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USDJPY - Support Holding Strong!📈USDJPY has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. This week, USDJPY has been bearish trading within the falling red wedge and it is currently rejecting the lower bound of it! Moreover, the orange zone is a strong support. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the lower red trendline and orange support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #USDJPY is around the blue circle zone, I will be looking for trend-following bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
2
Let the Chart Speak — 117,384 Is the LineLet the Chart Speak — 117,384 Is the Line 📉📈 #ChartIsAlwaysBoss This chart says everything. No politics, no hype — just levels and probabilities. 🎥 Today's video is a full breakdown — everything you need to know ahead of the Fed's decision. Watch it if you're serious about what comes next. We’ve officially entered Orangeman vs The Federal Reverse: Season 2, Episode 1 (2024–2028) — but we don’t trade politics. We trade the chart. 📍 BTC Key Levels 🔸 117,384 = Line in the sand 🔸 118,400 = Confirmation breakout 🔻 Below = short bias 🔺 Above = bullish bias 📊 Rate Cut Scenarios: 🟢 0.50% Cut → 90% breakout → Target: 138,888 🔵 0.25% Cut → 60% breakout → Moderate pump 🔴 No Cut → 95% rejection probability → Target: 100,831 It’s that simple. We don’t need to predict — we just need to follow structure. I’ve shared this same chart since early 2023. It's done its job. It still does. Trade Plan: ✔️ Long above 117,384 ✖️ Short below 117,384 No need to complicate it. Food for Thought 🍃 “Markets move fast. But structure is slow, steady, and always right in front of you. In the end — the chart is always boss .” Disclaimer: Everything shared here is opinion-based and for discussion purposes. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Long
by FX_Professor
Orangeman vs The Federal Reverse: Season 2 E1 (2024–2028)Orangeman vs The Federal Reverse: Season 2 E1 (2024–2028) 🎬🐂 Video Live: The build-up is real. The tension is high. And history is whispering through the charts. 🕰️📉 We’re standing at the gates of Season 2 . The Orange Man is back in the headlines. The Federal Reverse faces pressure once again . And Bitcoin? It’s sitting exactly at the same kind of resistance we saw during Season 1. 📺 Flashback: Season 1 (2018–2020) 2018–2019: Trump launched a media war on the Fed July 2019: First rate cut → small BTC pump By the third cut in Oct 2019: Relief faded, markets failed March 2020: Emergency slashes during COVID triggered macro chaos It was a classic: Tweet wars, trade tension, temporary pumps, then full-blown reversals. 📍 Now — it’s 2025. We’re now in Season 2 yet... But the script is being written in real time . The next FOMC decision is the catalyst. 🟨 BTC is facing the same structure as back then: 117,384 = decision level 118,400 = confirmation breakout 📉 If no cut → likely rejection → 100,831 possible 📈 If 0.25% cut → 60% chance breakout → target 138K+ 🚀 If 0.50% cut → 90% breakout probability — and maybe more Season 2 might echo the past… or it might flip the script entirely. Either way, the market remembers. My chart plan remains simple: ✔️ Long above 117,384 ❌ Short below 117,384 📊 Let the Fed speak, but let price decide. Trading Wisdom 📜 “Politics creates noise. Monetary policy shapes the trend. But the chart — the chart reveals the truth before the headlines do.” Disclaimer: My posts reflect personal observations, not instructions to buy or sell. I am not a financial advisor. Trading carries risk, and only you are responsible for your results. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Long
by FX_Professor
