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Inflation

SPX to dump 30% - 50% for Inflated Expectations in 2026I like to say the narrative follows the price . This was bound to happen after such an overheated year, couple years. Blame whomever you want, in the end its your wallet if you aren't ready to have your expectations met. Best case scenario, the breakout of macro is confirmed after the retest (blue arrows). Worst, more likely case, it smashes down to confirm a double bottom with a strong foundation to form a macro support. The sawtooth can provide opportunities for volatile scalps, but its gonna get gnarly I can already tell.
SP:SPXShort
by D4NKM4CH1N3
EURUSD PoVIn recent months, inflation data in both Europe and the United States has shown contrasting trends, creating an uncertain outlook for the EUR/USD pair. In Europe, inflation has remained relatively stable, but with signs of a slight increase, while in the United States, there has been a more pronounced rise in consumer prices. This scenario has prompted the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve to carefully assess their respective monetary policies, with potential interest rate hikes in the future. At the same time, recent trade policies under U.S. President Donald Trump have added further volatility to the currency market. In February 2025, Trump imposed significant tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada, and China, raising global concerns. The European Union criticized the Trump administration for not engaging in negotiations to avoid such tariffs, increasing trade tensions. Trump's actions, including the introduction of a universal 10% tariff on all imports and a 100% tariff on cars produced abroad, have raised questions about their effectiveness in strengthening the U.S. economy and reducing the trade deficit. If these policies do not produce the expected results, we could see the dollar weaken, with the EUR/USD pair potentially surpassing the 1.09300 level, a liquidity intersection point. On the other hand, if Trump's measures prove effective in improving the trade balance and supporting the economy, the dollar could strengthen, pushing the EUR/USD pair towards parity. In summary, the future direction of the EUR/USD pair appears uncertain, influenced by central bank policies and U.S. trade strategies, with potential significant movements depending on the effectiveness of these measures.
by Generazione_X
BTC PoV The projection of a potential rise in Bitcoin (BTC) starting from liquidity points at 75K, 65K, and 57K suggests a recovery dynamic from a bearish phase. If BTC were to rise above the 75,000 USD level, it could trigger a significant bullish push, as this is an important resistance level that, once broken, would open the way for new highs. This would mark the end of a correction and the resumption of the bullish trend. On the other hand, if the price were to drop to 65,000 USD, this level could represent an accumulation opportunity, with a potential recovery from this zone, confirmed by an upward movement. In a worse-case scenario, if BTC were to fall to 57,000 USD, it would be a key support level, a zone where the market could attempt a rebound. If the buyers' response were positive, BTC could find the strength to rise again and resume its bullish trend. Essentially, the liquidity points at 75K, 65K, and 57K are critical levels in determining the future direction of BTC, with a potential recovery depending on the market’s reaction to these supports and resistances. In parallel, a potential recession in the United States could directly impact the value of the dollar, with significant implications for Bitcoin. During a recession, the Federal Reserve's monetary policies could become more accommodative, with interest rate cuts to stimulate the economy. This increased liquidity could drive investors toward assets like BTC, as Bitcoin is seen by many as a hedge against inflation and the depreciation of the dollar. If the recession were to weaken the dollar, BTC could benefit from increased demand for cryptocurrencies as an alternative to the traditional monetary system. However, if the Fed were to counter the recession with policies that strengthen the dollar, possibly to attract foreign investments, the price of BTC could suffer, as a stronger dollar might reduce Bitcoin's appeal as a safe-haven asset. In conclusion, BTC's future direction depends not only on its technical levels but also on global economic policies and macroeconomic dynamics, which could favor a BTC rally if the recession weakens the dollar, or slow its growth if the dollar maintains strength.
