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Bullish Altcoins = Bullish BitcoinBitcoin is going up. This is confirmed. Right now we have a bullish Altcoins market. The Altcoins are starting to break up strong. Some pairs are growing three digits green in a single day. What does this mean? It means Bitcoin is set to continue growing. The Altcoins never grow ultra-bullish if Bitcoin is about to crash. If Bitcoin were to crash, the Altcoins would be shy, weak, trading near support or already crashing. The fact that we see this strong bullish breakout on many pairs, early signals, confirms that Bitcoin is going higher. This is a very simple signal but it clears all doubt. Nobody can tell you that Bitcoin is going down. Here you have the proof. ➖ Sequence A correction (Altcoins) leads to the establishment of support. This correction ends as a strong higher low compared to the start of the bullish wave several months ago. This support level is consolidated briefly. This was a short correction (in time duration). The consolidation phase leads to a very strong bullish breakout; the resumption of the bullish trend. The correction ends in a strong higher low and thus we can expect a higher high next. Bitcoin is going up. Don't let anybody tell you otherwise. The opportunity to buy now is strong. It is wise to buy when prices are low/near support. It is wise to buy when the market is depressed. All retraces and corrections are an opportunity to buy strong. You will be happy with the incoming amazing results. Bitcoin and the Altcoins market are going up. Namaste.
by AlanSantana
10
How Fast Is Fast? WormholeSome people consider short-term 1 hour, while others consider short-term 1 week. Still others can consider 3 months to be short-term. Our systems are mixed. How are you doing my friend? I am guessing you are getting ready for tomorrow and have no time for work today. That's ok! Thank you for taking the time to read and for your continued support. In our system and trading strategy, short-term means within 30 days; 1 month. We can see a chart like WUSDT with higher lows and consolidation happening since August 2024. It can move fast, short-term. But see what happened with this one; the low was hit in August and the market conditions back then were the same as they are today. While some pairs broke up and grew strong, this one continues sideways. We can spot the signals and the charts but we cannot rush the market. Some pairs move within days after sharing while others can take months. Some will move within hours, some others will start moving only after 2-3 weeks. Some pairs will go down rather than going up. The longer the consolidation phase, in this case since August, the closer we are to the bullish breakout. Wormhole is getting very, very close. It should move fast; short-term. Mid-term for us is within 1-3 months. Long-term is 3-6 months. Long long-term stands for 6 months or more. This is a great chart setup and can move within days or weeks. The trading volume is quite revealing, there is a strong increase after September and then it remains high. This is coupled with higher lows; an ascending triangle long-term. This is a good project, it seems. This can turn out into a very good trade. Buy and hold and just be patient, let the market take care of the rest. If you want to catch a big move and do it fast, diversification can work... But the mindset of earning fast or doing anything fast can result in disaster and small but accumulative loss. There are many ways to approach this market, these charts, these pairs. I always recommend patience... It is a sure way to win; you can set it and forget it. Thanks again for your continued support. Namaste.
Long
by AlanSantana
1
MicroStrategy Buys the Dip Amidst $BTC Crash to $92KThe cryptocurrency market witnessed another headline-grabbing move by MicroStrategy as the firm added 2,138 BTC to its holdings for $209 million. While Bitcoin’s price experiences a significant dip, this acquisition reflects a continued belief in its long-term potential. Let’s dive into the technical and fundamental aspects of Bitcoin’s current state. MicroStrategy’s Strategic Buy On Monday, MicroStrategy announced its latest Bitcoin purchase, acquiring 2,138 BTC at an average price of $97,837. This marks yet another chapter in the company’s aggressive Bitcoin accumulation strategy. However, critics like Peter Schiff were quick to note that these purchases are involving less capital, and the acquisition price consistently overshoots the market rate. Despite such criticism, MicroStrategy’s move underscores institutional confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory. The company’s continued investment is seen as a vote of confidence amidst bearish market sentiment, reinforcing Bitcoin’s role as a digital store of value. Technical Analysis Bitcoin’s price action is currently confined within a horizontal channel, with support at $92,200–$94,200 and resistance at $98,700–$101,000. As of now, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is testing the lower boundary of this channel. A decisive move in either direction could dictate the asset’s next major trend. Bullish Scenario Should buyers step in with strength, Bitcoin could rebound and retest the $98,700–$101,000 resistance zone. A breakout above this level may act as a catalyst for further gains, potentially marking the start of a sustained uptrend. Historically, Bitcoin has shown a tendency to gain momentum after the New Year’s pause, making January 8, 2024, a key date to watch for heightened volatility and potential upside movement. Bearish Scenario Conversely, a breakdown below the $92,200 support could trigger a retest of the $90,800 level. A more severe downturn might lead to Bitcoin revisiting its major support at $85,000. This psychological level will play a pivotal role in determining whether BTC can stage a trend reversal or face further downside as sellers shake out weak hands. Market Sentiment and Outlook The broader market sentiment remains cautious as Bitcoin’s price consolidates within its current range. MicroStrategy’s recent purchase has injected some optimism, but the market awaits stronger signals of a directional move. Traders are closely monitoring the $101,000 resistance level, which could act as a springboard for greater gains if breached. Conclusion Bitcoin’s price is at a critical juncture, with key support and resistance levels in focus. MicroStrategy’s continued investment highlights institutional confidence, while technical indicators suggest potential for both recovery and further downside. As the market navigates this pivotal phase, all eyes are on Bitcoin’s next move, which could shape its trajectory for the months ahead.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
1
ADA - Bull Flag Printing In One Of The BEST Performing CoinsCrypto is slumping but some coins / stocks more than others. ADA has been one of the strongest coins in accumulation, in pump action and here appears to be again one of the strongest in correction. And this looks like a bull flag developing here. If Bitcoin prints a selling climax then ADA will likely break the bull flag to the downside. But this is common with these cause building fractals. And if this happened it would likely be the bear trap shakeout before the next wave up. In the bearish case I dont see it getting much lower than the current $0.76 low. But a slightly lower low below that low could be the final pivot before the next wave up. Or it may just hold and get moving on up from here. Its not really possible to know but observing Bitcoin technicals will assist to know the answer as this develops - Bitcoin thread linked below. In the end its up and up for Cardano from here 👍🏻. Not advice
BINANCE:ADAUSDLong
by dRends35
2
BNB 15M Reversal PlayLook how the market reversed and the day's sentiment shifted. 📉📈 You can see this in the charts, of course, but I now track sentiment with numbers. The scores "UP and DOWN" before the ">" reflect the start of the day, while those after the ">" show the current sentiment. This shift means I’ll focus on searching for shorts instead of longs (for now)- which make this day a potential ''reversal play'' for me. All intraday. But also, this is typical End OF Year chop, for example watch DOGE 15M trend, reversed 4 times which make this very bad to trade on for me with a 15M system. BNB Numbers, factual structure: - Structure: 1D: UP | 4H: UP | 1H: UP | 15M: DOWN > UP | - First 2H (15M): UP - 15M Sentiment: EMA's: UP > DOWN > UP | ATR: UP > DOWN > UP - Up score 4/7 > 7/7"
Long
by NickSeversG
2
Bitcoin Massive Pullback or Breakout? Stay AheadAs we mentioned in our last post that Bitcoin is trading in ascending channel.After a breakdown from the channel BTC finds the support between at $92,600.82 to $91.500.93 zone in Green. Now, we are observing two possible scenarios: Bearish Scenario: BTC is currently testing its resistance at $99,267.19 and has been rejected multiple times, if the price of Bitcoin fails to break this resistance level we might see a pullback to its support zone Green, and if this zone fails to hold the price we could see some more drop in the price to next support zone at $86,125.66 to $85,159.31 in Blue. A strong bounce in this region could potentially set the stage for Bitcoin to make a new all-time high. Bullish Scenario: If the price of Bitcoin flips the resistance at $99,267.19 and the lower boundary of the ascending channel we could see the price reach the middle line of the channel. Overall we are bullish until 1st and 2nd quarter of 2025. Don't panic, these dips are good for filling your bags. If we see a correction in the price that we are expecting this is a blessing to us to fill our bags. This market loves to shake out the weak hands before making its real move. A pullback here might just be the perfect opportunity to position yourself smartly. But remember: discipline is key. Don’t rush—wait for confirmations at key levels. Stay sharp and patient. This market isn’t for the faint-hearted, but the potential rewards for disciplined traders can be life-changing. Let’s crush it!
