USOIL Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 70.97
Bias - Bullish
Safe Stop Loss - 69.61
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 73.22
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Community ideas
PEPE 10x imminentPay your attention to PEPE. This is an underestimated project that will easily show 10x on the current market. From a technical point of view the asset is very oversold, we should wait for a strong push up. Wintermute made their asset 2 times cheaper and finished accumulation. Growth start next week.
Bitcoin: The Bullish Case (17 Days Left!)Bitcoin is not crashing. Nobody said Bitcoin would crash. I said Bitcoin was going to continue with its sideways motion...
How are you feeling today?
I have good news.
The fact that Bitcoin isn't crashing toward 80K is awesome news. This means that consolidation will continue to happen above 90K. Which is great.
Today is the third day after the flash crash and so far we have no continuation. Cryptocurrency traders are smart.
It seems the previous flush was all intended to remove too much leverage from the market, nothing more.
Removing too much leverage is always good news. This means that the next bullish phase will be really good.
What now?
What to do, what to think, what to expect?
Patience is key.
Give or take 17 days for the start of the next bullish wave.
That is just two weeks away, a little over two weeks.
When the action starts, it is likely to be very strong. But not everything will happen in one day, still, the bull-market will take many months to fully develop. So you can enter now just as it can enter in a matter of days.
There is always time.
Opportunities are endless. But low prices won't be around forever. Start accumulating as soon as you can.
We start with 2-3X for those using leverage. To start.
When we get closer to the action each buy is increased to 5X, more or less.
When we are really close, we are going to be seeing trade-numbers with 8-10X.
It is wise to wait for the high leverage right before the start of the next bullish wave.
If people become greedy the market tends to shake to remove those hands.
Remember, spot trading gives a minimum of risk. Stress free. Easy trading.
We already have the basics covered.
We will look at varied opportunities in the next section of charts.
We will look at all the Altcoins. We are waiting for the market to tell us which ones are most likely to move first and to move strong.
There are so many options, so many good ones. We have to choose wisely.
Right now, the market isn't moving one inch, in a few days, we will be seeing 100% plus within a single day. Over and over, again and again.
Are you ready for what is about to happen?
I hope you are.
This is the opportunity of a LIFETIME.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
EURUSD 1H
📉 EUR/USD Analysis
In continuation of the previous analysis
As long as the 1.0377 level holds, the bearish scenario remains valid. According to the schematic drawn on the chart, the nearest targets are:
🔻 1.0267
🔻 1.0228
If the market confirms further continuation, the next potential levels are:
🔻 1.0120
🔻 1.0050
I will refine the path to these targets in future updates.
High-precision analysis, amazing results! 🚀
Dogecoin (DOGE): Smaller Dip Before 50% Movement? Dogecoin has had some good social news recently and exposure where people are more and more keeping their attentions at this coin.
With recent news that resulted in a smaller bullish movement, we see that price is cooling down a little, which might lead price back to that sideways tunnel, which is our first target (once we see a proper breakdown from the current zone).
After that, we are going to look for upward movement, which might give us a potential +50% on the price movement from there so let's wait. As for everything to work out as we have planned, we have to see a breakdown from the current zone, which would lead price back inside the sideways tunnel!
Swallow Team
Tron (TRX): Possible Pump Incoming? Tron coin is moving on its own flow where buyers have recently recovered a few zones and price seems like it might push to upper zones now.
We have 2 targets here, one is short-term and the other is mid-term and those targets will be optimal as long as buyers hold the 100EMA zone.
Swallow Team
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to 61.8% Fibo lvl (2909).Colleagues, the price continues its upward movement and I believe that the wave “3” of the senior and middle orders has not completed its development.
At the moment it is quite difficult to predict the end of wave “3”, but I will try to assume that now there will be a correction to the area of 2809 level, then the upward movement will continue to the area of 61.8% Fibonacci expansion level (2909).
Or wave 3 will continue its development without correction and then we will expect a correction.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
If we break 21650 , it’s a high chance to Buy and grab Profits🚀 Hey Traders! 🚀
Just a heads up about the Nas100 buzz! 📈 We're zeroing in on some key levels to keep your eyes peeled on that 15-minute timeframe.
First up, we’re feeling bullish after that breakout above the 21650 mark! 💥 And don’t snooze on 21880 – that’s another crucial level to watch for some serious bullish vibes after it breaks out.