VANTAGE:BTCUSDLong
by Generazione_X
$CNIRYY - China's CPI DefelationaryECONOMICS:CNIRYY -0.7% (February/2025) source: National Bureau of Statistics of China - China's consumer prices dropped by 0.7% yoy in February 2025, surpassing market estimates of a 0.5% decline and reversing a 0.5% rise in the prior month. This was the first consumer deflation since January 2024, amid fading seasonal demand following the Spring Festival in late January. Food prices fell the most in 13 months (-3.3% vs 0.4% in January), dragged by a steep decrease in cost of fresh vegetables (-12.6% vs 2.4%) and a sharp slowdown in pork prices (4.1% vs 13.8%). Meanwhile, non-food prices edged lower (-0.1% vs 0.5%), as increases in housing (0.1% vs 0.1%) and healthcare (0.2% vs 0.7%) were offset by declines in education (-0.5% vs 1.7%) and transport (-2.5% vs -0.6%). Core inflation, excluding volatile food and fuel prices, fell 0.1% in February, in contrast to a 0.6% rise in January. Monthly, the CPI fell 0.2%, shifting from January's 11-month top of a 0.7% rise and marking the first drop since last November. This fall was also steeper than consensus of a 0.1% decrease.
ECONOMICS:CNIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
Treasury Secretary Bessent: Make Iran broke again Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, speaking at the Economic Club of New York, said the U.S. is enforcing sanctions on Iran for “immediate maximum impact,” warning that Iranians should move their money out of the rial. The goal is to cut Iran’s oil exports from 1.5 million barrels per day to near zero. His comments came as oil prices fell to multiyear lows on Wednesday, driven by concerns that tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China could slow economic growth and weaken crude demand. Following Bessent’s remarks, both U.S. crude and Brent prices turned positive, with JP Morgan analysts noting that a decline in Iranian supply is currently the only bullish factor for oil prices. Bessent also signaled that the administration is prepared to impose full-scale sanctions on Russian energy if it helps lead to a ceasefire in Ukraine. This is a welcome shift from the Trump administration, who so far has only been pressuring the victim of the war rather than the perpetrator.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by BlackBull_Markets
EUR/USD soars as eurozone CPI higher than expectedThe euro has charged out of the gates and posted strong gains on Monday.  In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0484, up 1.06%.  With today's sharp gains, the euro has ended a three-day slide. Inflation in the eurozone eased to 2.4% y/y in February, down from 2.5% in January but above the market estimate of 2.3%.  Monthly, inflation jumped 0.5%, the fastest pace since April 2024 and after a January decline of 0.3%.  It was the same story for core CPI, which slowed to 2.6% y/y, down from 2.7% in January but above the market estimate of 2.5%. Investors focused on the fact that CPI was higher than expected and on the hot monthly CPI figure.  As a result, the euro has soared as the European Central Bank could delay rate-cut plans with inflation surprising on the upside.  The ECB is also concerned about sticky services inflation, which fell from 3.9% to 3.7% but remains much higher than the inflation target of 2%. The ECB lowered rates in January and meets next on March 6. There is little doubt that the ECB will trim rates by a quarter-point but after that the rate path is unclear.  The eurozone economy is sluggish and hasn't shown much response to the five rate cuts from the ECB since it started its easing cycle last June.  The economy could use additional rate cuts but the ECB remains concerned about the upward risk of inflation and today's CPI report hasn't put those worries to rest. Europe's manufacturing sector is stuck in the doldrums, with contractions in Germany, Italy, France and even Spain, which has been the eurozone's bright spot.  Still, there is some optimism among manufacturers, as Germany quickly formed a government and there is the possibility of an end to the war in Ukraine. EUR/USD is testing resistance at 1.0483.  Above, there is resistance at 1.0590 1.0421 and 1.0314 are the next support lines
by OANDA
Can Brazil’s Bonds Defy Global Chaos?In an era of escalating trade tensions and economic uncertainty, Brazil’s financial markets offer a compelling enigma for the astute investor. As of March 3, 2025, with the USD/BRL exchange rate at 1 USD = 5.87 BRL, the Brazilian real has shown resilience, appreciating from 6.2 to 5.8 this year. This strength, intriguingly tied to a bond market boasting 10-year yields near 15%, prompts a deeper question: could Brazil emerge as an unexpected sanctuary amid global turmoil? This exploration unveils a landscape where high yields and domestic focus challenge conventional investment wisdom. Brazil’s bond market operates as an idiosyncratic force with yields dwarfing those of peers like Chile (5.94%) and Mexico (9.49%). Driven by local dynamics—fiscal policy, inflation, and a central bank unbound by global rate cycles—it has seen yields ease from 16% to 14.6% year-to-date, signaling stabilization. This shift correlates with the real’s rise, suggesting a potent inverse relationship: as yields moderate, confidence grows, bolstering the currency. For the inquisitive mind, this interplay invites a reevaluation of risk and reward in a world where traditional havens falter. Yet, the global stage adds layers of complexity. U.S.-China trade tensions, while not directly targeting Brazil, ripple through its economy—offering trade diversion benefits like increased soybean exports to China, yet threatening slowdowns that could dim growth. With China as its top trade partner and the U.S. second, Brazil straddles opportunity and vulnerability. Investors must ponder: can its bond market’s allure withstand these crosswinds, or will global forces unravel its promise? The answer lies in decoding this delicate balance, a challenge that inspires curiosity and strategic daring.
