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USDCHF - 2 SCENARIOSHello Traders !
On Wednesday 18 Dec, The USDCHF reached the resistance level (0.90504 - 0.90114).
So, We have 2 scenarios:
BULLISH SCENARIO:
If the market breaks above the resistance level and closes above that,
We will see a bullish move📈
TARGET: 0.91250🎯
BEARISH SCENARIO:
If the price breaks and closes below the higher low (0.89137 - 0.89282),
We will see a huge bearish move📉
TARGET: 0.87900🎯
BTCUSDT Next Suppport at $87kBINANCE:BTCUSDT technical analysis update
BTC is trading at the support trend line and about to break below it. The price is trading below the 100 and 200 EMA, indicating bearish momentum. If the price breaks down, we can expect a bearish move, with a possible drop to $87K. The next strong support is at the $87-88K level, where we can anticipate a significant bounce.
Regards
Hexa
MSTR - Ponzi Loop Will Crash & BurnEvery now and then, I like to say that greed eats brains for breakfast. In the case of MSTR, though, it seems to have state approval to do so. How else could MSTR still be kicking?
There’s nothing to chart here. Nada. Zip. This is pure pump-and-dump economics born out of the "perfect storm" of circumstances.
Fast money? Sure, it's fast—but definitely not sustainable. It’s also a foolproof recipe for losing not just your shirt, but your pants and maybe even your dignity. Remember GME and all the other “get rich quick” lemming programs? Only a microscopic percentage actually "got rich," and an even tinier fraction stayed rich. Most of them? Just cautionary tales with a hefty dose of regret. Sorry, gamblers… err, "investors." §8-)
Instead of betting the farm on people like Michael Saylor, how about this revolutionary idea: use your own brain. Learn chart analysis, develop real skills, and slowly build up a nest egg that’ll still be around when you’re old and gray.
But hey, who am I to judge?
MSTR SHORT until 0.0001
ETHUSDT.1DThe daily chart of Ethereum (ETH) against Tether (USDT) exhibits a series of zigzag patterns suggesting high volatility with distinct peaks and troughs. The current setup indicates a consolidation phase near key support levels, which could dictate the near-term trend based on breakout directions.
Price Action and Trend:
Ethereum has recently shown signs of consolidation after a significant drop, indicating a potential base formation around the key support level. The chart presents a choppy yet significant retracement within the larger bullish context, evidenced by the higher lows sequence over the longer term.
Key Technical Levels:
Resistance Levels (R1):
R1: $4,066.49 - Represents the immediate resistance level. Overcoming this barrier may open the path to retest higher levels near the all-time highs.
Support Levels (S1, S2, and S3):
S1: $2,998.25 - Current major support, where price consolidation is evident.
S2: $2,793.91 - A break below S1 could lead to a test of this lower support zone, which could act as a new base for the next bullish leg.
S3: $2,101.09 - A critical long-term support level that may come into play if a significant bearish trend develops.
Technical Indicators:
MACD: The MACD line is below the signal line, indicating bearish momentum in the short term. The increasing distance between the MACD and its signal line could suggest strengthening bearish pressure.
RSI: The RSI is currently just below the neutral 50 mark, which aligns with the consolidation phase. This indicates a balanced market sentiment with a slight bearish inclination.
Volume:
The trading volume shows fluctuation with peaks aligning with significant price movements. An increase in volume, particularly on downward movements, may validate bearish sentiment.
Conclusion and Forecast:
Ethereum's price action is at a crucial juncture, with its position near major support levels suggesting potential for either a rebound or further declines. The key to upcoming trends lies in the ability of bulls to defend the $2,998.25 support level effectively.
Trading Strategy:
Bullish Scenario: Watch for a stable hold or a bounce off the $2,998.25 level, aiming for a move towards $4,066.49. A break above this could target previous highs.
Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below $2,998.25 could accelerate declines towards $2,793.91 or even $2,101.09 as bearish momentum builds.
Summary:
The ETH/USDT chart points to a significant testing ground for both bulls and bears at the current levels. Traders should closely monitor volume and price action at these key technical junctures to gauge potential breakout or breakdown directions.
