Gbpusdshort
GBP/USD Sells down towards a long opportunityThis pair is currently in a bearish trend, but I anticipate a potential reversal near a major demand zone around 1.23000. While we wait for price to reach this level, I'll be monitoring for a minor retracement back to the recently formed 4-hour supply zone.
Once the retracement occurs, I'll be looking for selling opportunities in line with the prevailing trend until price reaches the 3hr demand level. Upon reaching this level, I'll anticipate a liquidity sweep of the Asian low and a possible Wyckoff accumulation phase, expecting price to then rise.
Confluences for GU Sells are as follows:
- Price has been very bearish recently and confirms this via continuous break of structures.
- Good 4hr supply that has recently been created which also caused a BOS.
- Theres an imbalance below that needs to get filled as well as lots of liquidity to be taken.
- The overall trend of the market on the higher time frame is bearish as well.
- DXY also looking bullish as well and it's aligning very well with GU's Zones.
P.S. This demand zone is particularly strong because it aligns with a strengthening dollar entering a robust supply zone. This could lead to a significant drop in the dollar and consequently a rise in GU. However, given the overall bearish trend of GU, selling positions remain valid.
Have a good trading week!
GBPUSD I Forecast and trading plan Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
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GBPUSD $GBPUSD | 4H BREAKDOWN OR BREAKOUT? - Apr. 17th, 2024GBPUSD FX:GBPUSD | 4H BREAKDOWN OR BREAKOUT? - Apr. 17th, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): 1.25350 - 1.26215
Can be extended to: 1.24820 - 1.26215
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): 1.24260 - 1.25350
Can be reduced to: 1.24260 - 1.24820
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): 1.23000 - 1.24260
Weekly: Bearish
Daily: Bearish
4H: Bearish
FX:GBPUSD fell through the bottom of the previous bearish zone so I've decided to create a new chart. The 4H is currently developing a range, bulls should be looking for breakouts above the top levels of either 1.24820 or 1.25350, bears should be looking for breakdowns below the bottom level of 1.24260. TradingView is not allowing me to publish properly with multiple timeframes so I attached a small image of the weekly and daily timeframe views. The image is anchored and cannot be resized but it gives a small visual of what I was looking at.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
EDUCATIONAL/ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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gbpusd buyGBP/USD is the forex ticker that shows the value of the British Pound against the US Dollar. It tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a British Pound. The Pound-Dollar is one of the oldest and most widely traded currency pairs in the world. Follow the live GBP/USD rate with the chart and keep up to date with Pound-Dollar news and analysis. Plan your trades with the GBP/USD forecast and key pivot points data and support and resistance levels.
GBPUSD - Feb. 19th, 2024GBPUSD - Feb. 19th, 2024
By request.
BUY/LONG ZONE (not shown): Starts at 1.26250, adjustable to channel low.
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (not shown): 1.25910 - 1.25250, adjustable to channel levels.
SELL/SHORT ZONE (not shown): Starts at 1.25910, adjustable to channel high.
Weekly: Bullish
Daily: Bearish
4H: Bullish
1H: Bearish
Weekly: Bullish, bearish if there's a close below 1.25350.
Daily: Bearish, supporting structure & breakdown of zone but respect to level below.
4H: Bullish structure with ascending channel.
1H: Bearish but has respect to channel low.
I personally would not trade this at the moment but if I had to I'd go short just because high frame respect to zones and most recent low frame pushes. Keys here are the zone that the daily frame broke and respected and the channel drawn on the 4H. Bulls should want to see the channel respected into a breakout of the zone around 1.26250 - 1.26350. Bears should want a breakdown of the channel lower level or a rejection of the zone bottom at 1.26250 or a breakdown of structural lows at 1.25910.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
GBPUSD $GBPUSD - Mar. 12th, 2024GBPUSD FX:GBPUSD - Mar. 12th, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE: 1.27970 - 1.29425
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE: 1.27550 - 1.27970 (Extended area would be 1.26950 - 1.27970)
SELL/SHORT ZONE: 1.25355 - 1.26950 (Extended area would be 1.25355 - 1.27550)
Weekly: Bullish
Daily: Bullish
4H: Bearish
1H: Bearish
Previous bullish target is shown and for the visual I did extend it on the screen. The expanded DNT and bearish zones are shown for either later or earlier entries, just depends on how the lower timeframe structure develops. Some lower timeframe levels and zones are drawn in a lighter blue for some reference areas on when to enter.
There is no indication on the weekly and daily timeframe other than current momentum that the price is going to turn bearish.
Dropping down to the 4H timeframe: structure has turned bearish and has broken down through the zone that was used to determine the bullish zone.
Dropping down to the 1H timeframe: price has created clear bearish structure and is currently holding, with a retest of the previous low, now the current structural lower high.
