BITCOIN BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 84,174.20
Target Level: 80,643.17
Stop Loss: 86,519.44
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Contains image
GBP/JPY SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GBP/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 193.172
Target Level: 187.511
Stop Loss: 196.946
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
2 April Liberation Day: USA-Europe War Impact on ForexHi, I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about an event that is shaking global markets: the tariff war between the United States and Europe.
Sunday, April 2, we started in force and new American news, celebrating "Liberation Day" by President Donald Trump. These data, which include 25% tariffs on your steel, aluminum and automobiles, look to rebalance the trade deficit of the United States. However, Europe is not ready to be saved. Ursula von der Leyen, president of the European Commission, has said that Europe has not started this matter, but is ready to defend its interests with a strong plan for control2.
The tension between the economic power has caused a significant impact on the market. The European stock exchange has not recorded consistent losses, with Milan having lost 16.4 million euros. Europe has responded with tariffs to its strategic American products, such as whiskey, motorcycles and legumes, and is evaluating further measures to protect its own industry4.
Forex Impact
This commercial war will bring about repercussions directly on the Forex market. Here's what to expect:
Removal of the American Dollar (USD): Protectionist tariffs tend to reforce the dollar, as they reduce the command of foreign currencies for imports. In addition, the increase in the price could lead the Federal Reserve to modify its own monetary policy, increasing interest rates.
Volatility of European Currencies: The euro (EUR) may rise in pressures due to economic uncertainties and European constraints. Also the value of the Swedish crown (SEK) may be negatively influenced.
Opportunity for the Trader: The volatility generated by these tensions offers opportunities for the Forex trader. Significant movements and exchange rates can be completed with trading strategies soon, but fundamentally adopt rigorous risk management.
Conclusion
The tariff war between the United States and Europe represents a significant loss for the global economy and the Forex market. Tomorrow will be a crucial day, and the trader will not carefully monitor the resources to adapt their own strategy. Always advise me to do my own analysis and operate with prudence.
Happy trading everyone!
GOLD (XAUUSD): Detailed Support Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Rising trend line
Horizontal Structures:
Resistance 1: 3149 - 3151 area
Support 1: 3099 - 3104 area
Support 2: 3048 - 3057 area
Support 3: 3024 - 3036 area
Support 4: 2997 - 3001 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
#BTC reaches resistance zone📊#BTC reaches resistance zone✔️
🧠From a structural point of view, we have built a bullish head and shoulders structure in the green buy zone, so such a rise is very reasonable. And the market reached the resistance zone of 85000-86000 as expected.
➡️It is no problem to lock in profits after the target is achieved. Although it is currently in the resistance zone, there is no short signal, and the ideal target zone of the bullish head and shoulders structure (86500-88188) has not been achieved, so there will be some contradictions.
➡️Therefore, we need to pay attention to the short signals that appear in the resistance zone, or try to participate in some short trades after the ideal target zone is achieved, otherwise wait patiently for the callback to appear before participating in long trades, and do not chase the rise in the resistance zone.
Let's see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
2772.38 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 2772.38 is broken.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 2832.55 on 02/28/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 3100.00, 3150.00, 3200.00 and more heights is expected.
Take Profits:
2833.00
2879.11
2955.00
3000.00
3057.40
3100.00
3150.00
3200.00
__________________________________________________________________
❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView,
. . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍
. . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?)
🙏 Your support is appreciated!
Now, it's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team
BTC Dominance: We Warned You And It's HappeningHello, Skyrexians!
A lot of hating comments we received under our recent CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D analysis. Now we sure that market always go against the crowd. This is the super valuable experience and we want to say thanks to all haters. Now let's update this idea, try to understand the structure on the wave 5 drilling into lower time frame.
Let's take a look at 12h time frame. We can see that after the spike in the wave 3 price retraced with the ABC zigzag and started the new wave 5. Waves 1 and 2 inside this wave have been finished. Wave 2 reached exactly 0.61. Now we can measure wave 3 target. 1 and 1.61 are the potential target. The most realistic one is 64.7%. Then we expect the wave 4 and the last leg up into subwave 5. Always look at the divergence on the Awesome Oscillator to measure the trend end.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
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A New Approach to Market Analysis: How IA Simplifies TradingClarity on the Chart. Smart Trading Decisions
Approaches to Market Analysis and the Challenges Traders Face
When we first start trading and investing, we encounter various methods for predicting price movements. Over time—and with enough persistence, patience, and experience—we find the approach that helps us make profitable trades. Among the most popular are oscillators and channel indicators, Dow Theory, Elliott Waves, Fibonacci levels, supply and demand, Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), Market Auction Theory, and concepts like Inner Circle Trader/Smart Money Concept (ICT/SMC).
