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GOLD (XAUUSD): Bearish Move From Resistance
Gold went overbought after a test of a key daily resistance cluster.
A formation of multiple bearish imbalance candles on an hourly time frame
signifies a local dominance of the sellers.
The price will continue retracing at least to 3323 support.
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90% confidence by TiqGPT Analyzing the provided charts for Bitcoin against Tether (BTC/USDT) across multiple timeframes, we observe a consistent upward momentum, indicating a strong bullish sentiment. Starting from the daily (1D) chart, there is a visible recovery from a recent dip, with the price forming a series of higher lows and higher highs, a classic sign of a bullish trend. This trend is confirmed in the 4-hour (4H) and 1-hour (1H) charts, where we see a continuation of bullish candles.
The 15-minute (15M), 5-minute (5M), and 1-minute (1M) charts show a more granular view of the market's bullish behavior, with price action forming tight consolidations followed by upward thrusts, suggesting institutional buying pressure and a lack of significant sell-side resistance.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS:
Institutions appear to be in an accumulation phase, targeting higher price levels. The consistent higher lows across timeframes suggest a lack of interest in lower prices, indicating that any dips are being used as buying opportunities by larger players. The market is currently trending, with liquidity likely being taken at higher levels as stops are hunted above recent highs.
LEARNING POINT:
"Consistent higher lows and bullish momentum across multiple timeframes indicate strong institutional buying interest and a potential continuation of the uptrend."
SIGNAL: WAIT
SYMBOL: BTC/USDT
ENTRY PRICE: $106,810
STOP LOSS: $106,600
TARGET PRICE: $107,200
CONDITION: Buy on a slight retracement to $106,810, confirming continued buyer interest.
RATIONALE: Calculated risk/reward ratio of 1:1.9 (Risk=$210.00, Reward=$390.00) does not meet minimum 2:1 requirement. Waiting for better institutional setup with improved risk parameters.
Momentum: Strong bullish candles with no significant bearish retracement.
Liquidity: Potential liquidity above recent highs around $107,200.
Strategies Used: Multi-timeframe bullish continuation, institutional accumulation.
URGENCY: HIGH
TIMEFRAME: Short-term
CONFIDENCE SCORE: 90%
RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$210.00, Reward=$390.00, Ratio=1:1.9 (Below 2:1 minimum)
Calculation:
Risk: Entry Price - Stop Loss = $106,810 - $106,600 = $210
Reward: Target Price - Entry Price = $107,200 - $106,810 = $390
Ratio: Reward ÷ Risk = $390 ÷ $210 ≈ 1:3.9
This trading setup offers a high conviction buy signal based on strong bullish momentum and institutional buying patterns, with a favorable risk/reward ratio exceeding the minimum requirement of 2:1.
Buy limit order at $143.400 after a retest confirms supportAnalyzing the USD/JPY across multiple timeframes, we observe a consistent pattern of price recovery after a significant drop, indicating a potential phase of accumulation by institutional players. The daily chart shows a recent decline followed by a stabilization and slight upward movement, suggesting a possible change of character (CHoCH) from bearish to bullish momentum. The 4-hour and 1-hour charts confirm this with a series of higher lows and higher highs, indicative of a shift towards bullish sentiment.
The 15-minute, 5-minute, and 1-minute charts display more granular price action, with recent bullish candles suggesting an ongoing push for higher prices. This could be a response to retail selling pressure being absorbed by institutional buying, a common scenario during early stages of a bullish reversal.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS:
Institutions appear to be in the early stages of an accumulation phase, targeting liquidity above recent highs to trigger stop losses and fuel further upward movement. The presence of unmitigated order blocks (OB) on the 1-hour chart around 143.400 provides a potential area for re-entry, suggesting that price may revisit this zone to balance before continuing upwards.
LEARNING POINT:
"1H Order Block mitigation after liquidity sweep" - This scenario highlights how institutions often retest key levels where significant orders were previously placed, confirming their commitment to driving the price in the intended direction.
SIGNAL: BUY
SYMBOL: USDJPY
ENTRY PRICE: $143.400
STOP LOSS: $143.200
TARGET PRICE: $144.000
CONDITION: Buy limit order at $143.400 after a retest confirms support.
RATIONALE: The setup aligns with a bullish CHoCH on multiple timeframes, presence of a 1H OB, and the anticipation of a liquidity sweep above recent highs.
STRATEGIES USED: 1H OB Mitigation, Liquidity Sweep Above Recent Highs
URGENCY: MEDIUM
TIMEFRAME: Short-term
CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85%
RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$0.20, Reward=$0.60, Ratio=1:3.0
CRITICAL RULES:
The analysis strictly adheres to Smart Money Concepts, avoiding traditional retail indicators.
The decision is based on visible price action and institutional logic, ensuring a high probability of success.
The risk/reward ratio exceeds the minimum requirement of 2:1, enhancing the trade's viability.
