Breaking: $KAVA Surged 10% Today Amidst A Falling Wedge KAVA the Layer-1 blockchain that combines the speed and interoperability of Cosmos with the developer power of Ethereum's native token SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:KAVA urged 10% today amidst a bullish pennant.
From the first week of December, 2024 SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:KAVA underwent a falling wedge pattern losing almost 50% of market value. Consequent to the bullish pennant formed, SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:KAVA coin surged 10% hinting at a 36% surge to the recent high of December 4, 2024.
Kava Price Live Data
The live Kava price today is $0.539085 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $25,133,445 USD. Kava is up 8.88% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $583,750,357 USD. It has a circulating supply of 1,082,853,482 KAVA coins and the max. supply is not available.
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EURJPY: Potential downward move towards 161.00?OANDA:EURJPY is currently approaching a significant resistance zone, an area that has been a key point of interest where sellers have regained control, leading to notable reversals in the past. Given this, there is potential for a bearish reaction if price action confirms rejection, such as a bearish engulfing candle, long upper wicks or increased selling volume.
If the resistance level holds, I anticipate a downward move toward 161.00, a target that seems at least achievable. This would more likely be a call on a bearish outlook, as sellers may step in to push the price lower from this key level. However, if the price breaks this zone and sustains the up move, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, and we could potentially see a larger upside move.
Given the potential volatility around this zone, it’s crucial to monitor candlestick patterns and volume closely to identify strong selling opportunities. Proper risk management is essential to handle any potential volatility and protect your capital if the price breaks out.
S&P 500 Recovery: First Price Target Reached What’s Next?S&P 500 Update – Downside Target Hit
The first P&F count has been reached, raising the question of whether this is a true reversal. Market patterns often show a low forming at quarter-end followed by a retest in the new quarter.
Currently, the market is in recovery mode off the bottom. The key questions remain: Is this recovery sustainable, and where might it lead? Is this truly a reversal?
Having achieved the downside objectives, the market is now starting to build cause. The initial lift off the low is notable, but its timing at the end of the first quarter requires caution. There could still be a need for additional testing.
A common pattern in markets is the formation of two lows – one at the end of the old quarter and another in the new quarter – creating what appears as a low and a test.
If a significant market turn is developing with a potential uptrend in the second and third quarters, there will be ample time to position accordingly. The prudent approach now is to create a shopping list of potential investments and look for good ideas and market leadership.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
EUR/AUD Rising Wedge Short Setup🔥 EUR/AUD Rising Wedge Short Setup 🔥
📍 Entry: 1.72200 (Sell)
🎯 Target (TP): 1.71400
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 1.72800
📊 EMA: 50-period (for trend confirmation)
⚖ Risk Management Applied
📉 Analysis & Considerations:
✅ Rising Wedge = Bearish pattern 📉 → Expecting a downside move.
✅ EMA 50 Check → If price is below EMA, confirms short bias. If above, reconsider trade.
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R)
Risk: 🚨 60 pips (SL: 1.72800 – 1.72200)
Reward: 🎯 80 pips (TP: 1.72200 – 1.71400)
R:R = 1:1.33 → Decent, but could be better! 📊
🔥 Trade Execution Plan:
🔻 Sell Below 1.72200 → Wait for confirmation candles 📉
🔻 SL Above 1.72800 → Protect against fakeouts 🚫
🔻 TP at 1.71400 → Wedge breakdown target 🎯
🛠 Extra Risk Management Tips:
📏 Lot Size: Adjust based on 1-2% risk per trade ✅
📉 Look for Bearish Confirmation: Rejection candles, RSI/MACD divergence 🚦
NVIDIA Rounding Top: Bearish Swings Q1 2025TA
Nvidia demonstrated strong growth throughout 2024. However, this year, it has shown rather a poor performance. When an uptrend started to weaken, it gave off subtle signals before a full reversal happened on the horizon. One of the first clues is that the highs collectively begin to appear curved compared with initial rough growth. This reflects the loss of aggressive bullish intent, showing hesitation and vulnerability to a reversal.
The price still makes higher highs, but the incremental gain between each peak shrinks. This declining magnitude in price advancement suggests that buyers are gradually losing strength with each move. These shallow bullish waves often get sold into quickly, showing early distribution behavior.
Simultaneously, it takes longer time for price to reach each successive high . When higher highs occur at reduced frequency, the rally phases become stretched out. This indicates buyers are struggling, and sellers are gaining time-based control.
