Community ideas
Tesla Short term Price Drop
As we navigate the dynamic landscape of the stock market in early 2025, **Tesla Inc. (TSLA)** continues to be a focal point for investors and analysts alike.
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Short-Term Technical Outlook: Anticipating a Price Dip to the indicated support area.
Bitcoin next levelIf you're referring to a *Bitcoin buy trend target of $106,000*, this would likely be a speculative or long-term price target based on technical analysis, market trends, or macroeconomic factors. Here's a breakdown of what this could mean:
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### 1. *Technical Analysis Perspective*
- *Trendlines and Support/Resistance*: If Bitcoin is in an upward trend, analysts might project future price targets based on historical patterns, Fibonacci extensions, or moving averages.
- *Previous All-Time High (ATH)*: Bitcoin's ATH as of October 2023 is around $69,000 (set in November 2021). A target of $106,000 would represent a significant breakout and a new ATH.
- *Key Levels*: To reach $106,000, Bitcoin would need to break through major resistance levels, such as $70,000, $80,000, and $100,000.
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### 2. *Fundamental Analysis Perspective*
- *Adoption and Institutional Interest*: Increased adoption by institutions, governments, or corporations could drive demand and push Bitcoin toward $106,000.
- *Halving Events*: Bitcoin's next halving is expected in 2024. Historically, halving events (which reduce the supply of new Bitcoin) have led to significant price increases in the following months or years.
- *Macroeconomic Factors*: Factors like inflation, currency devaluation, or geopolitical instability could drive investors toward Bitcoin as a store of value.
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### 3. *Market Sentiment*
- *Bullish Sentiment*: A target of $106,000 would require sustained bullish sentiment, with retail and institutional investors continuing to buy and hold Bitcoin.
- *FOMO (Fear of Missing Out)*: As Bitcoin approaches new highs, FOMO could drive more investors into the market, accelerating the price rise.
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### 4. *Risks and Considerations*
- *Volatility*: Bitcoin is highly volatile, and reaching $106,000 is not guaranteed. Prices could drop significantly before achieving such a target.
- *Regulatory Risks*: Changes in regulations could impact Bitcoin's price trajectory.
- *Market Cycles*: Bitcoin operates in cycles, and a target of $106,000 would likely take time (possibly years) to achieve.
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### 5. *How to Approach This Target*
- *Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA)*: Consider investing small amounts regularly to reduce the impact of volatility.
- *Risk Management*: Only invest what you can afford to lose, and consider diversifying your portfolio.
- *Stay Informed*: Keep up with market trends, news, and analysis to make informed decisions.
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If you're considering investing in Bitcoin with a long-term target of $106,000, it's essential to do thorough research and consult with a financial advisor if needed. Let me know if you'd like more specific analysis or resources!
BTC Moon Cycle chartI know I didn't post for a while, was busy with the TTR 2.0 build (its almost ready to launch) and my X updates
Here is the CRYPTOCAP:BTC Moon cycle chart.
Support is in mid 95k, then we should go up into the new moon or Feb 27-28th
Im very bullish into the new Moon cycle (after the full moon low) and I will be out from any longs by Mar 10th!!!
Mar 10-14th, mark it down, we are going down hard!!!
Im expecting a strong correction down to below 65k (my ideal target is 55 or 50k) by Apr-My low and a reversal back to new ATH my Sep 7th (all charts were posted on my X already)
$QQQ Anlaysis, Key Levels & Targets for Feb 4 2024So the trading range for QQQ has a lot of moving averages running through it possible support we did reclaim the 50 day moving average that one hour two and moving average is still pointing down here the 30 minute and the 35 EMA is trading still bullish and we just filled that gap. The top of the implied move is at 525 and I would be looking at 526 527 bear call spreads or 527 528. ( that’s where I have my condors and I will add spreads there when challenged)
PIPPINUSDTPippin/USDT to rise, and based on the chart analysis, that’s a possibility.
STRONG SUPPORT
- The 4HR trendline still holding, which indicates that the downtrend might slow down.
- The price has reached a key zone that was previously resistance and has now turned into support
DIVERGENCE
- The RSI is showing bullish divergence, which signals a potential price reversal.
CHAT PATTERN
- The price is forming a Falling Wedge Pattern which is usually a bullish pattern.
Possible Price Targets
- Short-Term Target: 0.049 USDT
- Long-Term Target: 0.087 - 0.110 USDT
ETH will go down more don't buy!Ok Ethereum fell out of the wedge and went down heavy. Didn't expected that got liquidated heavy. But in hindsight was expecting something but you never know when and how.
Now making a new technical analysis, I see ETH doing this:
I zoomed out on the weekly TF on the logaritmic chart,
and there you can clearly see a new bigger wedge.
- There is a tripple top with higher highs
- The last pinbar pierced slightly out of the wedge and liquidated allooot of people.
I can see ETH can test the trendline and fall slightly out maybe 2K max.
