SPX Stalls at Resistance - Here's What I’m Watching SPX Stalls at Resistance - Here's What I’m Watching | SPX Analysis 26 Mar 2025
You know that scene in every action movie where someone’s finger hovers over the big red button… and they don’t press it?
That’s me right now.
Because once again, sitting back and waiting for a cleaner entry zone is paying off. SPX tagged the upper Bollinger Band – like a polite tap on the shoulder – but hasn’t turned with any conviction.
No pulse bars. No reversal. Just a stall.
And that, my friend, is where we earn our edge – not by reacting early, but by knowing when not to act at all.
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Deeper Dive Analysis:
Markets don’t always reward the busy. Sometimes, the biggest wins come from doing… nothing.
And today is one of those days.
📍 SPX tagged the upper Bollinger Band
⏸️ But instead of turning sharply, price paused
🚫 No bearish pulse bars yet – which means no confirmed reversal
We’re in “hover mode”.
Which, translated to trader speak, means:
"Don’t be clever. Just wait."
🎯 I’m staying bullish above 5700
🧭 But I’m not placing blind trades just to feel productive.
If price breaks and holds above 5700, I’ll consider scaling in for a bullish continuation.
If we slip back below 5700, I’ll reassess for bearish setups and pulse bar confirmation. But until then? My finger’s off the button.
Why? Because I know this pattern.
The tag-with-no-turn often just means we’re not done yet. The trend might still have gas in the tank, or it’s winding up for a more dramatic move later.
Either way, I’m not front-running it.
And honestly? Watching others flinch and overtrade while I sip tea and wait is one of life’s great pleasures. 😎
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Fun Fact
📢 In 2006, someone accidentally sold 610,000 shares of a stock instead of 1.
💡 This infamous “fat-finger trade” cost Mizuho Securities $225 million in one afternoon — and became one of the most expensive typos in trading history.
Moral of the story?
In trading – as in typing – sometimes doing nothing is smarter than doing something fast.
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NZDUSD - H4, H1 Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasTechnical analysis is on the chart!
No description needed!
OANDA:NZDUSD
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Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
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$ONDO Time to show the cardsI found the $ODNO pretty early on.
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Chainlink LINK price analysisThe 6-year trend line has been keeping the #LINK price “in play” by 4 times
The next is patience and observation.
🆗 As long as the OKX:LINKUSDT price is above the blue trend line, then the medium-term targets of $38 and $53 are still relevant.
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High Volatility Trade Management & Risk Management Strategies
With a current geopolitical uncertainty and the election of Trump, forex market and gold experience wild price fluctuations. These unpredictable swings can result in substantial losses, particularly for the beginners in trading.
In this article, I will share with you the essential trade management and risk management tips for dealing with extreme volatility in trading.
I will reveal proven strategies and techniques for avoiding losses and unexpected risks.
1. First and foremost, pay attention to the news.
The main driver of high volatility on the markets are the news , especially the bad ones.
In normal times, high impact news events are relatively rare, while in times of uncertainty their frequency increases dramatically.
Such news may easily invalidate the best technical analysis setup: any powerful support or resistance level, strong price action or candle stick pattern can be easily overturned by the fundamentals.
Trump tariffs threats against Canada made USDCAD rise by 400 pips rapidly, while the change of rhetoric quickly returned the prices to previous levels.
One you hold an active trade, monitor the news. If you see the impactful news that may affect the pair or instrument that you trade, immediately protect your position, moving stop loss to entry.
It will help you avoid losses if the market starts going against you.
2. Even constantly monitoring the news, you will not be able to protect yourself from all the surprising movements.
Sometimes your trades will quickly be closed in a loss.
Therefore, I strictly recommend measure a lot size for every trade that you take. Make sure that you risk no more than 1% of your trading account per trade. That will help you to minimize losses cased by the impactful, uncertain events.
3. The impactful events may also occur on weekend, while Forex market is closed. Such incidents can be the cause of huge gap openings.
If you hold an active trading position over the weekend, remember that your entire account can be easily blown with such gaps.
Imagine that you decided to buy EURUSD on Friday during the NY session and keep holding the position over the weekend.
A huge gap down opening would make you face huge losses, opening the market 125 pips below the entry level.
By the way, this day I received a dozen of messages from my followers that their accounts were blown with the opening gaps.
4. If you see a significant price movement caused by some events, and you did not manage to catch it, let it go.
Jumping in such movements is very risky because quite ofter correctional movements will follow quickly.
It will be much safer and better to try to be involved in a trend continuation after a pullback.
