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GOLD Will Go UP! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in a
Strong uptrend and we are
Bullish biased so as the price
Is already making a rebound
From the horizontal support
Of 3680$ a further bullish
Move up is to be expected
Buy!
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KSE 100 Index Technical Analysis for 17-09-2025KSE 100 Index Technical Analysis 17-09-2025
The index is moving upwards after a pullback from its all-time high of 157,820. Today's price action indicates potential support at 155,750.
Key Levels
- *Immediate Support*: 155,750
- *Retest Zone*: 152,450 - 150,450 (identified several days ago)
Scenario
- *Support Hold*: Potential upward move
- *Break Below Support*: Expected to reach retest zone (152,450 - 150,450) for potential A-B-C correction completion
Advice
- *Caution*: Recommended until further behavior is observed at the immediate support level.
This analysis highlights potential scenarios based on the index's behavior at key support levels.
Zinc & Copper Correlation is very healthyZinc and copper markets are closely related because both metals are used heavily in construction, manufacturing, and electrical applications, so demand often rises and falls together with industrial activity.
They’re also frequently mined from the same deposits, meaning supply-side disruptions can affect both. As a result, prices for zinc and copper tend to show a high degree of correlation, moving in similar cycles tied to global economic growth and infrastructure.
Comparing the Charts (Zinc on the left on a Monhtly TF), we see that Zinc has a lot of room left to the upside. Because it's goal is to go back to balance, which is the Centerline.
And because of the close correlation, I think the Chart of Copper HG1! is still OK.
So, in Copper, the Centerline target is still in play.
NZD-JPY Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-JPY is trading in a
Local uptrend and the pair
Will soon retest a horizontal
Support level around 87.200
From where we will be expecting
A local rebound and a move up
Buy!
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Rate Cuts, Liquidity, and BTC: Why 120K Is the Danger ZoneYesterday , while everyone was screaming about a Bitcoin dump, we caught the breakout of that resistance I showed you.
Today, I want to talk about the upcoming rate cut news , what could happen after it, and what we should do with our open positions.
Now personally, I’m still holding the breakout position we entered a week ago . I didn’t secure any profits, and honestly—I didn’t even want to. Because if the Fed cuts rates, we could kick off the next leg of this uptrend.
But keep this in mind: opening fresh positions around 120K IS NOT EASY AT ALL. Why?
Because there’s massive liquidity up there, huge volatility, and the chances of getting stopped out are very high. That’s exactly why I’d rather hold my position from earlier than be forced to open new ones in that zone.
👉 Let’s look at yesterday’s daily candle: it closed super bullish. This shows the market is leaning positive on the idea of a rate cut. But is this candle just front-running the news? Hard to say. We can’t exactly go ask every trader if they bought because of the Fed. So, better not overthink it.
I personally expect a short-term dip after the news drops. But more important than the cut itself are Powell’s words. If he signals more cuts are coming, markets could explode higher. If he says “not anytime soon,” we might get a pullback.
⚠️ My advice:
If you don’t already have a position, stay on the sidelines for a few hours. Any stop loss you put now has a big chance of getting hit.
But if, like me, you’re already in from the earlier triggers, just hold. It’s worth it.
For me, I’m also long on GBP/USD, and I didn’t secure profits there either—I’m waiting to see how it reacts.
👉 Quick look at BTC.D: dominance is rising with Bitcoin, which means it’s smarter to keep focus on BTC rather than altcoins. When dominance turns bearish again, that’s when we’ll shift back to alts.
This is why for the past few days I’ve been saying: stick with Bitcoin. Liquidity is flowing into it.
Ethereum? It gave back almost 70% of its recent move.
LONG STORY SHORT: don’t do anything stupid here. The best play, if you don’t have an open position, is to stay patient. Don’t FOMO.
Remember: the most important thing is not Bitcoin’s price itself. It’s stop-loss size, liquidity zones, and momentum. here in Skeptic Lab, that’s exactly what we dig into.
I’ll try to post another update after the Fed news drops.
Until then, stay safe. Peace ✌️
EUR-USD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is trading in
An uptrend and the
Pair is now making a
Local bearish correction
But we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
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THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Well, I don't think that could have gone any better with the KOG Report plan published on Sunday. We hit the final red box, exhausted and extended a bit but managed to get the move down from there that we had planned. In Camelot, we gave the exact level 3703 as the potential level and one that can not break if they want to retrace, which worked well.