Long
by UDIS_View
$USPCEPIMC -U.S Price Index (January/2025)ECONOMICS:USPCEPIMC 0.3% (January/2025) source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis - The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index increased by 0.3% month-over-month in January 2025, the same pace as in December, and in line with expectations. Prices for goods increased 0.5%, following a 0.1% rise in December and prices for services rose at a slower 0.2%, after a 0.4% gain in the previous month. Meanwhile, the core PCE index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.3%, slightly above the 0.2% gain recorded in the previous month, and also matching forecasts. Food prices went up 0.3%, higher than 0.2% in December while cost of energy eased (1.3% vs 2.4%). On a year-over-year basis, headline PCE inflation eased to 2.5% from 2.6%, marking its first slowdown in four months. Similarly, core PCE inflation declined to 2.6%, its lowest level in seven months, from an upwardly revised 2.9%.
ECONOMICS:USPCEPIMC
by Mr_J__fx
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 28, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: At the beginning of the week, Bitcoin was observed trading at a lower level, close to the Mean Support level of 95700. It could not reach our predetermined Mean Resistance level marked at 98300, which can be attributed to a substantial decline that occurred, resulting in the completion of our Outer Coin Dip between 89000 and 78700. Following this decline, Bitcoin experienced a robust rebound to the Mean Resistance level of 86200. This upward trend indicates the potential for higher prices as it will target Mean Resistance levels at 89200 and 92600, respectively. However, a retest of the Key Support level at 79000 must occur before further upward movement may take place.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
1
LONG ON GOLDGold has fell almost $100 or 1000 pips since Monday from its high. Its currently at a major demand level that was created 2/7/25 that caused it to rise $100 points to 2/24//25. History from 2/7/25 looks like it will be repeating itself. Dollar (DXY) looks bearish and PCE news comes out at 8:30 for Inflation which I believe will come out bad causing the dollar to tank and gold as well as the indices to rise. I will be buying gold looking to catch that $100 move or 1000pips. See you at the Top! OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BBIDF
2
Japanese yen declines as Tokyo Core CPI easesThe Japanese yen has extended its losses on Friday.  In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 150.39, up 0.40% on the day. After a string of releases that pointed to an upswing in inflation, Tokyo core CPI for February reversed the trend on Friday.  Japan's CPI, PPI and the Bank of Japan Core CPI all accelerated in the most recent releases but Tokyo Core CPI surprised to the downside, with a gain of 2.2% y/y.  This was down from 2.5% in January and below the market estimate of 2.3%. The soft Tokyo Core CPI reading is unlikely to raise many eyebrows at the Bank of Japan. The index remained above the BoJ's 2% target for a fourth consecutive month and Bank policymakers are expected to remain hawkish about monetary policy.  The BoJ raised rates in January and also revised its inflation forecasts upwards, a signal that further rate hikes are on the table. The markets are expecting the BoJ to continue tightening and this has been resulted in higher yields for Japanese government bonds, which hit a 15-year high earlier this month. Governor Kazuo Ueda responded to the sharp rise in bond yields with a warning that the central bank stood ready to intervene in the bond markets. Ueda's threat appears to have worked as bond yields have retreated slightly. The US wraps up the week with core PCE inflation, the Fed's peferred inflation gauge. The market estimates for January stand at 2.6% y/y (vs. 2.8% in December) and 0.2% m/m (vs. 0.3% in December). This would still be above the Federal Reserve's target of 2%. The Fed is not expected to lower rates before May, barring an unexpected surprise from inflation or employment data. USD/JPY tested resistance at 150.39 earlier.  Above, there is resistance at 150.98 There is support at 149.57 and 148.98
