Cardano: The Longest Downtrend Ever Ends, Marketwide Bullish...The downtrend for Cardano vs Bitcoin (ADABTC) ended November 2024. If the uptrend last an entire year, 365 days, this would put a peak at around November 2025.
There is a dynamic where the end of the BTC pairs bullish trend happens before Bitcoin's peak price. That is because when you sell a BTC pair such as ADABTC you are automatically buying Bitcoin. With hundreds of those and trading at really high prices, massive selling can result in one final jump for the price of BTCUSD.
ADABTC ended its last bullish wave in August 2021. The bottom of the bear market that lasted more than three years, led to what I call the "initial bullish breakout." This is the first strong market reaction contrary to the previous trend. It signals the end of the downtrend.
This initial bullish breakout is always corrected and always ends in a higher low. There was a strong wick in early February 2025 but if we go by the candle close we have a very strong higher low. This is perfect bull market dynamics.
The higher low is in and consolidation has been going for months. What follows, is the continuation of the newly developing bullish cycle for this pair. A major advance that will end in a bull run.
From bottom to top, total growth will be huge for this BTC trading pair and with Bitcoin trading at such a high price, this has never been seen before. Cryptocurrency will be creating so many millionaires in early 2026 and late 2025, it is hard to fathom.
ADABTC is set to grow long-term. It can be five months, four months, six months, twelve months... I don't know, but it will be up, it will be strong and it will be great.
The bottom is in. The higher low is in. The consolidation phase is reaching its end. A strong advance is about to start now and when it starts, it won't stop until the end. One major push ending in a bull run phase.
People will be having dreams about how they missed the train, while others will be celebrating because they took action at the right time and decided to sell rather than waiting for forever higher and forever more.
When the bullish action becomes strong, watch-out for becoming too complacent. We tend to "fall asleep on the wheel," so to speak. We tend to see our paper profits and celebrate all the money we've made, but to make money you have to sell.
Money is not numbers on the screen, money is the paper (digits) that you can spend.
You know what I mean. We've been here before.
"Oh, I have a million dollars in my account," but you never sold a single coin. Then, in a day, in a flash, a market crash. What happens next? You don't know if it will recover or if it will continue lower, by the time you decide, your million is now 500K. By the time you decide to withdraw, it is already late 2026 and the market is hitting bottom, the start of the next long-term consolidation phase.
It will then take another four years before such a wonderful opportunity presents itself again. What are you doing now?
Are you going to theorize or will you take action?
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
This is a wake-up call.
You have what it takes.
All blessings to you,
Namaste.
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Solana SOL Reveals The Manipulator's Plan!Hello, Skyrexians!
It's time to update BINANCE:SOLUSDT analysis. We have already told about Solana dump when price was next to $300 where told about $110 and as usual did not count last wave, but anyway bounce from this area was anticipated. What is next?
Recent top was the wave 5 of higher degree, we have shown it many times, today no need to do it again. Now asset is in ABC correction. Wave A was 5 waves shaped. Last wave has been finished with the green dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator and now we are in the wave B. It has the target at 0.5-0.61 Fibonacci which is somewhere next to $200. From there we expect the huge crash below $90 in the wave C. Solana potential dump is not cancelling potential altseason on OTHERS.D because it's in top-10 crypto cap assets. May be it's time to transfer money from overvalued SOL to undervalued crypto?
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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ApeCoin 666% —The Uptrend From Hell (How To Maximize Profits)It has been now five months and a half since this downtrend here on the ApeCoin chart got started. The candles fit perfectly within a descending channel.
The highest bearish volume session happened 24-February. This is followed by the highest volume day ever, then APEUSDT continues lower and producing lower lows with minimum trading volume.
The 7-April low ended closing green and with a reversal candle. It is easy to see that the downtrend has no strength. It is no surprise then to find out that I am calling for a reversal now, a change of trend.
» How does one can maximize profits from a chart set up like this one?
Buy as low as possible and sell as close as possible to the top. Right now we don't know where the top is but we can easily spot the bottom. The bottom the current price and trading zone. At whatever price ApeCoin is trading now will remain the bottom when action turns green. There can be shakeouts and swings and this wouldn't change anything for you and me. A spot trader should only buy and hold. If the market lowers, nobody cares, we wait. If the market moves higher; truly awesome, this is great.
» How to maximize profits?
Buy now and wait.
