2 Trades On The One Good TradeFirst Up, NASDAQ:OKTA , nothing surprising here. The stock did exactly what I expected it to do after we missed the entry the other day. Take a look at the video from earlier this week for more in-depth analysis. Next is NASDAQ:TSLA , I think this one can swing for a good week or two so I will be buying some shares in my IRA and my swing portfolio.
Contains IO script
Chill Guy Token: Initiation Accumulation Pump Model (D TimeframeThe Chill Guy meme token demonstrates the classic Initiation Accumulation Pump Model on the daily timeframe, providing opportunities for both swing trading and longer-term strategies. BITGET:CHILLGUYUSDT
1. Accumulation Levels
The model highlights key accumulation zones, which are critical for identifying optimal entry points.
2. Swing Trade Target
The red zone represents a logical area for profit-taking in medium-term trades, aligning with projected resistance levels.
3. Post-Listing Correction
Following its listing, the token experienced an 86% decline, effectively redistributing the asset among retail traders who bought at highs, setting the stage for potential accumulation by larger players.
4. Institutional Interest
The Money Power Indicator reflects increased inflows, suggesting that large capital is preparing for price advancement.
5. Buy Signals
Multiple local buy signals have appeared on the Trade On Indicator, reinforcing the potential for upward movement.
6. Token Supply and Unlocks
With all tokens already circulating in the market, there are no unlock events to pressure the price. However, large wallet holders may control significant supply, influencing price dynamics.
7. Market Capitalization Targets
A gradual profit-taking phase is anticipated as the token approaches $700M market cap.
The ultimate market cap potential during the Solana growth phase remains uncertain, emphasizing the importance of setting individual profit zones instead of aiming for the peak.
8. Meme Sector Dynamics
The meme token sector is expected to perform early in the upcoming altcoin season. Given the high volatility, risk management is crucial.
9. Dominance and Timing
Upon reaching the red block, closely monitor Bitcoin dominance and broader market timing to adjust strategies accordingly.
10. Idea Invalidation
A drop below $0.05 (listing price) would invalidate this idea, signaling potential further downside.
Summary
The Chill Guy token aligns well with the Initiation Accumulation Pump Model, supported by both technical and on-chain indicators. However, given the volatile nature of the meme sector, traders should balance profit-taking and risk management carefully to capitalize on this opportunity.
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✅ Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only, not for financial investment purposes.
Levels discussed on Livestream 15th Jan 202515th January 2025
DXY: Consolidating below 109.40, price stays below 109.40, could trade down to 108.75 (bottom of the channel and 61.8%)
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5580 SL 20 TP 40
AUDUSD: Buy 0.6210 SL 20 TP 40 (IHS)
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2140 SL 30 TP 80 (watch out at 1.2110)
EURUSD: Sell 1.03 SL 40 TP 110
USDJPY: Sell 156.95 SL 30 TP 80
EURJPY: Sell 161.25 SL 35 TP 105
GBPJPY: Nothing for now, possibly lower to 188
USDCHF: Look for reaction at 0.91
USDCAD: Sell 1.4345 SL 20 TP 40
XAUUSD: Look for price to trade up to 2697, previous swing high
Condor Energy.AU Possible 1000% UpsideI thought this one would have done a reverse split, whilst is risky, could've made it easier to trade.
I still expect they can do this, so if achieved? Then by the World Demands for Energy, and especially a cleaner burning one, I see a huge upside here.
As always, please get a few outside Expert's Advice before taking Trade or Investment Decisions.
Should you appreciate my Chart Studies, Smash That Rocket Boost Button. It's Just a Click away.
A few of my prior Studies were ZIP, Vulcan, Appen and others.
Regards Graham.
VUL.AU Vulcan up +30% from Recent Lows.VULCAN ENERGY RESOURCES LIMITED is up +30% from it's recent Lows and possible Double Bottom. Still needs a further +10% to break above the last recent High.
The Chart should be self explanatory.
The Lithium miners are seeing a recent boost after a severe Bashing Down and are now might be seen as undervalued.
Congratulations if you got in @ the Lows.
As always, please get a few outside Expert's Advice before taking Trade or Investment decisions.
If you appreciate my Chart Studies, Smash That Rocket Boost Button. It's Just a Click away.
Regards Graham.
