Want to know how to grow your portfolio in crypto?Follow these five simple steps👇
1. Watch your portfolio like a hawk, using either a spreadsheet/tracking software, to understand how well you are actually doing.
2. Stop listening to influencers online who try to shill you the tokens they hold and intend on selling once you buy them.
3. Only allocate to altcoins when they are 40% below their all-time highs and in an uptrend.
4. Keep a market journal to track your decision-making and emotional control.
5. Seek proper education and guidance from someone who's done it before i.e. @CryptoJayCoaches
If this helped, please follow and retweet for more useful insights.
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very clean breakout for AMDboost and follow for more 🔥
lovely start to the week, secured most my weekly calls for 180-400% in profits🙏 now keep an eye on 116.32, if we can clear that the 120s should come soon.. if not we dip into 110 or so find a new support then higher.
ill post some other updates her when I can, goodluck this week everyone ⚡
XLM in coming days ...Currently, XLM is forming an ascending triangle, indicating a potential price increase. It is anticipated that the price could rise, aligning with the projected price movement (AB=CD).
However, it is crucial to wait for the triangle to break before taking any action.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
SPY had a very bulish close to the week!boost and follow for more ❤️🔥
SPY had bullish break of trend resistance to finish the week after a big gap down, bulls continue to buy the dip and now we are gapping up in the futures market. push into 572.47 is likely, from there we either reject and head to lower to trend support or break the resistance and start heading higher to 578.31-584.92 🎯
Hash Ribbon Buy Signal + CHoCH Structure and Holding Equilibrium
💥 The Hash Ribbon indicator has flashed a buy signal for the first time in 8 months. On the chart, we see a clear CHoCH (Change of Character) and price holding above the Equilibrium level — adding confluence for a bullish setup.
Chart Highlights:
- Key support at 85,185 USDT (PDL zone).
- Parabolic SAR & EMA trendlines are confirming bullish bias.
- Resistance near 88,000–89,000 USDT could trigger short-term sell-offs.
Conclusion:
If BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P holds above the PWH level, momentum may push it toward the 90K zone. Bulls still in control — for now.
NAS100USD Buy Idea: Bullish Momentum Targets 20705🚀 OANDA:NAS100USD Buy Idea: Bullish Momentum Targets 20705 💹 - 24h expiry
OANDA:NAS100USD - We look to Buy at 20025
Stop Loss: 19825
Target 1: 20705
Target 2: 20730
Resistance: 20234, 20705, 20730
Support: 20025, 19423, 19125
Technical Setup:
📈 Continued upward momentum from 19424 resulted in the pair posting net daily gains yesterday .
⚠️ Overbought extremes indicate scope for mild selling at the open, but losses should remain limited .
🔑 Medium-term bias remains bullish .
🏁 Key resistance level at 20705 .
📰 News Sentiment
📊 Recent sessions show a bullish uptick in News Sentiment (Red Line), aligning with the price movement (Blue Line).
🌟 Positive sentiment (Red Line) is extending higher, suggesting further upside potential in the short term.
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
COMP - Shift in Momentum in Action!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
🔹 COMP has been overall bearish trading within the falling channel in red.
However , it is currently rejecting a strong weekly support at $35 - $40.
Moreover, it is clear that the bears are exhausted as the bearish impulse phases are getting more flat.
📈 For the bulls to take over, and shift the momentum in their favor, a break above both trendlines and $50 round number is needed.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Tesla on the Path to New Highs: Correction Before a Major high?hello guys.
let's have a comprehensive analysis of Tesla
__________________________
Technical Analysis
Price Structure & Trend:
The monthly chart indicates a long-term uptrend within a broad ascending channel.
Tesla has recently faced resistance around $300 and is now in a corrective phase.
The expected correction may bring the price down to around $220-$250, where it could find strong support before continuing its bullish move. or it is possible to start an upward movement and form an ATH!
RSI & Divergence:
The RSI indicator previously showed a fake bearish divergence, meaning the price action remains strong despite earlier weakness signals.
Potential Higher Levels
If Tesla successfully follows the projected movement, a break above $575 could open the door to $700-$750, based on the channel extension and historical breakout patterns.
__________________________
Fundamental Analysis
Earnings & Growth:
Tesla's revenue growth remains strong despite market headwinds.
New factory expansions (Giga Texas, Giga Berlin) and production efficiency improvements contribute to long-term profitability.
The Cybertruck ramp-up and expansion in AI-driven automation could drive future stock value.