by TheCryptoCity
1
Trading While Tired: How Lack of Sleep Messed Me UpThere was a time in my trading journey when I thought staying up late would make me a better trader. I’d sit at my desk until the early hours, staring at charts and telling myself, “The more I watch, the more I’ll win.” At first, it seemed like it was working. I caught a few decent trades late at night and felt like I was ahead of the game. But then, it all started to go wrong. The Day It Hit Me One morning, after getting just four hours of sleep, I sat down to trade like I always did. But something felt off. I couldn’t focus on the charts—I kept missing obvious patterns. On one trade, I completely forgot to set a stop-loss, and it ended up costing me more than it should have. By the end of the day, I had made so many mistakes that I didn’t even recognize myself as a trader. I was losing money, and I felt like a mess. What Lack of Sleep Does Looking back, I can see how skipping sleep was hurting me. Here’s what I went through: - I Couldn’t Think Clearly: I felt foggy and couldn’t concentrate on my trading plan. - I Made Bad Choices: I rushed into trades without thinking them through. - I Was Moody: Losing trades hit me harder than they should have, and little things made me angry. - I Drank Too Much Coffee: I thought caffeine would fix my tiredness, but it just made me jittery. - I Broke My Rules: I was too tired to follow my trading strategy. How I Fixed It One day, after another sleepless night and a morning full of mistakes, I decided enough was enough. I told myself I needed to change. The first step? Making sleep a priority. At first, it was hard to turn off the charts and go to bed. I thought I’d miss out on opportunities, but the truth was the opposite. With proper rest, I became sharper, calmer, and more confident in my trades. What I Learned -Sleep is as important as trading skills—you can’t think clearly without it. -Watching the charts all night doesn’t help if you’re too tired to make good decisions. -A good night’s sleep leads to smarter, more focused trading. Are You Trading Tired? If you’re staying up late and feeling exhausted while trading, it’s time to change that. Trust me, your trades will get better when your brain has the energy to work properly. If you’re stuck or want to chat about how to balance trading with a healthy lifestyle, send me a DM. I’ve been there, and I’m here to help! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
KRAKEN:GALAUSDEducation
by Mindbloome-Trading
6
Simple Sequence (New All-Time High At $10.5?)Repeating patterns, or fractals, can be one of the most revealing signals the market can offer. When the same pattern repeats, we can easily know what to expect. What about repeating sequences? It is also a pattern but more complex. LDOUSDT (Lido DAO) produced a long-term double bottom on this chart. We have a sequence of a higher low following this pattern and a falling wedge preceding this higher low. Three patterns matched and combined. Last time this led to a bullish wave. Right now we will have a bull-market which is same but stronger. We have a major bottom and consolidation taking place in late 2024. Now we have a higher low and this higher low is the last chance to get this pair, to join this market, to get Crypto; buy Crypto, when prices are low. I am buying now in anticipating of something great. What do you think will happen in 2025? Sooner rather than later. What is your take? I think the market will grow but do you agree with this view? Am I being too optimistic? What about you? Are you being too pessimistic? No! I know you see what I see. I know you can see what I see. I know you know what I know, or else you wouldn't be reading this. We are ready. We are strong. We are confident. We are blessed and happy. We are ready to win. Timing is important to be able to catch the entire bullish wave. Once the action starts and it is ongoing, there is no going back, it will take years before a new opportunity like this presents itself. I am not waiting. This is wise. We already waited in late November and early December, this is when the retrace (small correction) took place. This retrace balanced the growth we saw starting in August and peaking late last month. We will see more. This was only a preview. Major players entered the market. More people are becoming interested. The world is ready to trade. Even the government wants to buy Crypto. When they start buying, everything will boom. When the tech giants start buying, we will go the Moon. When the world starts buying, we will have the strongest ever bullish wave. Right now, nobody is buying because the market is red. The best time to buy is when prices are low. Buy and hold. The market will take care of the rest. $6.5 is an easy target as a new ATH in 2025. We don't know if the wave will end at $6.5 or $10.5... Both are amazing targets. We have huge potential for growth. What are you waiting for? Are you in or are you out? The market is waiting for you... Time is running out. Namaste.
