Get started

Contains image

NZD/USD Climbs on US-China Optimism and RBNZ Rate Cut ExpectatioNZD/USD Climbs on US-China Optimism and RBNZ Rate Cut Expectations The NZD/USD currency pair edged higher during European trading hours on Thursday, recovering from two consecutive sessions of losses. Trading near 0.5982, the pair benefited from renewed optimism surrounding potential US-China trade negotiations, a key factor given New Zealand's strong economic ties with China. This resurgence in the Kiwi dollar (NZD) contrasts with the broader trend of recent days. The previous decline was likely fueled by concerns over global economic growth and the impending interest rate decisions from central banks across the globe. The pair's upward movement now suggests a shift in sentiment, with investors recognizing the potential positive impact of a potential trade thaw. Crucially, expectations surrounding the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) upcoming May meeting are also playing a significant role. Markets are overwhelmingly pricing in a 25 basis-point cut to the Official Cash Rate (OCR) from its current 3.5%. Furthermore, there's a growing expectation of further easing to 2.75% by the year-end. This anticipated easing of monetary policy in New Zealand is providing substantial support to the NZD, adding another bullish element to the current trading environment. From a technical perspective, the price action around the crucial 0.5980 level highlights the interplay of fundamental and technical factors. While the price has reached a weekly supply zone, the confluence of optimistic trade sentiment and the expected OCR cut is currently outpacing any bearish technical indicators. However, a sustained move above the significant resistance of the 0.6000 level is critical to confirming the renewed bullish momentum. A break above this psychological barrier would signal further strength in the Kiwi dollar, whereas a reversal below 0.5980 would bring the previously discussed bearish factors back into the forefront. Looking ahead, the key to future direction for the NZD/USD will likely depend on the outcome of the US-China trade negotiations and any potential further developments regarding the RBNZ's interest rate decisions. Markets will be watching closely for any tangible progress in either area, as this will likely dictate the pair's trajectory. ✅ Please share your thoughts about NZD/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
BTC on the verge of another accumulation range breakoutMorning all! So its time for a proper set of markups having spent the last few months breaking down the charts in video format for you all. The last BTC update I gave was on 24/03, in the 4 year cycle analysis breakdown. In that video i was expecting lower pricing into SSL and the range lows once more, forming a bottoming structure before seeing a HTF bullish reversal come through, aligning with the 4 year cycle where we have time to continue higher based on past cycle data and where we are in the current cycle. A month later and we have seen that come through wonderfully after the sweep of the range lows and its time to reanalyse now the direction is changing.... BTC has formed another accumulation range down in these discounted levels over the last couple months and there was nothing really interesting taking shape until the last couple of days thats give us some real confirmation of a trend change in this accumulation range that we can now work with. Unlike the August 2024 bottom, there isnt a massive influx of volume on the sweep event. I was able to call the bottom after such a sweep and high volume event back then just days after but in this most recent range we havent seen volume like back in August 2024, so ive had to be more cautious of further downside until we get some market shift confirmations to confirm intent and be on the safer side here whilst still holding my HTF bias of new ATHs before cycle end. As shown on the charts, ive marked up the range and stages. We have carried out the sellers climax event, forming the range low, into the automatic rally (AR) forming the range high, moving into the secondary test (ST) with a failure swing back to the lows which forms the secondary test in phase B. From there we continued to range before putting in another range low deviation in the Spring event, with tests of the range low before seeing this explosive move come through from the spring event back to the range highs. Volume also supports price action with a high influx of volume on the sellers climax low, stopping the prior trend, decreasing volume in the range into supply with a further increase in buyer volume as we deviate the lows in the spring event. We have also broke structure bullish in the range and formed a HH, with a HL yet to be formed.... **So whats next? ** It seems a lot more clear now after the last couple days, and also confirms intent behind the range and i think its safe to say we have formed a bottom here and my focus is now on the upside on BTC from here. After this range high deviation into supply, in this new HH, i wouldn't be surprised to see BTC pull back to the midpoint of the range between $84,000 - $76,500, back into demand and form a last point of support/demand in the accumulation range forming a HL, before another leg higher as shown. With how price has set up, with the demand left behind in the range and the bullish intent, my focus is on BTC forming a HL from demand before a continuation higher in line with my HTF bias that we will see new ATHs again before the cycle end. This is also supported in what im seeing on USDT.D and USDC.D where they are distributing in their ranges in supply with breakdowns in both and moving to a bearish trend. Therefore, when price corrects into these levels i will be looking to allocate risk into the market during the discount of the HL and I will be looking for my buys on DOGE and any other opportunities, where im expecting higher lows in the market before continuations higher across the board. This doesnt mean everything though as many alts are yet to catch up and flip bullish, so my focus will be on the higher quality, stronger coins such as DOGE, but i expect the rest of the market to catch up eventually as BTC runs higher from these lows. 1D: 3D: 1W: 1M:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by marshyyy