With FOMC tomorrow, we can expect a retest of that high and if failed in the Asian session potential for a move back down into the 3660-65 region initially. That's the level we want, so lets see if we get it!
Best entry came from the red box which gave a capture twice and moved well. This should be protected and managed.
We'll be back tomorrow for the KOG Report FOMC so stay tuned and please take some time to hit the boost button on the Tradingview ideas.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
EUR/USD: Bullish Breakout to 1.20 Amid Fed Rate Cut Hype EUR/USD: Bullish Breakout to 1.20 Amid Fed Rate Cut Hype and #Fed Trends Buzz? 1.1920 Target in Sight?
EUR/USD is trading at 1.1878 today, up 0.3% amid surging to a fresh four-year high as markets brace for the Fed's interest rate decision later, with expectations of a 50bps cut to 4.00-4.25% fueling dollar weakness. This comes as South Africa's Treasury eyes new Eurobonds post-$2B redemption, potentially bolstering Euro demand amid broader EM inflows.
Just as #Fed racks up 12K mentions on X with rate cut speculation exploding, and #business trends highlight global bond stability (e.g., SA's move), EUR/USD's rally ties into ECB hawkishness versus Fed easing—positioning it as a high-conviction pair for September volatility. But with RSI overbought, is EUR/USD poised for a breakout to 1.20, or will a hawkish Fed surprise trigger a pullback? Let's break down the fundamentals, SWOT, charts, and setups for September 17, 2025.
Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD's strength stems from diverging monetary policies, with the ECB holding rates steady at 3.50% while Fed cut bets hit 65% for 50bps today, pressuring the dollar index to 98.50 lows. Analysts forecast a potential climb to 1.1920 if cuts confirm, with 2025 averages eyed at 1.15 amid Eurozone recovery data like 0.3% Q2 GDP growth. With #Fed trends going viral on X, the pair's sensitivity to dot plot signals undervalues its upside if projections show three more cuts by year-end; however, sticky US inflation (core PCE at 2.6%) could cap gains if the Fed pauses.
- **Positive:**
- Fed easing expectations weaken USD, amplified by #Fed hype and SA Eurobond plans signaling global Euro appetite.
- Eurozone resilience with PMI at 51.2 supports hawkish ECB, projecting 1.5% 2025 GDP growth versus US slowdown risks.
- Broader trends in #business (e.g., EM bond inflows) position EUR/USD for 2%+ monthly gains if cuts deliver.
- **Negative:**
- Overbought conditions risk correction to 1.1762 if Fed signals fewer cuts, clashing with #Fed optimism.
- Geopolitical tensions and US election uncertainty could strengthen USD as safe-haven if volatility spikes.
SWOT Analysis
**Strengths:** Policy divergence favors Euro with ECB's steady rates versus Fed cuts, amplified by #Fed relevance in weakening USD sentiment.
**Weaknesses:** High sensitivity to US data; overbought momentum vulnerable in a #business-shifting market post-Fed.
**Opportunities:** SA Eurobond tap boosts Euro liquidity; #Fed cut confirmation could narrow discount, with undervalued upside at current levels amid 1.5% projected 2025 appreciation.
**Threats:** Hawkish Fed pivot eroding gains; competition from yen or pound if global easing synchronizes amid viral #Fed discussions.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, EUR/USD shows a bullish ascending channel breakout to four-year highs at 1.1878, with volume surging on Fed anticipation and mirroring #Fed volatility. The weekly confirms an inverse head-and-shoulders from summer lows, now extending higher. Current price: 1.1878, with VWAP at 1.1850 as intraday pivot.
Key indicators:
- **RSI (14-day):** At 72, overbought but holding bullish—potential bounce signal amid #Fed surge. 📈
- **MACD:** Positive histogram expanding, crossover intact for upside momentum.
- **Moving Averages:** Price above 21-day EMA (1.1750) and 50-day SMA (1.1650), golden cross supporting bull trend.