Long
by AlanSantana
1
History Repeats? BTC Explosive 2025 ForecastSome people think #Bitcoin has already hit its highest point, but history shows that might not be the case. In previous cycles, Bitcoin tends to go parabolic and hit a peak a few months after breaking its previous all-time high (ATH). For example, in 2013, it peaked 273 days after breaking its ATH, in 2017 it took 233 days, and in 2021 it took 328 days. This pattern suggests that Bitcoin’s peak happened well after the ATH breakout. Looking ahead to the 2025 cycle, if Bitcoin follows a similar pattern, we could expect a peak between June 2025 (233 days after a breakout) and October 2025 (328 days after). While no one can predict the exact timeline, these historical trends provide a rough estimate of when Bitcoin might reach its next major peak.
by TheCryptoCity
1
Bullish Lower Low Based On B-Div (Tellor)Good afternoon my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, can you remember how strongly Tellor moved last year? It was a wild and strong bullish wave. This pair saw more than 4,444% growth within months. And yes, this is not a typo. Here we have a bullish lower low. Normally I call this signal based on volume and marketwide action, but this time I am calling it based on a strong RSI bullish divergence. TRBBTC hit bottom just 10 days ago, the 20th of December. Its RSI bottomed mid-April. In November, the RSI produced a higher low. This is giving us a very strong, more than six months long, bullish divergence. The lower low in December produced less bearish volume than the higher low in April. Signaling that the bearish wave/trend lost its momentum. With a loss of momentum and bullish divergence with the RSI, as well as a fairly strong RSI at bottom prices, we can expect the trend to change. We saw 4,444% growth last year, this time we can see something similar or even more. The fact that the correction took prices to new lows, much lower compared to the start of the 2023 bullish wave, opens the doors for massive growth. Keep an eye on this one. Once we hit bottom, there is no other place left to go but up. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
Long
by AlanSantana
1
HOW-TO use the Rainbow Indicator? (full guide)Below is a complete instruction on how to use the Rainbow Indicator along with examples. This indicator is an important facet of my decision-making system because it allows me to answer two important questions: - At what price should I make a trade with the selected shares? - In what volume? Part 1: Darts Set My concept of investing in stocks is buying great companies during a sell-off . Of course, this idea is not unique. One way or another, this was said by the luminaries of value investing – Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett. However, the implementation of this concept may vary depending on the preferences of each investor.To find great companies, I use the Fundamental strength indicator , and to plan opening and closing positions I use the Rainbow indicator. To begin your acquaintance with the Rainbow Indicator, ⁣ I would like to invite you to take part in a mental experiment. Imagine two small rooms for a game of darts. Each room has a different target hanging in it. It can be anywhere: center, left, right, bottom, or top. Target #1 from the first room looks like a small red circle. Target #2 from the second room looks like a larger red circle. You get a reward for hitting the target, calculated according to the following principle: the smaller the target in relation to the wall surface, the greater the reward you get. You have 100 darts in your hand, that is 100 attempts to hit the target. For each attempt, you pay $10. So to play this unusual game of darts, you take with you $1,000. Now, the most important condition is that you play in absolute darkness . So you don't know exactly what part of the wall the target is hanging in, so all your years of darts practice don't matter here. The question is: Which room will you choose? This is where you begin to think. Since your skills and experience are almost completely untapped in this game, all of your attempts to hit a target will be random. This is a useful observation because it allows you to apply the theory of probability. The password is Jacob Bernoulli. This is the mathematician who derived the formula by which you can calculate the probability of a successful outcome for a limited number of attempts. In our case, a successful outcome is a dart hitting the target as many times as necessary in order to, at least, not lose anything. In the case of Target #1, it is one hit or more. In the case of Target 2, it is 10 hits or more. The probability of hitting Target #1 is 1/100 or 1% (since the target area occupies 1% of the wall area). The probability of hitting Target #2 is 10/100 or 10% (since the target area occupies 10% of the wall area). The number of attempts is equal to the number of darts - 100. Now we have all the data to calculate. So, Bernoulli's formula : According to this formula: - The probability of one or more hits on Target #1 is 63% (out of 100%). - The probability of ten or more hits on Target #2 is 55% (out of 100%). You may say, "I think we should go to the first room". However, take your time with this conclusion because it is interesting to calculate the probability of not hitting the target even once, i.e., losing $1,000. We calculate using the same formula: - The probability of not hitting Target #1 is 37% (out of 100%). - The probability of not hitting Target #2 is 0.0027% (out of 100%). If we calculate the ratio of the probability of a successful outcome to the probability of losing the whole amount, we get: - For the first room = 1.7 - For the second room = 20370 You know, I like the second room better. This mental experiment reflects my approach to investing in stocks. The first room is an example of a strategy where you try to find the perfect entry point - to buy at a price below which the stock will not fall. The second room reflects an approach where you're not chasing a specific price level, but thinking in price ranges. In both cases, you'll have plenty of attempts, but in the first room, the risk of losing everything is much greater than in the second room. Now let me show you my target, ⁣ which is a visual interpretation of the Rainbow Indicator. It also hangs on the wall, in absolute darkness, and only becomes visible after I have used all the darts. Before the game starts, I announce the color where I want to go. The probability of hitting decreases from blue to green, and then to orange and red. That is, the smaller the color area, the less likely it is to successfully hit the selected color. However, the size of the reward also increases according to the same principle - the smaller the area of ​​color, the greater the reward. Throwing a dart is an attempt to close a position with a profit. Hitting the selected color is a position closed with a profit. Missing the selected color means the position is closed at a loss. Now imagine that in the absolutely dark room where I am, I have a flashlight. Thanks to it, I have the opportunity to see in which part of the wall the target is located. This gives me a significant advantage because now I throw darts not blindly, but with a precise understanding of where I am aiming. Light shining on the wall increases the probability of a successful outcome, which can also be estimated using the Bernoulli formula. Let's say I have 100 darts in my hands, that is, one hundred attempts to hit the chosen target. The probability of a dart hitting a red target (without the help of a flashlight) is 10%, and with the help of a flashlight, for example, 15%. That is, my ability to throw darts improves the probability of hitting the target by 5%. For hitting the red target, I get $100, and for each throw I pay $10. In this case, the probability of hitting the red target ten or more times is 94.49% (out of 100%) versus 55% (out of 100%) without a flashlight. In other words, under these game conditions and the assumptions made, if I try all 100 darts, the probability of recouping all my expenses will be 94.49% if I aim only at the red target. In my decision-making system, such a "flashlight" is the Fundamental strength indicator, dynamics of cash flows, the P/E ratio and the absence of critical news. And the darts set (target and darts) is a metaphor for the Rainbow