Disney (DIS): Waiting for the Right MoveIt's been a while since we last checked on Disney. We hit our target for Wave A, getting close to $126. Now, we are working on Wave B, which we think will finish between $96 and $89. This range matches the 61.8% to 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting a Zig-Zag correction.
Current Situation:
Regarding the future outlook, we are looking at $156 to $176 for the next upward move, matching the 61.8% to 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels for the larger Wave B.
Strategy:
Our plan is to be patient. We are not trading or taking any positions right now. The correction might extend and could bring the price below $77 if Wave (A) isn’t fully done. It’s important to wait for clear signs of stability and the end of the correction before making any moves.
Conclusion:
Patience is very important for Disney right now. We are watching the $96 to $89 range to see if Wave B completes. If this correction phase ends well, we might see a move towards $156 to $176. However, we need to stay cautious and wait for a clear signal before taking any action.
Disney
Disney: Sitting on EdgeDisney is currently sitting on the upper edge of our magenta Target Zone (coordinates: $101.24 – $88.36). We anticipate a bullish trend reversal out of this Zone, but primarily, we still think wave (2) must dive a little deeper into this price range before the trend reversal can be initiated. However, there is a 35% chance that wave alt.(2) has bottomed out already, which will be confirmed if the resistance at $110.62 is surpassed.
DIS The Walt Disney Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on DIS:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DIS The Walt Disney Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 112usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-5-10,
for a premium of approximately $2.82.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disney H&S Developing could fill the gap NYSE:DIS Disney is developing a head and shoulder pattern it could fill the gap if support doesn't step in after earnings. Look for 105-100 as a target if volume doesn't buy in expected Gap Down and gap fill below it couldn't break upper resistance at 124 level either
Disney Reports Surprise Profit in StreamingWalt Disney's ( NYSE:DIS ) streaming entertainment unit posted its first profit on Tuesday, two quarters ahead of schedule, and the company raised its annual earnings per share outlook as it said turnaround efforts were yielding results. Shares of the company were down 1.4% in premarket trading. Disney ( NYSE:DIS ) now expects adjusted earnings per share to rise by 25% this fiscal year, up from the 20% it previously forecast. The company attributed the change to strong results at theme parks and improvements in the streaming business.
The direct-to-consumer entertainment division, which includes the Disney+ and Hulu streaming services, reported operating income of $47 million from January through March. Disney ( NYSE:DIS ) had promised Wall Street that the streaming operation would become profitable by September. The division had been losing money since Disney+ debuted in 2019 in the company's major push to compete with Netflix.
Chair Executive Bob Iger, who defeated board challenges from activist investors last month, said in a statement that "our strong performance this past quarter demonstrates we have turned the corner and entered a new era for our company." The steps Disney is taking today lend themselves to solidifying Disney's place as the preeminent creator of global content.
Like other media companies, Disney ( NYSE:DIS ) has been trying to adapt to consumer migration from cable television to streaming entertainment. Iger, who came out of retirement to revamp Disney in November 2022, instituted cost cuts that are expected to reach at least $7.5 billion by the end of September. He also unveiled a 10-year, $60 billion investment in theme parks and announced plans for a stand-alone ESPN streaming app, among other efforts.
The earlier-than-expected profit from streaming entertainment was driven by aggressive cost management, according to Chief Financial Officer Hugh Johnston. A year ago, the streaming unit lost $587 million. Disney+ added more than 6 million customers during the quarter, and average revenue per user rose 44 cents, outside of India. Disney ( NYSE:DIS ) offers a lower-priced plan in India that it counts separately.
Disney ( NYSE:DIS ) also reports results for a combined streaming unit, including ESPN+, which should generate a fiscal fourth-quarter profit and become a "meaningful future growth driver for the company, with further improvements in profitability for fiscal 2025."
For January through March, the combined streaming business with ESPN+ lost $18 million. During that time, the Mouse House posted diluted earnings per share, excluding certain items, of $1.21, ahead of analysts' consensus estimate of $1.10, according to LSEG data. Quarterly revenue rose to $22.1 billion, in line with analyst forecasts.