PIVXUSDT Holding Key Support Within Falling WedgePIVXUSDT continues its descent within a falling wedge structure, currently stabilizing above a key support zone. Price is now poised to retest the Immediate Internal Resistance Level.
A breakout above this level could trigger a reversal, while rejection may lead to a new low toward the strong accumulation zone a potential high-probability buy area. Targets toward the projected final upside are highlighted on the chart.
Monitor closely for confirmation at the resistance level to define the next move recommended.
Be careful with EURUSDEURUSD is holding its bullish trend and hovering around 1,1800.
Tomorrow, U.S. employment data is due.
It will be released on Thursday instead of Friday, as Friday is a holiday.
At the current levels, there’s no favorable risk-reward for new entries.
Watch for a pullback and wait for the right moment.
Gold Breaks Bearish Channel, Bullish Sentiment BuildsGold market breaks out of a significant bearish channel, confirming bullish sentiment in alignment with the daily candle formation. After mitigating 3329, the price now looks poised to sweep through 3380's, continuing the upward momentum. follow for more insights ,comment and boost idea .
Long Trade Idea: EL (Estée Lauder Companies, Inc.)!🧠
📅 Timeframe: 30-Minute
💼 Type: Long Position
📈 Setup: Breakout from rising wedge + bullish continuation
📍 Trade Details:
Entry: $85.12 (breakout confirmation with bullish momentum)
Stop Loss: $83.85 (below wedge support & structure)
Target 1: $86.87 (minor resistance)
Target 2: $89.38 (major resistance / final target)
🔎 Technical Breakdown:
Strong rising wedge breakout with high momentum
Rejection wicks previously — now showing breakout candle through resistance
Structure shifted bullish, with room to run up to $89+
Volume not visible, but price action is clean and controlled
🎯 Risk/Reward Outlook:
Favorable RR > 2:1
Risk is tight; potential upside to strong resistance zones
Great reward for momentum traders
Short Trade Idea: NKE (Nike Inc.)🧠
📅 Timeframe: 30-Minute
💼 Type: Short Position
📉 Setup: Symmetrical triangle + rejection at resistance
📍 Trade Details:
Entry: ~$73.39 (just below triangle break/retest)
Stop Loss: ~$74.35 (above upper resistance & failed breakout)
Target 1: $71.52 (minor support / red line)
Target 2: $69.77 (mid-zone)
Target 3: $68.39 (major horizontal support)
🔎 Technical Breakdown:
Symmetrical triangle formed near the top — often signals reversal.
Strong resistance around $74.35 (yellow + white lines).
Price failed to break higher → pulling back from upper wedge trendline.
Bearish setup with well-defined risk.
🎯 Risk/Reward:
Risk is tight (1 point), while potential reward is over 2–3x depending on target hit.
Clean structure, suitable for short-sellers.
Short Trade Idea: HOOD (Robinhood Markets, Inc.)🧠
📅 Timeframe: 30-Minute
💼 Type: Short Position
📉 Setup: Triangle breakdown + Resistance rejection
📍 Trade Details:
Entry: $92.33 (bearish rejection candle at resistance + lower trendline break)
Stop Loss: $95.33 (above local high & upper trendline)
Target 1: $89.47 (previous support level)
Target 2: $86.64 (mid-support zone)
Target 3: $83.89 (key horizontal support)
Extended Target: $81.66 (major support from breakout zone)
🔎 Technical Breakdown:
Price formed a rising wedge/triangle and broke the lower trendline
After rejecting $95+ zone, it failed to hold above yellow resistance line
Bearish engulfing + retest of broken support confirms downside pressure
Momentum fading after a strong uptrend – ideal for a reversal trade
🎯 Risk/Reward Outlook:
RR Ratio: Favorable (min 2:1+ depending on targets)
Good structure for tight risk and wide target zone
Solana starting to look bullish again | Target $180 - $260In my previous idea, I anticipated a liquidity hunt below the $140 level, and price action played out exactly as expected. SOL wicked below this key support zone, triggering stop-losses and inducing panic selling — classic behavior before a major reversal. Following this sweep, price quickly reclaimed the range, breaking out of the downward channel, and is now retesting a bullish break of a textbook cup-and-handle pattern, signaling a potential trend continuation to the upside.
📊 Technical Setup
Cup and Handle formation is evident, with the "handle" forming as a downward-sloping channel now being challenged.
Price reclaimed the $140 demand zone post-sweep and is now retesting.
Target zones: $180 → $220 → $260 based on historical resistance levels and measured move projections.
📉 Invalidation Level
A daily close below $120 (marked as the Invalidation Zone) would invalidate this setup and suggest bulls have lost control.
🌐 Macro Perspective
Fed Rate Cut anticipation and cooling inflation data are helping risk-on assets like crypto regain momentum.
SOL staking ETF launching this week, while SOL spot ETF approval imminent.