But technically ETH has to breakout to the upside now,
In a couple of weeks ETH is heavy up. I think people wait for the FED decision in march for QE.
But I ladder in already in the chart already tells you actually ETH is going up.
Continuously breaking records, will it continue to rise?The gold price continues to run along the trend structure, the daily line continues to rise and close, the MA10/7-day moving average opens and moves up to 2788/2802, the price is on the upper track of the Bollinger Band, and the RSI indicator comes to the high value of 70 and close to 80. The price of the short-term four-hour chart continues to rise along the upper track of the Bollinger Band channel, but today we need to pay attention to the overbought divergence signal of the RSI indicator.
In view of the historical high of the market's current round of super-increase, the trend of low-long trading is changed to short-term participation, and the high-altitude cooperation assists in paying attention to the band opportunities. Today's market data small non-agricultural ADP focuses on. When will the top come? Never go all out in the investment market. Relying on guessing the top all the way against the trend will only lose all your money. We still don't blindly guess the top, and only make layouts after the signal appears or the pattern appears.
At present, gold has risen to a historical high of 2849. So for 2025, can gold continue to rise? What impact does the US situation have on the trend of gold? In my opinion, the gold price is just the beginning, the acceleration high point has not arrived, and the bulls still maintain the upward momentum!
At present, gold 2849 is not the end of this round, because the current bullish pattern is still intact. Being afraid of bulls and guarding against risks does not mean the arrival of bears. The trend is still very strong. But in terms of position, the rise today is not much, and the pattern is still very strong. The price is still rising slowly, so it is only a matter of one step to continue to break the new high. It is recommended to buy more at the low point and continue to look at the new high!
Key points:
First support: 2831, second support: 2816, third support: 2800
First resistance: 2850, second resistance: 2863, third resistance: 2870
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2822-2825, SL: 2814, TP: 2840-2850;
SELL: 2867-2870, SL: 2878, TP: 2850-2840
Potential bullish rise?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.5630
1st Support: 0.5590
1st Resistance: 0.5716
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PROFIT & LEARN: NEWS TRADING (MY VIEWS) Introduction:
“Hello, traders! Welcome back to ‘Profit and Learn.’ Today, we’re diving into a fascinating topic: how markets can move contrary to news. It’s a common misconception that positive news always leads to positive market movements. Let’s explore why this isn’t always the case.”
Main Content:
“Markets often price in expected news ahead of time. This means that by the time the news is released, the market has already reacted. Media and PR play a significant role in shaping sentiment, often creating a disconnect between actual news and market reactions. For instance, positive news can sometimes lead to a market drop due to profit-taking or because the news was already expected.”
Case Study:
“Let’s look at a recent example with USD/JPY. Despite all news items coming out positive, USD/JPY made a strong move downward. This can happen when markets have already priced in the positive news, or when traders take profits, causing a reversal.”
Key Takeaways:
“Always understand market psychology. Don’t rely solely on news headlines. Consider the bigger picture and broader market context before making trading decisions.”
Conclusion:
“Thanks for tuning in! Remember, successful trading requires a holistic approach. Stay informed, stay cautious, and happy trading!”
AUD/JPY H4 | Rising into overlap resistanceAUD/JPY is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 96.78 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 97.60 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 95.64 which is an overlap support.
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The bull market is still here, let's keep buying!Bitcoin is on the most desirable buy levels long term as apart from only being neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.257, MACD = 281.800, ADX = 29.399) it just validated today the enormous buying zone that was waiting on the 1D MA100. This is a level that has worked as a buy entry over and over again these 2 years of the Bull Cycle. The last time it did was exactly a year ago on January 22nd 2024. The result was a +90% rally. If this gets repeated again the exact same way, then a new ATH at 170,000 is more than plausible.
BTC/USD technical And Fundamental analysis based setup:Hello traders here's my New BTC/USD idea, what you think on it? share your thoughts in comment section
1. Resistance Level: The resistance is clearly near the 102,044 price level, where the price encountered selling pressure. This level acts as a barrier preventing the price from moving higher.
2. Support Level and Target: The support level around 93,034, which is also the target for the anticipated bearish movement. This level represents a zone where buying interest might emerge, halting further price declines.
3. Current Price: At the time of analysis, the price is approximately 99,500. The bearish trend suggests that the price is expected to decline further toward the support zone.
4. Bearish Trend Confirmation: The sharp rejection from the resistance zone and the formation of bearish candlestick patterns indicate that sellers are in control. with the downtrend on the chart.
Fundamental Insight:
The decline could be driven by broader market sentiment, macroeconomic factors, or profit-taking For traders near resistance. It’s crucial to monitor key events, such as regulatory updates or economic data, that could influence Bitcoin’s price action.
Traders should remain cautious and consider using tight stop-losses near the resistance level to manage risk effectively. If the price breaks below the support level, further downside potential may unfold.
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