Many traders combine elements from different methods to build a strategy that works best for them. However, the road to consistent profits is rarely easy—most face similar challenges.
🔹 Lack of Knowledge and Experience
Complexity of Technical Analysis: Too many tools, conflicting signals on different timeframes, and unclear logic can be overwhelming.
No Clear Trading Plan: Many traders rely on intuition or others' advice instead of having a structured strategy.
Poor Risk Management: Ignoring capital and risk controls leads to losses.
Emotional Decision-Making: Fear and greed get in the way of sound decisions.
🔹 Time Constraints
Trading Takes Time: Analyzing charts, scanning assets, and finding entry points all require time and focus.
Slow Learning Curve: Gaining consistent results takes years of practice and study.
Can Trading Be Made Simpler and More Effective?
________________________________________
A New Perspective: The Concept of Initiative Analysis (IA)
Today I’d like to present Initiative Analysis —a concept that:
✅ Simplifies how you understand technical analysis
✅ Speeds up learning through a structured approach
✅ Reduces time spent on daily analysis
✅ Provides elements of a working trading strategy
What is IA?
Imagine looking at your chart and instead of seeing just candles, you see blocks of directional movement—called initiatives.
An initiative is the action of buyers or sellers that causes price movement. It is limited by both price range and time, which helps clearly identify who dominates the market at any given moment.
• If buyers dominate, price rises. These phases are shown with blue zones.
• If sellers dominate, price falls. These are shown with red zones.
This visual method allows you to not just see price movements, but also the underlying battle between buyers and sellers as it unfolds.
How IA Differs from Traditional Analysis
To understand how IA stands out, think about the classic tools traders use:
• Candle patterns (e.g., hammer, doji, engulfing)
• Chart figures (e.g., head and shoulders, double top, flag)
• Indicators (e.g., oscillators, moving averages, channels)
• Elliott Waves, Market Profile, Order Flow
• Smart Money Concepts (ICT/SMC)
These tools often focus on outcomes and results. Some attempt to capture the "fight" between buyers and sellers within fixed time intervals (like hourly or daily candles). Elliott Wave Theory, for example, offers a cyclical interpretation through structured wave sequences. IA, by contrast, focuses on identifying and visualizing real-time initiative without forcing a pre-defined structure. Another key distinction: IA allows for initiative shifts within a range—a buyer-to-seller transition can occur without breaking range boundaries, as often happens in sideways markets.
This new method offers a fresh lens for viewing market dynamics. Instead of dividing charts by time or volume, candles are grouped by initiative blocks, each with its own duration. Comparing these blocks helps you "read" the market—who is gaining strength and who is losing it.
Even more importantly, this approach can help predict shifts in market control and estimate potential price targets.
Look at these charts
📉 Trend
When one side controls the market strongly, we see a single background color in price ranges. In this case, it makes sense to look for trades in the direction of the move. But it’s important to check the higher timeframe for confirmation (!).
In the chart:
A blue target line means a bullish target (thin line = 1H, thick = 1D).
A red target line means a bearish target (same logic for thickness).
Targets are calculated using a custom method that includes the initiative range, candle structure inside the initiative, and traded volumes.
Once a candle crosses the target line, the target is considered reached.
If a new target appears, it will be shown.
If the price leaves the buyer zone, the blue target disappears until the price returns. Same rule for seller zones.
📉 Sideways Market (Range)
If the chart background changes between red and blue in one price range, it means the market is in consolidation (sideways) — temporary balance between buyers and sellers. In this case, targets also switch: blue = buy target, red= sell target.
🔀 Transitional Phase
Sometimes, two price zones may appear at the same time — one above (buyers), one below (sellers). This is a transition period. It may turn into a sideways range or develop into a trend.
During transitions:
It’s better to avoid trading.