EV Market Outlook:
Tesla maintains a dominant position, but increasing competition from Chinese EV manufacturers and legacy automakers remains a challenge.
Recent price cuts have impacted margins but helped sustain high sales volume.
Macroeconomic Factors:
Interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve could impact growth stocks like Tesla.
If rates stabilize or decrease in 2025, Tesla could see renewed investor interest, pushing the stock to new highs.
_________________________
Conclusion
The mid-term bearish retracement toward $250 aligns with healthy correction levels.
If Tesla holds above support and breaks $350, your $575 target is highly probable.
A break above $575 could lead to $700+ in the longer term, assuming positive earnings growth and stable macroeconomic conditions.
Bear Slippers Off. Bull Boots Laced.Bear Slippers Off. Bull Boots Laced. | SPX Analysis 25 Mar 2025
The tide turned Monday, and for once, the charts didn’t just mutter vaguely in Morse code – they actually gave us something to work with.
After weeks of grindy, gummy-bear movement, SPX finally flashed a bullish signal. The classic breakout-pullback has shown itself on the 30-minute timeframe, and the daily chart has joined the party with a sharp reversal, flipping us right back into the prior range.
Let’s just say this… not rolling those final bear swings? Smartest decision I didn’t overthink. I just wanted to stop the bleeding. Turns out, it also kept me out of harm’s way.
Now, with the bear slippers safely tucked back into the winter cupboard, I’m eyeing the bull setups. But as always – I’m not jumping just yet…
---
Deeper Dive Analysis:
Monday brought a much-needed shakeup – not the kind that rattles your coffee mug off the desk, but the kind that whispers: “Something’s changed…”
And it has.
The 30-minute chart formed a clean breakout-pullback, the kind you could frame on the wall and call “textbook.”
The daily chart? We’ve got a bullish reversal pattern that’s pushing price back into the old range.
That means my bearish bias has officially flipped.
Goodbye bear slippers. Hello, Bull Boots.
Let’s talk about those bears for a moment…
Last week’s trades didn’t go to plan. Friday’s rally chewed them up, and instead of rolling endlessly like a gambler doubling down, I did what needed to be done: closed them. Cleared the head. Took the "L".
And now, I’m glad I did.
Sometimes, the best trade is no trade. Or at least, no new pain.
During my Fast Forward mentorship call, we did our usual morning deep dive.
We looked at:
The GEX flip (Gamma Exposure momentum line)
Intraday call wall pressure
And the speculative cap at 5765 for the high of day
With that info, I made the call to delay my bull swing entry. Why chase a top when the market’s whispering “pullback pending”? I’d rather find a smarter entry… with more meat on the bone.
So what now?
Bias is bullish
5765 & 5805 = overhead friction
Waiting for a deeper pullback before entering long - Ideally 5720
My trigger’s locked. My chart’s marked. Now I wait.
And if that pullback doesn’t come?
Fine. I’ll let it go and re-evaluate. No FOMO. No flinching.
The plan is simple: Trade with the setup, not the hype.
--
Fun Fact
Benjamin Graham once said, “In the short run, the market is a voting machine. In the long run, it is a weighing machine.”
But he never accounted for meme stocks, social media panic, and Reddit-fuelled rocket ships.
Today, it often feels like the market's a slot machine with a Twitter feed.
Still – patterns like breakout-pullbacks?
They’re timeless, regardless of the noise.
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Potential Bullish Breakout Towards $89khello guys!
In the 4-hour Bitcoin/USDT chart from Binance, a clear ascending trendline supports price movement, indicating a potential bullish structure. Here are the key observations:
Technical Analysis
1- Ascending Trendline Support
The price is respecting an ascending trendline, which has provided multiple touches and acted as a dynamic support level.
A bounce from this trendline around the $83,000-$83,500 range suggests strength in buyers.
2- QML (Quasimodo Level) Formation
A QML (Quasimodo Level) pattern is visible, which typically signals a strong reversal zone.
Price has already reacted to this level, indicating it could be a key turning point before further upside movement.
3- Major Support Zone
A larger support area is identified around the $76,900-$77,600 range that support the price before!
The upper boundary of the ascending channel and the psychological resistance at $89,621 serve as the next major target.
The price could test this level in the coming sessions, provided it maintains its bullish momentum.
