 0.6600. A confirmed break below the trendline could accelerate bearish pressure. This is a technical analysis idea, not financial advice. Always manage your risk properly and follow your trading plan.
Short
by ProfitMagnet-Pro
3
BTCUSD – Aiming for Higher Targets 👋Hello everyone, great to see you again! What are your thoughts on BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ? Here’s my bullish outlook: Bitcoin is still holding its upward structure within the ascending channel. After bouncing from the support area around 110,000 USD, price has regained momentum and is now testing nearby resistance at the time of writing, aiming for the first resistance target at 123,500 USD. If this resistance is broken, the bullish momentum could continue strongly, with higher targets at the upper boundary of the channel. Both the 34 EMA and 89 EMA are supporting this outlook. As long as BTC stays above the ascending trendline, the bullish scenario remains dominant. This could be the chance for buyers to keep control of the market. Do you agree? Share your thoughts with me!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
5
EURUSD – Bullish Technical Outlook Still Intact👋Hello everyone, what do you think about the trend of FX:EURUSD ? As of now, EURUSD is moving as expected, with the pair trading around 1.174 at the start of the week. EURUSD is approaching a significant resistance zone around 1.1800, with the first target at 1.176 already tested. From a technical standpoint, the pair is in a clear uptrend, supported by the trendline and two EMA lines, with strong bullish momentum in play, following the trajectory of an Ascending Triangle pattern. The target to break through remains 1.1800. If the price breaks this level, we could see the next leg of the rally towards 1.1900 or even higher. Watch for a solid confirmation before entering the trade for a safer position. What do you think about EURUSD? 💬Share your thoughts in the comments! Good luck!
Long
by Kevinn_Nguyen
16
BITCOIN Update: Megaphone Pattern Holds the Key for the Bull!The megaphone is speaking loud and clear! BTC continues to respect the Broadening Wedge (Megaphone) structure a volatile setup that usually precedes explosive moves. Price action is expanding with wider swings, showing growing volatility with the dynamic trendline still protecting the bullish structure and institutional activity often leaves this kind of footprint before major breakouts. Level to watch: Immediate Demand Zone: $114K–$115K Strong Demand Zone: $112K–$113K Wave 3 and final target for ISHS Projection: $119K-$120K Wave 4 Projection: $116.3K Broadening Wedge Apex Target: $126K–$127K As long as demand zones and the trendline hold, bulls remain in control with potential upside toward $126K–$126K in the short-term. Losing $112K support, however, could open deeper downside. Like & Follow for more high-impact chart breakdowns.
Long
by weslad
10
The Final Ascent: BTC's $165K Launchpad Before the Great ResetBuckle up. This isn't just another chart; it's the roadmap for the most critical phase of Bitcoin's current cycle. We're witnessing the final act of a masterpiece play out right now, and understanding this structure is the key to navigating what comes next. Here’s the brutal, beautiful truth laid out by the tape: The Setup: From Compression to Ignition Remember the agonizingly long consolidation? That was the massive Falling Wedge throughout 2022 and early 2023. It was a pressure cooker, squeezing out weak hands and building immense energy. The major breakout from that Falling Wedge was the spark. It wasn't just a rally; it was the official signal that the bull market was back on. That breakout launched us into the next, more powerful pattern the Rising Wedge. The Current Play: The Rising Wedge Journey We are now deep inside this ascending channel. Each higher high and each higher low is creating this converging pattern a classic Rising Wedge. This is the market's way of climbing a wall of worry on a wave of increasing optimism and liquidity. But make no mistake, this structure is inherently bullish yet exhausting. It's the final leg up, the last major push to suck in every last bit of momentum before the fuel runs out. The Target: The Cycle Peak The geometry of this wedge is pointing to a final, spectacular blow-off top. The most probable target for the peak of this wedge is $165,000. I wouldn't be surprised to see a slight extension in the euphoria that could tag $170,000, but that's the ceiling. Based on the rhythm of this move, the clock is ticking towards a November 2025 finale. Mark it. The Inevitable: The Great Bear & The Golden Accumulation Zone This is the most critical part. A Rising Wedge resolution is almost always the same: a violent breakdown. The fallout from this peak will be brutal a proper crypto winter. It will shake out every over leveraged dreamer. This bear market will find its ultimate bottom, its point of maximum financial opportunity, in the $54,000 - $60,000 zone. That is not a typo. That will be the generational buying opportunity. The mother of all dips. ACCUMULATE THERE. The Next Chapter: The $500K Horizon That 2027 bottom won't be the end. It will be the foundation for the next cycle. The recovery from that $60k zone will be the start of Bitcoin's next, truly historic run towards a target that seems crazy today $500,000. This isn't hopium; it's the logical progression of the four year cycle, adoption curves, and the patterns that have always governed this market. The Bottom Line: We are in the final, parabolic stage. Target $165K+ by Nov 2025. Then, prepare for the storm. The real-life changing wealth won't be made at the top; it will be made by those with the courage and dry powder to buy relentlessly in the $54k-$60k pit of despair in 2027. This is the plan. Trade accordingly.
by weslad
61
Where Is ETH Going This Cycle? (Educational Perspective) Every cycle brings the same question: Where is Ethereum heading next? Most look for price guesses, but that’s a distraction. The real advantage comes from knowing what factors will drive ETH’s direction. Understanding the drivers doesn’t require prediction, it requires planning. A Look Back: ETH in Previous Cycles Ethereum has repeatedly proven its resilience and innovation leadership: 2016–2017: Breakout fueled by ICO boom—ETH became the token-launch backbone. 2018–2019: Bear market and ICO collapse—but builders persisted. 2020–2021: DeFi and NFT surge—Ethereum powered the blockchain economy as “digital oil.” 2022–2023: Post-Merge era—transition to PoS and reduced issuance amid regulatory uncertainty. Through every phase, ETH stayed central to crypto’s evolution. On-Chain Metrics to Watch Ethereum’s transparency lets us monitor structural strength in real time: Active addresses gauge real network use. Staking levels shrink available supply—over 35M ETH (≈30%) staked by mid-2025. ETH locked in DeFi reflects collateral demand. Gas fee burn continues to tighten supply post-EIP-1559. Macro & Narrative Drivers (2024–2025 Upgrades & ETF Momentum) Stories move markets, and Ethereum has some strong ones now: Spot ETH ETF Launch: Nearly $500M in institutional inflows since mid-2024. Staking Supply Constraint: Record ETH locked → tighter supply. Technical Enhancements: Dencun (2024) and Pectra (2025) improving scalability and validator usability. Regulatory & Macro Tailwinds: GENIUS Act, institutional adoption, favorable policies. The Real Question Traders Should Ask Price targets are clickbait. The real question is: “Which factors will move ETH this cycle?” By tracking ETF flows, staking ratios, upgrades, and macro conditions, traders avoid being surprised.
COINBASE:ETHUSDEducation
by HyroTrader
12