Indicator. However, please note that all probabilities of positive outcomes are assumptions and are provided only for the purpose of example and understanding of the approach I have chosen. Stocks of public companies are not a guaranteed income instrument, nor are any indicators associated with them. Part 2: Margin of safety The idea to create the Rainbow Indicator came to me thanks to the concept of "margin of safety" coined by the father of value investing, Benjamin Graham. According to his idea, it is reasonable to buy shares of a company only when the price offered by the market is lower than the "intrinsic value" calculated based on financial statements. The value of this difference is the "margin of safety". At the same time, the indicator does not copy Graham's idea but develops it relying on my own methodology. So, according to Graham, the "margin of safety" is a good discount to the intrinsic value of the company. That is, if a company's stock is trading at prices that are well below the company's intrinsic value (on a per-share basis), it's a good opportunity to consider buying it. In this case, you will have a certain margin of safety in case the company is in financial distress and its stock price goes down. Accordingly, the greater the discount, the better. When it comes to the intrinsic value of a company, there are many approaches to determining it - from calculating the Price-to-book value financial ratio to the discounted cash flow method. As for my approach, I don’t try to find the coveted intrinsic value/cost, but I try to understand how fundamentally strong the company in front of me is, and how many years it will take to pay off my investment in it. To decide to buy shares, I use the following sequence of actions: - Determining fundamental strength of a company and analysis of cash flows using the Fundamental Strength Indicator. - Analysis of the recoupment period of investments using P/E ratio . - Analysis of critical news . - Analysis of the current price using Rainbow Indicator. To decide to sell shares, I use: - Analysis of the current price using Rainbow Indicator. - Or The Rule of Replacement of Stocks in a Portfolio . - Or Force majeure Position Closing Rule . Thus, the Rainbow indicator is always used in tandem with other indicators and analysis methods when buying stocks. However, in the case of selling previously purchased shares, I can only use the Rainbow indicator or one of the rules that I will discuss below. Next, we will consider the methodology for calculating the Rainbow Indicator. Indicator calculation methodology The Rainbow indicator starts with a simple moving average of one year (this is the thick red line in the center). Hereinafter, a year will mean the last 252 trading days. Applying a moving average of this length - is a good way to smooth out sharp price fluctuations which can happen during a year as much as possible, keeping the trend direction as much as possible. Thus, the moving average becomes for me the center of fluctuations of the imaginary pendulum of the market price. Then the deviations are calculated from the center of fluctuations. To achieve this, a certain number of earnings per share is subtracted from and added to the moving average. This is the diluted EPS of the last year. Deviations with a "-" sign from the Lower Rainbow of four colors: - The Blue Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow begins with a deflection of -4 EPS and ends with a deflection of -8 EPS. - The Green Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow begins with a deflection of -8 EPS and ends with a deflection of -16 EPS. - The Orange Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow begins with a deflection of -16 EPS and ends with a deflection of -32 EPS. - The Red Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow begins with a deflection of -32 EPS and goes to infinity. The Lower Rainbow is used to determine the price ranges that can be considered for buying stocks. It is in the spectra of the Lower Rainbow that the very "margin of safety" according to my methodology is located. The Lower Rainbow has the boundaries between the spectra as a solid line . And only the Red Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow has only one boundary. Deviations with a "+" sign from the Upper Rainbow of four similar colors: - The Red Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow begins with a deflection of 0 EPS and ends with a deflection of +4 EPS. - The Orange Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow begins with a deflection of +4 EPS and ends with a deflection of +8 EPS. - The Green Spectrum top rainbow begins with a deflection of +8 EPS and ends with a deflection of +16 EPS. - The Blue Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow begins with a deflection of +16 EPS and goes to infinity. The Upper Rainbow is used to determine the price ranges that can be considered for selling stocks already purchased. The top rainbow has boundaries between the spectra in the form of crosses . And only the Blue Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow has only one boundary. The presence of the Empty Area (the size of 4 EPS) above the Lower Rainbow creates some asymmetry between the two rainbows - the Lower Rainbow looks wider than the Upper Rainbow. This asymmetry is deliberate because the market tends to fall much faster and deeper than it grows . Therefore, a wider Lower Rainbow is conducive to buying stocks at a good discount during a period of massive "sell-offs". The situation when the Lower Rainbow is below the center of fluctuations (the thick red line) and the Upper Rainbow is above the center of fluctuations is called an Obverse . It is only possible to buy a stock in an Obverse situation. The situation when the Lower Rainbow is above the center of fluctuations and the Upper Rainbow is below the center of fluctuations is called Reverse . In this situation, the stock cannot be considered for purchase , according to my approach. Selling a previously purchased stock is possible in both situations: Reverse and Obverse. After loading the indicator, you can see a hint next to the closing price - Reverse or Obverse now. Because the size of the deviation from the center of fluctuation depends on the size of the diluted EPS, several important conclusions can be made: - The increase in the width of both rainbows in the Obverse situation tells me about the growth of profits in the companies. - The decrease in the width of both rainbows in the Obverse situation tells me about a decrease in profits in the companies. - The increase in the width of both rainbows in the Reverse situation tells me about the growth of losses in the companies. - The decrease in the width of both rainbows in the Reverse situation tells me about the decrease in losses in the companies. - The higher the company's level of profit, the larger my "margin of safety" should be. This will provide the necessary margin of safety in the event of a transition to a cycle of declining financial results. The corresponding width of the Lower Rainbow will just create this "reserve". - The growth in profit in the company (after buying its shares) will allow me to stay in the position longer due to the expansion of the Upper Rainbow. - A decrease in profit in the company (after buying its shares) will allow me to close the position faster due to the narrowing of the Upper Rainbow. So the Rainbow indicator shows me a price range that can be considered for purchase if all the necessary conditions are met. By being in this price range, my investment will have a certain margin of safety or "margin of safety." It will also tell me when to exit a stock position based on the company's earnings analysis. Part 3: Crazy Mr. Market The Fundamental strength of a company influences the long-term price performance of its shares. This is a thesis that I believe in and use in my work. A company that does not live in debt and quickly converts its goods or services into money will be appreciated by the market. This all sounds good, you say, but what should an investor do who needs to decide here and now? Moreover, one has to act in conditions of constant changes in market sentiment. Current talk about the company's excellent prospects can be replaced by a pessimistic view of it literally the next day. Therefore, the stock price chart of any companies, regardless of