Check who controlled the price before, and who is in control on the higher timeframe (this is always important).
For example, if sellers were in control before, and the higher timeframe confirms it, sellers are likely to stay dominant. However, a short-term bounce or trend reversal is possible.
With IA You Can:
✅ Identify buyer/seller initiative in real time
✅ Anticipate initiative shifts
✅ Visualize control zones and key levels
✅ Compare strength between buyers and sellers
✅ Forecast potential price targets
IA lets you objectively assess market dynamics, identify the dominant side, and estimate the most probable direction.
________________________________________
How IA Helps Solve Key Trading Challenges
📌 Complex Analysis → Simplified visual zones make market context easy to read—even for beginners.
📌 Lack of Strategy → IA covers 3 of the 5 essential trading questions (direction, entry zone, and target), and can be combined with other tools or techniques to answer the remaining two: entry timing and stop-loss placement:
Trade direction: Buy in a buyer block, sell in a seller block.
Entry zone: Buy below 50% of a buyer block, sell above 50% of a seller block.
Profit-taking: Estimate target using visualized zones.
While IA gives market context, final decisions still depend on patterns, volume, and risk management.
📌 Time Management → Visual structure saves hours of scanning and comparing charts.
“Now I scan for trade setups in 15 minutes, just by checking the visual layout. Before, I’d spend hours deciding if an asset was trending or in a range.” — trader review.
📌 Learning Speed → Think of it like driving: learning on a modern automatic car is much easier than on a 50-year-old manual. You don’t need to know how the transmission works—just how to drive.
Same with IA. It’s not an autopilot, but a powerful navigator that helps you orient in the market. IA simplifies analysis, but the trader is still responsible for decisions, risk, and mindset.
Fewer tools = faster learning. You don’t need to know how indicators are built—just how to use them.
IA focuses your attention on what matters. It reduces noise and highlights structure.
________________________________________
Final Thoughts
IA introduces a new way of analyzing markets—not just reading the result, but watching the fight unfold in real time.
It helps traders make more confident decisions, simplifies analysis, and adds structure to the chaos of the market.
Clarity on the Chart. Smart Trading Decisions.
If this approach speaks to you—share the article, leave a comment, and stay tuned for more insights in upcoming posts!
DAR – 30-Min Long Trade Setup!📈
🔹 Ticker: DAR (NYSE)
🔹 Setup Type: Triangle Breakout + Horizontal Resistance Flip
🔸 Breakout Price: ~$32.27
📊 Trade Plan (Long Position)
✅ Entry Zone: $32.15–$32.30 (breakout zone above yellow line)
✅ Stop Loss (SL): Below $30.99 (white structure support)
✅ Take Profit Targets:
📌 TP1: $33.96 (red resistance zone)
📌 TP2: $36.08 (green zone – previous swing high)
📐 Risk-Reward Analysis
📉 Risk:
$32.27 - $30.99 = $1.28
📈 Reward to TP1:
$33.96 - $32.27 = $1.69 → 1.32:1 R/R
📈 Reward to TP2:
$36.08 - $32.27 = $3.81 → 2.97:1 R/R
🔍 Technical Highlights
📌 Strong ascending triangle forming with higher lows
📌 Clean breakout above yellow resistance with bullish momentum
📌 Trendline support (pink) holding well
📌 Volume building at the breakout point = bullish confluence
⚙️ Trade Management Plan
🔄 After TP1:
— Move SL to breakeven
— Book partial profits
📈 Ride the rest to TP2 with a trailing stop
⚠️ Setup Invalidation
❌ Breakdown below $30.99
❌ Failed retest of yellow breakout zone
❌ No volume confirmation on breakout
EQT – 30-Min Long Trade Setup!📈
🔹 Ticker: EQT (NYSE)
🔹 Setup Type: Triangle Breakout + Support Retest
🔸 Breakout Price: ~$53.84
📊 Trade Plan (Long Position)
✅ Entry Zone: $53.70–$53.90 (breakout above yellow zone)
