FORCE MOTORS - ALL TIME HIGH AGAIN ? WHATTTTTTTT....???
HELL YES..
A big OPPORTUNITY in FORCE MOTORS LTD🚀🚀
We saw that this stock was in correction mode since it made an all time high of ₹ 10,100
BUT NOW, it is giving the reversal sign by giving a breakout of downward sloping trendline with good intensity of volume.
* As per ELLIOT WAVES the stock is getting ready to move all time high to unfold the WAVE 5th
* Stock can be a buy on dip till it touches all time high with the same stoploss mentioned in trading plan at the last with expected targets.
Technical view- a simple understanding for beginners
* The stock has given a breakout with good intensity of volume.
* The price changed its structure from lower low to higher high
* Stock price is challenging Upper Bollinger Band in Daily Time Frame
* RSI ( a strength indicator) is above 60 in Daily Time Frame which indicates strong momentum
* All the momentum indicators such as MACD, DMI etc., are giving positive signals.
For those who are new to WAVES, let's Understand the basics of Waves 📈
Key Elliott Wave Principles:
1. Five-Wave Impulse Pattern: The primary trend unfolds in five waves (1-2-3-4-5). Waves 1, 3, and 5 move in the direction of the trend, while waves 2 and 4 are corrective.
2. Three-Wave Corrective Pattern: After a five-wave sequence, a correction typically follows, consisting of three waves (A-B-C) that move against the primary trend.
3. Wave Relationships: Fibonacci ratios play a crucial role in Elliott Wave analysis, often governing the length of the waves.
4. Wave Characteristics: Each wave has its own set of characteristics. For example, Wave 3 is usually the most powerful, showing the strongest price movement, while Wave 5 may signal the final push before a significant correction.
TRADE PLAN
* one can add at current levels and again if it comes down you will get an opportunity to add more till 6500
* Targets - 8000/9000/9500/10000/ All time high
(note- Targets may also react as resistance / hurdle)
* Stop Loss - 6160
* Invest keeping in mind for short to long term view, not for speculation.
* Always invest only after calculating the financial risk with the given stop loss and then decide your quantity.
Thank You
KARANN DINGRA 💰🚀
Contains image
First Bitcoin Super Cycle closingWe might be nearing the end of the first Bitcoin Super Cycle. There will be lots of volatility and fear among the retails. But on-chain observation shows that big players are storing coins on unprecedented levels.
What the next Super Cycle will be, can't tell. More data is needed in its beginning.
But financial institutions needs a more predictable, more controllable and most of all fixed cap assets. I am not talking about Bitcoin only, but in general about crypto currencies. There are interesting PoW projects that resembles Bitcoin, but has added extras like privacy and smart contracts.
But when time comes, crypto prices will skyrocket and there will be no corrections and no bear markets until the transitional period ends. Most retails will sell cheap and re-enter with more than 90% loss in coins.
It is NOT a financial advice.
GBP/JPYTechnical Analysis: GBP/JPY
This is just a personal opinion.
Be sure to check before entering.
Attention!!!
In these analyses, only technical analysis is considered
So be sure to check the basic news before entering.
Attention!!!
If the trading symbol of the bank is closed, do not trade that symbol!!
Attention!!!
100% does not exist in financial markets
So don't enter this signal hoping for a definite profit
The Bias Battle: Strategies to Ensure Rational Decision-MakingIn the world of trading, emotions can often lead to irrational behaviors that impede decision-making. One such psychological phenomenon is confirmation bias. It manifests subtly yet powerfully in the trading arena, often without the trader's awareness. This bias refers to the tendency to seek, interpret, and remember information that confirms one’s pre-existing beliefs, while simultaneously dismissing or undervaluing information that contradicts those beliefs.
Understanding Confirmation Bias in Trading
Confirmation bias can profoundly influence trading decisions when traders become emotionally invested in their predictions. For example, if a trader believes that a certain asset will rise, they may selectively focus on positive news while ignoring negative signals such as poor economic indicators or unfavorable market trends. This form of selective perception not only clouds judgment but can also lead to catastrophic financial consequences if a trader fails to adapt to changing market conditions.
Imagine a trader convinced that a stock will hit a new high in the coming weeks. Even in the face of negative quarterly reports or broader market corrections, they might cling to their position, hoping the asset will rebound. This behavior often leads to holding onto losing trades, missing opportunities to cut losses, and ultimately jeopardizing one’s trading strategy.