Support/Resistance: Key support at 1.1810 (recent low), resistance at 1.1920 (Fib target) and 1.2000 (psychological). Patterns/Momentum: Channel extension targets 1.1920; fueled by #Fed momentum. 🟢 Bullish signals: Higher highs on volume. 🔴 Bearish risks: RSI divergence could prompt drop to 1.1690.
Scenarios and Risk Management
- **Bullish Scenario:** Break above 1.1920 on dovish Fed targets 1.2000; go long on pullbacks to 1.1810, especially if #Fed goes mainstream with cuts.
- **Bearish Scenario:** Drop below 1.1810 eyes 1.1762; watch for death cross amid #Fed fade if hikes signal.
- **Neutral/Goldilocks:** Range-bound 1.1810–1.1920 if dot plot mixed and #Fed cools.
Risk Tips: Use stops at 1.1790. Risk 1-2% per trade. Diversify to avoid correlation traps with #Fed-linked pairs like USD/JPY.
Conclusion/Outlook
Overall, a bullish bias if EUR/USD holds 1.1810, supercharged by today's #Fed and #business trends, with 1%+ upside to 1.20 on rate cut confirmation. But watch the Fed decision for confirmation—this fits September's policy divergence theme, but SA Eurobonds add supportive Euro tailwinds. What’s your take? Bullish on EUR/USD amid #Fed cuts or hedging the dip? Share in the comments!
XAUUSD: Will This Correction Fuel the Next All-Time High?After a powerful breakout and a new All-Time High, the market often needs to take a breath. For Gold, this breathing room comes in the form of a 4-hour correction. This isn't a sign of weakness, but an opportunity. This analysis maps out three high-probability zones where this correction could end, providing a potential entry to join the bulls for the next major leg up.
After Gold broke out of the global range, which I showed in the analysis " The Most Accurate Gold Forecast on the Market ", and continued its uptrend to form a new ATH, the asset is showing the beginning of a possible correction on the 4H structure.
If the correction continues, I will be considering a pro-trend long from a manipulation in the form of a demand zone in conjunction with one of the Fibonacci retracement levels, or from the 4H Break of Structure (BOS 4H) level .
The first long scenario involves a reversal reaction from the 61.8% Fib level , which would simultaneously rebalance a daily FVG .
If this level is broken, the second scenario will be activated, which involves a deeper correction with a reversal reaction from the 78.6% Fib level .
If the final local retracement level is broken, a reversal will still be possible upon a liquidity sweep of the BOS 4H level . This will be the third long scenario , confirmation of which would be a sharp return of the price above the BOS 4H level and the beginning of a bullish order flow on a lower timeframe.
The target for a potential long, upon confirmation of a setup from one of these scenarios, will be the formation of a new ATH . The invalidation of the long scenarios will be the price finding acceptance below the 4H Break of Structure level, as the correction would then likely shift to a higher timeframe.
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The principles and conditions for forming the manipulation zones I show in this trade idea are detailed in my educational publication, which was chosen by TradingView for the "Editor's Picks" category and received a huge amount of positive feedback from this insightful trading community. To better understand the logic I've used here and the general principles of price movement in most markets from the perspective of institutional capital, I highly recommend checking out this guide if you haven't already. 👇
P.S. This is not a prediction of the exact price direction. It is a description of high-probability setups that become valid only if specific conditions are met when the price reaches the marked POI. If the conditions are not met, the setups are invalid. No setup has a 100% success rate, so if you decide to use this trade idea, always apply a stop-loss and proper risk management. Trade smart.
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DOW JONES (US30): Your Plan to Trade FOMC Today
US30 keeps coiling on a recently broken daily key resistance
that turned into a support after a breakout.
To buy the market with confirmation after today's rate decision,
concentrate your attention on a double bottom pattern on a 4H time frame.
A bullish breakout of its neckline and a 4H candle close above 46850
will provide a reliable signal.
A bullish continuation will be expected to a current structure high then - 46087.
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Gold: Buying the Dip? A Plan for the Pullback to the Daily OBAfter breaking out of its local range and establishing a new ATH, Gold has begun a correction and is approaching support in the form of a daily order block .
I will be looking for a long position, with the target of creating another ATH, upon the mitigation of this order block in conjunction with a reversal reaction from one of three Fibonacci retracement levels: the 50%, 61.8%, or 78.6% level .