Lingrid | AVAXUSDT Bullish TREND with KEY Support ZoneBINANCE:AVAXUSDT market is making higher highs, demonstrating a clear bullish trend on the current timeframe. The price has reached the previous resistance zone where it formed a pullback. This time, the price may pull back again toward the psychological level at 20.00. I expect the price to find support and bounce at the confluence of three technical factors: the support level, the previous week's high, and the upward trendline. This triple support zone could provide a solid foundation for continuation of the bullish move. My goal is resistance zone around 23.50 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
3
GBP/USD Pressure Mounts on Weak UK DataThe GBP/USD currency pair faced downward pressure on Wednesday, largely due to disappointing data from the UK’s Purchasing Managers Index (PMI). This index showed a contraction in private sector business activity for April, signaling potential challenges in the UK economy. As a result, the Pound Sterling weakened against its major counterparts during European trading hours, reflecting growing concerns among investors about the economic outlook. As the day progressed, the focus shifted to the US Dollar (USD), which was buoyed by increasing optimism regarding easing tensions between the United States and China. Investors reacted positively to news surrounding potential diplomatic efforts and economic collaborations, leading to a stronger USD and further pulling the GBP/USD pair lower. This shift in sentiment highlights how geopolitical developments can significantly impact currency markets. Interestingly, the price action in the GBP/USD pair reached a notable Weekly Supply zone. This area has historically acted as a resistance level, and despite the current bearish trend, many retailers remain bullish on the Pound. This divergence in sentiment suggests that traders are closely monitoring the situation for signs of a reversal. Given the current conditions, there is speculation that the pair could experience a turnaround as it interacts with this important price level. Overall, the dynamics between the GBP and USD underscore the ongoing volatility in the foreign exchange market, driven by economic data and geopolitical events. Moving forward, market participants will likely keep a close eye on upcoming indicators and developments that could influence the trajectory of this currency pair, particularly in light of the recent fluctuations and the current positioning within the Weekly Supply zone. Weekly chart 6B1! ✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
Key Insights: Financial Markets Transformation by 2030For years, this page has been my space to share in-depth market research and personal insights into key financial trends. This post reflects my perspective — a strategic outlook on where I believe the digital finance industry is heading. The financial world is evolving at an unprecedented pace, and it's easy to overlook subtle shifts. But the undeniable fact is that we are now standing at the intersection of three powerful industries — financial markets, blockchain, and artificial intelligence. We are positioned at the cutting edge of technology, where innovation is not a future concept but a present reality. This post serves as a reference point for future trends and a guide to understanding the transformative forces shaping financial markets by 2030. These are not just facts, but my vision of the opportunities and challenges ahead in this rapidly converging digital ecosystem. Staying ahead today means more than following the market — it means recognizing that we are part of a technological shift redefining the core of global finance. 📈 1. Electronic Trading Evolution Full transition from traditional trading floors to AI-driven digital platforms. Integration of blockchain and smart contracts ensures transparency, automation, and risk reduction. Real-time data analytics democratizes market access and enhances strategic decision-making. 🤖 2. Algorithmic Trading Growth Accelerated by AI, machine learning, and big data analytics. High-frequency trading (HFT) boosts efficiency but introduces new volatility factors. Adaptive algorithms dynamically adjust strategies in real time. Strong focus on regulatory compliance and ethical standards. 🔗 3. Tokenization of Real World Assets (RWA) Transforming asset management with projected growth to $18.9 trillion by 2033. (now 18.85B) Enhances liquidity, accessibility, and transparency via blockchain. Institutional adoption is driving mainstream acceptance. Evolving regulations (DLT Act, MiCA) support secure tokenized ecosystems. 🏦 4. Institutional Adoption & Regulatory Frameworks Digitalization of fixed income markets and exponential growth in institutional DeFi participation. Key drivers: compliance, custody solutions, and advanced infrastructure. Global regulatory harmonization and smart contract-based compliance automation are reshaping governance. 💳 5. Embedded Finance & Smart Connectivity Embedded finance market to hit $7.2 trillion by 2030. Seamless integration of financial services into everyday platforms (e-commerce, mobility, etc.). AI, blockchain, and IoT power real-time, personalized financial ecosystems. Smart contracts reduce operational friction and enhance user experience. 