Look what happened with Gold when Trump began a new trade war.
The price started to grow rapidly. However, even during such a sentiment, 500 pips pullback occurred, giving patient traders a safe entry point for the trade.
5. In the midst of geopolitical tensions and trade wars, the markets tend to rally or fall for the extended time periods.
The best trading strategies to use to get maximum from such movements are trend-following strategies.
While reversal, counter-trend trading might be extremely risky, providing a lot of false signals.
Trend trading may bring extraordinary profits.
These trading tips, risk management and trade management strategies and secrets are tailored for cutting and avoiding losses during dark times. Empower your strategy with this useful knowledge and good luck to you in trading high volatility on Gold and Forex.
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Mastering Fibonacci Retracements & Extensions on TradingView!1. Introduction to Fibonacci in Trading
Fibonacci levels are widely used in trading to identify potential reversal zones, support, and resistance levels. These levels are derived from the Fibonacci sequence, a mathematical pattern found in nature and financial markets. Traders rely on Fibonacci retracements to find potential entry points and Fibonacci extensions to determine profit targets. The most critical area of interest is the golden pocket zone, which ranges between 0.618 and 0.65. Price often reacts strongly in this zone, either reversing or continuing its trend, making it a key level for traders to watch.
2. Key Fibonacci Levels for Trading
Several Fibonacci levels are commonly used in trading. The 0.5 level, although not an actual Fibonacci number, is often observed as a psychological retracement level. The golden pocket zone, which consists of the 0.618 and 0.65 levels, is considered the most important for potential reversals. The 0.786 level represents a deeper retracement and is frequently used by traders for more precise entries before a strong price move. On the other hand, Fibonacci extensions, such as -0.618 and -1.618, are used to project potential price targets. These levels serve as reference points for identifying support and resistance, allowing traders to make more informed trading decisions.
3. How to Draw Fibonacci Retracements on TradingView
To effectively use Fibonacci retracements, traders must first identify a swing high and a swing low on the chart. This process starts by recognizing a strong uptrend or downtrend. Once identified, the Fibonacci tool in TradingView can be used to plot retracement levels. By selecting the swing low and dragging it to the swing high in a bullish setup, or vice versa in a bearish setup, traders can visualize the key Fibonacci levels. It is essential to adjust the settings to only display 0.5, 0.618, 0.65, 0.786, -0.618, and -1.618 for better clarity. This method provides a structured approach to analyzing potential price reactions and planning trades with greater accuracy.
4. Trading Strategies Using Fibonacci Levels
A. The Golden Pocket Entry Strategy (0.618–0.65)
One of the most reliable trading strategies involving Fibonacci retracements is based on the golden pocket zone. When price retraces to the 0.618–0.65 area, traders look for confirmation signals before entering a trade. These confirmations may include bullish or bearish candlestick patterns, such as engulfing candles, pin bars, or hammer formations. Additionally, traders may use momentum indicators like RSI or MACD to identify divergences, which suggest a potential trend reversal. A spike in volume at these levels can further validate the trade setup. A typical strategy involves entering a trade within the golden pocket, setting a stop-loss slightly below the 0.786 level for risk management, and targeting Fibonacci extensions for profit-taking.
B. Fibonacci Extensions (-0.618 & -1.618) for Profit Targets
Fibonacci extensions serve as valuable tools for setting take-profit levels in trending markets. Once price confirms a reversal from a retracement level, traders use extensions to project future price movements. The -0.618 extension is often considered a conservative target, providing an early profit-taking opportunity. Meanwhile, the -1.618 extension is a more aggressive target, generally used in strong trends where price momentum is high. By integrating Fibonacci extensions into their strategy, traders can optimize their exits, ensuring they capture the full potential of a move while minimizing premature exits.
5. Common Mistakes & How to Avoid Them
Despite its effectiveness, Fibonacci analysis requires proper execution. One common mistake traders make is drawing Fibonacci levels incorrectly by selecting the wrong swing points. Accuracy in identifying the correct high and low points is crucial for reliable retracement levels. Another mistake is over-reliance on Fibonacci without additional confirmations. Traders should always seek confluence with other technical indicators, such as support and resistance levels, moving averages, or volume analysis. Additionally, failing to wait for confirmation signals can lead to premature entries, increasing the risk of losses. Understanding these pitfalls and applying Fibonacci with proper validation techniques can significantly improve trading outcomes.