A break of the 78.6% level by the price will invalidate the long scenarios and, with a high probability, will mean the correction is transitioning to the higher, weekly structure.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
The principles and conditions for forming the manipulation zones I show in this trade idea are detailed in my educational publication, which was chosen by TradingView for the "Editor's Picks" category and received a huge amount of positive feedback from this insightful trading community. To better understand the logic I've used here and the general principles of price movement in most markets from the perspective of institutional capital, I highly recommend checking out this guide if you haven't already. 👇
P.S. This is not a prediction of the exact price direction. It is a description of high-probability setups that become valid only if specific conditions are met when the price reaches the marked POI. If the conditions are not met, the setups are invalid. No setup has a 100% success rate, so if you decide to use this trade idea, always apply a stop-loss and proper risk management. Trade smart.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
If you found this analysis helpful, support it with a Boost! 🚀
Have a question or your own view on this idea? Share it in the comments. 💬
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GBPUSD LONGPrice has continued to push upward as anticipated in yesterday’s analysis. A short-term pullback may be on the horizon possibly this week or next but we don’t have confirmation yet.
For today’s trade, we stayed aligned with the current bullish momentum:4H demand remains in control, supported by 5M structure. Entry was taken on the 15s chart as usual. Exited clean at 3RR.
Same system. Same rules. Just executing it everyday
MT5& Chart entry in the comments
Naspers: Tencent AI Proxy Amid #AI and South Africa BondsNaspers: Undervalued Tencent AI Proxy Amid #AI and South Africa Bond Stability Trends? $80 Target in Sight?
Naspers (NPSNY) ADRs are trading at $67.69 today, up 0.5% amid positive South African market sentiment following the Treasury's smooth $2 billion Eurobond redemption and hints at new issuances to replenish reserves. This fiscal resilience has spurred foreign inflows into SA bonds, with R24.8 billion net buys recently, boosting local equities like Naspers—which has rallied 34% YTD on Tencent's AI-driven rebound.
As #AI trends explode with 17K mentions on X (fueled by AI video generators and drug discovery hype), and #technology buzz hits 46K amid global chip and ad innovations, Naspers' indirect 24% stake in Tencent (via Prosus) positions it as an undervalued gateway to Chinese AI growth in gaming and cloud. But with a forward P/E of 15x, is NPSNY the discounted multi-bagger ready for a push to $80, or will China risks weigh it down? Let's dissect the fundamentals, SWOT, technicals, and setups for September 17, 2025.
Fundamental Analysis
Naspers' value is deeply tied to its Prosus subsidiary, which holds a 24.3% stake in Tencent—valued at ~$120B against Naspers' $52B market cap, implying a 50%+ discount on sum-of-parts analysis. FY2025 results showed 21% Ecommerce revenue growth to $7B and an 18x EBIT improvement, with analysts forecasting 2025 EPS of $4.50 (up 25% YoY) amid Tencent's AI tools launch. With #AI going viral, Naspers' exposure to Tencent's programming AI and cloud positions it perfectly, undervalued at 18% below fair value per DCF amid SA's bond stability signaling economic strength. However, regulatory risks in China loom if crackdowns intensify.
- **Positive:**
- Tencent stake undervalues Naspers by 50%+; $12.8B buybacks enhance shareholder value amid #technology hype and AI investments.
- SA Eurobond redemption boosts foreign inflows (R41.3B YTD), supporting JSE rally and Naspers' 135% 3-year returns.
- Broader #AI trends (e.g., Tencent's AI tool launch) project 20%+ CAGR for holdings.
- **Negative:**
- China exposure risks from geopolitics, clashing with #AI optimism if Tencent growth slows.
- Upcoming 5-for-1 split (Oct 6) could add volatility if retail hype fades post-event.
SWOT Analysis
**Strengths:** Massive discount to Tencent holdings (50%+), amplified by #AI relevance in gaming/cloud; strong Ecommerce profitability with 18x EBIT jump.
**Weaknesses:** Heavy reliance on China assets (80%+ value); cyclical Ecommerce exposure in a #technology-shifting market.
**Opportunities:** SA bond stability attracts inflows, unlocking value; #AI boom via Tencent could narrow discount to 30%, undervalued at 15x P/E amid 25% EPS growth.
