CRASH - CRASH - CRASH - Don't believe a word of it...I created this video because I'm seeing a bunch of content/videos where everyone is suddenly calling for a CRASH. and I laugh about it.
If you want to believe the markets are going to CRASH - go for it.
Sell everything. Bet the farm on the CRASH. Leverage your house and everything you own to bet on the CRASH.
It's not going to happen soon.
My research is very clear. I believe the first opportunity for a deep (more than 25-35%) market pullback will happen after late 2029 and into 2030.
Until then, we are going to see moderate pullbacks in a very solid uptrend.
Watch this video and learn why real research and modeling systems don't react to the Crash-Dummies that continually push out CLICK-BAIT.
It's time to get real about your trading and investing.
If you are following someone who continually calls for a market crash - good luck.
At some point, you are going to come to the realization they are wrong 90% of the time. Try to find someone you trust who provides clear, timely, and ACCURATE forecasts.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
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The Leap by CME Group: TradingView ShowWelcome back, traders! In today’s episode of The TradingView Show, we’re joined by Craig Bewick, Senior Director of Client Development and Sales at CME Group. With nearly 30 years of experience in futures and options, Craig has a wealth of expertise, from risk management and technology at CBOT and CME to product development and client engagement.
In this episode, we’re diving into The Leap – a month-long, risk-free trading challenge that pits global traders against each other to maximize profits on a special paper-trading account. This is your time to learn futures and explore sophisticated trading strategies for cash prizes without needing to deposit anything.
This round focuses exclusively on futures trading, with some of the most actively traded CME Group contracts at the core of the competition. Traders will be going head-to-head on assets like crude oil, gold, Bitcoin, and equity indices – a prime opportunity to refine your futures strategies and get hands-on with the dynamics of the market.
As for prizes, there’s something for everyone: 250 awards, including cash and plan extensions. Let’s take a closer look at this time’s spoils.
1st place — $3,000
2nd place — $1,500
3rd place — $1,200
4th place — $1,000
5th place — $800
Places from 6th to 25th — $500
Places from 26th to 50th — $300
Places from 51st to 250th — 6 more months of your current plan
About CME Group
CME Group is the world's leading derivatives marketplace offering active traders access to futures and options across equities, commodities, crypto, FX and rates. With micro contracts, traders can gain precision and more control over their exposure, accessing more trading opportunities.
About CME Group Education
Whether you’re experienced at trading or building your foundation of knowledge, CME Group provides free education courses and tools that can help you stay ahead. Search for CME Institute or click on the link in the show description: www.cmegroup.com
Does a strong ADP number lead to a decent NFP print? Given the decent ADP report just delivered ahead of Friday's NFP figures, I'm curious to see whether the direction of ADP can be an indicator of what to expect on the headline Nonfarm growth figure. Armed with another spreadsheet, I take a look.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Health Care and Water Utilities Are Turning UpIn water utilities we are seeing a possible bottom and that is indicative of the Anti pattern which is a reversal pattern. Catching this pullback can keep us in this trade for a longer period of time. The healthcare industry is showing a lot of strength on many different charts. NASDAQ:INGN is just one of many but, it is my favorite setup today.
WHY 99.9% OF BEGINNER TRADERS QUIT! MY NEXT SETUP Most beginner traders quit because they make the same deadly mistakes:
❌ They clutter their charts with too many indicators
❌ They have no real strategy or system
❌ They trade based on emotion instead of logic
❌ They never backtest their approach
❌ They have no idea how to size their positions correctly
❌ They completely ignore risk management
If that sounds familiar, you're not alone. But in this video, we break down why these mistakes destroy accounts—and how to fix them.
🎯 Plus, we analyze my next trade setup in real time!
💥 Congrats if you took the short from supply! That setup played out beautifully. Now, let’s dive into the next opportunity.
🔔 Don’t forget to like and FOLLOW, for more insights!
Tariffs and Their Influence on GoldWe observed how gold has pivoted upward so precisely each time tariffs were applied since the start of the trade war in 2018.
Before the trade war, gold remained stagnant within this range. However, with the onset of the trade war, everything changed for gold.
We will conduct a case study since 2018, analyzing how gold has reacted to each significant tariff imposed.
With the latest proposed tariffs on Canada and Mexico, what could be the potential trend for gold, and how should it be managed above the current level?
Gold Futures & Options
Ticker: GC
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 per troy ounce = $10.00
Micro Gold Futures & Options
Ticker: MGC
Minimum fluctuation:
0.10 er troy ounce = $1.00
1Ounce Gold Futures
Ticker: 1OZ
Minimum fluctuation:
0.25 per troy ounce = $0.25
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
GBPUSD Not Clear AT the MomentFrom a daily perspective Swing structure remains bullish and we still maintain the bias that price made a deeper pullback retesting the demand zone created on Nov 1, 2023.
Immediately we tapped into that demand zone, price shot up.
However, The daily internal structure remains bearish and until price breaks the internal protected high, we continue looking for selling opportunities.
- At this point, i will stay clear off the market, until i get a clear directional bias.
-Also, it is important to note that this is the 2nd time our daily supply zone (created on Jan 7, 2025) is getting retested. Until we get a nice strong clearance away from that supply , we stay clear from this market.
4HRS
Swing structure is bearish.
Internal Structure = Bullish
We gapped to the downside on Monday and immediately reversed breaking internal structure to the upside. This caused an internal trend change where the internal trend changed from bearish to bullish. This aligns perfectly with daily swing structure and a sign that overall the trend may be changing from bearish to bullish.
