Are we going to fill or tap the closest gap for Bitcoin?At the current price point, Bitcoin shows signs of consolidation
On the daily chart, price has tested the 50-day moving average multiple times, suggesting this level around $93,147 is a key support. However, the recent bounce from this support has been weaker, indicating potential further downside or consolidation.
On the 6-hour timeframe, price is trading below both m_rvwap and w_rvwap.
If we fail to reclaim or we get rejected at 96k, higher chance we retest 87.3k to sweep those local lows.
We have FVGs or imbalances below. The question is, are we going to fill or tap the closest gap at 81.7k?
The FVG is often seen as a price zone where the market has not fully absorbed all the information, leading to abrupt price changes. Given the current technical setup, there's a possibility that BTC might revisit or "fill" this gap, especially if the market continues to show bearish signals or if the current consolidation leads to a deeper correction. However, filling an FVG is not guaranteed and depends heavily on market dynamics at the time.
The current analysis suggests a cautious short-term outlook with a potential for testing lower levels due to the observed bearish signals. The 81.7k level, could indeed act as a magnet for price action due to historical significance or technical confluence. However, whether BTC will "tap" this level depends on broader market sentiment, incoming news, and the reaction to key support level at 93.6k.
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Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area at 66.867.Colleagues, oil has been in a sideways movement for the last month and is not living up to our expectations, but I still believe that the price will start a downward movement to the support area at 66.867.
Now the price is in a complicated wave movement, which I named (A, B, C). In fact, the movement is more complicated, but I will not describe the rules of the Leading diagonal now.
So I expect that the price will reach the area of 72, complete wave 2 and start a downward movement.
But there is a variant when the price will start the movement at once.
Therefore, I do not recommend long positions.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Lingrid | BITCOIN complex PULLBACK in the MARKETBINANCE:BTCUSDT is forming a complex ABCD pullback. The price continues to stay below the key level of $100,000, and it has created a range zone with equal lows. Notably, there is a structure shelf around $91,000, where the price has consistently bounced back. On the weekly timeframe, we've seen a bearish long-tailed bar, suggesting that the price may retest $85,000. At the start of 2025, we might experience some market shakeouts, so I expect a deeper pullback before rebounding off the support level, potentially taking liquidity below the structure support. My goal is resistance zone around 98,000
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
KSE100 Index PSX -Analysis based on Elliott Wave & Benner Cycle PSX is in a bull run which is proving to be quite phenomenal.
Now the big question is where is the market top and when will it be?
Elliott Wave Theory and Samuel Banner's Century Cycle chart are the ones which I'm going to use here.
As per Benner's cycle the current bull run began in Jan 2024 and its top should be in December 2026. However, since we know that the bull run actually began in Sep 2023, therefore, by adjusting this time frame we arrive to the top by Sep 2026. (See the picture on the chart).
Referring Elliott Wave Theory - we know that it has two sets of Waves ie "IMPULSE" (1,3 & 5 along with retracement waves 2 & 4) and "CORRECTIVE" (A,B,C).
Accordingly, for me the price is in wave 3 and its completion will be around 133,000 and then it may retrace to Fib 38% (PKR 93,000 appx). Then the last wave will begin which may complete around Rs 192,000. This value has been arrived using Fib Ext Tool. So per this analysis 192,000 is the area where we should expect the TOP by end Sep 2026. Then market will go down following Corrective Wave A-B-C till end 2032.
(Note year mentioned on the Benner Cycle chart are the end of the year i.e. 31 Dec )
Gala Price Update – Still BearishWXY Correction:
Left chart confirms we're still in the WXY corrective structure.
Right chart shows price movement in a channel without WXY lines.
Channel Dynamics:
Price is oscillating in a channel, rejecting from the middle.
Key Support: 0.0342, repeatedly tested and holding for now.
Bearish Confirmation:
A close below 0.0342, followed by a backtest or direct collapse through the channel, signals further bearish bias.
Targets:
First Target: 0.02761 (786 Fib level).
Second Target: 0.02449 (weekly support).
Breakdown below 0.02962 (previous low) confirms a straightforward Y correction.
Technical Indicators:
4-hour timeframe is overbought, making it an ideal setup for a breakdown.
Market may remain slow, but a sharper move down would align with current bearish momentum.
An invalidation of my theory would be if price pumps and breaks above $0.040 this will require me to reconsider my bearish bias.