_____________________________
Conclusion
Bitcoin appears to be in an uptrend within a rising channel, with bullish momentum building. If the ascending trendline continues to hold, the next significant target would be around $89,000. However, a break below the QML zone could lead to a retest of lower support near $77,000. Traders should watch for confirmation of trend continuation before entering long positions.
Vanguard - “We are the invisible hand of Adam Smith” John BogleIf anyone ever thought of erecting a monument to the person who did the most for American investors — the choice would fall on John Bogle. These words are not from a promotional brochure but a quote from Warren Buffett himself.
Book summary
But most people don’t even know who Bogle is. And certainly don’t realize that he didn’t just “create index funds.” He built an invulnerable power machine disguised as client care.
📈 From a thesis to $10 trillion under management
Bogle’s story begins with an ordinary guy born during the Great Depression. Through poverty, scholarship-based education, and working from age 10 — he makes his way into Princeton, where he writes a thesis on a topic that would change the industry: "mutual funds."
Over the years, his philosophy turned into what we now know as "passive investing." From day one, the Vanguard he created operated on the principle: "maximum benefit to the investor, minimum — to the managers." No fees, no speculation, no marketing. And it worked. But here’s the paradox: ▶ Vanguard gave up profit for the mission.
▶ The world responded — investors were tired of the noise.
▶ As a result — "Vanguard grew into a monster capable of managing the economies of entire nations."
🧠 A revolutionary idea: a fund owned by investors
Bogle built a structure where "the fund owners are the investors themselves."
Sounds beautiful: no shareholders, no profit pressure — only long-term client interests. But then who de facto manages these trillions?
⚠️ Vanguard is not a public company.
⚠️ Its shares are not traded.
⚠️ The real ownership mechanism — a black box.
It’s the perfect system for... "invisible control." And this isn’t a conspiracy theory, but logic:
If you can’t find the ultimate beneficiary — it means they’re either too big, or hiding for a reason.
🕸️ The “Big Three” and the invisible hand effect
Vanguard, BlackRock, and State Street — three funds that hold between 3% to 8% of shares in most of the world’s largest corporations. It seems small, but only 15–20% of shares are in free float.
❗ This gives the Big Three “real power”: from voting at meetings to influencing media narratives and climate policy.
📌 They own stakes in CNN, Fox, and Disney.
📌 Invest in oil companies that violate human rights.
📌 And at the same time — push the “green transition” agenda.
Conflict of interest? No. It’s “total control over both sides of the conflict.”
🤫 Why Vanguard is impossible to destroy
If you think Vanguard is just an investment fund, here are a few facts:
🔒 No company shares → can’t buy a controlling stake.
🔒 Over 400 legal entities → can’t file a single lawsuit.
🔒 Every investor essentially becomes a “co-owner” → responsibility is blurred.
🔒 All stakes split below 10% → bypass antitrust laws.
You can’t sue a ghost.
You can’t attack a network if you don’t know where its center is.
🧭 What’s next?
Today, Vanguard manages over $10 trillion, which is more than the GDP of Germany, India, and Brazil combined.
Though the fund’s founder passed away as “the conscience of Wall Street,” his creation became an "architecture of global control" that even the U.S. Federal Reserve couldn’t handle.
🎤 “We are the invisible hand of Adam Smith,” John Bogle once said.
A more detailed book review will follow below. I understand how important this is in our time and I appreciate it.
📘 General Concept of the Book:
The book is at once the autobiography of John Bogle, the story of the founding and development of Vanguard, and a manifesto of index investing philosophy. A runaway waiter, Princeton graduate, and "Wall Street rebel," Bogle creates Vanguard — a company that changed the investment world by making it more fair and accessible.
📑 Structure of the Book:
The book is divided into four parts:
Part I — The History of Vanguard.
Part II — The Evolution of Key Funds.
Part III — The Future of Investment Management.
Part IV — Personal Reflections, Philosophy, and Values of the Author.
💡 Key Ideas of the Book (Introductory Chapters, Preface):
- Index investing is the most important financial innovation of the 20th century.
- Passive management beats active managers in returns and costs.
- Vanguard’s mission is not to make money off investors, but to serve them.
- Criticism of Wall Street: high fees, conflicts of interest, short-term thinking.
- Financial revolution — a mass shift of investors from active to index funds.
🧠 Bogle's Values:
- Long-term thinking. Don’t give in to market “noise.”
- Honesty and transparency in investing.
- Minimal costs = maximum return for the investor.
- Fiduciary duty: protecting the client’s interest comes first.