In the second fiscal quarter of 2024, Disney ( NYSE:DIS ) achieved strong double-digit percentage growth in adjusted EPS(1) and met or exceeded financial guidance for the quarter. As a result of outperformance in the second quarter, the company's new full-year adjusted EPS(1) growth target is now 25%. The company remains on track to generate approximately $14 billion of cash provided by operations and over $8 billion of free cash flow this fiscal year.
Is Disney's Renaissance Sustainable?In the annals of financial lore, few sagas are as captivating as the rollercoaster ride of Disney's stock. From the dizzying heights of its peak to the depths of its nadir, the House of Mouse has seen it all. Yet, just as a phoenix rises from the ashes, so too has Disney experienced a remarkable resurgence in recent times. But amidst the euphoria of its stock's revival, investors are left pondering a crucial question: Is the time ripe to bet on Disney's future?
Disney, an intricate tapestry of entertainment, boasts an arsenal of beloved characters and franchises unrivaled in the industry. From Mickey Mouse to Marvel superheroes, its portfolio is a treasure trove of nostalgia and innovation. But navigating the labyrinthine landscape of its operations requires more than just pixie dust and wishful thinking.
The pandemic served as a crucible, testing Disney's resilience like never before. As theme parks lay dormant, streaming platforms emerged as beacons of hope, illuminating a path forward. Yet, even as one door closed, another swung open, revealing the adaptability and resourcefulness ingrained in Disney's DNA.
Under the stewardship of CEO Bob Iger, Disney embarked on a voyage of reinvention, charting a course toward operational excellence. The resurgence of its theme parks, coupled with a revitalized focus on content creation, heralds a new era of growth and innovation. But behind the scenes, the gears of change are grinding, reshaping the very fabric of Disney's identity.
The latest quarterly results offer a glimpse into Disney's metamorphosis. While revenue may have stagnated, operating income soared, fueled by the surging tide of streaming subscriptions. Bob Iger's bold proclamation of streaming profitability by fiscal 2024 echoes a newfound sense of confidence permeating the company's corridors.
Yet, amidst the glitz and glamour, challenges linger on the horizon. The specter of ESPN's uncertain future looms large, casting a shadow over Disney's aspirations. But rather than retreat in the face of adversity, Disney has chosen to confront it head-on, forging alliances and innovating new pathways to success.
Investors, ever the vigilant custodians of capital, are cautiously optimistic. The allure of Disney's storied legacy is undeniable, yet prudence dictates a measured approach. For while the promise of future returns may tantalize, the present realities demand scrutiny.
In the grand tapestry of Disney's saga, each thread tells a story of resilience, adaptation, and unyielding optimism. As the curtains rise on a new chapter, investors stand poised at the precipice of possibility, gazing toward a future brimming with promise and potential. And as Walt Disney himself once said, "It's kind of fun to do the impossible."
DISNEY $DIS | DISNEY DESCENDING TRIANGLE PATTERN - Apr. 11, 2024DISNEY NYSE:DIS | DISNEY DESCENDING TRIANGLE PATTERN - Apr. 11, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $118.50 - $123.00
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $116.50 - $118.50
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $112.00 - $116.50
Weekly: Bullish
Daily: DNT
4H: Bearish
A week ago NYSE:DIS broke its bullish trend on the 4H and lower timeframes. The Weekly timeframe still holds the bullish trend, and the Daily timeframe is currently untradeable for myself, but is working its way closer to a bearish trend as it is breaking down bullish structure. The 4H timeframe shows a descending wedge/triangle (or possibly a developing sideways range channel) with the bullish support level being around 117.00. The 117.00 is where bears should look for a breakdown to confirm the downwards trend, and bulls should look for a breakout above the 118.50 level. 118.50 is a safe entry for bulls, however; earlier entries could be a break above the descending trend line that is acting as the top of the wedge/triangle. Previous bull trend and continuation are labeled to show where I got the levels and zones from and how more recent price action has reacted to these areas.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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Disney Rejected 38.2% Fibo but Upside IntactStratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
DIS: 3 waves move so farLast week's huge reversal candle most likely ended the bull run that started in January. There is a chance that proce will move sideways in a range for a few days and then make another peak above $124, but still it will be a 3 waves moves. So what does that put the current price action relative to the overall correction? Well, that depends on how the next 2-3 months play out. There are 3 scenarios:
1)Least bearish/ Kind of bullish: Minor degree wave 3 of 5 waves of intermediate wave A of primary wave (B). That means we will see some more bullish price action after some short corrections towards $132-$142. Then a larger 3 waves correction will be followed by another bull run towards the ATH area.
