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Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 11, 2025 🔍 Momentum: D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently rising, suggesting that the bullish trend is likely to continue for the next few days. H4 timeframe: Momentum is also bullish, indicating that the uptrend is likely to dominate today. 🌀 Elliott Wave Pattern: On the H4 chart, price action is in the final stage of a contracting triangle correction. Price is now approaching the upper boundary of the triangle. With both D1 and H4 momentum in alignment, the probability of a breakout to the upside is high. If this breakout occurs, we can expect a move toward the 3393 area, which is a key level to confirm whether the corrective phase has truly ended. 🎯 Price Targets: Current area (3330–3332): A potential opportunity for a scalp BUY, supported by bullish momentum on H4. Next support zone: 3315–3317 – a solid area for a mid-term BUY entry if there’s a pullback. ⚠️ If price breaks below 3279, the current wave count becomes invalid and a new analysis will be provided. ✅ Trade Plan: 🔹 SCALP BUY Entry: 3332 – 3330 SL: 3327 TP1: 3363 TP2: 3390 🔹 MID-TERM BUY ZONE Entry: 3317 – 3315 SL: 3307 TP1: 3342 TP2: 3363 TP3: 3390
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold in Equilibrium, Possible Minor Pullback📊 Market Overview: • Spot gold currently trades around 3,332–3,333 USD/oz • A slightly weaker US dollar and declining Treasury yields are supporting gold • Yet strong US jobs data and delayed Fed rate cuts are limiting gold’s upside • Escalating trade tensions and new tariffs keep safe-haven demand intact 📉 Technical Analysis: • Resistance: 3,345–3,350 USD, repeatedly tested zone • Support: 3,316–3,322 USD, strong bottom near 3,310 USD • EMA 9: Price hovering around it—no clear trend direction • Momentum/RSI: RSI fading from overbought, momentum weakening • Candle Patterns/Volume: Narrow consolidation, forming pennant structure 📌 Outlook: Gold is likely to remain range-bound or dip slightly if USD strengthens. Conversely, renewed economic headwinds or Fed dovishness could push gold higher, especially on a break above 3,345 USD. 💡 Suggested Trade Strategy: SELL XAU/USD : 3.347–3.350 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: 3.355 BUY XAU/USD : 3.316–3.319 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: 3.310
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
NZD/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT Hello, Friends! NZD/CHF is trending down which is clear from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 0.475. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
Total Market Cap Weekly Chart: Ready to Explode?Hey traders! Let’s dive into this weekly TOTAL Crypto Market Cap chart. The headline says it all— Total Market Cap Is About to Explode , and we’re here to break it down! We’re seeing a massive expanding triangle formation, with the market cap currently at 3.21T , right at retest of triangle resistance. Historically, these patterns have led to parabolic moves — check out the 2019 - 2020 breakout! If history repeats, a breakout could send the market cap soaring toward 8.0T or even higher! However, if the breakout fails, we might see a pullback to the previous level of support around 2T . Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 3.66T (ATH) Support: 2T Breakout Target: 8.1T+ Breakdown Risk: 1.20T (latest strong resistance below 2.6T) Is the market cap about to go parabolic, or are we in for a fakeout? Let’s hear your thoughts below!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by ArtemFuturesTrading
BTC re-accumulation and >140k$The year started from manipulation on CRYPTOCAP:BTC and the whole crypto market after Trump's tariff announcement. Since the start of the summer season, we've already seen another manipulation between Trump and Elon Musk. On BTC I see weekly FVG and good pinbar candle. I guess we have already entered to consolidaton and summer will also consolidation, but starting from august we will see the final uptrend with euphoria which can finish on October nearly 241.000$ on BTC, but let's see it later I think this period will be light with base summer and $MOCHI because it's a memecoin which holds the bottom well , when in that time another altcoins are making another bottom
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Pavkos3
Price action is the vehicle—but these charts show the road aheadIn the world of trading, technical analysis often gets the spotlight—candlesticks, moving averages, and indicators. But beneath every price movement lies a deeper current: macroeconomic forces. These forces shape the environment in which all trades happen. Great traders don’t just react to price—they understand the context behind it. That context is found in macro charts: the financial “weather maps” of markets. These charts reveal whether capital is flowing toward risk or safety, whether inflation is heating up or cooling down, and whether liquidity is expanding or shrinking. In this post, we’ll explore 10 macro charts that can elevate your edge, backed by proven examples of how they’ve helped traders stay on the right side of the market. These aren't just charts—they’re market truths in visual form. 1️⃣ DXY – U.S. Dollar Index Why it matters: The U.S. dollar affects everything: commodities, stocks, global trade, and especially forex. The DXY measures its strength against major currencies. 