Avalanche AVAX price analysis🔴 Do you think that the price of CRYPTOCAP:AVAX has bottomed out and is completing a "double bottom" pattern?
📉 Will there be another downward movement in the price of OKX:AVAXUSDT , for example to $14, followed by the long-awaited upward trend?
Either way, in both cases, there is every chance that the price of the #Avalanche token could reach $45 by the end of 2025.
P.S:
The price of #AvaxUSD is moving nicely along the established channels — take advantage of this and make a profit!
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GBP/USD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/USD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously rising on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.333 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
We said we would stick with the plan and look for the higher levels on Gold, which we did and worked well. Once we approached the red box however, you'll notice we broke straight through it. The indicators then gave us numerous long signals which meant we either got in with the madness of the move, or, simple waited for the red box target to hit and then attempt the short on the RIP, which is moving nicely at the moment.
Now resistance is on the flip 3350 with support below 3333-5 which is we're we are looking for a potential bounce. We have made a big move today so not expecting much towards the end of the session.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3250 with targets above 3278✅, 3285✅, 3297✅ and above that 3306✅
Bearish below 3250 with targets below 3240, 3232, 3220 and below that 3212
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3275 for 3279✅, 3285✅, 3289✅ and 3306✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3260 for 3255, 3251, 3240 and 3235 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
dollar elliott wave countingdxy is falling since it peaked in Q4 2022
since their last 75bps hike dollar is constantly falling and stocks, gold, bitcoin constantly rising and making new all time high
wave W = wave Y
(equal in length, 100% projection for wave Y)
since starting of the year due to trump tariff dollar is falling
this is year in first half dollar saw biggest collapse since end of gold standard
now 100% projection target for wave Y at 95 area is big static support level
if dxy recover back to 100 area then this will be first sign of reversal
End of Month and QuarterAs we wrapped up the end of the month and the end of the quarter, it can be helpful for traders to take time and look back on how markets have performed. The second quarter of 2025 showed extreme volatility in many markets, starting off with the strong broad selloff with the tariff announcement in early April, and as that was walked back the markets have rallied and equity markets are trading near all time high prices, specifically the S&P and Nasdaq. Traders also saw the Fed keep rates unchanged at the June meeting, stating that rate cuts are available if needed depending on the data.
As of now, the CME Fed Watch Tool is pricing in another pause for rates at the July meeting in a few weeks, and the first cut coming at the September meeting at a near 75% probability by 25 basis points. Powell has mentioned that the Fed does not want to be early with rate cuts, and wants to only use the cuts if necessary and as a tool. There will be imperative data looking at GDP, inflation, and jobs that may give traders an idea of the direction the Fed will go on rates for the second half of the year.
US100 — New ATH Trading SetupThe price recently previous ATH at the 22730 level. Current ATH is marked near 22,800, with a POC at 22,640.
Potential support around 22,500, below POC.
Watch for a bounce or further rise beyond 22,920.
Buyers probably will push right through 23,000 level today on Micros and Minis.
EUR/USD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/USD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 17H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.160 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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KSE-100 ANALYSIS 03-07-2025KSE 100 Index Technical Analysis (15-minute timeframe)
After completing a short-term uptrend and achieving a high of 131,350, the KSE 100 index went into an intraday pullback, forming a spring pattern (marked on the chart). The pullback ended at 129,960, and the index reversed upwards.
Key Observations:
- Shallow intraday pullback, indicating strong underlying momentum
- Spring pattern formation, suggesting potential for upward continuation
- Reversal from the pullback level, confirming the short-term uptrend
Targets:
- Short-term Target: 132,000
- Midterm Targets: Remain unchanged, with the final target at 138,970 (as highlighted in yesterday's update)
Let's monitor the KSE 100 index's performance and see if it achieves the targets.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD, March 7, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure
On the H1 chart, wave 3 appears to have completed, and price is now entering a phase with an unusual structural behavior.
Wave 3 previously showed strong momentum, moving steeply and continuously, with no clear internal pullbacks – a classic impulse wave. Following this, we observed a corrective abc pattern in black, suggesting the end of wave 3.