The Dangers of Confirmation Bias
The implications of confirmation bias go beyond individual trades; they can jeopardize an entire trading strategy. The following are key dangers associated with confirmation bias in trading:
1. Skewed Market Analysis: Traders may base their decisions on partial information, leading to a distorted view of market realities. A narrow focus on validating one's position can blind traders to emerging risks or alternative opportunities.
2. Compromised Risk Management: Traders under the influence of confirmation bias are likely to allocate disproportionate capital to positions that support their bias. This lack of diversification increases vulnerability to market downturns, which can lead to significant financial losses.
3. Emotional Decision-Making: Bias can heighten emotional involvement in trades, causing traders to act irrationally. This means holding losing positions too long in anticipation of a turnaround or impulsively entering new trades without adequate analysis.
4. Failure to Reassess Positions: Traders often hesitate to alter their strategies even when market conditions clearly shift. This reluctance compromises their ability to adapt and seize new opportunities.
Read Also:
Recognizing the Signs of Confirmation Bias
Detecting confirmation bias is essential for any trader aiming to make informed, rational decisions. Here are some telltale signs:
- Selective Information Gathering: If you notice that you gravitate toward news sources or analysts that reinforce your views while disregarding contradictory perspectives, it's a clear indicator of confirmation bias.
- Emotional Attachment to Trades: Becoming overly attached to specific trades can hinder your judgment. If you're waiting eagerly for a piece of good news to justify a poor trade rather than reassessing the situation objectively, it’s time to reevaluate your approach.
- Overconfidence in Decisions: If you find yourself justifying continued investment in a failing position without considering alternative analyses, you may be falling prey to cognitive biases.
Recognizing these behaviors can help you break free from the cycle of confirmation bias and embrace a more objective trading mindset.
Read Also:
Strategies to Overcome Confirmation Bias
To cultivate a bias-free trading strategy, consider implementing the following steps:
1. Maintain an Open Mind: Challenge your beliefs by actively seeking out opposing viewpoints and evidence. Embrace data over emotions to inform your trading decisions.
2. Establish a Trading Plan: Develop a comprehensive trading plan with clear entry and exit criteria based on analytical data rather than biased thinking. Stick to this plan to guide your actions in the market.
3. Incorporate Stop Loss Orders: Using stop-loss orders can help automate selling at predetermined points, preventing the emotional temptation to hold onto losing trades unnecessarily.
4. Consult Multiple Information Sources: Accessing a variety of market analyses and perspectives can provide a more balanced view and enrich your understanding of the situation.
5. Embrace Data-Driven Trading: Focus on objective data and employ trading tools and algorithms that mitigate the influence of human bias. This strategic approach ensures that decisions are rooted in market realities rather than emotional attachments.
Read Also:
Conclusion: Cultivating a Bias-Free Trading Mindset
To achieve success in trading, understanding and addressing cognitive biases such as confirmation bias is crucial. By fostering a bias-free mindset, traders can cultivate more rational decision-making processes, leading to improved trading performance.
A disciplined, evidence-based approach requires traders to remain vigilant against the traps of emotional trading. By implementing the strategies discussed, you can minimize the impact of confirmation bias and enhance your ability to recognize valuable opportunities, ultimately paving the way for greater success in the markets.
FAQs
What is confirmation bias in trading?
Confirmation bias is the tendency for traders to focus on information that supports their existing beliefs while disregarding contradictory evidence, which can adversely impact their trading decisions.
How does confirmation bias affect decision-making?
This bias often leads traders to ignore critical signals from the market and makes them more susceptible to emotional trading, resulting in missed opportunities and potential financial losses.
Can confirmation bias lead to trading losses?
Yes, confirmation bias can lead to substantial losses by causing traders to misinterpret market conditions and hold unprofitable positions longer than they should.
How can I overcome confirmation bias as a trader?
You can overcome confirmation bias by relying on objective data, consulting multiple sources, establishing a trading plan, using stop-loss orders, and regularly reviewing counterarguments to your existing beliefs.
By prioritizing rationality over personal bias, you can develop a more successful and sustainable trading strategy. Ready to put your bias-free trading strategies into action? Start practicing with a demo account and discover how a balanced approach can improve your trading outcomes.
Read Also:
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AAVE, Break out and bullish move eminent? Aave looks like it's building momentum that could break out of the bull flag/pennant. A break out of this formation could lead to $175 move in fairly short deration.