🛡 6. Financial Crime Risk Management Market expected to reach $30.28 billion by 2030. AI-driven threat detection and anomaly monitoring strengthen AML compliance. Blockchain ensures data integrity and automates cross-border regulatory adherence. Global collaboration (FATF, EU AML) fortifies defenses against evolving financial crimes. 🌍 7. Consumer Behavior & Financial Inclusion Digital banking bridges the gap for underbanked populations, especially in emerging markets. Mobile solutions like M-Pesa revolutionize access to financial services. Biometrics, microfinance, and AI-powered engagement tools foster inclusive economic participation. 🚀 Conclusion By 2030, financial markets will be defined by technology-driven efficiency, regulatory adaptability, and inclusive growth. Success will favor those who embrace innovation, leverage automation, and engage in cross-sector collaboration. The future belongs to agile stakeholders navigating a landscape shaped by AI, blockchain, tokenization, and smart finance connectivity. Best regards, EXCAVO _____________________ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:BTCUSDLong
by EXCAVO
7
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.15878.Colleagues, I believe .that the five-wave movement is not over yet and another wave of upward movement is waiting for us. I believe that wave “4” has almost completed the correction or has already completed it. In any case, I consider the main target to be the resistance area at 1.15878, which is the minimum target and the top of wave “3”. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Long
by Hellena_Trade
13
Hellena | BITCOIN (4H): LONG to resistance area of 98,000.Dear colleagues, in this forecast I will not make too forward-looking plans. I believe that the upward movement is not over yet, because the wave “C” is not yet completed and consists of five waves. I think that we should expect to reach the resistance area of 98,000. A small correction to the support area of 90,000 is possible. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
10
EGLD Eyes Tactical Rebound from Structural SupportEGLD remains in a defined macro downtrend since its $544 ATH, but the current price action is reacting once again at a key lateral trendline that has historically triggered major bullish rebounds. The ongoing bounce from this structural support suggests a potential short-term rally toward the $40 resistance zone. We're positioning within the immediate demand zone, with close attention on price behavior at the nearby weak resistance, which could cap this relief move. A breakdown below this demand region, however, opens the door for deeper downside toward the critical support zone highlighted on the chart.
Long
by weslad
SUI Is Entering Into Final Stage Of Bull MarketHello, Skyrexians! On yesterday's crypto pump BINANCE:SUIUSDT was the greatest performer and people started to have an interest in this coin will continue growing or this is just a bull trap. Let's try to understand it. On the 1W time frame we have unclear, but Elliott wave structure. It looks like wave 4 overlapped with the wave 1. You will tell me that it's impossible. In practice it can happen especially on altcoins. According to the Awesome Oscillator wave 4 is finished which can be also confirmed by our Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . The final wave 5 will reach the green box, to have the more accurate target we need to count waves inside wave 5. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Long
by Skyrexio
4
GOLD → Reversal or correction? What to do now?FX:XAUUSD reaching the psychological high of $3500 has entered the correction phase, which was also influenced by a slight easing of the tariff conflict between the U.S. and China.... After falling without reaching the zone of interest 3288, the gold price is strengthening at the beginning of the European session, expecting PMI data from the U.S.. Earlier, the metal reached a record of $3,500, but rolled back amid hopes for an easing of the trade war with China and words of the US Treasury Secretary about a possible “détente”. The dollar recovered as part of the correction, but investors doubt Trump's predictability, gold at this time begins a correction. In the center of attention is the PMI index from S&P Global: its results may affect expectations for Fed Funds rates and give a new direction to the market. Resistance levels: 3340, 3360, 3366 Support levels: 3317, 3288 Technically gold is in correction and confirms the bearish structure. But any unexpected statement by Trump may attract aggressive buying. Nevertheless, we should now consider a possible decline from 3340 - 3360 - 3366. Buying could be considered on a retest of support or a close above 3370. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
17
EURAUD → False breakdown as part of a bullish trend correctionFX:EURAUD amid the global bullish trend is forming a correction to the trading range support. Bulls are trying to hold the 1.775 zone The currency pair is in a wide range, in consolidation. Relative to the lower boundary of the range, the price makes a false breakdown and liquidity capture, which may lead to a correction to 0.5 of the range, or to resistance Price consolidation above 1.775 and formation of local reversal pattern may affect further growth (global trend is bullish, locally - correction). The fundamental background is unstable, but the dollar index is still in correction after a strong fall.... Resistance levels: 1.7855, 1.7987 Support levels: 1.775, 1.7695 If the bulls hold the defense above the key support - the lower boundary of the trading range, the currency price may bounce up and head for the liquidity accumulated above the resistance.... Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
