BITCOIN IN MONTHLY REJECTION, PRICE MAY REVERT TO ITS MEAN...With the monthly pin-bar created on BTCUSD, its price may revert to its mean.
N.B!
- BTCUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#ethusd
#crypto
#btcusd
Fractal
Will XRP Ever see sub $2 again? My thoughts inside.Will XRP Ever see sub $2 again❔️
Here is my current thoughts.🤔
📈 As we enter a new year and the close of a number of higher time frame candles it's easier to take a step back and look at the bigger picture.📉
There is no rush to act now.
One GOLD phrase I use a lot when trading is
🌟"Hurry Up & Wait"🌟 👌
Regarding XRP right now.
I do not know and it is ok to say so belive it or not.👍
It's easy to assume that after nearly 25 years of trading I should always have a trade on or know where the next one is. For me anyway that is not the case and for many other very successful traders I know that stands for them too.✅️
🟢 On the current 60min chart the 8 hour leg up that just took out my key high noted in my earlier chart yesterday will tell me where I want to be depending on the next leg, be it either the continuation or retracement/reversal created in the next 8 hours will give me a better picture.
ℹ️ However whilst price remains above 2.10 USD I do not want to take the short side of XRP.
POV : BLUESTARCO : Fractal BreakoutPOV : BLUESTARCO : Fractal Breakout
Chart Reading:
1. Price was stuck in 17 sessions of the 7th November day's Range.
2. Daily and Weekly Trends and Momentum are bullish.
3. Previous 2 Fractals (Double Top) breakout
For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice. Please consult a professional before making financial decisions.
#NiVYAMi
GALA 300% Next MovePrice is coiling up for the second half of this fractal pattern (Rally C) and I'm looking
at a bottom some time around February as the last pattern took off around the same time
The reason for this forecast to hit the Demand level again is because of the divergence move
seen on the Trend Reader, and the fractal pattern itself calls for a retest back to demand
Long term EMA is projecting flat readings for the future and this can also give us a signal for
price to slam back down.
Trend Reader
The Short Term Signal Line is racing back to the oversold zone and once the crossover takes effect we should see price shoot back up
Looking back at the Long Term Signal Line its projecting that long term momentum is dying off
and that after we hit this next high we can expect price to selloff like shown before with
the last divergence pattern.
Targets
7.7 Cents
13 Cents
16 Cents
XRP Ready to POP or FLOP? My entry bar maybe my exit too!
I shared my last short during the formation of this 240min bar (marked on the chart) and I have held onto both of my shorts however price hasn't tipped it's hand as of yet.
I don't like what I'm seeing here and being the last trading day of the year and having this position still in a very small profit I will be exiting my shorts just above break even and call it a year if price breaches the high of previous bar of my last short entry.
ℹ️ My XRP buy limits will remain in the market regardless of the outcome of my short plan.
🟢2025 I plan on sharing a lot more and helping out where and when I can.
🟢My children have all flown the nest now so I will have a bit more time to partake in discussion and answering questions when I can.
⭐️Have a great week and year⭐️
Remember Without A Plan It's Just Gambling👌
BTC 2025 I have plotted the yearly OHL. White line shows year open.
If you think BTC is bullish then you buy the year open and hold till EOY or hodl till your heart desires.
Alternatively you could gamble and wait for a dip below year open and buy then. Or perhaps you can wait till there's a dip below year open and then wait for a reclaim back on top of the year open level to start bidding.
Regardless I see a strong bull trend:
12 years of buy year open and hold till EOY = positive return
3 years of buy on year open and hold till EOY = negative return
2015 is an outlier but despite the heavy drawdown the year end gave a positive return.
The probabilities are very skewed and its pretty crazy how complicated we make the LTF analysis and forecasts where the simplest of strategies garners significant gains.
The years following a halving year (2013, 2017, 2021) all have a 100% hit rate of buy year open and hold till EOY. Those years offered a very positive return and marked the top of the "cycle" being followed by a down year.
My personal opinion is you either buy now or buy higher later. We might look back in a few years and lament on how we had so much time to buy sub 100k.
Alts see a similar pattern. The beginning of the year is crucial in determining what lies ahead.
XYO, possible fractal for more upward sugresThis one looks like a possible fractal appearing. The 3 lines denote very clear trend lines, which have been broken twice in previous instances. There are also two boxes that I've highlighted to show two possible fractals. Given the shape of the fractal, it could be on the cards again to play out for a third time taken into account the increased size of the fractal this time. Although, it could also be wave 3 having played out for the start of another impulse, but volume needs to pick up to confirm that. Worth keeping an eye, I wont be adding it to my portfolio. Follow for more.