its fundamental strength, can resemble the chaotic drawings of preschool children. Working with such uncertainty required me to develop my own attitude towards it. Benjamin Graham's idea of market madness was of invaluable help to me in this. Imagine that the market is your business partner, "Mr. Market". Every day, he comes to your office to check in and offer you a deal with shares of your mutual companies. Sometimes he wants to buy your share, sometimes he intends to sell his. And each time he offers a price at random, relying only on his intuition. When he is in a panic and afraid of everything, he wants to get rid of his shares. When he feels euphoria and blind faith in the future, he wants to buy your share. This is how crazy your partner is. Why is he acting like this? According to Graham, this is how all investors behave who do not understand the real value/cost of what they own. They jump from side to side and do it with the regularity of a "maniac" every day. The smart investor's job is to understand the fundamental value of your business and just wait for the next visit from crazy Mr. Market. If he panics and offers to buy his stocks at a surprisingly low price, take them and wish him luck. If he begs you to sell him stocks and quotes an unusually high price, sell them and wish him luck. The Rainbow indicator is used to evaluate these two poles. Now let's look at the conditions of opening and closing a position according to the indicator. So, the Lower Rainbow has four differently colored spectra: blue, green, orange, and red. Each one highlights the desired range of prices acceptable for buying in an Obverse situation. The Blue Spectrum is upper regarding the Green Spectrum, and the Green Spectrum is lower regarding the Blue Spectrum, etc. - If the current price is in the Blue Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow, that is a reason to consider that company for buying the first portion (*) of the stock. - If the current price has fallen below (into the Green Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow), that is a reason to consider this company to buy a second portion of the stock. - If the current price has fallen below (into the Orange Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow), it is a reason to consider this company to buy a third portion of the stock. - If the current price has fallen below (into the Red Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow), that is a reason to consider that company to buy a fourth portion of the stock. (*) The logic of the Rainbow Indicator implies that no more than 4 portions of one company's stock can be purchased. One portion refers to the number of shares you can consider buying at the current price (depending on your account size and personal diversification ratio - see information below). The Upper Rainbow also has four differently colored spectra: blue, green, orange, and red. Each of them highlights the appropriate range of prices acceptable for closing an open position. - If the current price is in the Red Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow, I close one portion of an open position bought in the Red Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow. - If the current price is in the Orange Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow, I close one portion of an open position bought in the Orange Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow. - If the current price is in the Green Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow, I close one portion of an open position bought in the Green Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow. - If the current price is in the Blue Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow, I close one portion of an open position bought in the Blue Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow. This position-closing logic applies to both the Obverse and Reverse situations. In both cases, the position is closed in portions in four steps. However, there are 3 exceptions to this rule when it is possible to close an entire position in whole rather than in parts: 1. If there is a Reverse situation and the current price is above the thick red line. 2.if I decide to invest in another company and I do not have enough free finances to purchase the required number of shares (Portfolio Replacement Rule). 3. If I learn of events that pose a real threat to the continued existence of the companies (for example, filing for bankruptcy), I can close the position earlier, without waiting for the price to fall into the corresponding Upper Rainbow spectrum (Force majeure Position Closing Rule). So, the basic scenario of opening and closing a position assumes the gradual purchase of shares in 4 stages and their gradual sale in 4 stages. However, there is a situation where one of the stages is skipped in the case of buying shares and in the case of selling them. For example, because the Fundamental Strength Indicator and the P/E ratio became acceptable for me only at a certain stage (spectrum) or the moment was missed for a transaction due to technical reasons. In such cases, I buy or sell more than one portion of a stock in the spectrum I am in. The number of additional portions will depend on the number of missed spectra. For example, if I have no position in the stock of the company in question, all conditions for buying the stock have been met, and the current price is in the Orange Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow, I can buy three portions of the stock at once (for the Blue, Green, and Orange Spectrum). I will sell these three portions in the corresponding Upper Rainbow spectra (orange, green, and blue). However, if, for some reason, the Orange Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow was missed, and the current price is in the Green Spectrum - I will sell two portions of the three (in the Green Spectrum). I will sell the last, third portion only when the price reaches the Blue Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow. The table also contains additional information in the form of the current value of the company's market capitalization and P/E ratio. This allows me to use these two indicators within one indicator. Returning to the madness of the market, I would like to mention that this is a reality that cannot be fought, but can be used to achieve results. To get a sense of this, I will give an example of one of the stereotypes of an investor who uses fundamental analysis in his work.His thinking might be: If I valued a company on its financial performance and bought it, then I should stay in the position long enough to justify my expenses of analysis. In this way, the investor deliberately deprives himself of flexibility in decision-making. He will be completely at a loss if the financial performance starts to deteriorate rapidly and the stock price starts to decline rapidly. It is surprising that the same condition will occur in the case of a rapid upward price movement. The investor will torment himself with the question "what to do?" because I just bought stocks of this company, expecting to hold them for the long term. It is at moments like these that I'm aware of the value of the Rainbow Indicator. If it is not a force majeure or a Reverse situation, I just wait until the price reaches the Upper Rainbow. Thus, I can close the position in a year, in a month or in a few weeks. I don't have a goal to hold an open position for a long time, but I do have a goal to constantly adhere to the chosen investment strategy. Part 4: Diversification Ratio If the price is in the Lower Rainbow range and all other criteria are met, it is a good time to ask yourself, "How many shares to buy?" To answer this question, I need to understand how many companies I plan to invest in. Here I adhere to the principle of diversification - that is, distributing investments between the shares of several companies. What is this for? To reduce the impact of any company on the portfolio as a whole. Remember the old saying: don't put all your eggs in one basket. Like baskets, stocks can fall and companies can file for bankruptcy and leave the exchange. In this regard, diversification is a way to avoid losing capital due to investing in only one company. How do I determine the minimum number of companies for a portfolio? This amount depends on my attitude towards the capital that I will use to