The technical trade is the break out and a hold of the break out. If it were to fall back in the zone it is considered a fake out.
Either way you cut it, AAVE is good price here for long term growth.
Let me know what you think AAVE and this analysis down below.
Kind regards
WeAreSat0shi
Velodrome (VELO) Potential Upside – Mirroring Aerodrome’s Rally?If you look at the recent price action of Velodromefinance (VELO) side by side with Aerodromefinance (AERO), there’s an intriguing similarity in the charts. Both tokens had large drawdowns of around –62% over roughly the same time span (about 19–20 days) before Aerodrome launched into a massive rally back in March.
The Setup
Price Action: Velodrome is currently hovering around the lower range after its –62% drop. This consolidation period is often where accumulation happens if buyers are stepping in.
RSI: The Relative Strength Index shows momentum potentially starting to shift from oversold territory, hinting that buying pressure could be building.
Williams %R : Often used as an overbought/oversold indicator, it’s also turning from deep negative territory, another sign that prices might have bottomed and could be poised for a move upward.
Volume: Although Aerodrome’s volume spike was on a smaller absolute scale, the uptick in Velodrome’s volume could be a bullish sign if it continues—higher volume on price upticks usually confirms stronger buying interest.
Why the Bulls Are Hopeful
Similar Trajectory: Aerodrome followed a major correction with a sudden upside push—many are eyeing Velodrome to do the same.
Consolidation Base: When a token spends time “flatlining” near support, it can build a springboard effect if a catalyst (such as new partnerships, listings, or broader market rallies) arrives.
Growing Demand: If Velodrome gains traction in its ecosystem—through staking, new protocol features, or simply community hype—it might attract fresh buyers ready to catch the next wave.
Key Resistance Levels & Targets
$0.20–$0.22: This is the first band of potential resistance where VELO’s last consolidation took place. Breaking above that zone could signal stronger upside momentum.
$0.25+: If momentum really picks up, reclaiming this zone would be a major psychological win. It might open the way for a run back toward previous swing highs.
Risk Factors
As with any crypto asset, there’s no guarantee that Velodrome will mirror Aerodrome’s breakout—market conditions could change suddenly. Always be mindful of potential volatility. Keep an eye on RSI, volume, and overall market sentiment to gauge if the setup remains favorable or if weakness creeps back in.
“And hey, if VELO doesn’t go parabolic any time soon—just tell everyone you’re ‘in it for the technology.’ Works every time!”
$BTC Macro ChartThis is my BTC idea for the long term as I did my chart based on the chart and the historical data as well.
As you can see in the picture attached to the chart, second time in the cycle when #BTC NUPL goes green (blue arrow) it indicates the start of the Bull Run (Parabolic Phase) 🐂 🚀
shout out to @CryptoBullet
a break out!attention!
BINANCE:1000WHYUSDT.P
is breaking It's bearish channel! you can enter now for a bullish Profit!
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
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📌 And check the link in my bio for even more resources!
Let’s navigate the markets together—join the journey today! 💹✨
GBP/USD: Navigating a Bearish Trend into 2025As 2024 closed, the GBP/USD currency pair finished firmly in the red, mirroring our earlier forecasts that anticipated this outcome due to the strong performance of the broad-based US Dollar (USD). Entering the new trading year, the pair has broken out of a sideways range, suggesting a readiness for a new bearish impulse as market participants react to a confluence of economic indicators and sentiment shifts.
At the forefront of the upcoming economic landscape is the United States Department of Labor's release of weekly Initial Jobless Claims data. Analysts project a rise in claims to 222,000 from the previous count of 219,000, indicating a potential uptick in unemployment. A figure that surpasses market expectations could exert downward pressure on the USD, creating a short-lived window for GBP/USD to correct its bearish trajectory. Traders will closely monitor this release and its immediate impact on market sentiment.
In the broader scope of the market, risk perception remains a crucial aspect for currency movements, especially for the GBP/USD pair. If Wall Street opens with strength and experiences a subsequent risk rally, the USD could weaken. Such bullish sentiment in equity markets generally encourages investors to shift away from safe-haven assets, potentially providing the GBP/USD with the momentum it needs to mount a recovery. However, as of now, our outlook remains predominantly bearish, with eyes set on the next demand area that could serve as a potential support level.