📗 Part I: The History of Vanguard
🔹 Chapter 1: 1974 — The Prophecy
Context:
John Bogle is in a difficult position — he’s fired as head of Wellington Management Company.
During a trip to Los Angeles, he meets John Lovelace of American Funds, who warns: if you create a truly mutual investment company, you’ll destroy the industry.
Main Idea:
⚡ Bogle decides to go against the profit-driven industry and creates Vanguard — a company owned by investors, not managers.
Key Moments:
- Vanguard is founded in 1974 — in the middle of a crisis.
- The company has no external shareholders — all “profits” are returned to investors through lower fees.
- In 1975, the first index fund for individual investors is launched — a revolutionary idea, initially ridiculed as “Bogle’s madness.”
Important Quotes:
"Gross return before costs is market return. Net return after costs is lower. Therefore, to get the maximum, you must minimize costs."
– Bogle’s fundamental rule
🔹 Chapter 2: 1945–1965 — Background: Blair Academy, Princeton, Fortune, and Wellington
Early Life:
Bogle studies at Blair Academy on a scholarship, works as a waiter.
He enters Princeton. Struggles with his economics course, but…
In the library, he accidentally finds the Fortune article “Big Money in Boston” — about mutual funds.
Turning Point:
This article inspires Bogle to write his thesis:
“The Economic Role of the Investment Company”, where he argues:
- Funds should work for investors;
- Don’t expect them to beat the market;
- Costs must be minimized;
- Fund structure must be fair and transparent.
Career Start:
Work at Wellington Management (Philadelphia).
Starts from scratch, rising from junior analyst to president of the company.
Under Walter Morgan’s leadership, he learns the principles of discipline and serving investors.
✍️ Interim Summary
What’s important from these early chapters:
- Vanguard was born from the ruins of Bogle’s former career — an example of how failure can be the beginning of greatness.
- Already in college, Bogle saw the issue of conflicts of interest in the industry.
- His philosophy is idealism in action: don’t play guessing games — just invest in the market and reduce costs.
📘 Chapter 3: 1965–1974 — Rise and Fall
🚀 Appointed President of Wellington Management:
In 1965, at just 35 years old, John Bogle becomes president of Wellington.
He decides to modernize the business and bring in young star managers from Wall Street, especially from the firm Thorndike, Doran, Paine & Lewis.
⚠️ Risky Alliance:
Bogle makes a fatal mistake — he merges with the new management company without ensuring value alignment.
The new partners are focused on profit and short-term gains, not building a strong long-term foundation.
This leads to internal conflict, loss of trust, and poor fund performance.
💥 Dismissal:
In 1974, after a series of conflicts, the board removes Bogle.
He loses control of the company he built for nearly 25 years.
Bogle’s comment:
"I was fired, but I was still chairman of the Wellington mutual funds — and that turned out to be a lifeline."
📘 Chapter 4: 1974–1975 — The Birth of Vanguard
🧩 A Unique Legal Loophole:
Though Bogle was fired from the management company, he remained head of the Wellington Fund trustees — giving him the opportunity to build a new independent structure.
🛠 Creating Vanguard:
In December 1974, he launches The Vanguard Group — a company owned by the investors (shareholders) themselves.
Model: the fund belongs to the investors → the fund owns the management company → no outside profit, only cost recovery.
⚙️ "Vanguard" as a Symbol:
The name was inspired by Admiral Horatio Nelson’s ship — HMS Vanguard.
A symbol of leadership, courage, and moving against the tide.
Key Idea:
Vanguard would be the only truly mutual investment organization — a model where clients = owners.
📘 Chapter 5: 1975 — The First Index Fund
🤯 Revolution: The Indexing Approach
Bogle decides to create the first index mutual fund for retail investors.
Name: First Index Investment Trust (later — Vanguard 500 Index Fund).
Idea: invest in all S&P 500 stocks to reflect the market’s return instead of trying to beat it.
🪓 A Blow to the Industry:
The financial world reacts harshly:
- “Bogle’s madness”;
- “This is a failure”;
- “Who would want to just match the market?”
🔧 Humble Beginning:
The goal was to raise $150 million, but only $11 million was collected — tiny by industry standards.
But Bogle didn’t give up:
"It was a small step, but with a powerful message."