Interestingly, although yesterday's ADP report was extremely bullish, gold only managed a mild breakout above the wave 3 high before pulling back this morning. Notably, the upward move followed a 3-wave abc structure in green, and price action is now showing overlapping waves with no clear directional momentum.
🧩 These signs suggest a high probability that:
🔹 Wave 5 is forming as an Ending Diagonal – a 5-wave structure with a 3-3-3-3-3 pattern.
🔹 This is typically seen at the end of a bullish cycle and often precedes a sharp reversal.
Although it's too early to confirm, we should patiently observe the upcoming price action. If the ending diagonal completes, it may present a strong sell opportunity.
🎯 Target for wave 5: around 3395, provided all 5 sub-waves within the diagonal complete.
⚠️ If price breaks below 3324, we must consider that the full 5-wave structure is already done, and a new abc corrective phase may have begun.
🔍 Momentum Analysis
Daily (D1): Momentum is about to turn bearish from overbought territory → suggests a weakening uptrend.
H4: Momentum is turning upward → likely a mild rally or sideways movement today before H4 reaches overbought again.
📌 Trading Plan
Given the current wave behavior and overlapping structure, it is best to remain patient and wait for confirmation before taking a strong position. If the Ending Diagonal structure is confirmed, it could signal a major reversal.
SELL Zone: 3392 – 3395
Stop Loss: 3403
Take Profits:
• TP1: 3368
• TP2: 3340
• TP3: 3324
EURUSD before the NFPEURUSD remains in an uptrend, holding steady around the 1,1800 level.
Today, the U.S. Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data will be released.
The news is scheduled for 1:30 PM London time and tends to have a significant market impact.
It's advisable to reduce risk on all open positions and avoid rushing into new trades.
Keep an eye on how the price reacts around key levels and whether it has the strength to continue the trend.
Top fundamentals that will shape the S&P 500 this summer 2025The summer of 2025 is characterized by a combination of macroeconomic and microeconomic factors that will shape the trajectory of the US equity market. While the S&P 500 is trading close to its all-time highs and at a valuation comparable to that at the end of 2021, the strength of the upward momentum will depend on the conjunction of several key variables. Understanding these fundamentals is crucial to grasping the potential and risks awaiting investors over the coming months.
1) The trade war and economic diplomacy, the main source of uncertainty
The trade issue remains the most unpredictable at the start of the summer. The July 9 deadline for the conclusion or failure of tariff negotiations is crystallizing tensions between the United States and its main partners. The prospect of a new wave of tariffs could have a direct impact on production costs, inflation and business confidence. Trade diplomacy is thus the variable most likely to provoke volatility jolts and challenge positive earnings growth expectations. If trade agreements are signed, then this will help to sustain the S&P 500's uptrend.
2) US fiscal policy: the “One Big, Beautiful Bill”
The Trump administration's major tax bill is another hotspot. This piece of legislation calls for an extension of the tax cuts initiated in 2017 and a dramatic increase in the public debt ceiling, to the tune of $5,000 billion. While these measures potentially support consumption and private investment, their medium-term impact on public finances is uncertain. The real issue for the equity market is to assess whether these decisions will lead to a surge in long-term US bond yields. A slippage in US Treasury yields would increase corporate financing costs and undermine currently high valuation multiples. Conversely, if yields remain contained, the equity market's upward momentum could continue.
3) Inflation and the Fed's monetary policy: a delicate balance
The trajectory of inflation, in particular that of the PCE index, will be a major determinant. US inflation is currently slightly below the Fed's target. Several components, notably the services sector, which accounts for almost two-thirds of the PCE basket, are proving relatively stable. Inflationary risks are more likely to come from commodities, particularly if trade tensions reignite. Oil, which accounts for around 11% of the PCE basket, is currently showing no major warning signs, benefiting from a geopolitical calm. Real estate and healthcare are also showing reassuring indicators. Against this backdrop, the Federal Reserve is adopting a cautious stance: while several major Western central banks are moving towards a neutral rate, the Fed is stalling and conditioning its monetary pivot on visibility regarding tariffs and corporate behavior.
