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Bitcoin has dropped for profitable purchasesBitcoin is within the range. Quite a bit of time has passed since the last retest, and the liquidity pool that has formed below 106345 may not allow the price to fall on the first attempt. Global and local trends are bullish. Enter a buy position after a false breakout of support and the formation of a local reversal pattern on TF m5-m15 Scenario: if, after a false breakout, price consolidation forms above 106500, then the entry point could be a breakout of local highs (breakout of the structure - ‘bos’).
Long
by AndeWave
7
GBPCAD → Retest the area of interest before growthFX:GBPCAD is closing the imbalance area as part of a countertrend correction and consolidating below the 0.5 Fibonacci level. What's next, growth or decline? The global trend is upward, and the situation is classic: the market needs energy and liquidity to continue growing. Locally, we see that as part of a countertrend correction, the market is closing the imbalance area, but at the same time forming consolidation below 0.5 Fibonacci, still leaving the zone of interest and order block below 1.84600 untouched. Technically, there is a fairly high probability of continued growth, provided that the price ends its consolidation with a breakout of the 1.85690 resistance and consolidates above 0.5 Fibonacci. Resistance levels: 1.85690, 1.8657 Support levels: 1.84986, 1.846, 1.8417 However, as an additional and, in my opinion, the most important scenario, I still consider a complete closure of the fvg and a retest of the 0.7-0.79 zone, within which the order block is located. A false breakdown of the zone of interest and the capture of liquidity could attract additional interest, which would trigger growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
9
Weekly Volatility SnapshotGood Morning -- ☀️☀️☀️ What an amazing last full week of June that was as we pulled out of corrective territory and onto new ATHs with the SP:SPX body of its weekly candle moving +3.41% -- bottom to top. The weekly move open-to-close was +$98.40 as that is how I gauge my volatility metrics. This in comparison is closest in value to IV entering the week as it was stating an implied move of +/-$102.08, which was a volatility read of 16.34% -- As you see in reflection of the weekly chart below and within daily candle structure, price action moved upwards all week surpassing quarterly marks. This in turn is raising short-term volatility and lowering monthly averages as we rotate higher. Here is the weekly price action of the TVC:VIX from a 5m perspective. This is showing the EOW trend break upwards drilling the indices back down -- A healthy pullback after being seemingly over-extended. This happened during the news cycle release of the U.S. and Canada reciprocal tariff disagreement. Hopefully this settles over the weekend and we rotate higher into the 4th of July week. Now looking towards this holiday week -- We have the SP:SPX IV (13.29%) after melting during the ATHs move previously -3.09% -- This places IV on the sliding yearly spectrum at the 39% down range showing increasing discount in yearly value. Remember, If you form option positions IV affects VEGA 1% at a time and the algos bid down IV in contracting markets as they rotate higher. HV10 (12.46%) has hinged down and still is contractive per IV prediction but, increasing in comparison with a ' strength of IV ' now showing 94% entering this week. As the TVC:VIX has closed at $16.32 -- I believe that there is still a little room to extend potentially upwards to the HV10 weekly range of $6253.59. Currently, the SP:SPX YTD return is +4.96% with weekly momentum pointing up and room for volatility to still decrease. If this mark is reached it would put the YTD return at +6.52%. Very feasible and realistic being halfway through the year and going into the 4th of July 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸 Watch as we climb the wall of worries around us. This would in turn decrease short-term volatility more maybe even to a bottoming point and IV would melt during the rotation upwards with the VIX slowly grinding down. Come back next week as we review what happened within the implied ranges posted and overlook the volatility potentially bottoming and looking towards a VIX spike in the near future. Remember to know your ABCs and stay hedged against your bias! CHEERS!