Sell BTC/USDT Bearish ChannelThe BTC/USDT pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to form of well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around close to the top of channel. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 91151
2nd Support – 90107
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
NEW update of XAUUSD GOLD Price can break resistance GOLD Price can break resistance level and continue to going up
In my chart as you all see sport touch 3 time to sport level and resistance touch 3 time to resistance level now is the time for gold to break the resistance
Entry point 2625
Target 2676
Stop Lose 26214
Gold break the resistance level and hit my
target
Trade with your own risk
ai16z : $0.40 Gunning for OpenAi $150bn Valuation in the Space What can i say hes the man who makes the FUTURE the
man who showed us the internet through Netscape Navidator
and most recently the MIL:GOAT or banker behind the machine behind the creator
---
1. “If you’re unhappy, you should change what you’re doing.”
2. “I love what the Valley does. I love company building. I love startups. I love technology companies. I love new technology. I love this process of invention. Being able to participate in that as a founder and a product creator, or as an investor or a board member, I just find that hugely satisfying.”
3. “There will be certain points of time when everything collides together and reaches critical mass around a new concept or a new thing that ends up being hugely relevant to a high percentage of people or businesses. But it’s really really hard to predict those. I don’t believe anyone can.”
4. “I don’t think objectively we are in a tech bubble when tech stocks are at a 30 year low.”
5. “Whatever you’re selling, storage or networking or security, you’re going head to head with the incumbent players.”
6. “I think 2012 is the year when consumers all around the world start saying no to feature phones and start saying yes to smartphones.”
7. “So I came from an environment where I was starved for information, starved for connection.”
8. “In 2000, when my partner Ben Horowitz was CEO of the first cloud computing company, Loudcloud, the cost of a customer running a basic Internet application was approximately $150,000 a month.”
9. “An awful lot of successful technology companies ended up being in a slightly different market than they started out in. Microsoft started with programming tools, but came out with an operating system. Oracle started doing contracts for the CIA. AOL started out as an online video gaming network.”
10. “There’s a new generation of entrepreneurs in the Valley who have arrived since 2000, after the dotcom bust. They’re completely fearless.”
11. “With lower start-up costs and a vastly expanded market for online services, the result is a global economy that for the first time will be fully digitally wired-the dream of every cyber-visionary of the early 1990s, finally delivered, a full generation later.”
12. “More and more major businesses and industries are being run on software and delivered as online services – from movies to agriculture to national defense.”
13. “Technology is like water; it wants to find its level. So if you hook up your computer to a billion other computers, it just makes sense that a tremendous share of the resources you want to use – not only text or media but processing power too – will be located remotely.”
14. “Almost every dot-com idea from 1999 that failed will succeed.”
15. “There’s no such thing as the middle class. It’s absolutely vanishing.”
16. “Today’s leading real-world retailer, Wal-Mart, uses software to power its logistics and distribution capabilities, which it has used to crush its competition.”
17. “Perhaps the single most dramatic example of this phenomenon of software eating a traditional business is the suicide of Borders and corresponding rise of Amazon.”
18. “Out of ten swings at the bat, you get maybe seven strikeouts, two base hits, and if you are lucky, one home run. The base hits and the home runs pay for all the strikeouts.”
19. “Over two billion people now use the broadband Internet, up from perhaps 50 million a decade ago, when I was at Netscape, the company I co-founded.”
20. “Around ’93, ’94, the conventional wisdom about the Internet was that it was a toy for academics and researchers. So it was very, very underestimated for about two years.”
21. “I’ve been a customer of the top venture capital firms, so I know exactly what they do and don’t do.”
22. “Start-ups should be based on radical ideas. There should be a high failure rate for start-ups, because if there isn’t their ideas aren’t bold enough.”
23. “The world is a very malleable place. If you know what you want, and you go for it with maximum energy and drive and passion, the world will often reconfigure itself around you much more quickly and easily than you would think.”
24. “Only two people have been on the cover of Time Magazine in bare feet. I’m one, the other is Gandhi.”
25. “When I talk to entrepreneurs today, I feel like the grandfather who was in the Civil War.”
26. “Innovation accelerates and compounds.”
27. “An awful lot of successful technology companies ended up being in a slightly different market than they started out in.”
28. “I know where I’m putting my money.”
29. “We have never lived in a time with the opportunity to put a computer in the pocket of 5 billion people.”
30. “I think that every technology company that’s more than 20 years old will break up.”
31. “Ten to 20 years out, driving your car will be viewed as equivalently immoral as smoking cigarettes around other people is today.”
