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GBPCAD: Your Trading Plan Explained 🇬🇧🇨🇦 GBPCAD is coiling on an important daily support cluster. To trade that with a confirmation, pay attention to an inside bar pattern on a 4H. 1.8579 is the level of an upper boundary of its range. Its breakout and a 4H candle close above will provide a strong bullish signal. A bullish movement will be expected to 1.865 level then. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
2
TRADING KNOWLEDGE – MOVING AVERAGE (MA)The Moving Average (MA) is a popular technical indicator that helps smooth out price data to better identify market trends. MA doesn't predict the future but helps traders clearly see the current direction of the market. 🔍 2 Main Types of MA: 🔔 SMA (Simple Moving Average): The average of closing prices over a set period (e.g., SMA 20 = average of the last 20 candles). 🔔 EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Similar to SMA but gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to market changes. 📈 What is MA used for? 📍Trend Identification: 💡Upward sloping MA → Uptrend 💡Downward sloping MA → Downtrend 📍Trading Signals: 💡Price crossing above MA → Buy signal 💡Price crossing below MA → Sell signal 📍Combining Two MAs (Short & Long Term): 💡Short MA crosses above long MA → Buy signal (Golden Cross) 💡Short MA crosses below long MA → Sell signal (Death Cross)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RyderForex
GBP/USD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT Hello, Friends! GBP/USD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously rising on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.333 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
EUR/USD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT Hello, Friends! EUR/USD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 17H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.160 area. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
Gold Market Update: Stuck in summer time range / SeasonalityGold is stuck so far last 4-6 weeks in tight range trading conditions due to summer time seasonality also strong gains previously expecting range locked conditions in July as well here's an overview of 5 years and 10 years of seasonality data by month until at least August expecting dead market conditions it's best to focus on trading the range or trading with automated algo instead. Here are the two tables showing month-over-month percent changes in gold prices (London PM fix USD/oz) for June, July, and August: | Year | June Close | July Close | August Close | June % | July % | August % | | ---- | ---------: | ---------: | -----------: | -----: | ------: | -------: | | 2023 | 1,942.90 | 1,951.02 | 1,918.70 | –0.04% | +0.42% | –1.68% | | 2022 | 1,836.57 | 1,732.74 | 1,764.56 | –5.65% | +1.80% | +1.80% | | 2021 | 1,834.57 | 1,807.84 | 1,785.28 | –1.47% | –1.48% | –1.22% | | 2020 | 1,761.04\* | 1,771.65\* | 1,968.16\* | +8.66% | +11.19% | +10.99% | | 2019 | 1,342.66\* | 1,413.39\* | 1,523.00\* | +5.29% | +7.95% | +7.74% | | Year | June Close | July Close | August Close | June % | July % | August % | | ---- | ---------: | ---------: | -----------: | -----: | ------: | -------: | | 2023 | 1,942.90 | 1,951.02 | 1,918.70 | –0.04% | +0.42% | –1.68% | | 2022 | 1,836.57 | 1,732.74 | 1,764.56 | –5.65% | +1.80% | +1.80% | | 2021 | 1,834.57 | 1,807.84 | 1,785.28 | –1.47% | –1.48% | –1.22% | | 2020 | 1,761.04\* | 1,771.65\* | 1,968.16\* | +8.66% | +11.19% | +10.99% | | 2019 | 1,342.66\* | 1,413.39\* | 1,523.00\* | +5.29% | +7.95% | +7.74% | | 2018 | 1,270.00\* | 1,230.00\* | 1,194.00\* | –1.09% | –3.15% | –3.02% | | 2017 | 1,257.00\* | 1,243.00\* | 1,280.00\* | +0.72% | –1.10% | +2.93% | | 2016 | 1,255.00\* | 1,364.00\* | 1,322.00\* | +3.24% | +8.67% | –3.11% | | 2015 | 1,180.00\* | 1,172.00\* | 1,116.00\* | –2.06% | –0.68% | –4.69% | | 2014 | 1,320.00\* | 1,311.00\* | 1,312.00\* | –0.65% | –0.68% | +0.08% | 🔍 Summary Highlights June has been weak more often than not—negative in 6 of the past 10 years. July shows modest gains overall—positive in 7 of the last 10. August is the strongest summer month—positive 6 times out of the past 10, with several double-digit y/y gains (like +10.99% in 2020).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ProjectSyndicate
27
Lingrid | AUDUSD capitalizing on the BULLISH ContinuationOANDA:AUDUSD is forming higher lows above the key ascending trendline, showing clear signs of bullish structure continuation. After breaking out of the flag pattern and triangle, price is now consolidating just above the 0.6572 support zone. If buyers hold this level, a breakout toward the 0.6613 resistance area becomes increasingly likely. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 0.6572–0.6580 (above trendline) Sell trigger: break below 0.6572 trendline support Target: 0.6613 resistance area Buy trigger: bounce from trendline and continuation above minor resistance 💡 Risks Failure to hold the ascending trendline may trigger deeper correction Low volume during breakout attempts could invalidate the move Strong resistance at 0.6613 may cause short-term rejection If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
9
Lingrid | TONUSDT Market Bottom Established at Demand ZoneOKX:TONUSDT is rebounding from the April low near the 2.81 zone after holding a higher low structure above key support. Price remains compressed within a long-term consolidation, but the higher lows and recent bounce signal potential for a breakout attempt. A move toward the 3.28 level would test the major downward trendline and open the path toward the upper resistance range. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 2.81–2.90 (above April low) Sell trigger: rejection at 3.28 trendline resistance Target: 3.28 breakout zone Buy trigger: daily close above 3.28 confirms bullish reversal 💡 Risks Repeated failure to break the trendline may reintroduce downside pressure Momentum could stall without volume confirmation Strong resistance between 3.28–3.40 may limit breakout attempts If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
4