Federal Reserve Time: Rate Cut Decision AheadFederal Reserve Time: Rate Cut Decision Ahead 🕰️📉📈 Chart: Today is not just another day — it’s Federal Reserve Day , and Bitcoin is coiled at a key inflection point. The chart? It’s loud and clear: We’re sitting directly at the 117,384 resistance — the same major S/R level we've tracked since March 2023. 📍 🎯 If the Fed delivers a 0.25% cut (which CME odds say is 94% likely): ✅ 60% chance of breakout 🎯 Target: 138,888 But... 🔥 A surprise 0.50% cut could mean a 90% breakout probability and clean push through 118,400. On the flip side... ⚠️ No rate cut? Expect fireworks — and not the good kind. That sets us up for a potential rejection with 95% chance of downside toward 100,831 . 💡 My plan is simple and level-based: Long above 117,384 Short below 117,384 We’ve seen this movie before. 2019 rate cuts under Trump triggered brief rallies, but the long-term move was muted. History rhymes — but price action leads. Mindset Check 🧘 "Markets thrive on expectation, not news. Most trades are won before the announcement — on the chart, not on the feed." One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclaimer: Everything shared here is opinion-based and for discussion purposes. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
Long
by FX_Professor
Gold(XAUUSD)Breakout Above Descending Triangle–Bullish MomentumGold (XAUUSD) has successfully broken out of the descending triangle and cleared the trendline resistance. Price has also shown multiple BOS (Break of Structure) signals, confirming strong bullish momentum. Currently, price is retesting the breakout zone near $3,670 – $3,675, which may serve as a key support area. As long as this level holds, we can expect continuation to the upside toward the next resistance around $3,700 – $3,710. 📌 Key Highlights: Breakout from descending triangle BOS confirmation on lower highs and higher highs Retest of support zone in progress Bullish continuation expected if support holds This is a technical analysis idea for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ProfitMagnet-Pro
11
EURGBP Pre NY Forecast - Q3 | W38 | D17 | Y25|📅 Q3 | W38 | D17 | Y25| 📊 EURGBP Pre NY Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:EURGBP
Long
by JCFRGNT
Micron: AI Memory Powerhouse Amid #AI and #TechnologyMicron: Undervalued AI Memory Powerhouse Amid #AI and #Technology Trends Explosion? $175 Target in Sight? Micron (MU) shares hit a new 52-week high of $158.28 today, up 1.2% amid surging AI data center demand and institutional buying, with the stock soaring 86.8% YTD on memory chip tailwinds. As Q4 fiscal 2025 earnings loom on September 23—projecting 58% EPS jump to $1.29 on $8.7B revenue—analysts have hiked targets to $175, implying 10%+ upside. Just as #AI racks up 17K mentions and #technology trends with 46K on X today (fueled by AI video generators and chip hype), Micron's HBM3E tech for Nvidia GPUs positions it as the undervalued play in the $200B+ semiconductor memory market. But with forward P/E at 12x, is MU set to ride the AI wave higher, or will supply gluts cap the rally? Let's unpack the fundamentals, SWOT, charts, and setups for September 17, 2025. Fundamental Analysis Micron's resurgence is driven by AI hyperscaler demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM), with Q2 fiscal 2025 revenue hitting $9.3B (up 93% YoY) and data center sales doubling to $2.2B. Analysts forecast 2025 revenue of $38.5B (up 50% YoY), as HBM capacity ramps to 250K wafers amid #AI trends exploding on social media. Trading at 18% below fair value per DCF, MU's undervaluation shines with gross margins rebounding to 37%—but cyclical DRAM risks could flare if PC demand softens. - **Positive:** - AI boom ties into today's #technology hype, with HBM3E sales projected at $2.5B in FY2025; institutional stakes rising signal confidence. - Q2 EPS beat of $1.18 (vs. $1.00 est.) and $1.6B FCF undervalues the stock at 12x forward earnings vs. sector 25x. - Broader trends in edge AI and automotive chips position MU for 20%+ CAGR, amplified by #AI video generator virality. - **Negative:** - Inventory overhang from prior cycles could pressure pricing, clashing with #technology optimism if China trade tensions escalate. - High capex ($8B annually) strains balance sheet if AI adoption slows amid economic jitters. SWOT Analysis **Strengths:** Leadership in DRAM/NAND with 20%+ market share; AI-optimized HBM tech generates 50%+ gross margins, amplified by #AI relevance in data centers. **Weaknesses:** Cyclical exposure to consumer electronics; $7.8B net debt limits agility in a volatile #technology market. **Opportunities:** HBM ramp to meet Nvidia/AMD demand unlocks $5B+ revenue; undervalued at 12x P/E amid 58% EPS growth and #AI boom on X. **Threats:** Supply chain disruptions from geopolitics; competition from Samsung/SK Hynix capitalizing on #technology trends. Technical Analysis On the daily chart, MU is in a parabolic uptrend, breaking 52-week highs after consolidating above $140 support, with volume exploding on AI news and mirroring #AI volatility spikes. The weekly shows a cup-and-handle breakout from summer lows, now accelerating higher. Current price: $158.28, with VWAP at $156 as intraday pivot. Key indicators: - **RSI (14-day):** At 74, overbought but fueled by momentum—watch for consolidation amid #technology surges. 