Meanwhile, developments in the UK economic calendar are rather muted, particularly on a Friday that lacks any major high-tier data releases. This absence of impactful data could limit the GBP's ability to capitalize on any potential USD weakness, reinforcing the bearish bias that has characterized the pair recently.
Looking ahead, there's also keen anticipation surrounding the ISM Manufacturing PMI data for December, which will be released from the US. This key economic indicator will provide insights into the health of the manufacturing sector, and a reading that deviates from expectations can significantly impact both the USD and the GBP. A stronger-than-anticipated PMI could further bolster the USD, solidifying the bearish momentum for GBP/USD.
In summary, as we step into 2025, the GBP/USD pair is poised in a precarious position that reflects broader market dynamics and economic fundamentals. With the immediate focus on US jobless claims and manufacturing data, investors must be agile in their strategies. While there is potential for a recovery rally should the markets react favorably, the prevailing sentiment leans toward bearishness, and any significant barriers to recovery will likely be tested as the pair seeks support in the forthcoming sessions. As always, staying attuned to both economic indicators and risk sentiment will be vital for navigating this evolving landscape.
Previous Idea:
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Stock Of The Day / 12.31.24 / BDMD12.31.2024 / NASDAQ:BDMD #BDMD
Fundamentals. Neutral news background.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: Strong squeeze on a range movement. We mark levels 2.58 (high of the daily candle from 12.19) and 7.88 (high of the candle after the gap).
Premarket: Gap Up on moderate volume.
Trading session: The price consolidated above the level of 2.58 after an impulse growth at the opening and breakout 2.58. An attempt to return below 2.58 at 10:06 a.m. was unsuccessful and the price began to tighten to the level. We are considering a long trade to continue the movement in case the tightening structure is broken upward.
Trading scenario: pullback along the trend (false tightening) to the level 2.58
Entry: 2.94 after the tightening structure is broken and held the price above the level.
Stop: 2.49 we hide behind the level and behind the round number 2.50
Exit: Close part of the position near 6.66 when signs of weakness in the upward movement appear. Close the remaining part before the daily level of 7.88
Risk Rewards: 1/10
Ascending Triangle in Nikkei/Yen Futures: A 2025 Bullish Setup?1. Introduction
The Nikkei/Yen Futures, a crucial instrument for traders aiming to capture movements in Japan’s equity index and its currency dynamics, presents an intriguing setup as we step into 2025. An ascending triangle pattern, a classic bullish formation, is emerging on the chart, signaling a potential breakout to the upside.
Adding to the technical allure is the depletion of sell unfilled orders (UFOs) within a significant price zone between 40,420 and 39,685. This critical area, revisited six times since late July 2024, has seen a steady reduction of unfilled sell orders, opening the possibility for bullish momentum to dominate. With the price currently hovering near the 39,685 level, the stage appears set for a breakout opportunity.
2. The Technical Setup
The ascending triangle, characterized by a series of higher lows converging toward a horizontal resistance level, often signifies bullish pressure. In the case of the Nikkei/Yen Futures, the horizontal resistance resides near 39,685, the lower boundary of a key sell UFO zone.
This resistance has been tested repeatedly since July 2024, with each revisit chipping away at the sell orders within the zone. Such behavior suggests diminishing selling pressure, setting the foundation for a breakout. The anticipated target for this breakout, calculated using Fibonacci projection, is set at 41,380—aligning with historical price action and technical projections.
Key Contract Specifications:
o Regular Nikkei/Yen Futures (NIY1!)
Contract Size: ¥500 x Nikkei 225 index
Tick Size: ¥5
Point Value: ¥2,500
Margin Requirement: Approx. $ 1,500,000 JPY
o Micro Nikkei/Yen Futures (MNI)
Contract Size: ¥50 x Nikkei 225 index
Tick Size: ¥5
Point Value: ¥250
Margin Requirement: Approx. $ 150,000 JPY
These details ensure accessibility for both institutional and retail traders, with the micro contract enabling smaller capital commitments while maintaining exposure to the same underlying asset.
3. Forward-Looking Trade Plan
The technical evidence supports a bullish trade plan for Nikkei/Yen Futures:
Trade Direction: Long
Entry Price: Above 39,685, confirming a breakout from the resistance level.
Target Price: 41,380, based on Fibonacci projections.
Stop Loss: 39,120, targeting a 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio to manage risk effectively.
Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 3:1 (Calculated: 41,380 - 39,685 = 1,695 reward; 39,685 - 39,120 = 565 risk).
The trade parameters apply to both the standard and micro contracts, offering flexibility in position sizing. Traders with smaller accounts may opt for the micro contract to manage margin requirements while engaging in this high-potential setup.
4. Importance of Risk Management
Risk management remains the cornerstone of any successful trading strategy, particularly when trading leveraged instruments like futures. Here are key considerations for managing risk in the Nikkei/Yen Futures trade setup:
Stop-Loss Orders: Placing a stop-loss at 39,120 ensures a predefined risk level, protecting traders from unexpected market reversals. It’s vital to adhere to this level to maintain discipline and avoid emotional decision-making.
Position Sizing: The availability of micro contracts (MNIY1!) allows traders to tailor their position size according to their account size and risk tolerance. For example, trading one micro contract involves a significantly smaller margin commitment compared to the regular contract, making it suitable for retail traders.
Defined Risk Exposure: Leveraged products like futures can lead to substantial losses if risk is not clearly defined. Using stop-loss orders and trading within calculated risk parameters prevents the potential for undefined losses.
Precise Entries and Exits: Setting the entry above 39,685 ensures a systematic approach to triggering the trade based on the expected breakout. Similarly, targeting 41,380 using Fibonacci projections ensures that profit objectives align with technical analysis rather than arbitrary levels.
By prioritizing these aspects, traders can mitigate risks while maximizing the potential reward from this bullish setup.
5. Closing Remarks
The Nikkei/Yen Futures seem to be poised for a potential breakout as we enter 2025, driven by a combination of technical factors and diminishing sell-side unfilled orders. The ascending triangle formation strengthens the bullish bias, with the calculated Fibonacci projection of 41,380 offering an attractive target.
Both the standard and micro contracts cater to different trader profiles, allowing participation regardless of account size. As the price approaches the critical 39,685 level, traders are encouraged to stay vigilant, using real-time CME data to track developments and validate entry triggers.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
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VIRTUALUSDT - My swing trade with lots of upside!BYBIT:VIRTUALUSDT
I've been trading this coin successfully in 1m - 15m charts from around 13-Dec-24. I've realised there is potentially a lot more upside and more gains to be had by switching to a swing trade and let it run.
I have started a swing position (see inside chart screenshot) on 31-Dec-24 and is currently up, using the liquidation level as my SL to allow the trade plenty of room to move.
Will adjust SL accordingly in the next few days depending on price action and trend.
EUR/NZDHAPPY NEW YEAR.
There are two Bearish opportunities. one on Hourly and one on 5 Minutes.
Hourly opportunity,
On daily, the price couldn't make a higher high and failed. it seems it's time to pullback.
That can be confirmed on 1H chart as well. Entry point can be around 1.84820 with S.L 1.8545 and T.P 1.83400.
THESE NUMBERS ARE SUBJECTED TO CHANGE ACCORDINGLY.
on 5Min. chart, this failiur of making higher high is more visible. thew Entry would be around 1.85030 with S.L 1.85220 and T.P of 1.84820.
Please do your own due diligence and analysis carefully. this is just my personal opinion on this pair.
Bitcoin VS QQQ First ETF Launch Date RangeBitcoin first spot ETF approval is 10 Jan 2024 and QQQ ETF trade is 10 March 1999
By day pretty similar right ? 10 ?
Lets doing research with weekly range.
In QQQ first trade till QQQ top is around 54 bars (54 weeks), if this scenario implement in Bitcoin so 54 bars/ weeks after Bitcoin first spot ETF approve is in around 20 Jan 2025
If we deep dive on this date we see 2 big event in crypto
1. Trump inauguration
2. Gensler (SEC) step down
This is programmed ? no ones know.
But With Trump inauguration and Gensler step down seems like good to altcoin ?
So real alt season begin here ?
Where market maker ? can you tell me about this program ?
If we study about wyckoff distribution, this scenario also can happen like my idea here
But also Bitcoin chart now looks bad similar with April 2021 top here
With all of this bear scenario in Bitcoin, i hope China will make a something cool wind for global market like stimulus or something better
I am also doing projection with CNM2 (China M2) here
hopefully this CNM2 well played so we have alt season in 2025
BTCUSDT.1DThe daily chart of Bitcoin (BTC) against Tether (USDT) showcases an upward trajectory within a defined ascending channel, suggesting a primary bullish trend with potential resistance and support levels impacting future price movements.