After a BoS, we expect a pullback but from where?
WHAT'S FLOWING: TRUMP | METALS | INDEX | BTC
Key Observations from the Charts
1. USD/MXN (US Dollar to Mexican Peso) – Bullish
• The pair is trending upwards, with price breaking above recent resistance.
• Green Heikin Ashi candles confirm bullish momentum.
2. USD/CNH (US Dollar to Chinese Yuan) – Bullish
• Price is pushing higher, breaking past previous resistance.
• The red-to-green shift in Heikin Ashi candles signals continued strength in USD.
3. USD/CAD (US Dollar to Canadian Dollar) – Bullish
• Strong rally with momentum building.
• The price is well above the moving average zone (green/red shaded area).
4. AUD/JPY & AUD/USD (vs. USD/JPY) – Bearish
• Weakness in AUD is visible as it trends downward.
• The Heikin Ashi candles are mostly red, indicating a downtrend.
5. XAG/EUR (Silver to Euro) – Bullish
• Price is breaking higher, suggesting demand for silver.
• Potential move toward the next resistance.
6. XAU/USD vs. XAG/USD (Gold & Silver to USD) – Bullish
• Both gold and silver are pushing higher.
• Potential rotation into precious metals as a hedge against market uncertainty.
7. GER40 (DAX Index, Germany) – Bullish
• The index is maintaining an uptrend.
• Strong green Heikin Ashi candles show continuation.
8. US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) – Bearish
• Continues to push higher with momentum.
• Uptrend remains intact.
9. SPX500 (S&P 500 Index) – Slightly Bearish
• Market remains near highs, with some consolidation.
• Green Heikin Ashi candles still dominate, but some resistance forming.
What’s Flowing Today?
• Strong USD Trends: USD is pushing higher against MXN, CNH, and CAD, reflecting dollar strength.
• Precious Metals Rising: Gold and Silver are both trending up, likely as a hedge against market risks.
• Equities Holding Strong: US & European indices (S&P 500, Dow Jones, and DAX) are maintaining bullish trends.
• AUD Weakness: AUD/JPY and AUD/USD are selling off, signaling risk aversion in currency markets.
Market Themes to Watch
• Risk-on vs. Risk-off Sentiment: Precious metals moving higher suggests some defensive positioning, but stocks remain strong.
• US Dollar Strength: USD showing dominance across multiple pairs.
• Commodities & Inflation Hedge: Metals rallying could indicate inflation expectations creeping back into the market.
Tariffs, tariffs and more tariffs... What's next for the Dow?It seems like we are stepping into Tariff Wars 2.0, with the announcement of the tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China. But is the outlook really that bad? Let's take a look at the MARKETSCOM:US30 scenario.
TVC:DJI
74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
From almost Blowing Funded account to being back in ProfitsThis was a perfect illustration of how our emotions can affect us and our trading decisions.
However through my 5 years of trading, I've been working on mastering my emotions as best as I can and as you guys can see-- I still had several times where I showed plenty of emotions. This leads me to come to the conclusion I still have a long way to go with mastering my emotions but progress is being made, and that is enough for me. If you guys liked this idea and post please give it a like!
Forex and Futures Trading Risk Disclosure:
The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading.
Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.
There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary.
BDRipTrades Market Opinions (also applies to BDelCiel and Aligned & Wealthy LLC):
Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in my content (including live streams, videos, and posts) are provided as general market commentary only and do not constitute investment advice. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including but not limited to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
Accuracy of Information: The content I provide is subject to change at any time without notice and is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. While I strive for accuracy, I do not guarantee the completeness or reliability of any information. I am not responsible for any losses incurred due to reliance on any information shared through my platforms.
Government-Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement:
CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk.
Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results.
General Trading Disclaimer:
Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors.
Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations.
Any decisions you make based on my content are solely your responsibility.
By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
XLM - Taking Over EUROPEAN BANKS MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on xlm here.
xlm is looking beautiful , very strong chart for more upside
Very similar to XRP which mooned and will go higher
Do not miss out on xlm as this is a great opportunity
Watch video for more details
EURCHF gaining the MOMENTUMHere we see prices were unable to form a lows. We can see bullish engulfing candle , and a proper break of structure that forms an order block which is now activated. Although it is an aggressive entry but can be a great opportunity if aligns with the momentum of pre London opening.
Don't miss the Next AI Gold Rush! WATCH NOW!In this video, we delve into the next phase of artificial intelligence and explore the companies set to benefit the most. From giants like Microsoft and Salesforce to rising stars like Snowflake and CrowdStrike, we break down how each company is harnessing AI to revolutionize their industries. Don't miss out on this deep dive into the tech titans leading the AI charge and shaping the future. Subscribe and hit the bell icon to stay updated on the latest in AI advancements! NASDAQ:CRWD NYSE:CRM NYSE:SNOW NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:TEAM NYSE:PATH NYSE:SHOP NASDAQ:DDOG NYSE:NET NASDAQ:MDB
What companies are you positioned in or ready to start a position in?
Let me know in the comments below!
ASX 200: Why I'm not banking on [an immediate] record highThe ASX 200 cash market is tantalisingly close to retesting its record high set in December. Traders are betting on an RBA cut in February (and 100bp of cuts this year) which is helping to support the market. Yet I doubt the ASX will simply break to a new high without a fresh catalyst. Comparing the ASX 200 cash and futures market and their key levels, I explain why.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com