Namaste.
AGLD/USDT — Accumulation Zone Setup 4-2025AGLD/USDT — Accumulation Zone Setup
Buy Zone: $0.80 – $0.60
Panic Key: Daily close below $0.50
Breakout Targets: $0.90 / $1.15
Long-Term Targets: $1.80 / $2.80
Low-cap project (Rank ~500), high volatility play.
Accumulation in progress — manage risk wisely.
Breakout above $0.90 could trigger momentum towards higher targets.
Note:
This is not financial advice but an analysis of coin movements. Conduct your own research and practice risk management before making any investment decisions. Remember, the cryptocurrency market carries significant volatility and risks.
Best wishes to all, we ask Allah reconcile and repay. 🙏
NZD/CHF Triangle Breakout (17.04.2025)The NZD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.4886
2nd Resistance – 0.4916
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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – 30-Min Long Setup!📈
Chart Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout (Pending confirmation)
Bias: Bullish – expecting breakout to the upside
✅ Trade Plan – Long Position
Entry: ~$84,521 (on breakout of triangle resistance)
Stop-Loss (SL): ~$84,000 (below trendline & consolidation base)
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: $85,137 (local horizontal resistance – yellow line)
TP2: $85,460 (stronger horizontal resistance – green line)
📐 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1 : 2+
🟢 Favorable for momentum entry if volume supports breakout.
🔍 Technical Highlights
Triangle formation tightening with decreasing volume → breakout likely soon
Previous breakouts (circled) showed strong follow-through
Horizontal zones respected → key levels remain reliable
Bullish structure still intact above $84k
USD/ZAR Bullish Structure Holds, Waiting for PullbackUSD/ZAR is currently trading at 18.80, having recently rejected the key resistance level near 19.00, which has acted as a historical ceiling multiple times. Despite the rejection, the pair maintains a clear bullish structure and continues to trade above the Ichimoku cloud (Span A at 18.86 and Span B at 18.48), confirming the dominant upward trend.
The Trend Strength Index (TSI) shows:
TSI(10): 0.64 (approaching overbought)
TSI(20): 0.37
This suggests strong upward momentum in the medium term, though a temporary pullback is expected as short-term momentum cools.
The optimal scenario is a retracement toward the support zone between 17.59 and 16.68, where we could see a new TSI oversold signal, similar to previous bullish continuation setups. This would offer a high-probability entry aligned with the trend, targeting a move back toward the 19.91 swing high, or even further to 21.80, as suggested by the projected extension.
If price breaks below 16.68, the bullish structure would be invalidated, and the setup would no longer be valid.
Trade Setup Summary:
Buy Zone: 17.59 – 16.68 (support area)
Target: 19.91 (resistance)
Stop Loss: Below 16.68
Bias: Bullish while above 16.68
TSI Confirmation: Look for oversold reading at support for ideal entry
The US dollar remains firm on the back of relatively strong macroeconomic data and persistent inflation concerns, keeping rate cut expectations limited. In contrast, the South African rand is under pressure due to political uncertainty, slow growth, and structural fiscal issues. These macro conditions support continued USD strength over ZAR, aligning with the current technical uptrend. Any global risk-off move could further weaken the rand and accelerate bullish continuation on USD/ZAR.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
Buy-the-Dip Setup on GBP/JPY with Target at Previous HighGBP/JPY is currently trading at 188.85, within a corrective move but still preserving its bullish structure, as long as price remains above the 178.00 support floor. The zone between 184.57 and 178.03 marks a strong weekly demand area, which aligns with previous consolidation and demand before impulsive moves.
The price is below the Ichimoku cloud (Span A: 190.90, Span B: 192.93), indicating short-term bearish momentum. However, this could simply be a retracement within a larger bullish trend, especially since the market has not yet broken structure to the downside.
Trend Strength Index (TSI) readings show a clear loss of momentum:
TSI(10): -0.62
TSI(20): -0.56
These values are near oversold levels, increasing the likelihood of a bullish reversal, especially within a key demand zone. Liquidity above recent local highs may serve as fuel for a breakout if bulls reclaim key levels near the cloud base.
If price confirms support at 184–178, the bullish setup targets a return to the previous swing high at 208.11. This would offer a highly favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with the invalidation clearly placed below 178.00.