Price Action and Trend:
Bitcoin has been moving in a bullish trend, consistently forming higher lows, which are indicative of strong buying interest at lower levels. The price is currently experiencing a correction within the ascending channel, testing the mid-channel support levels.
Key Technical Levels:
Resistance Levels (R1 and R2):
R1: $104,220.96 - This level represents the near-term resistance which might cap upward movements in the short term.
R2: $108,353.00 - A break above R1 could see BTC testing this higher resistance level, marking previous highs.
Support Levels (S1 and S2):
S1: $88,758.79 - Current support, where the price is testing the channel's midpoint. A hold above this could reaffirm the bullish stance.
S2: Below $88,758.79, the next significant support aligns with the lower boundary of the ascending channel, potentially around the $80,000 mark, depending on the exact trajectory of the lower trendline.
Technical Indicators:
MACD: The MACD line is above the signal line but showing signs of converging, suggesting that the upward momentum could be losing some strength. The histogram supports this view as it diminishes in height, indicating a potential slowdown or reversal.
RSI: The RSI is near the midpoint at around 50, which points to a balance between buying and selling pressures. This level is crucial as movements away from it could determine the next directional trend.
Volume:
The volume appears to be fluctuating, with spikes correlating with significant price movements. Sustained high volume during price rises or falls will be key in confirming the strength of those movements.
Conclusion and Forecast:
Bitcoin's positioning within the ascending channel on the daily chart with a test of the middle support suggests a critical juncture. If BTC holds above $88,758.79, it might continue its uptrend towards R1. Conversely, a break below could signal a deeper correction towards the lower channel boundary or S2.
Trading Strategy:
Bullish Scenario: Maintaining above $88,758.79 could offer opportunities for a ride to $104,220.96 or even to $108,353.00 if bullish momentum returns.
Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break below S1 could necessitate a defensive strategy, with potential short positions targeting the next substantial support near the channel's lower boundary.
Summary:
This analysis underscores the importance of the current support level. Traders should watch for either a bounce back towards upper resistance levels or a break below, indicating a potential trend reversal or deeper correction within the established bullish channel.
The Year that was and the year that can be. 2024/2025 story.Highlights of 2024:
a) Single digit return for Nifty in 2024. Nifty and Sensex rise 9% each.
b) Mid and Small Cap both rise 24% each.
c) Pharma and Real Estate both rise 40% each.
d) Trent, M&M and Bharti Airtel are the best performing Nifty stocks.
e) Asian Paints, Indusind Bank and Nestle are the worst performing Nifty stocks.
f) Dixon, BSE, OFSS and RVNL are the best performing Midcap stocks.
g) Vodafone Idea, AU SFB & Bandhan Bank are top Mid cap loosers.
Zones Where Nifty can form base and give closing in 2025.
Pessimistic Zone: In case of very negative year and some global catastrophe we can find Nifty forming a bottom between 19922 to 18476. *(Looks very unlikely as of now)*
Negative Zone: In case we have a negative closing for the year we may find Nifty closing the year between 21137 to 19922. *(Possible but we might get a bottom here and then the index might move upwards)*
Neutral Zone: The combination of Neutral to negative and neutral to Positive zone ranges from 26277 to 21137. Nifty can consolidate in this range. *(These are the lows and high of 2024).*
Positive Zone: We can see Nifty making a new high above 26277 and 27880. After which we can see a dip and further consolidation. *(A probable scenario)*
Optimistic Zone: In case we have a fantastic year we might see Nifty making a major peak between 27880 and 30060. *(This is a very optimistic scenario and less likely but you can never say never)*
Above assumptions of Nifty in 2025 are made based on Fibonacci Retracement applied from top to bottom and Bottom to top on the 2024 candle.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
dydxusdt sell "🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
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Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
US 3mo as short term Leading Indicator?As I continue to watch bond markets and the 3 month specifically I have noticed a pattern for short term bullish confluence with SPY.
I have highlighted (with the light purple dots) the pops in the daily 3mo chart that occur after at least a five day downward yield slide. Above the 3mo candles is a snip of the SPY chart that corresponds with the initial 3mo daily pop. The text in green notes the percentages over the following 7 and 13 trading days. A couple of the SPY snips actually fell off on the 14th day after the initial pop so that is where I am capping the potential gains going forward. Please also note that the Dec 4th pop resulted in a loss in SPY for both the 7 and 13 trading days afterwards.