by OANDA
What Lies Beneath Chevron's Venezuelan Exit?In a striking geopolitical maneuver, the Trump administration has revoked Chevron's license to operate in Venezuela, effective March 1. This decision marks a sharp departure from the Biden-era policy, which had conditionally allowed Chevron’s operations to encourage free elections in the beleaguered nation. Beyond punishing Venezuela for unmet democratic benchmarks, the move reflects a broader U.S. strategy to bolster domestic oil production and lessen dependence on foreign energy sources. Chevron, a titan with over a century of history in Venezuela, now faces the unraveling of a vital revenue stream, prompting us to ponder the delicate dance between corporate ambition and national agendas. The ripple effects for Venezuela are profound and perilous. Chevron accounted for nearly a quarter of the country’s oil production, and its exit is forecast to slash Venezuela’s revenue by $4 billion by 2026. This economic blow threatens to rekindle inflation and destabilize a nation already teetering on the edge of recovery, exposing the intricate ties between U.S. corporate presence and sanctioned states. For Chevron, the revocation transforms a once-lucrative asset into a geopolitical liability, thrusting the company into a high-stakes test of resilience. This clash of interests challenges us to consider the true cost of operating in the shadow of political volatility. On the global stage, this decision reverberates through energy markets and diplomatic corridors. Oil prices have already twitched in response, hinting at tighter supplies. At the same time, the fate of other foreign firms in Venezuela hangs in the balance, shadowed by the looming threat of secondary sanctions. As the U.S. sharpens its confrontational edge, the energy landscape braces for transformation, with consequences for geopolitical alliances and energy security worldwide. Is Chevron’s departure merely a pawn in a broader strategic game, or does it herald a seismic shift in global power dynamics? The answer may redefine the boundaries of energy and influence in the years ahead.
NYSE:CVXShort
by UDIS_View
Swiss franc dips as Swiss GDP declinesThe Swiss franc is down for a second straight trading day.  In the European session, USD/CHF is trading at 0.8980, up 0.38% on the day. The Swiss economy slowed to 0.2% q/q in the fourth quarter of 2024, down from 0.4% in Q3 and in line with expectations.  This was the weakest expansion since Q2 2023.  Construction weakened in the fourth quarter but manufacturing and exports rebounded from the previous quarter.  Annualized, GDP rose 1.5%, down from 1.9% in Q3, the softest expansion in three quarters. The weak GDP data supports the case for the Swiss National Bank to lower interest rates.  The central bank is in the midst of an easing cycle and showed its aggressive side in December when it chopped rates by 50 basis points, bringing the cash rate to 0.50%. The SNB only meets on a quarterly basis, magnifying the importance of each meeting.  The next meeting is on March 20 and the markets have priced in a 25-bps cut at close to 100%.  There are two key factors that Bank policymakers will be looking ahead of a rate decision - inflation levels and the exchange rate. Inflation has fallen by 0.1% for four consecutive months and is putting pressure on the SNB to continue lowering rates.  The next inflation report is on March 5 and another soft report would cement a rate cut at next month's meeting.  The SNB also uses monetary policy to ensure that the Swiss franc is not too strong, which would hurt the export sector. The US releases second-estimate GDP for the fourth quarter of 2024 later today. The initial estimate came in at 2.3%, down from 3.2% in the third quarter. The US economy remains strong and inflation has been largely contained. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates this year only once or twice, unless the economic data does not evolve as expected. USD/CHF is testing resistance at 0.8992.  Above, there is resistance at 0.9018 0.8969 and 0.8943 are providing support