📈 - **MACD:** Bullish crossover with surging histogram, confirming AI-driven acceleration; minimal divergence. ⚠️ - **Moving Averages:** Price crushing 21-day EMA ($145) and 50-day SMA ($130), golden cross locked in. Support/Resistance: Key support at $150 (recent breakout and 50-day SMA), resistance at $165 (Fib extension) and $175 (analyst target). Patterns/Momentum: Cup-and-handle targets $200; strong buy signals. 🟢 Bullish signals: Volume on earnings hype. 🔴 Bearish risks: Overbought RSI could pull back 5-8% on profit-taking. Scenarios and Risk Management - **Bullish Scenario:** Smash $165 on earnings beat or #AI catalyst targets $175 short-term, then $200 by year-end. Buy dips to $150 for entries tied to tech trends. - **Bearish Scenario:** Breach $150 eyes $140 (200-day EMA); supply news amid #technology fade could retrace 10%. - **Neutral/Goldilocks:** Range-bound $150–$165 if data mixed and #AI cools, ideal for straddles pre-earnings. Risk Tips: Set stops 3% below support ($145.50) to tame volatility. Risk 1-2% per trade. Diversify with NVDA or SMH to hedge semi correlations. Conclusion/Outlook Overall, a bullish bias if MU holds $150, supercharged by today's #AI and #technology trends, cementing its undervalued status with 40%+ upside on memory demand. But watch September 23 earnings for confirmation—this fits September's chip rotation amid viral AI hype. What’s your take? Bullish on MU amid #AI chip trends or fading the rip? Share in the comments!
NASDAQ:MU
by DCAChampion
Dealing Ranges - Powerful filter tool to your tradingHello Traders today. I ll break down for you how to enter on a pullback with high accuracy and not being stopped out by using a fibonacci in other words a Dealing range. A Dealing Range forms when price takes out both a swing high and a swing low, followed by a clear expansion move. That expansion swing becomes the dealing range. • By dividing the dealing range in half, we get two zones: • Discount region (lower half) – where buying opportunities are typically more favorable. • Premium region (upper half) – where selling opportunities are typically more favorable. • You can think of a dealing range as similar to a PD Array Matrix, but specifically applied to expansion swings rather than consolidation phases. On the example bellow I drew a Dealing range. If I took the long from the key level in the premium the trade would fail. But if waited for the key level in discount I could get much better RR and explosive move vice versa is happening on the bearish order flow charts. Check on your charts So why is this situation on the above happening quite often? It's simple - Liquidity. Market makers needs liquidity to fill their orders so they print nice trade opportunities in the premium where trader enter this setup, for trend continuation. Setup is technically right. But by placing the trades in premium they creates a stop loss cluster = liquidity in the discount. Then this happen - price go for the liquidity of early buyers in the premium hits key level in the discount and it continue with the trend. Im not saying that key levels in the premium cant work, in the strong trend there is no always pullback to the discount. But by applying Dealing ranges you will get: Less but more accurate trades Higher Risk reward setups You can build HTF narrative Use it for targets Better risk management Remember, there is not always a key level in the premium and pullback to the discount is not enough. Trade must go from a key level. So if there is not a key level in the premium price is often retracing to the discount key level in order to create a liquidity around a key level price makes a false break which sucks traders in to the market and create a liquidity on a key level. Dont enter if price is not