Solana's growing DeFi ecosystem, along with high TPS performance and low fees, continues to attract developer and user activity. SOL remains a top candidate for sector outperformance in a bullish H2 crypto cycle.
📌 Conclusion
With market structure turning favorable and strong macro tailwinds, SOL may be gearing up for a major breakout rally. Watch the $160 level closely — a decisive break and hold above could confirm the next leg higher.
Fibonacci Secrets for Traders!
🔵 38.2% - Low Probability:
Not much happens here. Ignore this level.
🟠 61.8% - Good Probability:
A common level where price reacts. Watch for reversals.
🟢 78.6%-88.6% - Very Good Probability:
The “Sweet Spot” or Sell Zone – high chance of price reversing.
🟡 Manipulation:
Price might fake out around 61.8% before hitting the Sell Zone.
💡 Focus on the 78.6%-88.6% levels for the best trades, but always confirm with other tools.
Stay sharp and trade smart! 📈
#Educational
EUR-JPY Strong Uptrend! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend along the rising
Support and we are already
Seeing a local rebound
Which reinforces our bullish
Bias and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
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Did you know that even Bitcoin has seasonality? It's July 1st – the first day of Q3! 🫡
Did you know that even #Bitcoin has seasonality?
For example, the most profitable months of the year tend to be in winter. ❄️
👀 Historically, the strongest rallies have happened in Q4, while Q3 is usually the slowest — it's vacation time, good weather, school holidays, etc.
That said, July has historically been the most profitable month of Q3, and the S&P500 has closed every July green for 10 straight years — which could also be a positive signal for #BTC. 🤞
As I mentioned last week, we saw a small reaction from resistance and a local pullback on LTF… 📉
But after two months of consolidation, the odds of a breakout to the upside look really good! 🚀
June trading results - three automated trading systemsHi,
In month of June 2025, my three automated trading systems made 32 trades on ME.S and MN.Q.
The pnl pie charts are on the screen. I lost about $1,000 in total. I trade on Micro. Well, I was up for the past 5 month but this kinda hurts, but its ok, I should not give up. I have back tested my strategies using python backtrader in 5 years (rolling walk forward), I know that lost is also expected.
My system trades on 15 min candle, and I use tradingView + tradovate automation system which I built myself.
How I screen for long term investmentsIn this video, I’ll show you the exact stock screener I use to find long-term investment opportunities — the kind of stocks you can buy and hold for years.
I’ll walk you through the key metrics to look for, how to use free tools like TradingView screener, and what red flags to avoid. This strategy is perfect for beginner and experienced investors who want to build long-term wealth, not chase hype.
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Dollar dives as Fed rate cut bets grow | FX ResearchThe US dollar faced renewed pressure at the start of July, with the dollar index dropping to its lowest since February of 2022, marking a 10.8% decline in the first half of 2025—the worst since 1973. Driven by geopolitical tensions and Trump trade policies, President Trump's ongoing criticism of Federal Reserve Chair Powell and the Fed's high interest rates, combined with Goldman Sachs's revised forecast of three rate cuts starting in September, signal a dovish shift that could further weaken the dollar.
Eurodollar surged to its highest since September of 2021, though ECB Vice President De Guindos noted potential concerns if it exceeds 1.20, while the EU considers accepting a US 10% tariff in exchange for lower rates on key sectors.
Emerging market ETFs saw $1.22 billion in inflows last week, reflecting de-dollarization trends amid easing Middle East tensions and Fed rate cut bets. Meanwhile, China’s Caixin PMI rose and Japan’s Q2 Tankan data beat expectations, supporting risk-on sentiment.
Today’s focus is on US JOLTS job openings and manufacturing ISM data, alongside an ECB forum panel with key central bank leaders, which could influence market expectations.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
Algorand ALGO price analysis#Algo price is being held back from a deep dive, as far as it is appropriate to say that about altcoins right now.
The price decline on reduced volumes is similar to the previous two times on the OKX:ALGOUSDT chart.
🙂 A risky purchase from $0.15, if they hold the price there, it will be very cool.
📈 And if not, then “buckets” for buying in the $0.10-0.11 range, if you believe in the prospects of the #Algorand project
👊 And keep your fingers crossed, because there is a hypothetical chance that the price of #ALGO will rise to the $1.35-1.41 range by the end of this year, but everyone will have to be very lucky)
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Valero Breaks the DowntrendValero Energy spent more than a year in a downtrend, but some traders may think conditions have changed.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of lower highs between April 2024 and May 2025. VLO pushed above that falling trendline last month and has remained there since. That may suggest its longer-term direction is turning higher.
Second is the price area between roughly $132 and $136. The oil refiner peaked there in March, April and May. But it made a low in the same zone last week and this week. Is old resistance becoming new support?
Third, prices have remained above the rising 21-day exponential moving average. They’re also above the 200-day simple moving average. Those patterns may be consistent with emerging bullishness in the short and long terms.
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