CBOE:VIXLong
by splitmyIVandmelt
2
Mastering Breakout Trading: The 4-Step Precision Guide 1. 🔍 Spot the Key Zones (S&R) Identify strong Support & Resistance levels — areas where price consistently reverses or stalls. These zones are critical for planning trades. 2. 🚀 Breakout Confirmation Don’t rush — wait for the price to cleanly break above resistance or below support. This signals potential trend initiation. 3. 🔁 The Golden Retest After the breakout, wait for price to revisit the broken level and show strength (like a bullish candle) — this validates the breakout. 4. 🎯 Set Smart SL & TP Define your Stop Loss just beyond the invalidation level and Take Profit based on risk-reward or nearby price targets. Tip: Patience is your edge — wait for structure, confirmation, and clean signals. Enter on the bounce from the retest zone, typically when a green candle or bullish pattern forms — it confirms trend continuation. #Educational
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoSkullSignal
Trading the July RBA decision The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will deliver its latest policy decision on Tuesday, 9 July. Markets are heavily positioned for a 25-basis point cut, which would bring the official cash rate down to 3.60%. Major Australian banks including CBA, Westpac, NAB and ANZ are aligned in expecting a cut this month, with some anticipating further easing in August and November. A confirmed cut paired with dovish guidance could place further downside pressure on the Australian dollar, particularly against the US dollar and Japanese yen. AUD/USD remains capped below the 0.6580–0.6600 region, with repeated rejections suggesting strong overhead resistance. A break above this zone would be needed to shift momentum higher. Conversely, a confirmed break below 0.6520 could open a move toward the 0.6450 area. Meanwhile, AUD/JPY has rebounded firmly off its May lows and is now testing resistance near 95.30. This area has repeatedly capped upside since mid-June, making it a key level to watch into the RBA decision.
by BlackBull_Markets
EURJPY H4 LONG SETUPTECHNICAL ANALYSIS This pair is currently in a beautiful bullish trend, and price is currently at WM4/weekly tp@170.588. I am anticipating profit-taking from traders as the trading week comes to a close. This trade plan will probably play out next week. Bulls will be looking for long setups at support @ 169.791/169.395, which is the buy zone and previous resistance. A long trade at that level will give us a target @ 170.588 for next week. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS The trend meter shows that the pair is bullish and projected to continue its bullish momentum.. Most institutional traders are long both currencies, but we can see a slight increase in longs for the Euro and short positions being added on JPY. The retail sentiment indicator shows that most retail traders are short this pair, with 74% being short and only 26% being long, indicating they are on the wrong side of the trade. The plan is to go long once price gets to the buy zone.
Short
by Pedro_07
US100 rises sharply, with further upside target of 23,000At this stage, US100 continues to ride a dominant ascending channel structure, maintaining a consistent bullish structure supported by strong fundamentals as well as technical positioning. The current price action reflects a high-confidence trend environment, underpinned by steady economic resilience in the U.S. tech sector and growing investor optimism surrounding AI-driven growth and corporate earnings. This alignment between structure and sentiment reinforces the strength of the current trend. What’s especially encouraging is how the price has remained in the upper half of the ascending channel. Every corrective move has been shallow and absorbed quickly as well. This kind of behavior is exactly what you want to see in a strong trend. From a structural perspective, the recent break of the prior swing high confirmed a bullish break of structure (BOS), reinforcing the broader uptrend. That’s a meaningful move, not just technically, but also psychologically, as it validates that bullish momentum remains intact and market participants are still positioning for higher levels. No signs of weakness are showing up yet. If anything, the structure is intact and there’s no evidence of a shift in momentum. This makes it a good opportunity for traders who are "late to the party" to consider entering, as the trend still looks strong and continuation is likely. As for upside targets, the 23,000 level is a natural extension. It aligns with the middle of the channel and fits within the current rate of expansion. If we don’t see any warning signs (like impulsive bearish candles), this target remains both technically justified and psychologically relevant. Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by TrendDiva
25
AUDJPY H4 LONG SETUPTECHNICAL ANALYSIS This week AUDJPY broke out of the range to the upside. The price is currently at the weekly target. Given that it's Thursday and the end of the week is approaching, a possible take profit could occur from now until the end of Friday. Support is at the previous resistance price level of 94.830, which is now the future buy zone. I will wait for the price to drop to this level before considering a long position. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS Institutional traders are long JPY(79.46%) and Short AUD(80.47%) according to the COT data, which means long term it's possible to see a stronger JPY and weaker AUD. Retail traders are short JPY(54%) and long AUD(46%). The strength meter is slightly tilted in favour of JPY strength. Although institutional traders are long JPY, the technicals, however, show that a possible bullish trend is beginning, so while keeping that in mind, the current price and market direction are bullish in favour of AUD.