Extended Rounding Top Pattern
Price crosses above the rounding top
Indicates a failed reversal and potential bullish breakout. Suggests renewed buying strength and possible trend continuation. I'd recommend using confirmation tools like volume spikes and momentum indicators which are essential to validate the breakout.
Price reaches the rounding top and stalls or reverses
Confirms the bearish reversal signal of the pattern. Acts as a strong resistance zone, often leading to a downtrend. Alongside with fibs, it can be used as a cue to take profits, exit long trades, or enter short positions.
FUNDAMENTALS
Catalysts of Bearish Swings
A transition phase characterized by a series of sharp bearish swings, marked by a sequence of Lower Highs and Lower Lows, shaping a well-defined downward channel.
Drop #1: ATH → Higher Low
(Early January 2025)
After Nvidia’s euphoric 2024 AI hype rally, it was a matter of time as some institutional Investors locked in profits, causing initial drop.
Valuation metrics (P/E; P/S) reached extremes creating grounds for a correction.
The Fed’s January meeting hinted at fewer rate cuts than the market expected. Rising Treasury yields pressured tech stocks.
The U.S. government has imposed strict export controls on advanced semiconductors, AI chips and related technology to China.
Drop #2: Lower High → Lower Low
(Late January to February 2025)
While Nvidia beat Q4 earnings expectations, its forward guidance disappointed. Management cited softening data center orders and consumer GPU inventory corrections.
Concerns about potential erosion in gross margins due to increasing costs and competitive pricing pressure from AMD and Intel.
AI infrastructure spending was plateauing faster than expected, leading to re-ratings across the sector.
Drop #3: Second Lower High → Second Lower Low
(Mid to Late February through Early March 2025)
Several investment banks downgraded semiconductor stocks, including Nvidia, amid fears of a cyclical slowdown and oversupply risks in H2 2025.
In early March, broader indices dropped due to hot inflation prints in February. Fed’s stance during testimony to Congress indicated a higher interest rate outlook.
Reports emerged about delays in next-gen chip production due to yield issues at TSMC and logistics constraints, fueling investor anxiety.
Renewed export control tightening and U.S.-China friction were again cited as major concerns earlier this year. These concerns were part of the bearish narrative during Nvidia’s downward structure, especially during Drop #1 and Drop #2 where investors began pricing in geopolitical and regulatory headwinds.
Events & Economic catalysts to monitor (before buying heavy):
Nvidia Earnings Q1 2025 Mid to Late May 2025
Why it matters: Forward guidance, Data Center/AI segment growth, margin updates, and China sales commentary will heavily impact sentiment and trend direction.
U.S. CPI (Inflation) Reports April 10, 2025 (March CPI)
Remember: Hot inflation = higher rate expectations → tech sector sell-off. Watch for YoY core CPI trends.
U.S. Jobs Report (NFP) April 4, 2025
Keep in mind: Strong labor = sticky inflation = Fed hawkishness → higher discount rates on growth stocks.
Semiconductor Industry Conferences
・NVIDIA GTC (GPU Technology Conference) – usually held Spring or Fall
・Semicon West 2025 – typically July
Track the progress: Product launches, AI roadmaps, new partnerships, and forward tech strategy updates often revealed.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another Piptastic day on the charts with our analysis playing out perfectly.
After completing all our Bullish targets yesterday we confirmed the gap to 3049 remained open after cross and lock above 3029.
- This was hit perfectly today completing this target. No further cross and lock above 3049 confirmed the rejection into the lower Goldturn for the bounce just like we said!!
We will now see price play between both these Goldturns until we see a cross and lock on either level to confirm the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2993 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2993 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3011 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3011 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3029 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3029 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3049 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3049 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3068
BEARISH TARGETS
2968
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2968 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2942
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2942 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2922
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2922 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2906 - 2886
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
EURUSD: What does mathematics say about its trend?EURUSD pair!! What can we expect from its trend in the coming weeks? It's common knowledge that the euro has strengthened significantly since March 3rd, as the chart clearly shows. What has this been due to? Multiple factors (Trump, USD technical decline, tariffs, manipulation, etc.). But what's important for a trader? Knowing the direction in the coming weeks. If we look at the surveys (shown in the chart), 90% of traders believe that the EURUSD will go down. And us? What do we think...
---> Let's analyze the chart to think mathematically and forget about surveys and people's opinions because that's how a profitable trader should think, like a bot!
Mathematically, it's clear: BEARISH in the long term and BULLISH in a RECUMBENT PHASE or LOSING STRENGTH in the short term. In the chart above (H4), we clearly see that the trend is bullish, but that it has begun to retreat and break through key support zones. And if we look at the chart below (H1), the price is entering a POSSIBLE TREND CHANGE ZONE! If it breaks through the gray zone, the EURUSD WILL DROP STRONGLY!