✅ Stop Loss (SL): Below $53.13 (white structure support)
✅ Take Profit Targets:
📌 TP1: $55.00 (red zone – short-term resistance)
📌 TP2: $56.27 (green zone – prior swing high)
📐 Risk-Reward Analysis
📉 Risk:
$53.84 - $53.13 = $0.71
📈 Reward to TP1:
$55.00 - $53.84 = $1.16 → 1.63:1 R/R
📈 Reward to TP2:
$56.27 - $53.84 = $2.43 → 3.42:1 R/R
🔍 Technical Highlights
📌 Breakout from symmetrical triangle (pink lines)
📌 Bullish bounce from rising support trendline
📌 Yellow zone acting as breakout retest zone
📌 Clean upside potential with volume holding
⚙️ Trade Management Strategy
🔄 After TP1:
— Move SL to breakeven
— Lock partial profits
📈 Let the rest run toward TP2 with a trail stop
⚠️ Setup Invalidation
❌ Breakdown below $53.13
❌ Weak follow-through above yellow zone
❌ Volume drop post-breakout
GEO – 30-Min Long Trade Setup!📈
🔹 Ticker: GEO (NYSE)
🔹 Setup Type: Falling Trendline Break + Support Bounce
🔸 Breakout Price: ~$29.93
📊 Trade Plan (Long Position)
✅ Entry Zone: $29.80–$29.95 (break + retest of yellow resistance zone)
✅ Stop Loss (SL): Below $29.40 (structure support / white line)
✅ Take Profit Targets:
📌 TP1: $30.68 (red zone – resistance)
📌 TP2: $31.66 (green zone – prior high)
📐 Risk-Reward Analysis
📉 Risk:
$29.93 - $29.40 = $0.53
📈 Reward to TP1:
$30.68 - $29.93 = $0.75 → 1.41:1 R/R
📈 Reward to TP2:
$31.66 - $29.93 = $1.73 → 3.26:1 R/R
🔍 Technical Highlights
📌 Break above falling trendline (pink) with volume pickup
📌 Strong ascending support (pink triangle) forming a breakout base
📌 Yellow zone = key reaction level
📌 Chart shows tightening price action before bullish expansion
⚙️ Trade Management Strategy
🟢 After TP1:
— Move SL to breakeven
— Book partial profits
📈 Hold remainder for TP2 with a trailing SL strategy
⚠️ Setup Invalidation
❌ Close below $29.40
❌ Rejection from yellow zone without volume
❌ Breaks trendline without retest confirmation
Very Interesting XRPUSDT Update: Did You Know...This is very interesting for many reasons.
How are you doing my friend in the law?
It's been a while, almost a month since we last spoke.
It is truly my pleasure to write again for you and I hope that you find this information useful in someway if not entertaining.
Whatever you do, you are awesome and you are great.
Life is the best thing the Universe has to offer and you are alive... Let's get to the chart.
Cryptocurrency Market About To Boom! —XRPUSDT
This is an XRPUSDT update on the daily (24-Hours per candle) timeframe.
Why interesting? Because I am still using the same chart I used back in February and XRPUSDT continues to trade above the 3-February low point. It is hardly necessary to highlight this on the chart but, I've done it for your convenience.
So here is the thing, I will recap because it's been a while. As long as XRPUSDT trades daily, weekly, etc., above $1.70, market conditions are strongly bullish. The longer it trades above this level the better the situation for buyers. The longer the consolidation phase, the stronger the bullish wave that follows.
Even with the upswing in January XRPUSDT has been sideways since late 2024.
We can say since December 2024 so sideways for four months. How much longer will it stay sideways?
Not much longer. Worst case scenario it goes into consolidation for another 60-90 days. That's the worst case.
Normal scenario would be 30-45 days before a major bullish impulse.
Best and most likely scenario is that the next bullish wave will start within 30 days. We are in-between the last two, the first one is out of the question for now.
Caution: If the market drops, tests and pierces $1.70 the bullish bias remains. In this type of scenario, we look at the weekly and monthly timeframes.
There was a low in early February and higher-low mid-March.
On a short-term basis, trading above $1.89, the 11-March daily low, is considered bullish. (Which means that the inverse would be considered bearish.)