2)Somewhat bearish/ Somewhat bullish: Minor wave C of Intermediate wave A of primary wave (B). That will bring a 3 waves correction right away, and then followed by a bull run towards $150s.
3)Super bearish/ Bull is steak: This price move up has made it almost to 0.5 retrace of the initial wave (A) correction. That qualifies this move to have all of primary wave (B) complete. That will mean the primary degree wave (C) will start now or maybe after another short bounce. If the long term trendline breaks, then watch out below....a lot below...around $40!
Disney Triumphs Over Trian in Bitter Boardroom Battle:A Victory for Bob Iger's Leadership
In a high-stakes proxy battle that gripped Wall Street, Walt Disney Co. ( NYSE:DIS ) has emerged victorious over Nelson Peltz's Trian Fund Management, signaling a significant win for CEO Bob Iger and the company's strategic direction.
Months of intense campaigning and maneuvering culminated in a decisive victory for Disney ( NYSE:DIS ) as shareholders overwhelmingly backed the company's slate of board nominees, rejecting Trian's bid to shake up Disney's governance.
At the heart of the clash were competing visions for Disney's future. Trian, led by veteran investor Nelson Peltz, had been pushing for board seats to implement its strategies aimed at improving Disney's performance. Peltz criticized Disney's CEO succession planning, creative innovation, and adaptation to new technologies, arguing that the company had missed opportunities, costing investors billions.
However, Disney ( NYSE:DIS ), backed by major institutional investors including Vanguard Group and BlackRock, successfully defended its board and leadership. Vanguard, Disney's largest shareholder, wielded significant influence with its approximately 8.3% stake, throwing its weight behind Disney's nominees. Other prominent investors, such as T. Rowe Price and Norges Bank Investment Management, also sided with Disney ( NYSE:DIS ).
The support from influential shareholders underscored confidence in Bob Iger's leadership amidst Disney's transformative journey, particularly in navigating the transition to streaming and expanding its digital footprint. Despite challenges in the streaming division, including the dismissal of former CEO Bob Chapek, Disney's strategic investments in companies like Epic Games and partnerships with industry giants like Fox Corp and Warner Bros Discovery have shown promising signs of growth.
The bitter battle between Disney and Trian highlighted fundamental questions about Disney's direction in an evolving media landscape. Both sides spared no expense in their campaigns, leveraging endorsements from industry luminaries and engaging in public skirmishes.
For Iger, the victory represents a vindication of his vision and strategy for Disney's future. The outpouring of support from shareholders and influential figures reaffirms his standing as a visionary leader capable of steering Disney through turbulent waters.
As the dust settles on this boardroom brawl, Disney emerges with renewed confidence, poised to capitalize on its strengths and chart a course towards continued success under Bob Iger's stewardship. The shareholder vote sends a clear message: Disney's shareholders have spoken, and they believe in the magic of Bob Iger's leadership.