TOTAL2/BTC Alts showing MAJOR WEAKNESS vs BTCAlts showing major weakness against BTC by Closing the Week in this trading region which will dump them another 15-20%
If BTC and Alts perform similar to last 2 cycles then Alts would have a 125 - 175% return above ₿itcoin
Notice the diminishing returns from each cycle 🧐
On a risk adjusted basis, the chart is suggesting that in future cycles it might just be better to be in BTC than Alts😲
CAN THIS DAILY BULLISH ENGULF DRIVE CABLE TO 1.27000?GBPUSD formed bullish engulf at support level. Is this sufficient to short-term reverse the pair towards 1.27000.
NOTE: CABLE remains a strong short trade.
N.B!
- GBPUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#gbpusd
#cable
SILVER HEAND-n-SHOULDERS FORMATION LIKELY TO DRIVE PRICE DOWN!With the completion of Head-n-Shoulders formation, silver price may further drop lower in coming days.
N.B!
- XAGUSD price might not follow the drawn lines . Actual price movements may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#silver
#xagusd
Is this time different? BTC displays Jan 2024 similarities.In the first week of January 2024, BTC saw a pullback of nearly 10% from the break of the ascending broadening wedge pattern. As we approach January 2025, we sit at a similar inflection point. A 10% drop would place BTC around 86k. While nothing says we have to break this pattern to the downside, the recent price action has been bouncing against the support of this wedge pattern, losing upside momentum each time. Certainly, it is a key area to watch moving into the new year. Speaking of which, Happy New Year to everyone watching this market unfold. I hope 2025 brings prosperity and joy to you all!
We start ALT Season now with 3 targets!Hello guys,
As you can see we have 3 targets🎯 green, blue, red,
which target we will reach?
It depends on the Fractal scenario on the right, So we will wait 2 clear trends,
each one has 3 tops and Clear correction between the up trends,,
Don't lose your positions and don't jump between currencies!
Also Don't burn your wallet with Future!
Spot is Enough!
Beautiful fractals of Bitcoin ends before ChristmasWhen we start counting the strong and memorable upward waves of Bitcoin from August's lowest price, where we saw a nice support reaction at $49,000, we witness one of the most beautiful phenomena in the financial markets on the chart. It's a stunning nested fractal that showcases a powerful five-wave upward movement, with the third wave standing out, and it itself has formed another self-similar five-wave fractal, for 4 times in a row!
I can't emphasize enough how beautiful this part of the market is. The power of the upward waves, the neat and appealing corrections, the Fibonacci levels that comply with Elliott's rules, and the stunning reactions to significant static and dynamic levels—all of this creates an incredible visual. I can share this section of the Bitcoin chart many times in my classes to help enthusiasts understand the nested nature of market waves and gain greater mastery and appreciation for the beauty of the financial market. I've even tried to create a minimal drawing of this phenomenon on the chart with my limited drawing skills.
Now, we see that all these fractals have closed at the price of $108,000, and there isn't an upward fractal that had started before touching the low at $49,000. The downward momentum from the $108,000 price indicates that we've completed a strong bullish period and are entering a new phase. The end of an upward movement doesn’t necessarily mean the beginning of a downturn, so I’m not setting any outlandish bearish targets. I always track the market step by step. This could be the start of a significant drop, or perhaps the price will range for a while. The recent movement, which has lasted about 135 days, suggests that this correction period won't end soon, and I don’t expect the historical peak to be broken until March 2025 at the earliest.
Based on fundamental analysis of the markets in the upcoming year, I believe we can agree that Bitcoin's upward movement may continue into next year. However, given the economic data and the Federal Reserve's cautious decisions to strengthen the dollar, we shouldn't expect this rise to happen rapidly. Bitcoin's fluctuations in the $90,000, $80,000, and maybe even $70,000 range can be good news for those who are still dollar-cost averaging.
By the way, I wish all market participants the best in the new year. Merry Christmas 🎄 and Happy new year! ✨✨✨✨
BABA repeating 2016?In December 2016, BABA was in a very similar situation it is now 8 years later. In 2016, BABA was cooling down after a large move in the fall and looked uncertain going into President Trump taking office. We are now in an almost identical situation, BABA is cooling down and in less than 30 days Trump will be taking office again. I took the fractal from 2016 and I think we can expect a large upside move in the next few months. I took July calls on BABA.