6. Pro Tips for Using Fibonacci Like a Pro
For best results, traders should use Fibonacci analysis on higher timeframes, such as the 1-hour, 4-hour, or daily charts, as these provide more reliable signals compared to lower timeframes. Confluence plays a crucial role in validating Fibonacci levels, so traders should always look for overlapping support and resistance, trendlines, or moving averages. Additionally, backtesting Fibonacci strategies using TradingView’s replay mode can help traders refine their approach and gain confidence in their setups before applying them in live trading. By combining Fibonacci with other technical tools and maintaining discipline in execution, traders can enhance their decision-making process and improve their overall trading success.
Final Thoughts
Mastering Fibonacci retracements and extensions can significantly improve trade accuracy. By focusing on the golden pocket zone (0.618–0.65) and using Fibonacci extensions like -0.618 and -1.618 as profit targets, traders can refine their strategies and maximize profitability. Understanding how price interacts with these levels and applying additional confirmations ensures more precise trade entries and exits. With practice and proper analysis, Fibonacci can become a powerful tool in any trader’s arsenal.
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eurusd alternative 5 wave outlook buy dips tp 1100🏆 eurusd Market Update / Wednesday
📊 Alternative Technical Outlook
🔸Bullish OUTLOOK
🔸5 waves Bullish Sequence on H12
🔸0230/0530 w1, 0530/0290 w2, 0290/0935 w3
🔸0935/0675 wave 4 pullback now
🔸0675/1100 - final wave 5 pump
🔸Recommend to BUY DIPS 0675/0665
🔸Price Target BULLS: 1100 USD in Wave5
💶📉 EUR/USD Mini Market Recap – March 2025
🔹 🛑 Fed Holds Rates
📉 No rate cut yet, but hints coming soon 🏦📊
🔹 💵 USD Strength Rising
💪 US data strong + tariff optimism = dollar gains 💼📈
🔹 📉 EUR/USD Weakens
⚠️ Testing 1.0798 support, 1.06 may come next 🚨📉
🔹 📊 Key US Data Ahead
🕵️♂️ Core PCE inflation data could move EUR/USD fast 📆📊
🔹 🌐 Trade Tensions Return
🧨 Tariff talk adds pressure to euro and dollar 💣💬
CADJPY: Intraday Bearish Reversal?! 🇨🇦🇯🇵
There is a high chance that CADJPY will retraced from the
underlined blue resistance.
I see strong bearish confirmation on an hourly time frame:
a formation of a bearish imbalance and a change of character.
I expect a bearish move to 105.05
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Lingrid | CADJPY anticipating UPWARD Continuation after PullbackThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . It hit the target. FX:CADJPY market is showing bullish dominance, by the formation of higher highs and higher lows. On the daily timeframe, an inside bar pattern has formed, suggesting a potential consolidation followed by a continuation move since it closed above the 105.000 level. Currently, the price is testing the Monday high, and if it breaks above this level, we can anticipate further upward movement. I expect the price to establish a range around this level before advancing to higher levels from the previous week high and upward trendline. My goal is the resistance zone around 106.300
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XAUUSD (Gold) Sideways to Bullish Outlook
🔹 Market Sentiment: Sideways to Bullish 📈
🔹 Optimal Buying Zone: 3018 – 3024
🔹 Upside Targets: 3047 & 3056
🔍 Technical Analysis:
📊 Trend Outlook: Gold is consolidating but leaning bullish, respecting key support levels.
📈 Key Indicators:
EMA & Market Structure: Price holding above key EMAs signals potential upside.
RSI: Near neutral, allowing room for further gains.
Support & Resistance:
Support (Buy Zone): 3018 – 3024
Resistance (Targets): 3047 & 3056
Order Blocks & Fair Value Gaps: Buyers accumulating near support, increasing bullish probability.
🎯 Trading Strategy:
✅ Buy Entry: 3018 – 3024
🎯 Targets: 3047 & 3056
📉 Stop-Loss: Below 3014 (break of support structure)
⚠️ Risk Management: Use trailing stops and proper position sizing.
💡 Conclusion: Gold is showing bullish potential; ideal to buy dips near support for a move towards key resistance levels. 🚀📊
HBARHBAR
March 26, 2025
7:35 AM
From a tech perspective, looks like we’re heading into the final leg ( W5 ) targeting around $0.7795, if we’re measuring it through W3 + W4. Also spotting some bullish divergence showing up on the HTF, which adds to the bias.
A couple of solid confluences here too: on the D1 TF, HBAR just bounced off the 200 MA, which is a pretty key support, and it’s also sitting right inside a daily OB. Looks like buyers are stepping in.
Q: So is it good for buying on spot?
Yeah, HBAR is a solid crypto project. I actually shared my thesis on it — you can check it out on my channel, just scroll up a bit.
Q: Is it good to long on futures?
That really depends on your style. If you're a swing trader, then maybe — but personally, I don't think HBAR is ideal for swing longs or even day trades right now. The price action on LTF is pretty choppy, and it’s not the kind of setup that suits everyone. We all have different risk tolerance levels, so make sure it aligns with yours.
Breaking: TokenFi ($TOKEN) Surge 11%, More Gains Ahead?TokenFi ($TOKEN) a project that aims to simplify the crypto and asset tokenization process and eventually become the foremost tokenization platform in the world has seen its native token surge 11% today breaking loose from a consolidation zone.
A token that once surged to about $200 million in market cap before retracing to $18 million market cap is gaining traction, albeit listed on major exchanges like Kraken, Bybit, Gate.IO, MEXC and quite a number of exchanges- with the market cap at $18 million, this proffers early opportunity for traders to capitalize on the dip as a run to a $100 million market cap is feasible.
For $TOKEN coin, a break above the $0.020 price pivot could spark a bullish renaissance for the asset. Similarly, should the asset consolidate, the 61.5% Fibonacci retracement point is a suitable level for a cool-off before picking liquidity up.
About TokenFi
TokenFi aims to simplify the crypto and asset tokenization process and eventually become the foremost tokenization platform in the world.
The tokenization industry is projected to be a $16 trillion industry by the year 2030. BlackRock, the world’s biggest institutional investor with $10 trillion of assets under management, strongly believes in the industry’s potential, which they call "the next evolution in markets”.
TokenFi is launched by the highly experienced and connected Floki team that launched the popular Floki token that went to an ATH valuation of $3.5 billion. They will be leveraging this same experience to make TokenFi the number one tokenization platform in the industry.
TokenFi Price Live Data
The live TokenFi price today is $0.018083 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $14,220,544 USD. TokenFi is up 9.69% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $18,083,753 USD. It has a circulating supply of 1,000,019,789 TOKEN coins and a max. supply of 10,000,000,000 TOKEN coins.
Lingrid | LINKUSDT short-term BULLISH Momentum in the MARKETThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . It hit the target level. BINANCE:LINKUSDT has gained upward momentum on the 1H timeframe, surging above the 15.00 level and downward trendline. On the daily timeframe, we see a series of four consecutive bullish candles, indicating strong buying pressure. Recent price action suggests the formation of ABC signals, implying that the market is positioning itself for an upward move towards the next resistance level around 17.00. As momentum builds, it is likely to test this key level, which could lead to further price increases unless sudden negative news triggers sell offs. Overall, I expect a pullback followed by a continuation move. My goal is the resistance zone around 16.45
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Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 5830.Colleagues, the previous forecast is not canceled, but I decided to update it a bit in the form of a new forecast. I have set the target a little closer, so that I don't have to wait too long.
I believe that the price will continue its upward movement and will reach the area of 5830. It is quite possible that the price will correct to the area of 5597, completing the wave “2” of small order.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
USOIL SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 69.08
Target Level: 67.53
Stop Loss: 70.11
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/NZD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
AUD/NZD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 1.098
Target Level: 1.089
Stop Loss: 1.104
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 6h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GBP/AUD Breakout (25.3.25)The GBP/AUD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2.0448
2nd Support – 2.0400
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DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Time to Recover
I see a confirmed bullish reversal on Dollar Index
initiated after a test of a key daily horizontal support.
A formation of a double bottom pattern on that and a consequent
violation of its neckline provides a strong bullish signal.
I think that the index will reach at least 105.0 level soon.
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Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to the area of 65.268.Colleagues, I believe that the downward movement is not over yet, and now the price is in a complex combined correction. The second correction also consists of “ABC” waves.
In an ideal scenario, the price completes wave “C” in the 70.000 area and starts the downward movement to the support area of 65.268.
In general, the plan has not changed since the last forecast, but the bulls still have strength, so we should take the upward movement as an opportunity to profitably go short.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
CHEX moves to $3Chintai claims to be a key player in the real asset tokenization (RWA) sector due to its strategic advantages: being licensed in Singapore (one of the strictest jurisdictions in regulating blockchain projects), partnering with global corporations and engaging a market maker to provide liquidity. These factors form a stable foundation for the growth of the ecosystem, with the CHEX token acting as its key element.
I expect a significant uptick over the next two months and a distribution phase in the summer. I will further short this asset from September.
Alex Kostenich,
Horban Brothers.
NZD/CAD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/CAD is making a bullish rebound on the 1H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 0.817 level.
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