Trade Setup Summary:
Long Entry Zone: 184.57 – 178.03
Stop Loss: Below 178.00
Target: 208.11 (previous high)
Structure Bias: Bullish above 178.00
The British pound remains relatively strong as the Bank of England signals caution before cutting rates, contrasting with Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy. While the yen remains fundamentally weak, there is always potential for temporary JPY strength due to risk-off flows. However, unless the BoJ surprises with policy shifts, GBP/JPY continues to favor upside on both structural and macroeconomic grounds.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
EUR/AUD Weekly – Bullish Retracement Setup Within Strong UptrendThe EUR/AUD is currently trading at 1.7860, having recently rejected the key resistance zone between 1.8000 and 1.8430. Following this rejection, the pair is likely to enter a corrective pullback, offering an opportunity to buy the dip within a strong bullish trend.
The price remains well above the Ichimoku cloud (Span A at 1.7406, Span B at 1.7259), confirming that the medium- to long-term trend is bullish. The Trend Strength Index (TSI) indicators are both in overbought territory:
TSI(10): 0.93
TSI(20): 0.79
This signals that the upward move may need to cool off before continuation. The ideal retracement zone lies between 1.7185 and 1.6837, aligning closely with the 61.8% Fibonacci level of the most recent swing. This zone also acted as previous resistance, which could now turn into support — a classic flip scenario in trending markets.
What strengthens the case for a long setup is that every time TSI has entered oversold territory during this uptrend, price has found strong support and rallied. The TSI behavior shows a consistent pattern of reliable long entries when momentum cools off temporarily during a bullish trend.
Trade Setup Summary:
Retracement Buy Zone: 1.7185 – 1.6837 (support + 61.8% Fib)
TP1: 1.8000 (mid supply)
TP2: 1.8430 (range high)
SL: Below 1.6800 (structure invalidation)
As long as the price remains above 1.68, the structure supports further upside with targets back at the recent highs and possibly beyond if the bullish momentum resumes.
EUR/AUD is driven by monetary policy divergence and economic sentiment in the Eurozone vs. Australia. While the ECB has paused rate hikes, it still maintains a hawkish tone due to persistent inflation, whereas the RBA has shown signs of dovishness amid cooling data and weaker Chinese demand. This divergence continues to support the euro over the aussie, especially in a risk-off environment. Unless macro conditions change significantly, EUR/AUD remains fundamentally aligned with the bullish technical structure.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
Very Good Weekly Closing.
Very Good Weekly Closing.
Monthly Closing above 780 is Important,
otherwise, Tweezer Top is Expected which
is a Negative sign.
Channel Top is around 825 - 830.
Initial Support seems around 700 - 705.
& Double Bottom (in case of Selling Pressure)
is around 640 - 645 (which may also act as Support).
Watching Volume Clusters for Short Opportunities on NZD/CADThe OANDA:NZDCAD pair is respecting a clear bearish market structure on the weekly timeframe. Price remains below the Ichimoku cloud (Span A at 0.8081 and Span B at 0.8218), confirming ongoing bearish momentum.
Price is now hovering around the Point of Control (POC) from the volume profile of the last major move — between 0.822 and 0.815, an area of high transaction activity and potential resistance. This zone presents a valid area to initiate short positions, especially given the lack of bullish breakout.
However, the optimal supply zone lies slightly higher between 0.823 and 0.838, which also corresponds to the second-highest volume node in the current range. If price pushes into this area and shows rejection, it may offer a cleaner entry for higher reward setups.
The target for this bearish scenario is the previous swing low at 0.7687, which marks a significant support level. The invalidating level for the bearish bias is a break above 0.8480, which sits above the recent structural high.
Trade Setup Summary:
Short Entry Zone 1 (aggressive): 0.822 – 0.815 (POC area)
Short Entry Zone 2 (optimal): 0.823 – 0.838 (supply zone)
Stop Loss: Above 0.8480
Target: 0.7687
The TSI indicators are near neutral but slightly negative:
TSI(10): -0.13
TSI(20): -0.04
This confirms the bearish pressure remains, but the move is not oversold, leaving room for further downside continuation.