Short
by Pedro_07
Avalanche AVAX price analysis🔴 Do you think that the price of CRYPTOCAP:AVAX has bottomed out and is completing a "double bottom" pattern? 📉 Will there be another downward movement in the price of OKX:AVAXUSDT , for example to $14, followed by the long-awaited upward trend? Either way, in both cases, there is every chance that the price of the #Avalanche token could reach $45 by the end of 2025. P.S: The price of #AvaxUSD is moving nicely along the established channels — take advantage of this and make a profit! _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
Artyusdt buy opportunityARTYUSDT is currently trading within a descending broadening wedge formation, with price recently bouncing off the lower boundary. The structure suggests a continued move toward the upper boundary near the $0.915 zone. A breakout above the Immediate Internal Resistance Level (IIRL) would likely trigger strong bullish momentum, setting the stage for a move toward the projected target. Focus remains on the buy-back zone, which presents a strategic area for accumulation as the setup matures.
Long
by weslad
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Please see our 4H chart update, following on from our 1h chart update. Once again, no surprise with our levels playing out to perfection!! We started the week with both our Bearish 3242 and Bullish 3301 targets hit. This followed with a ema5 cross and lock above 3301 to confirm a continuation into 3370. We got the push up, over 600 pips but just short of the full gap to 3370. We are now seeing playing between 3301 and 3370, keeping in mind the full gap to 3370 remains open, as long as ema5 remains above 3301. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3301 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3301 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3370 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3370 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3429 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3499 BEARISH TARGETS 3242 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3242 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3171 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3089 3171 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3089 3001 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
13
Gold Drops as NFP Beats, USD Gains📊 Market Overview: • June’s Non-Farm Payrolls came in stronger than expected at +147K (vs 110K forecast), with unemployment ticking down to 4.1%. • The US Dollar surged (DXY up ~0.5%) and Treasury yields rebounded following the release. • Gold dropped sharply after the report, hitting a session low of $3,311 and is now trading around $3,328. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: $3,364 • Immediate Support: $3,311 • EMA 09 (H1): Price is below the 09 EMA → confirms short-term bearish trend. • Pattern / Momentum: A bearish engulfing candle near $3,364 signaled strong seller control. The failure to bounce afterward suggests persistent bearish pressure. RSI is tilting lower, confirming weakening momentum. 📌 Outlook: Gold may continue to decline toward the $3,300–$3,290 area if USD and yields remain firm, especially if upcoming US data (such as ISM Services PMI) also supports the dollar strength. 💡 Suggested Trade Setup: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,333 – $3,335 🎯 TP: $3,300 ❌ SL: $3,339 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,293 – $3,290 🎯 TP: $3,330 ❌ SL: $3,287
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
KSE-100 ANALYSIS 03-07-2025KSE 100 Index Technical Analysis (15-minute timeframe) After completing a short-term uptrend and achieving a high of 131,350, the KSE 100 index went into an intraday pullback, forming a spring pattern (marked on the chart). The pullback ended at 129,960, and the index reversed upwards. Key Observations: - Shallow intraday pullback, indicating strong underlying momentum - Spring pattern formation, suggesting potential for upward continuation - Reversal from the pullback level, confirming the short-term uptrend Targets: - Short-term Target: 132,000 - Midterm Targets: Remain unchanged, with the final target at 138,970 (as highlighted in yesterday's update) Let's monitor the KSE 100 index's performance and see if it achieves the targets.
PSX:KSE100
by THE-CHART-ALCHEMIST