📉 Chart Reference: In 2022, DXY surged past 110 due to aggressive Fed rate hikes. This crushed EURUSD, pressured gold, and triggered a global risk-off move. Traders who tracked DXY rode USD strength across the board. 💡 Use it to: Confirm trends in FX and commodities. Strong DXY = bearish pressure on gold and risk assets. 2️⃣ US10Y – 10-Year Treasury Yield Why it matters: This is the benchmark for interest rates and inflation expectations. It guides borrowing costs, equity valuations, and safe-haven flows. 📉 Chart Reference: In 2023, the 10Y spiked from 3.5% to nearly 5%, leading to weakness in growth stocks and boosting USD/JPY. Bond traders saw it first—equities followed. 💡 Use it to: Anticipate moves in growth vs. value stocks, and confirm macro themes like inflation or deflation. 3️⃣ Fed Dot Plot Why it matters: This is the Fed’s forward guidance in visual form. Each dot shows where a policymaker expects interest rates to be in the future. 📉 Chart Reference: In Dec 2021, the dot plot signaled a faster pace of hikes than the market expected. Those who caught the shift front-ran the USD rally and equity correction in early 2022. 💡 Use it to: Predict future rate policy and align your macro bias with the Fed's path. 4️⃣ M2 Money Supply (US) Why it matters: This chart tracks the amount of money in the system. More liquidity = fuel for risk. Less = tightening conditions. 📉 Chart Reference: After COVID hit, M2 exploded, leading to a major bull run in stocks and crypto. When M2 began contracting in 2022, asset prices peaked and reversed. 💡 Use it to: Gauge macro liquidity conditions. Expansion is bullish; contraction is dangerous. 5️⃣ Copper/Gold Ratio Why it matters: Copper is a growth metal; gold is a fear hedge. Their ratio acts as a risk-on/risk-off indicator. 📉 Chart Reference: In 2021, the copper/gold ratio surged—signaling growth and optimism. This preceded strong gains in cyclical equities and commodity currencies like AUD and CAD. 💡 Use it to: Confirm risk sentiment and lead equity or FX trends. 6️⃣ VIX – Volatility Index Why it matters: VIX tracks expected volatility in the S&P 500. It's often called the "fear index." 📉Chart Reference : In March 2020, VIX spiked to nearly 90 as COVID panic set in. This extreme fear was followed by one of the greatest buying opportunities of the decade. 💡 Use it to: Time entries and exits. High VIX = fear = possible reversal. Low VIX = complacency = caution. 7️⃣ Real Yields (10Y TIPS - CPI) Why it matters: Shows the inflation-adjusted return on bonds. Real yields affect gold, tech, and risk appetite. 📉Chart Reference : In 2022, real yields went from deeply negative to positive—crushing gold and high-growth stocks. 💡 Use it to: Confirm direction in gold, NASDAQ, and broad macro trends. 8️⃣ Oil Prices (WTI or Brent) Why it matters: Oil is both a growth and inflation input. Rising prices mean higher costs and often precede policy tightening. 📉Chart Reference : Oil’s rally in early 2022 foreshadowed CPI spikes and led central banks to turn hawkish. Traders who tracked it saw inflation risks building early. 💡 Use it to: Forecast inflation, assess energy-related equities, and understand global demand. 9️⃣ Global PMIs (Purchasing Managers’ Indexes) Why it matters: Leading indicator of economic health. PMIs above 50 = expansion. Below 50 = contraction. 📉 Chart Reference: In 2023, China’s PMI consistently printed below 50—signaling manufacturing weakness and global demand concerns. This helped traders avoid overexposure to emerging markets. 💡 Use it to: Gauge growth momentum globally and regionally. 🔟 SPX vs. Equal-Weighted SPX (Breadth Divergence) Why it matters: Shows whether the S&P 500 rally is broad-based or just driven by a few megacaps. 📉Chart Reference : In early 2024, the index made new highs—but the equal-weighted version lagged badly. That divergence warned traders of a fragile rally. 💡 Use it to: Detect weakness beneath the surface and avoid false confidence in rallies. 🧠 Nerdy Tip: Macro Is the Invisible Hand These charts don’t give you trade entries—but they give you conviction, timing, and perspective. When you combine macro context with technical setups, you trade in sync with the market’s deeper rhythm. So before you place your next trade, ask yourself: What are yields doing? Is liquidity expanding or drying up? Is risk appetite rising or falling? put together by : @currencynerd as Pako Phutietsile
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by currencynerd
Gold Short Term OutlookGold has extended its recovery after reclaiming both the 50MA and 200MA, now trading just below the $3,341 resistance. Price has broken out of the short-term descending channel and is showing early signs of bullish continuation. A confirmed break and hold above $3,341 would open the path toward the next resistance cluster at $3,356–$3,370, followed by $3,383. If price rejects this resistance and pulls back, the $3,328–$3,313 area will be key to maintain the bullish structure. Below that, focus returns to the $3,300 level and the broader Support Zone. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: ‣ $3,341 ‣ $3,356 ‣ $3,370 ‣ $3,383 Support: ‣ $3,328 ‣ $3,313 ‣ $3,300 ‣ $3,267 ⚠️ It’s Friday! Stay sharp and manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by azgoldtrader