Crypto Euphoria Is Back, But Should It Be?📈 Bitcoin is back above 90k and the crowd is cheering again: moons, 150k by summer, non-stop hopium. But is the overall picture that bullish? Not even close. 📊 Looking at the Total Market Cap chart : - After that long November to late February consolidation, Total finally broke below the 3T support - We retested the break and new local lows followed - The recent bounce? Looks corrective, not impulsive - And we’re still trading below 3T and with good percentages ❗ Conclusion: I’m not buying into the hype. In fact, I’m expecting a new leg lower – possibly all the way to 2T 📌 Trading Focus: Shorting Solana and ETH
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALShort
by Mihai_Iacob
2
Bitcoin confirms its alignment with the global money supplyIn the TradingView columns dated April 14 and April 22, we offered two analyses of the bitcoin price with a bullish anticipation. Since then, the market has moved in an upward direction, and our technical and fundamental views seem to have been confirmed. I therefore invite you to take the time to reread our two previous analyses of the bitcoin price, which are attached to this new article. Our market view is updated in this new analysis. BTC has thus confirmed its alignment with the evolution of global money supply (M2 global liquidity) The study of bitcoin's price history over the last 15 years has highlighted a very interesting positive correlation. This positive correlation links the trend in global money supply to the underlying trend in the bitcoin price. The BTC market is indeed volatile and speculative, and its price orientation is therefore strongly influenced by the amount of liquidity in circulation worldwide. It is the M2 monetary aggregate that best represents the liquidity present in a country at a given time, and it is therefore the sum of the M2s of the world's major economies that constitutes the global money supply. The table below provides an overview of how the global money supply or global liquidity is calculated. The bitcoin price is breaking through resistance, confirming its positive correlation with global liquidity, taking into account a time lag of around 80 days The bitcoin price has risen by over 12% since the beginning of April, and this week saw an important technical signal. BTC made a bullish technical break of resistance at 88,000 US dollars, the former lower end of the trading range that extended from December to February. Breaching this technical threshold is a promising first signal that bitcoin's upward recovery is set to continue. Naturally, we need to remain cautious, and confirmation at the next weekly technical close will validate this market price rebound. In any case, and as the chart below shows, Bitcoin still seems to be acting in correlation with the global liquidity trend, and if this correlation continues to exist, then the second half of spring could see the price of BTC rise towards its all-time high. This market view would be invalidated should the new technical support at 88,000 US dollars be broken. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior. Swissquote makes no representation or warranty as to the quality, completeness, accuracy, comprehensiveness or non-infringement of such content. The views expressed are those of the consultant and are provided for educational purposes only. Any information provided relating to a product or market should not be construed as recommending an investment strategy or transaction. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Swissquote and its employees and representatives shall in no event be held liable for any damages or losses arising directly or indirectly from decisions made on the basis of this content. The use of any third-party brands or trademarks is for information only and does not imply endorsement by Swissquote, or that the trademark owner has authorised Swissquote to promote its products or services. Swissquote is the marketing brand for the activities of Swissquote Bank Ltd (Switzerland) regulated by FINMA, Swissquote Capital Markets Limited regulated by CySEC (Cyprus), Swissquote Bank Europe SA (Luxembourg) regulated by the CSSF, Swissquote Ltd (UK) regulated by the FCA, Swissquote Financial Services (Malta) Ltd regulated by the Malta Financial Services Authority, Swissquote MEA Ltd. (UAE) regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority, Swissquote Pte Ltd (Singapore) regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, Swissquote Asia Limited (Hong Kong) licensed by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) and Swissquote South Africa (Pty) Ltd supervised by the FSCA. Products and services of Swissquote are only intended for those permitted to receive them under local law. All investments carry a degree of risk. The risk of loss in trading or holding financial instruments can be substantial. The value of financial instruments, including but not limited to stocks, bonds, cryptocurrencies, and other assets, can fluctuate both upwards and downwards. There is a significant risk of financial loss when buying, selling, holding, staking, or investing in these instruments. SQBE makes no recommendations regarding any specific investment, transaction, or the use of any particular investment strategy. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts suffer capital losses when trading in CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Digital Assets are unregulated in most countries and consumer protection rules may not apply. As highly volatile speculative investments, Digital Assets are not suitable for investors without a high-risk tolerance. Make sure you understand each Digital Asset before you trade. Cryptocurrencies are not considered legal tender in some jurisdictions and are subject to regulatory uncertainties. The use of Internet-based systems can involve high risks, including, but not limited to, fraud, cyber-attacks, network and communication failures, as well as identity theft and phishing attacks related to crypto-assets.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Swissquote