Disney+ Set to Boost Revenue with Strategic Advertising ExpansioThe Walt Disney Company is venturing into new territories with its Disney+ platform by enhancing its advertising business through strategic partnerships with key entities in the advertising industry. This initiative is expected to unlock a significant revenue stream for Disney, offering a subscription model that is more accessible to price-sensitive customers while simultaneously monetising through advertising. A key advantage for Disney+ in this endeavour is its access to a vast repository of subscriber data, which serves as an invaluable goldmine for tailoring effective advertising campaigns. The collaboration with industry giants such as Alphabet and The Trade Desk is poised to optimise the monetisation potential of Disney's streaming services.
The decision to integrate advertising into the Disney+ platform underscores Disney's adaptability and foresight in the rapidly evolving digital entertainment landscape. By offering a competitively priced subscription option supported by advertisements, Disney+ is not only expanding its subscriber base but also enhancing its appeal to a broader demographic. This strategic pivot also reflects a growing trend among streaming services to diversify revenue streams in an increasingly saturated market.
For investors and market watchers, the development of Disney's advertising business on Disney+ signals a proactive approach to growth and revenue diversification. The collaboration with leading advertising platforms like Alphabet and The Trade Desk could set a new benchmark for how streaming services leverage proprietary data for advertising purposes.
Given these developments, it's prudent to analyse The Walt Disney Company's (DIS) stock performance
On the daily (D1) timeframe, a support level at 115.84 USD has emerged, along with resistance at 123.74 USD, indicating a stable uptrend.
Zooming in on the hourly (H1) timeframe, long positions may present compelling opportunities after breaching the resistance level at 123.74 USD, with a short-term target at 133.30 USD. In the medium term, maintaining a long position could prove viable, potentially extending up to 145.06 USD.
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$DIS Daily Chart Analysis: For educational purposes only, NFA.NYSE:DIS Daily Chart Analysis: For educational purposes only, NFA.
Bear Case: March 20, 2024
1#Price approaching previous resistance level from Feb 9, 2023.
2#RSI shows Bearish divergence
3#Also forming Bearish Rising Wedge
4#Expecting the price to retrace to gap fill after after catching rejection from resistance .
$DIS Bearish to Bullish ReversalNYSE:DIS Bearish to Bullish Reversal
A "Bearish to Bullish Reversal" in technical analysis typically indicates a shift in sentiment from pessimistic to optimistic regarding the stock's price movement. In the case of NYSE:DIS (Disney), this reversal pattern suggests that the stock has transitioned from a downtrend to an uptrend. This change may be characterized by a significant decrease in selling pressure followed by increasing buying interest, leading to a potential upward movement in the stock's price. Traders and investors often interpret this reversal as a signal to consider buying opportunities, anticipating further upward momentum in the stock's price.
DIS-Canary in the coal mine for the US stock market?Since 1974 Disney has always made a "yearly" higher low as depicted by the red hash marks on this chart.
In 2022 it closed the year below the previous yearly "pullback low"...yikes!!!
Could Disney be an early warning sign of what is to come over the next 10 years for the US stock market? It is a 1900's quintessential "American" company.
Anyone looking to add this to your child's portfolio might want to reconsider...
(Of note: Disney began trading on the NYSE on November 12, 1957 and Trading View begins charting it in 1968 so this chart doesn't show 1957-1968.)
Lastly, I would not recommend starting a short position right now (in fact, the daily chart looks quite bullish right now) however if you are "really" long this company I would take any strong bear market rallies as a chance to reduce or exit your position...there is just too much unknown about what this type of closing implies for the stock IMO.
The time to invest in Disney is nowCould see this dip further into the high 70s. I'm a buyer at these levels. Lot of long term support. Disney is a company relevant yesterday, today, and will be in the future. Looking to see it trading at levels double from what they are now within the next 2 years.
Disney: Two Scenarios
For Walt Disney, chart analysis reveals the completion of a first cycle with an all-time high at $203, followed by what appears to be a 5-wave structure downward towards Wave (A), concluding at a double bottom with Wave (4) at $79. This formation is characteristic of a Wave 2, yet its brevity on the 3-day chart suggests a potential flat correction. Anticipation exists for a rise in the coming weeks to $126.50, where Wave A is expected, adhering to a zigzag correction pattern (5-3-5 waves). This suggests a cautious bearish stance until a breakout above $176.88, which would invalidate the current long term bearish scenario.