So keep your charts ready and your alerts set! Remember, Only Real Money is here! 💰 Let’s make those moves count! 💪✌️
GOLD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 2903.84
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 2880.90
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Technical Analysis on Gold (H1)Technical Analysis on Gold (H1)
- Market Context :
The chart presents a well-defined bullish trend supported by an ascending trendline visible at the bottom of the chart. A series of market structures with higher lows and higher highs confirm a dominant bullish momentum on this hourly timeframe (H1).
- Key Identified Zones :
Fair Value Gaps (FVG) :
Two imbalance zones are highlighted, one within the current uptrend and another lower down, corresponding to a potential demand zone.
These zones represent imbalances caused by impulsive price movements.
Point of Interest (POI) :
A significant POI is located near the blue zone. This area potentially aligns with a retracement towards an Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) level, around the 50-61.8% Fibonacci level.
Key Support (SS) :
A zone marked as "SS" acts as a major support level. A stop-loss is logically positioned below this level to protect the trade against invalidation.
- Anticipated Scenario :
The preferred scenario is a slight correction towards the demand zone (POI and OTE) before resuming the bullish trend.
The projection (represented by the dashed blue line) suggests a strong rebound after testing this zone, with continuation towards recent highs.
- Trading Strategy :
Entry : Consider a long position in the POI/OTE zone, monitoring for additional confirmations on lower timeframes (e.g., a bullish reversal on M5 or M15).
Stop-Loss : Position the SL below the key support level (SS) to limit risks.
Take Profit : Target recent highs as the first objective, with the possibility of letting part of the position run for a potential breakout.
- Risks to Consider :
A break below the key support level (SS) would invalidate the bullish bias and could signal a reversal towards lower levels.
Increased volatility due to economic news could disrupt the plan.
- Conclusion :
This setup on gold shows an interesting potential to capitalize on the continuation of the bullish trend, provided a retracement towards the identified zones occurs. Careful risk management is essential to maximize the chances of success.
Silver Struggles at Resistance – Bearish Setup in Play?Since reaching the 32.30 resistance zone last Wednesday, OANDA:XAGUSD has been trading in a range-bound consolidation phase.
On Friday’s NFP release, the price spiked back into this resistance area but quickly reversed, closing the day near the 31.70 support level.
Currently, Silver is rebounding once again from this support, which could present a good shorting opportunity for sellers.
My bias is bearish as long as 32.50 resistance holds, and I expect a potential decline toward 31.00 in the near term.
Bullish continuation?USD/CHF has bounced off the pivot and could rise from this level to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.9037
1st Support: 0.8918
1st Resistance: 0.9248
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
High Risk Sell Gold OutlookGold started the week by reaching a new all-time high near the 2,900 mark.
However, as I explained in my weekend analysis, while the overall trend remains strongly bullish, I anticipate a pullback to correct the 3,000-pip rally since the beginning of the year.
I am looking to enter a sell position with a tight stop-loss, aiming for a 1:3 risk-reward ratio to justify this high-risk trade.
Trump's Soon to Be Bullish FeverTrump Coin displays a bullish pattern which if timed well at $12.85, one can either enter your trade at that point or wait to see whether it will move downwards to touch the bottom of the support at $10.48 and then enter.
TP obviously at $75.95 but, its all depends on the trader.
EOSUSDT Buy opportunityEOSUSDT has completed Wave 2 within the current impulse wave cycle, positioning the market for a potential Wave 3 expansion, typically the strongest in an Elliott Wave sequence. The weekly timeframe RSI exhibits bullish divergence, indicating weakening bearish momentum and a possible shift in trend structure.
Price is currently trading within a key accumulation zone, aligning with previous demand levels and Fibonacci retracement confluence. A sustained breakout from this region would confirm the initiation of Wave 3, targeting the projected Fibonacci extension levels.
Profit-taking zones are outlined on the chart, with mid-term resistance areas acting as potential reaction points. A failure to hold the accumulation zone may signal further corrective movement before a larger expansion.
Fetusdt buy opportunityFETUSDT has entered its second wave cycle following the completion of the initial impulsive structure. The corrective pullback aligns with a key liquidity zone, making it a prime area for strategic accumulation. The immediate buyback zone serves as a critical re-accumulation level, historically acting as a strong demand region. If price maintains structural integrity within this range, we anticipate the next impulsive leg to follow, targeting key Fibonacci extensions. The current wave structure suggests a potential Elliott Wave continuation, with bullish momentum expected to resume upon confirmation of trend reversal. Trade with precision and risk management in mind.