GBPAUD - Trading The Range!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈GA has been hovering within a big range. This week, GA is retesting the upper bound of the range acting as a resistance. As long as the resistance holds, we will be looking for shorts on lower timeframes, targeting the lower bound of the range. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
8
BTC Breakdown Escalates Bearish MomentumBitcoin has officially broken below the critical 104K support level, invalidating the recent short-term bullish structure. The price action reflects a clear shift in market sentiment, confirmed by the bearish EMA/SMA crossover and a firm rejection from the strong supply zone between 110K–111.8K. This rejection formed a clean lower high around 110K, followed by a decisive drop below the weak supply area and failure to hold 104K a key level previously acting as a demand floor. The current structure now favors downside continuation, with the 98K zone as immediate focus. If bearish momentum persists, attention will shift toward the Weak Potential Reversal Zone and eventually the Recommended Buy Back Zone around the 84K–86K area. This zone aligns with a historical support range and may offer high-probability entries for medium-term accumulation. Until price reclaims the 104K–105.5K region, rallies are likely to be sold off within the supply zones. Short-term traders may look to trade the breakdown toward the highlighted support levels, while long-term investors should monitor price reaction within the buyback region.
Short
by weslad
5
#AN014: Ursula von der Leyen No Confidence Motion, Market Crisis Hello, I am Andrea Russo, a Forex trader and today I want to focus on an explosive news that has hit Brussels in the last 24 hours: the motion of no confidence against the President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen. I thank in advance the Official Broker Partner PEPPERSTONE for the support in carrying out this analysis. The fact: Motion of No Confidence in the European Parliament On July 1st, several MEPs from both conservative right and far left groups formally presented a motion of no confidence against Ursula von der Leyen, accusing her of: Non-transparent agreements with Emmanuel Macron, Opaque management of the new “Pact for Europe”, Conditioning of key appointments within the Commission and the Council and above all the violation of the democratic principle of balance of powers. Although the motion does not seem to have the numbers to pass, it represents a direct attack on the political legitimacy of the outgoing president, just when she is trying to obtain a second term. The suspicion is that this move is not so much to bring down von der Leyen, but to: Weaken her negotiating position, Force her to make political concessions and reopen the game on the strategic EU appointments 2024–2029. This internal crisis comes at the worst possible time. A crisis of internal legitimacy in this context can undermine institutional stability and slow down all the economic reforms expected by the markets. Impact on Forex 1. EUR under pressure European political risk is back in the spotlight. Even if there was no immediate shock to the euro, institutional trading rooms are already pricing in more internal instability. This translates into: Downward pressure on EUR/USD, especially if the motion receives more votes than expected (even if it does not pass). EUR/CHF at risk of retracement, as the Swiss franc is seen as a safe haven currency in the event of EU institutional crises. EUR/GBP with potential loss of strength, especially if London takes advantage of the crisis to relaunch bilateral agreements. 2. Push for safe haven currencies JPY, USD and CHF have shown anomalous movements in the last few hours: political uncertainty is pushing traders to seek safe havens. The EUR/USD futures curve also shows a slight downward revaluation. 3. Upcoming events to monitor The real threat will be if the number of votes in favor of the no-confidence motion exceeds 30–35% of Parliament → in that case, even if the motion does not pass, von der Leyen will be delegitimized. The euro, in this case, could undergo a technical correction extended up to 1.0650, especially if accompanied by weak macro data. Follow me, if you like, for other updates.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
2
Gold May Pull Back After Day’s High📊 Market Overview: • Gold is currently trading around $3,350/oz, with the daily high at $3,366/oz. • The rally stalled as traders took profits near the session high, while a slight rebound in the USD and rising U.S. Treasury yields weighed on gold’s momentum. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: ~$3,366 (today’s high), with next level at ~$3,375–3,380 if breached. • Nearest Support: ~$3,342 (intra-day low), stronger support seen at $3,329–3,330. • EMA 9/21: Price is hovering near the EMA21 (~$3,350); this area is crucial to determine the short-term trend. • Candle/Momentum Indicators: o RSI is around 53-55, signaling a neutral stance; o MACD shows weakening bullish momentum after hitting resistance. 📌 Viewpoint: Gold may see a minor pullback in the short term, possibly testing the $3,342–3,329 zone after reacting to the daily high. However, if it holds above EMA21 and EMA50, the medium-term bullish trend remains intact. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy SELL XAU/USD at: $3,363–3,366 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: $3,370 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,329–3,332 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: $3,325
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
AUDCHF AUDCHF is preparing to break through support and fallWeak market structure. Gradually declining lows and no reaction to support at 0.5211. Buyers are trying to keep the price above 0.5211, but under market pressure their strength is weakening. Relative to 0.5211, we see the formation of consolidation, which is of a “pre-breakdown” nature. Accordingly, a break below the 0.5211 support level could trigger the activation of buyers' SL orders, leading to liquidation and a downward price distribution. Potential targets include 0.518 and 0.5164.