💡 Summary of Chapters 3–5: How Vanguard Was Built
🔑 Event 💬 Meaning
Loss of control at Wellington ----- Collapse of the old model, beginning of a new path
Creation of Vanguard------------- Innovative, investor-first structure
Launch of index fund--------------Start of the indexing revolution, Bogle’s core philosophy
📝 Quotes for Thought:
"All I did was apply common sense. I just said: Let’s leave the returns to the investors, not the managers." — John Bogle
"This is a business where you get what you don’t pay for. Lower costs = better results." — Bogle’s favorite saying, debunking “more is better”
📘 Chapter 6: 1976–1981 — The Survival Period
⏳ Tough Start:
After launching the index fund, Vanguard faces slow growth and constant skepticism.
For 83 straight months (nearly 7 years!), Vanguard sees net outflows — investors are hesitant to trust this new model.
🧱 Laying the Foundation:
Bogle and his team focus on:
- Transparency
- Lowering costs
- Investor education (they explain what it means to “stay the course”)
💬 The Core Dilemma:
"All investors want to beat the market. But no one wants to pay the price: high fees, taxes, risks. We offered an alternative — reliability, simplicity, and low cost."
📈 Small Wins:
Despite modest volume, Vanguard starts building a reputation as an “honest player.”
It becomes evident: investors using Vanguard achieve better long-term results than those chasing trendy funds.
📘 Chapter 7: 1982–1991 — Growth and Recognition
💡 The Power of Philosophy:
Bogle keeps repeating: “Stay the course” — don’t try to predict the market, don’t fall for fear and greed.
This message becomes especially powerful after the 1982 and 1987 market crises.
🏆 The First Fruits:
A slow but steady increase in assets begins.
Vanguard launches new index funds:
- Total Stock Market Index
- Bond Index
- International Index
📣 Educational Mission:
Bogle writes books, articles, gives interviews.
He isn’t just running a fund — he’s changing how people think about investing.
A community of followers emerges — the Bogleheads.
📊 Key Stats:
By 1991, Vanguard's assets reach around $130 billion.
Index funds begin receiving positive reviews from analysts, including Morningstar.
📘 Chapter 8: 1991–1999 — Industry Leadership
🚀 Explosive Growth:
In the 1990s, index funds go mainstream.
Investors realize that most active funds underperform the market — and they vote with their money for Vanguard.
🧰 Expanding the Product Line:
Vanguard introduces:
- Retirement funds
- Bond funds
- International and balanced funds
- Admiral Shares — low-cost funds for loyal investors
📢 Open Fight with the Industry:
Bogle continues to harshly criticize Wall Street:
- For greed, manipulation, and lack of transparency
- For prioritizing company profit over client interest
"The industry hates Vanguard because it proves you can be honest and still succeed."
⚠️ Internal Challenges:
In the late 1990s, Bogle’s health declines.
He passes leadership to Jack Brennan but retains influence on company strategy.
📊 Midpoint Summary (Chapters 6–8)
📅 Phase 📈 Essence
1976–1981 Quiet survival: building the model, fighting for trust
1982–1991 Slow growth: philosophy attracts investors
1991–1999 Recognition and leadership: indexing becomes dominant
💬 Bogle Quotes from These Chapters:
"Investing is not a business. It’s a service. Those who forget this lose everything."
"Every dollar spent on fees is a dollar lost to your future."
"Volatility is not the enemy. The real enemy is you, if you panic."
📘 Chapter 9: Leadership as a Calling
💡 A Leader ≠ A Manager:
Bogle contrasts a true leader with just an efficient executive.
A real leader:
- Puts others’ interests above their own
- Has a moral compass, not just KPIs
- Makes hard, unpopular decisions
🛤 His Leadership Style:
"Don’t ask others to do what you wouldn’t do yourself."
"Always explain why — people follow meaning, not orders."
He genuinely believes Vanguard should be more than a successful business — it should be a force for good in the market.
"Leadership is loyalty to an idea bigger than yourself."
🔄 Feedback Principle:
Bogle constantly interacts with clients, employees, and journalists.
He never isolates himself in an “ivory tower” — he believes this openness is a leader’s true strength.
📘 Chapter 10: Client Service — Vanguard’s Mission
🧭 The Mission:
"Maximize investor returns — not company profits."
Vanguard is built around fiduciary responsibility: every decision must pass the test — is this in the investor’s best interest or not?
🧾 How It’s Implemented:
- Fees below market average → investors keep more
- No ads for “hot” funds → Vanguard sells stability, not trends
- No sales commissions → no one profits off pushing funds to clients
- Ethical code — “Don’t do anything you wouldn’t want on the front page of the newspaper.”
"We’re not trying to be the best for Wall Street. We’re trying to be the best for you."
📘 Chapter 11: The Market Should Serve Society
📉 Critique of Modern Wall Street:
Bogle argues that finance has drifted from its original purpose.
Investing has turned into trading.
The investor became a cash cow, not a partner.
"The market now serves itself — and we’re still paying the price."
🌱 What the System Should Look Like:
- Companies should serve society
- Investors should be owners, not speculators
- Funds should be transparent, accountable, and honest
📢 Call for Reform:
Bogle calls for a rethinking of finance:
- Restore the human element
- Make mission more important than profit
- Protect long-term interests of millions of ordinary investors
"If we want capitalism with a human face, we must return finance to serving society."
📊 Summary of Chapters 9–11: Bogle's Philosophy
📌 Direction------------💬 Essence
Leadership-------------Morality, leading by example, purpose-driven
Business---------------First and foremost — service to the client
Financial System-------Must work for society, not just for profit of the few
✨ Inspirational Quotes:
"The most important thing you can invest is not money — it’s your conscience."
"Honesty in business is not a competitive edge. It’s a duty."
"I’m not against capitalism. I’m against capitalism without morals."
📘 Chapter 12: The Future of Investing — Where the Industry Is Headed
🌐 Bogle sees three main trends:
Victory of Passive Investing:
- Index funds continue to displace active management
- Their share of assets under management is growing rapidly
- More investors are realizing the power of simplicity
Fee Pressure:
- Fees are approaching zero (some funds are effectively free)
- Winners: investors. Losers: traditional management companies
The Role of Technology:
- Rise of robo-advisors (automated investment advisors)
- But Bogle warns: Technology without philosophy is just a tool, not a solution
🚨 Threat #1 — Hyperfinancialization:
"The market is turning into a casino. And the fewer the players, the more the house wins."
Bogle reminds us: the goal of investing is owning businesses — not gambling.
The higher the turnover, the more you lose on fees and taxes.
📘 Chapter 13: The Power of Indexing — Threat or Blessing?
📈 Strength in Scale:
The biggest index providers (Vanguard, BlackRock, State Street) own large shares in nearly all companies in the indexes.
This raises the issue of concentrated power — is too much influence in too few hands?
⚖️ The Indexing Paradox:
Index funds don’t actively vote on corporate governance issues.
So the more power they hold, the less oversight there is over company management.
📣 Bogle’s Proposals:
- Establish a code of conduct for index providers
- Require them to vote in investors’ interests
- Mandate transparency in how they use their voting power
"We fought for the democratization of investing. We cannot let it end in a new monarchy."
📘 Chapter 14: Personal Reflections — On Life, Mission, and Faith
🧬 Personal and Eternal:
Bogle shares his core life principles:
- To serve, not to own
- To leave a mark, not accumulate
- To do what’s right, not what’s profitable
He talks about his battle with heart disease — both as a personal journey and a metaphor for resisting the system.
🙏 Gratitude:
He dedicates the book to his family, colleagues, and investors.
Emphasizes: every day is a chance to be useful.
"I created Vanguard, but Vanguard created me. My career isn’t a triumph — it’s a thank you to fate for the chance to be heard."
📊 Summary of Chapters 12–14: Looking Ahead and Within
📌 Theme-----------------💬 Essence
Future of Investing---------Indexing is the new standard, but needs responsible stewardship
Concentration of Power----Index giants must be accountable to society
Personal Legacy-----------Life is about service, honesty, and setting an example
💬 Final Inspirational Quotes:
"Life isn’t about making more money. It’s about doing more good."
"One day, someone will say: ‘Bogle was stubborn. He never compromised his conscience.’ That will be the best reward."
🧩 Bogle’s Principle Summary (from the book):
- Lower costs — pay less = keep more
- Don’t chase returns — be realistic
- Be a long-term investor — ignore market noise
- Invest broadly, passively, regularly
- Don’t try to beat the market — own the market
- Focus on goals, not trends
- Finance = service. Not a business for profit
💡 Investment Philosophy
🟨 “This is a business where you get what you don’t pay for.”
🟨 “Don’t try to beat the market. Just own it.”
🟨 “In the stock market, investors are rewarded for patience and punished for frenzy.”
🟨 “Gross return minus costs = market return. After costs — less. So: reduce costs — and you win.”