invest in stocks. If I accept the risk of losing 100% of my capital, then I can only invest in one company. It can be said that in this case there is no diversification. If I accept the risk of losing 50% of my capital, then I should invest in at least two companies, and so on. I just divide 100% by the percentage of capital that I can safely lose. The resulting number, rounded to the nearest whole number, is the minimum number of companies for my portfolio. As for the maximum value, it is also easy to determine. To achieve this, you need to multiply the minimum number of companies by four (this is how many spectra the Lower or Upper Rainbow of the indicator contains). How many companies I end up with in my portfolio will depend on from this set of factors. However, this amount will always fluctuate between the minimum and maximum, calculated according to the principle described above. I call the maximum possible number of companies in a portfolio the diversification coefficient. It is this coefficient that is involved in calculating the number of shares needed to be purchased in a particular spectrum of the Lower Rainbow. How does this work? Let's go to the indicator settings and fill in the necessary fields for the calculation. + Cash in - Cash out +/- Closed Profit/Loss + Dividends - Fees - Taxes +Cash in - the number of finances deposited into my account -Cash out - the number of finances withdrawn from my account +/-Closed Profit/Loss - profit or loss on closed positions +Dividends - dividends received on the account -Fees - broker and exchange commission -Taxes - taxes debited from the account Diversification coefficient The diversification coefficient determines how diversified I want my portfolio to be. For example, a diversification coefficient of 20 means that I plan to buy 20 share portions of different companies, but no more than 4 portions per company (based on the number of Lower Rainbow spectra). The cost of purchased shares of this company (fees excluded) Here, I specify the amount of already purchased shares of the company in question in the currency of my portfolio. For example, if at this point, I have purchased 1000 shares at $300 per share, and my portfolio is expressed in $, I enter - $300,000. The cost of all purchased shares in the portfolio (fees excluded) Here, I enter the amount of all purchased shares for all companies in the currency of my portfolio (without commissions spent on the purchase). This is necessary to determine the amount of available funds available to purchase shares. After entering all the necessary data, I move on to the checkbox, by checking which I confirm that the company in question has successfully passed all preliminary stages of analysis (Fundamental strength indicator, P/E ratio, critical news). Without the check, the calculation is not performed. This is done intentionally because the use of the Rainbow Indicator for the purpose of purchasing shares is possible only after passing all the preliminary stages. Next, I click "Ok" and get the calculation in the form of a table on the left. Market Capitalization The value of a company's market capitalization, expressed in the currency of its stock price. Price / EPS Diluted Current value of the P/E ratio. Free cash in portfolio This is the amount of free cash available to purchase stocks. Please note that the price of the stock and the funds in your portfolio must be denominated in the same currency. On TradingView, you can choose which currency to display the stock price in. Cash amount for one portion The amount of cash needed to buy one portion of a stock. This depends on the diversification ratio entered. If you divide this value + Cash in - Cash out +/- Closed Profit/Loss + Dividends - Fees - Taxes by the diversification coefficient, you get Cash amount for one portion . Potential portions amount Number of portions, available for purchase at the current price. It can be a fractional number. Cash amount to buy The amount of cash needed to buy portions available for purchase at the current price. Shares amount to buy Number of shares in portions available for purchase at the current price. Thus, the diversification ratio is a significant parameter of my stocks' investment strategy. It shows both the limit on the number of companies and the limit on the number of portions for the portfolio. It also participates in calculating the number of finances and shares to purchase at the current price level. Changing the diversification coefficient is possible already during the process of investing in stocks. If my capital ( + Cash in - Cash out +/- Closed Profit/Loss + Dividends - Fees - Taxes ) has changed significantly (by more than Cash amount for one portion ), I always ask myself the same question: "What risk (as a percentage of capital) is acceptable for me now?" If the answer involves a change in the minimum number of companies in the portfolio, then the diversification ratio will also be recalculated. Therefore, the number of finances needed to purchase one portion will also change. We can say that the diversification ratio controls the distribution of finances among my investments. Part 5: Prioritization and Exceptions to the Rainbow Indicator Rules When analyzing a company and its stock price using the Fundamental Strength Indicator and the Rainbow Indicator, a situation may arise where all the conditions for buying are met in two or more companies. At the same time, ⁣ Free cash in the portfolio does not allow me to purchase the required number of portions from different companies. In that case, I need to decide which companies I will give priority to. To decide, I follow the following rules: 1. Priority is given to companies from the top-tier sector group (how these groups are defined is explained in this article ). That is, the first group prevails over the second, and the second over the third. These companies must also meet the purchase criteria described in Part 2. 2. If after applying the first rule, two or more companies have received priority, I look at the value of the Fundamental Strength Indicator. Priority is given to companies that have a fundamental strength of 8 points or higher. They must also be within two points of the leader in terms of fundamental strength. For example, if a leader has a fundamental strength of 12 points, then the range under consideration will be from 12 to 10 points. 3. If, after applying the second rule, two or more companies received priority, I look at which spectrum of the Lower Rainbow the current price of these companies is in. If a company's stock price is on the lower end of the spectrum, I give it priority. 4. If, after applying the third rule, two or more companies have received priority, I look at the P/E ratio. The Company with the lower P/E ratio gets priority. After applying these four rules, I get the company with the highest priority. This is the company that wins the fight for my investment. To figure out the next priority to buy, I repeat this process over and over again to use up all the money I have allocated for investing in stocks. The second part of the guide mentioned two rules that I use when deciding whether to close positions: - The Rule for replacing shares in a portfolio. - Force majeure position closure Rule. They take priority over the Rainbow Indicator. This means that the position may be closed even if the Rainbow indicator does not signal this. Let's consider each rule separately. Portfolio stock replacement Rule Since company stocks are not an asset with a guaranteed return, I can get into a situation where the position is open for a long time without an acceptable financial result. That is, the price of the company's shares is not growing, and the Rainbow indicator does not signal the need to sell shares. In this case, I can replace the problematic companies with a new one. The criteria for a problem company are: - 3 months have passed since the position was opened. - Fundamental strength below 5 points. - The width of both rainbows decreased during the period of holding the position. To identify a new company that will take the place of the problematic one, I use the prioritization principle from this section. At the same time, I always consider this possibility as an option. The thing is that frequently replacing stocks in my portfolio is not a priority for me and is seen as a negative action. A new company would have to have really outstanding parameters for me to take advantage of this option. Force majeure position closure Rule If my portfolio contains stocks of a company that has critical news, then I can close the position without using the Rainbow Indicator. How to determine whether this news is critical or not is described in this article . Part 6: Examples of using the indicator Let’s consider the situation with NVIDIA Corporation stock (ticker - NVDA). September 02, 2022: Fundamental Strength Indicator - 11.46 (fundamentally strong company). P/E - 39.58 (acceptable to me). Current price - $136.47 (is in the Orange Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow). Situation - Obverse. There is no critical news for the company. The basic conditions for buying this company's stock are met. The Rainbow Indicator settings are filled out as follows: The table to the left of the Rainbow Indicator shows how many shares are possible to buy in the Orange Spectrum of Lower Rainbow at the current price = 10 shares. This corresponds to 2.73 portions. To give you an example, I buy 10 shares of NVDA at $136.47 per share. October 14, 2022: NVDA's stock price has moved into the Red Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow. The Fundamental Strength Indicator is 10.81 (fundamentally strong company). P/E is 35.80 (an acceptable level for me). Current price - $112.27 (is in the Red Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow). Situation - Obverse. There is no critical news for the company. The basic conditions for buying this company's stock are still met. The Rainbow Indicator settings are populated as follows: The table to the left of the Rainbow Indicator shows how many shares are possible to buy in the Lower Rainbow Red Spectrum at the current price (5 shares). This corresponds to 1.12 portions. To give you an example, I buy 5 shares of NVDA at $112.27 per share. A total of 3.85 portions were purchased, which is the maximum possible number of portions at the current price level. The remainder in the form of 0.15 portions can be purchased only at a price level below $75 per share. January 23, 2023: The price of NVDA stock passes through the Red Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow and stops in the Orange Spectrum. As an example, I sell 5 shares bought in the Red Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow, for example at $180 per share (+60%). And also a third of the shares bought in the Orange Spectrum, 3 shares out of 10, for example at $190 a share (+39%). That leaves me with 7 shares. January 27, 2023: NVDA's stock price has continued to rise and has moved into the Green Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow. This is a reason to close some of the remaining 7 shares. I divide the 7 shares by 2 and round up to a whole number - that's 4 shares. For my example, I sell 4 shares at $199 a share (+46%). Now I am left with 3 shares of stock. February 02, 2023: The price of NVDA stock moves into the Blue Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow, and I close the remaining 3 shares, for example, at $216 per share (+58%). The entire position in NVDA stock is closed. As you can see, the Fundamental Strength Indicator and the P/E ratio were not used in the process of closing the position. Decisions were made only based on the Rainbow Indicator. As another example, let's look at the situation with the shares of Papa Johns International, Inc. (ticker PZZA). November 01, 2017: Fundamental Strength Indicator - 13.22 points (fundamentally strong company). P/E - 21.64 (acceptable to me). Current price - $62.26 (is in the Blue Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow). Situation - Obverse. There is no critical news for the company. The basic conditions for buying shares of this company are met. The settings of the Rainbow Indicator are filled as follows: The table to the left of the Rainbow Indicator shows how many shares are possible to buy in the Lower Rainbow Blue Spectrum at the current price - 8 shares. This corresponds to 1 portion. To give you an example, I buy 8 shares of PZZA at a price of $62.26. August 8, 2018: PZZA's share price has moved into the Green Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow. The Fundamental Strength Indicator is a 9.83 (fundamentally strong company). P/E is 16.07 (an acceptable level for me). Current price - $38.94 (is in the Green Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow). Situation - Obverse. There is no critical news for the company. The basic conditions for buying shares of this company are still met. The Rainbow Indicator settings are populated as follows: The table to the left of the Rainbow Indicator shows how many shares are possible to buy in the Lower Rainbow Green Spectrum at the current price - 12 shares. This corresponds to 0.93 portions. To give you an example, I buy 12 shares of PZZA at a price of $38.94. A total of 1.93 portions were purchased. October 31, 2018: PZZA's stock price moves into the Upper Rainbow Red Spectrum and is $54.54 per share. Since I did not have any portions purchased in the Lower Rainbow Red Spectrum, there is no closing part of the position. February 01, 2019: After a significant decline, PZZA's stock price moves into the Orange Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow at $38.51 per share. However, I am not taking any action because the company's Fundamental Strength on this day is 5.02 (a fundamentally mediocre company). March 27, 2019: PZZA's stock price passes the green and Blue Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow. This allowed to close the previously purchased 12 shares, for example, at $50 a share (+28%) and 8 shares at $50.38 a share (-19%). Closing the entire position at once was facilitated by a significant narrowing in both rainbows. As we now know, this indicates a decline in earnings at the company. In conclusion of this instruction, I would like to remind you once again that any investment is associated with risk. Therefore, make sure that you understand all the nuances of the indicators before using them. Mandatory requirements for using the indicator: - Works only on a daily timeframe. - The indicator is only applicable to shares of public companies. - Quarterly income statements for the last year are required. - An acceptable for your P/E ratio is required to consider the company's stock for purchase. - The Rainbow Indicator only applies in tandem with the Fundamental Strength Indicator. To consider a company's stock for purchase, you need confirmation that the company is fundamentally strong. What is the value of the Rainbow Indicator? - Clearly demonstrates a company's profit and loss dynamics. - Shows the price ranges that can be used to open and close a position. - Considers the principle of gradual increase and decrease in a position. - Allows calculating the number of shares to be purchased. - Shows the current value of the P/E ratio. - Shows the current capitalization of the company. Risk disclaimer When working with the Rainbow Indicator, keep in mind that the release of the Income statement (from which diluted EPS is derived) occurs some time after the end of the fiscal quarter. This means that the new relevant data for the calculation will only appear after the publication of the new statement. In this regard, there may be a significant change in the Rainbow Indicator after the publication of the new statement. The magnitude of this change will depend on both the content of the new statement and the number of days between the end of the financial quarter and the publication date of the statement. Before the publication date of the new statement, the latest actual data will be used for the calculations. Also, once again, please note that the Rainbow Indicator can only be used in tandem with the Fundamental Strength Indicator and the P/E ratio. Without these additional filters, the Rainbow Indicator loses its intended meaning. The Rainbow Indicator allows you to determine the price ranges for opening and closing a position gradually, based on available data and the methodology I created. You can also use it to calculate the number of shares you can consider buying, considering the position you already have. However, this Indicator and/or its description and examples cannot be used as the sole reason for buying or selling stocks or for any other action or inaction related to stocks.