Bitcoin Outlook Q1 2025BTC/USDT Weekly Outlook
Based on this chart, Bitcoin is showing a strong uptrend on the weekly chart, currently navigating key levels that could determine its secondary trend before continue the next rally!.
Here's my technical analysis using trend based fibonacci.
KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
Support Levels :
1. $94,800 (0.786 Fib). BTC is sitting near this level, which is acting as a short term support zone. Holding above this level keeps the bullish momentum alive.
2. $85,000 (0.618 Fib). This is a more significant support level. A drop to this level would still align with a healthy correction within the broader uptrend.
Resistance Levels :
1. $107,000 - 108,000 (1 Fib). The next major resistance BTC needs to break for a continuation of the rally.
2. $120,000+ (1.272 Fib). This is the first target for a breakout beyond the major resistance, I think this is the base target for Bitcoin on this cycle and might as well the top on this cycle.
Indicators :
1.Exponential Moving Averages 21&34 showing below the current price on weekly chart indicating a very bullish trend, we could see potential buy when Bitcoin reaching near above the EMA.
2. Stochastic, shows the Bitcoin is overbought, signaling a potential slowdown or minor pullback in the short term. However, in strong uptrends, overbought conditions can persist for weeks, so this isn't necessarily bearish.
3. Volume, the trading volume has been steadily increasing, which supports the ongoing uptrend. Watch for higher volume during breakouts to confirm the move.
Scenarios to Consider :
1. Bullish Continuation
If BTC holds above $94,800 and breaks past $107,000, the next target would be $120,000+ (1.272 Fib). This scenario aligns with the current trend and market strength.
2. Healthy Pullback
A dip to $85,000 (0.618 Fib) would still be considered a natural retracement in the bigger picture. Look for buyers to step in at this level to keep the rally alive.
3. Bearish Reversal
If BTC loses the $85,000 support and the moving averages start flattening or turning downward, it could signal a deeper correction or a potential trend reversal, keep an eye for reversal chart pattern and any signs of reversal.
Overall, Bitcoin's bullish structure is intact, with the price consolidating near a critical Fibonacci level. While short term corrections are possible, the bigger picture points toward further upside if key supports hold. A breakout above $107,000 opens the door for a push toward $120,000+, but traders should keep an eye on the $94,000 and $85,000 levels for signs of weakness.
EUR/USD Market Dynamics: Analyzing Recent Price MovementsFollowing our previous analysis, we anticipated the market's response to last week's robust U.S. economic indicators, particularly regarding the USD's strength against the EUR. After experiencing a notable bearish trend, the euro managed to recoup some losses, specifically retesting our pending order at 1.04380. As I write this article on December 23, 2024, the currency pair trades around 1.04130, providing a rejection of our entry point.
On Monday, the U.S. Dollar (USD) stabilized after a significant drop on Friday. This sell-off was prompted by weaker-than-expected growth in the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE). Specifically, the core PCE—a key inflation metric favored by the Federal Reserve—rose by 2.8%, falling short of the projected 2.9%. On a month-to-month basis, both headline and core PCE inflation inched up by only 0.1%, leading to speculation about the Federal Reserve's trajectory concerning interest rate adjustments in 2025.
Federal Reserve officials are beginning to signal expectations of fewer rate cuts in the coming year, as the disinflation process appears to be slowing and uncertainties loom over how President-elect Donald Trump’s upcoming immigration, trade, and taxation policies could affect the economy.
Given the current outlook, we are anticipating a continuation of bearish trends in the market.
Previous Idea:
✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Happy Crypto New Year 2025! 🎉💰Happy Crypto New Year 2025! 🚀✨💰🎉
As we welcome another exciting year, let’s remember: 🔑 Your crypto wallet is like your toothbrush—keep it safe, private, and never share it! 🪥
🌟 2025 Crypto Resolutions for Success:
1️⃣ DYOR (Do Your Own Research): Before you HODL, read, learn, and understand. 📚
2️⃣ Embrace the DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) : Timing the market is tough; consistency is 🔑.