Risks are Bubbling in the Nasdaq-100The Nasdaq-100 has led this cycle, driven by U.S. economic resilience and an unprecedented investment surge in artificial intelligence and cloud infrastructure.
However, risks are emerging from overvaluation, excessive AI spending that has yet to translate into revenue, and geopolitical uncertainties tied to the Trump administration.
With the Nasdaq-100 trading below its all-time high and lacking sufficient catalysts for a breakout, a near-term correction could occur if these risks materialize. Investors may consider a short position to capitalize on this potential downturn.
AI Spending and Overvaluation Risks
The "Magnificent Seven"—Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Tesla—have dominated market sentiment, collectively accounting for approximately 63% of the Nasdaq-100's total market cap. This highlights the rally's extreme concentration.
Much of the momentum has been driven by high expectations for rapid growth in artificial intelligence, further amplifying the market's reliance on these key players.
The broader backdrop has also been supportive: US economic growth continues to surprise to the upside, with growth expected at 2.3% for the year, while corporate earnings—even more so for tech—are likely to rise 7-14%, as per multiple analyst outlooks.
However, recent earnings reports have injected caution into AI enthusiasm. Alphabet missed revenue forecasts, sending its stock down 7.3%, while AMD dropped 6.3% after weak data-center sales. Amazon's AWS posted $28.79B in revenue, just shy of the $28.84B estimate, raising concerns over AI over-spending.
Despite this, AI capex remains aggressive. Meta reaffirmed its $60-65B 2025 capex plan, despite $17B in Metaverse losses last year. Microsoft defended its Azure and OpenAI bets, while Alphabet, despite AI competition pressures , is committing $75B to AI infrastructure in 2025.
With ambitions and excitement all around, the market’s reaction toward these companies, in light of underwhelming earnings and efficient competition from China, has not been so forgiving.
Cracks are forming, and a more cautious approach to Nasdaq-100 exposure may be warranted.
Valuations are stretched, with the index’s forward P/E ratio at 34 , up from 28 in 2023. While the AI boom, particularly in consumer adoption, took off in early 2023, the market is now pricing in near-flawless execution—yet investors have yet to fully grapple with the rising costs, intensifying competition, and looming regulatory scrutiny.
Risks remain in some of the largest Nasdaq-100 stocks, particularly Nvidia and Tesla. Nvidia’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 50.7 raises concerns about its ability to sustain past explosive growth. Similarly, Tesla, with a P/E ratio of 183.6, faces headwinds from a slowdown in the EV industry, making its valuation increasingly vulnerable.
Political and Trade Uncertainty
Donald Trump’s return to the White House has generated significant energy and excitement. However, the extremity of his policies could create new trade uncertainties, particularly for companies dependent on Chinese supply chains and international revenue.
Since his inauguration, Trump has announced a series of tariffs against major trading partners. The risk of retaliatory measures raises the possibility of a full-blown trade war. His aggressive stance on trade could introduce sudden and unpredictable market volatility.
The previous trade war saw tariffs disrupt global tech supply chains and put pressure on corporate margins. For instance, in 2018-2019 Nasdaq-100 volatility spiked and tech earnings growth slowed.
If history repeats itself, the overextended valuations of Nasdaq-100 could probably get a reality check, particularly if these firms start guiding for higher costs in upcoming earnings calls.
Technicals Point to Upcoming Resistance
The moving averages for the Nasdaq-100 reflect a bullish sentiment owing to the strong rally for the past several months.
However, the ATH level of 22,100 has proven strong resistance with prices testing this level multiple times over the past few months. A strong catalyst may be required to pass this level.
During previous corrections, price has reached between the 50-day and 100-day simple moving average (SMA).
Momentum indicators suggest that a short-term downward trend may be imminent.
Periodic movements in the index suggest a downturn is imminent and prices may reach as far as the S1 pivot point at 20,700.
Options Signal Growing Bearish Sentiment
Options positioning on E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures and Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures signals a bearish sentiment. OI and volume put/call ratio for both E-mini NQ and Micro E-mini NQ are greater than 1 suggesting higher put positioning than call. There is a particualrly high concentration of puts at the March expiry.
Source: CME QuikStrike
Hypothetical Trade Setup
Given the frothing risk factors impacting the Nasdaq-100, risk of a sharp decline is high. Elevated valuations, escalating trade tensions, and slowing AI rally, all risk a correction in the index.
This decline may materialize in the next 2–3 weeks, aligning with critical macroeconomic events, including Federal Reserve announcements, inflation data releases, and upcoming corporate earnings reports.
With a correction likely, investors can express this view using a short position in Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 (MNQ) futures expiring in March (MNQH2025). Each contract requires initial margin of USD 2,303 as of 10/Feb and provides exposure to USD 2 x Nasdaq index (~43,400).
Investors can also use the standard E-mini NQ futures to express the same bearish view with larger notional sizes.
Entry: 21,700
Target: 21,200
Stop Loss: 22,100
Profit at Target: USD 1000 ((21,700-21,200) x 2)
Loss at Stop: USD 800 ((21,700-22,100) x 2)
Reward to Risk: 1.25x
CME Group lists a raft of products covering a range of asset classes more accessible while also enabling granular hedging for portfolio managers.
Portfolio managers can learn more on how to access these micro products by visiting CME Micro Products page on CME portal to discover micro-sized contracts to gain macro exposures.
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MARKET DATA
CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme .
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This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
GOLD GAP-UP – REVERSAL OR CONTINUATION AFTER NONFARM?🔥 GOLD MONDAY GAP – WHAT’S NEXT AFTER NONFARM? 🔥
📊 Market Overview:
Gold started the week with a gap-up after last week’s 20-pip decline, indicating a potential test of psychological resistance at recent highs. However, there is a strong likelihood that price will correct further to fill liquidity gaps (FVG) before resuming its bullish momentum.
💡 Liquidity & Price Action Strategy:
The Monday gap-up may fill liquidity around 2875 - 2879 before gold resumes its downward move.
Markets always balance between high and low liquidity zones, meaning gold is likely to clear the FVG before establishing a new trend direction.
If the Asian session maintains bullish momentum, watch for SELL opportunities near resistance at 2873 and 2880.
⚠️ Key Considerations:
Post-Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) Monday tends to be highly volatile.
Wait for price confirmation at key levels before entering trades.
Real-time market updates and trading strategies available on TradingView Kevin Nguyen and our trading community.
📉 Gold Trading Plan – Key Levels
🔴 SELL SCALP: 2876 - 2878
📍 SL: 2882
🎯 TP: 2872 - 2868 - 2864 - 2860 - 2855
🔻 SELL ZONE: 2883 - 2885
📍 SL: 2888
🎯 TP: 2878 - 2875 - 2870 - 2866 - 2862
🟢 BUY SCALP: 2853 - 2851
📍 SL: 2848
🎯 TP: 2856 - 2860 - 2864 - 2868 - 2872
🟩 BUY ZONE: 2842 - 2840
📍 SL: 2836
🎯 TP: 2846 - 2850 - 2854 - 2860
📌 Risk Management Tips:
✔️ Always use TP/SL to protect your account.
✔️ Follow TradingView Kevin Nguyen & our trading community for real-time insights and top-tier strategies!
📩 Get the latest market analysis and professional trading strategies! 🚀
💬 What’s your take on gold this week? Will it drop further or rebound? Share your thoughts in the comments! 🔥
The key is whether the price can be maintained above 202.45
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
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(SOLUSDT 1M chart)
In order to turn into a downtrend, it is expected to start by falling below 147.74.
Since the BW(100) indicator was formed at 231.77, the point to watch is whether it can rise above this point.
-
(1W chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near 202.45.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near 194.46, the HA-Low indicator point, and rise above 202.45.
-
The charts that do not display support and resistance points and the charts that do are displayed are displayed separately for each time frame chart.
The basic chart for trading is the 1D chart.
Therefore, if you want to trade by looking at charts below 1D charts, it is recommended to mark at least the support and resistance points of the 1D chart.
As traders, the reason we analyze charts is to trade.
Therefore, chart analysis is to select key support and resistance points.
Therefore, you must select key support and resistance points in any way.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, it is expected that the upward trend will continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
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PEPE Tests Key Trendline Support: Will the 346-Day Uptrend Hold?CRYPTOCAP:PEPE is testing a key ascending trendline support that's held strong for over 346 days, backed by a significant trading volume of 1.27B.
This level is crucial for maintaining its bullish structure.
> The blue trendline has been a solid base for PEPE’s uptrend, holding firm so far.
> A bounce could target the $0.000012–$0.000015 resistance area.
> RSI is a Slight recovery from the oversold zone, hinting at a possible momentum shift.
If the trendline holds, a strong bullish move is likely.
A breakdown below could lead to further downside.
DYOR, NFA
#PEPE #Crypto