Bears can enter as soon as 1.27550 or wait for a later entry around 1.26950, both are displayed on the chart.
Bulls should wait for structural reversals to develop on the 1H/4H timeframes and/or for price to break back above 1.27970.
trend analysis, technical indicators, support and resistance, gbpusd, gbpusdlong, gbpusdshort, gbpusdanalysis, gbpusdtrend, trendtrading, pounddollar, gu, gulong, gushort, forex, fx, FX:GBPUSD
GBPUSD: Bearish Momentum Persists, Targeting Daily Sell StopsCurrently, GBPUSD demonstrates a persistent inclination towards the sell side, targeting the Daily sell stops . Having interacted with an m15 order block, a liquidity void has been filled. Now, a potential retest of the order block is underway, with price currently trading within a rejection block. This setup may serve as confirmation for further selling activity.
Alternatively, if this scenario fails to materialize, selling against the m15 Buy Stops becomes a viable strategy, awaiting confirmation for entry.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
GBP USD chartGBP/USD declined toward 1.2450 in the American session and erased a large portion of its daily recovery gains. The USD continues to outperform its rivals following the better-than-forecast data and doesn't allow the pair to preserve its recovery momentum.
Bears have pushed the pair back to the bottom of the monthly descending channel, at 1.2440, which is being tested at the moment. Last Friday’s low is right below there, at 1.2430. A clear break of that support area clears the path towards 1.2370. Further down there is no support until 1.2220.
On the upside 1.2505 level should be cleared to advance towards 1.2565, where an unmitigated order block may provide a fresh boost for bears
GBP USD confirm signal
GBPUSD Analysis (Read The Caption) 🎯🎯GBPUSD price trend to continue buy during session
It is expected that price will continue up trend
And approach the price range of 1.24273
GBPUSD price now 1.24273
TP1: 1.25270
TP2: 1.26281
TP3: 1.27196
Target zone 1.28000
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GBPUSD - Short Trade Forecast 💡Hello Traders!
The current market structure on the daily timeframe indicates a bearish trend, suggesting a potential for short positions. I anticipate the price will extend its retracement upwards to address the existing imbalance.
My strategy involves waiting for the price to reach and then rejecting the bearish order block, particularly around the institutional midpoint of 1.26500.
GBPUSD - Scenario for a sell ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GBPUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I wait price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block + institutional mid figure 1.26500.
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GBP/USD Analysis and Forecast Post-US CPIAs the GBP/USD pair continues its sideways movement, investors eagerly await the release of the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for March. The outcome of this crucial economic indicator will undoubtedly influence market sentiments and provide insights into the Federal Reserve's potential actions regarding interest rates. However, amid this anticipation, it's imperative for traders to formulate strategies to navigate the landscape effectively.
The current sideways movement of the GBP/USD pair, coupled with its reaction to key levels such as the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and the presence of a bearish channel, underscores the importance of a comprehensive approach to trading. While technical analysis provides valuable insights into price action, it's equally essential to consider fundamental factors that could impact market dynamics.
The slight improvement in the appeal for the Pound Sterling, driven by optimistic projections for the UK economy, adds another layer of complexity to the trading equation. The forecasts of modest growth, despite lingering geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions, highlight the resilience of the UK economy. However, it's essential to monitor upcoming economic releases, particularly the UK monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and factory data for February, to gauge the economy's trajectory accurately.
Looking ahead, traders should prepare for potential market volatility following the release of the US CPI data. A higher-than-expected inflation figure could fuel speculation about an earlier-than-anticipated interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve, potentially strengthening the US dollar against its counterparts, including the British pound. Conversely, a lower-than-expected CPI reading may prompt a reversal in market expectations, exerting downward pressure on the dollar and supporting the GBP/USD pair.
In response to these potential scenarios, traders may consider adopting a balanced approach that incorporates both technical and fundamental analysis. Establishing clear entry and exit points based on key support and resistance levels, while also monitoring economic developments and central bank statements, can help mitigate risks and capitalize on trading opportunities.
Furthermore, maintaining discipline and adhering to risk management principles are paramount in navigating the post-CPI market environment. Emotions can run high during periods of heightened volatility, leading to impulsive decision-making and potential losses. By maintaining a composed and rational mindset, traders can better execute their trading strategies and safeguard their capital.
In conclusion, the upcoming release of the US CPI data presents both challenges and opportunities for GBP/USD traders. By leveraging a comprehensive approach that integrates technical analysis, fundamental insights, and prudent risk management practices, traders can navigate the market dynamics effectively and capitalize on potential market movements. As always, staying informed, adaptable, and disciplined remains key to success in the ever-evolving forex market landscape.
