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Fibonacci Retracement

EURUSD → The triple top is in the 1.1200 zone. Falling?FX:EURUSD is facing strong resistance forming a reversal pattern relative to the 1.1200 sideways range boundary. The bulls are not yet able to continue the trend. The dollar is bouncing.... On the back of unpredictable economic data confirming the problems in the US economy (manufacturing, banking sector), the markets are rebounding. DXY strengthens after the market held 100.0 support. EURUSD reverses course amid sentiment changes. Price forms a triple top reversal pattern and faces a strong sell-off, within which breaks trend support. In the short-term, we may catch a correction to the imbalance zone (with the aim of retesting the previously broken channel boundary), after which the decline may continue to 1.100, 1.095, 1.089. Resistance levels: 1.11, 1.1125, 1.115 Support levels: 1.107, 1.104, 1.100 ADP NonFarm ahead and before the news, the market may quiet down and form a correction. In case of EURUSD, the zone of interest is 1.11 - 1.113. The fall may resume from these zones.... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
WIFUSDT → A reversal set-up. Breakdown 2.100BINANCE:WIFUSDT changes the market structure to bearish. Traders are moving into the phase of profit-taking after the rally. The market is not ready to go up yet. The rally stops at the strong resistance zone at 2.639. A local false breakdown is formed relative to the extreme upward movement, indicating that buyers are not ready yet and sellers have come to the market (profit-taking). At the moment the market is testing 2.100 and is ready to break this support. A pullback is possible before breaking down. BUT, if the buyers now enter this zone and consolidate below 2.100, the prospect of further decline will come very quickly. Resistance levels: 2.15, 2.2 Support levels: 2.100, 1.96. 1.95 A breakdown and consolidation below 2.100 will activate strong selling amid a general bear market. If the price further enters the flat channel, it may cause a decline to 1.45 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:WIFUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
CHFJPY in important resistance area; yen to strengthen?CHFJPY in important resistance area on daily chart; yen to strengthen? The Swiss franc and Japanese yen currency pair (CHFJPY) has maintained a steady uptrend on the daily chart since 2020, consistently trading above the 200-period Moving Average. However, in September, CHFJPY dipped below the SMA200 for the first time, signaling a potential increase in selling pressure and indicating a stronger appreciation of the yen against the franc. This yen appreciation aligns with Japan’s recent shift in monetary policy – the Bank of Japan had kept interest rates in negative territory since 2016. On July 31, Japan raised its key interest rate for the second time in 2024, bringing it to 0.25%. Meanwhile, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has consecutively lowered interest rates during its last three meetings. Technical indicators point to potential downward pressure on CHFJPY From a technical perspective, after breaking below the SMA200 on the daily chart, CHFJPY retested it from below, suggesting that the SMA200 may now act as a level of resistance. The price also reached the 50% retracement level of the bearish Fibonacci on the daily chart, which could serve as potential resistance. A double top pattern is also forming in the same Fibonacci region. From a technical standpoint, a confluence of factors can be seen: 1. The SMA200 was broken, previously acting as support, and could now serve as resistance. 2. A retracement to the 50% level of the bearish Fibonacci, which could also act as resistance. 3. A double top forming on the daily chart. From a macroeconomic perspective, the following is affecting CHFJPY: 1. A shift in Japan’s monetary policy with two interest rate hikes this year. 2. Monetary easing in Switzerland – the SNB has cut the policy rate three times in 2024. It currently stands at 1% – the lowest level since early 2023. These factors create a context where a potential short opportunity could become more apparent if the price breaks below 171.30. If that occurs, CHFJPY could decline to the 167.10 level within a few days, where it may encounter some support. Disclaimer: 76.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Short
by Marketscom
AUDCAD Bullish ContinuationAUDCAD price seems to exhibit signs of Bullish continuation. Bulls may eventually face a strong resistance zone around 0.9408 till 0.95485. If there is considerable Bullish momentum in this price zone, chances of TP2 may increase. Till then, opportunity may be seized by the Bulls. After the Bulls surf the potential wave till TP1, a probable opportunity may arise for the Bears in the form of a probable Harmonic reversal from key Fibonacci Harmonic price levels which increases the importance of moving SL to Break Even if TP1 hits. Till then, opportunity may be seized by the Bulls. Trade Plan Entry @ 0.92795 OR CMP Stop Loss @ 0.9179 TP1 @ 0.9381 TP2 @ 0.9482 No. of Trades: 2 Move SL to Break Even if TP1 hits.