going from key level its a trap. Time frame alignments Always use 2 timeframes Higher time frame (HTF) and Lower timeframe (LTF) • Higher Timeframe (HTF) = Dealing ranges • Lower Timeframe (LTF) = Market Profiles / Profiling Timeframe sequence HTF Monthly - LTF - Daily / H4 HTF Weekly - LTF - H4 / H1 HTF Daily - LTF H1/ M15 HTF H4 - LTF M15 / M5 Im giving 2x LTF options because sometimes you need to scale lower timeframe to understand price action and best entries. However for the confirmations you can do well with the main sequence of first two. Apply this rule to any markets. Im adding links to few examples from stocks, crypto an FX where you can see application of this concept. Click to charts to open them and see how price behave in discount and premium. Examples from successful Tradingview Ideas Tesla pullback to the discount - Low created in discount ATH most likely coming Bitcoin pullback to the discount - Followed by expansion to ATH Palantir pullback to the discount - followed by expansion to ATH Bitcoin pullback to the Discount - followed by expansion GBPCHF - Targeting Liquidity in the discount Hope this help you in your trading journey. Let me know in the comments David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
Education
by David_Perk
33
Eli Lilly: Weight-Loss Giant Amid AI Drug Discovery Eli Lilly: Undervalued Weight-Loss Giant Amid AI Drug Discovery and Virginia Jobs Boom Trends? $1050 Target in Sight? Eli Lilly (LLY) shares are trading at $755.39 today, up 0.45% amid analyst upgrades and fresh headlines on its $2.3 billion Virginia manufacturing plant expansion, creating 650 high-paying jobs in Goochland County. This comes as Q2 2025 earnings showcased 36% revenue growth to $11.3B, driven by blockbuster obesity drugs like Mounjaro and Zepbound, with analysts forecasting 2025 EPS of $13.14—up 20% YoY. Just as #AI and #technology explode on X with 17K+ mentions today (fueled by AI video generators and drug discovery hype), and #business trends spotlight corporate expansions like Eli Lilly's Virginia move, LLY's AI-powered R&D pipeline positions it for viral growth in the $100B+ weight-loss market. But with a forward P/E of 28x, is LLY the undervalued pharma powerhouse ready for a rally to $1050, or will patent cliffs and competition temper the upside? Let's break down the fundamentals, SWOT, charts, and setups for September 17, 2025. Fundamental Analysis Eli Lilly's momentum is anchored in its GLP-1 dominance and innovative pipeline, with the Virginia plant bolstering U.S. production amid supply constraints for weight-loss drugs. Analysts expect 2025 revenue of $47.3B (up 18% YoY), powered by approvals for oral obesity pills and oncology breakthroughs like Verzenio. With #AI trends surging on X, LLY's use of machine learning in drug design (e.g., accelerating lung cancer therapies) undervalues its tech edge, trading 18% below fair value per DCF models. However, regulatory hurdles for new GLP-1s could delay peaks if biosimilar competition ramps up. - **Positive:** - Virginia plant announcement drives job creation buzz, aligning with #business trends and signaling supply chain resilience for 20%+ EPS growth. - Q2 beat with $2.9B in Mounjaro sales; AI integrations in R&D tie into today's #AI hype, projecting $100B+ peak sales for obesity franchise. - Broader trends in personalized medicine and #technology (19K mentions) position LLY for 15% annual revenue CAGR amid global demand. - **Negative:** - Patent expirations on key drugs like Humalog loom by 2026, clashing with #AI optimism if innovation lags. - High R&D spend ($10B+ annually) pressures margins if trial delays hit, especially in a sticky inflation environment. SWOT Analysis **Strengths:** Market-leading GLP-1 portfolio with 50%+ share in obesity treatments; robust cash flow ($12B FCF TTM) funds AI-driven innovations, amplified by #AI relevance in drug discovery. **Weaknesses:** Premium valuation at 28x forward P/E amid growth dependency; supply bottlenecks exposed by demand surges, vulnerable in #technology-shifting markets. **Opportunities:** Virginia expansion for 650 jobs taps #business trends; AI for faster trials unlocks $50B+ in new therapies, undervalued at 18% below fair value amid #AI boom. **Threats:** Biosimilar erosion from Novo Nordisk rivals; regulatory scrutiny on weight-loss ads during viral #technology discussions on social media. Technical Analysis On the daily chart, LLY is in a bullish uptrend, coiling in an ascending channel after bouncing from $740 support, with volume rising on plant news and mirroring #AI volatility spikes. The weekly confirms a multi-year bull flag from 2023 lows, now extending higher. Current price: $755.39, with VWAP at $752 as intraday pivot. Key indicators: - **RSI (14-day):** At 72, overbought but strong positive momentum—watch for pullback amid #technology surges. 