The New Zealand dollar remains under pressure due to softening economic data and expectations of dovish monetary policy from the RBNZ, while the Canadian dollar has recently found support from stronger oil prices and relatively stable BoC guidance. Although both currencies are commodity-linked, CAD's correlation with energy gives it an edge in current conditions. As long as this divergence holds, the bias on NZD/CAD remains to the downside, in line with the current technical structure.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
AUD/JPY at Key Demand Zone, Watching for Trend ContinuationOANDA:AUDJPY is showing signs of a bullish reaction from the key support zone between 89.00 and 86.00, an area that has acted as demand multiple times in the past. Price remains below the Ichimoku cloud (Span A at 92.13, Span B at 96.63), but the structure is still technically bullish as long as the current support holds.
The Trend Strength Index (TSI) indicators are deep in oversold territory:
TSI(10): -0.83
TSI(20): -0.86
This signals that bearish momentum is weakening, and a bounce is likely if the support zone continues to hold. The market could now aim to retest the 97.47 – 100.73 resistance area, which aligns with the cloud base and recent structural highs.
A bullish breakout above 100.73 would confirm a continuation of the bullish trend, with a potential new higher high toward 109.17 — the previous major swing high.
On the other hand, if price breaks below 86.00, the bullish structure would be invalidated, possibly marking the beginning of a trend reversal and opening the door for deeper declines.
Scenarios to Watch:
Bullish Continuation (If Support Holds)
Entry from: 89.00–86.00
Resistance/TP zone: 97.47 – 100.73
Break above 100.73 targets: 109.17
Structure remains bullish above 86.00
Bearish Breakdown
Break and close below 86.00 invalidates the bullish thesis
Retest of broken support may act as resistance
Lower lows expected if support fails
AUD/JPY is a cross driven by risk sentiment and yield differentials. The Reserve Bank of Australia has adopted a cautious stance, holding rates steady while keeping the door open for tightening if inflation picks up. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan maintains an ultra-loose policy, though speculation about a slow shift toward normalization is growing. As a result, AUD/JPY remains sensitive to shifts in risk appetite and global yields. A continued risk-on environment would support AUD strength and help maintain the bullish structure — but any risk-off sentiment or sudden JPY strength could quickly shift the pair lower.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
No Bearish Divergence on Monthly Tf.No Bearish Divergence on Monthly Tf.
But 39-40 is a Very Strong Resistance
that needs to Cross & Sustain with Good Volumes to
reach 45 - 46 & then 50+
We should not ignore that it has taken Support
from a Very Important Fib level around 32.40
Monthly Closing above 33.60 would be a Very Healthy sign.
So any dip towards 32.50 - 33.50 can be a Buying Opportunity.
However, it should not break 31.80 otherwise we
may witness further Selling Pressure towards 28.50 - 28.70
Range Play on GBP/CHF – Buy Support, Sell ResistanceThe OANDA:GBPCHF is sitting on a strong weekly support zone between 1.0900 and 1.0600, where previous bullish reactions have occurred. The current price is also below the Ichimoku cloud (Span A at 1.1055 and Span B at 1.1203), indicating bearish conditions in the medium term.
Both TSI indicators are in oversold territory:
TSI(10): -0.7
TSI(20): -0.3
This setup suggests a possible short-term bounce from current levels, especially considering price is testing the bottom of the long-established range. If the market reacts bullishly, the supply zone between 1.1400 and 1.1650 becomes a high-probability area to watch for short entries, as it aligns with prior rejections and sits just below the cloud.
However, if price breaks below 1.0600, the structure would turn fully bearish. In that case, we would expect a retest of the broken support followed by continuation to the downside, confirming a possible longer-term downtrend.
Bullish Rejection (Short Setup Later)
Long-term resistance: 1.14 – 1.1650 (supply zone)
Short bias from this zone with stop above 1.1650
Downside targets: 1.09, then 1.06
Bearish Breakdown
Break of 1.0600 invalidates bounce scenario
Watch for retest and continuation lower
Structure supports deeper bearish move toward psychological levels near parity
GBP/CHF remains sensitive to both UK and Swiss economic signals. The Bank of England is currently under pressure due to slowing inflation and stagnant growth, which may push it closer to rate cuts. Meanwhile, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) already began cutting rates in early 2024, weakening the franc slightly, though safe-haven flows still support CHF during global uncertainty. This creates a mixed environment for GBP/CHF: structurally bearish but with room for short-term rebounds, especially if UK macro data stabilizes.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
Potential Long Setup Forming as USD/JPY Tests DemandThe FX:USDJPY is showing a deep correction within a bullish long-term structure. Price is now below the Ichimoku cloud (Span A and B at 149.22), which reflects bearish momentum in the short term. However, the market is approaching a strong weekly demand zone between 142.00 and 137.00, where previous bullish rallies were initiated.
