USDCAD My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USDCAD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.3669
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.3621
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
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GBP/USD - Bearish Channel (07.07.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3545
2nd Support – 1.3485
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$SEI — the most underrated monster right now?
➡️ February 2024:
TVL = $13M
Price = $1
Market Cap ≈ $2.4B
➡️ Now:
TVL = $624M ❗️
Price = $0.25
Market Cap ≈ $1.4B
❓ How can you ignore these numbers? The project grew 48x in TVL, but the market cap dropped nearly 2x. Where's the logic?
If you're whining about the $0.25 price —
🔴 you're only looking at the chart, but missing what’s happening under the hood.
👉 My view: the second half of 2025 will be epic for the SEI ecosystem.
GOLD - The One That Survived All Ages - Trading PsychologySummer light reading between trades💫
From Ancient Gods to modern banks — Gold never needed marketing to be priceless.
Gold was never invented.
It was found, worshipped, stolen, buried, and bled for.
Long before charts, before forex pairs, before brokers — it was power.
So if you're wondering why this metal moves the world?
Let’s take it back — way back.
But before we dive into history, here’s why traders are addicted to XAUUSD:
It’s fast. Ruthless. Liquid. It can deliver a week’s profit in one candle — or wipe you out in seconds.
If you understand structure, it will reward you like nothing else.
If you’re lazy, impulsive, or just guessing?
It’ll humble you fast and without mercy.
The Discovery – Gold Before Currency
• Gold was first discovered in Paleolithic caves (~40,000 B.C.), admired purely for its beauty.
• Ancient Egyptians called it “The flesh of the Gods” — Pharaohs were buried with it, because in their mind, you couldn’t enter the afterlife without gold.
• No value was assigned — it simply was value.
Empire Fuel – Gold as the Engine of War
• The Roman Empire used Gold Coins (Aureus) to expand its reach.
• Spain and Portugal built fleets just to steal it from the Americas.
• Entire wars were started and sustained by it — Gold wasn’t a luxury; it was national survival.
Gold & the Banks – Trust in a Metal
• 1816: The UK made Gold its official standard.
• By the early 1900s, most major economies followed — every currency was tied to the physical rulling metal .
• Why? Because you can’t print trust. But you can weigh it.
• Even today, central banks don’t hoard crypto or tech stocks — they hoard Gold, quietly, relentlessly.
Collapse, Rebirth, and Chaos – The Modern Era of Gold
• 1971: U.S. President Nixon kills the gold standard.
➤ Until then, every dollar had to be backed by real gold in U.S. vaults.
➤ After that? Dollars became promises, not assets.
• Welcome to the fiat era — where money has no anchor, just hope.
• Gold, no longer “money,” became something more powerful:
➤ The panic button, the global fallback, the last honest asset when everything else crumbles.
• And crumble it did:
🔹 2008: Banks collapse — Gold soars.
🔹 2020: Global lockdown — It explodes.
🔹 2022–2024: War, inflation, debt ceilings, de-dollarization — Gold reclaims the throne.
When fear wins, this metal doesn’t blink. It rises.
From Ancient Tombs to 2025 – Gold’s Unshakable Throne
• Today, you stare at candlesticks.
You mark order blocks, gaps, and key level zones.
But beneath that technical setup is a story written in blood, empire, and survival.
• Gold has outlived Kings. Outlasted currencies. Outsmarted every attempt to replace it.
You can crash a stock. You can ban a coin.
But you can’t cancel this number 1.
• And now? It’s 2025.
The world is uncertain. Digital assets are volatile.
And Gold is still the most traded, most hoarded, most feared asset on Earth.
• You’re not here by accident. You chose to trade this beast — not because it’s easy, but because you know what it means to master chaos.
So you’re not trading a metal.
You’re trading a legacy, so pay respect.
Every setup is a whisper from history — and every move on Gold is just the past repeating itself…
Only this time, the empire isn’t outside.
It’s YOU.
And your chart is your battlefield. So make an effort and study XAUUSD before trading it.
If this lesson helped you today and brought you more clarity:
Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more published ideas.
Quick take on DAXTariffs, no tariffs, tariffs, no tariffs... Let's look at the technical picture...
XETR:DAX
MARKETSCOM:GERMANY40
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
COFFEE - My Commodity of ChoiceI've laid out a plan I'm looking at on one of my favorite commodities - COFFEE ☕😍
What makes it so hard is the predictability of the weather - nearly impossible for the future. However, it is odd to see that the price still bonces at key support and resistance zones, almost like any "stock". Which tells me regular market trading still applies despite the odd weather event.
The reason Coffee has fallen so hard over the past few months is supply - due to extremely favorable weather conditions, coffee supply is more than demand. Resulting, as market dynamics goes, in a drop of price.