by AndeWave
17
Top fundamentals that will shape the S&P 500 this summer 2025The summer of 2025 is characterized by a combination of macroeconomic and microeconomic factors that will shape the trajectory of the US equity market. While the S&P 500 is trading close to its all-time highs and at a valuation comparable to that at the end of 2021, the strength of the upward momentum will depend on the conjunction of several key variables. Understanding these fundamentals is crucial to grasping the potential and risks awaiting investors over the coming months. 1) The trade war and economic diplomacy, the main source of uncertainty The trade issue remains the most unpredictable at the start of the summer. The July 9 deadline for the conclusion or failure of tariff negotiations is crystallizing tensions between the United States and its main partners. The prospect of a new wave of tariffs could have a direct impact on production costs, inflation and business confidence. Trade diplomacy is thus the variable most likely to provoke volatility jolts and challenge positive earnings growth expectations. If trade agreements are signed, then this will help to sustain the S&P 500's uptrend. 2) US fiscal policy: the “One Big, Beautiful Bill” The Trump administration's major tax bill is another hotspot. This piece of legislation calls for an extension of the tax cuts initiated in 2017 and a dramatic increase in the public debt ceiling, to the tune of $5,000 billion. While these measures potentially support consumption and private investment, their medium-term impact on public finances is uncertain. The real issue for the equity market is to assess whether these decisions will lead to a surge in long-term US bond yields. A slippage in US Treasury yields would increase corporate financing costs and undermine currently high valuation multiples. Conversely, if yields remain contained, the equity market's upward momentum could continue. 3) Inflation and the Fed's monetary policy: a delicate balance The trajectory of inflation, in particular that of the PCE index, will be a major determinant. US inflation is currently slightly below the Fed's target. Several components, notably the services sector, which accounts for almost two-thirds of the PCE basket, are proving relatively stable. Inflationary risks are more likely to come from commodities, particularly if trade tensions reignite. Oil, which accounts for around 11% of the PCE basket, is currently showing no major warning signs, benefiting from a geopolitical calm. Real estate and healthcare are also showing reassuring indicators. Against this backdrop, the Federal Reserve is adopting a cautious stance: while several major Western central banks are moving towards a neutral rate, the Fed is stalling and conditioning its monetary pivot on visibility regarding tariffs and corporate behavior. The timing of rate cuts is one of the biggest sticking points. According to recent signals, the first rate cut could take place as early as September. However, influential members of the FOMC, appointed by the Trump administration, are arguing for earlier easing. The political pressure is strong: Trump is calling for immediate cuts, but Chairman Powell remains in control of the agenda, taking care to preserve a consensus within the committee. 4) The job market and the likelihood of a recession The US employment situation is an advanced barometer of the economic cycle. Weekly jobless claims and the aggregate unemployment rate are closely monitored. Historically, a significant rise in unemployment signals that the economic slowdown is already underway. For the time being, the labor market is proving resilient, but the slightest deterioration could alter investors' central scenario and reinforce recessionary expectations. This risk is one of the potential dampeners to the prevailing optimism, unless it were to accelerate the timetable for resuming the cut in the federal funds rate. 5) Second-quarter results and earnings outlook The second-quarter earnings season is of particular importance. US companies must demonstrate their ability to deliver earnings growth in line with forecasts, even as valuation multiples remain stretched. Maintaining high price levels on the S&P 500 assumes robust earnings growth and confident guidance from management. Failing this, the risk of a correction would be high, especially as the market has already incorporated many positive factors. The weakness of the US dollar and the price of oil, as well as the current momentum in AI, could hold out some pleasant surprises for second-quarter results. 6) Geopolitics and oil, potential sources of volatility Finally, global geopolitics is a second-order variable, but one that could suddenly become a priority. A rapid deterioration in the international situation, particularly in the Middle East or the China Sea, could affect trade flows and oil prices, fuelling renewed inflation and financial volatility. Conclusion : The summer of 2025 promises to be a period of strategic transition for the US equity market. Between trade diplomacy, fiscal policy, inflation, the trajectory of interest rates and earnings momentum, investors will have to deal with an accumulation of uncertain factors. If these uncertainties gradually dissipate, the uptrend could continue. Conversely, the combination of a geopolitical shock, a rebound in inflation and a political stalemate over the federal budget would have the potential to weaken the current rally. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior. 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SP:SPXEducation
by Swissquote
1