📈 - **MACD:** Bullish crossover with expanding histogram, signaling acceleration; no divergence yet. ⚠️ - **Moving Averages:** Price above 21-day EMA ($745) and 50-day SMA ($730), golden cross intact for medium-term bull. Support/Resistance: Key support at $740 (recent low and 50-day SMA), resistance at $770 (September high) and $800 (analyst target). Patterns/Momentum: Channel breakout targets $850; strong buy signals. 🟢 Bullish signals: Volume on #business news. 🔴 Bearish risks: RSI overbought could retrace 5% on profit-taking. Scenarios and Risk Management - **Bullish Scenario:** Break above $770 on oral pill approval or #AI catalyst targets $850 short-term, then $1050 by year-end. Buy dips to $740 for entries tied to Virginia jobs hype. - **Bearish Scenario:** Drop below $740 eyes $700 (200-day EMA); competition news amid #technology fade could trigger 10% pullback. - **Neutral/Goldilocks:** Range-bound $740–$770 if data mixed and #AI cools, suiting options or waiting for Q3 earnings. Risk Tips: Use stops 2% below support ($725) to manage volatility. Risk 1-2% per trade. Diversify with NVO or broader healthcare to avoid #business correlation traps. Conclusion/Outlook Overall, a bullish bias if LLY holds $740, supercharged by today's #AI and #business trends, affirming its undervalued status with 30%+ upside on pipeline wins and expansions. But watch FDA updates and Q3 guidance for confirmation—this fits September's healthcare rotation amid viral tech hype. What’s your take? Bullish on LLY amid #AI drug trends or waiting for a dip? Share in the comments!
NYSE:LLYLong
by DCAChampion
Gold corrects ahead of rate cut (bullish) Gold is rebounding from trend resistance ahead of the new week. The market was not ready to buy at high prices ahead of a possible Fed interest rate cut. Under pressure from sellers, the price of gold is falling to retest trend support. The price attraction zone is support at 3657-3646. Below this area, there is an accumulation of trader positions that may be liquidated before the price begins to rise. As for the Fed, rates are likely to be cut, but it will be necessary to monitor what Powell says about future policy. If he supports 2-3 interest rate cuts, gold may continue its global growth...
FX:XAUUSDLong
by AndeWave
5
COFFEE At Crossroads: Up or down?COFFEE has seen a strong impulse to the upside. But guess what? Now price is being coiling into a tight triangle. In this case, there are two scenarios possible, and taking into account that the market conditions are bullish, I am more inclined to say that the price will break to the upside of the triangle formation. Do you agree? Drop a comment below. Engaging with the TradingView community is always helpful to improve and grow as traders. Not financial advice, just sharing my thoughts on the charts. Trade safely 😊
PEPPERSTONE:COFFEE
by TrendDiva
26
Double Top formation on AUDCAD - Risky, okay?Price made a strong rally on AUDCAD, climbing aggressively. But now, we’re spotting a possible Double Top formation, two peaks at roughly the same level. At first glance, this looks like a bearish setup. But here’s the caution: in the context of such a powerful uptrend, a Double Top can be tricky. Sometimes, it’s just a pause before buyers push even higher. We can say that the neckline broke rather cleanly, with strong confirmation, but I don't see that much conviction yet from the sellers. Buyers could come back, and the uptrend continues. This is what makes it risky. Above, there’s a strong resistance zone, and that’s exactly where price could be heading next. So, don’t jump in too early. Because fading a strong trend is always risky business… or should I say risky biscuit?