With this data and the SURVEY... What would you think as a TRADER? That the EURUSD WILL DROP IN THE COMING WEEKS, and therefore, we must be prepared for possible short entries.
---> But is this opinion reliable yet? From my point of view, when the trend on the H1 chart turns bearish (Bear), I would enter short without hesitation, but NOT BEFORE! The volatility due to tariffs can MANIPULATE MATHEMATICS and therefore give us FALSE SIGNALS. And the fault won't lie with math, but with market manipulation, because math works perfectly in a stable market, but when there are people (Mr. TRUMP) who manipulate everything, ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN IN A MATTER OF HOURS OR MINUTES :-).
In short, we clearly see a BEAR PHASE in the EURUSD, which is also in favor of its weekly trend, so it could be strong and take us back to the 1.05000 zone.
Best regards, and I will update the PAR information in the coming days.
NZD/USD sell setup Chart Details & Analysis
**Chart Details & Analysis (NZD/USD 15-Minute Chart)**
Indicators & Current Price Action:
- Exponential Moving Averages (EMA):
- 7-period EMA (Blue): 0.58260
- 21-period EMA (Purple): 0.58234
- 50-period EMA (Yellow): 0.58196
- Current Price: 0.58256
- Recent Highs:
- Top 1: Previous peak before retracement.
- Top 2:** A new high indicating possible resistance.
**Key Chart Observations:**
1. **Double Top Formation?**
- The **"Top 1" and "Top 2"** levels suggest the possibility of a **double top** pattern, which is typically a **bearish reversal signal** if the price fails to break above **Top 2**.
- If confirmed, a drop toward the **target zone** is possible.
2. **Support & Breakdown Potential:**
- The price is currently near the **short-term EMAs (7 & 21)**. If it holds above these levels, the uptrend could continue.
- A breakdown below the EMAs and recent swing lows could trigger a **bearish move toward the target level (~0.57800 - 0.57900).**
3. **Volume & Momentum:**
- Volume appears lower compared to previous spikes, suggesting a possible slowdown in bullish momentum.
#### **Possible Trade Scenarios:**
- **Bullish Case:**
- If the price breaks **above "Top 2"**, it could indicate **continuation of the uptrend**, targeting higher resistance levels (~0.58400+).
- **Bearish Case:**
- If the price **fails to break above "Top 2" and falls below the EMAs**, a decline toward the **target zone** is likely.
EUR/USD with a bullish breakout falling wedge pattern You're looking at a **falling wedge** pattern on **EUR/USD** with a **bullish breakout setup**. Here’s a structured trading plan based on your input:
1. **Buy Trade Setup**
- **Pair**: EUR/USD
- **Pattern**: Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal)
- **Entry**: **1.09000** (Breakout confirmation above resistance)
- **Target (TP)**: **1.09700** (700 pips move)
- **Stop Loss (SL)**: **1.08300** (Risk: 70 pips)
- **Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR)**: **1:1**
2. EUR/USD Sell Setup – Falling Wedge False Breakout
If the falling wedge fails and breaks downward instead of upward, here’s an alternative sell setup:
Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bearish Breakdown)
Entry: 1.09000 (Break below support)
Target (TP): 1.08300 (700 pips move)
Stop Loss (SL): 1.09700 (Risk: 70 pips)
### **Confirmation & Strategy**
✅ **50 EMA (Exponential Moving Average)**: Ensure price is reclaiming above the EMA after breakout.
✅ **Volume Increase**: Look for rising volume on breakout confirmation.
✅ **Retest**: A retest of the breakout level (1.09000) turning into support strengthens the trade.
✅ **Momentum Indicators**: RSI above 50 and MACD bullish crossover can support the move.
### **Risk Management (MM)**
🔹 Risk only **1-2%** of your capital per trade.
🔹 Adjust position size to maintain a controlled drawdown.
🔹 Avoid overleveraging to withstand potential pullbacks.
ONDO finance price analysis Today we're talking about #ONDO, which we took into copytrading according to our preliminary analysis, although the price has been pushed lower than we would like over the past 1.5 months.
Now the critical zone for OKX:ONDOUSDT is $1.10 - $1.20
Fixing above this zone can give a quick rise to $1.50 and medium-term to $2.70
👀 By the way, #ONDOfinance is made in the USA, is in the Trump Foundation's portfolio and is directly related to #Ethereum
Is this 🆒 promising or a red flag 🚩 ?)