There are no indications or signals coming from the chart pointing towards a new bearish-trend. None. The market has been sideways after a very strong period of growth. Current action is the consolidation of the previous move. When a bullish phase ends, we tend to see a strong decline right afterward, this happens with Crypto. When a bullish move makes a pause, we see sideways and this is what we have here. Actually, this chart is a strong one but still neutral. Neutral is the accumulation period for whales whom need months to load up. Since they purchase billions worth of Crypto, it takes time to plan and to move this money around and that's why it takes so long between each phase.
I am tracking whale alerts all of the time. Most of the money is in place. After the money exchanges hands and is positioned, there is always a small pause before the action starts. Money always moves before the action and never within the action. So the money moves, pause and then lots of price movements. While prices are moving, no big transactions are taking place, these are taking care of beforehand.
Consider the fact that there are hundreds of exchanges and everything moves simultaneously and at the same time. The only way this is possible is through long-term coordination and group planning.
What to expect?
Expect the market to heat up slowly. And after a slow rise and heating up then the bullish impulse and bull-run. It will be a long process and it will develop in many months.
If you are reading this now timing is great.
Spot traders can continue to buy and hold.
For leveraged traders, I have to look at some more charts before giving any suggestions. I will feel more comfortable when I read at least 100 charts.
Market conditions are changing and improving and it will do so long-term, but we still have one more month before May when the force will be in our favor, we are still in the sideways period, accumulation/consolidation. Boring? No! Time to study and prepare. The market gives us time to be at our best before the really good action starts and this is only good, don't you agree?
A bear-market means lower lows and lower highs long-term.
2025 is a bull-market year, likely to be the strongest ever. There is a huge difference. It is like calling night when it is day. It is like saying the sun is about to go up when the sky is ready to rain.
We are about to a see and experience a rain of cash flowing into the Cryptocurrency market and this will in turn send everything up. There is no bear market, we had a correction after a major advance and this is normal. After the correction is over we get consolidation, after consolidation prices will grow. Mark my word.
I appreciate you now and always.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
TSLA watch $253.47 (again) Golden Genesis fib to determine trendTSLA back to the Golden Genesis fib that we keep harping about.
This is a BIG deal, as the most important level of this epoc for it.
Many PINGs (exact hits) have made all traders keenly aware of it.
What happens here will say a LOT to a LOT of traders and algos.
=========================================================
Full view of the "Genesis Sequence"
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Starting over in trading- A short guideThe internet has made it easier than ever to learn trading for free. You have access to blogs, videos, books, podcasts, and more. Yet, most traders still fail.
Why?
Because there’s too much information. It’s overwhelming, confusing, and filled with conflicting advice.
So, if I had to start over from scratch, here’s exactly how I’d do it—step by step.
________________________________________
Step 1: Master Risk Management
No matter what type of trader you become—day trader, swing trader, options trader, quantitative trader, etc.—risk management is the foundation of long-term success.
It’s also one of the easiest things to master, and once you do, it will pay off for the rest of your trading career.
Risk Management Essentials:
✅ Never risk more than 1-2% of your account per trade.
✅ Always use stop losses to protect your capital.
✅ Focus on risk-to-reward ratios (aim for at least 1:2 or better).
✅ Manage position sizing properly to avoid blowing up your account.
Once you understand how to protect your capital, it’s time to expose yourself to the trading world.
________________________________________
Step 2: Learn & Explore Different Trading Styles
When you're just starting, you don’t know what you don’t know.
Your goal at this stage is to explore different trading strategies, tools, and methods.
What to Learn:
🔹 Candlestick patterns & price action
🔹 Indicators (moving averages, RSI , MACD , etc.)
🔹 Chart patterns (head & shoulders, triangles, etc.)
🔹 Market structures (support/resistance, trends, ranges)
🔹 Different trading styles (day trading, swing trading, scalping, momentum trading, etc.)
Mindset for This Phase:
🚀 Keep an open mind—don’t judge strategies too early.
🚀 Focus on learning rather than making money right away.
🚀 Accept that not everything will work for you—and that’s okay.
At this stage, your goal is not to become an expert in everything but to discover what resonates with you.
________________________________________
Step 3: Pick ONE Strategy & Go Deep
After exploring different strategies, you need to commit to ONE.
This eliminates information overload and allows you to focus on mastering a single trading method.
How to Choose a Strategy:
🔹 Does it fit your personality? (e.g., If you hate fast decision-making, avoid scalping.)
🔹 Does it match your lifestyle? (e.g., If you have a full-time job, swing trading might be better than day trading.)
🔹 Can you understand the logic behind it? (A good strategy should be simple, not overly complicated.)
Example: Mean Reversion Strategy in Stocks
• Identify stocks in an uptrend 📈
• Wait for a pullback (price moves lower)
• Enter when the stock shows signs of resuming the trend
• Sell on the next rally
By focusing on one strategy, you eliminate confusion and make faster progress.
________________________________________
Step 4: Create & Refine Your Trading Plan
Now that you have a strategy, it’s time to turn it into a structured trading plan.
Your trading plan should include:
✅ Market Conditions – When will you trade? Trending or ranging markets?
✅ Entry Rules – What signals will you use to enter a trade?
✅ Exit Rules – When will you take profits or cut losses?
✅ Risk Management – How much will you risk per trade?
💡 Example Trading Plan (Momentum Trading):
• Market: Trade only in strong uptrends.
• Entry: Buy when the price breaks above a key resistance level.
• Exit: Take profit at 2x risk, cut losses at a 1x risk.
• Risk Management: Risk only 1% of the account per trade.
A clear, structured plan removes emotion from trading and keeps you disciplined.
________________________________________
Step 5: Test Your Strategy (Before Risking Real Money)
You never know if a strategy works until you test it.
How to Test a Trading Strategy:
🔹 Backtesting – Analyze past data to see if the strategy has worked historically.
🔹 Forward Testing (Paper Trading) – Trade in a demo account without real money.
What You’ll Learn from Testing:
✔️ Does the strategy make money over time?
✔️ How often does it win vs. lose?
✔️ How big are the drawdowns?
✔️ Does it match your risk tolerance?
If the strategy performs well in testing, you now have a solid foundation to trade with real money.
If it doesn’t work, tweak and improve it—this is part of the process.
________________________________________
Final Thoughts: The Key to Long-Term Success
Starting over isn’t about finding the “perfect” system —it’s about following a structured approach.
Here’s the Path to Trading Success:
1️⃣ Master Risk Management – Protect your capital first.
2️⃣ Learn & Explore – Understand different strategies & tools.
3️⃣ Pick ONE Strategy – Focus on a proven method.
4️⃣ Create a Trading Plan – Define your rules clearly.
5️⃣ Test & Improve – Validate your strategy before going live.
🔥 Bonus Tip: Trading success is 80% psychology and 20% strategy. Stay patient, disciplined, and treat trading like a business—not a get-rich-quick scheme.
Play On LevelsRetested the Breakout Level around 180 - 185 &
Closed just above a Very Important fib level around
188.
But, 188 - 195 is Very Important Resistance as of now.
If 195 is Crossed with Good Volumes, 212 - 215 can be
touched initially.
Couple of Positive Weekly Candles with comparatively good
volumes may confirm HL on Monthly basis.
On the flip side, 175 - 184 is a Support Zone & also Double
Bottom around 175 - 176, so Short Term Traders may
expect a bounce from this level.
XAUUSD - Buy Big push down London NY
Aiming for more stops fuel to help them go higher
Nothing has changed
Tariffs still a nightmare could go on for 2 - 3 years
Good reason to cost average in like now on dips
Trying to guess exact time highs and lows as we know is pretty tricky.
Last post all morning Dips where getting brought up and then as soon as i post an idea it drops could do again who knows what the big boys wana do typical commodity trading.
Overall direction is up imagine in 5 years if u buy now.
: )
Having no position is also position- EURUSD - Official Tarrifs
Dear Traders, Investors and every interested person
I dont going to lie Im trough hard weeks maybe months after Trump became president although I’m sure you too. As of 01/04/2025 we are just few hours away to enjoy our rollercoaster ride in the amusement park of the USA GOVERMENT. Their old-new attractions is about tariffs and reciprocal tariffs.
Those who’s are not familiar what is a tariff I recommend reading this part those, whose already going to the bed and waking up with it may skip it the following section.
A **tariff** is a **tax imposed by a government on imported or exported goods**. It's one of the tools countries use in international trade policy. Here's a breakdown:
Types of Tariffs :
1. Import Tariff – tax on goods coming **into** a country. ( We are dealing with this curently)
2. **Export Tariff** – tax on goods going **out** of a country (less common).
