Contains IO script
Bitcoin right now and scenario after fed tomorrow .Tomorrow i guess is going to be verry volatile and big move. right now bitcoin hit resistance after the yesterday recovery from dump. hard to say which way it will go but levels to have bids are around 90800-91300 if that does not hold going to be a big problem and we can go down as low as 75k. and as for the up side 107-108k .. above that is road to 111k and a high of 124k and that is going to be the top for some time. if i think like 2017-2021 this is not a local top and we go higher ... big money to make , i am not a genius yet there so much room to go (and it goes down) . dec and jan was my last bullish action ... it can go to full q1 who knows but i already sold what i planed to sell at 95k last time. if it goes to 120k i dont have a loss just a less profit from what i sold. if it goes to 75k i have a big profit and capital to buy back when i think is a good time. hard to say what way it will go but from 50/50 i have a 3% for going down. i am sure there is a lot of time until we hit 180k and probably a whole year from my view. i dont have any trades opened and will act only when i see a clear direction .
Silver/Gold Ratio signals Lower Interest Rates AheadWhen OANDA:XAGUSD (Silver) does well relative to OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold), it means the economy is strong and interest rates tend to rise when that happens. The opposite is also true. When Silver is weak relative to Gold, interest rates tend to fall.
See how it works historically? The 1997 drop in rates when the silver/gold ratio shot up is the rare exception
Why does it work? Silver is an economic metal used in industry and gold is a precious metal which used to be used for technology in the 1970's.
Well - it shows now that rates should be going down because the economy is flat, weak or recessionary. However you want to label it, the economy can afford lower interest rates.
This LONG TERM indicator has worked quite well and deserves to be on your list of indicators to track the likely path of interest rates. OF COURSE, the more important factor is WHO is at the head of the Fed.
Lower rates would make sense especially if the profligate Government spending machine slows down its aggressive spending. The global war on covid didn't help and the clear message that the market is telling us is that we needed to slow down the price hikes but we now have a US Gov't deeply in debt and struggling to be able to justify lower rates.
Here's to clarity on the future moves by the Fed, which if you were just looking at this indicator you would be cutting rates steadily for the foreseeable future.
Cheers,
Tim
11:47AM EST January 28, 2025
$UVXY above $30, brings $60+CBOE:UVXY has two big hurdles it needs to make it over before it can see higher prices.
1. It needs to get over the 200DMA (light blue line)
2. It needs to get over $30
As you can see, price has been consolidating in a channel since the August spike and IMO is almost ready for a big move.
I think this move will likely take place the second half of February and potentially into March.
I'll be looking at buying call options for 3/7 expiration, or 3/21 is even safer.
I think the move is likely to hit the $71 level on the chart, and could potentially go as high as the top resistance (however I don't see that as very likely). To me, most probable target is $78-82 right below the trend line.
Let's see how it plays out.
Potential short idea!This is an internal range continuation short setup from supply.
Careful because it is in the middle of the range.
NO MS change (15m+) no trade.
Potential 5X
Also, shoutout to everyone who profited from the range deviation setup from range high—free money, once again! 🚀 See you in bootcamp!
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bitcoin market oulook still stuck in range buy low sell high🔸Hello traders, today let's review 4hour price chart for BTCUSD . we are still
stuck in range since december, range highs at/near 108k, range lows at 90k.
🔸4 hour sell side liquidity defined by OB at 108k, currently trading at 102k,
limited upside going forward expecting pullback to re-test range lows and trigger
fresh buying / fresh OB liquidity near 90k.
🔸Recommended strategy: BUY LOW near liquidity OBs 90k usd, TP bulls is fresh overhead liquidity at/near 108/110K. expecting decent bounce in this market after pullback.
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$INTBREW OVER 75% RETRACEMENT & 4-YEAR CONSOLIDATIONEven though NSENG:INTBREW International Breweries PLC has shown Market Leadership & Strong Brand Portfolio Owning popular brands like Trophy, Hero, Beta Malt, and Castle Lite it's share price has lost over 75% of its value across 4years.
#INTBREW Current Price: 5.4
In light of the value lost, Price action has also shown a 4year consolidation between 3.5 - 6.5 (termed Buy Zone) in the Charts.
A break out of price above 6.5 can lead to much higher prices.
Resistance above: 6.5, 9.6, 13.9
This idea is invalidates when price action loses support at 4.0
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JUPUSDT (Jupiter Token) 30mLet me analyze these TradingView charts for JUPUSDT (Jupiter Token):
The charts show two timeframes - a 30-minute chart on the left and a 2-hour chart on the right. Here are the key technical observations:
For the 30-minute chart:
1. The price is currently at around 1.2045 with recent upward momentum
2. The win rate shows 71% with 62 trades executed
3. Green volume bars indicate buying pressure
4. Multiple EMA (Exponential Moving Average) lines are visible with both bullish and bearish crossovers
For the 2-hour chart:
1. Price is showing more volatility with significant price swings
2. Win rate is at 70% with 54 trades
3. There appears to be a recent bounce from a support level
4. The chart shows several technical patterns including what appears to be a reversal pattern
Current technical indicators suggest:
- Multiple support and resistance levels are established
- The overall trend appears to be in a consolidation phase with bullish bias
- Volume profile suggests decent trading activity
- The win rate on both timeframes (>70%) indicates favorable trading conditions
Given the technical setup, traders should watch for:
1. Key support levels around the 1.1102 area
2. Resistance levels near 1.2177
3. Volume confirmation for any breakout moves
4. EMA crossovers for potential trend changes
Would you like me to focus on any specific aspect of this analysis or provide more detail about particular indicators?
BTC Expanding Triangle Whipsaw Pattern (Elliott Wave)The last few weeks on BTC have formed a huge whipsaw pattern, constantly faking out in each direction. This is common for an expanding triangle pattern, and this current triangle also has very good time relations (and lack of fibonacci price relations). Wave-e also broke beyond the a-c trendline as is standard for expanding triangles.
Last week I said that we'd get one final run up to the highs and BTC would double top while some alts made new all time highs. This is exactly what has happened, and based on this expanding pattern, as well as the longer-term chart that I published in December, I believe the top is in for the rest of the year.
The next move down should be extremely large and violent, probably ending somewhere around $30k towards the middle of this year. The b-wave recovery after that will likely be slow and followed by another c-wave before we finally end this major correction sometime in 2026.
BTC & ETH Next ActionBased on the TradingView charts showing BTC/USDT and ETH/USDT, here's my analysis:
Bitcoin (BTC):
- Price is moving in a short-term uptrend, breaking through key resistance around $102,000
- Shows a good Win Rate of 67% and W/L Ratio of 2.09
- Trading volume increasing during price uptrends, indicating strong buying pressure
- Key support levels around $98,228 and $95,513
Ethereum (ETH):
- Price is also recovering, but with slightly lower metrics - 64% Win Rate and 1.8 W/L Ratio compared to BTC
- Key resistance zone around $3,800-3,900
- Important support levels at approximately $3,150-3,200
Concerns and Risks:
1. Both BTC and ETH are at historically high levels, potential profit-taking could occur
2. Need to watch for potential pullbacks or consolidation after rapid price increases
3. Market volatility remains high, as evidenced by price oscillations in the charts
Future Outlook:
- If BTC maintains above $102,000 firmly, it could test $105,000-107,000 levels
- ETH has potential to test $4,000 resistance if it continues following BTC's movement
- Important to monitor trading volumes and institutional investor movements to assess trend strength
Trading Recommendations:
1. Implement appropriate risk management due to high volatility
2. Look for entry opportunities at key support levels
3. Set proper stop losses to protect against downside risks
It's worth noting that the charts show multiple technical indicators and overlays that suggest both coins are in a critical phase, requiring careful position management and close monitoring of market conditions.
Remember to always conduct your own research and risk assessment before making any trading decisions, as cryptocurrency markets can be highly unpredictable.
#BTI $BTI well known name , always are welcome dip Trading with visual on your screen is something we all do on daily .