**Threats:** Regulatory changes in China eroding Tencent value; intense competition from global tech amid viral #AI discussions on X.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, NPSNY is in a strong uptrend, forming a bull flag after breaking $65 resistance, with volume spiking on SA bond news and mirroring #AI volatility surges. The weekly confirms higher highs from 2023 lows, now accelerating. Current price: $67.69, with VWAP at $67 as intraday pivot.
Key indicators:
- **RSI (14-day):** At 65, bullish territory—room for upside amid #technology surges. 📈
- **MACD:** Positive crossover with expanding histogram, indicating momentum build. ⚠️
- **Moving Averages:** Price above 21-day EMA ($64) and 50-day SMA ($62), golden cross intact.
Support/Resistance: Key support at $65 (recent breakout), resistance at $70 (psychological) and $80 (analyst target). Patterns/Momentum: Flag breakout targets $75; fueled by #AI momentum. 🟢 Bullish signals: Volume on inflows. 🔴 Bearish risks: Overextension if China news hits.
Scenarios and Risk Management
- **Bullish Scenario:** Break above $70 on Tencent AI updates or SA inflows targets $75 short-term, then $80 by year-end; buy pullbacks to $65, especially if #AI goes mainstream.
- **Bearish Scenario:** Drop below $65 eyes $60 (200-day EMA); watch for regulatory cross amid #technology fade.
- **Neutral/Goldilocks:** Range-bound $65–$70 if data mixed and #AI cools.
Risk Tips: Use stops at $64. Risk 1-2% per trade. Diversify to avoid correlation traps with #AI-linked assets like TCEHY.
Conclusion/Outlook
Overall, a bullish bias if NPSNY holds $65, supercharged by today's #AI and #technology trends plus SA's Eurobond stability, affirming its undervalued status with 18%+ upside on Tencent AI plays. But watch Q3 earnings and China policy for confirmation—this fits September's emerging market rotation amid viral tech hype. What’s your take? Bullish on Naspers amid #AI Tencent trends? Share in the comments!
SEP 17th, 2025 | XAUUSD | Gold Analysis1️⃣ Main Trend
- The overall trend remains bullish, as shown by the H1 trendline that has been respected since the beginning of the week.
- Although there was a corrective decline during today’s session, the price is currently reacting at both the trendline and the Current Week Value Area Low (CW VAL), indicating that buying pressure is still present.
2️⃣ Value Areas (Volume Profile + Open Daily Line)
- CW VAH: 3699
- CW POC: 3681
- CW VAL: 3662
👉 Price is currently bouncing back from the CW VAL 3662 and the trendline, making this a key short-term support area.
👉 The CW POC 3681 will be the next checkpoint to confirm buying strength.
3️⃣ Price Behavior
- During the U.S. session yesterday, price dropped sharply from 3699 down to 3662, creating a significant test at the trendline.
- At the moment, a recovery candle is forming, showing buying pressure around the support area.
- If price holds above 3662 and breaks through the POC 3681, there is a high probability of a retest towards 3691–3699 (major resistance zone).
4️⃣ Candlestick Pattern
- The wick rejection candle at the CW VAL + trendline indicates absorption of selling pressure, confirming the presence of buyers.
- This signal strengthens the recovery scenario toward higher levels.
5️⃣ Trading Plan
* Buy 3662–3665: confluence of CW VAL and trendline → priority long positions if price holds above this area.
* Buy 3670–3673: retest of trendline after recovery, enter upon candlestick confirmation.
Short-term target: 3681 (POC).
Extended targets: 3691–3699 (VAH).
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DAX: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 23,355.45 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 23,470.80 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
VIX spiking....PEEKA BOOTVC:VIX (proxy CBOE:UVIX ) is crossing up key technicals and looks like there is a nice upside. Much of the news hasn't reported that the rate cuts have "already" been priced-in, which is a nice recipe for volatility to spike as people make big moves (mostly sell). Again, 99% of sell orders from insiders are SELL, and congress members are putting PUT options orders too. It also doesn't help that China is not buying NVDIA, which was a big reason for the upside and that has completely faded out. Where do you go when the MARKET has reached the ceiling?
Best of luck and always hedge your positions! VIX / UVIX now has an awesome beta and upside.
GOLD: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,678.55 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 41.788 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 41.386.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️