3️⃣ Secure Your Assets : Use hardware wallets and enable 2FA. Don't get rugged this year! 🔒
4️⃣ Stay Updated: Crypto trends change faster than your favorite meme coins’ charts. 📰
🚀 Fun Crypto Fact:
If you invested $10 in Bitcoin in 2010, you’d have over $250 million today. Start small—dream big! 🌌
🎭 Entertaining Thought:
"Crypto is the only market where people panic when prices are low and celebrate when it’s expensive. Let’s flip that mindset in 2025!" 🤔🎉
💡 Pro Tip for the Year:
The next bull run is built in the bear market. Learn, strategize, and prepare—2025 could be your year! 💼📈
To our amazing community:
This year, let’s not just trade—let’s grow, innovate, and dominate. Together, we’ll explore new opportunities in blockchain, NFTs, DeFi, and beyond. 🌍✨
🎊 Here’s to a prosperous, joyful, and crypto-filled New Year! Drop your 2025 crypto goals in the comments! Let’s inspire each other.
💬 #HODL #CryptoNewYear #Blockchain2025
EUR/USD Under Bearish Pressure: A Market Analysis [Update]As anticipated in our previous analyses, the EUR/USD currency pair experienced significant downward pressure during the late American trading session on Wednesday, hitting its lowest point in almost a month, below 1.0350. Currently, while I am drafting this article, the pair has seen a minor rebound and is trading around 1.0410; however, the technical indicators still suggest a bearish outlook.
The price is nearing a critical area where it may continue to decline. Our analysis reveals an imbalance on the Daily timeframe that could signal a further downturn. For more detailed insights, please refer to the link provided below.
Following the last Federal Reserve policy meeting of the year, the central bank announced a reduction in its policy rate by 25 basis points, aligning with market expectations, bringing it to a range between 4.25% and 4.5%. In their accompanying statement, the Fed emphasized that they would take into account incoming data, the evolving economic landscape, and the balance of risks when evaluating future rate adjustments.
In the aftermath of the Fed's decision, the US Dollar (USD) gained substantial strength, leading to a sharp decline in the EUR/USD pair. Moving forward, our outlook suggests the potential for a new bearish correction in the market as we navigate these developments.
Previous close position SHORT
✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
BITCOIN's Distribution, Greed and Dutch TulipsThe **Tulip Mania** of the 1630s was the original bubble—and it was as absurd as it was dramatic. Picture this: a single tulip bulb sold for the price of a luxurious Amsterdam townhouse. Traders flipped tulips like hotcakes, fortunes were made overnight, and the humble flower became a symbol of outrageous wealth and speculation.
Then, in February 1637, the fever broke. Buyers disappeared faster than a Dutch winter thaw, and the market collapsed like a poorly built dike. Those who had mortgaged their futures for tulips were left with nothing but petals and regret. It was a dazzling rise and a catastrophic fall—a timeless lesson in the dangers of speculative greed!
🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉
Why do I write about the Tulip Crash?
These days, not many young Trader and Investors know about it. And why not learn from the past?
Happy profits all.
Maybe we should sell!Bitcoin is consolidating, but within the framework of correction. This phase may last for quite a long time, as the market is waiting for Trump's inauguration and politicians' actions. Disappointment may lead to a deeper correction, for example to 70K, and positive preconditions will become a bullish driver.
Scenario: price has no direction, market is neutral, in consolidation, but globally we have a bullish trend.
Since we have no direction and a sideways range is forming, we can trade from its boundaries.
It is worth paying attention to 92K and 100K - the consolidation boundaries.
Idea: Accordingly, now the price is heading towards the resistance and there is no reason to break it. We are waiting for a false breakdown and further fall to 92K
WTI Light Crude Oil (18H) – Technical Analysis1️⃣ Bullish Triangle Pattern
The chart forms a bullish triangle, with higher lows and a descending trendline. This indicates potential accumulation before an upward breakout.
2️⃣ Strong Support Level
The $68-$69 support zone, established in September, has held firm, showing strong buying interest and rejecting further downside.