by OANDA
USDJPY - Longterm viewHere is our in-depth view and update on USDJPY . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels . Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at USDJPY from a bigger perspective. For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame . USDJPY is currently trading at around 149.000s . We are still extremely bearish on FX:USDJPY since our last longterm analysis was completed: Scenario 1: SELLS from 148.200 -We broke below the downtrend channel. With the break of the downtrend channel we can expect more sells to come and we should continue the bearish trend on USDJPY slowly digging into lower levels potentially reaching our target of 145.000. Scenario 2: SELLS from 151.250 -We above the downtrend channel - 149.900. If we above our downtrend channel we can expect some short-term buys up to our main Key Level or PBA (Pullback Area) from where we can look to enter into the long-term sells. IMPORTANT KEY LEVELS: - 151.250; possible pullback area - 148.200; breaks below confirming lower levels - 145.000; longterm target (prices from Aug-Sep 2024) Personal opinion: We are currently trading in a downtrend channel and we are expecting more sells to come throughout the next weeks. We do have to be careful as TVC:DXY and TVC:JXY might experience some volatility tomorrow due to the following news: JXY: Tokyo Core CPI y/y DXY: Core PCE Price Index m/m KEY NOTES - USDJPY breaking above 149.900 would result in higher pullbacks. - USDJPY breaking below 148.200 (below the downtrend channel) would confirm sells. - USDJPY is overall extremely bearish. Happy trading! FxPocket
Short
by FxPocket
1
JOURNAL FOR MGC1!Today I placed two trades on MGC1! my first entry was a sell scalp which was strictly a technical entry and the second was the buy back up because it goes with the bias of gold being bullish, and inflation fears, so for each trade Ive wait on a area of consolidation (order block) then wait on a break out in this case after that impulsive move to the downside on gold I waited for an area of support to form with rejections of pushing lower at this point an order block should start forming, I tend to get a better structure of an order block forming on the 5min, once a bullish engulfing to print above the last high then I take the trade, today I had no draw down my entry was precise!
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by FuturesBaddie
BoJ Core CPI climbs to 2.2%, yen declinesThe Japanese yen is slightly lower on Wednesday.  In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 149.25, up 0.16% on the day. What is the best performing G-10 currency against the US dollar this year?  Surprisingly, the Japanese yen is the winner, with gains of about 5% against the greenback.  This is a remarkable turnaround from 2024, when the yen plunged 11.4% against the US dollar and sank to its lowest level in 38 years. The yen's newfound strength is largely due to expectations that the Bank of Japan will continue to raise interest rates this year, unlike the other major central banks that have been lowering rates.  The BoJ has been raising rates slowly but with inflation indicators moving upwards, even the cagey BOJ has signaled that it will continue to raise rates. Japan's CPI hit 3.2% in January, a 19-month high, and this week's January inflation numbers are also pointing upward.  The producer price index jumped to 3.1%, up from 2.9% in December.  BoJ Core CPI climbed to 2.2% in January, up from 1.9% in December and its third consecutive acceleration.  Next up is Tokyo Core CPI on Friday. In the US, consumer confidence shocked with an unexpectedly weak report.  The Conference Board consumer confidence index slipped to 98.3 in January, well below the revised December reading of 105.3 and shy of the market estimate of 102.5.  The seven-point drop was the sharpest month-to-month decline since August 2021.  The report found that more consumers are expecting a recession.  Retail sales fell 0.9% m/m in December, the biggest decline in a year.  If consumer data continues to deteriorate, the Federal Reserve will have to consider accelerating the pace of rate cuts. USD/JPY is testing resistance at 149.30.  Above, there is resistance at 150.03 There is support at 148.30 and 147.57