32. “Newspapers with declining circulations can complain all they want about their readers and even say they have no taste. But you will still go out of business over time. A newspaper is not a public trust – it has a business model that either works or it doesn’t.”
33. “I’m a firm believer that most people who do great things are doing them for the first time. Returning to my theory of hiring, I’d rather have someone all fired up to do something for the first time than someone who’s done it before and isn’t that excited to do it again. You rarely go wrong giving someone who is high potential the shot.”
34. “In the startup world, you’re either a genius or an idiot. You’re never just an ordinary guy trying to get through the day.”
35. “Companies in every industry need to assume that a software revolution is coming.”
36. “I am bullish on the global development. I am bullish on billions of people getting out of poverty.”
37. “The Internet has always been, and always will be, a magic box.”
38. “Big breakthrough ideas often seem nuts the first time you see them.”
39. “If we’re in a bubble, it’s the weirdest bubble I’ve ever seen, where everybody hates everything.”
40. “No one should expect building a new high-growth, software-powered company in an established industry to be easy. It’s brutally difficult.”
41. “When you’re dealing with machines or anything that you build, it either works or it doesn’t, no matter how good of a salesman you are.”
42. “The multipurpose device will always fail.”
43. “The gulf between what the press and many regular people believe Bitcoin is, and what a growing critical mass of technologists believe Bitcoin is, remains enormous.”
44. “If you think you can execute a previously failed idea, you just have to be able to show that now is the time.”
45. “If I want to get work done, that’s usually about 3 in the morning.”
46. “I enjoy not being a public company.”
47. “There’s always more demands than there’s time to meet them, so it’s constantly a matter of trying to balance them.”
48. “Great CEOs are not just born with shiny hair and a tie.”
49. “The transformation of Apple is probably the biggest tech story of the last 15 years.”
50. “If the Net becomes the center of the universe, which is what seems to be happening, then the dizzying array of machines that will be plugged into it will virtually guarantee that the specifics of which chip and which operating system you’ve got will be irrelevant.”
Phala Network | TA Theory & Fib. TargetsHello my dear supporter, I would like to thank you for choosing to read what I have to share. I promise to give you engaging content, entertaining and enlightening. You will learn something new with each and every single trade-idea or, in the least, you will be entertained.
Phala Network (PHAUSDT) produced a long consolidation phase in 2023, last year. The blue channels depicted on the chart (left side). This consolidation phase lasted 238 days.
The bullish wave that followed was relatively small in terms of the cryptocurrency market. Such a long consolidation phase would normally yield a stronger bullish wave. You cannot find this in books nor anywhere, this is 100% experienced based information.
The fact that the consolidation phase was long in duration, the bullish wave relatively short and the correction strong yet ending in a higher low (early August), can tell us that a new bullish wave can develop without much (new) consolidation.
This is my theory based on technical analysis. Follow my thinking; it is like the strength generated by the previous consolidation phase wasn't fully used, therefore, little consolidation is needed for a new and strong wave.
We have really high buy volume in June, again, a higher low in August while this date produced the strongest crash of the year marketwide, signaling that sellers on this pair are no longer active.
It is likely that this pair can grow. The signals are good and leaning toward the strong side.
On a drop, support can be found at the last low and if a drop does happen, a recovery can be quick because the correction hit almost 100% of the previous bullish wave.
When we consider that the correction removed all gains, we can count the entire period from June 2023 through present day as the consolidation phase. That would be more than 430 days of strengthening action; the bullish jump earlier this year is just the whales buying, in anticipation of the 2025 bull-market.
The targets can be seen on the chart.
I love you.
Namaste.
BTC - 4H Consolidation LikelyThe current low market volume is typical during the Christmas and New Year holiday period, as institutional players and many retail traders reduce activity. This reduction in liquidity often leads to lower volatility and smaller price movements. In this scenario, BINANCE:BTCUSDT appears to be consolidating within a well-defined range, as highlighted by the resistance zone around $99,000 and the support zone near $92,000.
With minimal external market drivers expected until trading activity picks up after the holidays, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is likely to remain range-bound. This sideways movement aligns with historical behavior during low-volume periods, where breakouts or significant trends are less frequent. Traders should consider this low-volatility environment when planning short-term strategies.
Silver Is Approaching The Daily TrendHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring XAGUSD for a buying opportunity around 28.700 zone, Silver is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 28.700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
TradeCityPro | DYDXUSDT Decentralized Exchange Market Situation👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze another crypto asset during the holiday season and Christmas. This is the perfect time for learning and analysis so that we don’t miss out during market moves.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
As always, let’s analyze Bitcoin before diving into today’s altcoin. In the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin is still inclined to drop, and red candles have pushed the market into an oversold condition, likely reaching the 92722 zone.