Why Governments Use Tariffs:
Protect domestic industries by making foreign products more expensive.
Generate revenue for the government.
-Retaliate against unfair trade practices or tariffs from other countries.
Example:
If the U.S. places a **20% tariff** on imported French wine, that means any French wine imported into the U.S. will have an additional 20% tax added to its price. This makes domestic wine relatively cheaper, helping local producers compete .
___________________________________________________________________________
As of April 1, 2025, President Donald Trump has implemented or announced tariffs affecting a wide range of goods from multiple countries. Here's a summary of the current tariff measures
Tariffs on Canada and Mexico
February 1, 2025: President Trump signed executive orders imposing a 25% tariff on all goods imported from Canada and Mexico, citing concerns over illegal immigration and drug trafficking.
-March 4, 2025: These tariffs took effect, leading to retaliatory measures from both countries.
April 2, 2025: Tariffs on USMCA-compliant goods from Canada and Mexico, which had been temporarily exempted, are set to be enforced.
Tariffs on China
-February 1, 2025: An additional 10% tariff was imposed on imports from China due to the country's alleged failure to curb the export of fentanyl precursors and address money laundering activities.
March 4, 2025: The tariff rate on Chinese imports was increased to 20%
Global Tariffs - COMMING
April 2, 2025 President Trump has declared this date as "Liberation Day," marking the implementation of new tariffs aimed at addressing trade imbalances.
Reciprocal Tariffs The administration plans to enforce tariffs that match the rates other countries impose on U.S. goods, effectively applying a **20% tariff** on most imports.
Automobile Imports: A specific 25% tariff on imported passenger vehicles, light trucks, and key automobile parts is set to take effect on April 3, 2025.
Tariffs on the European Union- Because we treated very badly.....
-February 26, 2025: President Trump announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on goods imported from the European Union, with a particular focus on the automotive sector.
Secondary Tariffs on Oil Imports
March 2025: The administration has threatened secondary tariffs on countries importing oil from Russia and Iran. This means that nations purchasing oil from these countries could face U.S. tariffs if they continue such trade while also engaging with the American market.
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In case of you get lost between the dates please take look at the
Comprehensive Tariff Table – President Trump (2025)
as of 01/04/2025
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Hereafter I would like turn your attention to the period of 28/02/2025 - 19/03/2025
What caused this relentless and, for many traders, painful +5.35% upside move under 19 days?
🇩🇪 Germany has unveiled a comprehensive fiscal strategy involving substantial investments in both infrastructure and defense sectors over the next decade. Here's a breakdown of the planned expenditures:
Infrastructure Investment:
€500 Billion Special Fund : The government has established a €500 billion special fund dedicated to infrastructure and climate-related projects over a 12-year period. This fund is designed to modernize critical systems, including energy grids, transport networks, digital infrastructure, education, and healthcare facilities. Notably, €100 billion of this fund is earmarked specifically for climate action initiatives aimed at achieving carbon neutrality by 2045.
Defense Spending:
Exemption from Debt Brake: In a significant policy shift, Germany has amended its constitutional "debt brake" to exempt defense and security expenditures exceeding 1% of GDP from borrowing limits. This adjustment effectively removes the previous cap on defense spending, allowing for increased investments in military capabilities.
Projected Defense Expenditure: While exact figures may vary based on annual GDP and specific defense needs, this exemption is anticipated to facilitate approximately €400 billion in additional defense spending over the next 10 years.
This fiscal policy measures does not take place often, but honestly signs were on the market that something is cooking at the back: Someone knows something that I dont. And you neither.
XETR:DAX from 01/January/2025 was not too much reason for the steady increase in the shadow of the trade war.
FX:EURUSD just look at the price actions from 01/January/2025 till the German gov announcement.
I could not explained for myself fundamentally what is happening. Why I see huge positioning with towards the upside when we still facing measures which can push major economies in the EURO AREA as France and Germany more deeper under the water where they already been.... No economic data refuted my findings.
Anyway, after all I said to myself let’s wait meanwhile, I was shorting the EUR because I felt the possible damage of the planned measures are not correctly priced in. (Interest rate parity, industrial production under 50 ( which means contraction) and a few other things. )
03/03/2025 Thats when everything got sense. Lesson learned: If you feel something do not suppress it especially when the signs are that strongs as above mentioned period.
The effect: All Europen goverment bond yields skyrocketed TVC:DE10 TVC:FR10
Why ? The German plans means that the goverment needs money and market said well i need return so I will finance you +3% and 2,30%
Bonds market are the real drivers behind the currency movements and this case the effect was drastic. In order to buy eur denominated bonds you need euro, therefore you exchange your currency to euro.
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Tomorrow questions is whats will be new in terms of tarrifs?
I do expect that soon the inflation will edge higher in the US which can trigger US bonds yield to increase significantly, but is will lead for short term dollar gain.
USA is playing with the fire since if their avarage debt interest payments will be +5% thats will open darker boxes soon than in 2008. Much darker.
So thats why I would enjoy the short term currency gain which is autonomous and than exchange my dollar to euro everywhere.
Bitcoin will have a breakthrough in the channel!Hello, traders
Bitcoin's wave ((4)) has successfully completed a W-X-Y corrective formation. If Bitcoin manages to decisively break above the key resistance level of 88,826, it could trigger a powerful impulsive rally, potentially driving prices toward the next major targets at 95,250 - 99,508 - 109,176.
Additionally, the parallel channel's lower trendline is offering substantial support, preventing further downside movement. A strong breakout above this channel could significantly enhance bullish momentum, increasing the probability of Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs.
Don't FOMO read this!Remember to not FOMO into CRYPTOCAP:BTC and altcoins on massive green candles!
Tomorrow, the Trump tariffs will officially hit, and the market could dump!
If this happens, don't panic, but instead capitalise on the opportunity to buy the dip!
Remember, profits are made when you BUY LOW AND SELL HIGH!
Stock Of The Day / 04.01.25 / ICCT04.01.2025 / NASDAQ:ICCT #ICCT
Fundamentals. Neutral news background.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: Short Squeeze on 2nd day after a strong close in the previous session.
Premarket: Gap Up on increased volume.
Trading session : There was a pullback, which was stopped at the level of 3.70 after the initial impulse at the beginning of the session. After that, the price began to tighten to the level against the initial movement, making pullbacks, each subsequent one was smaller than the previous one. We are considering a long trade in case the level holds.
Trading scenario: pullback along the trend (false tightening) to level 3.70
Entry: 3.86 when trend line is broken upwards, tightening structure is broken
Stop: 3.66 we hide it below the level with a small reserve
Exit: Close part of the position after the impulse movement on increased volume at 12:00 p.m. We close the rest of the position at a price of 4.49 when exit down the trade range.
Risk Rewards: 1/3
P.S. In order to understand the idea of the Stock Of The Day analysis, please read the following information .
Breaking: Ethereum is Good ($EBULL) Surge 40% TodayThe price of Ethereum is Good coin ($EBULL) broke out of a falling wedge surging 40% today amidst Ethereum reclaiming $1900 pivot today. Albeit the crypto market was in a constant state of bloodbath, $EBULL shocked mainstream traders and DEGEN Maxis surging 40% to reclaim the $1M+ Market cap previously attended by the asset.
With the RSI at 60.92 and the support perfectly materialized, a 70% legged up is brewing up despite the recent breakout. With a whooping 24 hours trading volume of $32,124.71, representing a 133.40% increment in trading volume. These and many more technical factors hints at a potential 70% surge.
About ETHEREUM IS GOOD
$EBULL is here to reignite the glory of Ethereum in the memecoin universe, emphasizing the chain's unmatched legacy. With a nod to Ethereum's resilience and vitality, $EBULL invites the community to embrace their inner bull and charge forward with confidence.
ETHEREUM IS GOOD Price Live Data
The live ETHEREUM IS GOOD price today is $0.000109 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $32,915.77 USD. ETHEREUM IS GOOD is up 9.00% in the last 24 hours. The current CoinMarketCap ranking is #1887, with a live market cap of $1,093,146 USD. It has a circulating supply of 10,000,000,000 EBULL coins and a max. supply of 10,000,000,000 EBULL coins.
GBPUSD Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GBPUSD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 1.2904 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.2929
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPCAD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for GBPCAD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.8578
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.8493
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK