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BTC 4H Reversal or More Downside?Market Analysis Summary: Key Insights and Trading Strategy Global Summary of the 4 Charts 1D/12H/4H/2H • Daily & 12H: The underlying trend ( MTFTI “Up” ) remains bullish, but signs of correction or profit-taking are emerging ( ISPD in the mid-high zone, average RSI ). • 4H & 2H: The correction is more pronounced, with low satisfaction levels ( 0.06 – 0.15 ) and RSI in the oversold zone. This suggests a possible local bottom, but the short-term momentum remains negative ( “Down” on 2H, borderline structure on 4H ). Recent Event and Market Impact A violent crash recently occurred, leading to over $2 billion in liquidations , a level comparable to major correction events like FTX or the COVID crisis . The primary cause seems to be rising macroeconomic tensions , particularly a trade war initiated by Trump with high tariffs , causing turmoil in both traditional and crypto markets . Despite this sharp drop, key technical levels remain crucial . As long as BTC does not break the critical $89,000 – $90,000 zone , a bullish recovery scenario remains possible after this extreme move. A bear trap could also form , followed by a bullish rebound if this support zone holds . Key Levels • Supports: • 2H/4H AVWAP Low: ~$92,000 – $92,600 • 1D AVWAP Low: ~$78,200 (longer term) • Critical zone: 92K – $93K, with an ultimate threshold at 89K – $90K • Resistances: • Moving Averages: 2H ~ $99.7K / 4H ~ $101K / Daily ~ $98.6K • Auto AVWAP High: 2H ~ $99.9K / Daily ~ $105K Most Relevant Timeframe for an Entry Point • Short-term (2H, 4H): More pronounced oversold conditions. For a reactive swing trade , watch for a local bottom on 2H/4H as long as 92K holds . • Positional investor (days/weeks): Wait for 4H confirmation , detecting a trend reversal (bullish crossover, rising satisfaction) above $95K – $96K . Conclusion and Recommendations 1. General Trend • On the Daily/12H , the trend ( MTFTI ) remains bullish . Short-term corrections ( 2H, 4H ) are significant, with oversold indicators (ISPD, Mason’s, RSI Boll) . • A buy-the-dip bias is preferred as long as BTC remains above 89K – $90K USDT . 2. Most Interesting Timeframe for an Entry Point • 4H appears to be the most relevant timeframe to detect a potential recovery swing. • ISPD indicator is very low (Satisfaction ~0.06) . • Mason’s line signals a possible capitulation . • 4H RSI is near the oversold zone . • A reversal signal (breakout of a local resistance or bullish crossover) is awaited before entering a position . 3. Key Levels • Major support: 92K (or 89K as the last defense line). • Secondary support: Daily LoAVWAP near $78K in case of a more violent sell-off. • Resistances: • ~$99K – $100K (short-term MAs 2H/4H & AVWAP High 2H) • $105K in Daily (HiAVWAP) 4. Strategy • Bullish scenario preferred: Monitor the 92K – $90K zone. If the price defends this area , a technical rebound on 4H/2H could target $99K, $105K, or beyond . • Bearish scenario: A clear breakdown below 89K would invalidate flat/continuation structures , leading to a deeper medium/long-term correction (potential flush toward $78K ). Practical Approach • For short-term traders: Wait for a reversal signal on 2H/4H (e.g., breakout of a local resistance or MTFTI turning “Up” ). Set a tight stop-loss below 92K or 89K depending on risk appetite . • For swing/long-term investors: The current correction can be used for DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) as long as BTC remains above 89K . The daily and weekly trends remain overall bullish . Final Thoughts • The market is indeed in a correction phase , which could be a healthy reset before a new bullish impulse . • The 92K–89K zone remains the crucial “defense line.” Below that, caution is advised . • The mid-term outlook remains bullish unless a major event occurs . Happy trading and always practice rigorous risk management!
Long
by Ox_kali
MAKE $HAI GREAT AGAIN📉 Technical Analysis 1. Current Market Situation • Deep Downtrend: HAI has been in a strong downtrend, making lower highs and lower lows. • Sharp Drop: The price has recently experienced a significant decline, but the latest rebound signals a potential trend reversal. • Support Zone: A strong bounce occurred around 0.0200 USDT, with multiple buy signals confirming demand at this level. • Volume: Increasing buying volume on recent candles indicates renewed interest and potential accumulation. 2. Bullish Reversal Pattern Formation • Bullish Hammer: On the 12H timeframe, a bullish hammer candlestick pattern is forming, which is one of the strongest reversal signals. This suggests a possible trend change to the upside. • Potential Upside Targets: • First Target: 0.0380-0.0400 USDT (local resistance zone). • Second Target: 0.0450-0.0500 USDT (previous support now acting as resistance). • Third Target (Key Growth Level): 0.0600-0.0650 USDT (high liquidity zone and potential FOMO trigger). 📊 Fundamental Growth Factors • 🔥 Successful Flash Pools: HAI continues to attract new users through flash pools, which create additional demand for the token. • 🚀 Upcoming Launchpad ( Hacken Rounds ): Hacken Rounds are set to launch soon, allowing participation exclusively with HAI. • 📈 Expansion of Projects: Previously, the main focus was on cybersecurity, but the new Hacken Rounds will introduce diverse projects, expanding the use case for HAI and strengthening long-term demand. 📌 Conclusion • Technically: • A bullish hammer pattern is forming → possible reversal. • Key resistance levels: 0.0380 USDT, 0.0450 USDT, 0.0600 USDT. • Major support zone: 0.0200 USDT. • Fundamentally: • Successful flash pools → increased token demand. • Launchpad announcement → major growth catalyst. • Expansion of HAI’s use case → sustainable long-term demand. 🎯 If the price holds above 0.0300 USDT, the likelihood of an upward move to 0.0450-0.0500 USDT significantly increases!
Long
by kaboozyako
Sentiment Cycle Indicator (PAID) PerformanceThis is an update on the performance of my Sentiment Cycle Indicator . At the top of the chart, you can see that when we received a sell signal, the market dropped over 3,000 points . After a period of sideways movement, another sell signal occurred, with the market plunging to lows around 10,000+ points . This represents by far the best move we’ve captured, regardless of whether the market is in an uptrend or downtrend. Right now, the market is again moving sideways. The area without any green or red coloring is what I call the “No Sentiment Zone,” where clear bullish or bearish sentiment has not yet emerged. While sentiment development can be slow, this indicator ultimately provides clear and concise buy or sell opportunities. This performance update is just one of many I’ve shared, demonstrating the power of the Sentiment Cycle Indicator. If you’d like to learn more about how it works, please feel free to message me. Thank you!
Short
by TradeTechanalysis
GBP/USD Symmetrical Triangle Setup: Bullish Breakout?Here's an analysis based on the chart: Key Observations : 1. **Bullish Triangle Pattern:** - A symmetrical triangle or wedge is forming, suggesting potential consolidation before a breakout. - The upward trendline indicates possible bullish momentum as price approaches a breakout point. 2. **Price Levels:** - Resistance: 1.24860 (shown as the 1.13 Fibonacci extension level). - Support: Around 1.24100, where price is currently hovering near the trendline. 3. **RSI (Relative Strength Index):** - The RSI is above 50, which leans toward bullish momentum. - Divergence may be forming as price action creates higher lows while RSI doesn't show the same strength. 4. **Candlestick Patterns:** - Multiple rejections around support suggest buying pressure near the trendline. Trading Implications: 1. **Bullish Breakout Setup:** - If price breaks above 1.24860, it could signify a continuation to higher levels, potentially targeting a Fibonacci extension level beyond 1.25. 2. **Reversal or Bearish Setup:** - If price fails to hold the ascending trendline, expect a move downward, potentially testing 1.23900 or lower.
Long
by BeaucoupPips
Proto Labs, Inc. (NYSE: PRLB)Proto Labs, Inc. (NYSE: PRLB) Market Capitalization: $897.3M Quant Rating: Strong Buy Quant Sector Ranking (as of 1/10/25): 42 out of 613 Quant Industry Ranking (as of 1/10/25): 4 out of 73 PRLB could be a compelling opportunity to buy the dip. Despite falling around 16% over the past month, the company reported industry-leading profitability and $24.8M in cash flows in Q3’24, the highest seen since its 2020 acquisition of 3D-printing parts manufacturer 3D Hubs. Headquartered in Minnesota, Proto Labs specializes in on-demand manufacturing solutions for a wide range of companies, eliminating the need for them to stock large quantities of products. Proto Labs has registered five upward EPS revisions and five upward revenue revisions over the last 90 days. The more professional analysts’ earnings per share revisions associated with a stock, the more it's deemed to have higher-than-expected earnings growth compared to its sector in the long term. Strong sector tailwinds are also on PRLB’s side: The global print-on-demand market size was valued at $6.18B in 2022 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 25.8% through 2030. PRLB Valuation PRLB has a long-term growth rate of 25%, over 119% higher than the sector’s 11.4%, and YoY capital expenditure (capex) growth of 74.4%, 1,612.85% higher than the sector’s 4.3%—suggesting that it's reinvesting significant cash back into its operations. The company is fairly valued with a forward PEG of 0.98, a -51.39 difference from the sector. Its price-to-book ratio (TTM) of 1.36 is also a green flag at a -52.83% difference from the sector, while its ‘D’-rated forward and trailing P/E figures of 39.9 and 48.8, respectively, reflect its dipping share price, bringing the overall Valuation Grade to a ‘C’.
NYSE:PRLBLong
by Cidoguy
PEPE 10x parabolic run in February-MarchLooks like PEPE is forming a bottoming structure here at $0.000015. I do believe PEPE has a realistic potential of reaching 8-10x at the cycle peak from current price, which is expected to come late March-April. The green box is quite wide, and should only be used as a guiding target. 8-10x from current level would imply a market cap of $50-65B at the peak. If reached, this should mark a major multi-year high. Managing the risk using the recent lows at $0.000000143, this trade has a 190-230 R:R.
Long
by itseivind
2
BTC to hit 157,000 USD in January, 2025Prediction: BTC to hit $157k towards the end of January, 2025. At the peak, everyone will be calling for $200k, $250k - even $500k and beyond. As with every cycle, the market will always find a way to convince its participants to believe the price cannot correct like in the past. "buT blAcKRoCk" "ETFs mEaNS pRicE oNLy go Up" "tHis TiME iS diFfeRenT" To sell the peak, you need extreme mental awareness and the ability to go against consensus. Muting permabulls and general noise is not only a good idea, but may prove to be a necessity. As a reminder, only a few will be able to walk away with their profits. Then, in 2026, you can rebuy BTC between $40-50k.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by itseivind
SOL/BTC rally in Q1 2025Primary EW count of SOL/BTC is showing a possible major top in Q1 2025. Wave 4 completion aligns with BTC breaking out towards $100k+ around end of November or beginning of December. It's expected that SOL, being the strongest L1 this cycle, will follow BTC and catch up quickly and start outperforming when BTC starts rallying. A major top in SOL in March 2025 aligns also with a possible cycle top + FTX unlocks in March. The exact price and time target will be adjusted as we get closer, but I'm looking at 0.0043 as a possible top in late March , with SOL/USD between $600-800.
Long
by itseivind
1
Does the cat still pop?Extreme negative sentiment creates the best buying opportunities. I have my eyes on POPCAT which is currently presenting a unique trade opportunity. Five reasons for potential reversal RIGHT now: 1. Price in the logarithmic 0.618-0.65 fib retracement (golden pocket) 2. TD9 buy setup tomorrow (Feb 2) 3. Price approaching August lows 4. BTC dominance expected to decline from early February 5. Meme capitulation across the board My game plan: - Buy 50% of position at market ($0.2751) - 50% limit order at $0.251 - Stop loss: $0.24 Target price: $3.3 - $5.5 Target time: late March - April Profit potential: 13-22x Will you take the chance?
Long
by itseivind
3
EDBM The Egyptian Company for Construction Development 📉 **Market Overview:** The Egyptian Company for Construction Development (EGX) has recently experienced a sharp decline, breaking through key Fibonacci levels. The stock is currently trading at **0.645 EGP**, showing a slight rebound after a significant sell-off. 🔍 **Technical Analysis:** - The price has **broken below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (0.653 EGP)**, a crucial support zone. - A strong rejection at the **0.382 Fibonacci level (0.716 EGP)** earlier indicated weakness in the uptrend. - The next major support lies around **0.608 EGP (0.786 Fibonacci level)**, with an extended potential drop to **0.553 EGP** if sellers remain in control. - Resistance is now formed at **0.685 EGP (0.5 Fibonacci level)** and **0.716 EGP**, which must be reclaimed for any bullish recovery. 📊 **Potential Scenarios:** 🔴 **Bearish Case:** If the price fails to hold above **0.613 EGP**, we could see further downside pressure towards **0.553 EGP**. 🟢 **Bullish Case:** A bounce above **0.653 EGP** could trigger a recovery towards **0.685 EGP** and possibly **0.716 EGP** if buyers regain momentum. ⚠️ **Key Takeaway:** Traders should watch for price action near the 0.608 - 0.613 EGP range. A confirmed bounce could signal a recovery, while further breakdowns may lead to extended losses. 📌 **What’s your outlook on this stock? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 🚀🔥**
EGX:EDBM
by Magic_xD