Long
by SalaarBT
1
GOLD → Price breaks support. Panic and news...FX:XAUUSD stands still, traders doubt further actions. There are two days of important news ahead, which can provoke panic and profit-taking.... The market reacts weakly to the rather serious actions in the Middle East, the price is in consolidation without updating local extremes. The dollar is strengthening amid decreasing risks of a 0.5% cut in interest rates in November (the most likely scenario is 0.25%). A strong ADP employment report eased concerns about the state of the US labor market, supporting expectations of Friday's NFP. Ahead of the PMI from ISM and Initial Jobless Claims. Technically, the chart failed to give impetus from support, with the SMA acting as support. After a failed attempt, price came back and broke the conglomerate of support: the rising line, sma and 2650-2654. Can you feel traders getting nervous?) Resistance levels: 2650, SMA, 2656, 2663 Support levels: 2640, 2623, 2613, 2600 The trigger is 2640. If the buyers do not hold this area, the price may spill to the bottom of the range, as well as reach the imbalance zone. But, there may be high volatility before the news, within which the price may test the resistance before further downward correction. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
20
5x Potential Gains on STX From Here (Fibs, Channels & More)STX has been looking good and in a nice upward trending parallel channel since Dec 2022. Just trading that channel would have yielded some great returns, but we can also look to the Fibonacci retracement from the previous high to low, which we can see exactly forecast the next high as shown in the video. From there, we can run the Fib tool from the most recent high to low, which we seem to be coming out of in the ower edge of the bullish channel, giving us a $10 price target (5x). This coincides with the fractal I took from the last bullish pump to the previous high, and it looks like this is a viable path to $10, judging from the rounded bottoming pattern and the 50 day EMA turning higher. Let me know what you think of this video, leave a comment, and if I get 10 likes I'll try to do more of these weekly if not daily! More information is in my bio, and I'd love to hear your thoughts on this study 🚀
COINBASE:STXUSDLong
by BrettFogle
GOLD → Bulls are trying to hold their defenses above the SMAFX:XAUUSD is forming a sideways range, within which it strengthens to 2673 with subsequent retracement and retest of SMA 200 & 50. Buyers are trying to hold their defenses above this area with the aim of further growth.... The complicated situation in the Middle East continues to escalate, which keeps the gold price from falling amid the rising dollar. Any de-escalation of the conflict (Israel's inaction on Iran's measures) could increase selling pressure... Nevertheless, the US employment change data from ADP as well as the Fed's speech will be the next important events for the US dollar and the gold price. Any hints of interest rate cuts will be viewed favorably... Technically, emphasis on 2665 resistance - if the bulls can consolidate above this zone, gold could go for a retest of ATH. Also - emphasis on 2643. A break of the support will reinforce selling. This could take the price to 2625-2600. Resistance levels: 2665, 2673, 2685 Support levels: 2643, 2625, 2515 Bullish trend. Gold is not going to update the lows. The bulls are trying to consolidate above the SMA. Signs that the price is ready to grow. BUT, it is possible that unpredictable signs may appear in the market, which may lead to profit-taking and correction. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
14
GOLD → MA-200 False Breakdown. Will the growth continue?FX:XAUUSD is testing the support of 2625 forming a false break of SMA-200 as part of the correction. The range boundaries are confirmed and the market, after retesting the support, changes its target... Globally and locally the trend is bullish, this is facilitated by the situation in the Middle East, which is becoming more complicated every day.... In addition, US dollar buyers took a breather before the news, and US Treasury yields reversed the previous rise amid deteriorating risk sentiment, which limited the decline in the gold price. Traders await PMI from ISM, and JOLTS survey data, which could signal a further cooling of the US labor market Yesterday Powell said: - Fed in no rush to cut rates quickly, will be data-driven. If the economy is as expected, two more 0.25% cuts are possible. Accordingly, the course of interest rate cut st Support levels: 2643, 2634, 2624 Resistance levels: 2659, 2673, 2685 Gold still enjoys huge interest. Buyers are defending key support zones. A change of sentiment is forming and I would expect a continuation of the rise from the key support zones towards the zones of interest at the moment. The news may increase volatility and form a shakeout.... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
4
BITCOIN → False breakout of $ 65,000. What's next ↓ ?BINANCE:BTCUSD entered a strong buying zone (above 65K), but the bulls failed to realize the potential. The price returned in the channel boundaries, eliminating the positively-minded... A false breakout is forming relative to 65K. After the liquidation and strong impulse, a small correction is formed, directed to the imbalance zone. The retest may end with the bears holding the defense below 65K, in this case the price may start a gradual decline due to the lack of opportunity to break through 65K (in this case the all-time favorite pattern “Head and Shoulders” may form here). The focus is on the support 62745, below which an ogrom pool of liquidity is formed, if the price enters this zone, the market may spill down.... The global range of 65K - 55K is still relevant. It is not excluded that the resistance can be broken quickly, but for the moment the fight for 65K is still going on... Bears will be able to confirm their victory provided the price consolidates below 62800. Resistance levels: 65K, 66K Support levels: 62745, 61320 As the fight for 65K continues, the bulls may make another attempt on the background of the retest. If they will be able to consolidate above the 65-66K zone, the price will head to the global resistance - 68-69K, where a more serious, fierce struggle will develop... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
12
GOLD → Is it time for a correction? Retest of 2650 supportFX:XAUUSD is cooling down. Earlier the price updated local highs. Now the metal is testing 2650 as a support level. At the moment, the price is entering the panic zone, which may provoke profit-taking before Powell's speech. Technically the market is bullish, but after the formation of ATH 2685 the price is not ready to test and update these highs. The influence of the interest rate cut has cooled down and traders are starting to focus on the incoming actual data. But we should not forget about the situation in the Middle East. Chicago PMI and Powell's speech at 17:55 are ahead. Everything depends on his comments and the tone he will give to the markets. Based on the overall technical situation and technical overheating of the syuatation, we can assume that the price may extend the range and test the support at 2634-2623-2613 before the market returns to recovery. Resistance levels: 2660, 2675 Support levels: 2634, 2623 I am waiting for a correction with a possible retest of the key support zones. Most likely we should count on the confirmation of the range boundaries and the formation of a flat between 2600(2615) - 2685 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
12
USDJPY → No upside potential. Prepare to fall!FX:USDJPY is facing a sell-off at the end of last week, which proves that the currency pair is not ready to go up. The dollar still continues to prepare for a breakout of 100.0. The currency pair is not able to approach the local highs, however, after the reduction of interest rates in the U.S. Japan refrained from any economic decisions regarding this issue. The pressure on the dollar has a corresponding effect on the currency pair. At the moment the price is facing a strong support at 141.74, from which a small correction to the liquidity or imbalance zone may follow, but with a high probability (technical and fundamental nuances) we may see a continuation of the fall. Resistance levels: 143.25, 144.0, 145.18 Support levels: 141.74, 139.5 In the short term, I expect a slight pullback followed by a continuation of the fall, breakdown of the key support and price decline to 139.5-138 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:USDJPY ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
8