#AN018: Summer shock, tariffs, Fed delays, and the dollar's shif In recent days, the forex world has experienced a sequence of key events that could redefine the global currency landscape in the coming months. Risk to the dollar has become structural, the threat of tariffs is multiplying again, and the combination of geopolitical uncertainty and monetary policy creates an extremely risky mix for exchange rates. Let's start with the Fed minutes: Jerome Powell attributed tariff risk to the main reason for postponing possible rate cuts. Market expectations are realigning toward a longer rate cycle, fueling a climate of global uncertainty. At the same time, Goldman Sachs warns that the dollar is increasingly moving as a "risky" currency, correlated with equity markets—an emerging market rather than a safe haven. On the geopolitical front, President Trump has relaunched the trade war: announcements of tariffs of up to 35% on Canada, up to 20% on Europe, and 50% on copper from Brazil have caused futures volatility to soar and sent the dollar into a short-term rally. But Deutsche Bank is sounding the alarm: the summer period of low liquidity and rising trade tensions represents a potential trigger for prolonged currency turbulence. The Financial Times envisions a scenario in which the dollar loses ground as the dominant currency, ushering in a multipolar currency world in which the euro, renminbi, gold, and even cryptocurrencies could gain ground. The impact on Forex: USD: The narrative is changing: no longer a net safe haven, but an asset correlated with political and risk cycles. The weakness of the DXY index in the first half of 2025 (-10%) reflects this transition. EUR/USD: Potentially favored if the dollar continues its consolidation. However, new tariffs and US-EU uncertainty could provide temporary support for the greenback. USD/JPY and USD/CHF: These crosses will be subject to greater volatility, with the next catalyst being the Fed minutes and the timing of tariffs. Safe-haven currencies strengthen during periods of uncertainty. CAD, AUD, NZD: penalized by tariffs on Canada and Brazil and a weak dollar. OPEC+ and geopolitical tensions could boost commodities, but data confirmation is needed. Commodity cross-correlation: USD/CAD could rebound if oil loses momentum, while AUD/JPY is sensitive to both the RBA and increased global risk. Conclusion: The current currency environment appears unstable and sensitive to political and trade developments. Summer volatility could persist, and those who can read the macro and institutional signals (Fed, tariffs, geopolitics) will have the opportunity to enter accurately. Until a stable direction emerges, EUR/USD looks like the most interesting cross to capture a potential structural correction in the dollar.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
HP Trade Update – July 11, 2025🟢 HP has broken out of a tight symmetrical triangle after consolidating for nearly two days. 📍 Entry activated at $17.22, as price pushed above wedge resistance with bullish confirmation. 🎯 Targets are clear: $17.59 (first zone), $18.16 (extended level). 🛡️ Stop-loss positioned below $16.87 to protect the structure. Volume is still building, but trendline support remains intact — a solid setup for breakout continuation. Watching closely for follow-through and buyer strength into next session. 🔍 Strategy: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout 📊 Sentiment: Bullish & Active 🗓️ Trade live — price holding breakout level.
NYSE:HPLong
by ProfittoPath
BTC-USDT Analysis for the Past 24 HoursOver the past 24 hours, BTC showed excellent price action — I personally entered a long position at 110,000 and captured a clean +2.59% move, locking in profits without being greedy. 🚀 Price Action Bitcoin climbed confidently from around 109,485 to 113,472 USDT — a gain of roughly 3.6%. The strongest impulse came between 00:00 and 01:00, with the candle surging from 111,341 to 113,685. It was a sharp and confident move with no signs of weakness. 📊 Market Observations • Trading volume significantly increased during the night, especially from 03:00 to 01:00 — typical behavior during an aggressive short squeeze. • Daily high: 113,757 USDT; low: 109,443. • Technically, the market is continuing its uptrend after holding the key support level at 105,200 USDT last week. 📰 Fundamental Signals • Kimchi premium is negative (-0.69%) — Korean investors seem to be in risk-off mode. • Upbit listed BABY BTC, and activity in altcoins is picking up. • Institutions are still cautious — even after BTC broke above 109,700, there’s no strong bullish sentiment from their side. 📌 My Take The rally is strong, but not euphoric. There’s clear interest in BTC, and volume confirms the trend’s strength. However, the ETF flows and ongoing USDT discount in China signal the need for caution. Now is the time to avoid greed, take partial profits, and closely monitor how the market reacts to upcoming resistance levels.