The SPY fractal that starts from today’s 3mo pop (Tues Dec 31) is essentially a copy of SPY action from mid-Nov to mid-Dec 2024. If it were to play out we would be at or slightly above all time highs going into the Jan 20th US inauguration and then flat into Jan 29 FOMC. FYI…the daily sideways scale of the SPY snips does not align perfectly with 3mo daily candles. I did try to line up the starting day for each though.
There are of course 3mo auctions 4 times a month on avg. (large snip left lower on chart) so take this info as you will. I am only noting what I see as a pattern of a pop in yield following a significant decline in yield and the corresponding SPY price action in the following week or two. One could easily argue that the santa rally is not here this year…and the glaring head and shoulders on the SPY daily chart warrants more downside. I am choosing to remain cautiously optimistic with the bond information in conjunction with my overall thesis leading into Q1 of 2025.
I believe the bond markets close at 2pm today, so assuming todays 3mo candle remains a green pop I offer this thesis as a possibility.
Thanks and take care. Happy New Year all.
MR
Binance’s Cease of Support for DYDX on Ethereum Raises ConcernsBinance’s recent announcement to end support for DYDX token deposits and withdrawals via the Ethereum (ERC20) network has triggered ripples across the cryptocurrency market. Effective February 12, 2025, this move has sparked debates about market stability, liquidity challenges, and the future prospects of DYDX, which is closely tied to the decentralized dYdX exchange.
Implications of Binance’s Decision
On December 31, Binance announced it will discontinue CRYPTOCAP:DYDX token transactions on the Ethereum (ERC20) network. While the exchange clarified that DYDX transactions would remain supported through other networks on its platform, the move has raised concerns among investors and traders. Notably, deposits made via the ERC20 network after the February 12 deadline will not be credited, creating potential risks of asset loss for users unaware of the changes.
This decision aligns with Binance’s ongoing efforts to optimize its network offerings, but it has sparked questions about the impact on DYDX’s liquidity and market position. Historically, Binance’s support decisions have significantly influenced token dynamics, with the recent addition of Phala Network (PHA) and dForce (DF) tokens leading to notable price surges.
In contrast, DYDX’s price reacted negatively to the announcement, dipping 2% to trade at $1.48. The token’s market cap currently stands at $1 billion, with a 24-hour trading volume of $37 million. This downturn underscores the sensitivity of the market to such announcements, especially for tokens heavily reliant on major exchange listings.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, CRYPTOCAP:DYDX is showing signs of potential recovery despite the bearish sentiment. The token’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently hovers at 42, approaching the oversold region. This indicates a potential buying opportunity for traders anticipating a rebound.
Key support is identified at its 1-month low of $1.447, a critical level to watch for further price stability. On the upside, a reversal could see resistance at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, a pivotal point for traders eyeing short-term gains.
In the broader context, DYDX’s 24-hour price range of $1.447 to $1.558 highlights a narrow trading window, suggesting cautious market activity. The dYdX exchange’s robust futures trading volume—$231 million over the past 24 hours—shows continued engagement, with BTC/USD and ETH/USD pairs leading at $94 million and $46 million, respectively. This robust trading activity provides a foundation for potential recovery, contingent on improved sentiment.
Market Dynamics and Future Outlook
Binance’s decision reflects a broader trend of network optimizations among major exchanges. While this strategy aims to streamline operations and enhance user experience, it inevitably impacts specific tokens. The divergence in market responses—DYDX’s dip versus the rally of tokens like PHA and DF—underscores the importance of exchange support in shaping token trajectories.
For CRYPTOCAP:DYDX , the coming weeks will be critical. The token’s ability to maintain liquidity and attract traders despite reduced support on Ethereum will determine its resilience. Investors should closely monitor updates from Binance and the dYdX exchange, as well as technical indicators like RSI and Fibonacci retracement levels, for informed decision-making.
Conclusion
Binance’s withdrawal of DYDX support on Ethereum highlights the evolving dynamics of crypto exchanges and their influence on token performance. While the immediate impact has been a price dip, DYDX’s technical setup suggests potential recovery opportunities. As the February 2025 deadline approaches, traders and investors must adapt to the changing landscape, leveraging both fundamental insights and technical analysis to navigate the market effectively.