Try to stay calm and unaffected by the green and red candles. If 92722 is broken, we could target lower levels such as 86K and 81K. I have personally reserved funds for these levels.
If Bitcoin dominance rises during this drop, altcoins are expected to experience sharper declines.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly timeframe, DYDX is among the coins that remain in its large box and has only risen slightly from the support of its smaller box, experiencing a drop after getting rejected at 2.6416.
Most crypto coins are within their boxes, which can be considered long-term accumulations. With an influx of capital and hype, they could break out and start strong upward trends.
Personally, I avoid buying within the box, The 2.6416 level has become a key resistance. After breaking it, I’ll either enter at 4.3322 or wait for opportunities in lower timeframes.
If holding this coin, consider exiting after the 0.8572 level is broken.
📈 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, after forming a box between 0.8572 and 1.3409 and breaking out, DYDX experienced an upward move to 2.6416, followed by a correction.
During the upward move, volume increased significantly, while it has decreased during the corrective moves, indicating a potential bullish signal.
The price has now returned to the top of the previous box, which has turned into a strong support level. This level coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, further confirming its importance.
Personally, I won’t buy at this point but may consider entering early after observing a strong candle or if it ranges between 1.3409 and 1.5977 and breaks the range’s top, depending on Bitcoin dominance conditions.
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
In the 4-hour timeframe, a structure has finally formed, allowing for futures trading. Positions can be opened after breaking either side of the box for quick profits.
📉 Short Position Trigger
After breaking 1.4098 or with strong momentum in lower timeframes.
📈 Long Position Trigger
The 1.5977 level gains importance with each test, and breaking it could allow for long entries.
However, given the low market volume during the holidays, ensure trades have tight stop losses and quick profit-taking.
💡 BTC Pair Insight
DYDX’s situation against Bitcoin isn’t great, with a baseless upward move followed by a return to its support level. Be patient; after breaking 0.00002667, this coin can break its resistance levels against Bitcoin and show upward movements against USDT.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
TRADING WISDOM: 10 KEYS TO SUCCESS IN 2025As we approach 2025, we find ourselves in a dynamic trading landscape, shaped by shifting geopolitical and economic forces. To thrive in this rapidly evolving environment, we need more than just a solid grasp of technical analysis; we must cultivate our mental toughness, sharpen our strategic acumen, and remain adaptable. Whether you’re a beginner or a breakeven trader still searching for consistency, the lessons ahead will empower you to overcome obstacles. Let’s not repeat the mistakes of 2024; instead, let’s embrace new approaches and seize the opportunities that 2025 has to offer. Transform challenges into triumphs and pave the way for a successful trading journey!
📍 1. Let Go of Loyalty
In personal relationships, loyalty is a virtue, but in the realm of trading, it can be a double-edged sword. The ability to make unbiased decisions is paramount. Holding onto losing positions out of a sense of loyalty only amplifies your losses and bogs you down in missed opportunities. Cultivate the discipline to exit underperforming trades swiftly and without hesitation. Instead of clinging to past mistakes, turn your energy toward identifying and seizing new trading opportunities. Remember, every moment spent nurturing a losing trade is a moment lost to potential wins.
📍 2. Avoid Absolute Predictions
Be cautious with absolute statements regarding market trends, such as “I am certain the BINANCE:BTCUSDT will hit 100,000 next week.” Such declarations not only set you up for disappointment but can also trap you into thinking in rigid terms. Markets are influenced by myriad factors, and expecting them to adhere to a specific trajectory can blind you to changing conditions. Instead, focus on probabilities and possibilities—use terms like "it’s likely" or "there's a possibility" to frame your analysis. This flexible mindset allows you to remain adaptable in the face of uncertainty.
📍 3. Look for Psychological Triggers
While technical indicators provide valuable insights, they should not be the sole basis for your trading decisions. Seek out additional psychological triggers that can offer deeper market context. A breakout from a significant resistance level, a sudden price spike, or the emergence of a recognizable pattern can all serve as pivotal signals. Understanding the collective psychology of market participants will enhance your ability to make informed decisions, as similar actions by the majority often reinforce market moves.