🟨 “The problem isn’t that investors know too little. The problem is they know too much of what doesn’t matter.”
🧭 Principles & Morality
🟩 “Investing is not a business. It’s a service.”
🟩 “Honesty isn’t a strategy. It’s an obligation.”
🟩 “The goal of Vanguard isn’t to make more, but to return to the investor what’s rightfully theirs.”
🟩 “If your investments keep you up at night, change them. Or better — change yourself.”
🧠 On Leadership and Mission
🔷 “A leader isn’t the one in front. It’s the one responsible for the rest.”
🔷 “Respect isn’t bought. It’s earned when you do what’s right, even if it’s unpopular.”
🔷 “We didn’t build Vanguard for glory. We built it to leave something better than what was.”
💬 On the Market and Industry
🔴 “Today's stock market isn’t a place for investors. It’s a casino with a shiny sign.”
🔴 “We’re not against capital. We’re against capitalism without a conscience.”
🔴 “The people selling investments always say they can pick the best. But what if the best is just paying less?”
❤️ On Life and Legacy
💠 “I created Vanguard, but Vanguard created me. It’s not my victory — it’s gratitude for the chance to serve.”
💠 “Every day is a chance to do something not for yourself.”
💠 “You can measure success with money. Or with a conscience, you don’t have to justify.”
It was a lot of work!
Click to like + Write in the comments your favorite books about the financial market
Best regards, EXCAVO
_____________________
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
US10Y: 10-Year Treasury Yield – Safe Bet or Yield Trap?(1/9)
Good morning, everyone! ☀️ US10Y: 10-Year Treasury Yield – Safe Bet or Yield Trap?
With the 10-year yield at 4.358%, is it time to lock in safety or wait for better rates? Let’s break it down! 🔍
(2/9) – YIELD PERFORMANCE 📊
• Current Yield: 4.358% as of Mar 25, 2025 💰
• Historical Context: Above pandemic lows (~1-2%), below early 2000s (5-6%), per data 📏
• Sector Trend: Inverted yield curve signals caution, per economic reports 🌟
It’s a mixed bag—let’s see what’s cooking! ⚙️
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Safe Haven: U.S. Treasuries are risk-free ⏰
• Income Appeal: 4.358% yield draws income seekers 🎯
• Potential Upside: If rates fall, bond prices rise 🚀
Firm in safety, with growth potential! 🏦
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Inverted Yield Curve: 2-year yield higher, hinting at slowdown, per data 🌍
• Fed Outlook: Expected rate cuts later in 2025, per posts on X 📋
• Market Reaction: Investors balancing income with economic risks 💡
Navigating through uncertainty! 💪
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Interest Rate Risk: If rates rise, bond prices drop 🔍
• Inflation Risk: Erodes real returns if inflation outpaces yield 📉
• Opportunity Cost: Missing higher returns from stocks ❄️
It’s a trade-off—risks are real! 🛑
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Risk-Free: No default risk, backed by U.S. government 🥇
• Liquidity: Active market for trading, per data 📊
• Tax Benefits: Interest exempt from state, local taxes 🔧
Got solid foundations! 🏦
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: Interest rate and inflation risks, per economic reports 📉
• Opportunities: Capital gains from falling rates, diversification benefits 📈
Can it deliver both income and growth? 🤔
(8/9) – POLL TIME! 📢
US10Y at 4.358%—your take? 🗳️
• Bullish: Buy now, rates will fall soon 🐂
• Neutral: Hold, wait for more clarity ⚖️
• Bearish: Wait for higher yields or better opportunities 🐻
Chime in below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
US10Y offers a steady yield with safety, but with an inverted curve, caution is advised. Gem or bust?
Breaking: KB Home (NYSE: KBH) On The Verge of a Selling SpreeShares of KB Home (NYSE: NYSE:KBH ) saw a 7% downtick early morning in Tuesday's premarket session breaking below the psychological support point of $60 enroute towards a selling spree.
Operating as a homebuilding company in the United States, the company operates through four segments: West Coast, Southwest, Central, and Southeast. It builds and sells a variety of homes, including attached and detached single-family residential homes, townhomes, and condominiums primarily for first-time, first move-up, second move-up, and active adult homebuyers.
Yesterday after market close KB Home report earnings results, posting lower profit and revenue in its fiscal first quarter, hurt by softer-than-expected demand.
KB Home shares have declined 10% over the past year due to affordability pressures and elevated interest rates, with Q1 results showing significant demand slowdown.
The company reported weak Q1 financials, with earnings and revenue misses, a 9% drop in deliveries, and a 17% fall in net orders.
Elevated interest rates and increased supply have pressured margins and demand, particularly affecting first-time buyers, leading to reduced revenue guidance and operating margin
Financial Performance
In 2024, KB Home's revenue was $6.93 billion, an increase of 8.10% compared to the previous year's $6.41 billion. Earnings were $650.19 million, an increase of 10.97%.
Technical Outlook
As of the time of writing, shares of NYSE:KBH are down 7.20% on Tuesday's premarket trading with the asset facing selling pressure, should the RSI which is currently at 48 dip to 40, a bearish campaign would be inevitable- similarly, a move above the $72 pivot could change the course for NYSE:KBH shares.
Analyst Forecast
According to 13 analysts, the average rating for KBH stock is "Hold." The 12-month stock price forecast is $75.5, which is an increase of 22.19% from the latest price.
Trade long Setup Based on Falling Wedge Breakout
Trade Setup Based on Falling Wedge Breakout
Entry:
Price: 1.07992 (current breakout level)
Confirmation: Breakout from the falling wedge, supported by EMA alignment
Stop Loss (SL):
Technical SL: Below recent swing low
Levels:
1.07392 (60 pips below entry)
1.0720 (below key support for extra safety)
Target Price (TP):
Approx. 1.09300 (measured move from wedge breakout)
Risk-to-Reward: ~1:2.5
1. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
If RSI is below 30, the market is oversold, increasing the chances of a bullish reversal.
If RSI is above 50 after the breakout, it confirms bullish momentum.
2. Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Measuring from the previous swing high to swing low, key levels to watch:
38.2% (1.0850) – First resistance
50% (1.0875) – Stronger confirmation
CRUDE OIL(WTI): Bullish Continuation Confirmed
One of the setups that we discussed on a today's live stream
was a bullish flag pattern on WTI Crude Oil on an hourly chart.
Its resistance breakout provides a strong bullish confirmation.
We can expect growth at least to 70 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
S - Roadmap to $1S has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue.
Currently, S is retesting the upper boundary of the channel and a key structure at $0.63.
For the bulls to stay in control and aim for the $1 round number, a break above $0.63 is needed.
In the meantime, if S retests the lower boundary of the blue channel and the $0.50 round number, we will be looking for trend-following long opportunities.
Lingrid | GBPJPY trend CONTINUATION Following a BreakoutThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . It hit the TP level. The overall FX:GBPJPY price action is forming an ABC move, with the C point completing around the 196.000 level. Recently, the price broke and closed above both the downward trendline and the support level at 194.000. Currently, it is testing last week's high, which coincides with the psychological level of 195.000. On the daily timeframe, a big bullish candle has formed, indicating bullish dominance. I believe the price may create a range zone at this level before continuing higher and potentially breaking out of the PWH. My goal is resistance zone at 195.750
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Lingrid | TRXUSDT sideways MARKET Movement. Long OpportunityThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . It reached the target level. BINANCE:TRXUSDT market recently made a fake break of the previous support level before bouncing back and reaching the upper boundary of the channel. When we zoom out, it's clear that the price has been consolidating for two months. Notably, the market has created a range zone at support level around 0.2200, with the price rebounding from this level multiple times, indicating its importance to the market. I think the price may move upward from this support, retest the trendline, and potentially approach the channel's upper boundary. My goal is resistance zone at 0.2370
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Osaka Protocol ($OSAK) Gears Up for a Surge!$OSAK has broken out of a falling wedge pattern, climbing 5% today, signaling potential upside momentum. The decentralized finance initiative, which emphasizes equal ownership and responsibility, once soared to nearly $300M market cap before retracing to its current $44M valuation.
With growing momentum and rising hype, RSI at 65 hints at further bullish movement. Since late February 2025, $OSAK has been in a falling wedge, mirroring the broader market downturn, shedding 71% of its value—but this breakout could mark a turning point.
Osaka Protocol Price Live Data
The live Osaka Protocol price today is $0.00000006.04 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $73,505.72 USD. Osaka Protocol is up 5.79% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $45,315,303 USD. It has a circulating supply of 750,869,738,630,302 OSAK coins and a max. supply of 1,000,000,000,000,000 OSAK coins.
SILVER SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,314.3
Target Level: 3,276.5
Stop Loss: 3,339.5
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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