HYPE has a good set upHYPE has a good long trade set up with a good risk to reward. I will be accumulating at pull backs to levels between 22-23.
Modified MACD and VWAP is setting up to be a potential move in HYPE.
This is a daily chart so it may take some time to play out.
Not a financial advice and please DYOR.
GRASSUSDT Perp IdeaI’m entering a short position here, expecting the price to reject off the 2.8144 resistance level. My stop loss is placed slightly above at 2.8312, which provides a safety buffer in case of a minor fakeout. The take profit target is down at 2.5394, aiming for a clean reversal and continuation of the bearish trend. This gives me a favorable risk-reward ratio.
What Could Go Wrong:
Breakout Above Resistance:
If the price breaks above 2.8312 and reaches the stop loss, the trade setup will fail. A strong bullish breakout would invalidate the bearish scenario.
Weak Rejection or Consolidation:
If the price consolidates around the resistance without a clear rejection, it may indicate indecision, making the trade less likely to hit the target.
Stop-Hunt Risk:
A brief spike above the resistance to trigger stop losses (including mine), followed by a bearish move, is a potential risk. This could result in a loss despite the overall direction being correct.
Unexpected Market Catalyst:
Any sudden news or event could shift market sentiment, causing volatility and possibly invalidating the technical setup.
Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) PAIDPerformance Highlights
1. Trend Detection
• The indicator successfully captured major bullish and bearish trends with precise timing:
• Example: The sharp downtrend (red background) following a significant breakdown below the upper band was identified early with multiple sell signals in continuation.
• Similarly, the uptrend (green background) was effectively detected with clear buy signals as the price continued to rise above the lower band.
• The combination of Z-Score anomaly detection, momentum (RSI), and multi-timeframe trend confirmation ensures reliable signal generation aligned with the broader trend.
2. Sideways Market Identification
• The grey background zones clearly delineate sideways or consolidating market conditions:
• Example: During periods of price consolidation within the expected range (between the upper and lower bands), the indicator intelligently avoided generating unnecessary signals, reducing noise.
3. Improved Signal Quality
• The continuation-based logic ensures signals are not generated on isolated candles but only when the trend persists:
• Example: Sell signals were only triggered after a confirmed continuation of bearish momentum, avoiding false signals during temporary green candles in a downtrend.
4. Volume and Multi-Timeframe Trend Integration
• The volume filter effectively validated signals during high trading activity:
• Example: Strong sell signals were generated during high-volume sell-offs, reinforcing the indicator’s reliability in volatile conditions.
• Multi-timeframe EMA trend alignment provided an additional layer of confirmation, ensuring signals were not counter to the prevailing higher timeframe trend.
5. Z-Score and Momentum Dashboard
• The real-time dashboard provides traders with actionable insights, displaying:
• Z-Score: Indicates overbought or oversold anomalies in price.
• RSI: Confirms momentum strength, aiding traders in assessing signal validity.
What Sets This Indicator Apart?
• Comprehensive Coverage: The MAD indicator works seamlessly across trending and sideways markets, offering consistent and reliable signals.
• Noise Reduction: The cooldown mechanism and continuation logic effectively minimize false signals, making it ideal for choppy market conditions.
• Adaptability: The integration of Z-Score, RSI, volume, and multi-timeframe trend confirmation ensures the indicator adapts to various market structures and asset classes.
How NOT to miss the upcoming BULL marketInvesting in the third year of a cycle is always challenging. One day, cryptocurrencies pump suddenly without proper consolidation; the next, they dump and give off bear market vibes. 🐻📉
New narratives, like AI agents, emerge—and no one knows how long they'll last. 🤖⏳
In other words, there are more unknown variables than known ones, leaving the average investor confused, throwing money into the market without truly enriching themselves. 💸
Bitcoin needs one full 60-day consolidation cycle to continue its uptrend. This cycle will allow the 1-week and 2-week Cycle indicators to move downward and reverse, paving the way for a healthy continuation upward. 🚀📈
Let’s take a look at the most likely scenario for Bitcoin:
While the price might rise temporarily, we need to form a weekly cycle bottom—and it doesn’t look like that has happened yet. 🕰️🌊
If Bitcoin starts pumping from here and surpasses its all-time high next week, we can confirm a new cycle has begun. However, the most probable scenario involves some consolidation, shaking out weak participants before resuming the uptrend. 💪🏼💥