by Midas_Indicator_US_Official
Gold Rejected at 3329.5, Profit-Taking Pressure Rises📊 Market Overview: Gold surged to 3329.5, approaching key resistance, but quickly dropped to 3319.8 due to strong selling pressure, signaling short-term profit-taking. It’s now slightly recovering and trading around 3321. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: 3329 – 3335 • Nearest Support: 3308 – 3285 • EMA 09: Price remains above EMA 09 → uptrend still intact. • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: H1 candle shows long upper wick at resistance. High volume at the top suggests profit-taking activity. 📌 Outlook: Gold may continue a short-term correction if it fails to break above 3330 decisively. Bulls need to hold 3308 to maintain the upward structure. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD : 3330 – 3333 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: 3336 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3302 – 3305 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: 3399
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Bullish move , gold money Strong CHoCH + Demand zone = High-probability bullish continuation setup!" ✅ Key Highlights: 🔴 Multiple BOS confirm bearish trend continuation up to late June. 🔵 CHoCH on early July marks a potential bullish reversal zone. 📉 Price currently retracing into a demand zone (highlighted blue box) for potential long entries. 🔮 Expected bullish leg targeting the 3,350–3,400 zone before another possible correction. 🧠 Projected schematic aligns with Wyckoff accumulation + SMC concepts—anticipating further BOS and CHoCH as price unfolds. 📅 Watch for upcoming U.S. economic events that may influence volatility (shown with news icons). 📌 Bias: Bullish above demand zone | Invalidation: Clean break below demand and failure to hold above recent BOS.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Greenfireforex
AUDCHF Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for AUDCHF is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.5226 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 0.5205 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
Gas Market: Short-Term Stability vs. Long-Term TensionCAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS MCX:NATURALGAS1! NYMEX:NG1! PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS This analysis was prepared by Dr. Igor Isaev in cooperation with Anastasia Volkova, analyst of LSE. The natural gas market presents a mixed outlook as we enter Week 28. Last week, Summer 2025 contracts traded slightly above their median pre-expiry levels, staying within historical volatility ranges since 2010. Winter 2026-27 contracts held firmly above the upper bounds of the 10-day pre-expiry band, signaling persistent concerns over supply and weather-related risks. Analysts expect prices to stabilize in the near term, but the forward curve tells a different story. While 2025 contracts with three-year delivery terms have aligned with 2023-2024 prices for similar terms, a significant skew persists in short-term (1-2 years) and long-term (5-6 years) tenors compared to 2020-2024 benchmarks, hinting at underlying structural uncertainty. Fundamentals show signs of stabilization. For Week 27 (June 28 - July 3), storage injections rebounded to +63 billion cubic feet (BCF), pushing inventories above the five-year median. Injection rates recovered from last week’s dip, and if current supply and demand conditions hold, we could see 2024 peak storage levels. Yet, weather and seasonal factors in the second half of summer pose a limiting challenge. NOAA data indicates a gradual weather stabilization: Week 28 remains hot compared to the past 30 years, but forecasts predict a return to the median by Week 29. The accompanying graph (Right lower graph) highlights this trend, with candlesticks showing quantiles from 1994 to 2024—red dots for 2024, green for 2025, and blue for 2025 predictions. Regionally, this stabilization pattern holds across nearly all areas. Despite these gains, the supply-demand balance lags behind historical norms. In Week 28, the net difference between supply and demand remains well below the median for 2014-2024, suggesting that short-term calm masks deeper imbalances. The afterword underscores this tension: while storage growth and weather normalization offer relief, the forward curve’s divergence reflects market unease about systemic risks—be it policy shifts, infrastructure issues, or long-term demand volatility. For now, sentiment stays cautiously neutral, supported by recent injections but shadowed by unresolved signals farther out.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by igorisaev
ETH Decision Zone: Breakout or Bull Trap?Ethereum (ETHUSD) just broke out of a tight symmetrical triangle on the 1H chart — but price is now stalling near the previous high, signaling a critical decision point. 📊 Key Technical Notes: 🔹 Triangle Breakout: Clean push above downtrend resistance, but no candle close above key high. 🔹 Previous High Acting as Resistance: Bulls need continuation to validate this move. 🔹 Two Scenarios in Play: 1️⃣ Bullish Continuation: → ETH breaks and holds above ~$2,865 → Next resistance levels sit at $3,000+ 2️⃣ Bearish Rejection / Fakeout: → Rejection from highs → Retest of triangle → Failure = drop toward previous low near $2,150 🎯 Risk-Reward Defined — both long and short setups are clearly outlined.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Quant_Trading_Pro
NZD/CAD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT Hello, Friends! NZD/CAD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 5H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.817 area. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1