📍 4. Focus on Experience, Not Money
It's common for novice traders to fixate on the question, “How much money can I make?” This dollar-centric mindset can cloud your judgment and lead to reckless trading. Rather than measuring success by monetary gains, prioritize the development of your trading skills and market understanding. With time and experience, profits will naturally follow. Aim to absorb and interpret the market's signals intuitively; the rewards will come as a byproduct of your enhanced capabilities.
📍 5. Quality Over Quantity
Adopt Pareto's principle: "20% of your efforts yield 80% of your results." In trading, this translates to recognizing that quality signals are often rare. Spending excessive time analyzing charts can lead to analysis paralysis and poor outcomes. Instead of chasing after every minor fluctuation, exercise patience. Focus on identifying high-probability setups that align with your trading strategy. It’s better to wait for a handful of quality trades than to engage in rash actions that dilute your effectiveness.
📍 6. Embrace Boredom
The cinematic portrayal of trading as a nonstop adrenaline rush often veils the reality: trading can be a rather tedious endeavor. Genuine trading strategies often yield signals only a few times a week or even monthly. Emotional trading born from boredom can lead to hasty decisions and losses. Develop a comfortable discipline that allows you to wait for clear signals without the urgency to act. This patience reflects a professional mindset, where the quality of trades trumps the quantity.
📍 7. Prioritize High-Quality Trades
While backtesting can highlight the frequency of profitable trades, it’s crucial to remember that your objective is to focus on high-quality trade setups rather than merely increasing the number of trades. It’s completely acceptable for a few trades to end in losses, provided that your profitable trades yield sufficient gains to cover these losses and then some. Concentrate on refining your strategy to ensure a favorable profit-to-loss ratio over the long term, which is far more important than achieving a high win rate.
📍 8. Maximize Your Profits
Your overarching aim is to extract maximum value from each trade. A common misconception among novice traders is that increasing the number of trades will lead to greater profits; however, this approach often results in chaos. Rather than getting swept up in the trading frenzy, focus on identifying strong trends backed by solid fundamentals. Utilize protective measures like trailing stops to safeguard your profits and avoid premature exits. By squeezing the most out of each trade, you ensure that your winning trades significantly outweigh your losses.
📍 9. Understand Risk Management Holistically
The saying "risk 2% per trade" can be misleading if taken literally. The real impact of risk varies greatly depending on your account balance and leverage. For instance, a 2% risk on a $1,000 account may seem trivial, but with leverage, that percentage could balloon into a sum that feels much more significant. As you formulate your risk management strategy, consider both the percentage and the actual dollar amount at stake. Understanding the emotional impact of potential losses is essential for maintaining composure during turbulent market conditions.
📍 10. Reject Hope as a Strategy
Hope should never be your trading strategy. Relying on the hope that a market reversal will occur or that your latest trade will succeed fosters a dangerous mindset. Effective trading requires strategic calculation, adherence to specific methodologies, and emotional detachment. Approach each trade with a clear plan and execute it consistently, leaving no room for wishful thinking.
📍 Conclusion
The foundation of successful trading lies in a blend of experience, knowledge, intuition, and swift decision-making. Profitability is a natural byproduct of mastering these elements, coupled with a healthy approach to risk management and emotional control. As you work to reinforce these principles, you will sharpen your trading acumen and position yourself for lasting success in the dynamic trading environment of 2025 and beyond. Embrace your potential, cultivate your skills, and watch as opportunities unfold before you.
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
"Accelerated Timeframe View" Attention Traders: Listen Up – This is Important!
ForexX News
My approach is fundamentally different from just reading chart structures. Data is what drives my analysis.
Chart structures? I've said it before: they're often manipulated by smart money. But if you can align structural insights with solid data—and your confidence is unwavering—then it holds weight.
While 108K is my broader target, I’ve consistently reminded readers to take it step by step. For now, my measurement points to $103,683 as a key level. From there, Bitcoin might see a correction, but the future remains uncertain.
Currently, Bitcoin is in a parabolic phase on the 23-hour timeframe. This adds significant momentum to the current price action and aligns with my data-driven projections.
When this target comes to pass, you’ll know exactly who you’re following. My ultimate goal is to eliminate all doubts and never fall into the guessing game. As always, let’s wait and see how price action and liquidity unfold before making any definitive calls. Stay sharp!
"Hunters of Breakout Momentum" This idea analyzes Bitcoin's breakout potential, incorporating key levels of resistance, support, and liquidity, alongside ATR (Average True Range) to measure volatility. It identifies crucial breakout points and neutral zones while highlighting bullish and bearish pressures. The inclusion of ATR helps traders assess potential price movement and momentum shifts with precision.