How the Hammer Chart Pattern Signals a Market ComebackHello, Traders! 👋🏻
Let’s be honest — wouldn’t it be great if the market had clear signs that screamed, “Hey! The downtrend is over!”? Well, sometimes, it hints. One of those signals is the hammer candlestick pattern — a small but mighty formation that can indicate a shift in momentum.
But before you grab a hammer and start breaking things when the market dips, let’s talk about what this pattern really means. Is it a bullish hammer pattern, or is the market just playing games with your emotions? Let’s dive in.
What Is a Hammer Candlestick Pattern?
The hammer pattern is a single candlestick formation that typically appears after a downtrend. It has a small body and a long lower wick, showing that sellers tried to push the price lower but failed, as buyers stepped in and drove the price back up.
Imagine the market trying to take prices to new lows, but buyers show up and say, “Nope, not today!” That’s the essence of the hammer candle pattern — a potential sign of strength and reversal.
Key Features of the Hammer Pattern Candlestick:
✔ Small Candle Body at the Top.
✔ Long Lower Wick (at Least Twice the Size of the Body).
✔ Little to No Upper Wick.
✔ Appears After a Downtrend.
Sounds easy to spot, right? Well, not so fast. Sometimes, what looks like a hammer chart pattern might just be a random bounce. Context is everything.
The Inverted Hammer Pattern: A Bullish Twist
If the hammer candlestick pattern is the market’s way of pushing back against bears, its upside-down cousin—the inverted hammer candlestick pattern — is just as enjoyable.
The inverted hammer pattern looks like, well, a hammer flipped upside down. It has a small body at the bottom with a long upper wick, signaling that buyers attempted to push the price higher but didn’t fully succeed — yet.
While it still suggests a possible reversal, the inverted hammer pattern isn’t as strong as a regular hammer because it shows some hesitation from buyers. Think of it as the market raising its hand and saying, “I might be ready to reverse… but let’s wait and see.”
Why Do Traders Love the Hammer Trading Pattern?
Well, besides the fact that it looks kind of cool on a chart, it’s a psychological shift. It shows that buyers are fighting back, and if the momentum continues, a trend reversal could be on the horizon.
But here’s the catch — one hammer candle pattern doesn’t guarantee anything. Markets love to trick traders, and sometimes, a hammer pattern candlestick is just a temporary bounce before the trend continues downward.
So, next time you see a hammer chart pattern, ask yourself:
❓ Is This Really a Reversal, or Is the Market Just Messing With Me?
❓ Is There Enough Volume To Support a Strong Move?
❓ Are Other Indicators Confirming the Shift in Momentum?
Final Thoughts
The hammer trading pattern is one of those setups that traders love for its simplicity and reliability. But like any other pattern, it’s not a magic bullet — it’s a clue. And trading is all about putting the clues together to get the full picture.
So, the next time you see a hammer pattern candlestick, take a deep breath, check the context, and don’t rush into trades. After all, even the most substantial hammer won’t help if you’re trying to nail down the wrong trend.
What’s your experience with the hammer candlestick pattern? Let’s discuss it below!
NZDJPY: Time For Pullback 🇳🇿🇯🇵
I see a nice opportunity to buy NZDJPY after a test of a key daily support.
As a confirmation, I spotted the insidebar pattern with a breakout
of the upper boundary of its range.
I expect a bullish movement at least to 85.75
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Lingrid | BTCUSDT price Compression FIRST, Expansion NEXTThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . It hit the target level. BINANCE:BTCUSDT market is consolidating above the 80,000 level after breaking below the February low. Recently, a large weekly doji candle has formed, indicating a sideways movement. Currently, the price is trading within this week's range. Looking at the broader picture, we can see that the price action is narrow, and the market is creating a falling wedge pattern. Since the market is consolidating below the downward trendline, I anticipate a breakout above it, which would likely lead to further extension. If the price closes above the last week's high, we could see the formation of a solid inverse head and shoulders pattern in the market. My goal is resistance zone around 88,000
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
ETH - AltSeason confirmed?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
🔹 As per my last ETH analysis (attached to the chart), we expected that if $2,000 was broken to the upside, altseason would begin! 🚀
Now, ETH has been trading within the rising channel (marked in orange).
📈 As long as the lower orange trendline holds, the bulls remain in control, creating room for altcoins to surge!
💭 Do you think Altseason is confirmed, or is this just a bull trap? 🤔
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
AUDNZD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
AUDNZD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.0957 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.1005
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.0933
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK