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XAU/USD (Gold) Trendline BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent breakout from a well-defined Trendline pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2663 2nd Support – 2689 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
6
Puts/Short setup on DRI (Darden Restaurants)NYSE:DRI gapped Up on Dec 19th. Fibonacci technical analysis: Now finding Resistance at Fib level –61.8% (188.82) on Upward Fib and Double Top formed. Price likely to retrace lower to retest the gap. My Downward Fib shows retracement levels 38.2 % at 171, 61.8% at 166.5, and 78.6% at 164. PUTS on NYSE:DRI with Target 1 at 178, Target 2 at 171, and Target 3 at 166.5 Stop Loss slightly above the –78.6% extension Fib level (199.25)
NYSE:DRIShort
by rose_excellence
4
GOLD (XAUUSD): Your Trading Plan for Today If you decided to trade today, there is one potential shorting opportunity for Gold. Following my recent update, the price is testing a recently broken daily horizontal structure at the moment. On an hourly time frame, the price formed a tiny double top on that. 2621 - 2625 is its neckline. To sell the market with a confirmation, wait for a bearish breakout of a neckline and an hourly candle close below that. Sell aggressively or on a retest then. Targets will be 2608 / 2600. If the price sets a new higher high, the setup will be invalid. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by VasilyTrader
7
Tesla - Breakout level re-test complete. Could launch from hereHello Traders. Looking at Tesla you can see many things that show Tesla is positioned to launch from here. 1.Previous times on the 2Hr since November when the 20/50 EMA crossed(DeathCross) Tesla went up shortly thereafter. It just crossed again. 2. Tesla recently broke out from ATH... but in the last few days came back down in a much needed cooling off and retested the breakout price and has bounced. This is MEGA bullish in my book. 3. You can clearly see an inverse Head & shoulder as well... 4. Bounced off the 2h 100EMA and Monthly VWAP. So without even showing other indicators ,which agree as well, You can clearly see Tesla is positioned for another mega bullish run. We could see 500+ by end of Christmas week.. and it heading even higher into the new year.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TheUniverse618
KIO.JSE Kumba Iron Ore. High Risk / High Reward.Kumba Iron Ore is currently Trading above Recent Lows. Single Commodity Tickers are always inherently a High Risk / High Reward Scenario. They are the current Market Price Takers. Should the China Stimulus result in Positive result's , not just hype, then I expect the Demand for Steel and Iron Ore to increase and hence this Tickers Stock Value. I've Charted the Recent Lows and Highs for your Perusal. As always, please get a few outside Expert's Advice before taking Trade or Investment Decisions. Should you appreciate my Chart Studies, Smash That Rocket Boost Button. It's Just a Click away. Regards Graham.
JSE:KIOLong
by hitchcoxg
Fed Rate Expectations: How Are They Formed?Changes in the Federal Reserve's funds rate have far-reaching implications for nearly all existing assets. When the rate increases amidst moderate inflation, the U.S. dollar TVC:DXY typically strengthens, attracting capital from both the cryptocurrency and stock markets. Conversely, if inflation is rising rapidly and the Fed is compelled to aggressively raise rates to stabilize the economy, investors often interpret this as a sign of underlying trouble, prompting them to shift their assets into TVC:GOLD . However, it is essential to recognize that the Fed’s decisions are reactions to prevailing economic conditions. More crucially, market expectations regarding the Fed's rate movements—shaped by collective sentiment—play a significant role in shaping economic outcomes. This post explores the factors that form these expectations. 📍 Key Indicators Influencing Expectations for the Fed Funds Rate The market tends to respond significantly only when actual changes in the funds rate diverge from expectations. If adjustments align with market forecasts, the exchange rate of the U.S. dollar typically remains stable. Thus, accurately predicting the Fed's actions is vital for investors and traders. 1. Labor Market Dynamics The labor market is a primary focus for the Fed. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) releases employment reports every Friday, providing insight into unemployment rates. The Fed maintains a forecast range for acceptable unemployment levels—generally between 4.2% and 4.8%—indicating economic balance. An uptick in unemployment signals economic weakness, often prompting a reduction in the funds rate. Conversely, a decline in unemployment raises concerns about potential economic overheating, which could lead to tighter monetary policy. 2. Inflation Trends The Fed’s target inflation rate is set at 2%. As inflation rises, the Fed typically increases the funds rate to curb borrowing. This was clearly illustrated during the 2022-2023 period, where persistent inflation above 8% led to a series of rate hikes. In contrast, deflation would necessitate maintaining ultra-low funds rates. Additional indicators to monitor include wage trends, inflation expectations, and the consumer price index (CPI). 3. Overall Economic Health Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a key indicator of economic health. Although GDP data is often retrospective, it reflects long-term economic trends. A decline in GDP may prompt the Fed to adopt stimulative monetary policies. Analysts often utilize the GDPNow model, developed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, to obtain real-time estimates of U.S. GDP growth. 4. Treasury Yield Curve The yield curve illustrates the relationship between bond yields of different maturities from the same issuer. A flattening yield curve typically signals economic slowdown, while long-term bonds yielding less than short-term bonds can foreshadow a recession. The Fed could respond to such signs by adjusting funds rates higher depending on the crisis’s underlying causes. 5. Global Economic Influences Economic conditions in other major economies, particularly China and the European Union, can indirectly impact the U.S. economy due to deep economic ties. Monitoring central bank funds rates and the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) in these regions is essential. 6. The Dollar’s Exchange Rate Against Key Currencies A strong U.S. dollar can adversely affect American exporters. If other central banks, such as the Bank of Japan or the European Central Bank, adopt accommodative monetary policies, the Fed may also consider lowering rates to avoid a detrimental trade balance caused by a strengthening dollar. 7. Market Expectations Investor sentiment creates a feedback loop. With over 50% of Americans investing in equities, a hawkish stance on funds rates tends to increase bond yields and instigate a sell-off in securities, negatively impacting overall economic wealth. Investors’ anticipation of potential rate cuts can pressure the Fed to align with these expectations. 8. Communication from Fed Officials The rhetoric from Fed officials often hints at future monetary policy, providing insights into rate expectations based on their communications. Numerous indicators, including analysts’ forecasts and futures trading on key rates, contribute to understanding the Fed's policies. Due to the complexity of these influencing factors, relying solely on fundamental analysis for trading is not advisable for beginners. 📍 Conclusion Forecasting changes in the Fed's funds rate often begins with the first clear signals about the Fed's potential actions. The primary motivations guiding the Fed are the control of inflation and the management of unemployment—making these two indicators crucial for predictions regarding monetary policy. Additionally, it is essential to consider fundamental factors impacting other major currencies. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
3