The timing of rate cuts is one of the biggest sticking points. According to recent signals, the first rate cut could take place as early as September. However, influential members of the FOMC, appointed by the Trump administration, are arguing for earlier easing. The political pressure is strong: Trump is calling for immediate cuts, but Chairman Powell remains in control of the agenda, taking care to preserve a consensus within the committee.
4) The job market and the likelihood of a recession
The US employment situation is an advanced barometer of the economic cycle. Weekly jobless claims and the aggregate unemployment rate are closely monitored. Historically, a significant rise in unemployment signals that the economic slowdown is already underway. For the time being, the labor market is proving resilient, but the slightest deterioration could alter investors' central scenario and reinforce recessionary expectations. This risk is one of the potential dampeners to the prevailing optimism, unless it were to accelerate the timetable for resuming the cut in the federal funds rate.
5) Second-quarter results and earnings outlook
The second-quarter earnings season is of particular importance. US companies must demonstrate their ability to deliver earnings growth in line with forecasts, even as valuation multiples remain stretched. Maintaining high price levels on the S&P 500 assumes robust earnings growth and confident guidance from management. Failing this, the risk of a correction would be high, especially as the market has already incorporated many positive factors. The weakness of the US dollar and the price of oil, as well as the current momentum in AI, could hold out some pleasant surprises for second-quarter results.
6) Geopolitics and oil, potential sources of volatility
Finally, global geopolitics is a second-order variable, but one that could suddenly become a priority. A rapid deterioration in the international situation, particularly in the Middle East or the China Sea, could affect trade flows and oil prices, fuelling renewed inflation and financial volatility.
Conclusion :
The summer of 2025 promises to be a period of strategic transition for the US equity market. Between trade diplomacy, fiscal policy, inflation, the trajectory of interest rates and earnings momentum, investors will have to deal with an accumulation of uncertain factors. If these uncertainties gradually dissipate, the uptrend could continue. Conversely, the combination of a geopolitical shock, a rebound in inflation and a political stalemate over the federal budget would have the potential to weaken the current rally.
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GOLD Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is going up now
And the price broke the
Key horizontal level
Around 3,346$ and
The breakout is confimred
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bearish Move From Resistance
Gold went overbought after a test of a key daily resistance cluster.
A formation of multiple bearish imbalance candles on an hourly time frame
signifies a local dominance of the sellers.
The price will continue retracing at least to 3323 support.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDJPY - let's do it again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As per our last AUDJPY analysis (attached on the chart), it rejected the first blue circle zone and surged in a parabolic manner.
📈AUDJPY is currently retesting the intersection of the blue trendline and red support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AUDJPY is around the latest blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Hellena | Oil (4H): LONG to 50% lvl Fibo area of 70.00.Colleagues, after a long break, I think it is worth returning to oil forecasts. The situation is stabilizing a bit and now I think that the price is in a strong correction (ABC) at the moment I see wave “B”, which may reach the area of 50% Fibonacci 70 level.
It is possible that wave “A” will continue to develop towards the 62-63 area, but I still hope for an upward movement.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Bitcoin: 170k–180k?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Bitcoin: 170k to 180k?
Let’s talk bias.
We’ve seen a powerful move off the 75k low, and it’s hitting some markers of a potential wave 1 impulse. If that structure holds and price doesn’t come back to wipe out the lows in a wave 2 retracement, then this is what we’d be looking at.
The idea? This is a conservative roadmap built off Elliott Wave Fibonacci projections and it targets the 170k to 180k zone.
Now, let’s be clear. This is a conservative projection. We’re not talking hopium fueled 250k moon targets here. We have no proof of that yet. We're anchoring the wave count and saying: if this is a 1, we’re due a 2, and then a 3 takes us to the upper levels.
But there’s a catch. Always is.
If price starts to fade back through the 91.8k area in a deep aggressive retrace, this roadmap gets less likely. Breaking the 75k pivot means the impulse structure failed or was misread, and we shift the count.
Until then, the 170k–180k level is a possible destination based on this roadmap.
Trade Safe!
Trade Clarity!
GBPAUD Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GBPAUD is below:
The market is trading on 2.0742 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 2.0862
Recommended Stop Loss - 2.0677
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK