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Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq Future – January 2025The analysis of key levels for the Nasdaq future suggests that the low recorded on January 27, 2025, at 20,763 marks the beginning of a quarterly cycle. If this level holds, it could trigger a sequence of positive daily bars, confirming the bullish structure. However, there are two additional key levels to monitor in order to validate the strength of this trend. Key Levels to Watch Primary Support – 20,763 This level represents the cyclical low of the new quarterly cycle. Holding this level is crucial for maintaining the bullish setup. Intermediate Support – 20,980 (former structural resistance) This level corresponds to the structural high of July 11, 2024, and July 24, 2024. It was a significant resistance in 2024 and now acts as a strategic support. Holding above this level would confirm that the 2025 market remains above 2024 levels. 50-Period Exponential Moving Average (EMA 50) – 21,346 This dynamic technical level serves as the first warning signal of weakness if breached. A drop below this level could introduce bearish pressure, jeopardizing the bullish setup. Operational Conclusions Maintain a bullish bias as long as the price remains above 20,763. 21,346 (EMA 50) is the first warning level: a break below it could indicate weakening momentum. 20,980 is the key support to confirm that the market is consolidating above the 2024 highs. The overall outlook remains positive, with a confirmed bullish structure as long as these levels hold. A potential break below 20,763 would compromise the quarterly cycle structure and require a reassessment of the technical scenario.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by mauricepriolo
Apple Silicon: Running Massive AI models### Why is DeepSeek a Game Changer for Apple ** credits to alexocheema on twitter Apple might not be the first name you think of when it comes to AI hardware, but their silicon is surprisingly well-suited for running massive models like DeepSeek V3 and R1—at a fraction of the cost of traditional GPUs. #### **How Apple’s M2 Ultra Stacks Up Against the Competition** Here’s a look at some of the top AI chips on the market and how they compare in memory capacity, bandwidth, and price per GB: - **NVIDIA H100**: 80GB @ 3TB/s → **$25,000** ($312.50 per GB) - **AMD MI300X**: 192GB @ 5.3TB/s → **$20,000** ($104.17 per GB) - **Apple M2 Ultra**: 192GB @ 800GB/s → **$5,000** ($26.04 (!!) per GB) Apple’s M2 Ultra, launched in mid-2023, is *4x cheaper* per GB than AMD's MI300X and a *staggering 12x cheaper* than NVIDIA's H100. That’s a huge advantage, especially for models that require large amounts of memory. #### **Why Does This Matter for DeepSeek?** DeepSeek V3 and R1 are *Mixture of Experts (MoE)* models with a total of **671 billion parameters**—but here’s the trick: only **37 billion** of those parameters are active at any given time when generating a token. The challenge? We don’t know which 37B will be needed in advance, so they must all be ready in **high-speed GPU memory**. This means system RAM is too slow (resulting in less than 1 token per second), while GPU memory is expensive. Apple Silicon, however, plays a different game. Instead of going all-in on raw speed, it offers a sweet spot—a large pool of medium-fast unified memory at a much lower cost. #### **What Makes Apple Silicon Special?** Apple has two key technologies that make this possible: - **Unified Memory** – Apple Silicon uses a single shared memory pool instead of keeping separate memory pools for the CPU and GPU (like NVIDIA and AMD do). This eliminates the need for expensive and slow data transfers between CPU and GPU. - **UltraFusion** – Apple’s proprietary interconnect technology that links two chip dies together at **2.5TB/s** of bandwidth. The M2 Ultra is literally two M2 Max chips fused into one, giving it **192GB** of unified memory with **800GB/s** bandwidth. Now, if the rumors about the **M4 Ultra** are true, Apple will take this even further by fusing two **M4 Max** chips, resulting in: ✅ **256GB of unified memory** ✅ **1146GB/s bandwidth** ✅ **57 tokens per second** for DeepSeek V3/R1 (4-bit) with **two M4 Ultras** This means Apple users could have **serious AI compute power** at a fraction of the cost of traditional GPU setups. #### **More Than Just Hardware** Apple is not just delivering great hardware—it’s also making **big strides in AI software** (which is rare for them). - **MLX** has made it easy to run machine learning workloads on Apple Silicon. - **ExoLabs** has successfully **clustered multiple Apple devices** to run large AI models, including DeepSeek R1 (671B) on **7 Mac Minis**. While it's still unclear which company will dominate AI model development, **one thing seems certain: AI will likely run on American hardware & Apple Silicon**
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by RomanoRnr
LEA AI updateWe’ve seen a MASSIVE 65.93% retracement from the highs—classic move to shake out weak hands before the next leg up. The market is testing a major support zone, and the big boys are loading up. 🚀 We are watching 0.014 key resistance—a clean break & retest here could send us FLYING towards 0.022 - 0.026. That’s a 128% move incoming! 🏆 🔥 Trade Idea (High Risk, High Reward): Long above 0.014 TP1: 0.018 TP2: 0.022 TP3: 0.026 Stop loss below 0.009 – because discipline wins battles. If we fail to hold this support, we might see one last shakeout to 0.0086, so stay vigilant. This is a sniper’s market—don’t chase, be the smart money! 💰
RAYDIUM:LEASOL_4ZF5DD.USDLong
by Skinwah
Will SPX Break Higher or Fade Lower?🚀 Will SPX Break Higher or Fade Lower? 📌 TLDR – The Market’s Next Move Hangs in the Balance Wednesday played out just as we discussed in the Fast Forward Group call – a challenge of the inside bar high, followed by a sell-off leading into the FOMC spectacle. Now, we’re seeing a similar inside bar on the daily chart, meaning today's session could repeat the same pattern: a challenge of the prior day’s high, followed by a dip. I'm expecting a short-term bearish move, but the longer-term trend remains bullish. USI:ADD isn’t giving us a strong directional clue, but it's hovering at a relative low, suggesting a potential pop higher before any downside unfolds. Futures are already up overnight, so a gap higher on the open would align with expectations. The SPX Income Swing is live as per the Tag 'n Turn setup, and the bear hedge is clearly marked should price tip over. ⏳ The Market’s Tug of War: Which Way Will It Break? Wednesday Review: SPX followed expectations – a challenge of the inside bar high, followed by a sell-off into the FOMC decision. The inside bar setup remains in play today, meaning we could see a similar push-and-fade before any clear direction emerges. Current Market Setup: Short-term bearish bias, but longer-term bullish structure remains intact. USI:ADD levels at relative extremes – currently at a low, suggesting a pop higher before a potential fade. Futures are slightly up overnight, so a gap higher at the open could fulfill the expected move. Trade Plan for Today: Bullish income swing trade is open and tracking with the SPX Tag 'n Turn setup. Bear hedge remains intact in case the market rolls over. Watching for a break above the inside bar high, followed by potential weakness later in the session. For now, it’s about staying nimble and reacting to price action rather than forcing trades. Let’s see how this plays out! 📊 Fun Fact: The FOMC’s Sneaky Pattern Did you know that in over 60% of FOMC meeting days, the initial market reaction is reversed within 48 hours? It’s like a financial bait-and-switch, where the market feigns one direction only to rug-pull traders the next day. Why does this happen? Traders react emotionally to Jerome Powell's comments, algorithmic trading kicks in, and short-term liquidity spikes. But once the dust settles, the market recalibrates based on actual economic data rather than FOMC posturing.
USI:ADDLong
by MrPhilNewton
2
Update! 1st Quarter Nigerian Share Picks for 2025 (DEC30-JAN30)Between the two given dates (DEC30 - JAN30), stock prices have shown a positive overall trend, with an average percentage change of approximately 16.29% across all listed stocks. Key observations: Significant Gainers: Some stocks like SCOA(+97.5%). MULTIVERSE(+50%) MTNN (+20.31%) and UPDC (+26.58%), experienced notable growth. Moderate Increases: Stocks such as FBNH (+3.72%), FTNCOCOA (+5.00%), and GUINNESS (+9.61%) saw steady increases. Broad Market Growth: Most stocks had a price increase, indicating a general upward trend in our 1st quarter share picks for 2025. Overall, our portfolio appears to have performed well over the period, with most stocks appreciating in value. Let me know what you think!
NSENG:MTNN
by Ifiok-2sydes
TRUMPUSDT Perpetual Swap Contract (30M - OKX) Analysis of TRUMPUSDT Perpetual Swap Contract (30M - OKX) 1. Trend Analysis Short-term Consolidation: The price is trading in a sideways range, fluctuating between 26.277 USDT (Demand Zone) and 28.866 USDT (Resistance/Fib 0.618). The price is currently hovering around EMA 50 & EMA 100, suggesting indecision in the market. Bearish to Neutral Outlook: The price has not yet broken above the EMA 200, which means the long-term trend remains bearish. There is a strong supply zone at 29.965 - 31.280 USDT, which could cap further upside movement. 2. Key Resistance & Support Levels Resistance Levels: 27.877 USDT (Fib 0.382 - TP1): Immediate minor resistance level. 28.372 USDT (Fib 0.500 - TP2): Key resistance, a breakout above this level could trigger further upside. 28.866 USDT (Fib 0.618 - TP3): Strong resistance and a potential shorting area if rejection occurs. 29.570 - 30.466 USDT (Major Supply Zone): A breakout beyond this level could shift the trend to bullish. Support Levels: 27.545 - 27.674 USDT: Local support range; if price breaks below, expect more downside. 26.277 USDT (Demand Zone): A key level where buyers previously stepped in. 25.288 USDT (Stop-Loss Zone): If the price falls below this, it could indicate a continuation of the downtrend. 3. Risks & Concerns EMA 200 as Strong Resistance: The price is still below the EMA 200, meaning any rally is still part of a corrective movement. A failure to break above 28.866 USDT (Fib 0.618) could result in another move downward. Low Volume Confirmation: The current price movement lacks strong volume confirmation. A breakout above 28.866 USDT needs to be supported by increasing volume for sustainability. Potential for Fakeouts: The price is in a consolidation phase, meaning fake breakouts can occur on both sides. Be cautious of sudden liquidity grabs before real movement happens. 4. Trading Strategy ✅ Long Scenario (If Breakout Occurs): Entry: If price breaks and holds above 28.372 USDT (Fib 0.500 Level). Target 1: 28.866 USDT (Fib 0.618) Target 2: 29.570 USDT (Fib 0.786 & Supply Zone) Target 3: 30.466 USDT (Major Resistance & Fib 0.886) Stop-Loss: Below 27.545 USDT to limit downside risk. ✅ Short Scenario (If Rejection Occurs at Resistance): Entry: If price fails to break 28.866 USDT (Fib 0.618 Level). Target 1: 27.545 USDT (Support Level) Target 2: 26.277 USDT (Demand Zone Retest) Target 3: 25.288 USDT (SL Zone & Further Downside) Stop-Loss: Above 29.000 USDT to prevent getting trapped in a breakout. 5. Summary & Outlook 📌 Price is in consolidation, with resistance at 28.866 USDT and support at 26.277 USDT. 📌 A breakout above 28.866 USDT could lead to 30.466 USDT, while rejection may push price back to 26.277 USDT. 📌 Volume confirmation is crucial for any breakout movement. 🔎 Recommendation: Watch for a breakout above 28.866 USDT before entering long positions. If price rejects at resistance, consider shorting towards 26.277 USDT. Let me know if you need further adjustments! 🚀📊
Long
by cyscalpingvip
Analysis of MOODENGUSDT Perpetual Swap Contract (1H - OKX)Analysis of MOODENGUSDT Perpetual Swap Contract (1H - OKX) 1. Trend Analysis Short-term Bullish Attempt: The price has bounced from the demand zone (~0.09655 USDT) and is currently trading above the EMA 20 & EMA 50, signaling a potential short-term bullish trend. The price is now testing the EMA 100, which acts as a resistance level. A breakout above it could signal further upside movement. Bearish Macro Trend Still in Play: The overall larger trend remains bearish since price is still below the EMA 200 and within a downward sloping channel. The supply zone near 0.12409 USDT will be a significant barrier for further upward movement. 2. Key Resistance & Support Levels Resistance Levels: 0.11336 USDT (EMA 100): Immediate resistance. A breakout above could confirm bullish momentum. 0.12144 - 0.12409 USDT (Supply Zone & EMA 200): Strong resistance area; price will need significant volume to break through. 0.12933 - 0.13552 USDT (Fib 0.500 - 0.618): Mid-level resistance where profit-taking could occur. Support Levels: 0.11112 - 0.10901 USDT: Local support zone. 0.10558 - 0.10382 USDT: Stronger support area; if price fails to hold, we may see a retest of the demand zone. 0.09655 USDT (Demand Zone): Key level where buying pressure previously stepped in. A break below this could confirm bearish continuation. 3. Risks & Concerns EMA 100 as Resistance: The price is struggling around EMA 100. A failure to break above it could signal a rejection and lead to another leg down. Weak Volume Confirmation: The recent upward movement lacks strong volume confirmation. If volume doesn’t increase, the price may fail to sustain higher levels. Bearish Macro Trend Still in Play: Despite the short-term bullish attempt, the overall trend remains bearish as long as price stays below EMA 200 & the supply zone at 0.12409 USDT. Potential False Breakout: If the price breaks above EMA 100 but quickly reverses, it could trap buyers before another drop. 4. Trading Strategy ✅ Long Strategy (If Breakout Occurs): Entry: If price holds above 0.11336 USDT (EMA 100). Target 1: 0.12144 USDT (Supply Zone & EMA 200) Target 2: 0.12933 - 0.13552 USDT (Fib 0.500 - 0.618 Level) Stop-Loss: Below 0.10901 USDT to minimize risk. ✅ Short Strategy (If Rejection Occurs at Resistance): Entry: If price fails to break 0.11336 USDT and shows rejection. Target 1: 0.10901 - 0.10558 USDT (Local Support Levels) Target 2: 0.09655 USDT (Demand Zone Retest) Stop-Loss: Above 0.11500 USDT to avoid fakeouts. 5. Summary & Outlook 📌 Short-term bullish momentum is forming, but macro trend remains bearish. 📌 Key resistance at 0.11336 USDT (EMA 100); breakout needed for further upside. 📌 If rejected, expect a pullback to 0.10558 - 0.09655 USDT. 📌 Volume confirmation is needed for a sustained breakout. 🔎 Recommendation: Watch for a confirmed breakout above EMA 100 before entering long positions. Monitor price action at resistance; failure to break could be a short opportunity. Let me know if you need more details! 🚀📊
Long
by cyscalpingvip
1
Sentiment Cycle Indicator PerformanceTake a look at the performance of the Sentiment Cycle Indicator (PAID) on the Bank Nifty 15-minute chart—it beautifully captures the sideways movement. In sideways areas, where there’s no red or green background, the indicator identifies “no sentiment.” As per the indicator, this means there’s neither bearish sentiment (red background) nor bullish sentiment (green background). Instead, the chart simply displays its default background color, which in my case is white. This unique feature of the indicator, which I’ve emphasized from the beginning, is its ability to not only provide buy/sell signals but also highlight no sentiment zones, which can be treated as no-trading zones. This helps traders avoid overtrading, a common pitfall in sideways markets. Recently, the market has moved out of the sentiment zone, and the indicator accurately captured the transition. Booking profits is entirely up to the trader’s discretion. Additionally, on shorter timeframes like 5 minutes, the indicator can capture more points with multiple entry opportunities. This is especially useful for Bank Nifty, where premium decay (theta decay) can make holding trades over a long period risky. Therefore, timeframes like 1 minute, 3 minutes, 5 minutes, or even 15 minutes work well. Take a look at the highlighted area within the black line box. In this zone, Bank Nifty was gradually moving down, but the volume was decreasing, and other elements failed to detect any sentiment. This is where the Sentiment Cycle Indicator proves its value. It identifies the lack of clear sentiment, helping you avoid false signals. When the sentiment is eventually detected, it provides a sure-shot signal, offering clarity and precision in your trading decisions. Currently, the market appears largely sideways, and wherever the indicator generates a buy or sell signal, it effectively identifies trapping zones. This highlights the true power of the Sentiment Cycle Indicator in helping traders navigate various market conditions with precision.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by TradeTechanalysis