It's unfortunate though that my favorite pack of beans at the supermarket has not gone down - weird how that works 🙄 I like a medium roast, Columbia single origin.
It's dropped -33% already, but I can clearly see the market structure entering bearish phase after the bullish phase, peak (the new high) and now likely a multi-month bearish season. The question is just where the price can bottom for such a well loved commodity.
I looked at past cycles, not too long ago we dropped roughly 44% during the bearish cycle, taking 2-3 years to move into accumulation before another impulse wave up. That places a target for entry exactly in the highlighted zone around $250ish.
But I wouldn't get too greedy on my favorite commodity, buying orders can't be too low either. This would likely have to be a multiyear hold. Pepperstone sells coffee on cash contract but I usually do futures. Pity that I didn't get in sooner, bullish cycles is also at least a 2 year journey. I'll sell when the weather is bad 😅
Next up? Chocolate for sure...
NZDUSD: Important Breakout 🇳🇿🇺🇸
NZDUSD looks bearish after a false violation of a current daily structure high.
The price dropped with a high momentum bearish candle, violating
a significant support cluster and closing below that.
The pair may fall even more.
Next support - 0.5952
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Breakout vs Fakeout: How to Spot the DifferenceHello, Traders! 🖖🏻
There’s probably no phrase that triggers more mixed emotions in crypto trading than: “Looks like we’re breaking out!”. Because let’s be honest…For every clean breakout that follows through with momentum…
…there’s a fakeout waiting to trap overconfident entries.
So, how do you tell the difference? Let’s break it down!
🧱 What Is a Breakout?
A breakout occurs when the price moves decisively beyond a key level, such as support, resistance, a trendline, or a range boundary, and holds.
What makes it a REAL breakout?
Volume Expansion: More participants step in as the price moves through the level.
Strong Candle Closes: Especially on higher timeframes like 4H or 1D.
Follow-Through: The market doesn’t just poke above the level. It builds on it.
No Immediate Rejection: You don’t see a sharp wick straight back below.
Example from BTC (2021):
Look back at January to February 2021. BTC had been stuck under the $42K–$43K resistance for weeks. Every push got sold off, until it didn’t.
When the breakout finally came, it was clean. The massive daily candle closed right through the level. Volume exploded. And there wasn’t even a polite little retest, price just launched straight toward $58K, leaving anyone waiting for a pullback completely behind.
Pure trend breakout energy. Everything lined up: the context, the volume, the structure — textbook 🤌🏻
🪤 What Is a Fakeout?
A fakeout, on the other hand, looks like a breakout… until it isn’t. The price briefly moves beyond a key level, but then snaps back inside the range, often trapping late buyers (or sellers) and triggering stop-losses.
Common Signs of a FAKEOUT:
Low or Declining Volume (at the breakout moment).
Quick Rejection with a Long Wick (especially on intraday charts).
Failure to Hold Above the Level on Retest.
Divergence Between Timeframes: For example, a 15M breakout that looks strong while the 4H still shows consolidation.
Classic BTC example:
This one was sneaky! After BTC hit its all-time high around $65K, the market started looking shaky. Price tried to recover by pushing back into the $58K–$60K zone, a pretty critical level at the time. It looked like a breakout attempt… but something was off. No real volume. No strong candle closes. And then, BOOM, hard rejection. The price popped just enough above resistance to lure in breakout traders (and probably clear out some stop-losses)… then completely reversed. And not just a minor pullback, this fakeout basically triggered the entire leg down toward $30K. Classic liquidity grab. The kind of move that looks like strength for a second… until it absolutely isn’t.
🕵️♂️ Key Differences: Breakout vs Fakeout (Checklist)
🧠 What Causes Fakeouts in Crypto?
Honestly, fakeouts aren’t some kind of accident. They’re almost baked into how crypto markets work.
Part of it comes down to simple liquidity hunting. The market knows exactly where traders tend to place their stop losses, right above resistance or just below support. Price often spikes into those zones, triggers stops, fills larger orders for bigger players… and then reverses completely.
Another reason? A lack of real conviction. Sometimes, it’s mostly retail traders chasing a move. Price pokes above a key level, but there just isn’t enough momentum to sustain it. Without bigger buyers or sellers stepping in, the move collapses right back.
And let’s be honest. When everyone on Crypto Twitter is watching the exact same level, fakeouts become almost inevitable. The more obvious the setup, the more likely it gets front-run, faded, or manipulated.
Plus, a huge mistake? People ignore the higher timeframe context. A breakout on the 15-minute chart might feel exciting… but if the 1D or 4H is still clearly in a downtrend, that breakout is fighting against the bigger picture. No surprise it fails. Fakeouts happen because the market’s job is to make most people wrong, at least for a moment.
🧭 Final Thought
Breakouts and fakeouts are part of the same game: they involve both liquidity and psychology. The market rewards patience, context, and waiting for confirmation. Sometimes, missing the first candle can save you from being a liability to someone else. So, next time an asset “breaks out,” take a second look. Is it really moving with force? Or is it just another trap waiting to be sprung?
What’s the last fakeout that caught you off guard? Drop your story in the comments. Let’s compare lessons learned!
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
We like it when the indicators and algo's work but when it doesn't quite go to the KOG Report plan it is a bit disappointing. It just goes to show the market has it's plan and all we're doing is adapting and looking to take a few crumbs from it.
Following on from yesterday, we had a red box break and our bias level broke which meant no long trade early session, instead, we completed all but one of the bearish targets in one swoop.
We then updated traders suggesting the liquidity indicators are showing that a reversal is on the way and as support formed at the key level we managed to get the long instead into the 3330 level which is where we are now. Support now is the 3320 region but as you can see we're above the red box. That makes this a crucial level, if we hold, we continue with the plan on the KOG Report and potentially get our short from higher up, or, we wait and see how that box below reacts to price.
Either way, it's too late in the session to do anything, we'll come back tomorrow.
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3350 for 3355, 3360, 3362, 3365, 3374, 3388 and 3396 in extension of the move
Break below 3335 for 333✅1, 3324✅, 3321✅, 3310✅, 3306✅ and 3293 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
KOG - US30US30
Looking at this we have a clean reversal in play suggesting we’re going to get lower order regions before a potential RIP. The red boxes have been added and may give us opportunities to capture the tap and bounces on the smaller TFs.
If we can support lower, we could very well see this push up into the ideal target level we have illustrated.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
TIAUSDT Monitoring Completion of Bearish 5-Wave FormationTIAUSDT remains in a structured downtrend, nearing completion of a potential 5-wave bearish pattern similar to a previous setup that led to an upside breakout before resuming the decline. A similar scenario is anticipated this time, with plans to go long if price action confirms a strong rejection around Wave 5.
A projected ABC corrective move outlines the near-term bullish targets. The $4.648 level will act as a key pivot; a breakout above it could shift momentum bullishly, opening the path toward $9.144. However, failure at that level may trigger renewed downside toward the $1.30–$1.55 demand zone.
Lingrid | GOLD Shorting Opportunity at Confluence ResistanceOANDA:XAUUSD is approaching the key resistance near 3360 after rebounding from the 3245 support level and breaking out of the downward channel. Price is now testing the upward trendline from below, intersecting with the red descending trendline and horizontal resistance. If this confluence zone rejects the rally, a return toward 3305 or lower is likely, forming a potential bearish retest.
📉 Key Levels
Sell zone: 3350–3360
Buy trigger: breakout above 3360 with close above 3375
Target: 3305
Sell trigger: rejection from 3360 and break of 3340
⚠️ Risks
Break and retest of 3360 may invalidate short setup
Volatility around red trendline could trigger fakeouts
Demand near 3305 may cause sharp bounces if sellers stall
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Lingrid | EURAUD Trend Continuation Pattern FX:EURAUD is maintaining bullish momentum within a broad upward channel after bouncing from the 1.7900 support zone and forming a triangle continuation pattern. Price is coiling just below the 1.8000 handle and the red resistance boundary of the channel. A confirmed breakout above 1.8000 could open the path toward the 1.8100 target area, extending the broader bullish structure.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 1.7880–1.7900
Sell trigger: breakdown below 1.7880
Target: 1.8100
Buy trigger: breakout and retest of 1.8000–1.8020 zone
💡 Risks
Rejection from 1.8000 resistance could trigger a pullback
Break below the blue trendline may invalidate bullish setup
Low momentum breakout may stall below 1.8050
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
GBPCAD: Bullish Continuation Ahead?! 🇬🇧🇨🇦
One of the pairs that we discussed on the today's live stream
is GBPCAD.
The price nicely respected a key daily/intraday horizontal support.
A double bottom pattern on that and a bullish violation of its neckline
provide strong bullish confirmations.
I expect up move to 1.8666
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WAVES LONG TRADE 08-07-2025WAVES – LONG TRADE | 08 JULY 2025 (STRIKE ONE REVISIT – RECALL SIGNAL)
WAVES has been consolidating since June 2023 in a broad range. The recent bullish price action indicates strength and potential for breakout, marking a recall signal of the original Strike One opportunity. With multiple targets in play and a strong risk-reward ratio, this setup presents a favorable long entry.