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Bitcoin - EMA Support Holding Strong!#BTC/USD #Analysis Description --------------------------------------------------------------- BTC/USD – Weekly Chart Analysis 📉 Current Price: $82,239 (-4.47%) 📈 Key Moving Averages: 🔹 EMA 20: 88,143 🔹 EMA 40: 81,116 🔹 SMA 50: 76,230 EMA Support Holds Strong – The chart highlights multiple historical instances where BTC found support at the 20-40 EMA zone (orange circles). This pattern has played out consistently in past market cycles. - Bullish Trend Continuation – Each time BTC has tested this EMA region on a pullback, it has led to strong recoveries and further bullish momentum. - Current Market Structure – BTC is once again testing this key EMA support zone. A bounce from here could signal a continuation of the uptrend. - Historical Patterns Repeat – The blue shaded region and Vector Algo's AI-optimized signals indicate that similar setups have resulted in upward moves. ✅ Bullish Scenario: If BTC holds above the EMA 40 ($81,000) and forms bullish confirmation candles, we could see a move toward previous highs ($96,000) and possibly $100,000+. ❌ Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below $81,000 could lead to further downside towards the 50 SMA ($76,000) and lower demand zones. Bitcoin remains in a strong uptrend, and the current EMA support test is crucial for trend continuation. Keeping an eye on price action around this zone is key for potential long opportunities! --------------------------------------------------------------- Enhance, Trade, Grow --------------------------------------------------------------- Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions. Best Regards, VectorAlgo
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by VectorAlgo
Technical and Statistical Time-Series Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC)Technical and Statistical Time-Series Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC) 📈 Bitcoin is currently trading around $82,000, having breached the critical support level at $80,548. This breakdown, combined with a potential daily close below this level, indicates a likelihood of accelerated downward momentum towards the corrective cycle's end target of $71,823. This target is anticipated to be reached within a short timeframe, between April 9th and 11th. Price Movement Predictions : 🔮 March 30th - 31st: A price rebound from $80,548 to $85,098 is expected, serving as a retest. Any rejection from the $85,098 range will signal a continuation of the corrective downtrend. 📉 March 31st - April 10th: Continuation of the downward cycle is anticipated, targeting the following levels: First Target: $76,123 🎯 Second Target: $71,823 🎯 April 11th or 12th: A potential trend reversal towards a strong uptrend is foreseen. 🚀 Invalidation of the Scenario : ⚠️ This scenario will be invalidated if the price breaks above and closes above $90,000. This breakout and close, especially if sustained for three consecutive days, would signal the end of the correction and the resumption of the uptrend towards a new peak. 🔝 Notes : 📝 These predictions are based on technical analysis and do not constitute investment advice. 🚫 The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and trading involves significant risk. Proceed with caution. 🚨 It is very important to pay close attention to the economic market news, that can change any technical analysis. 📰
by MMTRADING-BNB
Technical and Statistical Time-Series Analysis For Dominan (BTC)Bitcoin dominance is currently at 62.24%, a level it has reached during the latest bullish wave in a three-year continuous uptrend. This coincides with the formation of an all-time high in the recent fifth wave. Current Situation Analysis: Bitcoin Dominance Level: Bitcoin dominance indicates the percentage of control Bitcoin investors hold. When Bitcoin dominance is high (as it is here at 62%), it signifies that Bitcoin investors control the market, supporting the uptrend. 📈 Uptrend: The three-year continuous bullish wave indicates the strength of the current trend. 🚀 Fifth Wave: In Elliott wave theory, the fifth wave often represents the end of an uptrend. Therefore, the formation of an all-time high in this wave may indicate an approaching trend reversal. 📉 Predictions: The market may target the 65.70% level before it begins to reverse. 🎯 A daily close below the 60.30% level may signal the beginning of a change in the uptrend, with an initial target at 52.5%. 📉 Notes: Technical analysis is one tool among many used by traders and investors. 📊 Bitcoin dominance analysis is part of the market analysis tools that contribute to decoding trades. 🔍 Financial markets are volatile and cannot be predicted with absolute accuracy. ⚠️ Recommendations: Monitor the mentioned support and resistance levels (65.80%, 60.30%, and 52.5%). 👀 Use other technical analysis tools to confirm signals. ✅ Consider other factors that may affect the market, such as economic news and political events. 📰 Always exercise caution in trading. 🚨
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by MMTRADING-BNB
5600 Really needs to hold...If this 5600 level breaks, I expect the decline to continue until may with support around 5400, 5200, and 5000 with 5200 being most likely. The market was hoping for consistent messaging from the Fed, which it did not get. The data shows that inflation is accelerating in the face of job cuts which makes their job very difficult. The are not helping with their rhetoric that the data is 'transitory'. The market is not enjoying their 'vibe' driven analysis. Volatility is bid for April and May, giving bears ammo for another leg lower. vixcentral.com The measured move and several demand zones sit around 5200.
SP:SPX
by NicTheMajestic
EU finished the bullish correctionHi traders, Last weeks prediction of EU was again spot on. After the pullback finished (orange wave 4) into the Weekly BPR, price rejected and went up again. So next week we could see EU go up more to break the swing high. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs. If you want to see more of my analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
Long
by EduwaveTrading
1
Nat Gas Report 3/29/25: Can you shoulder the shoulder? Well, after much fanfare it is finally here! No, not the SSW event, not the Liberation Day (Trump’s April Tariffs), but the shoulder season! That important time of the year for energy traders to watch the price of NG drop faster than Trump’s current approval ratings! The cyclical trade in energy warrants a movement of funds this time of the year to Crude oil, then eventually Gasoline. As discussed, a few weeks ago this constant movement in energy trades keeps the asset allocations inline with seasonal trends in energy usage and the funds fat and happy. But this year we have the ultimate monkey in the works, true market dynamics! Although with the upcoming Liberation Day tariffs starting this coming Wednesday, 4/2/25, the market once again is on edge with the unknown unknowns! As the broad equity market has sold off this quarter, we have seen a movement into commodities, especially NG (sorry Gold bugs!). The underlying weakness in global oil demand, and the inability for oil producing nations and majors to temper supply has led to a glut in worldwide crude stockpiling. Yesterday’s Crude Oil COT report showed commercials with a net short position of -208,888 (an increase in short positions by 3,580 from the previous week) and non-commercials who are net long +197,061. This is not a common seasonal response in the Oil markets. Normally the December to May timeframe is a season of oil accumulation by major traders and the petro industry. This demand is not without purpose; it marks the onset of preparations for the impending summer driving season. Refiners embark on a strategic accumulation of crude oil inventory for gasoline production, laying the groundwork for oil price increases in the months ahead. But with softness in the overall global markets, downward revisions in GDP, Trump tariff uncertainty, and the big electrification to the transportation sector. There is a bearish undertone to the global oil and gasoline market this year. Remember what was discussed. The global nature of institutional energy traders is to trade crude in the spring (as NG sells off), gasoline in the summer (as oil sells off), NG in the fall (as diesel sells off), and diesel/heating oil in the winter (as gasoline sells off). This round robing of trades allows the savvy trader to expect entry and exit points, or to determine the overall direction of seasonal trends. But throw that out this year! The past few months NG and Oil have been trading inversely with each other, almost to the dollar! So, that leaves us with a tremendous amount of allocated worldwide capital in the one energy trade left. NG! But, not without merit! Natural Gas has a tremendous amount of underlying fundamental support. Lower than normal storage (currently 6.5% below 5-yer average), increasing power generation demand, increasing exports via pipeline to Mexico, increasing LNG export (currently hit a record at 16.7 BCF/d this week and expected to hit 18 BCF/d next month), and stagnant production (NG rig count down 9% y/y, oil down 4.5% y/y). The producers have finally understood that producing too much NG will probably affect the price in a negative way. Last week’s energy conference in Houston, TX had one general theme from all the energy majors. Supply restraint/discipline and an increase in infrastructure. There must have been some concerted effort, because the catch phrase all week was not “Drill baby Drill” but “Build baby Build” The discussion was that Trump’s lowering of barriers for pipeline construction and LNG export facilities is what is going to give them a reason to drill. But, for the time being they need takeaway capacity. They will continue to keep rigs out of the field until that happens. Imports from Canada are at a 2-year low, due to the increase in heating demand in Canada, due to the SSW event taking hold up north. Increasing demand, stagnant production = higher prices! Weather related demand has decreased with the unusually warm March. But the SSW event is now affecting Canada. If not for the main Pacific Teleconnection, the EPO, this cold bottled up in Canada would have brought seasonal temperature to the US. But!!!!!!! Now the EPO(negative) Teleconnection is aligning with the SSW event and the models over the past week have been printing colder. I expect the month of April to end up below average. Which could possibly lead to one, maybe to more storage withdrawals, outside the withdrawal season. As of earlier this week, April is now projected to end the storage deficit created during the withdrawal season. But if we can head into the month of May with a continued deficit, we can expect elevated prices for the summer strip. The summer forecasts are currently coming out, which is showing dry and hot conditions from the Rockies west to the Mississippi River. The current storage deficit in the South Central region (-10.5%) and the Midwest (-16.2%), will be the main driver for price appreciation due to weather related issues. Years that had a SSW event in the months of March and April, statistically have very hot May and June months that follow. This kick start to the summer cooling season is another reason for the predicted elevated prices this summer. This is not 2024! Do not expect for historic low process to return, bar a pandemic or a worldwide global recession. There will be price volatility, but not a complete dropping of the floor price. Near term pricing: Ever since moving above the 100D SMA back at the end of December the 50D SMA has held up wonderfully as support during last four months. Since Tuesday the 50D SMA has continued to hold, except for a brief 12 hour period, but the price showed bullish support by retracing, touching and bouncing back off. The weekly low bounced off the lower SD of the BB. This another bullish conformation. The weekly low dropped below the 38.2% fib level and reclaimed upward momentum, another bullish sign, only to move up past the 50% fib level. The psychological 4000 level, another bullish indicator. When technical and fundamentals align, we should pay close attention and listen! I am watching 4170, 4252, and 4316 for my immediate term resistance levels. If 4316 is broken, the upper BB SD and the 78.6% swing retracement level 4570 is next. For support, 3953, 3854, 3729. If there is a break below the 3729 then the 23.6% swing retracement level at 3560 would be up next. I am of the belief that the market is expected to travel higher. But there are many reasons for continued range bound days. So, I will be setting these levels to range trade until I see an indication for otherwise. Keep it Burning!
NYMEX:NGK2025
by NrG_Trader
3
BITCOIN → Break of the bullish structure. Moving to 78-68KBINANCE:BTCUSD has been slowly recovering for the last two weeks, but failed to overcome the resistance. The bears held the trend. The price is breaking the local bullish structure and preparing for a strong fall. Bitcoin's fundamental background is weak, expectations were not met by the crypto summits, nor by any major announcements or hints of a crypto reserve. The crypto community still didn't get what they expected from Trump. The strong drop was triggered by the SP500 index falling, driven by rising inflation, reduced consumer pressure and new trade tariffs. These factors have contributed to increased uncertainty in the markets, prompting investors to move to safer assets such as gold and government bonds Technically, the price has been in consolidation (correction channel) for two weeks and after breaking the support of the figure, the price entered the realization phase within the global downtrend. Resistance levels: 85300, 86350, 89400 Support levels: 83600, 81270, 79980, 78100 Emphasis on the support at 83600. The price fixing under this zone may provoke further fall to 80-78K. But I do not exclude the fact that a small correction to the zone of interest is possible (to capture liquidity) before a further fall to the previously identified key zones of interest. Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RLinda
37