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Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Outlook: Bullish Momentum Faces CorrectionOANDA:XAUUSD market has been bullish; however, Friday turned bearish with a nearly 3.8% decline. After such bullish momentum, this pullback seems normal. In the current timeframe, price completed the ABC move, which is typically followed by a pullback—exactly what we've seen recently. On the weekly timeframe, the price formed a long-tailed bar, indicating it may retest the support zone below the 2900 level. However, considering the upward momentum in the market and the fact that price did not close below the previous week's low, this scenario seems less likely. I believe we're facing a similar scenario to what we saw in the last week of February, when the market fell around 4% but subsequently reached all-time highs. Right now, areas to consider going long include just below the week's low and the psychological level at 3000. Additionally, we have the channel border as well as the upward trendline serving as potential support. Another scenario worth noting is what happened before the US election last November, when prices fell around 9%, which could mean a retest of the 2900 level. Overall, next week the price may move sideways for a couple of days after bearish impulse leg or bounce off the 3000 level. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
OLong
by Lingrid
13
It May Be Different This TimeStocks have recently experienced selloffs reminiscent of the subprime crash and Covid. However, there might be something different this time. This monthly chart of the S&P 500 highlights the three moments in history. The Global Financial Crisis is marked in white. The coronavirus pandemic is in teal and the tariff selloff is colored yellow. Simple price action on the stock index is mostly comparable, with large solid red candles revisiting levels from months (or years) prior. Two other charts, however, paint a different picture. They represent risk-off “safe havens” that typically move a certain way versus the “risk-on” S&P 500. The U.S. dollar index typically climbs during sharp downturns in the stock market and the 10-year Treasury yield usually falls as bond prices rise. The current period, however, has seen the U.S. dollar bleed lower. This is especially puzzling because higher tariffs should reduce imports, which in turn should reduce selling of the greenback. The 10-year Treasury yield has also made a small move relative to the stock market’s dramatic volatility. TNX broke to multiyear lows during the last two crashes, but this time it’s holding levels from October. Aside from the apparent anomaly, there could be a few takeaways from this price action. First, GFC and covid happened during a major secular bull market in Treasuries. But since the pandemic, yields have shown signs of a longer-term upside reversal. If that new trend continues, it may weigh on stock sentiment well into the future. Second, weakness in the greenback has corresponded to weakness in U.S. stocks. That may reflect capital outflows away from the U.S. as a general market. Third, the labor market has been resilient. A continuation of that strength could prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates. In other words, it could be the opposite of Goldilocks: an economy that’s too cold to drive profit growth but too warm to justify rate cuts. Given this potentially challenging mix of factors, investors may ask whether a new secular bear market has begun. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
SP:SPX
by TradeStation
1
You Won't Believe Who Saved Bitcoin: GMEThis last week was interesting to say the least but the most interesting thing to watch was the incredibly influx of volume into INDEX:BTCUSD As the week progressed into Thursday and Friday and equity markets sold off big the volume of trading in Bitcoin more than doubled... yet the price remained stagnant. A month ago I did a study of correlation and relative movements between stocks and Bitcoin to answer the question: "What would happen to Bitcoin if Stocks Crash?" The TL;DR was that 75% of all weeks exhibited a positive correlation with nearly 50% a "high" correlation. Also, when equities have sold off big over the past decade Bitcoin had sold off at least two times or more. Correlations are not an absolute and can change but this week something unique was clearly going on. If the standard correlation had been allowed to play out on Thursday INDEX:BTCUSD would have fallen more than -8% and Friday more than -11%. It would have triggered mass liquidations. But that did not happen. This was a critically important Support for Bitcoin to hold and someone knew it... enter Ryan Cohen. Michael Saylor with NASDAQ:MSTR is definitely NOT the one deploying cash to prop up Bitcoin. His buys have been entirely NOT-Strategy-ic and has mostly bought highs. He has made a virtue out of being a really bad "trader" uncaring about price and timing. That plan has not worked to push Bitcoin to new a new All Time High nor saved it from the bear trend in 2025. Cohen, however, is a renowned trader/investor that should know market structure and would have the sense to deploy cash at the perfect time. Just this week two things happened: Cohen took out a loan backed by his NYSE:GME shares and GameStop completed a convertible note offering, like Microstrategy has done, to raise 1.4 Billion in cash to buy Bitcoin. That gave him lots of cash at the critical point at the end of the week. So do they get to win? Very possible. It depends on equities. If stocks rise in the coming week then the Bitcoin correlation may resume and INDEX:BTCUSD be lifted. If the U.S. economy enters a recession, the stock market route deepens, or if they used all of their available cash to exhaustion then the plan could fail and Bitcoin will fall in sync.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by norok
9
TradeCityPro | XVS: Tracking Its Trajectory in the DeFi Space👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! In this analysis, I want to review the XVS coin, which you requested in the comments. This project is one of the DeFi projects with a market cap of $72 million, ranking 346th on CoinMarketCap. 📅 Weekly Timeframe In the weekly timeframe, as you can observe, the price started a downtrend after reaching a peak in 2021, and this trend is still ongoing. ✨ Currently, there is a consolidation box from 3.34 to 17.61, and the price has been fluctuating between these two areas for almost three years. ✔️ In the previous weekly candle, the support at 5.45 was broken, and now the price is moving towards the support at 3.34. This support is very crucial, and its breach could trigger another sharp drop. 🔽 There is also a descending trend line that the price has touched twice, and after being rejected by this trend, a significant amount of selling volume entered the market and induced a momentum that led to the breach of the 3.34 support. 📈 For XVS to turn bullish, the only trigger we have for now is the break of the trend line and the activation of its trigger. The trend line trigger is currently at 9.09. However, if the price creates a new structure, we might confirm a bullish turn sooner. 🛒 For buying in spot, the first trigger is the break of 9.09, which is considered a risky trigger in this timeframe. The main trigger is after 17.61. ⚡️ However, as I have mentioned in recent Bitcoin analyses, altcoin triggers and even the Total2 in spot don't currently hold much significance. For buying altcoins in spot, we should wait until Bitcoin dominance turns bearish. 📅 Daily Timeframe Let's move to the daily timeframe to observe the details of the price movement more closely. 🧩 In this timeframe, we have a curved trend line that the price has hit several times and fallen. ⭐ Currently, after breaking 4.95, we can apply a Fibonacci Extension to find potential support areas. The price has reached the 0.618 level and has tested it. This area might be able to prevent further price falls. Otherwise, the next supports will be at the 0.786 and 1 Fibonacci levels, with the 1 area overlapping with the 3.34 support. 💥 The RSI oscillator is close to oversell and if this oscillator break the 30 level,it will support the bearish movement. 🔼 For buying or a long position, a suitable trigger is the 6.25 area, which is both a significant support and the last peak formed after breaking the 4.95 floor. The main trigger for the start of the primary bullish trend will be at 11.79. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
by tradecitypro
2
SPXUSDT manipulated rise before the fallThe market is pulling back after a strong drop in the Asian session. At the moment, while bitcoin is showing -2%, BINANCE:SPXUSDT.P is accelerating by 15% in the hunt for liquidity. Possible entry into liquidity zone and false resistance breakout False resistance breakout 1) 0.5473 2) 0.6689 Market is bearish, no hint of growth A pullback is forming with the aim of accumulation or liquidity before continuing the fall The fall may continue after the bitcoin correction is over
Short
by AndeWave
3
AUD/USD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG Hello, Friends! AUD/USD pair is trading in a local downtrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 9H timeframe the pair is going down too. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 0.622 area. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
by EliteTradingSignals
1
NZD/USD BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG Hello, Friends! We are going long on the NZD/USD with the target of 0.568 level, because the pair is oversold and will soon hit the support line below. We deduced the oversold condition from the price being near to the lower BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is red and gives us a counter-signal. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
by EliteTradingSignals
1
EURUSD, Bullish Bias, Fundamental and Technical AnalysisFundamental Analysis 1. Endogenous factors of EURO is getting better while USD is down 2. Seasonality shows EURO bullish in April while USD bearish 3. increased pressure of interest rate cut in USD in also leading towards DXY bearish 4. COT data shows net increase in EUR and decrease in USD 5. Sentiments shows bullish in EUR 11/8, while USD is 4/5. 6. LEI, Endogenous and Exogenous factors all in favor of Bullish momentum in EURUSD. Technical Analysis 1. Cup and Handle Formation 2. Breakout appeared 3. Breakout Retest 4. Buy in parts i. Long 1% at current price ii. Long 1% @ 1.09017 5. Stop loss below Handle 6. Projection Target 1.165 7. Take profit on Major resistance levels
Long
by itsrohansaeed
Just In: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) Dip 1,300 PointsOverview The Dow Jones Industrial Average, also known as the DJIA or simply the Dow, is a market index frequently used to gauge the overall performance of the U.S. stock market. Indexes like the DJIA track the prices of a group of securities. The Consumer index saw a downtick of 1300 points representing a 5.5% dip. This was days after Donald Trump declared a new set of tariffs targeting 185 countries, including major U.S. trading allies. Tariffs Concern The US stocks are poised to continue their bloodbath as futures signaled more fear over President Donald Trump's tariffs. Administration officials and Trump himself signaled on Sunday that they won't back down from their aggressive decisions. Meanwhile, an inflation report is due later this week as well as bank earnings. Wall Street remained in fear mode over President Donald Trump's tariffs on Sunday evening as futures pointed to more steep losses. The S&P 500 futures also sank 3.9% and Nasdaq futures dived 4.9%. That follows a devastating week that saw the worst selloff since the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic. Similarly, the 10-year Treasury yield dropped 8.5 basis points to 3.906%, and US crude oil prices fell 3.7% to $59.72 a barrel. Countries affected by the tariff rates are: China (34%), the European Union (20%), and Japan (24%). Fitch Ratings estimated that the effective tariff rate could hit 25% on average — the highest in more than 115 years. In an X post on Sunday, Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers cautioned, saying there's a very good chance of more market turbulence similar to what was seen on Thursday and Friday. Those sessions represented the fourth largest two-day drop in the last 85 years, Summer said. The selloff wiped out about $6 trillion in market cap. “A drop of this magnitude signals that there’s likely to be trouble ahead, and people ought to be very cautious,” Summers wrote. Meanwhile, Trump administration and the president himself defended the tariffs. Technical Outlook as of the time of writing, the The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) Dip index point is down 5.5% trading in tandem with the support point that aligns with the 38,000 points. On a bearish case scenario, a break below this axis could be canning for the stock market as it will lead to panic selling in the industries concerned. Similarly, should the bulls manage to thrust the DJI points up to the 42,000 points, we should experience a respite from the bears and possibly increased momentum might sent the stocks soaring higher. With the RSI at 23, this is hinting to a weak momentum with more downside ahead.