by OANDA
Australian dollar awaiting inflation dataThe Australian dollar is steady after two straight losing trading days.  In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6343, down 0.09% on the day. Australia releases the consumer price index for January on Wednesday. Inflation has been moving higher, as CPI accelerated in December to 2.5% y/y, up from 2.3% and its highest level since August.  The market estimate for January stands at 2.6%. Inflation remains within the Reserve Bank of Australia's target band of 2%-3% but the central bank remains concerned about upside risks to inflation.  The RBA finally lowered rates last week after maintaining rates for over a year and joined most of the major central banks which are in the midst of an easing cycle.  The RBA delivered a "hawkish cut" as the central bank stated it "remains cautious" on the possibility of further cuts and the markets aren't expecting a rate cut before May. The latest headache for RBA policymakers is the Trump administration which has hit China with tariffs and threatened to apply tariffs to other trading partners.  This could lead to another trade war with China which would likely raise inflation and hurt China's economy.  China is Australia's largest trading partner and a slowdown in China would hurt Australia's key export sector. The US releases the Conference Board consumer confidence index later today. The market estimate stands at 102.5 for January, down from 104.1 in December. The US consumer is spending, as retail sales for December rose 0.4% m/m and 5.5% annualized from November. The labor market is strong, wages are outpacing inflation and the economy is humming. This rosy picture means that the Federal Reserve isn't under pressure to lower rates and the markets aren't expecting another rate cut before June. AUD/USD tested support at 0.6331 earlier.  Below, there is support at 0.6314 0.6362 and 0.6379 are the next resistance lines
by OANDA
$US30 DOW JONES—STEADY AMID THE STORMDOW JONES—STEADY AMID THE STORM (1/9) Good morning, Tradingview! The Dow Jones is the cool-headed cousin—less wild than Nasdaq’s growth party 📈🔥. Blue-chip stability shines, even as inflation bites—let’s unpack it! 🚀 (2/9) – WHY SO CALM? • Makeup: 30 big, steady names—Walmart, Goldman 💥 • Price-Weighted: High flyers lead, not tech zingers 📊 • Edge: Less sway from growth stock swings Dow’s the tortoise—slow and steady wins? (3/9) – RECENT VIBES • Feb 22: 1.7% dip—support at 43,400 holds 🌍 • VIX: Stays chill—Nasdaq would’ve freaked 🚗 • CPI Hit: 400-point drop, 300 back—meh 🌟 Stability’s the Dow’s secret sauce! (4/9) – SECTOR SNAP • Vs. Nasdaq: Tech’s jittery—Dow’s diversified 📈 • Volatility: ~15-20% vs. Nasdaq’s 25-30% • Champs: Blue-chips buffer the chaos Steadier ship—less Nasdaq nuttiness! 🌍 (5/9) – INFLATION RIPPLES • CPI Spike: 3% YoY—400-point jolt ⚠️ • Fed: No rush to cut—rates sting 🏛️ • X Buzz: Tariffs, inflation spook recovery 📉 Even the Dow feels the heat—but shrugs! (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS • Stability: Blue-chip backbone holds firm 🌟 • Dividends: Cash flows steady the ship 🔍 • Mix: Less tech tantrums—broad base 🚦 Dow’s the rock in choppy waters! (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES • Weaknesses: Inflation nicks costs—ouch 💸 • Opportunities: Safety shines if tech flops 🌍 Can Dow dodge the inflation blues? (8/9) – Dow’s steady play—what’s your vibe? 1️⃣ Bullish—Stability’s golden. 2️⃣ Neutral—Holds, but inflation looms. 3️⃣ Bearish—Growth wins anyway. Vote below! 🗳️👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY Dow’s less jittery—blue-chips cushion the storm 🌍🪙. Inflation’s a nag, but stability rules. Rock or relic?
ICMARKETS:US30Long
by DCAChampion
Market Alert: Potential Downside Ahead! The S&P 500 (SPX) just closed with a strong bearish candle, dropping -104 points (-1.71%), signaling a possible shift in momentum. The index is now testing a key support level near 6,000, and if this level breaks, we could see a sharper pullback. 📉 What’s Happening in the Market? 1️⃣ Rising Interest Rate Concerns – The Federal Reserve remains cautious about inflation, and recent economic data suggests they may keep rates higher for longer. This puts pressure on equities, especially high-growth stocks. 2️⃣ Earnings Season Uncertainty – Many companies are reporting mixed earnings, with some missing expectations. Weak guidance from major corporations could fuel more downside. 3️⃣ Geopolitical Tensions & Market Volatility – Ongoing global uncertainties, such as geopolitical conflicts and supply chain disruptions, are adding risk-off sentiment to the market. 4️⃣ Technical Breakdown Risks – The SPX is currently sitting near critical support at 6,000. If this level fails, we could see further selling pressure toward 5,920 - 5,880 and possibly as low as 5,773. 🔥 What to Watch Next? ✅ Can the market hold 6,000 and bounce? Or will sellers push prices lower? ✅ Watch for reactions around 6,068 - 6,100—if the index struggles here, more downside is likely. ✅ Increased volatility means risk management is key—stay cautious, and don’t chase trades! ⚠️ Bottom Line: The market is at a turning point. If downside momentum continues, we could see a bigger correction. Stay alert and manage risk accordingly!
SP:SPX
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
$JPIRYY -Japan's Inflation Rate (CPI)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY 4% (January/2025) source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications - The annual inflation rate in Japan climbed to 4.0% in January 2025 from 3.6% in the prior month, marking the highest reading since January 2023. Food prices rose at the steepest pace in 15 months (7.8% vs 6.4% in December), with fresh vegetables and fresh food contributing the most to the upturn. Further, electricity prices (18.0% vs 18.7%) and gas cost (6.8% vs 7.8%) remained elevated with the absence of energy subsidies since May 2024. Additional upward pressure also came from housing (0.8% vs 0.8%), clothing (2.8% vs 2.9%), transport (2.0% vs 1.1%), furniture and household items (3.4% vs 3.0%), healthcare (1.8% vs 1.7%), recreation (2.6% vs 4.0%), and miscellaneous items (1.4% vs 1.1%). In contrast, prices continued to fall for communication (-0.3% vs -2.1%) and education (-1.1% vs -1.0%). The core inflation rate rose to a 19-month high of 3.2%, up from 3.0% in December and topping consensus of 3.1%. Monthly, the CPI increased by 0.5%, after December's 14-month top of 0.6% rise.
ECONOMICS:JPIRYY
by Mr_J__fx
Could One Event Propel Gold to $6,000?Gold has long been a refuge in times of crisis, but could it be on the brink of an unprecedented surge? Analysts now predict the precious metal could reach $6,000 per ounce, driven by a potent mix of geopolitical instability, macroeconomic shifts, and strategic accumulation by central banks. The prospect of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, a major global flashpoint, could be the catalyst that reshapes the financial landscape, sending investors scrambling for safe-haven assets.   The looming threat of conflict in Taiwan presents an unparalleled risk to global supply chains, particularly in semiconductor production. A disruption in this critical sector could spark widespread economic turmoil, fueling inflationary pressures and eroding confidence in fiat currencies. As nations brace for potential upheaval, central banks and investors are increasingly turning to gold, reinforcing its role as a geopolitical hedge. Meanwhile, de-dollarization efforts by BRICS nations further elevate gold’s strategic importance, intensifying its upward trajectory.   Beyond geopolitical risks, macroeconomic forces add momentum to gold’s ascent. The U.S. Federal Reserve’s anticipated rate cuts, persistent inflation, and record national debt levels all contribute to a weakening dollar. This, in turn, makes gold more attractive to global buyers, accelerating demand. At the same time, the psychological factor—fear-driven safe-haven buying and speculative enthusiasm—creates a self-reinforcing cycle, pushing prices ever higher.   Despite counterforces such as potential Fed policy shifts or a temporary easing of geopolitical tensions, the weight of uncertainty appears overwhelming. The convergence of economic instability, shifting power dynamics, and investor sentiment suggest that gold’s march toward $6,000 is less a speculative fantasy and more an inevitable financial reality. As the world teeters on the edge of historic change, gold may well be the ultimate safeguard in an era of global upheaval.
AMEX:GLDLong
by UDIS_View