GBPUSD Analysis (12th April 2024)
Market Analysis PT1/2 (12th April 2024)
GBPUSD Analysis
On the Weekly timeframe, price action yesterday took out the weekly low and retraced extremely hard. This shows that the weekly low that broke was more of a liquidity sweep, not a proper break of the low.
On the 1 hour timeframe, i would like to see the 1 hour Fair Value Gap get tested. Once tested there are 2 scenarios that could play out.
1) Price rejects of the FVG, and creates a bearish Change of Character. This would created bearish confirmation for me to continue going short on this pair.
2) price breaks past the FVG with a body candle close above the FVG. In this scenario, i will be waiting to see how the candle playout to capitalise on longs to potentially play the pullback, retracing the move from CPI.
GBPUSD trading sequence is lower highs and lows.GBPUSD - 24h expiry
The medium term bias remains bearish.
Trading within a Bearish Channel formation.
The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
Bespoke resistance is located at 1.2615.
We look to Sell at 1.2615 (stop at 1.2655)
Our profit targets will be 1.2515 and 1.2480
Resistance: 1.2615 / 1.2665 / 1.2700
Support: 1.2515 / 1.2480 / 1.2445
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The GBP didn't short itself. If one would have checked the recent flightlogs of the GBP performance he might have been astounded what he would discover:
GBP emerges from the first trading week of the year as the strongest currency and the signs look great for a further rally of the pound:
🟢GBP Positive:🟢
- 🟢 The PMIs in the UK have recently surprised on the upside and so there is light at the end of the tunnel, in contrast to the European counterpart, which has only surprised with more and more negative PMIs
- 🟢 Although wage pressure is falling, it remains high by international standards
- 🟢 There are signs of a recovery in both retail sales and GDP for 2024
- 📊🇬🇧 Inflation will fall quickly and reach 2% mark as early as Q2 2024🟢
- 🟢 That said given the better economic performance it is doubtful whether the BOE will actually cut interest rates as early as its sister from the ECB
-> 🟢 I think May would be a realistic scenario for a 1st rate cut by the BOE ✅️
But as every story that sounds to good to be true, the longterm outlook brings some serious concerns for the so far marvellous UK dream story:
🔴GBP Negative:🔴
- 🔴GDP was recently significantly weaker (-0.3) than expected (0.0)
- 🔴Industrial production also surprised negatively in relation to expectations at 0.4
- 🔴However, the significantly weaker labour data recently, in which bonus payments in particular surprised to the downside and raised one question in particular, weighs even more heavily and will bring much more rate cuts forward than the BOE and the market are expecting right now.
Conclusion:
The outlook for the pound is starting to brighten, but overall the negative factors are likely to outweigh against the USD in the longterm and so I see a promising opportunity to short the GBPUSD (after another rally) from way above.
The 1.32 - 1.33 zone would be ideal.
(For everyone who made it this far I have an extra for you:
A small quiz in the comments ;)
If someone wants to buy the GBP now, a long trade in GBPCHF is a good idea, which I explain in my following trade idea here:
GBP USD Sell Confirm GBP/USD is the forex ticker that shows the value of the British Pound against the US Dollar. It tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a British Pound. The Pound-Dollar is one of the oldest and most widely traded currency pairs in the world. Follow the live GBP/USD rate with the chart and keep up to date with Pound-Dollar news and analysis. Plan your trades with the GBP/USD forecast and key pivot points data and support and resistance levels.
GBP/USD reverses its recent uptrend and accelerates its losses to the key 1.2600 level on the back of increased buying pressure in the US Dollar.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart stays above 60, reflecting the bullish bias. More importantly, GBP/USD closed above 1.2660 on Tuesday, where the 20-day, 50-day and the 100-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) converge.
Confirm GBP USD signal
Gbpusd shortGBP/USD is the forex ticker that shows the value of the British Pound against the US Dollar. It tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a British Pound. The Pound-Dollar is one of the oldest and most widely traded currency pairs in the world. Follow the live GBP/USD rate with the chart and keep up to date with Pound-Dollar news and analysis. Plan your trades with the GBP/USD forecast and key pivot points data and support and resistance levels.
GBP/USD edged lower in the early American session but managed to hold above 1.2650. The negative shift seen in risk mood, as reflected by falling US stocks, makes it difficult for the pair to stretch higher.
The USD risk is skewed to the upside, as recent US data has endorsed a “no landing” scenario, that would be confirmed in case of another upside surprise on inflation. Recent hints on wage growth and industrial prices are pointing to resilient inflation.
The technical picture shows the Pound under an increasing momentum, although the failure to confirm above the 1.6680-1.6700 area leaves the broader bearish trend intact. On the downside, supports are 1.6575 and 1.6535.