TVC:DJI
by DEXWireNews
Oil at the Edge: Final Wave or One More Drop?🛢 Brent ICEEUR:BRN1! TVC:UKOIL FX:UKOIL has been correcting for nearly two years since its 2022 high — but looking at the current wave structure, we may be approaching the end of this cycle. 📌 Base Scenario We’re likely in a classic ABC correction, with wave B being quite extended. The current wave C looks like a developing ending diagonal, and we may now be inside its final legs. In this case, Brent could dip into the $60–65 range before a potential trend reversal kicks in. 🔄 Alternative Scenario If wave B was shallower than expected, we might be seeing a shorter wave C as well. That would mean Brent could bottom around current levels or slightly lower — with less downside left in play. 💡 Macro Factors That Still Support Oil: Global demand isn’t falling — especially in Asia and emerging markets. OPEC+ remains active, limiting supply and stabilizing price action. Geopolitical tensions and logistical bottlenecks keep risk premiums alive. Monetary easing cycles in the US and EU could soon put commodities back in the spotlight. 🧭 So, What’s the Play? Regardless of the exact path, a major collapse looks unlikely. The final leg down may actually be a buying opportunity for long-term bulls. Targets and potential entry zones are highlighted on the chart — now it’s all about watching how wave C wraps up.
TVC:UKOIL
by shakatrade1_618
4
Skeptic | EUR/USD: Long and Short Triggers Ahead – Key LevelsWelcome back, guys! 👋 I'm Skeptic. Today, we're diving deep into EUR/USD , breaking down the current structure and upcoming trade opportunities. 🔍 Recap & Current Structure: As mentioned in our previous analysis , after breaking the descending trendline and pulling back, we had created a higher high, indicating a potential move toward the top of the box at 1.09453. Our long trigger at 1.08454 played out well, reaching a 2.77 % upward move! If you followed the idea, you saw the results! Currently, after breaking resistance at 1.09418 , we saw a pullback , and it's now acting as support. We also have a new resistance at 1.10892 , along with a higher high that confirms the uptrend. I’m still looking for long triggers as long as the trend remains intact. However, as we always say, it's crucial to be skeptical and analyze the market from both sides. So, in the coming days, I’ll keep an eye out for both long and short triggers, depending on how the price moves. 📈 Bullish Scenario (Long Setup): Trigger: Break & close above 1.10892 Confirmation: 7 SMA below the candle during the breakout + RSI entering overbought Invalidation: Rejection + close back below 1.09418 📉 Bearish Scenario (Short Setup): Trigger: Rejection at 1.10213 + drop below 1.09418 Confirmation: RSI entering below 42.22 ⚠️ Key Notes: Risk Management : Avoid overleveraging—wait for confirmed breaks before entering. Stay sharp, and I’ll see you in the next analysis!
by SkepticWise
1
S&P 500: Historic Crash or Just Another Chance?Let’s be real: What’s happening with the S&P 500 right now is rare. This is only the fourth time in history that the index has dropped more than 10% in two days (technically three, including today’s Monday session). The other times? October 1987, November 2008 during the financial crisis, and March 2020 during the pandemic crash. And now? We’re seeing a similar drop, this time triggered by a global tariff war , stoked by the U.S. and other governments playing chicken to see who folds first. Yeah, it sucks. It hurts. But it could also be a hell of an opportunity. We just tagged the 4,800 level —a place many didn’t expect to see this quickly. Neither did I. But here we are. The untapped VWAP got hit, and this might very well be the start of Wave A. Could we go lower? Absolutely. There’s a monthly Fair Value Gap around $4,500, and a drop to $4,250 isn’t out of the question either. But here’s the thing: it depends entirely on your perspective. If you’re trading on the 30-minute chart, this is a full-blown crisis. But zoom out to the daily, weekly, or monthly chart—and it’s just market noise. Pull up the log chart from 1953 to 2025 in the top left corner. We’ve seen this before. A handful of times. And on that scale? Nobody cares. If you’re in the game to build long-term wealth, this moment is just another temporary shakeout. If you’re doing dollar-cost averaging, this is exactly where you want to be adding—not panicking. The market doesn’t care about your plan. It forces you to adapt. You can’t fight it, only flow with it. And if you’re in it for the long haul? This is just noise. Ignore it, zoom out – and stay the course.
FX:SPX500Long
by stromm