3️⃣ Broken Resistance Line
The descending trendline has been broken, signaling a shift in momentum toward buyers.
4️⃣ Potential Uprise
The breakout suggests upside potential toward:
🟢 Target 1- $71.23
🟢 Target 2-$73.00
🟢 Target 3-$77.54
Got questions? Let me know!
BONK: Keep an eye on this level!If you're looking to trade BONK at the moment, here's a quick setup that you might find helpful!
The idea is: Buy when the price breaks above $0.000034 and take profits at the levels shown in the chart.
Targets:
1. $0.0000355
2. $0.000038
3. $0.000041
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About our trades:
Our success rate is notably high, with 10 out of 11 posted trade setups achieving at least their first target upon a breakout price breach (The most on TW!). Our TradingView page serves as a testament to this claim, and we invite you to verify it!
USD/JPY SELL SET UP!USD/JPY Sell Set-Up
I have identified good levels for a short-term sell on USD/JPY with a favorable risk/reward ratio. The current market structure suggests a potential move downward, making this setup ideal for traders looking for short opportunities.
🔑 Key points to keep in mind:
Always use a stop loss to manage risk effectively.
Ensure your position size aligns with your trading plan and risk management strategy.
Wishing everyone good luck and successful trades!
Short Position - NASDAQShort Position Entry: Consider initiating a short position if the Nasdaq-100 Index falls below 21,000.
Stop Loss (SL): Set a stop loss at 21,555 to manage potential losses.'
Market Sentiment: The combination of the Federal Reserve's cautious approach and rising inflation may contribute to a weakening market sentiment, potentially leading to a downward movement in the index.
his recommendation is for educational purposes only. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Stock trading involves risks, including the potential loss of capital. Ensure to evaluate your risk tolerance and conduct thorough research.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Yesterday we wanted the pull back to go higher and said we would be looking for price to attempt the 2630-35 region with the extension of the move into the 2640-45 region before a potential RIP. Our Red boxes activated higher which we shared with the wider community giving a target of 2650 and our algo suggested 2660 so we continued to long.
Now, we have support below at the 2645 region and below that 2640. We're too high to attempt long, so we'll look at the level above during the session to come and a potential short opportunity will hopefully present itself.
Until then, a very decent opening on the markets.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bearish below 2640 with targets below 2610✅, 2604✅, 2596✅ and below that 2580
Bullish on break of 2640 with targets above 2655✅ and above that 2665❓
RED BOXES:
Break above 2625 for 2630✅, 2635✅ and 2638✅ in extension of the move
Break below 2613 for 2604✅ , 2597✅ , 2592 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Exxon Mobil (XOM): Preparing for a Q1 2025 SetupHeading into Q1 2025, we believe NYSE:XOM could present a promising buying opportunity, and we are preparing a setup to align with our bias. Since April, we have been closely monitoring Exxon Mobil, and the technical picture continues to gain clarity as the stock respects both the range middle and range high. The wave ((b)) overshot wave A by a significant margin but still within acceptable limits for a flat correction.
Since the overshoot in early October, NYSE:XOM has seen a substantial decline—falling 17% over 75 days, a significant move for this stock. The primary driver behind this decline seems to be ongoing shareholder challenges. Over the last three years, Exxon Mobil has resisted calls for meaningful carbon emissions reductions, instead doubling down on traditional oil and gas operations. Legal action against shareholder activists pushing for emissions reduction targets has only added to the controversy, with proposed changes falling short of expectations.
The shareholder concerns highlight a critical point: some voting patterns defy logic when aligned with long-term goals. Questions remain about whether Exxon Mobil should, or can, prepare for a carbon-neutral future. The widely publicized shareholder vote in 2021, which many hoped would lead to substantial changes, seems to have produced minimal practical outcomes.
Despite these issues, we see potential for NYSE:XOM to resolve its challenges in the near future. From a technical standpoint, we observe a strong likelihood of a wave C drop into the $101–$92 range, which aligns with the 61.8%–78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels. This would be a key area to begin building a position.