Both Trend Strength Index (TSI) values are well into oversold territory:
TSI(10): -0.85
TSI(20): -0.81
This indicates that bearish momentum may be nearing exhaustion, and a reversal or bounce is increasingly likely. The zone between 142.00 – 137.00 becomes a key area to watch for bullish reaction, potentially offering a high reward-to-risk opportunity for long setups.
If the price reacts from this demand zone, the next major resistance lies between 148.00 – 151.77, which aligns with the bottom and mid-section of the Ichimoku cloud and past structural levels. Further upside potential extends toward 161, a previous swing high.
Trade Setup Idea:
Long Entry Zone: 142 – 137 (demand zone)
TP1: 148 – 151 (resistance + cloud structure)
TP2 (extended): 161
SL: Below 137
The structure supports a bullish continuation if this zone holds, making it a key region for swing buyers.
The Japanese yen continues to weaken as the Bank of Japan maintains ultra-loose monetary policy, in contrast with the Federal Reserve’s more hawkish stance. Although U.S. rate cut expectations have increased for late 2025, strong labor and inflation data from the U.S. have kept the dollar supported. In contrast, Japan’s inflation remains soft, and no strong signs of BoJ tightening have emerged. This divergence in monetary policy keeps the USD/JPY biased to the upside, especially if yields in the U.S. stay elevated.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
GTC Eyes Reversal from Accumulation Base GTC/USDT is bouncing off a long-term descending channel’s base, showing possible signs of accumulation. A move toward the $0.55–$0.75 supply zone is expected, with a potential breakout targeting $2.23 if momentum sustains. We must pay a close attention to a breakdown below $0.248 which will open a downward move towards $0.074 as final and critical support.
Bitcoin on Edge: US Deregulates, China Cracks DownHello,
Bitcoin Bearish Outlook – April 2025
Market Structure & Technical Overview
Bitcoin continues to underperform as a safe haven asset, falling short of the optimism once compared to gold. Following a consistent formation of lower highs, BTC has once again broken down—hinting at a potential continuation of this bearish trend.
Current Price: Just below the 1M Pivot Point (PP) at $84621.067.
This area is crucial — if price accepts this level as resistance, we are likely to see further downside.
The most recent 1M high stands at $88,781.70 — a level to watch but currently being respected as a ceiling.
Should the price fail to reclaim 84k, the next target is the 1Y PP at $80,283.483. A rejection here opens the door for a move toward strong 1M support at $72,345.065.
Below that, 1Y PP structural support comes into question. If the support gives out, the maximum decline target sits near $56,000, which would represent a full reset of the bullish macro narrative.
Fundamental Headwinds: A Storm Brews
Trump's Latest Move: President Trump has repealed the IRS rule expanding the "broker" definition to decentralized exchanges, a move aimed at deregulating crypto and laying groundwork for a potential U.S. Bitcoin reserve.
China’s Crackdown Intensifies:
China’s courts and local governments are actively liquidating seized crypto through offshore channels.
The lack of a centralized system raises corruption concerns, but near-consensus is forming around formal asset recognition and centralized liquidation.
Despite a domestic ban, China holds 15,000 BTC, potentially making it the 14th largest holder globally.
The decentralized anonymity principle of cryptocurrency is under increasing threat, as both China and the U.S. shift toward centralized control, regulation, and even reserve-building strategies. This movement contradicts the original ethos of Bitcoin, leading to a bearish sentiment among long-term holders.
Sentiment Snapshot
Metric Status
Technical Structure Bearish
Market Sentiment Neutral, leaning bearish
Macro Fundamentals Bearish
Key Resistance (1M PP) $84,621.067
Next Support (1Y PP) $80,283.483
Strong Support (1M) $72,345.065
Max Decline Scenario $56,000
📉 Mark these key levels:
$88,781.70 – Previous 1M High
$84,621.067– 1M Pivot (Current Resistance)
$80,283.483 – 1Y Pivot (Mid Support)
$72,345.065 – 1M Strong Support
$56,000 – Max Bearish Target
Overlay sentiment zones:
Green (above FWB:88K ): Bullish
Orange (between $80k– FWB:88K ): Neutral
Red (below $80k): Bearish Continuation
The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1M-1Y timeframes!
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
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