The 4-hour chart indicates the potential formation of a 5-wave structure upward towards Wave A, but the market's direction—whether indicating strength or weakness—will determine the approach to positioning for Wave 4. Further observations are needed before committing to new positions, with decisions to be made based on clearer market signals
DIS moves higher in realtive strength LONGDisney had an excellent earnings report last week. Today it is moving off its support of the
moving average cloud on the chart and going higher on a day when the general market is
sideways at best. A table shows its strength as compared with other commonly traded stocks.
I will take a long trade here and perhaps hold it until the next earnings.
Tech-Media Stocks: Macro Fib SchematicsThese Tech Media/Entertainment companies are among the biggest and most influential. Their Fib Schematics are somewhat similar but a few are unique. Twitter is newer than the rest so it takes up less room. We may see Twitter keep this support and continue onto its new schematics.
As for every single chart, we can see the monthly candles respecting these s/r lines. One must not need me to tell them which way we are suppose to go, rather they must look deep inside the chart and understand weather it is on support, on resistance, or pushing away from one of them. We can see this in ever single one.
Unfortunately, this is a 2 month chart but it still definitely works! 100 percent will still work no matter the timeframe. Its just that the structure gets more defined the lower the timeframe.
Front runs, rejections, and clear supports can be spotted here.
For me, AT&T looks like a buy because of multiple frontuns above. T-Mobile looks like a buy to resistance and then short sell. The others are too complex to put into mere words.
DISNEY, a "bottomfish" opportunity that can't be missed! ↑↑↑DISNEY's recent earning calls last April 2023 is showing some impressive numbers -- with net income surging +170%. These weighty numbers are still out of sync with the current price level of the company -- but that will change soon.
Initial Accumulation has been spotted at the current price range. Monthly histogram is showing some higher lows formation with price movements getting thinner by the day -- conveying a pending trend reversal. Price is currently sitting at 1.0 FIB level -- this is beyond bargain discount already and a rare chance to seed at this price level knowing the impressive financial numbers.
DIS is also hovering the 85-90 range, a strong major order block support that's been tested many times in the past and price keeps bouncing off it. This is a 3-year long standing support that has been proven it's strength over and over.
Expect some significant price ascend from the present price range.
The current price is a rare bargain -- a 'bottomfish' opportunity that can't be missed for sure!
Spotted at 89.0
TAYOR.
Safeguard capital always.
------------------------------------
Some financial reference:
Financials
Quarterly financials
APR 2023
(USD) Apr 2023 Y/Y
Revenue 21.81B 13.33%
Net income 1.27B 170.43%
Diluted EPS 0.69 165.38%
Net profit margin 5.83% 138.93%
Operating income 2.36B 45.98%
Net change in cash 1.94B 265.56%
Cash on hand - -
Cost of revenue 14.62B 16.06%
📺 Disney (DIS) - Streaming Profits and Theatrical Releases! 🎥📊 Technical Overview:
NYSE:DIS : Disney, a legacy media and entertainment company.
Key Levels: $84.00, $85.00, $124.00, $126.00.
📈 Trade Analysis:
Streaming Business: Disney's efforts to turn its streaming business profitable.
Cost Savings: Annualized cost savings, especially in streaming.
Theatrical Releases: Several theatrical releases from iconic franchises.
Bullish Sentiment: Positive outlook on Disney's streaming and entertainment business.
🚀 Trade Strategy:
Entry: Above $84.00-$85.00 range.
Upside Target: $124.00-$126.00.
Profitable Streaming: Anticipation of profitability in Disney's streaming business.
📉📈 Note: Monitor Disney's streaming revenue and upcoming releases for trade decisions. 🔄💹 #Disney #TradeAnalysis #StockMarket 📊🚀