Short
by TrendDiva
15
Central bank week ahead!Central bank week ahead! We've got interest rate decisions out from the Bank of Canada, FED, Bank of England and Bank of Japan. BoC 17/09 - 25bps cut 94% - First on the chopping board is the BoC who are set to reduce interest rates by 0.25%. This comes amid steady inflation, holding below the 2% target and below recent expectations for an increase, currently at 1.9%. They've also seen unemployment rising to 7.1%, the highest level since 2021. The BoC has acknowledged the weakening labour market but are expected to follow a wait and see approach after todays cut. Current rates 2.75% FED 17/09 - 25bps cut 98% - The FED's first rate decision after some very rocky labour market data and a surprise dovish tilt from Powell at Jackson Hole. Inflation remains sticky but the FED has stated that their current focus is set on labour market weakness. As well as the rates, we will also receive updated economic and interest rate projections, likely to carry much more weighting and longer term direction. In the economic projections we'll be looking out for the dot plot, GDP, employment and inflation to gauge future expectations for FED rates. This could undermine or support the rate cuts to trade with caution. Current rates 4.25-4.50% BoE 18/09 - HOLD 100% - The BoE is set to hold rates steady at 4.00% amid elevated inflation data and recently positive labour market data. Inflation data came in lower than consensus earlier this week but still remains well above target at 3.8%. In the previous BoE meeting we saw a surprise hawkish tilt in the way of MPC voting. 2 members shifted from voting to cut to voting for a hold and the scales are expected to remain fairly heavy on the hold side tomorrow. The member voting and minutes will provide much needed context to the potential hold to come. Current rates 4.00% BoJ 19/09 - HOLD 87% - Rounding a busy week off with the BoJ who is set to hold rates at 0.50%. There has been some hawkish comments from the BoJ in recent times as inflation holds around 3.1% and unemployment recovers from 2.5% to 2.3% but amid political turbulence a bold move from the BoJ in this decision is less likely. However the other potential would be for a surprise rate hike with a current probability of 11%. The BoJ is no stranger to surprises so will be looking out for any action or comments made to support future JPY strength or weakness. Current rates 0.50% These fresh rates provide the opportunity for divergences between monetary policy. This could park the continuation higher for pairs such as EURUSD and GBPUSD if the fed sticks to a more dovish tilt and supports this in their economic projections. Other currency pairs such as AUDCAD and AUDNZD provide some clear divergence with the RBA holding higher rates and the BoC and RBNZ cutting with lower rates. Any clear pullbacks within these assets could provide opportunity to get long and hold through for a bigger move
CAPITALCOM:US100Education
by ElGore18
SET UP TRADE I SEP/17/2025🕯BUY GOLD: 3680 – 3682 ⚠️SL: 3678 ✔️TP: 3687→ 3691→ 3694 As shared, I gave a BUY setup right at support with a tight 40 pips SL – a solid plan based on structure and risk management. ⛔️ But the market suddenly dropped hard and broke the support zone, triggering the SL. 👉 That’s part of trading — probability is always involved. ✅ What matters most is how we adapt: ➡️ When the support broke, I immediately changed the plan — shifted to looking for SELL setups and prepared to BUY again at better value zones. Let’s be honest: Hitting SL is part of trading. But what truly matters is: 👉 Are you calm and clear enough to shift your plan when the market changes? ⚠️ The market is a variable, not something we can control. 🚫 Holding onto a BUY or SELL position without SL is not strategy — it’s recklessness. 💡 My golden rules: Respect Stoploss – it’s how you stay in the game Adapt to market shifts – don’t get stuck in your bias Keep a clear head – the next opportunity always comes
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TraderX_68