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by Be_Capy
Polygon POS: Big & Big, Big TimeThis one is on my radar as one of the big projects that will grow big, big time. It has huge potential, don't get confused with the targets on the chart, we are talking about huge growth. Polygon POS is a major player and is now trading at bottom levels which is great. As usual, the market always gives a second chance, another opportunity to get the best prices before the major bull-market and bullish wave. See the wave that ended in early December. See how low prices are now and trending lower. This lower trending will produce a huge buy opportunity and we can aim for 10, 15 or even 20X in the 2025 growth period. The real action started after September 2024 and this can be confirmed by looking at the trading volume. Notice again the trading volume and notice how much lower it is as prices move down, compared to when prices were moving up. Keep this one in mind and you can thank me later, focusing on long-term growth. A simple, low risk, stress free strategy of buy and hold. Buy, buy, buy accumulating and hold... Wait, wait, wait and sell at the top when everything is up. We will have clear and strong signals when the market peaks. We are talking about 1,000%, 1,500% or even 2,000% potential for profits. This is only one of the many good choices available across the Cryptocurrency market. This is not a hidden gem and yet it has great potential. I'll continue to show you some more. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
Long
by AlanSantana
1
Market Insights: Preparing for 2025 with Key ETF TrendsHey Friends , I’ve refined this idea to invite you into my world, helping you see my perspective so you can shape your own. — This is a long read but well worth it. Dropbox link for Valuable charts & supplementary Information: The folder will continuously be added to over the next 5 days. www.dropbox.com Before we begin, a quick disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. This update is provided for informational purposes only, and any financial decisions you make are solely your responsibility. My Current Market Approach Recent market price action has left me skeptical about its health and bullish narrative. In response, I’ve adopted a more defensive stance with a time-based reevaluation strategy. . This approach prevents me from “throwing money into the fire” during periods of uncertainty. I’ve converted the majority of my positions into a 4% yield cash ETF and am actively exploring opportunities outside the market to deploy this cash. This decision comes despite: • The anticipated Christmas rally many retail investors expect. • Fear-driven market sentiment, often seen as a buying opportunity. - New 52 week highs for big players (Apple, Google, Tesla) For now, patience and caution are my only priorities. ETF Market Update Today, I’ll analyze the major ETFs — SPY, QQQ, and IWM — while also highlighting key insights from the VIX. Let’s dive in! Understanding the VIX: Signals of Renewed Volatility The recent VIX sell-off suggested further declines, but instead, it’s showing renewed signs of volatility, indicating we’re not in the clear just yet. Earlier today, the VIX tried to complete a bear flag that could have pushed it lower. However, it reclaimed a critical horizontal support level in a break-and-retest pattern, signaling that the market sell-off might only be in its infancy. Key Takeaway: 1. With fintwit investors scaling in for this “Xmas” rally it could get painful real fast. 2. Watch for increased volatility heading into early 2025, as the VIX’s behavior often serves as a leading indicator for market turbulence. Trend Analysis: SPY Since the August 2nd lows, SPY has been forming a wedge pattern. Last week’s sharp correction broke the wedge decisively, and bulls have since failed to reclaim the broken level. This confirms a break-and-retest pattern, favoring further downside levels pressure. Key Observations: • Notice the Triangle Topping Pattern: Formed between December 2nd and 18th. • MACD Weakness: SPY’s MACD is struggling to cross above the zero line, further confirming bearish momentum. Trend Analysis: QQQ The QQQ chart mirrors SPY closely. Key Observations: • Bearish EMA Crossover 5EMA&9EMA • Lack of Market Independence: QQQ and SPY’s alignment raises concerns for investors relying on diversification. Amplified Risks: The lockstep movement during corrections suggests heightened risks for broader markets. Trend Analysis: IWM Small-cap stocks continue to underperform, even with positive macro signals like rate cuts and declining inflation. Key Levels and Patterns: • a sharp correction right now would Help IWM in developing its and Handle Formation: - The $313 target cup& handle target is still viable but faces strong resistance. • Bearish EMA Crossover: A developing 5 & 9 EMA death cross signals further downside potential. TA- What’s an EMA Death Cross? A death cross occurs when a shorter-term EMA (like the 5-day) crosses below a longer-term EMA (like the 9-day). This is a bearish signal that often predicts sustained downward momentum. Key Takeaway: IWM’s persistent weakness highlights broader market hesitation toward risk-on assets, despite improving macroeconomic conditions. Is this a repeat of the ….. Trading Setup Trading Wedge Patterns: A Quick Guide Wedge patterns, like the one seen in SPY, can be powerful trading signals: 1. Breakout Direction: Watch for the price to decisively break above (bullish) or below (bearish) the wedge. 2. Volume Confirmation: A breakout accompanied by higher volume increases its validity. 3. Break-and-Retest: After the breakout, a retest of the wedge’s boundary often confirms the direction. 4. Stop Loss Placement: For bearish patterns, stops can be set above the upper wedge boundary; for bullish patterns, below the lower boundary. In SPY’s case, the break-and-retest to the downside suggests continued bearish pressure. Stay Tuned for Ticker Insights I’ll dive into CVNA, MSTR, and TSLA, providing a detailed breakdown of their price action and what they might signal for 2025. If you found this update helpful, leave a like, comment, or reply with your thoughts or questions! Thanks for reading, CL
MARKETSCOM:SPYShort
by coilemard
Sell CHF/JPY Triangle BreakoutThe CHF/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Target Levels: 1st Support – 174.00 2nd Support – 173.52 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
22
Elastos 1000% Bullish Jump Confirmed!We looked at the biggest projects and we can see some red days, including today. We can look at other projects, medium sized and small, and we can appreciate strong growth, green days. This is what I've been talking about. Those that grew strongly, can easily retrace and consolidate. Those that are yet to grow, can start now to move ahead. ELAUSDT (Elastos) is showing a strong, long-term higher low and is ready for growth. We have full green today and this is only the beginning... Look at the chart. Easy target 285%. Mid-term target 1,000% (more or less). This is not all... We can expect strong growth all across the Altcoins market. While the small pairs move ahead, the big ones will continue to consolidate. After several months, everything grows. The market is big now. We are going up. Are you ready? We are going to start 2025 with a big bang. The confirmation is in the charts. I will do an effort to show more examples just like this one. They are hard to find so make sure to make the right choice. Choose wisely, and the profits are all yours. Namaste.
Long
by AlanSantana
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out, as analysed. We are still seeing price play between the two weighted levels and started the day with our bullish target test 2629, which just fell short but can be considered as done. No cross and lock above confirmed the rejection and now we are seeing price head towards the lower weighted level for a test. We need ema5 to cross and lock above or below the weighted Goldturns to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2629 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2629 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2655 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2694 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2726 BEARISH TARGETS 2600 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2600 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2561 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2561 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2519 - 2486 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
2
EUR/USD - Short Trade Success: TP1 Hit with PrecisionOur short trade was successfully triggered in the resistance zone between 1.0450 and 1.0460. As anticipated, the price reacted strongly to this key level, which aligned with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and retail stop-loss clusters. TP1 was hit quickly, validating the strategy and highlighting the effectiveness of combining technical levels with sentiment analysis. The trade remains active, targeting TP2 and TP3 for further profits.
Short
by Aliguel
Is a Pullback Coming?The S&P 500 has advanced steadily since late 2023, but now some traders may expect a pause or pullback. The first pattern on today’s chart is the December 20 low of 5,832 -- slightly below the mid-November trough. That contrasts with the previous bounce, which featured a higher low. Next is last week’s zenith below 6,050 -- also shy of the December 6 record. In other words, the index made a lower low and now a lower high. That could mark a disruption of its uptrend. It also creates a potential falling channel. Second, prices tested but never closed below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) in early November. This month, on the other hand, they broke the SMA before bouncing. They’ve also returned to the line more quickly (and without making a new record high). Is the intermediate-term trend fading? Third, shorter-term signals may have turned bearish. MACD is falling and the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has dipped below the 21-day EMA. (See our 2 MA Ratio custom script in the lower study.) Finally, the S&P 500 has gone more than a year without a full 10 percent correction. Investors looking for such a pullback may expect a move toward 5,500 based on the recent high. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
SP:SPX
by TradeStation
1