Sometimes we all need a little help with chart read correctly , but not as much in uptrend and market favoring directions.
Very good to know who is the leader in the group and why leaders are such good indicator for the industry .We have NYSE:MO also , these stocks are must be bought on dips and add generously when leading the higher high chart . Essenes is not to miss weekly candle .
We are lucky to collect much higher dividends and price appreciation at same time here today
Yesterday, the chart dropped sharply. What should we do next?Based on the plan I made for the week, I anticipated that the price of XAUUSD wouldn’t drop below 2735. However, the result was that on just Monday alone, the chart dropped significantly, breaking through all 3 demand zones I had planned for.
Therefore, today we’ll adopt a day-to-day strategy. For today, the focus will be on selling since the price has shifted CHoCH at 2735 in both H1 and H4. We will wait for the chart to retrace to our POI zone , form a CHoCH in the smaller timeframe , and then look for an entry point from the newly created supply zone."
Patterns and Liquidity Rules them All Truth is price action can get quite messy sometime. What I find the most reliable is to follow the pattern on higher time frame. Look at how many it respected the support and resistance of the channels or now the triangle. Yes it can bust and it happens it does a fake but how much sucess you could have by simply go short at resistance and go long at support with a forgiven stop loss.
I believe it's quite a battle right now, the Bear vs the Bull in a mostly unbalanced area. Both of them or fighting for their exit liquidity. From my Liquidation pool app, the supply zone above 110k is bigger but I feel we might visit around 85k before a going up again. Feels like a Bear Trap when we look at USDT Chart Buyers are in control.
DOGDOGs market cap is almost down to ATLs. These prices to me scream BUY. These are BUY levels. Markets have had nothing but good news in the US, I dont think we will see much more downside from here. Q1 post BTC halving seems to always have a rought january, if BTCs dominance can cool its effing jets, ALTs will be see a fast and most likey short term explosive move to the upside.
NEAR: Strong fundamentals and price close to supportNEAR has some strong fundamentals by focusing on AI and competing at a global level with DeepSeek, according to their latest post.
Price action suggests that we could find some support here there are signs of some divergence however and dips should be bought upon confirmation of a ChofCh. The momentum is showing the divergence while the trend oscillators are suggesting continuation down. Let the chart build some confluence.
BTC/USD: Key Levels and Strategy for the Ongoing CorrectionKey Support and Resistance Levels
1. Main Supports
• $99,000: Confluence of daily MA50, OI LIQMAP cluster, and Auto AVWAP (~$100k).
• $93,000–$91,000: Potential deeper retracement if the correction extends (targets for a deeper wave C).
2. Secondary Supports
• Around $97,000–$98,000: Minor AVWAP and previous 2H/4H lows.
3. Resistances
• $105,000–$107,000: Identified OI LIQMAP zone for potential short squeezes, confluence with AVWAP High.
• $110,000+: Possible extension in case of a strong recovery.
Final Recommendations
1. General Trend
• Long timeframes (12H, 1D) and the MTFTI average indicate a bullish trend. The ongoing correction aligns with standard A-B-C waves or a “flat” scenario (potentially “running flat”).
• Key areas to monitor for a potential bottom: $99,000 and $91,000–$93,000.
2. Rebound Confirmation
• Monitor price action around $99,000:
• A confirmed pullback with RSI bullish divergence on 4H (BB/RSI_DIV) and Investor Satisfaction (ISPD) returning to 0.4–0.5 could signal a good buying opportunity.
• If a clear break occurs below $99,000, a test at $93,000–$91,000 could serve as a secondary entry point.
3. Upside Targets
• Short-term: Aim for a return to $105,000–$107,000, where significant seller clusters are concentrated.
• On breakout: Potential extension to $110,000+.
4. Risk Management
• In the very short term (2H/4H), further downside is possible; caution is advised when timing entries.
• Wait for structural confirmations (end of wave C, RSI divergence, etc.).
• Indicators (HPI, Koncorde) do not show significant selling pressure on higher timeframes, so panic is unnecessary.